CCNHS SENIOR HIGH SCHOOL GRADE Stra

DAILY School Grade level

DEPARTMENT 11 nd
LESSON LOG Learning STATISTICS AND
Teacher ENGR. CESAR M. DEL ROSARIO JR.
Area PROBABILITY
STATISTICS &
Teaching Dates and NOVEMBER 7 - Tim
PROBABILITY Quarter THIRD
Time 11,2016 : M-Th e

I. OBJECTIVES MONDAY TUESDAY WEDNESDAY THURSDAY FRIDAY

A. Content Standards The learner demonstrates understanding of key concepts of random variables and probability distributions.
B. Performance The learner is able to apply an appropriate random variable for a given real-life problem (such as in decision making and
Standards games of chance).
C. Learning At the end of the At the end of the At the end of the lesson, At the end of the lesson,
lesson, the learner the learner must be able the learner must be able
Competencies/ Objectives lesson, the learner must be able to: to: to:
(Write the LC Code for must be able to: 1. compute probabilities
1. find the possible 1. construct the corresponding to a given
values of a random probability mass random variable.
each) 1. illustrate a random variable and function of a discrete
random variable and its
variable (discrete and corresponding
2. illustrate a histogram.
continuous) and probability
2. distinguish between distribution
a
discrete
for a
random
variable
discrete and a continuous and its
properties.
random variable.

M11/12SP-IIIa-1 and -2 M11/12SP-IIIa-5

M11/12SP-IIIa-3 and -4 M11/12SP-IIIa-6

Random Variables Random Variables and

II. CONTENT and Probability Probability
Random Variables and Random Variables and
Probability Distributions Probability Distributions
Distributions Distributions
III. LEARNING
RESOURCES
A. References
1. Teachers Guide pages
2. Learners Materials
pages
3. Textbook pages Elementary Statistics Elementary Statistics Elementary Statistics (8th Elementary Statistics (8th
(8th Ed.) (8th Ed.) Ed.) Ed.)
Step-by-step approach, Step-by-step approach, Step-by-step approach, Step-by-step approach,
pp. 253-259 pp. 253-259 pp. 253-259 pp. 253-259
 4. Additional Materials from
Learning Resource (LR)
portal
B. Other Learning
Resources
IV. PROCEDURES
A. Reviewing previous
lesson or presenting the
new lesson
B. Establishing a purpose
for the lesson
C. Presenting examples/
instances
www.analyzemath.com www.analyzemath.com www.analyzemath.com www.analyzemath.com
Review the concepts Review the concepts Review the concepts
discussed during the discussed during the discussed last meeting
first discussion first discussion
Definitions and Definitions and concepts -Probability distributions and -Compute random variable
concepts of: of: outcomes probabilities
-Variable -Probability -Probability mass function
(pmf)
-Random Variable -Probability Experiment
-pmf histogram
-Discrete Random -Sample Space
Variable -Outcome
-Continuous random
Variable
Examples of discrete Examples of discrete Probability Distribution of Example:
random random tossing a coin three times. The following table lists the
probability distribution of the
number of breakdowns per
variable: variable in probability
week for a machine based on
past data.
1. No. of students experiments:
2. No. of books in a 1. Tossing a fair coin Probability distribution for
library rolling a single dice.
2. Rolling a dice/s
Examples of continuous 3. Drawing cards
random variable:
Graphical presentation of the
probability distribution of Table
1. height Represent graphically the 5.4.
probability distribution for the
2. weight sample space for tossing three
coins.
3. temperature
 4. length or distance

i. The probability of exactly two

breakdowns is
P(exactly 2 breakdowns)=
P(x=22)= .35
histogram ii. The probability of 0 to 2
break downs is given by the
sum of the probabilities of 0, 1,
and 2 breakdowns:
P(0 to 2 breakdowns) = P(0 x
2)

=P(x=0)+P(x=1)+P(x=2)

=.15+.20+.35 = .70
iii. The probability of more than
1 breakdown is obtained by
adding the probabilities of 2
and 3 breakdowns:
P(more than 1 breakdown) = P(x
> 1)
=P(x=2) +
P(x=3)
=.35 + .30
= .65
D. Discussing new Concepts and Concepts and Concepts for Probability Concepts:
definition of terms: definition of terms: Distributions:
concepts and practicing
1. Variable-is a 1. Probability- as a Two Requirements for a
new skills #1 Probability Distribution-
characteristic or general concept can be
From previous lesson, there are
attribute that can defined as the chance of
1. The sum of the probabilities two characteristics or two
assume different an event occurring. of all the events in the sample conditions that a probability
values. 2. Probability space must equal 1; that is, P distribution must satisfy.
2. Random Variable- Experiment- (X) = 1.
is a variable whose is a chance process that 2. The probability of each 1. The first one is: P(x) is
values are determined leads to well-defined event in the sample space between
by chance. results called must be between or equal to 0 0 and 1
3. Discrete Random outcomes. and 1. That is, 0 P(X) 1.
variable- 3. Outcome- is the 3. A probability cannot be a 2. P(x) = 1.0
negative number or greater
 have a finite number of result of a single trial of than 1.
possible values or an a probability experiment. If these are present in the
infinite number of 4. Sample Space - is PMF Formula: table, we can read the
P(x) = 1/b-a+1 for a x b
values that can be the set of all possible probability for any value of
Where:
counted. outcomes of a probability x.
a = first discrete random
4. Continuous experiment. variable
Random Variable- are b = last discrete random
obtained from data that variable
can be measured rather rolling of dice: X=(1,2,3,4,5,6)
than counted. a = 1 and b=6
therefore, PMF: 1/9-1+1 = 1/6
or 0.17
E. Discussing new Situations that Probability experiments Concepts and definition
concepts and practicing illustrates discrete that produces discrete of terms:
new skills #2 random variables: random variables and its 1. Probability Mass
1. Number of pizzas sample spaces: Function-
sold by Pizza Factory or 1. Tossing a coin The function that assigns
Albertos. Number of toss: 1 probability for a discrete
2. Number of bananas Sample space: 2 (H random variable, because it
sold in Rawis Fair and T) shows how much
Market. Number of toss: 2 probability, or mass, is
3. Number of books in Sample space: 4 given to each value of the
the library. random variables.
Situations that (HH,TH,HT,TT) *The total mass (or weight)
illustrates continuous Number of toss: 3 for a probability distribution
random variable: Sample space: 8 is equal to one.
1. Lifetimes (in hours)
of 15 Laptop batteries. 2. Rolling a dice 2. A continuous random
Sample space: 6 variable doesnt actually
2. Weights of the Rolling two dice assign probability or mass,
backpacks of the Senior Sample space: 36 it assigns density, which
High School students 3. Drawing a card means it tells you how
Sample space: 52 dense the probability is
3. Blood pressures of Note: Present these around x for any value of x.
runners who will random variables in a *Continuous random
compete in the EVRAA table. variables have no
marathon probability at any single
point because there is no
area over a single point.
F. Developing mastery Problems: Problems: Problems: Problems:
(Leads to Formative C.R.V. 1. Find the probability of Determine whether each 1. The following table gives
Assessment 2) 1. The amount of milk having a head if a coin is distribution is a probability the probability distribution
in a gallon tossed twice? distribution. of a discrete random
2. The weight of a fish Answer: or 0.75 variable x.
3. The price of a house 2. Find the probability of
4. The time taken to having no head if a coin
commute from home to is tossed twice?
school Answer: or 0.25
5. the length of the 3. Find the probability of
room having an even number
D.R.V. in rolling a dice once?
Find the following
6. The no. of cars sold Answer: 3/6 or 0.50
probabilities.
by Toyota 4. Find the probability of
7. No. of houses in a having a number greater
a. No. It is not a probability a. P(x = 3) b. P(x 2)
city block than 1 in rolling a dice
distribution since P(X)
8. No. of fish caught in once? c. P(x 4) d. P(1 x 4)
cannot be negative or
a fishing trip Answer: 5/6 or
greater than 1.
9. No. of complaints 0.83333 e. Probability that x assumes a
b. Yes. It is a probability
received at a radio 5. Find the probability of value less than 4
distribution.
station drawing a diamond in a
c. Yes. It is a probability f. Probability that x assumes a
10. No. of heads deck of cards?
distribution. value greater than 2
obtained in three tosses Answer: 13/52 or
d. No, since P(X) -0.7
of a coin 0.25
g. Probability that x assumes a
value in the interval 2 to 5
G. Finding practical Applications: Application: Application: Applications:
Lottery gambling, If the probability that it will Many variables in business, -Hospital records
applications of concepts
Cara y cruz, rain tomorrow is 0.20, what education, engineering, and -Number of defective tires
and skills in daily living is the probability that it other areas can be analyzed by
Card games these are -Number of cars
wont rain tomorrow? Would using probability distributions.
games of chance with manufactured
you recommend taking an
random variables umbrella?
Answer:
0.80
Since the probability that it
wont rain is 80%, you could
leave your umbrella at
home and be fairly safe.
H. Making generalizations Generalize the concepts Reinforce the concepts Reinforce the concepts Reinforce the concepts
and abstractions about and definitions discussed and skills discussed and skills discussed and skills
the lesson
I. Evaluating learning
J. Additional activities for
application
presented. practiced. practiced. practiced.
Problems: Problems: Problems: Problem:
Indicate if the following Find the probabilities of Determine whether or not Find the probabilities of the
is Continuous Random the following situations. each table represents a variables in the tables
Variable or Discrete (Elementary Statistics, valid probability shown.
Random Variable. step-by-step approach, distribution. (Introductory Statistics, 7th
(General Statistics 8th Ed. pp. 243-244, (Introductory Statistics, 7th Ed.
book) selected problems only) Ed. pp. 199-200)
pp. 196-199)
Problems:
Classify each of the
following random
variables as discrete or
continuous.
(Introductory Statistics,
7th Ed. Pp. 193-194)

V. REMARKS NO SCHEDULE
VI. REFLECTION
A. No. of learners who
earned 80% in the
evaluation.
B. No. of learners who
require additional
activities for remediation
who scored below
C. Did the remedial
lessons work? No. of
learners who have caught
up with the lesson.
D. No. of learners who
continue to require
remediation.
E. Which of my teaching
strategies worked well?
Why did these work?
F. What difficulties did I
encounter which my
principal or supervisor
can help me solve?
G. What innovation or
localized materials did I
use/discover which I wish
to share with other
teachers?

Prepared by: Checked by: Approved:

CESAR M. DEL ROSARIO JR., CE ERWIN L. PURCIA, DALL CALICK D. ARRIETA, PhD
SHS T-1 Head, CCNHS-SHS Principal I