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ShorterNotices
The Music Industry: the End of Vinyl? By tion of video recorders(p.7) gives both the
John Qualen. London: Comedia, 1985. number of recordersand the percentage of
37 pp. households having one. For Indonesia, the
numberofvideo recordersis givenas 280,000
This slim volume is part of a 'media and and penetrationas 19.3 per cent in 1984. As
communications industry profile series'. Indonesia has over a hundredmillioninhabi-
Other studies in the series cover television, tants, one of these figureshas to be wrong.
film, electronic publishing, marketing re- The percentage could be based on the
search and othersimilartopics. The focus of number of households in certain income
TheMusic Industryis thus on industryrather classes, but there is no indication of this.
than music. Nevertheless,forreaderswhose There are othersimilardiscrepanciesin this
main interestis music, the book is a useful table.
reminderof the realitiesof the music busi- The figures for video recorders are
ness. given for more than fortycountries. Sales
The record industry has obviously figuresforrecords and pre-recordedcasset-
reached a watershed.Aftertheboom yearsof tes are given for fourteen countries only,
the 1970s, sales have come to a standstillor although theyare easily available fordouble
even declinedin some countries.A historical- that number. No figures are given on the
ly-orientatedcommentatormightpoint out sales of blank audio cassettes. The musico-
thatsales are stillfarabove thelevels of 1970, logist might also be interestedin a more
but this would offerlittleconsolation to the detailed analysis of productioncosts and the
industryexecutiveresponsibleforthebottom creative process in the industry. Qualen,
line. At the same timethe industryis rapidly however,passes thisoverlightlyand concen-
changing, as music videos and the compact trateson the developmentofrecorddistribu-
disc pointtheway to a distantfuturein which tion and retailingin the UK.
the music industrysells rightsratherthan At firstsightthismightappear to be of
records- hence 'the end of vinyl'. slight interest to the student of music.
Qualen startswitha briefsurveyofthe Nevertheless,thecase studyoftheLightning
Britishrecordingindustryand the interna- group of companies quickly convinces the
tional scene. Most of the informationwill be reader that record distributionand retailing
familiarto readers of the trade press. UK indeed have a decisive influence on the
sales started declining in 1975, and only development of the recordingindustryand,
during the past few years have they risen in turn,on the productionofpopular music.
again. Industryprofitability has followed a Qualen also presents case studies of
similar curve. Qualen presents statisticson the proposed WCI-Polygrammerger,illus-
sales, production costs, marketshares, and tratingthe role of the multinationalsin the
the penetrationof video recorders. music business, and of the industry'scam-
This is a good startingpoint,but some paign againsthome taping.As he pointsout,
ofthefigurescall fora morecriticalapproach. the industry's estimates of the effectsof
Although the statisticscome from reliable home-taping on record sales appear to be
sources such as BPI (British Phonograph somewhat unrealistic.However, home-tap-
IndustryLtd) and IFPI (InternationalFedera- ing has unquestionablybecome an important
tion of Phonogram and Videogram Produc- formofthe consumptionof music,and a few
ers), the music industryis notoriouslydif- European countrieshave already imposed a
ficult to pin down on numbers. In some levy or tax on the sale of blank audio
countriessales figuresinclude IFPI member cassettes, as suggested by the industry.
companies only, while other figures are This illustratesa trendwhich is central
estimates of total sales. Without knowing to Qualen's predictionof the futureof the
how the figureshave been compiled in each recording industry. He sees the industry
case, one has to be prepared fora marginof movinggraduallyfromthe sale ofrecordings
error. as physical objects towards the exploitation
Some of Qualen's figures are quite of copyrights,collectingrevenue fromthe
obviously wrong. The table of the penetra- use ofmusicon radio,television,satelliteand
122
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Shorter
notices 123
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