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Frmula Simbologia
a y b= Coeficientes de regresin
ecuaciones normales a=origen b= pendiente
x=Predictor, variable en base a la cual se
y=na+bx desea
estimar "y"
n=Nmero de pares ordenados de las
xy=ax+b X2 variables
Y= Predictando
(Y-Yc)2=mnima
(Y-Yc)=0

2
AOS N Y X X XY Yc=a+bx
2006 1 20000 0 0 0 18536.36
2007 2 18000 1 1 18000 19306.06
2008 3 19000 2 4 38000 20075.76
2009 4 21000 3 9 63000 20845.45
2010 5 22500 4 16 90000 21615.15
2011 6 23000 5 25 115000 22384.85
2012 7 22000 6 36 132000 23154.55
2013 8 24000 7 49 168000 23924.24
2014 9 25000 8 64 200000 24693.94
2015 10 25500 9 81 229500 25463.64
26233.33VENTA
220000 45 285 1053500 S 2016

y=na+b
x
xy=ax+b X2
=10(a)
220000 +b(45)
=45(a)
1053500 +b(285) X2/x
285/4 6.333333
5 33
1053500/- 1663
6.333 = 42
7.105
45/-6.333 = 3
285/-6.333 = 45

=10(a)
220000 +b(45)
=7.1053(
166342.1053 a)+b(45)
53657.89474 2.894736842 (a)

53657.89474/2.89473684=
a
18536.36364 =a

220000 =10*18536.36364+b*45
220000= 185363.6364 + b*45
220000-185363.6364=b*45
34636.36364 =b*45
34636.36364/45 =b
769.6969697 =b

Yc=a+bx
Yc= 18536.36364+769.6969697*10
18536.36364
+ 7696.969697
26233.33333 =Yc calculo para ao 2016

AO
S N Y X X XY Yc=a+bx
200
7 1 18000 0 0 0 18770.61
200
8 2 19000 1 1 19000 19633.51
200
9 3 21000 2 4 42000 20496.42
201
0 4 22500 3 9 67500 21359.32
201
1 5 23000 4 16 92000 22222.22
201
2 6 22000 5 25 110000 23085.13
201
3 7 24000 6 36 144000 23948.03
201
4 8 25000 7 49 175000 24810.93
201
5 9 25500 8 64 204000 25673.84
ventas
200000 36 206 853500 26536.74 2016

y=na+
bx
xy=ax+b X2
=9*a+b*
200000 36
=36*a+b
853500 *206 X2/x
5.722222
22
853500/5.72 149155.33
222 98
6.2912621
36/5.72222 36
206/5.72222 36
=9*a+b*
200000 36
=-6.291262136*a+
- 149155.3398 b*-36
2.7087378
50844.66019 64 *a+0

50844.66/2.708737864=
a
18770.60932 =a

200000
=9*18770.60932+b
*36
168935.48
200000= 39 +b*36
200000-
168935.4839=b*36
31064.51613 =b*36
31064.51613/36= b
862.9032258 =b

Yc=a+bx
18770.60932 +862.9032258*9
18770.6093 7766.1290
+ 32
26536.73835 ventas calculadas para el ao
2016