Forecasting Water Demands

Case study:

Summary:
It is widely accepted that water supply will
be a pressing issue in this century. Computer models are required
to help water authorities better allocate their daily water supply.
This research developed a time series model to forecast demands
24 hours in advance for the urban and agricultural zone in the
South East Kelowna Irrigation District (British Columbia, Canada).
The model accounted for both seasonal and climatic impacts to
changes in demand. The seasonal demand was modelled using a
Fourier series. The climatic component was studied by multiplying
optimized coefficients to the daily temperature and precipitation
values. The model was calibrated using measured demand data
for the years 2005, 2006 and 2008 and validated using data for
2010. A strong agreement was observed among the field data and
model results.