Documente Academic
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MONITOR
An Update of the Philippine FMCG market
MAT September 2016
National Philippines
1
Kantar Worldpanel
INSIDE
THIS ISSUE
KEY INDICATORS
RETAIL
LANDSCAPE
Hyper/Supers
contribute significantly
to growth as well as
other Modern Trade,
while Sari-Saris Stores
post flat performance
HOT AREAS
FMCG TRENDS
PH FMCG managed to
sustain growth, posting
+7% on account of
bigger cash outlay;
fastest growth coming
from Household Care
2
Kantar Worldpanel
KEY
INDICATORS
FMCG
TRENDS
HOT
AREAS
RETAIL
LANDSCAPE
EMERGING TRENDS
FMCG GROWTH
7.1%
MAT (52-weekly)
Q316 vs YA
6.2%
Q315 vs YA
GDP
2.3%
Quarterly (12-weekly)
Q316 vs YA
0.4%
Q315 vs YA
10
5
Philippine economy
has increased its
momentum in the 3rd
quarter this year,
growth driven by
manufacturing, trade,
real estate, renting
and other business
activities
Inflation
Rate
* Based on Value Sales
September 2015 vs YA
Sources:
September 2016 vs YA
3
Kantar Worldpanel
KEY
INDICATORS
FMCG
TRENDS
HOT
AREAS
RETAIL
LANDSCAPE
EMERGING TRENDS
Value Sales
Volume Sales
16
16
15
15
11
10
9
8
7
5
4
1
3
0
0
-2
-5
-3
-1
-2
-3
-4
-6
-10
-8
MAT JUNE MAT SEPT MAT DEC
2014
2014
2014
-8
4
Kantar Worldpanel
KEY
INDICATORS
FMCG
TRENDS
HOT
AREAS
RETAIL
LANDSCAPE
EMERGING TRENDS
FMCG MARKET
SALES EVOLUTION
MAT September 2016 vs YA
Actual Value in
MAT Sep 2016
% Growth/Decline vs. YA
Increased
consumption largely
fuels FMCG growth
as Filipino homes
purchase more per
shopping trip.
6
Kantar Worldpanel
KEY
INDICATORS
FMCG
TRENDS
HOT
AREAS
RETAIL
LANDSCAPE
EMERGING TRENDS
+7
TOTAL PH
FMCG PERFORMANCE
BY MEGA CATEGORY
2)
Snacks
3)
Biscuits
4)
Shampoo
5)
Seasoning Powder
6)
Instant Noodles
7)
Cooking Oil
8)
Liquid Seasoning
9)
Laundry Powder
5
-7
5
2
Value
1)
10
-8
Price
-11
6
1
9
3
6
4
1
0
2
-5
8
4
10
2
2
Sugar
10)
TOTAL FMCG
FOOD
BEVERAGE
PERSONAL CARE
HOUSEHOLD CARE
MAT September
2016
MAT September
2015
9
FMCG growth cuts across all mega-categories with Household Care growing faster than
national average; Average price drop lead by Beverages as seen in top category Instant
coffee powder. Home food recipes are seen to stabilize in this periodInstant noodles,
Cooking Oil and Sugar.
18
21
Php 650
Bln
18
52
Php 697
Bln
52
21
% Value Contribution to
Total FMCG
7
Kantar Worldpanel
KEY
INDICATORS
FMCG
TRENDS
HOT
AREAS
RETAIL
LANDSCAPE
EMERGING TRENDS
FOOD
12.0TOTAL PH
10.0
11.0
8.0
6.0
6.0
BEVERAGE
16.0
Historical reads
show sustained
growth across all
mega categories
1.0
4.0
-4.0
2.0
0.0
-9.0
MAT JUN MAT SEP MAT DEC MAT MAR MAT JUN MAT SEP
2015
2015
2015
2016
2016
2016
MAT JUN MAT SEP MAT DEC MAT MAR MAT JUN MAT SEP
2015
2015
2015
2016
2016
2016
PERSONAL CARE
16.0
14.0
12.0
10.0
8.0
6.0
4.0
2.0
0.0
HOUSEHOLD CARE
14.0
Decline in price is
largely evident in the
beverage sector
12.0
10.0
8.0
6.0
4.0
2.0
MAT JUN MAT SEP MAT DEC MAT MAR MAT JUN MAT SEP
2015
2015
2015
2016
2016
2016
0.0
MAT JUN MAT SEP MAT DEC MAT MAR MAT JUN MAT SEP
2015
2015
2015
2016
2016
2016
8
Kantar Worldpanel
KEY
INDICATORS
FMCG
TRENDS
HOT
AREAS
RETAIL
LANDSCAPE
EMERGING TRENDS
FMCG PERFORMANCE
BY REGION & SEC
+7
TOTAL PH
+10
+8
ABC
NCR
(16%)
+9
Growth is also
sustained across
regions; fastest
coming from North
Luzon, NCR and
Visayas.
NORTH
LUZON
(20%)
+3
ABC
(15%)
SOUTH
LUZON
(21%)
+7
VISAYAS
(19%)
D
(62%)
+12
+8
MINDANAO
(23%)
+4
E
(23%)
10
Kantar Worldpanel
KEY
INDICATORS
FMCG
TRENDS
HOT
AREAS
RETAIL
LANDSCAPE
EMERGING TRENDS
+10
+9
(16%)
VISAYAS
(19%)
+12
NORTH
LUZON (20%)
+3
SOUTH
LUZON (21%)
Infrastructure
developments,
innovations in
public transport,
and the growing
BPO industry
(especially in
VisMin) sustained
PHs economic
growth
MINDANAO
(23%)
+4
12
Kantar Worldpanel
KEY
INDICATORS
FMCG
TRENDS
HOT
AREAS
RETAIL
LANDSCAPE
EMERGING TRENDS
ALL HOUSEHOLD
26,694
41
26,823
38
45
43
VISAYAS
350
83
84
334
338
81
85
353
381
90
74
30,296
387
78
30,829
387
80
Increased spending
was managed
across regions
despite average
price decline in
regions outside of
NCR
76
359
28,022
48
87
30,301
31,716
54
80
362
28,799
53
76
30,068
27,153
39
36
MINDANAO
337
113
332
26,763
51
111
353
28,989
50
SOUTH LUZON
107
317
35,935
41
89
303
33,565
36
85
299
31,856
35
80
352
31,190
34
NORTH LUZON
349
29,654
40
NCR
348
27,823
44
Frequency
13
Kantar Worldpanel
KEY
INDICATORS
FMCG
TRENDS
HOT
AREAS
RETAIL
LANDSCAPE
EMERGING TRENDS
+9
NCR
(16%)
FOOD
Family/Adult Milk
Biscuits
Cooking Oil
Liquid Seasoning
Instant Noodles
+10
NORTH LUZON
(20%)
+3
SOUTH LUZON
(21%)
+12
VISAYAS
(19%)
+4
MINDANAO
(23%)
+10
+19
+8
+5
+3
FOOD
Biscuits
Instant Noodles
Cooking Oil
Snacks
+10
+4
+3
+3
+2
FOOD
Liquid Seasoning
Frozen/Chilled Meat
Cooking Oil
Sugar
+2
-7
+3
+2
-2
FOOD
Biscuits
Family/Adult Milk
Snacks
Cooking Oil
+11
+20
+15
+12
+3
FOOD
Family/Adult Milk
Liquid Seasoning
Snacks
Biscuits
+3
+9
+9
+6
-5
-2
Family/Adult Milk
+2
Instant Noodles
+0
Instant Noodles
+2
Sugar
+2
Food
BEVERAGE
Water
Instant Coffee Powd
Liquid Juice
Softdrink
Powder Choco
+5
+16
+5
+5
+2
+1
BEVERAGE
Water
Beer
Powder Juice
Instant Coffee
Powder Choco
+8
+27
+20
+14
+9
+8
BEVERAGE
Water
Powder Juice
Instant Coffee Powd
Softdrink
Coffee Creamer
+3
+21
+19
+2
-4
-7
BEVERAGE
Beer
Water
Softdrink
Powder Juice
Powder Choco
+15
+38
+23
+13
+11
+8
BEVERAGE
Water
Beer
Powder Juice
Softdrink
Instant Coffee
+5
+17
+9
+5
+5
+4
PERSONAL CARE
Baby Diaper
Toothpaste
Bar Bath Soap
Hair Conditioner
Shampoo
+12
+31
+15
+9
+7
+7
PERSONAL CARE
Baby Diaper
Toothpaste
Bar Bath Soap
Shampoo
Hair Conditioner
+10
+23
+12
+9
+9
+9
PERSONAL CARE
Shampoo
Hair Conditioner
Bar Bath Soap
Toothpaste
Baby Diaper
+2
+11
+11
+9
+7
+0
PERSONAL CARE
Baby Diaper
Lotion
Shampoo
Toothpaste
Bar Bath Soap
+12
+15
+14
+12
+11
+11
PERSONAL CARE
Toothpaste
Hair Conditioner
Shampoo
Lotion
Bar Bath Soap
+2
+10
+8
+7
+5
+4
HOUSEHOLD CARE
Dishwash
Fabric Softener
Bleach
Laundry Powder
+9
+13
+11
+10
+10
HOUSEHOLD CARE
Fabric Softener
Laundry Powder
Dishwash
Laundry Bar
+15
+27
+13
+10
+3
HOUSEHOLD CARE
Dishwash
Fabric Softener
Laundry Powder
Laundry Bar
+7
+20
+11
+6
-3
HOUSEHOLD CARE
Dishwash
Fabric Softener
Laundry Powder
Bleach
+11
+24
+22
+12
+9
HOUSEHOLD CARE
Dishwash
Bleach
Fabric Softener
Laundry Powder
+8
+30
+13
+12
+10
Laundry Bar
+1
Laundry Bar
Beverage
Personal Care
HH Care
Laundry Bar
-4
All mega-sectors
contribute to growth
across NCR, North
Luzon and Visayas;
fastest growth seen
from Personal and
Household Care in
the Northern regions.
-3
14
Category Selection based on Share to Mega-Sector (atleast 5%) and Penetration within region (atleast 20%)
Kantar Worldpanel
KEY
INDICATORS
+7
TOTAL PH
FMCG
TRENDS
HOT
AREAS
44
ALL SEC
44
348
80
29,654
349
85
31,190
352
89
34
40,990
260
36
42,735
256
32
40
57
54
50
MAT Sep 14
168
78
30,129
356
85
31,551
353
89
22,955
361
64
23,998
368
65
380
25,480
MAT Sep 15
167
356
27,915
43
158
269
45,105
43
Class E
Frequency
27,823
40
Class D
EMERGING TRENDS
FMCG PERFORMANCE
BY SEC
Average Price
Spend per Buyer
(Php)/(Kg/L/Pcs) (Php)
Class ABC
RETAIL
LANDSCAPE
67
MAT Sep 16
15
Kantar Worldpanel
KEY
INDICATORS
FMCG
TRENDS
HOT
AREAS
RETAIL
LANDSCAPE
EMERGING TRENDS
FMCG PERFORMANCE
BY SEC
+7
TOTAL PH
13
11
11
10
9
8
Class ABC
7
6
Class D
Class E
Total FMCG
Food
Beverage
Personal Care
HH Care
16
Kantar Worldpanel
KEY
INDICATORS
FMCG
TRENDS
HOT
AREAS
RETAIL
LANDSCAPE
EMERGING TRENDS
ZOOM IN TO SEC
% Change in Value MAT September 2016 vs YA
+8
Food
+7
+8
Class E
(23%)
+6
FOOD
+7
FOOD
+7
Family/Adult Milk
+10
Family/Adult Milk
+7
Liquid Seasoning
+11
Biscuits
+8
Liquid Seasoning
+6
Biscuits
+10
Can./Foil./P. Meat
+3
Biscuits
+5
Sugar
+6
Cooking Oil
+2
Snacks
+2
Snacks
+5
-4
Frozen/Chilled Meat
+2
Family/Adult Milk
+5
BEVERAGE
+11
BEVERAGE
+5
BEVERAGE
+11
Water
+28
Water
+17
Beer
+27
Powder Juice
+27
Beer
+16
Water
+25
Liquid Juice
+15
Powder Juice
+9
Powder Juice
+9
Softdrink
+14
+5
Softdrink
+9
+6
Softdrink
+2
+6
PERSONAL CARE
+7
PERSONAL CARE
+8
PERSONAL CARE
+6
Toothpaste
+9
Hair Conditioner
+12
+12
Baby Diaper
+7
Baby Diaper
+12
Shampoo
+10
Shampoo
+5
Toothpaste
+12
Toothpaste
+9
+4
Shampoo
+10
Hair Conditioner
+5
+3
+8
Baby Diaper
+0
+10
HOUSEHOLD CARE
+9
HOUSEHOLD CARE
+13
Fabric Softener
+7
Dishwash
+20
Fabric Softener
+23
Dishwash
+16
Fabric Softener
+14
Dishwash
+23
Laundry Powder
+9
Laundry Powder
+10
Bleach
+15
Laundry Powder
+12
Laundry Bar
+6
Bleach
HH Care
Class D
(62%)
FOOD
Frozen/Chilled Meat
Beverage
Class ABC
(15%)
Laundry Bar
-4
Laundry Bar
-5
17
Kantar Worldpanel
KEY
INDICATORS
+7
TOTAL PH
FMCG
TRENDS
HOT
AREAS
RETAIL
LANDSCAPE
EMERGING TRENDS
FMCG PERFORMANCE
BY CHANNEL
% Value Contribution to Total
FMCG
MAT September
2015
MAT September
2016
SARI-SARI STORES
11
HYPER/SUPERMARKETS
2 6
Php 650
Bln
GROCERIES
MARKET STALLS
Traditional Trade,
though only stable
remains a key
FMCG in-home
channel
44
Php 697
Bln
-1
31
DRUG STORES
14
DIRECT SALES
14
CONVENIENCE ST.
33
32
Sari-Sari Stores
Hyper/Super
Groceries
Market Stalls
Drug Stores
Direct Sales
Convenience Store
Others
43
Another key
channel,
Hyper/Supers post
significant growth
along with
Drugstores, CVs
and Direct Sales
18
Kantar Worldpanel
KEY
INDICATORS
+7
TOTAL PH
FMCG
TRENDS
RETAIL
LANDSCAPE
EMERGING TRENDS
FMCG PERFORMANCE
BY CHANNEL
Penetration %
100
100
100
TOTAL CHANNELS
54
54
54
GROCERIES
73
74
70
MARKET STALLS
DRUG STORES
55
60
59
DIRECT SALES
54
60
60
17
20
20
348
349
352
238
240
239
12,420
13,305
13,438
86
87
87
HYPER/SUPER
Frequency
27,823
29,654
31,190
99
99
99
SARI-SARI STORES
CONVENIENCE ST.
HOT
AREAS
80
85
89
52
55
56
45
44
45
10,010
10,426
11,301
223
238
254
31
30
30
3,805
3,963
3,964
123
131
133
29
27
27
2,030
2,024
2,094
70
75
78
13
12
12
167
173
196
794
852
962
5
5
6
165
169
172
427
444
565
6
5
6
2,200
2,145
2,433
77
90
90
19
Kantar Worldpanel
KEY
INDICATORS
FMCG
TRENDS
HOT
AREAS
RETAIL
LANDSCAPE
EMERGING TRENDS
+3
FOOD
Food
+11
FOOD
+0
Biscuits
+16
Instant Noodles
-5
Powder Seasoning
+6
Family/Adult Milk
+7
Biscuits
+0
Family/Adult Milk
+4
Cooking Oil
+0
Sugar
+3
Family/Adult Milk
-3
Snacks
Sugar
-4
+5
BEVERAGE
+7
BEVERAGE
+1
Beer
+18
Water
+39
Water
+68
Powder Juice
+7
Powder Juice
+24
Liquid Juice
+43
+6
Liquid Juice
+14
+5
Softdrink
+5
Powder Choco
+9
Powder Juice
-3
Water
+0
Softdrink
+9
Powder Choco
-3
+3
PERSONAL CARE
+11
PERSONAL CARE
+1
Shampoo
+9
Baby Diaper
24
18
Hair Conditioner
+8
Hair Conditioner
Shampoo
12
Toothpaste
+6
Toothpaste
Hair Conditioner
+3
Shampoo
Toothpaste
Baby Diaper
-10
Baby Diaper
-14
HOUSEHOLD CARE
HH Care
FOOD
GROCERIES
(7%)
-10
PERSONAL CARE
Personal Care
+2
+1
Liquid Seasoning
BEVERAGE
Beverage
+11HYPER/SUPERMARKETS
(32%)
SARI-SARI STORES
(43%)
+5
HOUSEHOLD CARE
+11
HOUSEHOLD CARE
Food, Personal
Care and
Household Care
products drive
Hyper/Supers
above national
performance
+6
Dishwash
14
Dishwash
13
Fabric Softener
+17
Bleach
11
Fabric Softener
13
Dishwash
+9
Fabric Softener
Laundry Powder
12
Laundry Powder
+6
Laundry Powder
Bleach
Laundry Bar
+4
Laundry Bar
-3
Laundry Bar
1
Source: Kantar Worldpanel Household Panel National Philippines Total FMCG
20 > 100 %
+++ % change
Category Selection based on Share to Mega-Sector (atleast 5%) and Penetration within region (atleast 20%)
Kantar Worldpanel
KEY
INDICATORS
FMCG
TRENDS
HOT
AREAS
RETAIL
LANDSCAPE
EMERGING TRENDS
The Rise
of
VISMIN
21
Kantar Worldpanel
KEY
INDICATORS
FMCG
TRENDS
HOT
AREAS
RETAIL
LANDSCAPE
EMERGING TRENDS
TOTAL PH
TOTAL PH
4.7 3.9
5.9
FMCG
4.1 3.2
LUZON
5.4
Food
VISMIN
3.5
5.2
2.1
Bev
Personal Care
HH Care
22
Kantar Worldpanel
KEY
INDICATORS
FMCG
TRENDS
HOT
AREAS
RETAIL
LANDSCAPE
EMERGING TRENDS
TOTAL PH
Ave. Spend
29,361
Total
PH
32,022
33,866
Ave. Price
VisMin
34,030
79.9
389
82.3
11.2
397
85.3
12.3
33,747
32,096
368
Spend/Trip
10.9
31,969
29,040
MAT SEPT 16
Frequency
11.3
29,593
Total
Luzon
MAT SEPT 15
356
83.1
12.1
373
85.8
12.6
378
89.4
10.1
383
Average FMCG
spend of VisMin
households increase
year-on-year, even
exceeding national
average as they
purchase more
frequently
75.8
9.7
412
77.9
9.8
423
80.4
23
Kantar Worldpanel
KEY
INDICATORS
FMCG
TRENDS
HOT
AREAS
RETAIL
LANDSCAPE
EMERGING TRENDS
TOTAL PH
%SPEND CONTRIBUTION
BY CHANNEL
As of MAT SEPTEMBER 2016
9.1
10
8.9
9.8
9.5
7.7
36.2
54.3
54.2
55.8
58.3
62.5
36
34
32
29
NL
SL
VIS
MIN
54
36
NATL NCR
ALL OTHERS
TRADITIONAL
TRADE
More households in
VisMin purchase in
traditional trade,
influencing higher
frequency of
purchase
MODERN
TRADE
24
Kantar Worldpanel
KEY
INDICATORS
FMCG
TRENDS
HOT
AREAS
RETAIL
LANDSCAPE
EMERGING TRENDS
TOTAL PH
%SPEND CONTRIBUTION
BY DEMOGRAPHIC
As of MAT SEPTEMBER 2016
BY SEC
29
BY HH SIZE
12
21
13
VIS
59
9
23
33
MIN
11
39
27
ABC
6 12
36
35
8 56
9
36
59
BY LIFESTAGE
37
FMCG spend in
VisMin primarily
driven by low income
groups, mostly Young
and Mixed HHs
44
33
HH Size 1-2
HH Size 5-6
HH Size 3-4
HH Size 7 +
Adult Single/Couple
Young HH
Mixed HH
Older HH
Adult HH
25
Kantar Worldpanel
KEY
INDICATORS
FMCG
TRENDS
HOT
AREAS
RETAIL
LANDSCAPE
EMERGING TRENDS
TOTAL PH
%SPEND CONTRIBUTION
BY MEGACATEGORY
As of MAT SEPTEMBER 2016
10
16.8
10.6
17.6
9.2
15.7
19.2
17.5
21.6
HOUSEHOLD CARE
PERSONAL CARE
BEVERAGE
FOOD
54.0
54.3
53.5
TOTAL PH
LUZON
VISMIN
26
Kantar Worldpanel
KEY
INDICATORS
FMCG
TRENDS
HOT
AREAS
RETAIL
LANDSCAPE
EMERGING TRENDS
TOTAL PH
LUZON
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Coffee Powder
Snacks
Shampoo
Biscuits
Breads
Instant Noodles
Cooking Oil
Laundry Powder
Sugar
Bar Soap
VISMIN
Coffee Powder
Snacks
Breads
Biscuits
Shampoo
Cooking Oil
Instant Noodles
Softdrinks
Laundry Powder
Laundry Bar
Among the
beverages, Instant
Coffee Powder and
Softdrinks take the
lead
27
Kantar Worldpanel
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+63 2 548-4505; +63 2 548-4516
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28
Kantar Worldpanel