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Chapter
14 - The Spanish flu pp. 334-357
Chapter DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/CHO9780511675683.019
Cambridge University Press
14
The Spanish u
anne rasmussen
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3 Extract from a soldiers letter to his marraine (godmother), Archives du contrle postal aux
Armes, Service historique de la Dfense, Vincennes, 16N1397, France, Second Army, 22
RAC, Secteur Postal 173, 10 October 1918, quoted by Frdric Vagneron, Les populations
en guerre face une crise sanitaire: lpidmie de grippe espagnole en France (19181919)
(masters thesis, cole des Hautes tudes en Sciences Sociales, Paris, 2008), p. 123.
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the illness, the demoralisation and stress among soldiers in relation to a home
front destabilised by the u, the slowdown in human circulation, the growing
complexity in the demobilisation process, all occurring at a moment which
was decisive for the outcome of the war.
The history of the Spanish u is not without paradox. From early on
contemporaries registered it as a catastrophe, framed in these terms: The
Spanish u killed more people in four months than the whole of the war.
The oddity is that in the long run it has been little studied by historians: indeed
we can reasonably refer to a burial of the story,4 as there is no doubt that its
signicance was absorbed into the story of the war, with the coincidental timing
of the ending of these two tragic cycles, even though they were not otherwise
comparable. Sometimes the history of the Spanish u is told in this way: it was
the most murderous epidemic since the Black Death of the Middle Ages. But
that story ill tted the heroic tableau of the successes of Western health
and medicine in the twentieth century, credit for which was claimed by doctors
and administrators alike. Another specic character of the story was that in Asia,
where it killed millions, the history of the u left little trace. The dominant
powers wrote the history, which underplayed the story in Asia and focused
on the West where the u was less lethal. Perhaps there are similarities here
with the West too, since the us sudden and ephemeral passage swept briey
through societies without creating lasting communities or social identities, or
at least without creating the traces of such identities in the archives, in contrast
to other epidemic diseases.
If history has failed, and reduced this past to the status of a brief parenthesis
in the story of the war, in return memory has taken over the event. Many
families retain an individual memory and tell the story. Some lived through
prolonged mourning, sharing in the construction of a collective history with a
high emotional charge, made up of the small pieces of ordinary lives.
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The Spanish u
191819. It was the second phase, the most virulent and most deadly, peaking
in a few weeks of OctoberNovember 1918, that formed the health catastrophe in the strict sense of the term. Approximately 90 per cent of the total
numbers of deaths due to the Spanish u occurred over the space of four
months, from August to November 1918.
In the early spring of 1918 American health authorities identied an outbreak of a u-type epidemic in the military training camps for recruits. At
Camp Funston in Kansas the rst signs appeared on 5 March, followed by
alarmed discussion at the end of the month on the pneumonic complications
which followed this u.5 A succession of epidemic waves was soon registered
in the densely occupied barrack accommodation in the central and western
United States, which swept through the civilian population around them. From
April, the u arrived in dierent parts of Europe: in Spain and this is what,
from the spring of 1918, gave the inuenza episode its designation among health
authorities, dening its presumed geographic origin in Europe; in France,
where the rst cases were identied in the army at the beginning of May; in
Germany, Britain and Northern and Eastern Europe, with the exception of
Russia. North Africa, India and China were aected in May, Australia and New
Zealand in June. This rst wave was characterised by the broad geographical
spread of the epidemic, and by its explosive sickness rate. It did register a very
limited mortality at this stage, leading civilians to believe that by July 1918 the
epidemic had come to an end.
The second wave began in the middle of August 1918 and apparently struck
everywhere: in the same week, the ports of Freetown in Sierra Leone, Brest
in France and Boston in the United States were aected. The ames spread
everywhere in August. The American reports related denite outbreaks of
increasing severity.6 In September, Europe as a whole was caught up by it,
including Russia. In September and October the United States again, starting
in the north-east, together with Canada and Latin America, were swept from
coast to coast; from August to November, and in sequence, Africa from north
to south, India, China, Korea, New Zealand; in January 1919, Australia. By this
date, almost all inhabited regions were hit by the Spanish u, apart from some
very localised territories where strict quarantine measures proved eective, as
5 Carol R. Byerly, Fever of War: The Inuenza Epidemic in the U.S. Army during World War I
(New York University Press, 2005).
6 Merritt W. Ireland (ed.), Communicable Diseases, Medical Department of the US Army in
the World War I, vol. ix (Washington DC: US Army, 1928), p. 135. Quoted by John
M. Barry, The Great Inuenza: The Epic Story of the Deadliest Plague in History (New York:
Viking, 2004), p. 181.
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in northern and eastern Iceland.7 The third pandemic wave was less clearly
marked in time, like the symptoms that it presented. Most of the areas aected
in 1918, however, experienced a less virulent re-run of the u during the rst
half of 1919.
Many ocial observers stressed the points made by Captain Vaughan, the
military leader of the Division of Communicable Diseases in Washington DC:
The epidemic of inuenza . . . came into being and grew in violence as the
World War passed through its nal stages.8 The height of the u pandemic
paralleled the climacteric of the war in 1918: the German oensives came in
the spring; the American Expeditionary Force arrived en masse, the decisive
Allied counter-oensive began in the early autumn of 1918.
The pandemic also marked the intense period of the end of the war, the
Armistice and demobilisation, with the repatriation of troops and prisoners,
and the ongoing pursuit of operations in the Eastern theatres of war. The
tragic irony of the story has often been underlined, in which the end of the
war coincided with the peak of the u: in Auckland, New Zealand, it was
given the name of the Armistice epidemic.9 The happiness felt by victorious
populations at the end of the war was absorbed for some in a new grief, which
was symbolised in France by the death of the poet Apollinaire on 9 November,
not as a result of his head wound, but from the banality of u. This is what his
friend Pierre-Albert Birot said: The bells are sounding the end of the war, the
guns have pounded out the end of the war and the victory, and I must write of
the death of Guillaume Apollinaire.10 And so meditations on the u and the
war, and their reciprocal eects, raised questions from contemporaries, before
becoming part of historical debates.
The timing of the u raised questions about the role the war played in
causing or disseminating it, and on its eect on the war eort. The question as
to the source of the epidemic was debated in the summer of 1918, with several
theories in competition. First, each belligerent camp rejected responsibility
for the outbreak of the epidemic, just as each had rejected responsibility for
7 David K. Patterson and Gerald F. Pyle, The geography and mortality of the 1918 inuenza
pandemic, Bulletin of the History of Medicine, 65 (1991), pp. 421; Howard Phillips and
David Killingray (eds.), The Spanish Inuenza Pandemic of 19181919: New Perspectives
(London: Routledge, 2003).
8 Victor C. Vaughan, A Doctors Memories (Indianapolis, IN: Bobbs-Merrill Co., 1926), p. 4289,
quoted in Byerly, Fever of War, p. 69.
9 Georey W. Rice, Black November: The 1918 Inuenza Pandemic in New Zealand
(Christchurch: Canterbury University Press, 2005).
10 Pierre Albert-Birot, SIC, 34 (November 1918), quoted by Annette Becker, Apollinaire: une
biographie de guerre (Paris: Tallandier, 2009), p. 213.
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The Spanish u
the outbreak of the war in 1914. The accusations, which came from several
sources, were predictable. The Allied press echoed suspicions of the German
origins of the u: the epidemic came from the north-east, like other bad
things.11 On the one hand, it was based on the classic experience of epidemics
in the West which, from medieval times, had accompanied troops in the
wake of wars and circulated from east to west, and especially from the East,
which was known as the reservoir of plagues. On the other hand, the health of
enemy troops was always suspected of weakness. In citations supposedly
from the German press, many articles in the Allied press stressed that the
microbe had been found among the Germans in a region that was exceptionally weakened by hunger and privation, and thus constituted the Trojan Horse
for the u to enter Europe: A new sickness is raging among the Germans: it is
the oedema of the war. It begins with a general weakening, a drop in temperature [sic]. This illness is said to be caused by the lack of dietary fats.12 The
dreadful hygiene conditions in prison camps supposedly added to this, providing additional vectors to introduce the u to the prisoners home countries
when they were repatriated. The rst news reports in the medical press on the
inuenza epidemic that reached France in August linked it to the epidemic
raging in Switzerland, which was the country of transit for French prisoners
repatriated from Germany for medical reasons.13 The theory of the enemy
origin of the u thus developed as part of war cultures which informed the
construction of a negative view of the enemy. The epidemic was understood
as a weapon at the heart of the enemys arsenal, whose devastating mechanisms grew from the enemys strategy: the sickness is not only fearful in its
virulence, but is the more so in its insidious and treacherous nature.14
This accusation was not only metaphorical. The fear of bacteriological
warfare, given credibility by gas warfare since 1915, and the enemys supposed
intention to poison the water supply or the air with a virus which replayed
the ancestral theme of poisoned wells at times of epidemics of plague or
cholera fed the rumours and articles in the popular press. Accusations of the
criminal corruption of milk ourished, or contamination of the air by using
the vectors of gas warfare accusations that could coexist with a medical
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discourse which conjured up images of microbial contagion, in full postPasteurian form, but still did not invalidate the rumours.
The second theory among contemporaries on the geographic origins of
the u, the one which gave it the name of Spanish, also concerned the state
of war. Although in the nations at war health information, which was particularly sensitive, came under the censors control, it could circulate freely in
Spain, a neutral country where the u explosion had been spectacular in the
spring of 1918: 8 million people were aected, including King Alphonso XIII
himself. In Madrid the weekly gures for deaths tripled in May.15
The health authorities in every country understood very quickly that Spain
was not the cradle of the sickness, but this did not destroy the success of
its popular name. The u remained the Spanish Lady in many countries, a
formula adding a female metaphor to the thesis of national origin, according
to a classic representation of the plagues aecting humanity, but this time in
the course of a war which threatened primarily men.
The third hypothesis, developed in the spring of 1918, was that the infection
had come from the United States to Europe in the ships of the American
Expeditionary Force. This appeared to be conrmed by the coincidence that
these troops reached Europe at the same time as the epidemic hit: 80,000
soldiers of the AEF crossed the Atlantic in March 1918, and in April 1918 the
rst European cases were reported in the French port of Bordeaux and then
Saint-Nazaire. From May, 200,000250,000 American troops were landing in
Europe each month. In August the port of Brest, the bridgehead for the arrival
of American troops, was also one of the starting points for the second wave of
u to hit France.
None of these hypotheses is established today as the authoritative one to
account for the outbreak of the Spanish u. Without being able to settle a
debate which remains open among epidemiologists and virologists, multiple
theories are still advanced, derived from epidemiological research on the
sources of the u virus. Some defend an oriental theory, with China, and
particularly Canton, as the seat of the virus in early 1918, based on specic
conditions relating to a reservoir of animal viruses and of population densities.
Here too, the link was made with the war which brought Chinese workers to
Europe, making them vectors of the epidemic. Other scientists, now the most
numerous, hold to the theory of North American origin, through the rapid
diusion in the spring of 1918 of a u virus which aected nearly 200,000 young
men across the United States. They came from rural backgrounds, with less
15 Jorge, La grippe, p. 356.
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Entire military units might be put out of action without warning. Between
1 June and 1 August, for example, the British command recorded the temporary
incapacity, because of the u, of 1.2 million of the 2 million present on French
territory.
In each of the belligerent camps, the question of the role of the epidemic in
the war was interpreted dierently. In the case of the victorious nations, the
general attitude at Headquarters was that the u had not aected the course
of the war. In the session of the Health Commission of the Allied Nations,
which was held immediately after the war, the Allied authorities conrmed,
for example, that thanks to the international health eorts and the quality of
Allied health services, the health of the troops has not suered attacks capable
of diminishing their ghting value, despite the sometimes extremely dicult
circumstances.17 In contrast, German authorities, such as Ludendor, writing
after the events, invoked the theory that the u, an external factor over which
the army had no control, played a role in its defeat: thus more than 900,000
German soldiers with u would have been missing from the spring oensive
of 1918.18
Historians have hesitated before re-evaluating the eects of the epidemic
on military operations for lack of convincing data and at the risk of creating a
link that never existed. When they did make the venture, it was to suggest
that it may have played a determining role in the Peace Conference. President
Wilson contracted severe u and may have been suering the consequences
in the form of a serious post-u depression at a decisive moment in the
negotiations.19 These attempts to give the u a strategic role have been treated
by many historians with considerable scepticism.
More attention has been paid to the way the Spanish u tted into the
cultural history of the Great War. The Spanish u was one of those representations of wartime phenomena that circulated widely, however inaccurate
it was. In eect, this kind of danger tted into a public information sphere
saturated with rumours and false news, as analysed by Marc Bloch.20 The u
deed common sense: why did it attack healthy young adults with greatest
17 Health Commission of the Allied Nations, March 1919 session. Archives du Service de
sant des armes, Paris, Val de Grce, box 589.
18 Erich Ludendor, Ludendors Own Story, August 1914November 1918 (New York:
Harper & Brothers, 1919), vol. ii, p. 277.
19 Alfred W. Crosby, Epidemic and Peace, 1918 (Westport, CT: Greenwood Press, 1976).
20 Marc Bloch, Rexions dun historien sur les fausses nouvelles de la guerre, Revue de
synthse historique, 33 (1921), pp. 1335.
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These rumours imputed to the political authorities and the military command
an intention to mislead people cleverly, in line with the eye-wash attributed to
most propaganda. In Germany, for example, at the beginning of the summer
of 1918, rumours spread that the illness was not the product of a microbe but
the result of hunger and exhaustion, which the government cleverly minimised
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22 Stephen G. Fritz, Frankfurt, in Fred R. van Hartesveldt (ed.), The 19181919 Pandemic of
Inuenza: The Urban Impact in the Western World (Lewiston, NY: Edwin Mellen Press,
1992), p. 16.
23 Lion Murard and Patrick Zylberman, Lhygine dans la Rpublique (Paris: Fayard, 1996).
24 Jay Winter, The Great War and the British People (Basingstoke: Macmillan, 1985);
Jay Winter, Aspects of the impact of the First World War on infant mortality in
Britain, Journal of European Economic History, 11:3 (1982), pp. 71338.
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The Spanish u
And yet doubts remain as to the linkage of material conditions during the
war with the Spanish u. The states most severely hit by the pandemic, and
those where the mortality was greatest, were not the warring nations. It is
evident that a multi-faceted model causation has to replace any single causal
interpretation in the story of this pandemic.
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One day fty were admitted; the next day, 300, then the daily average became
500; into a 2,000 bed hospital 6,000 patients crowded so that all the space was
lled; three miles of hospital corridors were lined on both sides with cots.29
At the end of September, as reported by Carol Byerly in her study of the u
in the American army, 14,000 cases had been recorded in Camp Devens, or
nearly 28 per cent of the camps population, leading to 757 deaths.
In an entirely dierent geographic and social setting, here is another example: in the French village of Cuttoli, in Corsica, a mobilised doctor on leave
brought his expertise to the civilian population and made this observation in the
autumn of 1918:
A resident of this commune, M.D., went on Saturday to Ajaccio with his
daughter-in-law to seek dental treatment; three days after his return, on
the Monday, a child died, then M.D. succumbed shortly after. The body of
M.D., for family reasons, was not buried as quickly as usual; a close relative
was awaited, he came, the con was opened, people rushed to the corpse
for a nal embrace, nine members of the family caught the infectious u
and succumbed. A particular detail, on the very day of M.D.s funeral a
conrmation service took place in the church where the dead mans body
had rested for around an hour and a half. The faithful went in front of Mgr the
Bishop then returned together into the church to take part in two religious
ceremonies. A few days later, 250 people were attacked by broncho-pneumonia
and took to their beds, then 450 out of a population of 1,100 inhabitants, nally
600 cases were recorded with 54 deaths. The epidemic is still today in full
expansion.30
29 Jane G. Malloy, Personal accounts of conditions in camps, Record Group 112, National
Archives and Records Administration, quoted in Mary T. Sarnecky, A History of the US
Army Nurse Corps (Philadelphia: University of Pennsylvania Press, 1999), p. 121.
30 Report of doctor in chief 1st class Monart, assistant director of the Health Service in the
Fifteenth Region, Archives du Service de Sant des Armes, Val de Grce, Paris, box 814,
dossier 3.
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The Spanish u
epidemic of 188990, the rst u pandemic in the modern epoch of rail and
steam transport. In particular, the bacteriologists tried to locate in the u of
1918 the presumed bacillus of this earlier epidemic, Haemophilus inuenzae,
which Pfeier, a pupil of Koch, claimed to have identied after 1892 in the
sputum of u suerers.
The competing theory considered the 1918 u to be a specic illness, a
morbid entity caused by a still unknown germ not yet brought to light. The
scientic controversy was lively, and fed by a proliferation of experiments
carried out on u victims in hospitals and laboratories, some of which contradicted the presence of the Pfeier bacillus while others dened it specically
as the Spanish u. The thesis of Haemophilus inuenzae was confounded by the
evidence of an invisible pathogenic, or ultra-microscopic agent, according
to the parallel studies from the Pasteur Institute by Nicolle and Lebailly in
Tunis and Dujarric de la Rivire in Paris. In the autumn of 1918 their
conclusion that it was a ltering virus became the dominant theory accounting for the aetiology of the u. Yet no one could isolate the germ, and these
researches therefore led to no therapeutic advance: evidence of the viral
nature of the u would not nally emerge until the 1930s.
No therapeutic treatment emerged before an understanding of the aetiology of the disease arrived more than a decade after the Spanish u had faded
away. While it was rampant, scepticism reigned, as one doctor emphasised:
There can be no question of a specic medication, since the infectious agent
responsible is still unknown; also, many doctors remain sceptical because
they know that light u infections cure spontaneously and that, among the
more serious cases, some get better without anyone being able to attribute to
the treatment given a decisive inuence on the favourable outcome of the
illness.32
Such uncertainty did not, however, dispense with the need for intervention.
At the least, the steps taken were preventive, as administered by the army as
the main resource for the soldiers: They gave us tea, brandy, two doses of
quinine to take each day, gargles and inhalations of menthol, and despite
that, the epidemic continues.33 Thus the medical corps looked to traditional
remedies to treat the symptoms: fever-reducing medication such as quinine,
disinfection for the nasal and catarrhal passages such as menthol and eucalyptus, or methods of any kind from the old medicine chest, such as bleeding.
32 G. Lyon, Les traitements nouveaux de la grippe, La Presse Mdicale, 1 May 1919, p. 236.
33 French soldier, from the archives of the postal censorship service, quoted by Bruno Cabanes,
La victoire endeuille: la sortie de guerre des soldats franais (19181920) (Paris: Seuil, 2004), p. 32.
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The Spanish u
The trauma of the u was all the more vivid because it happened against the
backdrop of the slaughter in the last months of the war, and when there was
still a ban on families recovering their dead relatives and returning them to
their villages and towns for reburial. Some saw this time as one of the loss of
rituals of separation and bereavement, a kind of decivilisation, as a result of
mass death.
Disorganisation also aected the economic and social fabric of societies hit
by the u. At the peak of the crisis, which diered in dierent countries, and in
waves in spring and autumn, paralysis threatened public services and industrial activity in cities, although without ever entirely interrupting all normal
life. In July 1918, for example, at Frankfurt in Germany, one-third to one-half of
workers were recorded as absent from the public service sectors, transport
and munitions factories.36 The disorganisation of activities aected the
medical and hospital sector: although furniture was requisitioned to improvise
new hospital centres, the sta were lacking; many were ill with the u. Nurses
were particularly hard hit by the epidemic, and in emergency situations the
general stas authorised their medical personnel to treat civilians.
In this context, how did the politics of public health respond? They cannot
be generalised for the nations at war as a whole, which managed the crisis in
various ways, but it is possible to dene the main patterns in the autumn of 1918.
At the level of primary care, the initial instructions stated that the u epidemic,
with its broncho-pulmonary complications, called for the same measures as
used in the case of other contagious diseases. The master-word was for the rapid
and strict isolation of u patients, based on personal protection. A pathological
model was used as reference: that of measles, an everyday disease that aected
military communities. However, hospital isolation was soon seen to be inadequate, the hospital being in its turn a possible seat of epidemic: new isolation
quarters had to be set up. At the highest point of the autumnal wave of the u,
the measures were strengthened: the separation of u patients from healthy
individuals was no longer enough; simple u cases had to be separated from
severe cases. To isolate and neutralise the coughing individual, there had to be
intervention on the surrounding microbial atmosphere. Further than a distance of 1.50 metres the danger of the contagion diminished. This calculation
served as the foundation for the spacing of beds and for reducing the pressure
on hospital sta. Ideally, the wearing of gauze masks was recommended, but
the measure was applied very variably according to nation: hardly at all in
France or New Zealand, but generally in Australia and the United States.
36 Fritz, Frankfurt, p. 16.
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The second order of the day was that of disinfection, collective and individual. It concerned rst the environment: the disinfection of buildings, linen and
bedding, even the decontamination of public places by sprinkling antiseptics in
schools and theatres. Thus generalised hygienic measures of cleansing became a
priority for the military general stas. The prescription also included individual
measures of disinfection, with preventive antisepsis of the mouth and nasopharyngeal passages.
The third order of the day invited intervention in circumstances that may
have helped spread the u or a predisposition to it: the delivery of hot drinks
such as tea, alcohol, overeating, an improved diet and increased bread rations,
overdone domestic heating and so on. None of these had the slightest basis in
medical knowledge, but constituted an irrelevant but real sign that something
was being done.
The management of the epidemic had its eect on patterns of general
medical care. There was a shift away from isolation, a traditional measure in
the face of contagion and in conjunction with contemporary bacteriological
knowledge on the u, to measures that focused on other modes of transmission.
As Ricardo Jorge noted in his testimony to the Interallied Sanitary Commission
of 1919, isolation, the ordinary weapon for overcoming contagious illness, is
inoperative before the violence of a virus which spreads instantaneously across
an entire city and jumps over all barriers.37 The concept of disinfection tted
in with miasma theories, which pointed to the need to act on the environment
that mediated interpersonal contagion. The concept of favourable circumstances echoed the formulation of theories which took note of the setting, and
not only the causal agent at work. Yet this was not only the reactivation of old
nineteenth-century theories, it was a true renewal of responses to fresh questions posed by the u, and notably that of its extremely rapid diusion, its
pattern of contagion through the respiratory tract, and its puzzling relation to
germ carriers. Some people who did not suer from the outward signs of
the u spontaneously seemed to contract other illnesses, like cerebro-spinal
meningitis or Encephalitis lethargica. The emergence of the latter new epidemic
disease, also known as Von Economos disease, from the name of the Austrian
scientist who described it, reinforced the enigmatic nature of the u phenomenon. Encephalitis lethargica or sleeping sickness, which appeared in Central
Europe in 191516, then spread in France and the United States in 1917, caused
a wave of deaths and provoked serious neurological outcomes for those
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who emerged from it. It disappeared denitively in 1926 after causing nearly
500,000 deaths, without any answer being found to the question of whether it
had any causal link with the u epidemic.
The majority of civilian and military authorities rejected any policy of cordon
sanitaire, although this had been the classic model for managing epidemics
since the cholera years: there was no closure of frontiers, except in rare cases
such as Portugal which was isolated by land from the rest of Europe by a cordon
sanitaire, or again in American-controlled Eastern Samoa, which applied a strict
quarantine (unlike the western part of the archipelago, taken from Germany
by New Zealand at the beginning of the war). The Australian state of South
Australia did the same.
Measures of quarantine used in the case of the great pestilential diseases, or
health passports and medical surveillance of immigrants after their arrival,
were also disregarded. This deliberate decision arose out of military considerations. At this strategic moment it was impossible to limit human circulation. But there was also a sea-change in representations of the contagion.
Images of pandemic illnesses, derived from the Western experience of epidemics, and understood in terms of exotic pests arriving from elsewhere, gave
way to the perception of epidemics as constituting a threat which lay close at
hand and operated internally. In 1921 the British Minister of Health expressed
this new attitude clearly. The Spanish u, he said, is largely an internal problem
of each nation; there is no question of shutting the wolf out of the sheepfold,
he has been regularly lying down with the lamb for years.38
Each nation saw the u as a problem of its internal public health regime.
And each gave priority to the preservation of the rhythms of domestic social
and economic life, to the detriment of authoritarian measures restricting
circulation or extra-domestic activity. In Germany there was a prohibition
on meetings and entertainment in Frankfurt on 19 October, but it was lifted
on 1 November. Most often, when these restrictive measures were adopted,
they were short-lived and limited in scope. The sanitary authorities also often
recognised their uselessness: Once on the road to prohibitions, we would
not know when or how to stop: behind establishments of entertainment
there were cafs, churches, public transport, markets, oces, shops, factories.
38 Ministry of Health (GB), Report on the Pandemic of Inuenza, 191819, Reports on Public
Health and Medical Subjects 4 (London: HMSO, 1920), p. 39, quoted by Andrew
J. Mendelsohn, From eradication to equilibrium: how epidemics became complex
after World War I, in C. Lawrence and G. Weisz (eds.), Greater than the Part: Holism
in Biomedicine 19201950 (Oxford University Press, 1998), p. 312.
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anne rasmussen
Social and economic life must not be stopped, nor even hindered in any of its
forms.39
The military leadership focused on the need to maintain troop numbers and
their preservation in a t state to ght. Inevitably struggles, sometimes quite
severe, ensued between the hygiene sections of the armys health services and
the general sta. The two bodies priorities were at odds, though both were
committed to the preservation of the troops health. After the war Vaughan,
one of the eminent representatives of American military health, denounced
what he termed insane army procedures:
How many lives were sacriced I can not estimate . . . The dangers in the
steps followed in mobilization [were] pointed out to the proper authorities
before there was any assembly [of new recruits], but the answer was: the
purpose of mobilization is to convert civilians into trained soldiers as quickly
as possible and not to make a demonstration in preventive medicine.40
The refusal to delay troop crossings in infected ships became the symbol for
the disregard by the general stas for the health of their men. In France the
High Command defended the maintenance of leave periods at any cost, against
the will of the health service, even at the height of the epidemic, although it was
known that men on leave were a major vector for the spread of the virus and
the contamination of civilian populations. Leave came rst. To be sure, there
were cross-currents here, and we see other facets of military decision-making
which were not indierent to the health of the soldiers, or to that of the civilians
suering the pandemic as well. The armies could not ignore the individual
choice citizen-soldiers made over what concerned their own bodies.
What demographic table can be drawn up for the pandemic? Uncertainty has
been the rule for estimates of the total number of victims. In the 1920s, the
gures of Edwin Jordan at the University of Chicago were long regarded as
authoritative:41 he estimated the number of dead over the full duration of the
epidemic at 21.6 million, related to a world population which the United Nations
estimates at 1,811 million inhabitants. According to the estimates of Burnet
and Clark, in their table of 1942,42 25 per cent of the population of Europe and
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The Spanish u
the United States contracted u without complications, and another 5 per cent
a severe u which caused a mortality rate of 0.50.6 per cent.
Since the 1990s, the gures have been constantly revised upwards through
the reassessment of data on regions of the world which in 1918 were the least
well known statistically: African and Asian colonies, Russia, China, India, Latin
America.43 On the statistical level, the evaluation of u mortality posed
problems for the health authorities even in the most advanced countries in
1918. Should the pneumonic complications be counted under the heading of
u mortality? The statistical question was rendered all the more complex in
that, in most of the countries with a system of public health reporting, the
u was not among those diseases requiring medical notication. Furthermore,
a large part of the civilian population escaped any medicalisation, taking into
account the briefness of the illness. Everything seemed to contribute to an
underestimate of pandemic u mortality. In 1991, Patterson and Pyle constructed an estimate of 3040 million deaths.44 Using the Jordan data from the
1920s, they recalculated the gures for China, estimated at between 4 and
9.5 million victims, and the Indian gure of 1718 million deaths, which
together constituted nearly half of the total gure. Ten years later a new
table, established by Johnson and Mller, founded on estimates of excess
deaths resulting from the u, spectacularly proposed a new threshold for the
estimate of the demographic catastrophe, putting forward the hypothesis of
a mortality rate of 2.55.0 per cent of the world population: in other words a
global total of between 50 and 100 million deaths.45
For the societies at war, Patterson and Pyle established a table of 550,000
deaths in the United States (5.2 per thousand), 50,000 in Canada, 13,000 in
Australia, 6,000 in New Zealand, 2.2 million deaths in Europe (4.8 per thousand),
which broke down notably into: 325,000350,000 in Italy, 240,000 in France,
235,000 for the United Kingdom as a whole, between 250,000 and 300,000 in
Germany, 124,000 in Austria-Hungary and 450,000 in Russia.46 These gures do
not enable us to estimate pandemic morbidity and the impact which it had on
families. Nor do they rigorously estimate the morbidity or mortality of men on
active service. To take two examples: in France the best estimate of mortality
43 Patterson and Pyle, The geography and mortality of the 1918 inuenza pandemic,
pp. 421; Niall P. A. S. Johnson and Jrgen Mller, Updating the accounts: global mortality
of the 19181920 Spanish inuenza pandemic, Bulletin of the History of Medicine, 76 (2002),
pp. 10515.
44 Patterson and Pyle, The geography.
45 Johnson and Mller, Updating the accounts.
46 Patterson and Pyle, The geography.
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anne rasmussen
is that it represented 1.0 per cent of soldiers, or 33,300 deaths in the army, while
one man in 67 (or 1.4 per cent) died of the u in the American army. The wisest
course is to treat these data with some scepticism and only accept global
estimates with a substantial margin of error.
Epilogue
From its rst appearance in 1918, the epidemic refused to t in with the story
of the success of the health services victory over the epidemics of war. In
fact, the suddenness of the u attack was a test of the sanitary triumphalism
which, during the war itself, had established the laboratory as the driving
force leading to victory over infectious disease. Taking the war as a whole, and
pre-u health conditions, for the rst time in history illnesses in wartime did
not kill more than repower. The Great War had on the contrary seen major
progress in the control of wartime disease. The symbol of this success was
the eectiveness of the systematic campaign of vaccination of soldiers against
typhoid on the Western Front, and to which was attributed the quasidisappearance of an epidemic which had been raging in 1914.
When the u emerged, therefore, the health services tried to deny that
the pandemic had any connection with the war or their management of it.
Lon Bernard, a senior gure in hygiene in France in the interwar years,
claimed that during the conict menaces [the great pathological plagues] did
not appear, the deadly onslaught was arrested, contained and, as it were,
strangled.47 He clearly dissociated the u from the overall health situation. In
the 1920s, however, the health and hygiene authorities published statistics
on the epidemic, with the aim of drawing lessons for the next outbreak. To
them, the struggle against u was recognised as a setback in health policies
and as a sign of medical impotence. This paradoxically reinforced the need for
even greater vigilance in public health work against other killer diseases. The
u faded from the foreground of epidemiological preoccupations between
the wars. The new health institutions of the League of Nations made typhus,
tuberculosis and malnutrition the most urgent priorities.
The pandemic of 1918 was not without consequences, though. What contemporaries understood to be the defective management of the u epidemic
helped provide political urgency to the creation of a series of central institutions of health notably the Ministry of Health in Britain (1919) and the
47 Lon Bernard, La dfense de la sant publique pendant la guerre (Paris: Presses Universitaires
de France, 1929).
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The Spanish u
Ministry of Hygiene in France (1920). Nations at war could not aord the
incessant struggles between authorities in dierent ministries who had no
direct responsibility for public health, but who had a vital interest in it, like the
ministries of the Interior and of War.
In the medical domain the u pandemic, with its virus which spread so
rapidly and which was so hard to treat, added an argument many deployed to
revise the mono-causal bacteriological model of a single pathogenic agent of
infectious diseases. It made sense after 1919 to take account of the multiple
factors of their life histories, including war and its eect on the complex
ecosystem of the societies they aicted.
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