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Foreign TradeMerchandise
The year-on-year (y-o-y) inflation rate based on WPI turned positive to 0.3%
(after 17 months) in April 2016 against -2.4% in April 2015. The index for primary
articles rose by 2.3% in April 2016 compared to 0.5% a year ago, while the rise in
the index for food articles slowed down to 4.2% compared to 5.9% in April 2015.
The index for fuel and power continued to decline for the 18th month in a row,
however, at a decelerated rate of -4.8% in April 2016 compared to -13%, a year
ago. The index for manufactured products increased by 0.7% in April 2016
against -0.5% in April 2015.
The CPI inflation rate rose to 5.4% in April 2016 compared to 4.9%, a year ago,
as the food price index increased by 6.3% compared to 5.1% in April 2015. The
CPI-rural and CPI-urban inflation rate increased to 6.1% and 4.7%, respectively,
in April 2016 from 5.3% and 4.4%, respectively, in the corresponding month
last year. As per Labour Bureau data, the CPI inflation rate for agricultural
labourers and industrial workers increased to 5.3% and 5.9%, respectively, in
April 2016 compared to 4.4% and 5.8%, respectively, in the corresponding period
last year.
The y-o-y growth rate of IIP slowed down to 0.1% in March 2016 from 2.5%,a year ago,
with growth in manufacturing segment declining to -1.2% from 2.7%. Growth rate of
mining segment remained at -0.1% in March 2016 compared to 1.2% in March 2015,
and electricity generation at 11.3% against 2.2%. As per use-based classification, capital
goods segment declined substantially by (-)15.4% in March 2016 compared to the
growth of 9.1% registered in March 2015. Growth rate of consumer durable goods was
8.7% in March 2016 compared to -4.6% in March 2015, while that of consumer nondurable goods fell to -4.4% from 1.9%, a year ago.
Year-on-Year in %
Over Month
(%)
20.6
25.4
4.8
-9.5
-8.5
-4.5
Exports
Imports
Trade deficit
0.3%
April 2016
($ bn)
Over Year
(%)
(AprilMarch)
(201516 over 201415) (%)
-6.7
-23.1
-55.9
-15.9
-15.3
-14.0
2016
-1
-2
$26 billion
Non-oil Imports
$22 billion
Exports
28
-2.4%
2015
-3
January
February
March*
April*
$7 billion
Oil Imports
$6 billion
Weights
Over Month
Over Year
100
20.1
14.3
14.9
65.0
1.4
2.1
2.0
1.7
0.8
0.3
2.3
4.2
-4.8
0.7
6.0
9.9
12.9
10.3
3.0
2.0
3.0
6.1
-0.9
2.4
-2.5
0.2
3.4
-11.7
-1.1
$5 billion
-12
$11 billion
Trade Deficit
2015
2016
APRIL
APRIL
Oil refers to crude petroleum and petroleum products, while non-oil refers to all other commodities.
Year-on-Year in %
12
Year-on-Year in %
8
201516
6.3%
Consumer Food
5.4%
5
CPI
4.3%
2.5%
0
0.1%
201415
-4
April
September
March*
Miscellaneous
0
Jan
2015
Jan
2016
Over
Month
100
14.2
75.5
10.3
7.4
9.3
7.0
7.9
0.1
-0.1
-1.2
11.3
2.8
1.5
2.3
8.4
2.4
2.2
2.0
5.6
45.7
8.8
15.7
29.8
8.5
21.3
8.4
21.6
7.1
1.2
3.4
-0.2
4.0
-15.4
3.7
0.4
8.7
-4.4
7.0
6.4
1.7
-3.4
-12.6
2.8
3.6
-2.9
2.4
3.0
11.1
-1.7
General index
Mining
Manufacturing
Electricity
* Data is provisional.
Source: Central Statistics Office (CSO), Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation, Base: 2012=100.
Over
Month
Over
Year
Rural (2012=100)
128.9
0.7
6.1
6.2
5.6
Urban (2012=100)
125.3
1.2
4.7
5.7
4.1
CPI: Occupation-wise
Industrial workers (2001=100) #
271
1.1
5.9
6.3
5.6
848
0.6
5.3
6.6
4.4
* Provisional. # March 2016. Source: CSO (rural and urban), Labour Bureau (IW and AL).
Weights
A*
Over Year
* March 2016 are quick estimates; Base: 200405=100; Source: Central Statistics Office.
Comprehensive current economic statistics with regular weekly updates are available at: http://www.epwrf.in/currentstat.aspx.
130
vol LI no 24
EPW
CURRENT STATISTICS
Q1
201516
Q2
1406817
294338
832420
48976
42871
-40831
620869
661700
-49687
2534903
(8.2)
(9.0)
(8.3)
(23.0)
(16.3)
Q3
1422029
322557
828754
48434
38194
-55355
625875
681230
-36835
2567778
(11.6)
(-0.6)
(7.5)
(9.2)
(15.4)
(2.2)
(20.6)
(0.3)
1495823
261886
843733
45077
37174
-45813
636468
682281
21305
2659185
(1.1)
(4.6)
(8.3)
Q4
(1.5)
(33.2)
(3.7)
(16.0)
(10.8)
(2.0)
(5.7)
(6.6)
1539614
223826
903344
52521
55036
-13988
625191
639179
29933
2790285
Q1
(6.6)
(-3.3)
(5.4)
(21.6)
(32.2)
1504442
293720
891627
50754
43138
-60253
585324
645577
761
2724188
(-6.3)
(-6.1)
(6.7)
Q2
(6.9)
(-0.2)
(7.1)
(3.6)
(0.6)
1511464
333116
909117
51068
42932
-78201
599264
677465
-7146
2762350
(-5.7)
(-2.4)
(7.5)
Q3
(6.3)
(3.3)
(9.7)
(5.4)
(12.4)
(-4.3)
(-0.6)
(7.6)
1618333
269808
853858
48547
42192
-59076
579684
638760
78020
2851682
Q4
(8.2)
(3.0)
(1.2)
(7.7)
(13.5)
(-8.9)
(-6.4)
(7.2)
1666888
230308
886147
55448
45549
-15520
613471
628991
143210
3012029
(8.3)
(2.9)
(-1.9)
(5.6)
(-17.2)
(-1.9)
(-1.6)
(7.9)
Q3
Current account
Merchandise
Invisibles
Services
of which: Software services
Transfers
of which: Private
Income
Capital account
of which: Foreign investment
Overall balance
-7721
-38635
30913
19982
17844
16428
16521
-5497
22864
13194
13182
Q1
-645
-31560
30916
20116
18625
16425
16600
-5625
30023
22993
30149
201516 ($ mn)
Q2
-6147
-34181
28035
17750
17556
16153
16267
-5868
18595
10308
11430
-8748
-37425
28677
17897
18029
16263
16421
-5483
8576
3198
-856
201415 (` bn)
Q3
Q3
Q4
-7081
-34004
26923
18083
18418
15250
15305
-6409
10536
10576
4056
-478 [-1.5]
-2393
1915
1238
1105
1017
1023
-340
1416 [4.5]
817
816 [2.6]
201516 (` bn)
Q2
Q1
-40 [-0.1]
-1964
1924
1252
1159
1022
1033
-350
1869 [5.6]
1431
1876 [5.7]
-390 [-1.2]
-2,170
1,779
1,127
1,114
1,025
1,033
-372
1,180 [3.7]
640
725 [2.3]
Q3
-568 [-1.7]
-2432
1863
1163
1171
1057
1067
-356
557 [1.7]
427
-56 [-0.2]
-467 [-1.3]
-2242
1775
1192
1214
1005
1009
-423
695 [2.0]
697
267 [0.8]
` crore
$ mn
Variation
27 May
2016
29 May
2015
31 Mar
2016
2252530
337725
2112100
331837
2229020
337605
Over
Month
Over
Year
-1740
-2810
169170
8427
101700
10528
Monetary Aggregates
` crore
Outstanding
2016
Over Month
11901380
20090 (0.2)
Over Year
201516
1120660 (10.4)
201314
247040 (2.1)
1127560 (13.4)
251570
16769
201415
201516
322660
40486
218620
16297
Financial Year
201415
1032790 (10.9)
201516
1104170 (10.5)
(1.4)
(-6.4)
(0.7)
(-5.0)
216170
71910
829170
3410
(14.8)
(8.2)
(9.8)
(34.8)
75750
-12980
172580
-4810
(5.5)
(-1.5)
(2.1)
(-32.9)
80000
-46460
215740
-2250
(5.0)
(-4.7)
(2.4)
(-14.6)
104760
58760
965330
-1270
(9.2)
(7.8)
(14.9)
(-39.2)
140360
79650
800150
12630
(11.3)
(9.8)
(10.7)
(641.1)
211920
105390
786010
850
(15.3)
(11.8)
(9.5)
(5.8)
3503560
7788560
2510370
1923020
2156010
-40280
-5590
16100
-49860
-1670
(-1.1)
(-0.1)
(0.6)
(-2.5)
(-0.1)
328030
686960
148980
45660
238920
(10.3)
(9.7)
(6.3)
(2.4)
(12.5)
168130
58970
110740
107420
-11380
(5.6)
(0.8)
(4.9)
(6.1)
(-0.6)
262530
-33350
19670
1810
-24730
(8.1)
(-0.4)
(0.8)
(0.1)
(-1.1)
335850
777430
287280
275010
217860
(12.4)
(13.7)
(17.6)
(16.8)
(14.4)
-37470
597340
326710
-144130
195720
(-1.2)
(9.3)
(17.0)
(-7.5)
(11.3)
233630
779280
240050
151270
252270
(7.8)
(11.1)
(10.7)
(8.5)
(13.1)
1732990
409720
13300
13110 (0.8)
-14760 (-3.5)
-10 (-0.1)
221300 (14.6)
15610 (4.0)
2020 (17.9)
630130
629620
76600
2407100
21910
979730
13280
14570
-5140
-1680
0
8130
206580
206370
-19160
171960
2110
122570
(2.2)
(2.4)
(-6.3)
(-0.1)
(0.0)
(0.8)
Over Month
(48.8)
(48.8)
(-20.0)
(7.7)
(10.7)
(14.3)
63380 (4.4)
-71450 (-15.3)
-3310 (-22.7)
59030
62210
-106750
107860
370
71890
(16.2)
(17.2)
(-52.7)
(5.1)
(1.9)
(9.2)
26843
8329
3461
8221
167899
Over Year
201516
3 June
2016
82800
-485
23950
-64540
61380
-690
9542990
851600
8691400
63880
392580
2713040
2711450
7253160
7142330
Capital Markets
108086
-14361
Financial Year
201314
1678100
950560
9259520
13200
Outstanding
2016
Aggregate deposits
Demand
Time
Cash in hand
Balance with RBI
Investments
of which: Government securities
Bank credit
of which: Non-food credit
201213
Variation
Financial Year So Far
201617
230550 (2.2)
23510
-54
201112
(0.0)
(1.2)
(1.7)
(1.1)
(-0.9)
-3250
-64140
60900
8080
3060
-28100
-28280
-6530
-26730
(-0.0)
(-7.0)
(0.7)
(14.5)
(0.8)
(-1.0)
(-1.0)
(-0.1)
(-0.4)
Month
Ago
25230
7892
3291
7747
167425
855530
72750
782780
8800
32050
109420
109730
649240
649940
(9.8)
(9.3)
(9.9)
(16.0)
(8.9)
(4.2)
(4.2)
(9.8)
(10.0)
Year
Ago
26837
8231
3402
8135
169360
(8.0)
(9.2)
(12.4)
(9.7)
(9.8)
154180
-15180
169350
1720
-12550
111800
111970
67510
50380
69520 (4.2)
-92110 (-18.4)
-2150 (-13.9)
205140
205060
-227930
23620
0
25560
(48.3)
(48.3)
(-74.8)
(1.0)
(0.0)
(2.7)
Variation
Financial Year So Far
201617
(1.8)
(-1.9)
(2.2)
(3.2)
(-3.4)
(4.5)
(4.5)
(1.0)
(0.8)
215700
-37390
253100
6440
5140
87530
87510
3550
-2040
147240 (11.3)
35860 (8.3)
12630 (644.4)
215160 (14.9)
36270 (7.8)
860 (5.9)
108120
107150
14070
244460
2000
150810
-334180
-336610
145030
324760
2090
-58050
60470
63520
102020
256200
2480
168900
(18.3)
(18.1)
(32.4)
(15.7)
(13.0)
(21.8)
201314
(2.3)
(-4.2)
(3.0)
(11.2)
(1.3)
(3.3)
(3.3)
(0.0)
(-0.0)
201516
Trough
Peak
24674
7656
3193
7546
-
22952
7051
2938
6971
-
26843
8329
3462
8221
-
110090 (9.2)
109020 (34.0)
-1280 (-39.5)
29044
8980
3691
8834
-
955110
51620
903480
5380
34080
206720
207540
733640
731610
(14.1)
(7.8)
(14.8)
(13.3)
(12.1)
(10.3)
(10.4)
(13.9)
(14.2)
201314
22386
6707
2681
6704
149745
(18.8)
(18.1)
(17.2)
(18.0)
(9.9)
(-47.8)
(-48.2)
(0.0)
(18.0)
(12.1)
(-6.9)
Financial Year
201415
827720
80110
747630
7490
56740
279000
278560
542310
546360
(10.7)
(11.2)
(10.7)
(16.3)
(17.9)
(12.6)
(12.6)
(9.0)
(9.3)
27957
8607
3538
8491
168116
(24.9)
(28.3)
(31.9)
(26.7)
(12.3)
(16.6)
(17.6)
(0.0)
(12.0)
(12.8)
(21.5)
201516
794010
94960
699030
4080
14360
133690
134190
713200
702360
(9.3)
(12.0)
(9.0)
(7.6)
(3.8)
(5.4)
(5.4)
(10.9)
(10.9)
201516
25342
7835
3259
7738
166107
(-9.4)
(-9.0)
(-7.9)
(-8.9)
(-1.2)
* = Cumulative total since November 1992 until period end | Figures in brackets are percentage variations over the specified or over the comparable period of the previous year | (-) = not relevant | - = not available | NS = new series | PE = provisional estimates
Comprehensive current economic statistics with regular weekly updates are available at: http://www.epwrf.in/currentstat.aspx.
EPW
vol LI no 24
131
132
82043
79256
175214
143312
Number
of Trades
Volume
(` Cr)
905382
857216
2053062
1590140
Outright
14404
10079
24701
19144
Number
of Trades
Repo
3297
15627
12679
27444
85542
10736
17533
67691
30780
52385
163853
13651
1006
111722
170094
0
2142
2525
4454
588
3163
0
0
14
2213
157
2844
597
3520
4672
2302
813231
May 2016
vol LI no 24
3178
6160
Trades
EPW
32.48
32.94
< 1 mn
% to Total Trades
May 2016
May 2015
201617*
4.36
4.26
% to Total Value
201516*
42.18
40.83
3.67
3.27
% to Total
Trades
5 Cr
1091745
742405
2051321
1510146
% to Total
Value
0.47
0.42
60.20
57.32
27.28
24.46
3.49
0.32
32.78
1.49
7.17
1.57
10.57
15.04
27.57
100.00
Cooperative Banks
Financial Institutions
Foreign Banks
Insurance Companies
Mutual Funds
Others
Primary Dealers
Private Sector Banks
Public Sector Banks
Total
0.63
0.56
24.03
4.00
13.87
0.00
2.73
10.22
43.97
100.00
Reverse Repo
(Funds Lending)
4.86
1.02
3.44
10.06
47.25
11.96
0.26
4.49
16.66
100.00
Buy
CBLO Lending
392078
290478
727824
625425
b Funds
Net
(` Cr)
86.27
86.69
86.48
85.18
Netting
Factor (%)
>10 Cr<=20 Cr
% to Total
% to Total
Trades
Value
2855684
2182183
5382620
4221292
> 5 Cr <=10 Cr
% to Total
% to Total
Trades
Value
60.87
64.91
61.02
63.09
5818
4488
11277
Trades
7.54
5.53
6.52
% Share
OTC
187443
147397
403065
21.86
16.80
19.91
% Share
71371
76715
161551
Trades
35.68
10.00
0.01
12.62
41.70
100.00
Uncollateralised
Money Market
Lending@
18.68
18.95
% to Total Value
12.79
11.90
Value
255249
476584
($ Mn)
789377
766915
1785297
7910
16354
Trades
Outright
561004
1218242
(` Cr)
Forward
10344
7362
22289
12.89
12.70
9.61
9.04
Settlement Period
< 30 Days
% to Total
% to Total
Trades
Value
171419
318349
Trades
Total
92
94
93
Value
($ Mn)
865840
597271
1498858
0.51
0.52
66371
35916
118781
26922
29513
0.71
0.80
57151
45567
140825
128880
a Outright Trades
Treasury
Bills
> 20 Cr
% to Total
% to Total
Trades
Value
813233
796268
1844603
1429477
Central Govt
Dated
34997
15380
67634
31783
State
Govt
726724
399194
1284250
806972
Central Govt
Dated
162853
230236
285307
449800
b Repo
Treasury
Bills
1.27
13.19
27.55
33.41
24.57
100.00
Uncollateralised
Money Market
Borrowing@
10.47
11.55
0.17
0.00
40.08
24.10
35.64
100.00
Forex
45.87
47.97
65.11
80.17
86.12
90.14
May 2016
80.94
88.45
91.92
94.52
May 2015
65.64
80.81
86.46
90.05
201617*
49.10
89.62
45.68
79.36
66.51
88.58
May 2016
62.76
86.80
52.27
86.94
64.21
85.76
May 2015
May 2016
35.33
48.65
58.19
65.84
Period
Top 5
Top 10
Top 15
Top 20
34.23
50.59
59.90
67.50
May 2015
34.03
48.03
57.46
64.96
201617*
Cooperative Banks
Foreign Banks
Public Sector Banks
Private Sector Banks
Mutual Funds
Primary Dealers
Categories
Top 5
Top 10
Top 15
Top 20
33.31
50.16
60.39
67.85
201516*
52.98
88.02
44.65
77.92
65.37
89.99
201617*
82.12
88.13
91.93
94.85
201415*
42634
3757
48081
7645
State
Govt
16829
28710
May 2016
201617*
1621758
2844505
25660
46982
95.46
95.70
190
182
142
157
121
Trades
68.96
70.27
> 1 Year
% to Total
% to Total
Trades
Value
11.24
12.21
> 20 mn
% to Total Trades
% to Total Value
565364
1091971
Gross
($ Mn)
7.28% GS 2019
7.83% GS2018
8.07% GS 2017
8.07% GS 2017 (JUL)
6.35% GS2020
6.59
6.59
6.56
6.59
6.57
7.59% GS 2026
7.88% GS 2030
7.35% GS 2024
8.27% GS 2020
7.59% GS 2029
498
354
344
219
340
Trades
Value
34365
24532
24175
23856
18580
5.43
6.29
5.75
6.50
5.85
Rate
Cash
40.24
37.76
21.91
0.08
0.02
Tom
40.94
35.72
23.27
0.06
0.00
Spot
39.20
35.91
24.58
0.30
0.00
41.44
32.74
25.75
0.07
0.00
Forward
Period
Trades
Spot
Value
971
930
1053
166
Daily Average
Trades
Value
Foreign Banks
Public Sector Banks
Private Sector Banks
Cooperative Banks
Financial Institutions
Category
59111
58539
42326
41534
27859
Value
Security
17696
31725
75634
249419
Total
Number
Volume
of Trades
(` Crore)
Security
867
3015
Term
Number
Volume
of Trades
(` Crore)
1546125
2595087
Overnight
Number
Volume
of Trades
(` Crore)
Period
3.18
3.43
> 10 mn <= 20 mn
% to Total Trades
% to Total Value
1.10
1.08
78.14
83.20
80.09
% Share
2.54
8.26
13.08
0.12
15.01
12.78
3.09
18.86
26.26
100.00
Average
Value
(` Cr)
($ Mn)
329
246
571
7.70
8.20
Sell
CBLO Borrowing
4.99
5.62
Constituent
Trades
Volume
Trades
Repo
670028
730054
1621137
NDS-OM
Value (Rs Cr)
(` Cr)
6796
4809
11827
Proprietary
Trades
Volume
> 5 mn <= 10 mn
% to Total Trades
% to Total Value
82844
180042
Value
($ Mn)
116004
90301
267765
Constituent
Trades
Volume
> 1 mn <= 5 mn
% to Total Trades
% to Total Value
1706473
3177089
(` Cr)
Spot
71699
71894
152925
Proprietary
Trades
Volume
1 mn
Trades
155835
286935
May 2016
May 2015
201617*
Period
Repo
3.28
1.40
0.05
0.00
34.49 25.08
1.44
0.24
6.25
0.00
0.88
3.96
13.33 34.61
13.91 23.81
26.37
10.91
100.00 100.00
Outright
% Share
0.18
0.00
40.12
23.85
35.85
100.00
Forex
20.67
22.25
May 2016
May 2015
201617*
Period
Outright
Category
May 2016
201617*
123523
237598
% to Total Trades
% to Total
Trades
2790287
2115873
5261927
4091295
Gross
(` Cr)
Period
% to Total
Value
81952
52444
76402
54373
a Securities
Net
Netting
(` Cr)
Factor (%)
626
420
588
416
Gross
(` Cr)
2 Netting Factor
Settlement Period
41154
45117
54028
42977
3729
4171
4611
3873
Value
(` Cr)
($ Mn)
Tom
(0.48)
(0.55)
(0.54)
(0.85)
(13.10)
(0.20)
(1.29)
(4.54)
(39.94)
(1.98)
(12.77)
(1.52)
(16.90)
(0.00)
(1.87)
(0.00)
(0.76)
(0.67)
(0.00)
(0.00)
(0.05)
(0.00)
(0.00)
(0.00)
(0.35)
(0.16)
(0.34)
(0.45)
(0.69)
(0.00)
(0.00)
(100)
4496 825331
8900 1583181
Trades
6773
7749
7575
11900
184490
2786
18138
63901
562391
27933
179785
21464
238037
0
26346
0
10749
9402
24
42
730
0
0
4
4905
2188
4801
6371
9660
0
0
1408144
01516
1884905
1258657
3208866
2501155
Volume
(` Cr)
May 2016
39682
21364
1804
Top 5
26.91
27.91
28.36
28.27
May 2015
32479
17675
1709
Top 10
47.15
47.68
48.51
48.25
May 2016
15.93
25.51
26.04
31.94
14.69
11.97
37.84
25.99
5.50
4.58
201516*
74882
40027
1971
Top 15
61.30
63.14
62.43
63.58
May 2015
16.08
25.97
15.19
18.80
10.62
7.79
56.69
46.58
1.43
0.86
201617*
18.55
28.02
25.73
29.92
14.38
12.97
37.17
26.05
4.18
3.04
Top 20
71.90
75.89
72.55
76.03
201415*
65637
35983
302
* Data pertains to April 2016. @: Call and Term Money Segment. (i) Figures in brackets are percentage to total, (ii) Tables 1 to 11 relate to Government Securities Market, (iii) Tables 12 to 14 relate to Money Market, and (iv) Tables 15 to 20 relate to Forex Market. Source: Clearing Corporation of India Limited (CCIL).
Period
May 2016
201617*
Settlement Period
103749
197747
($Mn)
(0.55)
(1.83)
(1.15)
(3.07)
(11.14)
(1.43)
(2.29)
(8.92)
(4.64)
(8.12)
(20.81)
(1.36)
(0.26)
(12.77)
(18.65)
(0.00)
(0.27)
(0.20)
(0.62)
(0.09)
(0.28)
(0.00)
(0.00)
(0.01)
(0.13)
(0.04)
(0.18)
(0.13)
(0.42)
(0.50)
(0.13)
(100)
Value
693532
1317933
(` Cr)
Cash
10193
33752
21191
56616
205450
26390
42305
164519
85564
149768
383827
25174
4863
235548
344028
0
5044
3704
11472
1659
5233
0
0
94
2479
710
3301
2319
7806
9266
2326
1844601
201617
May 2016
201617*
Settlement Period
15 Forex Settlement
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
2036
2037
2038
2039
2040
2041
2042
2043
2044
2045
2055
Total
Year
May 2016
May 2015
201617*
201516*
Settlement
Period
Secondary Market Transactions in Government Securities, Forex Market and Money MarketMay 2016
CURRENT STATISTICS
EPW Research Foundation