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iv Warghting and Logistic Support of Joint Forces from the Joint Sea Base
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Contents
Preface . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . iii
Figures . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . vii
Tables . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . xi
Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . xiii
Acknowledgments . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . xxi
Acronyms . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . xxiii
CHAPTER ONE
Introduction and Objectives. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1
Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1
Study Objectives . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1
Study Approach . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2
Organization of This Report . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2
CHAPTER TWO
Operational Concepts and Scenarios . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5
Background . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5
MPF . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5
MPF (Future) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6
Sea State Considerations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7
Sea Basing Operational Concepts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10
Marine Corps Concepts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10
Army Concepts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12
Operational Scenarios . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14
Scenario AArmy Forces Arrive Inland . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14
Scenario BArmy Forces Enter the Area of Operations Directly. . . . . . . . 15
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vi Warghting and Logistic Support of Joint Forces from the Joint Sea Base
CHAPTER THREE
Scenario Analysis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21
Scenario AArmy Forces Arrive Inland. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29
Reducing Distances . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29
Adding LCACs . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29
Increasing the Ratio of CH-53K to MV-22 Aircraft . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 32
Reducing Sustainment Demand . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 34
Scenario BArmy Forces Enter the Area of Operations Directly . . . . . . . . . 35
Scenario CArmy Forces Enter the Area of Operations via
the Sea Base . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38
Movement Without a JHSV . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 40
Movement with a JHSV . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 42
Increasing the Ratio of CH-53K to MV-22 Aircraft . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 44
Army Helicopters on the Sea Base . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 46
CHAPTER FOUR
Conclusions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 49
Overall Findings . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 49
Sustainment Results . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 50
Movement Results . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 51
Other Findings . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 52
APPENDIX
A. Additional Cases . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 55
B. Maritime Pre-positioning Force (Future) Description . . . . . . . . . . . . . 69
C. Army and Marine Corps Ground Elements Evaluated . . . . . . . . . . . . . 75
D. Sustainment Requirements . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 83
E. Model Description . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 87
Bibliography . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 105
Figures
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viii Warghting and Logistic Support of Joint Forces from the Joint Sea Base
ix
Tables
xi
Summary
Sea Basing, a fundamental concept in Sea Power 21, the Navys opera-
tional vision for the 21st century, is designed to help joint force com-
manders accelerate deployment and employment of naval power and to
enhance seaborne positioning of joint assets. It will do so by minimiz-
ing the need to build up a logistics stockpile ashore, reducing the oper-
ational demand for sealift and airlift assets, and permitting forward
positioning of joint forces for immediate employment.
The cornerstone of sea-based logistics on the brigade scale is the
Maritime Pre-positioning Force and its future version, the MPF(F). The
Maritime Pre-positioning Force currently consists of three forward-
deployed squadrons of maritime pre-positioning ships, each with ve
or six vessels with weapons, supplies, and equipment sucient to sup-
port a force about the size of a Marine Expeditionary Brigade for up to
30 days. The MPF(F) will be composed of multiple ship types designed
to support a Marine Expeditionary Brigade and provide functions not
currently provided by the MPF, such as at-sea arrival, assembly, sus-
tainment, reconstitution, and redeployment of Expeditionary Forces,
as well as Expeditionary Strike Group interoperability. Current plans
call for an MPF(F) squadron comprising three large-deck amphibious
ships, three Mobile Landing Platform transport ships,1 and eight cargo
ships.
The Assessment Division of the Oce of the Chief of Naval
Operations (OPNAV N81) asked the RAND Corporations National
1 The Mobile Landing Platform is a new-design ship that will carry Landing Craft Air
Cushion (LCAC) connectors for the MPF(F). The LCAC is similar to a large hovercraft.
xiii
xiv Warghting and Logistic Support of Joint Forces from the Joint Sea Base
2 In operations involving both the Marine Corps and the Army, the joint force commander
will determine how and when they will use a sea base.
Summary xv
5 Maintenance requirements limit LCACs to not more than 16 hours of operation per day.
Crew fatigue can further limit LCACs to 12 hours or less of operation per day. Sixteen-
hour days are used as a baseline for LCAC operations in the main body of this monograph;
12-hour days are considered as an excursion in Appendix E.
Summary xvii
Sustainment Findings
Our analysis indicates that a Sea Base Maneuver Element, that portion
of a Marine Expeditionary Brigade projected ashore for operations, can
be sustained with some diculty at a range of up to 110 NM from the
sea base, using only CH-53K and MV-22 aircraft. Simultaneously sus-
taining both a Shore Based Maneuver Element and an Army airborne
brigade using only these aircraft would require reducing signicantly
the distance from the sea base to these forces.
Using LCACs to augment sea base aircraft in sustainment has
substantial benets, particularly when LCACs contribute to both
Marine Corps and Army ground element sustainment. When LCACs
can contribute only to Marine Expeditionary Brigade sustainment, the
limitations of airborne sustainment to Army ground elements deter-
mine the feasibility of joint sustainment. The use of a mix of sea base
aircraft more rich in CH-53K aircraft than currently planned could
enable joint sustainment at greater distances.
Reducing sustainment demand (by, for example, eliminating
demand for bulk water from the sea base) is particularly helpful when
sustainment capacity is marginal.
Movement Findings
Other Findings
Key Assumptions
Army unit equipment and supplies arrive at the sea base via Army
shipping. Therefore, the Army units would not consume the
MEBs supplies that are on the MPF(F) ships.
Army ships arrive at the sea base combat loaded for selective
ooad, as opposed to dense packed. Combat loaded ships are
lled to roughly 6070 percent of capacity in order to provide
room to move vehicles and equipment below decks so that a spe-
cic item can be ooaded when needed. On the other hand,
dense packed ships are loaded in a manner to maximize their
carrying capacity. In that case, the ship can unload cargo only in
the reverse order from how it was placed in the ship (i.e., the rst
piece of cargo loaded deep inside the ship will be the last item that
can be removed).
The connectors (e.g., ramps) between the Armys ships and the
Mobile Landing Platform vessels will permit the movement of
Army vehicles onto the MLP and its LCACs. Additionally, we
assume that Army vehicle drivers would be properly trained to
move their vehicles on board ships, including onto connecting
ramps between ships.
When LCACs are used to move Army and Marine Corps sup-
plies ashore, sucient trucks are available to move those supplies
inland to where they would be consumed, and those trucks are
adequately protected. It should be noted that an examination of
the required number of trucks was not part of this analysis for the
Navy. This issue, however, clearly merits more detailed analysis.
Acknowledgments
This study beneted from discussions with and data provided by LCDR
Jerey Sinclair (OPNAV N81MF), CAPT Robert Winsor (OPNAV
N81M), LCDR Frank Futcher (OPNAV N42), John Kaskin (OPNAV
N42), CAPT James Stewart (OPNAV N42), Al Sawyers (U.S. Marine
Corps MCCDC), LTC James R. Young (U.S. Army Combined Arms
Support Command), Ed Horres (U.S. Army Training and Doctrine
Command), and Michael W. Smith (Center for Naval Analyses).
We thank Cliord Grammich for his skillful support in the prep-
aration of graphics for this monograph and for improving its readabil-
ity. Finally, we thank ADM Don Pilling, USN (Ret.), and John Friel
for their thoughtful reviews of this study, which beneted from their
insights.
xxi
Acronyms
ABN airborne
ADC(X) Auxiliary Dry Cargo Carrier
AoA Analysis of Alternatives
APOD aerial port of debarkation
BCT Brigade Combat Team
BLT Brigade Landing Team
C2 Command and control
CDD Capabilities Development Document
CLF Combat Logistics Force
CNA Center for Naval Analyses
CNO Chief of Naval Operations
CONOP Concept of Operations
CONUS Continental United States
CSG Carrier Strike Group
DOS days of supply
DS dry stores
EFSS Expeditionary Fire Support System
xxiii
xxiv Warghting and Logistic Support of Joint Forces from the Joint Sea Base
Introduction
Sea Basing is a fundamental concept in Sea Power 21, the Navys oper-
ational vision for the 21st century. The overall intent of Sea Basing
is to make use of the exibility and protection provided by the sea
base while minimizing the presence of forces ashore. Sea Basing will
enable joint force commanders to accelerate deployment and employ-
ment of naval power-projection capabilities and will enhance seaborne
positioning of joint assets. It will also minimize the need to build up a
logistics stockpile ashore, reduce the operational demand for sealift and
airlift assets, and permit forward positioning of joint forces for imme-
diate employment.1
Study Objectives
1 Formally, the sea base of the future will be an inherently maneuverable, scalable aggrega-
tion of distributed, networked platforms that enable the global power projection of oensive
and defensive forces from the sea, and includes the ability to assemble, equip, project, sup-
port, and sustain those forces without reliance on land bases within the Joint Operations
Area (Department of Defense, Sea Basing Joint Integrating Concept, Version 1.0, Washing-
ton, D.C., August 2005, p. 18).
1
2 Warghting and Logistic Support of Joint Forces from the Joint Sea Base
tions beyond the Department of the Navy. The Navy was particularly
interested in gaining insights on how the sea base could support Army
operations.
Study Approach
The study began with the collection of data from the Army, Navy, and
Marine Corps. Related studies were also assembled and examined. We
developed three illustrative scenarios judged most likely to represent
logistic support to Marine Corps and Army ground elements. We then
developed a simulation, the Joint Sea Based Logistics Model (described
in Appendix E), to quantify the capabilities of the sea base in these
three scenarios. This simulation was used for hundreds of combina-
tions of distances, ground elements to be sustained, levels of combat,
possibilities for reducing sustainment demand, and various ship-to-
shore connector assets. Our insights and recommendations derive both
from simulation results and from an improved understanding of sea
based logistic support.
Background
Sea Basing is not an entirely new concept; Carrier Strike Groups (CSGs)
and Expeditionary Strike Groups (ESGs) are sea bases. Indeed, during
World War II the United States conducted several large-scale opera-
tions in which all the re and logistic support was provided from o-
shore Navy ships. Scalability is a critical new element of the Sea Basing
construct: whereas an ESG can support a Marine Expeditionary Unit
(MEU) from the sea, future sea bases are expected to support one or
more Marine Corps or Army brigades. Logistic sustainment concepts
and their implementation are therefore key challenges in Sea Basing.
The cornerstone of sea-based logistics on the brigade scale is the Mari-
time Pre-positioning Force (MPF) and its future version, the MPF(F).
MPF
The MPF currently consists of 16 ships organized into three forward-
deployed Maritime Pre-positioning Ship Squadrons (MPSRONs).
Each MPSRON consists of ve or six ships loaded with pre-positioned
weapons, supplies, and equipment sucient to support a Marine
Expeditionary Brigade (MEB)-sized Marine Air-Ground Task Force
(MAGTF) (approximately 17,000 Marines) for up to 30 days.
Current MPF doctrine is to pre-position caches of supplies and
oversized equipment at strategic locations. Forces are assembled and
integrated through a cycle of reception, staging, onward movement,
and integration (RSO&I). In the reception phase, a deploying joint
force is airlifted into theater and received at an aerial port of debarka-
5
6 Warghting and Logistic Support of Joint Forces from the Joint Sea Base
MPF (Future)
The MPF(F) squadron will be a single group of ships replacing one
existing MPSRON.2 The MPF(F) squadron (described in Appendix B)
will be composed of ve ship types loaded with the equipment needed
to support a MEB. It is being designed to support an MPF(F) MEB of
about 14,500 Marines. These ships will provide functions not provided
by the MPF:
Figure 2.1
Test for Motion Reduction in Lee of Cargo Ship
Table 2.1
Percentage of Sea State 3 or Less Conditions for Various Littoral Regions
4 Naval Research Advisory Committee, Panel on Sea Basing, Sea Basing, Washngton, D.C.:
Oce of the Secretary of the Navy (Research, Development and Acquisition), March 2005,
p. 37.
5 Defense Science Board, Task Force on Mobility, Enabling Sea Basing Capabilities, Wash-
ington, D.C.: Oce of the Under Secretary of Defense for Acquisition, Technology, and
Logistics, September 2005, p. 60.
6 Defense Science Board, Task Force on Mobility (2005, p. 37).
10 Warghting and Logistic Support of Joint Forces from the Joint Sea Base
the sea base for casualty evacuation (we accordingly dedicated MV-22
aircraft and associated deck spots in our analysis).
The Marines also envision that some number of the available
MV-22 sorties (and possibly some of the CH-53K sorties) would be
used for tactical mobility missions for the forces ashore.7 For example,
depending on the tactical situation, the MEB commander might want
to use some of the aircraft missions to conduct air assaults by company
or battalion-sized forces. In terms of our analysis, the identication
of excess air sorties (MV-22 and/or CH-53K) could be interpreted
as the ability (or not) of the sea base to simultaneously provide logis-
tic support to Marine Corps and Army forces ashore, while retaining
for the MEB commander the capability to conduct other maneuver-
related air missions.
Current plans envision the replacement of one of the three existing
MPSRONs by an MPF(F) squadron. In a future crisis requiring mul-
tiple brigades, it is likely that a combination of ESGs and the MPF(F)
squadron would form the initial Marine Corps force. The traditional
dense packed MPSRON would arrive later, if needed, to bring the
Marine Corps force ashore to division, or larger, size. Meanwhile, some
combination of Army brigades might also arrive.
The Marines envision operating a considerable number of the
MEBs aircraft from the sea base. However, the three large ight decks
of the planned MPF(F) squadron are not sucient to allow the Joint
Strike Fighters (JSFs) of the MEBs air element to conduct sustained
operations from the sea base (small numbers of JSFs could, however,
use the MPF(F) as a base for refueling and for rearming or emergency
landings). This is an important issue, in terms of the Armys concepts
for at-sea basing of its own aircraft. The next section elaborates on this
issue.
The Marines see the primary purpose of the MPF(F) as being to
support the operations of the MEB. A recently concluded Analysis of
Alternatives for the MPF(F) considered a MEB assault conducted from
MPF(F) ships, followed by sustainment of the MEB from the same
MPF(F) ships. Indeed, the MPF(F) as envisioned will be loaded with
Army Concepts
From 1996 until roughly 2002, much of the Armys future concept
development focused on deploying and sustaining the Army via inter-
and intracontinental aircraft. Subsequently, the Army began to move
away from the idea that considerable Army forces (i.e., multiple bri-
gades) could be moved and sustained by air. The high cost of the
number of aircraft required under the Armys concepts has forced the
Army to increasingly move in the direction of deploying and sustain-
ing its forces by seadespite the fact that the Armys Future Combat
System (FCS) is still being designed with airlift factors (vehicle size and
weight) in mind.
Today, the Army increasingly favors deploying and sustaining
its forces from the sea. In a real sense, the Army focus on deploy-
ing its forces by sea has deep historical roots: the Army has deployed
the vast majority of its forces by sea in every major conict since the
Spanish-American War, including in Operation Iraqi Freedom. This
Army move has, of course, implications for the roles and missions of the
ArmyMarine Corps relationship. Nevertheless, the Armys renewed
focus on operations from the sea has substantial potential benet for
the Department of the Navy: the Army could become an advocate for
increased shipbuilding budgets, for example.
The Army emphasizes deploying its forces directly into the opera-
tional area via High-Speed Ships rather than pre-positioning its forces
forward. In this regard, the current NavyMarine Corps sea basing
concepts (centered on the MPF(F)) are not directly compatible with
Operational Concepts and Scenarios 13
the Armys desires. However, very little money has actually been ear-
marked for the hypothetical large High-Speed Ship (HSS) that the
Army wants.
The Army places much less emphasis than the NavyMarine
Corps on at-sea transloading of forces in the manner for which the
MPF(F) is currently being designed.8 This analysis suggests, however,
that the capability to perform at-sea transfer of Army forces could
greatly benet the joint force. The quantitative section of this study
provides the detailed results, but as a preview, the analysis indicated
that an Army Stryker Brigade (with about 15,000 tons of supplies and
equipment) or heavy brigade (with about 20,000 tons of supplies and
equipment) could arrive at the sea base and be moved ashore in 2 to
6 days, depending on such key variables as the distance oshore, the
level of combat to be sustained, the availability of a Joint High-Speed
Vessel (JHSV) to supplement the LCACs organic to the MPF(F), and
prevailing sea states. That nding represents a new capability for Army
forces.
As noted above, however, the current conguration of the sea
base, with three large ight decks, limits the large-scale use of the sea
base by Army aircraft. Until and unless most of the MEBs aircraft
move ashore, or have another Navy ship as a base, there simply will not
be room on the MPF(F) for signicant numbers of Army aircraft. Our
analysis does, however, show that there will generally be sucient space
aboard the three large ight decks of the MPF(F) to permit a small
number of Army aircraft (roughly 12 deck operating spots per ship)
to use the sea base on a temporary basis. Another important consider-
ation regarding Army aircraft being based on the MPF(F) is the fact
that most Army aircraft are not built for shipboard usetheir blades
do not fold automatically, and they lack braking systems. Additionally,
few Army pilots are qualied to conduct landings on moving ships. In
light of recent Army and Air Force helicopter operations during con-
tingencies in Grenada, Panama, Somalia, and Haiti, these shortcom-
ings are obviously not disqualifying.
Note that the Army has three distinctly dierent types of brigades:
light (including airborne), Stryker (generally considered medium forces,
since its armored vehicles are in the 20-ton class and are wheeled as
opposed to tracked), and heavy (armed with M-1 Abramsseries main
battle tanks, Bradley infantry ghting vehicles, and self-propelled artil-
lery). Whereas Marine MEBs are generally similar, the weight (ton-
nage) and daily logistics requirements of the three dierent types of
Army brigades vary widely.9
Operational Scenarios
9 Appendix D provides logistics data for Army and Marine Corps ground elements.
10 Depending on the situation, the Army envisions that considerable numbers of Army air-
craft (UH-60 or CH-47 cargo helicopters, and AH-64 Apache attack helicopters) might be
temporarily located on the sea base. The Army feels that sea basing its aircraft could greatly
increase the combat power of the initial Army forces deployed ashore. In consequence, this
analysis considers the feasibility of placing a signicant number of Army helicopters on a sea
base for some time.
11 With Army forces 50 to 75 NM inland, sustainment from the sea will be from greater
distances. We consider aerial sustainment distances of 75 to 110 NM.
Operational Concepts and Scenarios 15
main cases are considered in this scenario. The rst main case is con-
sistent with the Marine Corps preference for aerial sustainment. Here,
both the Army light or airborne brigade and the MEB are sustained
entirely using MV-22 and CH-53K aircraft from the sea base. The
LCACs of the MPF(F) are not utilized in this case (perhaps because
both the Marine Corps and Army forces are so far inland that they can
no longer benet from supplies deposited at the beach by the LCACs).
In the second main case, the MEB can use LCACs to sustain it
through a beach or SPOD.
Scenario A is particularly stressingso much so that this analy-
sis considers means for enhancing sustainment from the sea base. Key
features of Scenario A are depicted in Figure 2.2.
Figure 2.2
Operational Scenario A
m Aerial
75 sustainment
ABN BCT 1
10
MEB 25 NM
110
NM
SPOD
25 LHA(R)/LHD
N (CH-53K/MV-22)
M
Surface
sustainment
MLPs Sea
(LCAC) base
RAND MG649-2.2
16 Warghting and Logistic Support of Joint Forces from the Joint Sea Base
move directly to a usable port, ooad, and then start operations ashore
as soon as possible. In this scenario, we examined the ability of the sea
base to simultaneously support both the MEB and either a Stryker or a
heavy brigade from the Army.
The logistics requirements of these Army brigades are much greater
than those of a light brigade because of the higher fuel requirements of
armored vehicles and the heavier ammunition that these brigades use
compared with a light force (e.g., 155mm howitzers ring 100-pound
shells compared with 105mm weapons ring 33-pound shells).12
A key variable examined in this scenario was the utility of LCACs
as part of the resupply eort. As observed earlier, the Marines prefer
that, once ashore, the MEB is resupplied to the maximum extent pos-
sible by aircraft ying from the sea base. In Scenario B, we examine
that case as well as the case of adding LCACs to the logistics ow. In
the latter case, it was assumed that the MEB and the Army brigade
are (1) either close enough to the coast that it would be easy to pick up
supplies delivered to the beach by LCACs or (2) the units were fairly
deep inland (25 miles or more) but had the ability to send trucks to the
beach to pick up those supplies delivered by LCACs.13
This assumption that the MEB, as well as Army forces being sup-
plied by the sea base, could pick up LCAC-delivered supplies for move-
ment inland by ground transport presumes that the routes from the
beach (or small port that U.S. forces have access to) to the units oper-
ating inland are relatively safe. This may not always be the case, thus
requiring the ground units to escort their supply vehicles and provide
protection for the ooad points at the beach or port.
Note that we did not envision a large amount of infrastructure
being built to support operations at the beachcertainly nothing like
the iron mountains associated with World War IItype amphibious
operations. Sustainment operations would instead maintain only sev-
eral days of supplies ashore. Nevertheless, the MEB commander, the
aected Army commanders, and the Joint Force commander would
Figure 2.3
Operational Scenario B
Aerial
75 sustainment
SBCT/HBCT 1
10
MEB 25 NM
110
NM
SPOD
25 LHA(R)/LHD
N (CH-53K/MV-22)
M
Surface
sustainment
MLPs Sea
(LCAC) base
RAND MG649-2.3
Scenario CArmy Forces Enter the Area of Operations via the Sea
Base
The Army uses the sea base in Scenario C to transload, at sea, an Army
brigade that is then moved ashore by LCACs (or, in some excursions,
LCACs and a JHSV) and, to a lesser extent, by CH-53 and MV-22 air-
crafta natural ship-to-shore movement for the NavyMarine Corps
team since World War II, but much less common for the Army. As
mentioned in Scenario B, the Armys preference is to deploy directly
into a usable port via High-Speed Ships. Army forces rarely practice
transloading troops and equipment at sea. This scenario is important
because it shows how the MPF(F), as conceived by the Department of
the Navy, could introduce an important new capability for the Army.
In this scenario, no usable port may as yet be available to the joint
force commander, who wants to rapidly introduce Army medium or
heavy forces ashore to supplement the MEB that is already ghting
there. Rather than waiting for the seizure (and possible repair) of a port
Operational Concepts and Scenarios 19
capable of accepting LMSRs or HSSs, this option would give the joint
force commander the ability to introduce an Army brigade ashore via
the sea base.
As in Scenarios A and B, the MEB is assumed to be ashore, with
the sea base providing its logistic support. While the MEB is engaged
in operations, an Army Stryker or heavy brigade arrives at the sea base.
Importantly, it is assumed that the Army ships are loaded in a way that
allows selective ooad of equipment via ramps onto the three Mobile
Landing Platform ships of the squadron. If the Army ships are dense
packed, they might not be able to capitalize on this capability.14 Addi-
tionally, it is assumed that Army personnel will have received sucient
training in at-sea transfer operations to make the mission feasible.
The Army brigades equipment and personnel are transloaded
from Army shipping onto an MLP and then ashore via the LCACs of
the squadron. It would be advantageous here for most Army person-
nel to travel ashore in the LCACs at the same time as their vehicles,
thus facilitating maintenance of unit integrity as the brigade builds
up ashore. In some excursions, a JHSV was added to supplement the
LCACs. The concept here is that at least two JHSVs would be used to
bring troops into theater. Once in theater, one JHSV would be used to
help move troops to the sea base (possibly from an intermediate stag-
ing base) while a second JHSV moves Army personnel, supplies, and
equipment ashore from the sea base.
The scenario is diagrammed in Figure 2.4. Note that although
the diagram includes an SPOD, the actual debarkation of Army forces
would likely be accomplished by LCACs landing at a beach. When a
JHSV is included, a small port would, of course, be required. In that
case, the LCACs may be able to deposit their loads over the beach,
while the JHSV enters what may be a shing villagesized port to
ooad its cargo and passengers.
14 To access items of interest, selective ooad will be accomplished by moving cargo inter-
nally. The storage eciency of ships capable of selective ooad will be less than that of dense
packed ships, which are loaded to maximize storage eciency. The Army would need addi-
tional pre-positioning ships to achieve capability for selective ooad.
20 Warghting and Logistic Support of Joint Forces from the Joint Sea Base
Figure 2.4
Operational Scenario C
Aerial
75 sustainment
1
10
MEB 25 NM
110
NM X
Aerial
SPOD movement
25 LHA(R)/LHD
N SBCT/HBCT
M Surface (CH-53K/MV-22)
sustainment
Surface
movement
MLPs Sea
(LCAC) base
RAND MG649-2.4
CHAPTER THREE
Scenario Analysis
1 An N42 National Defense Industrial Association (NDIA) 2004 Joint Seabasing Logis-
tics brieng presented in October 2004 (Jonathan Kaskin, Seabasing Logistics CONOPs,
brieng to NDIA 10th Annual Expeditionary Warfare Conference, October 2004) con-
cluded (slide 19) that less than 40 percent of the MPF(F) ships assets and helicopter spots
would be used for Marine Corps MEB sustainment. The analysis points to potential excess
capacity to support joint sustainment, and illustrates potential capability with a Maritime
Pre-positioning Group (i.e., an MPF(F) squadron, together with air and surface connectors
needed to conduct logistics operations) supporting a MEB, a Stryker Brigade Combat Team
(SBCT), and Special Operations Forces (SOF) simultaneously.
2 MCCDC, Mission Area Analysis Branch, MPF(F) CDD Analysis: Results for Seabasing
Capabilities, brieng, March 23, 2006a.
3 The MEB designed for MPF(F) operations, referred to as the MPF(F) MEB, is composed
of a Shore Base Echelon (SBE), a Forward Base Echelon (FBE), and a Sustained Operations
Ashore Echelon. Within the SBE are the Sea Based Maneuver Element (SBME), that por-
tion of the SBE that is projected ashore for operations and its support element, and the Sea
Base Support Element (SBSE). The FBE is made up primarily of xed wing assets organic
21
22 Warghting and Logistic Support of Joint Forces from the Joint Sea Base
ported with some diculty from MPF(F) ships.4 Recognizing that dif-
ferences in scenarios and assumptions existed between the two stud-
ies, we used the MCCDC analysis as a starting point for a broader
examination of factors related to successfully sustaining more than one
brigade ashore.
For the Army brigades (light/airborne, Stryker, or heavy), we
examined pure brigadesnot including other units that would nor-
mally accompany a brigade into action. For example, no aviation or
extra supply units were included in the brigade. We recognize that the
Army would want to introduce these elements as quickly as possible
after the arrival of the brigade combat team. In many respects, the
supply throughput capacity of the sea base is providing most of the
logistics needs of the brigades, thus reducing the need for divisional-
level support units to accompany the Army unit, at least for the rst few
days of operations. Additionally, we assumed that the logistics needs of
the Army units would be met by supply ships that would arrive at the
sea base, loaded with Army supplies, thus minimizing the need for the
Army units to have to rely on the MEBs supplies, which are already
loaded aboard the MPF(F) ships.
The initial step in our quantitative analysis was to redo the CDD
analysis using a simulation (described in Appendix E) developed for
this study.
The MPF(F) CDD analysis examined sustainment from MPF(F)
ships using only rotary wing (CH-53K and MV-22) aircraft.5 Sustain-
to the MEB, such as the KC-130 and EA-6 squadrons and their support; its elements will
self-deploy to a forward operating base. The Sustained Operations Ashore Echelon normally
remains in CONUS. The SBME and the entire SBE (i.e., the SBME and the SBSE) are the
only portions of the MEB that might be sustained ashore from the sea base. This study con-
siders sustainment operations for the SBE in heavy combat and in sustained combat opera-
tions, as well as for the SBME in heavy combat operations.
4 Diculty in sustaining the SBME using only CH-53K and MV-22 aircraft is illustrated
by the CDD analysis, which found that an SBME cannot be sustained within a period of
darkness using procedures optimized to do so.
5 The CDD analysis considered both assault and sustainment from MPF(F) ships. It
included ship-to-shore movement over 25 NM, with the landing team moved to the sea base
before the assault and launched from it. Movement was accomplished using 48 MV-22 and
20 CH-53K aircraft, and 18 LCAC surface connectors. Taking into account operational
Scenario Analysis 23
availability and the need to withhold MV-22 aircraft for missions such as search and rescue,
the CDD analysis employed 34 MV-22 and 16 CH-53K aircraft, and 17 LCACs. These same
aircraft, but not the LCACs, were used in sustainment.
6 Sustainment requirements are categorized as follows: ammunition, dry stores, bulk Petro-
leum Oil and Lubricants (POL), and bulk water. Both analyses used the elements of the 2015
MEB Air Combat Element: 48 MV-22 and 20 CH-53K aircraft, plus 6 unmanned aerial
vehicles (UAVs). The operational availability of MV-22 aircraft was taken to be 82 percent;
we withheld ve operationally available MV-22 aircraft for casualty evacuation and other
missions (for a total of 34 MV-22 aircraft used in sustainment). Operational availability of
the CH-53K was taken to be 80 percent. We withheld no CH-53K aircraft for other mis-
sions, so that a total of 16 CH-53K aircraft are used in sustainment. The operational avail-
ability of LCACs that have undergone a service life extension program was taken to be 95
percent, a signicant improvement over the current LCAC.
With 95 percent availability and 18 LCACs on the MLPs, 17 LCACS are therefore
used in sustainment. This matter requires some additional discussion. The historical rate at
which LCACs lose operational availability has been about 6 percent per day. For example,
if 17 LCACs are operationally available on a given day, it would be expected that only 16
LCACs would be operationally available the next day, and so on. However, future LCACs
are expected to be more reliable than existing LCACs. Moreover, the MLP and its LCACs
cannot be viewed as a closed system; the MPF(F) LHD can carry three LCACs and has a
substantial capability to maintain and repair LCACs.
24 Warghting and Logistic Support of Joint Forces from the Joint Sea Base
Figure 3.1
Required Tons per Day and Lift Capacities, VTOL-Only Sustainment of the
MEB
5,000
SBME heavy combat
4,500
SBE heavy combat
4,000 SBME heavy combat requirement
SBE heavy combat requirement
3,500
Tons per day
3,000
2,500
2,000
1,500
1,000
500
0
25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 100 105 110
LHA(R)/LHD distance to MEB (NM)
RAND MG649-3.1
7 Presentations using tons per day of lift capacity as a metric can oversimplify results in
some regards. The task of moving a ton of bulk liquid is dierent from the task of moving
a ton of ammunition. There is also the factor of distance. For example, moving a ton of
ammunition 25 NM is not the same as moving it 75 NMat longer distances, payloads
are reduced as fuel requirements increase and, with longer ight times, fewer sorties can be
generated. These graphs reect the diering sustainment requirements shown in Appendix
D. Maximum lift capacity per day diers with diering constraints on those sustainment
operations.
Scenario Analysis 25
distance of 110 NM; the maximum range for which such sustainment
is possible appears to be about 70 NM.8
The above results can also be presented using the metric of relative
lift capacity, dened as the ratio of maximum sustainment capacity (in
tons per day) to average sustainment requirement (also in tons per day).
This metric can be viewed in several ways:
8 The use of an entire SBE ashore is a worst case for this analysis. It serves to illuminate the
limits of sustainment and failure modes in sustainment.
9 Ship-to-ship transfer capability at the sea base is stated in terms of signicant wave height.
When all wave heights are measured (peak to trough), the signicant wave height is dened
as the mean value of the highest one-third waves. Ship-to-ship transfer is considered unde-
graded for signicant wave heights of no more than three feet, or NATO Sea State 3.
26 Warghting and Logistic Support of Joint Forces from the Joint Sea Base
10 The LHA(R) might prove to have a smaller aircraft capacity than it is credited as having.
If so, the number of aircraft for sustainment would have to be reduced.
11 An MCCDC, Mission Area Analysis Branch, analysis of surface assault connectors, com-
pleted in April 2006 (Surface Assault Connector Requirements Analysis Update: Overview
to Inform Seabasing Capabilities Study, brieng, April 13, 2006b) considered numerous
possible sets of characteristics for an LCAC replacement. LCACs that have undergone ser-
vice life extension are assumed here to have a maximum load capacity of 72 tons and a
deck space of 1,809 square feet, and to average 35 knots in operationconsistent with the
MCCDC analyses. The NRAC (2005) study of sea basing notes that LCAC speed and range
are strongly aected by sea state.
Scenario Analysis 27
Figure 3.2
Relative Lift Capacities in MEB, VTOL-Only Sustainment
700
500
Capacity (%)
400
300
200
100
0
25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 100 105 110
LHA(R)/LHD distance to MEB (NM)
RAND MG649-3.2
12 The MV-22s main advantage here over the CH-53K is its higher egress speed. In terms
of moving a ground element, the MV-22 also has speed and survivability advantages in
ingress.
13 The Naval Research Advisory Committee (2005, p. 3) states the value of JHSV (generi-
cally, high-speed surface connectors) strongly:
A high-speed surface connector (HSC)a vessel that can move troops and materiel
between the Sea Base and waters immediately oshorewill prove to be a critical
enabler of Sea Basing. The HSC is essential to our ability to establish the Sea Base at a
Scenario Analysis 29
Adding LCACs
We now turn to a second means of increasing sustainment capacity:
using LCACs as additional connectors. Here, we see a more robust
sustainment capabilityenough to provide a signicant hedge against
operational uncertainties and potential performance degradation.
Figure 3.3
Scenario A, VTOL-Only Sustainment of a MEB and an Army Airborne
Brigade, Is Marginal
300
200
Capacity (%)
150
100
50
0
25/75 45/95 65/115 85/135 105/155
LHA(R)/LHD distance to MEB/ABN BCT (NM)
RAND MG649-3.3
15 In Scenarios A and B, the distance from the MLPs to the SPOD used for sustainment is
taken to be 25 NM.
16Sustainment breakpoints occur only in Scenario A; LCACs augment MPF(F) aircraft in
Army sustainment in Scenario B.
17 Irregularities in the curve for the Army data result from the assumption that the MEB has
rst priority in sustainment and preferences built into the model.
Scenario Analysis 31
Figure 3.4
Scenario A, VTOL Plus LCAC Sustainment, Is More Robust
300
200
100
0
25/75/ 45/95/ 65/115/ 85/135/ 105/155/
25 25 25 25 25
Distances to MEB/ABN BCT/SPOD (NM)
= breakpoint
RAND MG649-3.4
18 We examined the implications of using a xed 25-NM LCAC movement distance and
found them to be insensitive to this distance. Doubling the movement distance decreases
throughput by about 15 percent, because increasing this distance (1) does not change
CH-53K and MV-22 performance and (2) does not change LCAC load and ooad times;
however, the LCAC sortie rate is then reduced by 25 percent. See Appendix A for a fuller
discussion of this matter.
32 Warghting and Logistic Support of Joint Forces from the Joint Sea Base
Figure 3.5
Scenario A, Breakpoint in Army Sustainment
400
200
100
0
25/75/ 45/95/ 65/115/ 85/135/ 105/155/
25 25 25 25 25
Distances to MEB/ABN BCT/SPOD (NM)
= breakpoint
RAND MG649-3.5
19 This value does not include the ve MV-22 reserved for casualty evacuation and other
missions. We did not consider aircraft size (spot factor) in this simplistic analysis.
Scenario Analysis 33
Figure 3.6
Altered Aircraft Mix in Scenario A Gives More Robust Sustainment
1000
600
500
400
300
200
100
0
25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 100 105 110
LHA(R)/LHD distance to MEB (NM)
RAND MG649-3.6
34 Warghting and Logistic Support of Joint Forces from the Joint Sea Base
Figure 3.7
LCACs Plus Altered Aircraft Mix in Scenario A Give Greater Robustness
400
Capacity (%)
300
200
100
0
25/75/ 45/95/ 65/115/ 85/135/ 105/155/
25 25 25 25 25
Distances to MEB/ABN BCT/SPOD (NM)
= breakpoint
RAND MG649-3.7
Figure 3.8
Scenario A Sustainment, Using LCACs with and without Bulk Water
400
Capacity (%)
300
200
100
0
25/75/ 45/95/ 65/115/ 85/135/ 105/155/
25 25 25 25 25
Distances to MEB/ABN BCT/SPOD (NM)
= breakpoint
RAND MG649-3.8
20 Appendix D describes and compares requirements for Army and Marine Corps brigade
sustainment. Here, briey, are the requirements: an SBME in heavy combat consumes on
average 680 tons of bulk liquids, ammunition, and other supplies per day. An airborne bri-
gade, also in heavy combat, consumes on average 299 tons per day for a total of 979 tons
per day. An SBCT consumes on average 394 tons per day (or an additional 95 tons per day
over that of the airborne brigade, increasing the total consumption rate by less than 10 per-
cent). An HBCT consumes on average 583 tons per day (increasing the total for an airborne
brigade by an additional 284 tons per day, increasing the total consumption rate by just less
than 30 percent). The net aect of substituting an SBCT for an airborne brigade is thus less
than 10 percent and the net aect of substituting an HBCT for an airborne brigade is less
than 30 percent.
Scenario Analysis 37
Figure 3.9
SBCT Sustainment in Scenario B, with and without LCACs
200
100
0
25/75/ 45/95/ 65/115/ 85/135/ 105/155/
25 25 25 25 25
Distances to MEB/SBCT/SPOD (NM)
RAND MG649-3.9
38 Warghting and Logistic Support of Joint Forces from the Joint Sea Base
Figure 3.10
HBCT Sustainment in Scenario B, with and without LCACs
400
SBME + HBCT w/ LCACs
SBE + HBCT w/ LCACs
300 SBME + HBCT w/o LCACs
SBE + HBCT w/o LCACs
Capacity (%)
200
100
0
25/75/ 45/95/ 65/115/ 85/135/ 105/155/
25 25 25 25 25
Distances to MEB/SBCT/SPOD (NM)
RAND MG649-3.10
21 LCAC, CH-53K, and MV-22 operations are described in detail in Appendix D. In the
base case, LCACs operate 16 hours a day with overlapping periods of operation for the
MLPs. Similarly, large-deck MPF(F) ships have overlapping ight windows 10 hours long.
Scenario Analysis 39
this scenario analysis and the AoA. First, in the MPF(F) AoA, there
were no sustainment requirements during the Marine Corps assault;
the diversion of signicant lift assets for MEB sustainment is a clear
impediment to force movement ashore. Second, the Marine Corps
assault was conducted from a distance of 25 NM from the shore. With
the expectation that Army BCT movement cannot be accomplished in
a single cycle of darkness, our analysis considers force movement from
distances of 25 to 50 NM from the objective area. Third, we consider
as an excursion the use of a Joint High-Speed Vessel as an additional
surface connector.
The performance metric for this scenario is the time to complete
Army brigade movement. Here, the MEB is assumed to operate inland,
and its sustainment is delivered 25 NM farther than to the Army objec-
tive area, from distances of 50 to 75 NM instead of 25 to 50 NM for
the Army.22
As noted above, MPF(F) ships aircraft, LCACs (and possibly a
JHSV) are used in Army brigade movement. Army analysts have exam-
ined the transportability of SBCT and HBCT supplies and equipment
by MV-22 aircraft and have found that MV-22 aircraft can transport
the large majority of those supplies and equipment. Our examination
of HBCT data indicates 1,770 vehicles plus an additional 1,957 tons of
miscellaneous equipment need to be moved. Many of the lighter vehi-
cles are trailers and light trucks (weighing about 2 tons each). CH-53K
aircraft could transport 1,396 of the HBCTs 1,770 vehicles a distance
of 110 NM. JHSVs and CH-53K and MV-22 aircraft would be used to
move lighter vehicles and equipment.
The simulation used for this study accomplishes brigade move-
ment with LCACs primarily transporting equipment and heavy vehi-
cles. Rotary wing aircraft are the primary source of MEB sustainment.
The JHSV transports Army supplies and light equipment exclusively;
there is no need to burden a pier with heavy vehicles from a JHSV.
22 In Appendix A, we assume alternatively that the distance from the sea base to the MEB
is the same as the distance from the sea base to the SPOD, such as when the Marines are
operating in the vicinity of the SPOD.
40 Warghting and Logistic Support of Joint Forces from the Joint Sea Base
Figure 3.11
SBCT Movement Using Aircraft and LCACs
1
50/25 55/30 60/35 65/40 70/45 75/50
Distance to MEB/SPOD (NM)
RAND MG649-3.11
Figure 3.12
HBCT Movement Using Aircraft and LCACs
1
50/25 55/30 60/35 65/40 70/45 75/50
Distance to MEB/SPOD (NM)
RAND MG649-3.12
27 A draft JHSV performance specication, Naval Sea Systems Command, SEA 05, Joint
High Speed Vessel (JHSV) Performance Specication (Draft), Working Paper, April 2007, cir-
culated at the time of this analysis directs that the JHSV ramp system shall be designed, at a
minimum, to support the loads associated with the M1A2 Abrams MBT weighing 80 short
tons and the point loads generated by a fully loaded M1070 Military Truck and Trailer with
a per axle weight of 32 short tons. It further species that the ramp shall be operable with
these loads through Sea State 1 with the discharge end supported aoat. The implications of
this draft requirement for lighter vehicles are unclear.
Scenario Analysis 43
Figure 3.13
SBCT Movement in Scenario C, with and without a JHSV
7
SBE heavy combat w/o JHSV
SBME heavy combat w/o JHSV
6
Days to complete movement
1
50/25 55/30 60/35 65/40 70/45 75/50
Distances to MEB/SPOD (NM)
RAND MG649-3.13
28 The JHSV used in this analysis was taken from a recent JHSV AoA conducted by RAND
(John F. Schank, Irv Blickstein, Mark V. Arena, Robert W. Button, Jessie Riposo, James
Dryden, John Birkler, Raj Raman, Aimee Bower, Jerry M. Sollinger, and Gordon T. Lee,
Joint High-Speed Vessel Analysis of Alternatives, Santa Monica, Calif.: RAND Corporation,
2006, not available to the general public). Of a number of candidates considered, it is at the
median in capacity. It is also broadly consistent with the draft performance specications for
the JHSV.
44 Warghting and Logistic Support of Joint Forces from the Joint Sea Base
Figure 3.14
HBCT Movement in Scenario C, with and without a JHSV
7
SBE heavy combat w/o JHSV
SBME heavy combat w/o JHSV
6
Days to complete movement
1
50/25 55/30 60/35 65/40 70/45 75/50
Distances to MEB/SPOD (NM)
RAND MG649-3.14
Figure 3.15
SBCT Movement in Scenario C, with Differing Aircraft Mixes
7
SBE heavy combat16 CH-53K/34 MV-22
SBME heavy combat16 CH-53K/34 MV-22
6
Days to complete movement
1
50/25 55/30 60/35 65/40 70/45 75/50
Sea base distance to MEB/SPOD (NM)
RAND MG649-3.15
the shore or vertical replenishments. Unlike the rotor brake and blade
folding problems, these other issues have clearly identied remedial
procedures.
We assume that the above issues can be resolved and look at the
feasibility of positioning Army helicopters on the sea baselanding
them on MPF(F) ships, locating them on spots normally occupied by
aircraft, and ying them o at the appropriate time (again, assum-
ing that MV-22 aircraft have been moved ashore to make space for
CH-47F aircraft). Of the 34 operational MV-22 aircraft earmarked for
sustainment, how many could be moved o the MPF(F) ships with-
out breaking sustainment capability? As above, this analysis is con-
ducted in Appendix E under Scenario A, which is more stressing than
Scenario B on aircraft sustainment operations.
The CH-47F is signicantly smaller than the MV-22 when both
are folded.30 A size comparison suggests that, with 34 MV-22 aircraft
removed (presumably ashore) from the MPF(F) ships, over 40 CH-47F
aircraft could be located on the MPF(F) ships.
Absent LCACs and MV-22s (i.e., using only CH-53K helicop-
ters), MPF(F) ships appear incapable of sustaining an SBME and an
airborne combat brigade in heavy combat. A robust sustainment capa-
bility is seen when LCACs also are used to sustain the SBME. We
conclude that, with corrosion and rotor issues addressed and with all
MV-22 aircraft relocated ashore or elsewhere, over 40 CH-47F heli-
copters could be positioned on the MPF(F) ship while it sustained an
SBME and an airborne brigade.
30The CH-47F is 50 feet long when folded, whereas the MV-22 is 63 feet long when folded.
The CH-47F is 12 feet, 5 inches wide, and the MV-22 is 18 feet, 5 inches wide.
CHAPTER FOUR
Conclusions
Overall Findings
49
50 Warghting and Logistic Support of Joint Forces from the Joint Sea Base
Sustainment Results
1 This analysis assumes that Army brigades are 50 NM farther away than the MEB from
the sea base. With the MEB 80 NM from the sea base, the airborne brigade would be
130 NM from the sea base.
Conclusions 51
Movement Results
Other Findings
CH-53Ks are based on the MPF(F). Space for Army aircraft could
be created temporarily by moving MV-22 aircraft ashore, but sev-
eral problems would remain, including rotor issues (braking and
folding), corrosion, and maintenance.
APPENDIX A
Additional Cases
This appendix presents cases omitted for brevity in the main body of
this monograph. Our purpose here is to examine additional cases of
interest, to illustrate the generality of ndings in the main body and
to better illuminate dependencies. As in Chapter Three, cases here are
organized by scenario.
55
56 Warghting and Logistic Support of Joint Forces from the Joint Sea Base
Figure A.1
VTOL Plus LCAC Sustainment in Scenario A, with MLPs 50 NM from SPOD
500
SBME + ABN BCT heavy combat w/ LCACs
SBE + ABN BCT heavy combat w/ LCACs
400
SBME + ABN BCT heavy combat w/o LCACs
SBE + ABN BCT heavy combat w/o LCACs
Capacity (%)
300
200
100
0
25/75/ 45/95/ 65/115/ 85/135/ 105/155/
50 50 50 50 50
Distances to MEB/ABN BCT/SPOD (NM)
= breakpoint
RAND MG649-A.1
aircraft to meet Army BCT needs. As for the LCACs, their number of
sorties was reduced by about 25 percent.1 With aircraft performance
unchanged and LCAC throughput decreased by 25 percent, the net
eect of increasing the distance to the SPOD from 25 to 50 NM was
reduction of overall throughput by 10 to 20 percent.
1 LCAC load and ooad times per sortie were unchanged. Hence doubling transit times
did not double sortie durations or halve the number of sorties.
2 MCCDC, MSTP Center, MAGTF Planners Reference Manual, Quantico, Va.: MSTP
Pamphlet 5-0.3, 2006c, p. 35.
Additional Cases 57
Figure A.2
VTOL Plus LCAC Sustainment in Scenario A, with LCACs Limited to 12 Hours
of Operation per Day
300
200
100
0
25/75/ 45/95/ 65/115/ 85/135/ 105/155/
50 50 50 50 50
Distances to MEB/ABN BCT/SPOD (NM)
= breakpoint
RAND MG649-A.2
58 Warghting and Logistic Support of Joint Forces from the Joint Sea Base
Figure A.3
VTOL-Only Sustainment of a MEB and an Army Airborne Brigade in
Scenario A Is Marginal
300
150
100
50
0
25/75 45/95 65/115 85/135 105/155
LHA(R)/LHD distance to MEB/ABN BCT (NM)
RAND MG649-A.3
Additional Cases 59
Figure A.4
VTOL Plus LCAC Sustainment in Scenario A Is More Robust
300
200
100
0
25/75/ 45/95/ 65/115/ 85/135/ 105/155/
25 25 25 25 25
Distances to MEB/ABN BCT/SPOD (NM)
= breakpoint
RAND MG649-A.4
robust capability is again seen, with results for the SBE in sustained
operations falling between the SBE in heavy combat and the SBME in
heavy combat. As noted in the preceding section, breakpoints depend
solely on the ability of MPF(F) aircraft to meet Army BCT needs, so
they are unchanged.
We conclude generally that sustainment results for an SBE in sus-
tained combat fall between those for the SBE in heavy combat and the
SBME in heavy combat.
room for Army CH-47 helicopters either by using LCACs for sus-
tainment or by reducing the distance from the large deck ships to the
SBME.
Relative sustainment capacity for an SBME in heavy combat is
shown in Figure A.5 for CH-53K helicopters alone and for CH-53K
helicopters working with LCACs. Figure A.3 results with MV-22 air-
craft are also shown here for reference.
As a secondary nding, Figure A.5 also shows that MV-22 air-
craft contribute relatively little to sustainment for large distances (i.e.,
distances approaching 110 NM).
Figure A.5
SBME Sustainment in Scenario A, Without MV-22 Aircraft
600
500
400
300
200
100
0
25/75/ 45/95/ 65/115/ 85/135/ 105/155/
25 25 25 25 25
Distances to MEB/SBCT/SPOD (NM)
RAND MG649-A.5
Additional Cases 61
Figure A.6
Dedicating Additional Operating Spots for SBME, Airborne BCT in Heavy
Combat
300
200
100
0
25 30 35 40 45 50
Distance to MEB (NM)
RAND MG649-A.6
3 A general assumption of this study is that one operational spot on each of the three large
decks will be dedicated to MV-22 combat search-and-rescue aircraft.
62 Warghting and Logistic Support of Joint Forces from the Joint Sea Base
Figure A.7
MEB Plus SBCT Sustainment in Scenario B, with MLPs 50 NM from SPOD
200
100
0
25/75/ 45/95/ 65/115/ 85/135/ 105/155/
25 25 25 25 25
Distances to MEB/SBCT/SPOD (NM)
RAND MG649-A.7
Additional Cases 63
Figure A.8
MEB Plus HBCT Sustainment in Scenario B, with MLPs 50 NM from SPOD
400
200
100
0
25/75/ 45/95/ 65/115/ 85/135/ 105/155/
25 25 25 25 25
Distances to MEB/HBCT/SPOD (NM)
RAND MG649-A.8
Figure A.9
SBCT Sustainment in Scenario B, with Altered Aircraft Mix
300
100
0
25/75/ 45/95/ 65/115/ 85/135/ 105/155/
25 25 25 25 25
Distances to MEB/SBCT/SPOD (NM)
RAND MG649-A.9
Figure A.10
HBCT Sustainment in Scenario B, with Altered Aircraft Mix
300
100
0
25/75/ 45/95/ 65/115/ 85/135/ 105/155/
25 25 25 25 25
Distances to MEB/HBCT/SPOD (NM)
RAND MG649-A.10
66 Warghting and Logistic Support of Joint Forces from the Joint Sea Base
Figure A.11
SBCT Sustainment in Scenario B, with and without Bulk Water
400
Capacity (%)
300
200
100
0
25/75/ 45/95/ 65/115/ 85/135/ 105/155/
25 25 25 25 25
Distances to MEB/SBCT/SPOD (NM)
RAND MG649-A.11
Additional Cases 67
Figure A.12
HBCT Sustainment in Scenario B, with and without Bulk Water
300
200
100
0
25/75/ 45/95/ 65/115/ 85/135/ 105/155/
25 25 25 25 25
Distances to MEB/HBCT/SPOD (NM)
RAND MG649-A.12
Figure A.13
SBCT Movement for Differing MEB Locations
SBME at SPOD
6
Days to complete movement
SBE at SPOD
SBME 25 NM beyond SPOD
5 SBE 25 NM beyond SPOD
1
25 30 35 40 45 50
Distance to SPOD (NM)
RAND MG649-A.13
Figure A.14
HBCT Movement for Differing MEB Locations
6
Days to complete movement
SBME at SPOD
3
SBE at SPOD
SBME 25 NM beyond SPOD
2 SBE 25 NM beyond SPOD
1
25 30 35 40 45 50
Distance to SPOD (NM)
RAND MG649-A.14
APPENDIX B
1 The Programs and Resources Branch of the Marine Corps updates MPF(F) program
information annually.
69
70 Warghting and Logistic Support of Joint Forces from the Joint Sea Base
Figure B.1
LHD-5, USS Bataan
The MPF(F) LMSR will have about 202,000 square feet of cargo space
and two or four aircraft operating spots, and it will berth about 850
personnel. Its design speed is 20 knots. It will store 33,500 gallons of
water, and it will have the capacity to produce 24,000 gallons of water
per day.
Figure B.3 illustrates an MPF(F) LMSR alongside an MLP. Note
the ramp on the LMSR that is lowered between the two ships.
72 Warghting and Logistic Support of Joint Forces from the Joint Sea Base
Figure B.2
T-AKE-1, USNS Lewis and Clark
Figure B.3
MPF(F) LMSR Alongside an MLP
LMSR
MLP
Figure B.4
MLP Operations
JHSV
MLP LMSR
Army Elements
The Army has three types of brigade combat teams today: the Infantry
Brigade Combat Team (IBCT), the Stryker Brigade Combat Team
(SBCT), and a heavy Brigade Combat Team (HBCT). The airborne
brigade analyzed in this study is a form of Infantry Brigade. This sec-
tion describes the personnel and equipment of the IBCT, SBCT, and
HBCT, respectively.
1 Secretary of the Army, The Army Modular Force 20042020, brieng, no date.
2 Major equipment lists do not include such items as water or atbed trailers, dump trucks,
loaders, electrical generator sets, or unit equipment.
75
Figure C.1
Design of the Army IBCT
Warfighting and Logistic Support of Joint Forces from the Joint Sea Base
~3.6K soldiers
II II II II II
BTB FIRES SPT
Brigade troops Recon squadron Infantry battalions Fires battalion Support battalion
UA Headquarters Recon Capabilities Combat Maneuver Capabilities Fires Support
Increased staff 2 motorized recon troops 6 infantry companies Joint fires cell
C2 enhancements 1 dismounted recon troop 6 assault platoons 3 x joint tactical air
Deputy commander (motorized) control teams (infantry Maintenance company
Special ops/civil affairs and RSTA battalions)
coordinator 2 scout platoons
Aviation and air defense 2 mortar platoons
Distribution company
HHC HMMWV with
Security platoon long-range advanced
Military police platoon scout surveillance
10 x 105mm howitzers
system
(2 batteries)
2 sniper sections Medical company
Target Acquisition
Signal company
Communications/network Intelligence and Surveillance Capabilities Counterfire and
operations support countermortar
radars 4 forward support
Engineer company
Target acquisition companies (provide
6 engineer squads platoon maintenance and other
Light equipment Military intel company TUAV platoon support to battalions)
Intelligence integration Multi-sensor unit
Battle Command: and analysis Various sensor capabilities
Networked battle command Human intelligence
enabling systems capabilities
RAND MG649-C.1
Army and Marine Corps Ground Elements Evaluated 77
Table C.1
Major Equipment in the Infantry Brigade Combat Team
Table C.2
Major Equipment in the Stryker Brigade Combat Team
Warfighting and Logistic Support of Joint Forces from the Joint Sea Base
~3.9K soldiers
I II II II II II II
HHC SPT
Headquarters RSTA Maneuver combat Anti-tank Fires battalion Engineer Support battalion
Styker HQs Recon Capabilities Combat Maneuver Capabilities Anti-Tank Fires Engineer
Increased staff 3 Stryker RSTA troops Joint fires cell
C2 enhancements 9 ICV companies
Surveillance troop 5 x joint tactical air
Deputy commander 9 MGS platoons
(UAV and sensors) control teams
PSYOPS/civil affairs 9 mortar sections (infantry, RSTA
Aviation and air 3 chemical recon 127 x infantry 9 Stryker 9 engineer
vehicles 3 scout platoons anti-tank guided battalions and
defense carrier vehicles brigade) squads
53 recon & fires missile vehicles
HHC 3 mobility squads
vehicles with with various
Military police C2 cell long-range advanced equipment
scout surveillance
system
Mortar platoon 30 x 120mm 27 x mobile 16 x 155mm howitzers
6 x 120mm mortar carriers gun systems 2 sniper sections (3 batteries)
Signal company
Communications/
network operations
Intelligence and Surveillance Capabilities Target Acquisition Support
support
Counterfire and
Battle Command: countermortar
radars Distribution company
Networked battle
command enabling Military intel company UAV platoon
systems Intelligence integration RSTA battalion Medical company
and analysis Multi-sensor unit Target
Human intelligence Various sensor acquisition
capabilities capabilities platoon Maintenance company
RAND MG649-C.2
Figure C.3
Design of the Army Heavy Brigade Combat Team
~3.8K soldiers
II II II II II
BTB FIRES SPT
Brigade troops Recon squadron Combined arms Fires battalion Support battalion
RAND MG649-C.3
9
80 Warghting and Logistic Support of Joint Forces from the Joint Sea Base
The HBCT has about 3,800 soldiers. It has 1,770 vehicles with a
total weight of 18,964 ST. The total weight of the HBCT is 20,202 ST.
Major equipment items in the HBCT are shown in Table C.3.
MEB Elements
The Marine Corps developed the MPF(F) MEB, or 2015 MEB, for
operation from MPF(F) ships.3 This is the MEB evaluated here.
The 2015 MEB has 14,484 personnel, organized into a Sea Base
Echelon (with 8,397 personnel), a Forward Base Echelon (with 1,907
personnel), and a Sustained Operations Ashore Echelon (with 4,180
personnel). The Sea Base Echelon (SBE) has a Sea Base Maneuver Ele-
ment (SBME) with 4,989 personnel and a Sea Base Support Element
(SBSE) with 3,408 personnel. The SBSE initially supports the SBME
from the sea base; later, much of it will move ashore to better support
the SBME. The Sustained Operations Ashore Echelon normally oper-
ates from the continental United States.
Table C.3
Major Equipment in the Heavy Brigade Combat Team
Table C.4
Major Equipment in the MPF(F) MEB
Sustainment Requirements
Table D.1
Marine Corps Sustainment Requirements
83
84 Warghting and Logistic Support of Joint Forces from the Joint Sea Base
Table D.2
Army Brigade Sustainment Requirements
Figure D.1
Ground Element Consumption Rates
800
Heavy combat Sustained
combat
700
Ammunition
600
Dry stores
Water
500
Tons per day
POL
400
300
200
100
0
ABN BCT SBCT HBCT SBME SBE SBE
RAND MG649-D.1
86 Warghting and Logistic Support of Joint Forces from the Joint Sea Base
Figure D.2
Aggregate Consumption Rates of Ground Element
1600
Heavy combat Sustained
combat
1400
POL
1200
Water
Dry stores
1000
Tons per day
Ammunition
800
600
400
200
0
ABN BCT SBCT HBCT SBME SBE SBE
RAND MG649-D.2
APPENDIX E
Model Description
Model Overview
87
88 Warghting and Logistic Support of Joint Forces from the Joint Sea Base
Model Procedures
Setup Procedure
Setup consists of preliminary administrative functions; identication
of the scenario to be treated with geographic distances; and inputting
the parameters for the Marine Corps and Army ground elements, the
sea base, and for any JHSVs. It is done entirely from data, rather than
by building such functions into the code. Unless stated otherwise, the
following denition of characteristics is from data.
3 In fact, the number of days of supply to be maintained is irrelevant to the problem so long
as we assume that the ground elements begin with that supply level. In sustainment, JSLM
is essentially a pipeline model attempting to ow consumables ashore at least as fast as
they are being consumed. DOS levels are included in model output to ease interpretation of
results.
Model Description 91
4 Aircraft parameters reecting CH-53K and MV-22 aircraft were provided by MCCDC
for this study.
5 In a sense, this analysis suggests requirements for future Army Prepositioning Ship ooad
rates. If those future APS ships cannot keep up with connector movement ashore, the APS
will become a bottleneck.
6 The model does not track non-available aircraft such as operationally unavailable aircraft
or MV-22s reserved for search and rescue operations.
92 Warghting and Logistic Support of Joint Forces from the Joint Sea Base
LCACs but cannot load more than two LCACs at a time. This com-
pletes the characterization of the MLP.
LCACs are described in terms of their average speed in operation,
their maximum operating hours per day,7 the number of passengers
they can transport in a passengers-only sortie or while carrying vehicles
or material, load capacities, and load and ooad times for dierent
types of loads. Data used in the model are for LCACs that have gone
through the LCAC service life extension program.8 Finally, what are
deemed bias terms are assigned to payload types. These terms elevate
the threshold at which LCACs are assigned payload types and thus
allow preferences in assigning loads.
Three (LHA(R) and LHD) amphibious assault ships are coded
into JSLM; addition of a fourth amphibious assault ship would require
code modication. Amphibious assault ships are dierentiated in the
model by their parameters; no given ship is designated an LHA(R) or
an LHD. They are characterized by the number of (port side) spots
that can be used for sustainment or to help transport the Army ele-
ment. They are also assigned a schedule for ight operations, consisting
of spotting and unfolding aircraft in preparation for a ight window,
the ight window itself, respotting aircraft at the conclusion of a ight
window, and a standdown period. This cycle is shown in Figure E.1.
Figure E.1 shows operations over a 28-hour period to clarify
the way cycles wrap across days. Again, the gure shows ight opera-
tions for representative cycles and aircraft mixes. Times do not need
to span entire days; instead, they could be assigned, for example, to
limit the ight window to cover of darkness. The number of CH-53
and MV-22 aircraft assigned to each amphibious ship is also an input;
the model does not check that they will all t. Here, each LHA(R)
7 For safety, a limit of 16 hours per day of operation is currently assigned to LCAC crews.
LCACs in the model attempt to complete their last sortie of the day within the assigned time
limit but are not always able to do so; there can be a crush of LCACs at the MLP at times
and these crushes are not predictable as LCAC sorties are planned. The operating time limit
for LCACs is an input. Entering a value greater than 24 hours can eliminate time limits
altogether.
8 Of note, it is about 10 knots faster than existing LCACs.
Model Description 93
Figure E.1
Flight Operations on an Amphibious Assault Ship
0000
0100
0200
0300
0400
0500
0600
0700
0800
0900
1000
1100
1200
1300
1400
1500
1600
1700
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
0000
0100
0200
0300
0400
LHA(R) #1 6 x CH-53K + 11 x MV-22 LHA(R) #1 6 x
RESPOT
SPOT
SPOT
FLIGHT WINDOW:
FLIGHT WI
0100 1100
RESPOT
SPOT
FLIGHT WINDOW:
0900 1900
RESPOT
FLIGHT WINDOW:
SPOT
0400
1700 0400
RAND MG649-E.1
9 Again, not counting those MV-22 aircraft withheld for purposes other than
sustainment.
94 Warghting and Logistic Support of Joint Forces from the Joint Sea Base
10 Rules also govern load locations. Aircraft take POL from the amphibious ship, so there
is no ship-to-ship movement for POL sorties. All other aircraft loads require ship-to-ship
movement. Other than troops, all aircraft loads are external. Aerodynamics limit aircraft
speed with external loads (reducing the MV-22s speed advantage over the CH-53K). Rules
also apply to internal and external loading, and aircraft operation with internal and external
loads.
11 A draft set of JHSV performance specications was in circulation at the time of this
study. It species a threshold troop capacity of 312 passengers. This lesser requirement does
not change simulation results, because results did not hinge on the ability to transport all
Army troops in just a few JHSV loads.
Model Description 95
transport troops to the sea base, so it is assumed that the JHSV is con-
gured for maximum troop capacity.
This completes model setup prior to the simulation of sea base
operations.
Operational Procedures
To address the feasibility of simultaneous sustainment operations, the
program runs sustainment operations at the highest possible tempo. If
the days of supply for the Marine Corps and the Army elements do not
drop below the required DOS, simultaneous sustainment is possible.
Otherwise (i.e., operating at a maximum tempo, the required DOS
cannot be maintained), simultaneous operation is not sustainable. As
stated, the model is written so that any surplus sustainment capacity
goes to dry stores (DS; with excess dry cargo building up). This is illus-
trated in portions of sample model output shown in Figure E.2.
The model output below shows ten days of sustainment for an
SBE and an Army airborne brigade in Scenario A, with LCACs used
to sustain the MEB.12 The rst day of sustainment is day 0, and end-
of-day DOS are shown for each sustainment category for the Marine
Corps and Army elements. At the bottom of the gure, following
day-by-day material, there is a summary of the number of LCAC,
CH-53K, and MV-22 sorties by load category, as well as the levels at
which Marine Corps and Army ground elements were sustained.13
The high-level performance metric used in the analysisrelative
throughput rateis shown at the bottom of the output.
12 Again, ten days of sustainment operations are used to average out modeling articialities;
they are not intended to represent some operational reality. In addition, it is recognized that
the sea base could not provide hundreds of days of dry cargo over this period; the buildup of
excess dry cargo quanties surplus connector lift capacity.
13 To assist in interpreting output, JSLM outputs material describing the scenario being
run. It also outputs inputs, including distances, sustainment rates, and MPG data. For brev-
ity, this output is not shown here. In addition, JSLM creates logs of LCAC, MLP, rotary
wing aircraft, and LHA(R)/LHD activities on a minute-by-minute basis. This extensive le
is not shown.
96 Warghting and Logistic Support of Joint Forces from the Joint Sea Base
Figure E.2
SBME and Army Airborne Brigade in Scenario A
End of day 0
MEB POL DOS: 10.06; H2O DOS: 10.20; Ammo DOS: 10.24; DS DOS: 47.75
BCT POL DOS: 5.06; H2O DOS: 5.08; Ammo DOS: 5.08; DS DOS: 9.33
End of day 1
MEB POL DOS: 10.05; H2O DOS: 10.15; Ammo DOS: 10.24; DS DOS: 94.63
BCT POL DOS: 5.03; H2O DOS: 5.06; Ammo DOS: 5.16; DS DOS: 14.67
End of day 2
MEB POL DOS: 10.08; H2O DOS: 10.19; Ammo DOS: 10.24; DS DOS: 141.50
BCT POL DOS: 5.04; H2O DOS: 5.04; Ammo DOS: 5.24; DS DOS: 19.78
End of day 3
MEB POL DOS: 10.04; H2O DOS: 10.14; Ammo DOS: 10.23; DS DOS: 188.37
BCT POL DOS: 5.06; H2O DOS: 5.09; Ammo DOS: 5.32; DS DOS: 25.22
End of day 4
MEB POL DOS: 10.05; H2O DOS: 10.19; Ammo DOS: 10.23; DS DOS: 235.24
BCT POL DOS: 5.15; H2O DOS: 5.01; Ammo DOS: 5.40; DS DOS: 30.34
End of day 5
MEB POL DOS: 10.05; H2O DOS: 10.20; Ammo DOS: 10.23; DS DOS: 281.36
BCT POL DOS: 5.05; H2O DOS: 5.04; Ammo DOS: 5.48; DS DOS: 36.56
End of day 6
MEB POL DOS: 10.05; H2O DOS: 10.15; Ammo DOS: 10.23; DS DOS: 328.23
BCT POL DOS: 5.02; H2O DOS: 5.07; Ammo DOS: 5.56; DS DOS: 41.89
End of day 7
MEB POL DOS: 10.08; H2O DOS: 10.19; Ammo DOS: 10.23; DS DOS: 375.10
BCT POL DOS: 5.04; H2O DOS: 5.05; Ammo DOS: 5.64; DS DOS: 47.00
End of day 8
MEB POL DOS: 10.07; H2O DOS: 10.14; Ammo DOS: 10.23; DS DOS: 421.97
BCT POL DOS: 5.05; H2O DOS: 5.08; Ammo DOS: 5.72; DS DOS: 52.56
End of day 9
MEB POL DOS: 10.06; H2O DOS: 10.18; Ammo DOS: 10.23; DS DOS: 468.85
BCT POL DOS: 5.15; H2O DOS: 5.08; Ammo DOS: 5.79; DS DOS: 57.89
14 Recall that JSLM is written so that any surplus sustainment capacity goes to dry stores
(with excess dry cargo building up). With 92 percent of LCAC and 67 percent of MV-22
sorties assigned dry stores payloads, and with dry stores piling up ashore, there is signicant
excess capacity.
98 Warghting and Logistic Support of Joint Forces from the Joint Sea Base
Figure E.3
SBME and Army Airborne Brigade in Scenario B
End of day 0
MEB POL DOS: 10.06; H2O DOS: 10.14; Ammo DOS: 10.07; DS DOS: 10.61
BCT POL DOS: 5.06; H2O DOS: 5.14; Ammo DOS: 11.14; DS DOS: 35.30
End of day 1
MEB POL DOS: 10.06; H2O DOS: 10.18; Ammo DOS: 10.08; DS DOS: 10.39
BCT POL DOS: 5.03; H2O DOS: 5.11; Ammo DOS: 10.14; DS DOS: 72.61
End of day 2
MEB POL DOS: 10.07; H2O DOS: 10.13; Ammo DOS: 10.05; DS DOS: 10.24
BCT POL DOS: 5.04; H2O DOS: 5.12; Ammo DOS: 9.14; DS DOS: 109.95
End of day 3
MEB POL DOS: 10.06; H2O DOS: 10.18; Ammo DOS: 10.08; DS DOS: 10.10
BCT POL DOS: 5.06; H2O DOS: 5.01; Ammo DOS: 8.14; DS DOS: 147.19
End of day 4
MEB POL DOS: 10.05; H2O DOS: 10.12; Ammo DOS: 10.08; DS DOS: 10.52
BCT POL DOS: 5.07; H2O DOS: 5.01; Ammo DOS: 7.14; DS DOS: 184.43
End of day 5
MEB POL DOS: 10.07; H2O DOS: 10.17; Ammo DOS: 10.09; DS DOS: 10.28
BCT POL DOS: 5.05; H2O DOS: 5.15; Ammo DOS: 6.14; DS DOS: 221.13
End of day 6
MEB POL DOS: 10.07; H2O DOS: 10.12; Ammo DOS: 10.06; DS DOS: 10.13
BCT POL DOS: 5.06; H2O DOS: 5.13; Ammo DOS: 5.14; DS DOS: 258.31
End of day 7
MEB POL DOS: 10.06; H2O DOS: 10.16; Ammo DOS: 10.06; DS DOS: 10.19
BCT POL DOS: 5.04; H2O DOS: 5.16; Ammo DOS: 5.22; DS DOS: 295.93
End of day 8
MEB POL DOS: 10.07; H2O DOS: 10.11; Ammo DOS: 10.07; DS DOS: 10.40
BCT POL DOS: 5.13; H2O DOS: 5.13; Ammo DOS: 5.30; DS DOS: 333.29
End of day 9
MEB POL DOS: 10.06; H2O DOS: 10.15; Ammo DOS: 10.08; DS DOS: 10.39
BCT POL DOS: 5.11; H2O DOS: 5.08; Ammo DOS: 5.38; DS DOS: 370.69
Figure E.4
Army Heavy Brigade from a Short Distance in Scenario A
End of day 0
MEB POL DOS: 10.05; H2O DOS: 10.20; Ammo DOS: 10.07; DS DOS: 10.11
BCT POL DOS: 5.04; H2O DOS: 4.98; Ammo DOS: 5.16; DS DOS: 4.92
End of day 1
MEB POL DOS: 10.06; H2O DOS: 10.10; Ammo DOS: 10.08; DS DOS: 10.23
BCT POL DOS: 5.03; H2O DOS: 5.02; Ammo DOS: 5.06; DS DOS: 7.67
End of day 2
MEB POL DOS: 10.05; H2O DOS: 10.17; Ammo DOS: 10.08; DS DOS: 10.15
BCT POL DOS: 5.03; H2O DOS: 5.03; Ammo DOS: 5.11; DS DOS: 11.09
End of day 3
MEB POL DOS: 10.05; H2O DOS: 10.17; Ammo DOS: 10.05; DS DOS: 10.08
BCT POL DOS: 5.07; H2O DOS: 5.00; Ammo DOS: 5.17; DS DOS: 13.59
End of day 4
MEB POL DOS: 10.05; H2O DOS: 10.07; Ammo DOS: 10.06; DS DOS: 10.19
BCT POL DOS: 5.00; H2O DOS: 5.01; Ammo DOS: 5.07; DS DOS: 17.37
End of day 5
MEB POL DOS: 10.06; H2O DOS: 10.08; Ammo DOS: 10.06; DS DOS: 10.12
BCT POL DOS: 5.00; H2O DOS: 5.02; Ammo DOS: 5.13; DS DOS: 20.65
End of day 6
MEB POL DOS: 10.06; H2O DOS: 10.20; Ammo DOS: 10.07; DS DOS: 10.23
BCT POL DOS: 5.00; H2O DOS: 4.97; Ammo DOS: 5.18; DS DOS: 24.13
End of day 7
MEB POL DOS: 10.05; H2O DOS: 10.15; Ammo DOS: 10.07; DS DOS: 10.16
BCT POL DOS: 5.04; H2O DOS: 5.01; Ammo DOS: 5.09; DS DOS: 27.02
End of day 8
MEB POL DOS: 10.05; H2O DOS: 10.16; Ammo DOS: 10.04; DS DOS: 10.09
BCT POL DOS: 5.04; H2O DOS: 5.01; Ammo DOS: 5.14; DS DOS: 30.39
End of day 9
MEB POL DOS: 10.05; H2O DOS: 10.11; Ammo DOS: 10.08; DS DOS: 10.20
BCT POL DOS: 5.04; H2O DOS: 4.99; Ammo DOS: 5.19; DS DOS: 33.56
15 The model still initializes the BCT with 5 DOS in all sustainment areas. The result of
zeroing HBCT demand for bulk water is then (articially) xing BCT bulk water DOS at
5 days.
Model Description 101
Figure E.5
Army Heavy Brigade in Scenario A, from a Greater Distance
End of day 0
MEB POL DOS: 10.04; H2O DOS: 10.03; Ammo DOS: 10.04; DS DOS: 10.02
BCT POL DOS: 4.42; H2O DOS: 4.00; Ammo DOS: 4.00; DS DOS: 4.00
End of day 1
MEB POL DOS: 10.03; H2O DOS: 10.05; Ammo DOS: 10.06; DS DOS: 10.05
BCT POL DOS: 4.23; H2O DOS: 3.00; Ammo DOS: 3.00; DS DOS: 3.00
End of day 2
MEB POL DOS: 10.03; H2O DOS: 10.09; Ammo DOS: 10.07; DS DOS: 10.07
BCT POL DOS: 4.04; H2O DOS: 2.00; Ammo DOS: 2.00; DS DOS: 2.00
End of day 3
MEB POL DOS: 10.03; H2O DOS: 10.05; Ammo DOS: 10.06; DS DOS: 10.09
BCT POL DOS: 3.85; H2O DOS: 1.00; Ammo DOS: 1.00; DS DOS: 1.00
End of day 4
MEB POL DOS: 10.03; H2O DOS: 10.04; Ammo DOS: 10.07; DS DOS: 10.12
BCT POL DOS: 3.63; H2O DOS: 0.00; Ammo DOS: 0.00; DS DOS: 0.00
End of day 5
MEB POL DOS: 10.04; H2O DOS: 10.05; Ammo DOS: 10.05; DS DOS: 10.14
BCT POL DOS: 3.42; H2O DOS: 0.00; Ammo DOS: 0.00; DS DOS: 0.00
End of day 6
MEB POL DOS: 10.03; H2O DOS: 10.05; Ammo DOS: 10.07; DS DOS: 10.16
BCT POL DOS: 3.22; H2O DOS: 0.00; Ammo DOS: 0.00; DS DOS: 0.00
End of day 7
MEB POL DOS: 10.03; H2O DOS: 10.10; Ammo DOS: 10.05; DS DOS: 10.19
BCT POL DOS: 3.00; H2O DOS: 0.00; Ammo DOS: 0.00; DS DOS: 0.00
End of day 8
MEB POL DOS: 10.02; H2O DOS: 10.05; Ammo DOS: 10.06; DS DOS: 10.21
BCT POL DOS: 2.80; H2O DOS: 0.00; Ammo DOS: 0.00; DS DOS: 0.00
End of day 9
MEB POL DOS: 10.03; H2O DOS: 10.04; Ammo DOS: 10.05; DS DOS: 10.06
BCT POL DOS: 2.55; H2O DOS: 0.00; Ammo DOS: 0.00; DS DOS: 0.00
Figure E.6
Army Heavy Brigade in Scenario A, Self-Sufcient in Bulk Water
End of day 0
MEB POL DOS: 10.05; H2O DOS: 10.00; Ammo DOS: 10.04; DS DOS: 10.19
BCT POL DOS: 4.91; H2O DOS: 5.00; Ammo DOS: 4.00; DS DOS: 4.00
End of day 1
MEB POL DOS: 10.06; H2O DOS: 10.00; Ammo DOS: 10.06; DS DOS: 10.22
BCT POL DOS: 4.99; H2O DOS: 5.00; Ammo DOS: 3.82; DS DOS: 3.00
End of day 2
MEB POL DOS: 10.06; H2O DOS: 10.00; Ammo DOS: 10.07; DS DOS: 10.07
BCT POL DOS: 4.99; H2O DOS: 5.00; Ammo DOS: 4.86; DS DOS: 2.00
End of day 3
MEB POL DOS: 10.03; H2O DOS: 10.00; Ammo DOS: 10.06; DS DOS: 10.09
BCT POL DOS: 4.99; H2O DOS: 5.00; Ammo DOS: 5.06; DS DOS: 1.68
End of day 4
MEB POL DOS: 10.03; H2O DOS: 10.00; Ammo DOS: 10.07; DS DOS: 10.12
BCT POL DOS: 4.98; H2O DOS: 5.00; Ammo DOS: 5.15; DS DOS: 1.66
End of day 5
MEB POL DOS: 10.03; H2O DOS: 10.00; Ammo DOS: 10.05; DS DOS: 10.14
BCT POL DOS: 5.00; H2O DOS: 5.00; Ammo DOS: 5.10; DS DOS: 1.41
End of day 6
MEB POL DOS: 10.04; H2O DOS: 10.00; Ammo DOS: 10.07; DS DOS: 10.16
BCT POL DOS: 4.98; H2O DOS: 5.00; Ammo DOS: 5.16; DS DOS: 1.09
End of day 7
MEB POL DOS: 10.06; H2O DOS: 10.00; Ammo DOS: 10.05; DS DOS: 10.19
BCT POL DOS: 4.99; H2O DOS: 5.00; Ammo DOS: 5.11; DS DOS: 0.92
End of day 8
MEB POL DOS: 10.03; H2O DOS: 10.00; Ammo DOS: 10.06; DS DOS: 10.21
BCT POL DOS: 4.99; H2O DOS: 5.00; Ammo DOS: 5.07; DS DOS: 0.60
End of day 9
MEB POL DOS: 10.04; H2O DOS: 10.00; Ammo DOS: 10.05; DS DOS: 10.06
BCT POL DOS: 4.99; H2O DOS: 5.00; Ammo DOS: 5.13; DS DOS: 0.51
force to be moved through the sea base, and the shortest distance con-
sidered, this is a best case. Model output is illustrated in Figure E.7.16
Here, we can see that all (3,929) Army personnel could be trans-
ported on the rst day. As observed in the main body of this report,
MV-22 aircraft transported a small fraction of all personnel (the large
majority of passengers were moved 24 at a time, by LCACs other-wise
loaded with vehicles and material). With 214 LCAC loads, the LCACs
had the potential to transport over 4,000 passengers. MV-22s could be
used tactically ashore without slowing Army movement.
Figure E.7
SBCT Movement Through the Sea Base
End of day 0
MEB POL DOS: 10.05; H2O DOS: 10.19; Ammo DOS: 10.08; DS DOS: 10.11
Loaded - BCT pers: 3929; vehicle tons: 4544; DS tons: 1036
At SPOD - BCT pers: 3929; vehicle tons: 4216; DS tons: 1036
End of day 1
MEB POL DOS: 10.04; H2O DOS: 10.14; Ammo DOS: 10.16; DS DOS: 10.04
Loaded - BCT pers: 3929; vehicle tons: 10816; DS tons: 1036
At SPOD - BCT pers: 3929; vehicle tons: 10460; DS tons: 1036
Data
This study capitalized upon recent seabasing studies conducted by
Marine Corps Combat Development Command (MCCDC) and the
Center for Naval Analyses (CNA), and a RAND AoA for JHSVs. The
MCCDC and CNA analyses examined sustainment using only air-
craft. MCCDC provided the CH-53K and MV-22 parameters used
for this analysis. MLP characteristics are based on a PEO Ships MLP
notional design17 and the MV American Cormorant. LCAC data are
from the MAGTF Planners Reference Manual.18
MCCDC provided SBE and SBME sustainment requirements for
this study. The Armys Combined Arms Support Command provided
Army BCT sustainment requirements for this study.
Clark, ADM Vern, Chief of Naval Operations (CNO), and General Michael
Hagee, Commandant of the Marine Corps (CMC), Naval Operating Concept for
Joint Operations, Department of the Navy, September 2003.
Defense Science Board, Task Force on Mobility, Enabling Sea Basing Capabilities,
Washington, D.C.: Oce of the Under Secretary of Defense for Acquisition,
Technology, and Logistics, September 2005.
Department of Defense, Seabasing Joint Integrating Concept, Version 1.0,
Washington, D.C., August 2005.
Department of the Navy, Oce of the Chief of Naval Operations, and
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(LCAC), NWP 3-02, 12, MCRP 3-31.1A, 1997.
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105
106 Warghting and Logistic Support of Joint Forces from the Joint Sea Base
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Schulz, William E., and others, Skin-to-Skin Replenishment, John J. McMullen
Associates, Inc., White Paper, no date.
Secretary of the Army, The Army Modular Force 20042020, brieng, no date.
Support Ships, PEO Ships. As of June 20, 2007:
http://peos.crane.navy.mil/
U.S. Navy, Military Sealift Command Ship Inventory. As of June 20, 2007:
http://www.msc.navy.mil/inventory/inventory.asp?var=DryCargoAmmunitionship
U.S. Navy, V-22 program Web site. As of June 20, 2007:
http://www.navy.mil/navydata/fact_display.asp?cid=1200&tid=800&ct=1
Work, Robert, Thinking About Seabasing: All Ahead, Slow, Washington, D.C.:
Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments, 2006.