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decision
Sea Snow
Phenomenon
Rating sale
Cost of promotion (Rp)
Most of the criteria are contradictive or conflicting
For example: we want a good car but cheap ????
Measurement technique are difficult:
We should combine the data with difference scale
No scale for qualitative factors
Technique Pengambilan Keputusan dengan Metode AHP
Oleh: M. Buce Saleh & Tatang Tiryana
How to implement decision?
Procedural stages:
Collecting the data/information,
Analyzing the data/information,
Discussing
Take a Decision
Ranking
Rating
Pairwise comparison
Utility theory
Probability Theory
Posterior/Subjective probability (Bayesian)
Dempster-Shafer
Fuzzy
Number of 6
9 Performance
runner 5
rating on
Ranking scale 0 - 10
1
2 3 winner
Technique Pengambilan Keputusan dengan Metode AHP
Oleh: M. Buce Saleh & Tatang Tiryana
Measurement Scale(2)
What operation should be done with
number!!!
Mathematical
Scale
Operation
Nominal Ordinal Interval Ratio
+/- No No Yes Yes
x/: No No Yes Yes
Mathematical
- - Y=aX+b Y=aX
Function
Alternatives:
Several action that will be prioritized
Number of action limited
Multi Attribute (goals, criteria):
Used for evaluating the alternatives
Each problem has specific attribute:
Examples when we chose the car: price, comfort ability,
safety, etc.
Measurement scale are different.
Criteria
Criteria K1
K1 K2
K2 K3
K3 K4
K4
A1
A1 A1
A1 A1
A1 A1
A1
Alternatives
Alternatives
A2
A2 A2
A2 A2
A2 A2
A2
A3
A3 A3
A3 A3
A3 A3
A3
Scenario Actor
Alternatives Alternatives
Goal The
Thebest
bestcar
carfor
forfamily
family
Goal
Criteria Price
Price Prestige
Prestige Multiuse
Multiuse
Criteria
Alternative
Alternative Toyota
Toyota Suzuki
Suzuki
BMW
BMW Kijang
Kijang Karimun
Karimun
Goal The
Thebest
bestcar
carfor
forfamily
family
Goal
Criteria Price
Price Prestige
Prestige Multiuse
Multiuse
Criteria
Intensity
IntensityScale
Scale Cheap
Cheap Expens
Expens Low
Low Medium
Medium High
High Less
Less More
More
Alternative
Alternative
Alternative
Alternative (all
(alltype
typeand
andtrade
trademark
markin
inmarket)
market)
Technique Pengambilan Keputusan dengan Metode AHP
Oleh: M. Buce Saleh & Tatang Tiryana
2. Hierarchy framing (6)
Struktur hierarki PHTL LEI: model rating
Pengelolaan Hutan
TUJUAN
Tanaman Lestari (PHTL)
Kelestarian Fungsi
Kelestarian Fungsi Kelestarian Fungsi
PRINSIP Sosial Ekonomi dan
Produksi Ekologi/Lingkungan
Budaya
Keterangan :
PROSES MK MH PK
MK : Manajemen Kawasan
MH : Manajemen Hutan
PK : Penataan
Kelembagaan
Pm-K : Pemantapan Kawasan
SUB-PROSES Pm-K Pn-K Pg-K KP KL KS PO PSDM MKeu Pn-K : Penataan Kawasan
Pg-K : Pengamanan Kawasan
KP : Kelola Produksi
KL : Kelola Lingkungan
KS : Kelola Sosial
INDIKATOR PO : Penataan Organisasi
INDIKATOR PSDM : Peningkatan
Sumberdaya Manusia
MKeu : Manajemen
Keuangan
NILAI (SKALA INTENSITAS)
NILAI (SKALA INTENSITAS)
Technique Pengambilan Keputusan dengan Metode AHP
Oleh: M. Buce Saleh & Tatang Tiryana
3. Criteria and Alternative assessment
Value Statement
1 Criteria/alternative A and B equally
important
3 A little more important than B
5 A clearly more important than B
7 A very clearly more important than B
9 A absolutely more important than B
2,4,6,8 If feel hesitated between two close values
Reciprocal value (1/3, 1/5,) used if B more important than A
Price 1 3 4
Multiuse 1/3 1 2
Prestige 1/4 1/2 1
BMW 1 3 7
Kijang 1/3 1 5
Karimun 1/7 1/5 1
it is better to be
approximately
right than
precisely wrong
Iteration-2 :
Summed the value for each row and normalized:
1 3 4 0, 6250 1,8865
0, 33 1 2 x 0, 2385 = 0,7178
0, 25 0, 5 1 0,1365 0,4120
(3,0184)+(3,0096)+(3,0183)
max = =3,0154
3
Calculate consistency index (CI):
max n 3, 0154 3
CI = = = 0, 0077
n 1 3 1
Next Procedure:
Calculate consistency ratio (CR):
CI 0, 0077
CR = = = 0, 0132
RI 0,58
(Note: RI value for n=3 we get from table)
Price
Price Multiuse
Multiuse Prestige
Prestige
(0,625)
(0,625) (0,238)
(0,238) (0,136)
(0,136)
1.
1. Karimun
Karimun(0,648)
(0,648) 1.
1. Kijang
Kijang(0,625)
(0,625) 1.
1. BMW
BMW(0,649)
(0,649)
2. Kijang (0,230)
2. Kijang (0,230) 2.
2. Karimun(0,238)
Karimun (0,238) 2. Kijang (0,279)
2. Kijang (0,279)
3.
3. BMW
BMW(0,122)
(0,122) 3.
3. BMW
BMW(0,136)
(0,136) 3.
3. Karimun
Karimun(0,072)
(0,072)
Example synthesis:
Weight Criteria
Alternative
Price Multiuse Prestige Priority
Alternative
(0,625) (0,238) (0,136)
BMW 0,122 0,136 0,649 0,197
Kijang 0,230 0,625 0,279 0,333
Karimun 0,648 0,238 0,072 0,470
Calculation:
For BMW: (0,122).(0,625) + (0,136).(0.238) + (0,649).(0.136) = 0,197
By:
SYARTINILIA
Supervisor :
Ir. Hadi Susilo Arifin, MS., Ph. D.
Dr. Ir. Lilik Budi Prasetyo, M.Sc
Pulau Jawa
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N
Legenda :
0 1 2 3 Kilometers
#
Ground truth point GPS track 2002 Sungai Cilliwung
Source : - Ketentuan teknis kawasan lindung dalam RTRW Bopunjur (Bappeda, 2000)
dengan berpedoman pada Keppres No.32 tahun 1990 tentang Pengelolaan
Kawasan Lindung dan SK Gubernur Jawa Barat No. 413.21/SK.222-HUK/91
tentang Kriteria Lokasi dan Standar Teknis Penataan Ruang di Kawasan
Puncak.
Technique Pengambilan Keputusan dengan Metode AHP Land suitability for Build up and Cultivation
Oleh: M. Buce Saleh & Tatang Tiryana Area
CULTIVATION AREA
Weight and intensity scale: AHP
Land suitability for rice
field
Level 2:
Slope (%) Elevation (m) Drainage Penggunaan/pe
Weight
nutupan lahan
Settlement
Level 2 :
Slope (%) Elevasi (m) Drainage Land cover
Bobot
Pemukiman
Level 2 :
Bobot Slope (%) Elevasi (m) Drainage Land cover
Ladang
Pemukiman
>2000 Ladang
Pemukiman
0.6
Value
0.6
Value
0.4
0.4
0.2
0.2
0.0
0.0 300-700 700-1000 1000-1500 1500-2000 >2000
<3 % 3-8 % 9-15 % 16-25 % >25 %
Elevasi (m )
Slope
1.0
1.0
B = 0.461 B= 0.172
0.8
0.8
Value 0.6
0.6
Value
0.4
0.4
0.2 0.2
0.0 0.0
Hutan P erkebunan Semak Sawah Ladang P emukiman
Terhambat Sedang-baik Cepat Teh belukar
Drainase Land cover
Technique Pengambilan Keputusan dengan Metode AHP
Oleh: M. Buce Saleh & Tatang Tiryana
MODEL SINTHESIS
Multi Criteria Decision Making (MCDM)
Compromise Programming (CP)
1/ p
( )
I
d p = i p x i* x ik
p
i =1
dp = distance metrics
i = weight for criteria based on preference level, where i> 0, i = 1
x = ideal point p
p = distance parameter, range from 1 to
Slope Aspect
Waaah SO
COMPLICATED!?!?