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INTRODUCTION
1. Background
There are different theories of capital structure. David Durand propounded the net
income approach of capital structure in 1952 (Durand 1952). This approach states
that firm can increase its value or lower the cost of capital by using the debt
capital. Net operating income approach is converse to this approach. This
approach contends that the value of a firm and cost of the capital are independent
to capital structure. Thus, the firm cannot increase its value by judicial mixture of
debt and equity capital. These are two extreme approaches to capital structure.
The modern theory of capital structure began with the celebrated paper of
Modigliani and Miller published in 1958 (Harris and Raviv 1991). Since the path
breaking seminal paper by Modigliani and Miller (1958), they supported the net
operating income approach and rejected the traditional theory of capital structure.
2
And the issue of capital structure has generated great interests in finance literature.
It has provided a substantial boost in the development of the theoretical framework
within which various capital structure theories have been developed. Based on
very restrictive assumptions of perfect capital markets, homogenous expectations,
no taxes and no transaction costs, Modigliani and Miller concluded that financial
leverage does not affect the firms market value. In short, capital structure is
irrelevant to the value of firm, or value of levered firm and value of unlevered firm
will be equal if they are identical in every respect except capital structure.
The study of capital structure attempts to explain the mix of securities and
financing sources used by corporations to finance real investment (Myers, 2001, p.
81). In general, a firm can choose among many alternative capital structures. It can
issue either equity or debt capital or a large amount of debt capital and little
amount of equity capital and vice versa. It can arrange lease financing, use
warrants, issue convertible bonds and other hybrid securities. The firm can issue
dozens of distinct securities in different combinations; however, the rational
attempt is to find the particular combination, which maximizes overall market
value of the firm.
In respect to set an optimal capital structure, the practices of firms are different.
There are so many firm specific and external variables, which affect capital
structure management. One of the most perplexing issue facing financial managers
is the relationship between capital structure and the stock prices. That is why there
are various theories of capital structure that try to explain this cross-sectional
variation.
The presence of favorable tax treatment of interest payments and bankruptcy costs
associated with increasing debt lead to the notion of an optimal capital structure
which maximizes the value of the firm and respectively minimizes its average cost
of capital. Using debt capital provides tax shield on interest payment or interest is
tax-deductible expenses. Therefore, relaxing their earlier assumption of world
3
without tax Modigliani and Miller (1963) proposed that firms should use as much
debt capital as possible in order to maximize their value. Increasing debt in one
hand increases the debt-tax shield but by the same time bankruptcy cost also
increases. It is the optimal level where the debt-tax shield tradeoffs the bankruptcy
cost and maximizes the value of the firm. Therefore the tax has been thoroughly
investigated as a factor that determines the capital structure.
According to static tradeoff models, the optimal capital structure does exist. A firm
is regarded as setting a target debt level and gradually moving towards it. The
theory states that capital structure is the result of an individual firms trading off
the benefits of increased leverage (for example, a tax. shield) against the potential
financial distress caused by heavy indebtedness. Accordingly, the trade-off theory
predicts moderate debt ratios. The tax-based and agency-cost-based models,
belong to the static tradeoff models are the result of works of prominent
researchers Modigliani and Miller (1958, 1963), Miller (1977), Kraus and
Litzenberger (1973), Kim (1978), Bradley, Jarrel and Kim (1984), Jensen and
Meckling (1976), Jensen (1986), Harris and Raviv (1990), and Stulz (1990).
These theories examine the determinants of capital structure from different aspects
and conclude in different outcomes as far as the choice of the determination of the
level of financial leverage is concerned. In the meanwhile, empirical evidence has
sometimes proven to be inconsistent to a particular theory that they examine. The
most striking example is that of the empirical testing of the pecking order theory,
where various researchers have concluded in different, inconsistent conclusions
(Myers, 1984; Harris and Raviv, 1991).
To sum up, there is no universal theory of capital structure yet. Several useful
conditional theories exist that attempt to approach the determination of optimal
capital structure. Researchers have been trying to test and develop different capital
structure theories through empirical studies. This study is one more attempt in this
direction.
4
Most initial studies (Taggart, 1977; Marsh, 1982; Bradley et al., 1984; Jalilvand
and Harris, 1984; Titman and Wessels, 1988) examined the case of U.S. companies
and found that debt ratio is determined by non-debt tax shield, assets structure,
profitability, growth, industry classification and product uniqueness. In their
extensive survey of existing empirical studies, Harris and Raviv (1991) pointed
out that the leverage increase with fixed cost, non-debt tax shield, investment
opportunities (growth) and firm size, and decreases with volatility, advertising
expenses, probability of bankruptcy, profitability, and uniqueness of the product.
5
Similarly, Rajan and Zingales (1995) is one of the first attempts to test the cross
section analysis for the G7 countries about the theoretical and empirical lessons
learnt from the U.S. studies. These authors find similar levels of leverage across
countries, thus refuting the idea that firms in bank-oriented countries are more
leveraged than those in market-oriented countries. However, they recognize that
this distinction is useful in analyzing the various sources of financing. Rajan and
Zingales (1995) find that the determinants of capital structure that have been
reported for the U.S. (size, growth, profitability, and tangible assets) are important
in other countries as well. They show that a good understanding of the relevant
institutional context
These researches on the capital structure has received great importance in US and
other develeoping countries despite of being largely confined in these countries
itself, it has remained neglected in developing countries due to different economic
and legal constraints. However the economic liberalization and reformation
processes since 1980's in developing countries now have less institutional barriers.
Research in this field will contribute to signify the importance of capital structure
to value maximization objective of the firm. This study attempts to shed some
light on the capital structure issues in Nepalese context. It is a case of capital
structure in less developed countries. Including capital structure determinants, the
issue is to analyze capital structure practices of Nepalese companies. More
specifically, this study deals with following issues:
What are the factors that determine the capital structure of Nepalese listed
companies?
6
To what extent the capital structure theories can explain capital structure
choice of Nepalese firms?
The main objective of the study is to find out the factors which determine the capital
To investigate the extent to which the capital structure theories can explain capital
To identify the relationship between the factors determining capital structure and
This study has been organized into five chapters as prescribed by the University.
Chapter Five consists of the summary and major findings of this study and
recommendation for further research.
8
CHAPTER TWO
REVIEW OF LITERATURE
In Finance, The most debatable topic is capital and it has been receiving due
attention of researchers since the prominent work of Modigliani and Miller (1958).
Based on their theoretical framework, so many theories of capital structure have
been developing. The empirical studies in this regard have been contributing
significantly. This chapter briefly reviews the literature, which provides basic
foundations to this study. The various approaches employed in this study are
derived from different literature surveyed in this chapter.
This chapter has been organized into two sections: theoretical and empirical
capital structure. Theoretical and empirical capital structure studies have generated
many results that attempt to explain the determinants of capital structure. There
exist a number of determinants of capital structure derived from various theories.
Haris and Raviv (1991) demonstrate in their review article that the motives and
circumstances could determine capital structure choices which have been seen
nearly uncountable. According to Titman and Wessels (1988), the required
explanatory variable may frequently be imperfect proxies for the defined corporate
attributes.This chapter has been organized into two sections. The theoretical
framework has been dealt in Section 1 and review of empirical studies is carried
out in Section 2.
SECTION 1
The Theoretical Framework
1. Conceptual Considerations
The term capital structure and financial structure have been used interchangeably
in finance literature, a line of technical difference is there, that is, the financial
structure comprised of the total combination of equity capital, preferred capital,
long-term debt and short-term debt/liabilities, whereas, the capital structure
9
excludes the short-term debt/liabilities. For its investment project, the firm can
choose either of the sources or combination of different sources in different forms
but the underlying question arising in this regard is which source or the
combination is better to maximize the value of the firm, the ultimate objective!
Therefore, the capital structure should be examined from the viewpoint of its
impact on the value of the firm. The optimal capital structure is that combination
of debt and equity, which maximizes the value of the firm. In this respect, the
capital structure can be interpreted in terms of target capital structure to strike a
balance between risks and returns for maximizing the value of the firm. Using
more debt raises the riskiness of the firms earnings stream. However, a higher
debt ratio generally leads to a higher expected rate of return. The higher risk tends
to lower a stock price, but a higher expected return raises it and drives toward
equilibrium.
In one hand, the equity capital provides investors to control over the firm as
owners. However the firm may not able to use only equity financing because the
rational objective is to maximize the value of the firm. The cost of new equity
would come across higher than existing one and since the risk pattern on equity is
higher, the higher expected rate drives to sell equity in lower price in the market.
On the other hand, the debt capital provides investors a certain fixed return and
right to first claim over the liquidation. Raising debt capital is also advantageous
to the firm in numerous ways. Firstly, interest is tax deductible, which lowers the
effective cost of debt. Secondly, debt holders are limited to a fixed return (the
coupon amount), so stockholders do not have to share profits if the business does
have excess profit. Thirdly, debt holders do not have voting rights, so the
stockholders can control a business however they are investing less money than
would otherwise be required.
10
Therefore, the crux of the capital structure theories lies between and among these
two basic sources of capital, equity and debt, and interests of three major
stakeholders of the firm, stockholders, managers and the debt holders respectively.
Theories of capital structure have been well documented in the finance literature.
The modern theory of capital structure began with the celebrated paper of
Modigliani and Miller published in 1958 (Harris and Raviv 1991). Most
influentially, the Modigliani and Miller (1958) work has given the theoretical
foundation for further enquiry into the capital structure theory. In this paper, they
supported the net operating income approach and rejected the traditional theory of
capital structure. They contend in their first proposition that the market value of
any firm is independent to its capital structure and is given by capitalizing its
expected return at the rate appropriate to the risk class (Modigliani and Miller
1958). This was theoretically very sound but was based on the assumptions of
perfect capital market and no tax world, which were not valid in reality. So, this
was corrected in 1963. In correction, they incorporated the effect of tax on value
and cost of the capital of the firm (Modigliani and Miller 1963); and contend that,
in the presence of corporate tax, the value of the firm varies with the variation of
the use of the debt due to tax benefit on interest bill (Baral 1996).
The contributions of various financial economists and researchers have given new
dimensions to capital structure theories, in particular by taking into account
corporate taxes (Modigliani and Miller, 1963), bankruptcy costs (Stiglitz, 1972;
Kraus and Litzenberger, 1973; Titman, 1984), agency cost (Jensen and Meckling,
1976; Myers, 1977; Jensen, 1986), personal taxes (Miller, 1977) and information
asymmetries (Ross, 1977; Myers and Majluf, 1984; Myers, 1984).
11
This sub-section is devoted to get brief insight into these theories.1 Modigliani and
Miller's (1958) independent hypothesis is dealt separately and trade off theory and
other considerations are described separately.
Therefore, from the composite picture of MM Propositions I and II, holding its
underlying assumptions, the value of the firm and the firm's overall cost of capital
are independent of its capital structure. Hence, the capital structure is irrelevant.
1
For an in-depth review of literature on capital structure, see Harris and Raviv (1991).
2
Mathematically, the Proposition I can be expressed as VL = VU = EBIT/k where VL and VU
denote the value of levered and unlevered firm respectively, the k is the required rate of return
for an unlevered firm and EBIT is earning before interest and taxes. The Proposition II can be
expressed as i = k + (k r) D/S where i is expected return on stock, r is interest rate on debt, D
is debt and S is equity.
12
Jensen and Meckling developed the capital structure theory based on the agency
costs in 1976. Firm incurs two types of agency costs-cost associated with the
outside equity holders and cost associated with the presence of debt in capital
structure (Jensen and Meckling 1976). Total agency cost first decreases and after
certain level of outside equity capital in capital structure, it increases. The total
agency cost becomes minimal at certain level of outside equity capital. Thus, this
theory pleads the concept of optimal capital structure. Two sets of capital structure
theories were developed during the latter half of the 1970s and first half of the
1980s. Ross developed one set of capital structure theories based on the
asymmetric information in 1977, and Myers and Majluf developed the next set in
1984. The first set pleads that the choice of firms capital structure signals to
outside investors the information of insiders, and the second set contends that
capital structure is designed to mitigate the inefficiency in the investment decision
caused by the information asymmetry (Harris and Ravis 1991). In the course of the
development of capital structure theory, Myers elaborated and brought out the
Pecking order theory in 1984 originally developed by Donaldson in 1961.
According to this theory, management strongly favors internal generation as a
source of new funds even to the exclusion of external sources except for
occasional unavoidable bulge in the need for funds (Donaldson 1961). This theory
explains the negative relation between profitability and debt ratio and contends
that there is no target debt-equity ratio. In financing, first, management prefers the
internal equity financing, and then debt financing and finally external equity
financing (Martin and others 1988). Thus, this theory explains the financing
behavior of management.
Other Considerations
There are some other aspects put forth by different authors/researchers. Harris and
Raviv (1991) in their comprehensive review of capital structure theories outline
14
product/market interaction aspect and corporate control aspect. These aspects are
still in infancy and lots of empirical works are required to refine these approaches.
Asset Structures: Titman and Wessels (1988), Rajan and Zingales (1995) and
Fama and French (2000) argue that the ratio of fixed to total tangible assets should
16
be an important factor for leverage. The tangibility of assets represents the effect
of the collateral value of assets of the firms gearing level. Scott (1976) argues that
a firm determining the optimal capital structure will issue as much as secured debt
as possible, because the agency costs of secured debt are lower than unsecured
debt. By the same token, the degree to which the firm's assets are tangible and
generic should result in the firm having a greater liquidation value (Titman and
Wessels, 1988). This will reduce the magnitude of financial loss incurred by
financiers should the company default. Hence, the trade-off theory predicts a
positive relationship between leverage and the proportion of tangible assets.
Size: The size of the firm is also an important factor to determine the leverage or
the capital structure of the firm. Warner (1977) and Ang et at. (1982) suggest that
bankruptcy costs are relatively higher for smaller firms. In a similar vein, Titman
and Wessels (1988) argue that larger firms tend to be more diversified and fail less
often. Accordingly, the trade-off theory predicts an inverse relationship between
size and the probability of bankruptcy, that is, a positive relationship between size
and leverage. Jensen (1986) and Easternbrook (1986) agree that the size has a
positive impact on the supply of debt.
On the other hand, size can be regarded as a notion for information asymmetry
between firm insiders and the capital markets. Large firms are more closely
observed by analysts and should therefore be more capable of issuing
informationally more sensitive equity, and have lower debt. Accordingly, the
17
Volatility: One firm variable which impacts upon this exposure is firm operating
risk, in that more volatile firm earnings streams, the greater the chance of the firm
defaulting and being exposed to such cost. Consequently, these firms with
relatively higher operating risk will have incentives to have lower leverage than
other more stable earning. Myers (1977) suggests that underinvestment problem
increases with the volatility of the firms cash flow because firm with high
volatility of cash flow tries to accumulate cash. Firms with stable cash flows
should suffer from overinvestment problems and these firms have more leverage
(Easterbrook, 1984; Jensen, 1986). Hence, trade-off theory predicts negative
relationship between leverage and volatility of cash flows.
Liquidity: Liquidity may have mixed impact on the capital structure decision.
First firms with higher liquidity ratios might support a relatively higher debt ratio
due to greater ability to meet short-term obligations when they fall due. This
would imply a positive relationship between a firm's liquidity position and its debt
18
ratio. On the other hand, firm with greater liquid assets may use these assets to
finance their investments. Prowse (1990) argues that the liquidity of the company's
assets can be used to show the extent to which these assets can be manipulated by
shareholders at the expenses of bondholders. Ozkan (2001) finds that liquidity is
inversely related to leverage.
Besides the firm specific attributes described above, other firm specific attributes
as well as macroeconomic factors, such as, economic growth rate, inflation rate,
capital market development, government policies etc., also play important roles to
determine the capital structure decision of the firms. The common practices of
firm, the competencies of financial managers, age of incorporation, the availability
of financing alternatives, and other institutional context are some other
determinants of capital structure. Research works in this regard are contributing to
enrich the capital structure theories.
Non-debt tax shield will be negatively related to the leverage. Large the
non-debt tax shields, the lesser will be the leverage (DeAngelo and Masulis,
1980).
The tangible assets will be positively related to the leverage. The higher the
proportion of fixed tangible assets, the higher will be the leverage
(DeAngelo and Masulis, 1980).
Profitability will be positively related to the leverage. There is positive
relationship between profitability and leverage (Harris and Raviv, 1991;
Rajan and Zingales, 1995; Booth et al., 2001).
The firm size will be positively related to the leverage. The size has a
positive impact on the supply of the debt (Jensen, 1986; Easternbrook,
1986; Rajan and Zingales, 1995).
The growth opportunities will be negatively related to the leverage. The
firm with high growth opportunities is limited to use of debt as the case of
bankruptcy (Titman and Wessels, 1998; Gaud et al., 2005).
The liquidity will be positively related to leverage. The higher short-term
debt tends to increase leverage ratio (Ozkan, 2001).
The cash flow volatility will be negatively related to the leverage. Firms
with relatively higher operating risk will have incentives to have lower
leverage (Myers, 1977; DeAngelo and Masulis, 1980).
Nepalese firms are less levered and the long-debt ratio is low. Developing
countries are comparatively less levered than developed countries and have
substantially lower amount of long-term debt (Demirgue-Kunt and
Maksimovic, 1999; Booth et al., 2001).
Having discussed the theoretical framework, the study now focuses on review of
empirical works.
20
SECTION 2
Modigliani and Miller (1958) used the cross-sectional data taken from 43 electric
utilities during 1947-1948 and 42 oil companies during 1953. They estimated the
weighted average cost of capital (WACC) as net operating cash flows after taxes
divided by the market value of the firm. The financial leverage, measured as the
ratio of the market value of debt to the market value of the firm, was considered as
explanatory variable. Modigliani and Miller (1966) in their latter study also found
results that were consistent with a gain from leverage.
determinants of long-term debt capacity (pp. 1483-84). Firms base their stock and
bond issue decision on the need of permanent capital and their long-term debt
capacity (p. 1483). Taggart's study was more concern with financing decision of
how and when firm issue corporate securities. Therefore, his study has not shed
light on capital structure determinants. Further, Taggart concluded that bonds are
substituted for equity issue when the stock market is depressed (p. 1476) and
market value of debt-equity ratio is determinants of long-term debt capacity (pp.
1483-84). Firms base their stock and bond issue decision on the need of permanent
capital and their long-term debt capacity (p. 1483).
Taggart's study was more concern with financing decision of how and when firm
issue corporate securities. Therefore, his study has not shed light on capital
structure determinants.
VI. The Titman and Wessels Study (Titman and Wessels, 1988):
However the empirical findings were not conclusive because of statically not
significant estimates, their paper has given the empirical regularities.
VIII. The Rajan and Zingales Study (Rajan and Zingales, 1995):
(2.4)
However the authors used four proxies for leverage. On an average, they observed
Germany and United Kingdom as lowest levered. The ratio of long-term debt plus
short-term debt to total assets for Germany was 16%; for UK was 18%; and for
other countries the statistics was around 30%. However the total leverage ratio
(nonequity liabilities to total assets) figures were significantly high for those
countries, among others.
In their study, the authors found that the tangibility of assets and the size were
positively related to leverage and growth opportunities and profitability were
negatively related to leverage. Italy was the case of exception where any of these
statistics were not statistically significant. They also observed that firm in which
the state has a majority ownership appeared to have higher leverage (p. 1735).
From their cross-section study the concluded that factors influencing capital
structure in US are important in other G-7 countries, however, the institutional
23
context influences the capital structure decisions. Leverage ratios they observed
across the countries were not consistent with early studies because of different
measures of leverage, adjustment in accounting differences and varying in
database.
Perhaps the study of Booth et al. (2001) is first of its type, which focuses on
capital structure in developing countries. By using new data set they assessed
capital structure theory across the developing countries with different institutional
structure. They analyzed capital structure choice of firms in 10 developing
countries (India, Pakistan, Thailand, Malaysia, Turkey, Zimbabwe, Mexico, Brazil,
Jordan and Korea) by using both firm specific attributes and macroeconomic
indicators. In their empirical model, leverage ratio as dependent variable was
measured with three proxies; total debt ratio (total liabilities to total liabilities plus
net worth), long-term book-debt ratio (total liabilities minus current liabilities
divided by total liabilities minus current liabilities plus net worth), and long-term
market-debt ratio (total liabilities minus current liabilities divided by total
liabilities minus current liabilities plus market value of equity). The tax (average
tax rate), business risk (standard deviation of EBIT), tangibility of asset (total
assets minus current assets to total asset ratio), size (natural logarithm of sales
multiplied by 100), ROA (EBT/total assets), market-to-book ratio (market value to
book value of equity) were used as firm specific explanatory variables whereas
stock market value/GDP, liquid liabilities/GDP, real GDP growth rate, inflation
rate, and miller tax term 3 were used as macroeconomic explanatory variables. The
major empirical model they employed was
3
Miller tax advantage is 1 [{(1 Tc )(1 Te )} /(1 Ti )] , where Tc is corporate tax rate, Te
is personal income tax on equity and Ti is personal income tax on interest.
24
(2.5)
where Xi,j,t is the jth explanatory variable for the ith firm at time t, i,t is the random
error term for firm i at time t, Di,t/Vi,t debt ratios for the ith firm at time t and is
the intercept.
Profitability was found the most successful independent variable and negatively
related to leverage. In overall, the size and tangibility were observed to be
positively related with leverage ratio. The results of risk variable were mixed.
They also found that there was Miller tax advantage over equity in most of these
developing countries (p. 96). The statistic was significant.
The macroeconomic influences over capital structure were observed as, with some
statistical limitations, all three measure of leverage ratio vary negatively with the
equity market capitalization; except for the long-term market-debt ratio, the debt
ratios vary positively with the proportion of liquid liabilities to GDP (p. 98); the
real economic growth tends to increase total debt ratio and long-term book-debt
ratio; and higher inflation leads to decrease such ratios.
The debt ratios in developing countries were found comparatively lower than
advance economy countries (G-7) and the long-term debt ratio was observed
significantly lower in developing countries.
From their cross-country study, the authors concluded that the debt ratios in
developing countries seem to be affected in the same way and by the same types of
variables that are significant in developed countries however in developing
countries, they have low long-term debt. Also, there are systematic difference in
25
the way these ratios are affected by country factors, such GDP growth rages,
inflation rates and the development of capital markets (p.118). They also noted
that the origin of the country is as important as size to determine the leverage.
However, their study has shed light on capital structure in developing countries. In
their study, there were some methodological limitations of data sources (p. 119)
and less significant of empirical estimates (p.118).
Gaud et al. (2005), following the same methodology of Ozkan (2001), studied 104
non-financial firm listed in Swiss stock exchange. They found size and assets
structure positively related to leverage and profitability and growth were found
negatively related to leverage. Financial distress cost was observed positive but
statistically not significant. The speed of adjustment to target capital structure was
observed very slow. The adjustment coefficient was observed less than 0.20.
his study, by applying ratio analysis, observed that there were low capital gearing
and even unbalance pattern of capital structure in PEs. Shrestha (1993) in her
study of listed companies found that most of the companies were more levered
however the profitability was negative and interest payment on debt was serious
issue. She, further, concluded that most of the PEs have no transparent capital
structure and companies adhockly determined their capital structure without
realistic parameters.
Pradhan and Ang (1994), in their study, surveyed 78 major enterprises, including
24 public enterprises of Nepal, focusing on finance functions, sources and types of
financing, effects of taxes on capital structure decision, financial distress and
dividend policy. In their extensive survey of top level executives, the authors
observed that working capital function was most important followed by capital
structure decision function, whereas, the agency relation function was least
important. They further observed that bank loan and retained earning were the two
most widely used sources of financing. The retained earning was most preferred
source of financing because of its lower cost. This evidence is inline with pecking
order hypothesis (Myers and Majluf, 1984). The average debt ratio was observed
38%. The authors also observed that there was no definite time to borrow and
issue stock; however the enterprises preferred for bank loan at lower level of debt
because of flexible in interest rate and loan covenant. The authors further observed
that enterprise would increase the debt level in response to increase in tax rate. The
respondents in their study signaled for target debt ratio. Bank loan was found as
major sources of financing in case of shortage of cash. The default probability of
the enterprises was found 14%.
K.C. (1994) in his study of 37 large and medium size joint stock companies found
significant positive relationship of long-term debt with growth, assets structure
and age of incorporation (cit. from Baral, 1999, p. 112). Poudel (1994), in his
study of 15 listed companies and 20 PEs for 1983-1992, concluded that size,
profitability, growth, assets structure and cashflow variability have the influence
on the capital structure (cit. from Baral, 1999, pp. 112-113). He observed that size
and growth were positively related to leverage and risk, profitability and assets
structure were negatively related to leverage for both listed companies and PEs.
Baral (1996) in his study of capital structure and cost of capital of PEs, by using
Pearson's correlation analysis, found positive relationship of leverage with growth
opportunities, profitability, non-debt tax shield (statistically not significant),
interest coverage ratio, and operating cash flows; and negative relationship of
leverage with business risk. He further concluded that the capital structures of
28
public enterprises are not sound; debt capital has not been raised to reap
advantages of leverage.
Besides this, some authors have examined the relationship of capital structure and
cost of capital, by using econometric models, of particular firm or comparative
study across the firms or the industries. Among others, in comparative study
between trading and manufacturing sector and banking and financial sector,
Ghimire (1999) observed negative relationship of average cost of capital with
leverage, size, growth, payout ratio and positive relationship with earning
variability and liquidity in trading and manufacturing sector. However, he further
observed positive relationship of average cost with leverage, growth, earning
variability and liquidity and negative relation with size and payout ratio in banking
and financial section. Surprisingly, none of his estimates was statistically
significant.
3. Concluding Remarks
The debt has tax shield value, which helps to maximize the value of the firm,
ceteris paribus, is no more subject of debate in finance literature. However, how
companies finance their financing requirements and what factors stimulate to
prefer particular class of securities is one of the controversial issues. Different
models of capital structure theories explain this cross-sectional variation from
different perspective. The notion of 'optimal capital structure' as suggested by
tradeoff theory advocates that the increasing debt in one hand increases the tax
shield benefit but on the other hand increasing debt increases bankruptcy costs and
agency costs. Therefore, optimal capital structure exists in moderate level of
leverage. From the behavioral aspect, pecking order theory advocates that
managers prefer internal financing than debt and external equity. The empirical
works in foreign countries reviewed above have supported either or both of these
aspects. In case of Nepal, among other studies, Pradhan (1994), Pradhan and Ang
(1994) and Pradhan et al. (2002) studies were focused on financial distress
29
CHAPTER THREE
RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
1. Research Design
This empirical study attempts to analyze the capital structure patterns and
determinants of Nepalese firms. It tries to analyze and describe the magnitude and
direction of relationship between leverage (dependent variable) and firm specific
attributes viz.; non-debt tax shield, assets structure, profitability, firm size, growth
opportunities and earning volatility (independent variables). Hence, this empirical
study has followed both analytical and descriptive research design. Furthermore, it
also follows the field research method to study capital structure from managerial
perspective.
This study is based on accounting data of firms listed in Nepal Stock Exchange
Limited (NEPSE) for the period of 1992-2004. The required data have been
extracted from annual reports and financial statements of the firms available in
Securities Board (SEBO) database and NEPSE database. Hence, this study mainly
relies on secondary data. However some data have also been collected from
primary sources. The opinions of financial managers, company secretaries, middle
level business executives and directors have been surveyed by using direct
personal interview schedule. The interview was conducted during June-July 2005
31
3. Selection of Firms
Among the firms listed in NEPSE for the period of 1992-2004, banks, finance
companies and insurance companies are excluded from the sample. This is
motivated by the fact that such firms do not provide a good platform for the study
of capital structure. Also those firms have to comply with very stringent legal
requirements pertaining to their financing (Ozkan, 2001; Gaud et al., 2005).
Table 3.1
Sample Selections
S.N. Name of listedSample period No. of observation
companies
1 Arun Vanaspati Udhyog 96-98, 00-04 8
Ltd.
2 Bishal Bazar Co. Ltd. 92-04 13
3 Bottlers Nepal (Terai)93-94, 96-04 11
Ltd.
4 Bottlers Nepal Ltd. 97-04 8
5 Fluer Himalayan Ltd. 00-03 4
6 Juddha Match Factory99-01 3
Ltd.
7 Jyoti Spinning Mills92, 94-04 12
Ltd.
8 Necon Air Ltd. 93-01 9
9 Nepal Battery Co. Ltd. 92-98 7
10 Nepal Khadya Udhyog 98-00 3
Ltd.
11 Nepal Lever Ltd. 95-04 10
12 Nepal Lube Oil Ltd. 93-03 11
13 Nepal Trading Ltd. 96-98, 01 4
14 Nepal United Co Ltd. 92-97 6
15 Nepal Vanaspati Ghee95-04 10
Udhyog Ltd.
16 Salt Trading92-96, 99-01 9
Corporation Ltd.
17 Shree Bhrikuti Pulp&99-03 5
Paper Ltd.
18 Shree Ram Sugar Mills99-02 4
Ltd
19 Soaltee Hotel Ltd. 92-04 13
20 Yak and Yeti Hotel Ltd. 94-04 11
Total number of 161
observations from
32
1992-2004
Leverage: Following the Rajan and Zingales (1995), the ratio of book value of
total debt to total assets is defined as leverage ratio and it is 'more appropriate
definition of financial leverage' (p. 1429). Other two proxies are also considered in
this study to analyze the debt composition (i.e. decompositional study) on total
capital structure viz.; the second proxy refers to the ratio of long-term debt to total
assets; and the third proxy refers to the ratio of short-term debt to total assets.
Therefore, leverage ratio (DR):
Total debt ratio (TD) = Total debt (short-term + long-term) / Total assets
Long-term debt ratio (LTD) = Total long-term / Total assets
Short-term debt ratio (STD) = Total current liabilities / Total assets
Table 3.2
Variables and Their Proxies.
Variables Proxy Measures
Leverage Ratio Total debt ratio = Total debt/Total assets
Long-term debt ratio = Long-term debt/Total assets
Short-term debt ratio = Short-term debt/Total assets
Non-debt tax shield Annual Depreciation/Total Assets
Asset structures (Fixed Assets+Inventories)/Total Assets
Profitability EBITDA/Total Assets
Size ln(Sales)
Growth Percentage change in sales i.e. (St - St-1) / St-1
Volatility Standard deviation of EBITDA.
33
Asset Structure: As suggested by Titman and Wessels (1988) and following the
Gaud et al., (2005), the ratio of fixed assets plus inventory to total assets is
considered as proxy to collateral assets. Therefore,
Profitability: The ratio of earning before interest, tax and depreciation, EBITDA
to total assets is considered as proxy to profitability (Titman and Wessels, 1988;
Ozkan, 2001; and Gaud et al., 2005). Therefore,
Size: Titman and Wessels (1988) suggest natural logarithm of sales as indicator of
size. In this study, as suggested by Titman and Wessels (1988) the net sales has
been taken. The net sales based on Rs. million have been transferred into natural
log. Therefore,
Growth: Many researchers have used ratio of book-to-market equity as proxy for
the growth (Ozkan, 2001; and Gaud et al., 2005) but in this study due to the
market value of equity is not available to most of the sample firms therefore as
suggested by Titman and Wessels (1988), the growth rate of sales is considered as
the proxy for growth. And it is simple arithmetic growth rate. Therefore,
Volatility: As suggested by Titman and Wessels (1988), the proxy to the volatility
is the standard deviation of the percentage change in operating income and 'it is
the single value for the all years' (Booth et al., 2001, p. 101). Therefore,
Besides above variables, some other variables have also been used and they are
described under respective method of analysis in section 5 below.
5. Method of Analysis
The method of analysis employed in this study includes, (i) ratio analysis, (ii)
decompositional analysis, (iii) properties of portfolio analysis, and (iv)
econometric analysis, all of which are described in the following paragraphs.
I. Ratio Analysis
In this study, the different ratios related to assess capital structure have been used
and analyzed. It has served as auxiliary on other different methods of analysis. In
this study, among others, following ratios has been used:
Under the decompositional analysis, the analysis has been done by decomposing
total debt ratio into long-term debt ratio and short-term debt ratio. The relations
and effects among theses debt ratios have been analyzed. For the decompositional
35
In this study, for properties of portfolio analysis, three portfolios have been
constructed based on total debt ratio (leverage). Portfolio I, which is regarded as
less levered portfolio consists of 26 observations having total debt ratio 0-40%.
The portfolio II, which is regarded as moderately levered portfolio consists of 44
observations having total debt ratio 40-60%. Finally, the portfolio III, which is also
regarded as highly levered portfolio consists of total 91 observations having total
debt ratio more than 60%. The properties of portfolios have been analyzed with
different financial ratios.
In this study, econometric models have been used to describe the capital structure
determinants. Different econometric models used in this study are based on
theoretical foundation suggested by capital structure theories as follows:
The debt-equity choice of the firm is depend on the non-debt tax shield, proportion
of collateral assets, profitability of the firm, and size of the firm, firm's growth
opportunities, liquidity, and earning variability.
(3.2)
where, D is leverage ratio, is explained in terms of K explanatory variables X1,
X2, , Xk, as used in equation (3.1), and 's are the unknown parameters.
36
The first-difference model for this study can be derived from equation (3.3) and
(3.4).
DRi , t 1ASi , t 2 CRi , t 3GWi , t
(3.5)
4
White's Heteroscedasticity-Consistent Variance and Standard Error can be performed so that
asymptotically valid statistical inferences can be made about the true parameter value even if
there is Heteroscedasticity (White, 1980).
5
Use the first-different form whenever the d < R2 (Madala, 1992, p. 232, cited in Gujarati, 2003,
p. 478).
6
The first transformation may be appropriate if the coefficient of autocorrelation is very high,
say in excess of 0.8, or the Durbin-Watson d is quite low (Gujarati, 2003, p. 478).
37
In the first-difference model, there is no intercept that means that the regression
line passes through the origin (Gujarati, 2003). RISK is omitted from the
explanatory variables because of same value for all the time series. Only the total
debt ratio has been used as dependent variable in first-difference model study.
(3.6)
where, DR is total leverage ratio over the 10 year period, a is y-intercept, 's are
unknown parameters, is error term and it is assumed stochastic. GDP is gross
domestic product at factor cost; INFL is inflation rate measured as annual
percentage change in consumer price index; and MCGDP is ratio of market
capitalization to gross domestic product. In this model, it is assumed that the
underlying time series is stationary (Johnston and DiNardo, 1997).
This study holds some methodological and conceptual limitations, which are as
follows:
The data are collected from listed companies, which have data available for
at least 3 consecutive years during the sample period from 1992 to 2004.
This time frame is considered as sufficient time frame to study the
determinants of capital structure.
This study mainly relies on the secondary data, which are collected from
annual financial statements. Hence the study suffers from all those
limitations that are associated with annual financial statements.
38
For quantitative analysis, SPSS 11.0 and EVIEWS 3.0 software programs
have been used. Hence the limitations of these programs are also inherent.
The Annual Report of the firms is in specific standard accounting format and
some accounting conceptual differences are there in annual reports across the
firms. However, the database of NEPSE has its own specific format. Therefore, it
is better to define accounting key terms used in this study to avoid
misunderstanding.
Sales: Sales means trading sales only and it does not incorporate miscellaneous
income or income from other sources. In case of service firms, sales means income
from specific service they are stand mainly to provide that particular service.
Operating Income and Earning before Income and Taxes: Operating income
means before tax income except income from other sources where as EBIT simply
refers to net earning before interest and taxes.
EBITDA: This variable is EBIT plus Depreciation, which simply measures the
operating cashflow.
39
Fixed Assets: The fixed assets of the firms consist of ordinary fixed assets like
land and building, plant and machinery, fixture and furniture etc. It is the net fixed
asset that is fixed assets after depreciation adjustment. The fixed assets used in this
study excludes the investment and under construction capital expenditure.
Total Assets: Total Assets is the sum of Total fixed assets including investment
and capital expenditure and current assets. The current assets incorporate general
accounting variables inventories, receivables, cash and marketable securities and
miscellaneous current assets.
Long-term Debt: Long-term debt means secured and unsecured mid-term and
long-term loan i.e. loan having more than one is term period. It includes bank loan
and debentures. Long-term debt is also denoted as deferred liabilities.
Short-term Debt: In this study, the total current liability is used as short-term
debt, which includes loan and advances, creditors, misc. short-term liabilities and
provision for taxation.
Total Debt: In this study total debt is sum of long-term debt and short-term debt
as described above.
CHAPTER FOUR
PRESENTATION AND ANALYSIS OF DATA
Capital structure decision involves the choice of optimal mix of debt and equity,
which optimize the value of the firm under the given contextual or institutional
framework. The firms may follow different approaches while managing capital
structure. The capital structure theories provide basic guidelines in this respect
however, a particular theory will not sufficient to deal with these issues. On one
hand, macroeconomic scenario plays significant role, while on the other hand, the
internal firm specific factors are in the first instance. This chapter is fully devoted
to analyzing various issues of the study in the context of Nepalese enterprises. One
of the issues raised in this chapter relates to assessing the patterns and policies of
capital structure in Nepalese enterprises. Another issue dealt with in this chapter
relates to capital structure determinants.
The empirical analysis in this chapter has been organized in four sections. In
section 1, pattern of capital structure in Nepalese enterprises has been analyzed by
using decompositional analysis and properties of portfolio formed based on
leverage ratio. Furthermore, the average debt ratios of Nepalese enterprises have
been compared with some developed and developing countries. In section 2, firm
specific capital structure determinants have been identified and analyzed by using
econometric models. The microeconomic influences on firms capital structure
have been studied under section 3. Finally, in section 4, various aspects of the
capital structure management has been analyzed from managerial perspective.
SECTION 1
Analysis of Capital Structure Pattern
The problem of how firms choose and adjust their strategic mix of debt-equity has
called a great deal of attention and debate among corporate financial economists
and practitioners. Actually, the analysis of how firms choose their financing mix
41
has been primarily a practical issue. The tradeoff theory says that firms seek debt
levels that balance the tax advantages of additional debt against the costs of
possible financial distress. The tradeoff theory predicts moderate borrowing by
tax-paying firms (Myers, 2001, p. 81). The pecking order theory says that firms
will borrow, rather than issuing equity, when internal cash flow is not sufficient to
fund investment projects. In addition, Booth et al. (2001) state that factors
influencing capital structure in advanced countries are equally applicable in
developing countries, however the developing countries have substantially lower
long-term debt and institutional constraints are important. In this section, the
patterns of capital structure on Nepalese firms have been analyzed by using
decompositional and portfolio analysis.
Table 4.1 provides a summary of the descriptive statistics of the different variables
used in this study. The mean (median) of the total debt ratio, defined as ratio of
total liabilities to total assets, of the sample firms over the 1992-2004 is 0.743
(0.643) with total observations of 161. When the sample is restricted 7 to debt ratio
not more than 1, then the total debt ratio is 0.597 (0.58) with total observation of
131. The average long-term debt ratio, defined as ratio of long-term debt to total
assets, is 0.274 (0.189) and 0.244 (0.178) when restricted. The short-term debt
ratio, which is defined as current liabilities divided by total assets, is 0.469 (0.378)
and it is 0.353 (0.356) when restricted. On an average, mean statistics of others
variables are similar in both cases. The median, standard deviation, maximum and
minimum values are presented for statistical inferences.
Debt ratios in Table 4.1 shows that Nepalese firms are tend to have higher portion
of debt capital in their capital structure. The contribution of short-term debt is
7
The rational behind restriction is that the leverage ratio more than 1, or 100% does not hold theoretical
significance, it is more accounting issue.
42
Table 4.1
Descriptive Statistics
This table presents descriptive statistics for the variables used in this study. The data are from NEPSE
database and SEBO database. The sample contains 20 non-financial firms listed in the NEPSE for which
there is a minimum of 3 consecutive years of data for the period 1992-2004. TD is the ratio of total debt to
total assets where the total debt is measured long-term debt plus total current liabilities. LTD is the ratio of
long-term debt to total assets. STD is ratio of total current liabilities to total assets. AS is the ratio of fixed
assets plus inventory to total assets. PRO is ratio of EBITDA to total assets. NDT is ratio of annual
depreciation to total assets. GW is the percentage change in sales in respect to previous year. RISK is the
time series standard deviation of EBITDA. CR is the ratio of current assets to current liabilities; QR is the
ratio of current assets minus inventories to current liabilities. ATR is ratio of sales to total assets. TIE is
ratio of EBIT to interest. ROA is EAT divided by total assets. gTA is arithmetic growth rate of total assets.
Panel A shows the sample statistics of total observations and Panel B shows the restricted sample statistics
where total debt ratio is not more than one or 100%.
Variables Mean Median SM
tia
dnx
.i
m
Du
em
v
.
Panel A: Total Sample Statistics (n=161)
TD 0.749 0.625 002
..
308
951
890
LTD 0.275 0.189 001
..
202
70
903
STD 0.474 0.380 002
..
307
823
008
AS 0.627 0.640 00
..
209
007
995
PRO 0.111 0.115 0-0
.0.
1.4
354
397
0
NDT 0.034 0.031 00
43
..
001
20
616
SIZE 5.374 5.770 127
..
35
087
239
GW 0.346 0.053 2-2
.63
1.
12
229
14
RISK 34.023 29.592 201
7.1
.54
88.
117
54
1
CR 1.945 1.111 404
..3
10.
398
18
9
QR 1.103 0.655 101
..3
80.
132
489
5
ATR 1.113 0.802 004
..
806
495
890
TIE 46.63 1.477 2-2
352
883
.13
8.
07
ROA 0.002 0.005 0-0
.0.
1.3
472
010
6
44
.54
18.
917
74
1
CR 1.958 1.332 201
..8
60.
898
985
9
QR 1.212 0.842 101
..2
60.
730
884
7
ATR 1.136 0.787 004
..
806
995
690
TIE 59.210 2.244 2-2
652
783
.13
6.
707
205
0
ROA 0.035 0.026 0-0
.0.
1.3
02
040
7
gTA 0.118 0.065 0-1
.0.
2.3
538
902
7
Source: Appendix A
46
Table 4.2
Pearson Correlation Coefficients between Variables
This table presents the Pearson correlation coefficients for the variables (dependents and independents) used in this study. The data are from NEPSE database and
SEBO database. The sample contains 20 non-financial firms listed on the NEPSE for the period 1992-2004. TD is the ratio of total debt to total assets where the
total debt is measured as long-term debt plus total current liabilities. LTD is the ratio of long-term debt to total assets. STD is ratio of total current liabilities to
total assets. AS is the ratio of fixed assets plus inventory to total assets. GW is the percentage change in sales in respect to previous year. PRO is ratio of EBITDA
to total assets. NDT is ratio of annual depreciation to total assets. SIZE is the natural logarithm of sales (million based). GW is the percentage change in sales
based on previous year. RISK is the time series standard deviation of EBITDA. CR is the ratio of current assets to current liabilities. ** indicates the correlation
is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed). * indicates the correlation is significant at the 0.05 level (2-tailed).
TD LTD STD AS PRO NDT SIZE GW RISK CR
TD 1
LTD 0.41** 1
STD 0.74** -0.30** 1
AS 0.15 0.24** -0.01 1
PRO -0.40** -0.27** -0.22** 0.08 1
NDT -0.21** -0.10 -0.15 0.48** 0.33** 1
SIZE 0.00 0.35** -0.26** 0.03 0.16* 0.12 1
GW -0.02 0.00 -0.02 0.08 0.09 0.03 0.05 1
RISK 0.09 0.40** -0.20* 0.36** 0.08 0.25** 0.57** 0.07 1
CR -0.06 0.27** -0.26** -0.26** -0.15 -0.26** -0.03 -0.03 -0.18* 1
Source: Appendix A
47
significantly high on total debt than long-term debt. The profitability measures are
low. The return on asset is only 0.2% and it is 3.3% when restricted.
The AS, defined as ratio of fixed assets plus inventory to total assets, statistic
shows that the firms have on an average 60% collateral assets. When the firms are
needed to use borrowing capital (bank loans, etc.), the collateral assets can be
pledged. The average sales growth rate, GW has been observed to be very high,
however the median statistic shows that the growth rate is normal at 5.3%. The
variability of mean statistics indicates the inconsistency of mean estimate. Another
proxy of growth opportunities measure, total assets growth rate has been observed
on an average 10%. The liquidity indicators are more or less near to standard
norms.
The correlation coefficients between different variables are reported in Table 4.2.
Correlations are generally low, with some exceptions. The correlation between
short-term debt and total debt; and size and risk is high. The correlation
coefficients are 0.74 and 0.57 respectively. The correlation coefficient between
total debt and size is found zero, however it is statistically not significant. The
correlation coefficient between assets structure and SIZE is also very low. The
assets structure is less correlated with short-term debt and the size. In both cases,
the coefficient is very small.
1. Decompositional Analysis
The total debt is the composite frame of both long-term debt and short-term debt.
These two variables directly affect leverage ratio in same direction and on one-to-
one manner, ceteris paribus. Obviously, an increase in long-term debt or short-
term debt increases the leverage ratio and vice-versa. However, it is not necessary
that increase in long-term debt increases or decreases short-term debt. To some
extent, long-term debt and short-term debt do not hold direct relation. The debt
ratios decompostional study helps to scrutinize the relationship among total debt
48
Table 4.3
Debt Ratios
The table shows mean and standard deviation (SD) figures of different annual cross-sectional debt ratios for
non-financial listed Nepalese companies from 1995-2004 by using unbalanced panel data set. Total debt
ratio is measured as total long-term liabilities plus current liabilities divided by total assets. Long-term debt
ratio is measured as long-term liabilities divided by total assets. The ratio of current liabilities to total assets
is measured as short-term debt ratio.
Year Total Debt Ratio Long-term Debt Ratio Short-term Debt Ratio No.
(%) (%) (%) of
Observation
Mean Median SD Mean Median SD Mean Median SD
1995 57 53 22 26 21 24 31 27 15 11
1996 69 66 20 28 22 25 41 38 17 14
1997 64 58 25 23 13 26 41 38 22 14
1998 70 60 34 33 25 32 37 36 24 15
1999 75 68 38 37 42 32 38 39 15 15
2000 81 81 38 34 29 33 47 37 39 17
2001 85 75 44 30 29 27 55 33 44 17
2002 88 81 55 21 3 31 67 43 57 13
2003 85 62 57 20 2 30 64 44 56 12
2004 88 59 79 17 7 26 70 36 79 9
Source: Appendix A
ratio, long-term debt ratio and short-term debt ratio. In this section, the evolution
of total debt ratio and its decompositional (long-term and short-term debt ratio)
figures have been presented and analyzed for the 1995-2004, 10-years period. The
yearly mean, median and standard deviation (SD) figures for the three different
debt ratios are presented in Table 4.3. The yearly average statistics are the derived
from yearly observations.
Interestingly, the Table 4.3 shows that the total debt ratio is high over the 10-year
period. The 1995 cross-sectional average is 57% and the statistic for 2004 is 88%,
which is highest. The total debt ratio has been increasing over the period, which
can also be observed from Figure 4.1; it has been increasing gradually. However,
the median statistics are slightly deviated from mean statistics. The median of total
debt in 1995 has been observed 53% and the statistic for 2004 is 59%. The median
statistic of total debt ratio is highest in 2000, which is 81%.
From the Table 4.3, it is also observed that the contribution of long-term debt on
total debt is comparatively lower then the contribution of short-term debt. The
49
trend of long-term debt ratio has been found decreasing function over the period.
The average long-term debt ratio in 1995 has been observed 26% and the statistics
is highest in 1999, which is 37%. In 2004, it is 17%. The median statistics shows
that the long-term debt ratio has substantially decreased in 2002. The trend of
long-term debt ratio can also be observed from Figure 4.1. The correlation
coefficient between total debt and long-term debt, as shown in Table 4.2, is 0.41. It
implies that under the bivariate analysis, approximately 17% of variation in total
debt is explained by long-term debt.
Figure 4.1
Evolutions of Debt Ratios
The contribution of short-term debt over total debt ratio is significantly higher. The
short-term debt ratio has followed the same direction as total debt ratio, which is
increasing over the periods. The 1995 mean statistics is 31% and it increased to
70% in 2004. The pace of changes in short-term debt ratio over the 10-year period
can also be observed from Figure 4.1. The correlation coefficient between total
debt ratio and short-term debt ratio, as shown in Table 4.2, is 0.74. It signifies that,
under bivariate analysis, approximately 55% variation in total debt ratio is
explained by short-term debt ratio. Interestingly, the relationship between short-
50
term debt and long-term debt has been observed significantly inverse. The
correlation coefficient between long-term debt and short-term debt is -0.36. This
statistic implies that the trend or evolution of these two components of total debt is
inverse and this movement can also be observed from Figure 4.1.
From the above decompositional analysis, it has been observed that the total debt
ratio is very high and the trend is increasing. This evidence shows that Nepalese
firms finance their financing requirement mostly from debt capital, particularly
from short-term debt. This evidence can also be interpreted as Nepalese firm rely
more on short-term debt than long-term debt. From the sample, it is also observed
that there is lack of practices of long-term debt securities among sample firms.
Also, it is found that the firms having majority government ownership are more
levered. This finding is consistent with Rajan and Zingales (1995) and Booth et al.
(2001).
Some early studies in international sphere stated that firms in developed countries
are more levered than firms in developing countries and the major difference
between developing countries and developed countries is that developing countries
have substantially lower amount of long-term debt (Rajan and Zingales, 1995;
Demirguc-Kunt and Maksimovic, 1999; Booth et. al., 2001). These findings
motivated to make a brief comparison on debt ratios of Nepalese firms with
findings of Rajan and Zingales (1995) and Booth et al. (2005). In this international
comparison, the statistic estimates come from different time period, therefore, it is
assumed that the estimates may not suffer from potential business cycle bias.
The leverage statistics presented in Table 4.1 and Table 4.3 support the early
findings in international studies (Rajan and Zingales, 1995; Demirguc-Kunt and
51
Table 4.4
Debt Ratios: An International Comparison
This table presents median debt ratios for Nepal, 10 developing countries and G-7 countries over different
time period. Total debt ratio is defined as total liabilities (nonequity) divided by total assets. Long-term debt
ratio is defined as total long-term debt to total assets. Data are from 20 non-financial firms listed in NEPSE.
Data for 10-developing countries are from Booth et al. (2001, Table I) and their estimate for long-term debt
ratio excludes current liabilities from total assets. Data for G-7 countries are from Rajan and Zingales
(1995, Table IIIa) and their estimate for long-term debt ratio includes all nonequity liabilities.
No. of Time Total Long-term
Firms Period Debt Ratio Debt Ratio
(%) (%)
Nepal 20 1992-2004 58 16
Brazil 49 1985-1991 30 10
Mexico 99 1984-1990 35 14
India 99 1980-1990 67 34
South Korea 93 1980-1990 73 49
Jordan 38 1983-1990 47 12
Malaysia 96 1983-1990 42 13
Pakistan 96 1980-1987 66 26
Thailand 64 1983-1990 49 N/A
Turkey 45 1983-1990 59 24
Zimbabwe 48 1990-1988 42 13
United States 2580 1991 58 37
Japan 514 1991 69 53
Germany 191 1991 73 38
France 225 1991 71 48
Italy 118 1991 70 47
United Kingdom 608 1991 54 28
Canada 318 1991 56 39
N/A: Not Available.
Maksimovic, 1999; Booth et. al., 2001). The median statistics of total debt ratio
and long-term debt ratio of Nepal along with G-7 countries (Rajan and Zingales,
1995) and 10-developing countries (Booth et al., 2001) are presented in Table 4.4.
The median value of total leverage (restricted), as shown in Table 4.4, is below the
median value of the G-7 countries except USA, UK and Canada (Rajan and
Zingales, 1995). However, this estimate is higher than six developing countries,
viz.; Brazil, Mexico, Jordan, Malaysia, Thailand and Zimbabwe and lower than
India, South Korea, Pakistan and Turkey. South Korea has the highest median total
leverage, which is 73.4%, and the Brazil has the lowest total leverage, which is
52
30.3%. It may give support to the prediction, the hypothesis, that Nepalese firms
are less levered.
Similarly, the median statistics of long-term debt ratio is comparatively lower than
in G-7 countries, South Korea, Pakistan and Turkey. It implies that the Nepalese
firms have employed lower long-term debt in their capital structure and rely more
on short-term financing. Japan has the highest long-term debt ratio, which is 53%,
and Brazil has the lowest long-term debt ratio, which is 10%. This statistics also
supports the hypothesis that Nepalese firms have low long-term debt.
However, this comparative study shows that Nepalese firms are less levered than
some advanced country and similar to some developing countries, some
precautions should be kept in mind. The proxy for total debt ratio may overstate
the leverage ratio (Booth et al., 2001) because the proxy for short-term debt is
total current liabilities, which include provisions and account payables. Since the
manufacturing firms have dominated the samples, the portion of account payable
in current liabilities would be high. Therefore, in such a case, the long-term debt
ratio would be the alternative proxy for leverage measure.
The theory and practice of corporate finance suggests that the debt ratio is not
constant within a sector or an industry, but depends on certain firm characteristics.
In this section, financial ratios are used as firms' characteristics. Financial ratios
are the most commonly used measures in the analysis of a firms financial
performance. They provide a meaningful and unbiased quantitative representation
of the results of internal decisions and external conditions. In this study, different
measures of financial indicators are presented and analyzed by forming 3
portfolios on the basis of leverage ratio over the sample period of 1992-2004. The
debt ratio below 40% has been considered as less leveraged and studies under
portfolio I; debt ratio from 40 % to 60% is considered as moderately levered and
53
Table 4.5
Financial Indicators of Different Portfolios
This table presents different financial indicators (ratios). The data are from NEPSE database and SEBO database. The sample contains 20 non-financial firms
listed on the NEPSE. The portfolios are constructed based on leverage ratio. Portfolio I contains 26 observations having total debt ratio less than 0.4 or 40%.
Portfolio II contains total 44 observations, which have total debt ratio ranging from 0.4 to 0.6. Portfolio III contains 91 observations, which have debt ratio more
than 0.60. TD is the ratio of total debt to total assets where the total debt is measured as long-term debt plus total current liabilities. LTD is the ratio of long-term
debt to total assets. STD is ratio of total current liabilities to total assets. TIE is ratio of EBIT to interest expenses. ROA is ratio of net income to total assets. GW
is arithmetic growth rate of sales based on previous year. gTA is arithmetic growth rate of total assets based on previous year. AS is the proportion of collateral
assets to total assets. ATR is sales divided by total assets. NDT is the ratio of annual depreciation to total assets. CR is the ratio of current assets to current
liabilities. QR is the ratio of current assets minus inventory to current liabilities.
Financial Indicators (ratios) Portfolio I (TD<0.40) Portfolio II (40<TD<60) Portfolio III (TD>0.60)
Mean Median SD Mean Median SD Mean Median SD
TD, Total debt ratio 0.316 0.343 0.092 0.506 0.516 0.063 0.991 0.913 0.368
LTD, Long-term debt ratio 0.041 0.000 0.072 0.100 0.048 0.116 0.427 0.454 0.275
STD, Short-term debt ratio 0.275 0.285 0.096 0.406 0.418 0.110 0.563 0.430 0.476
TIE, Time-Interest earned 96.42 16.96 271.25 108.98 5.00 399.32 2.260 0.755 11.80
EBITDA/TA 0.133 0.118 0.112 0.183 0.160 0.107 0.071 0.085 0.136
EBT/TA 0.094 0.071 0.121 0.111 0.105 0.104 -0.042 -0.027 0.144
ROA, EAT/TA 0.041 0.031 0.092 0.079 0.054 0.106 -0.047 -0.028 0.147
SIZE (Rs. in Millions) 4.932 5.179 1.229 5.361 5.858 1.307 5.506 5.852 1.305
GW, Sales Growth rate 0.087 0.038 0.453 0.210 0.069 1.508 0.485 0.038 2.595
gTA, Assets growth rate 0.065 0.021 0.186 0.076 0.061 0.223 0.119 0.035 0.271
AS, Collateral assets ratio 0.505 0.576 0.211 0.615 0.617 0.171 0.667 0.686 0.214
ATR, Assets turnover ratio 1.257 0.697 1.302 1.081 0.773 0.764 1.087 0.908 0.722
NDT, non-debt tax shield 0.033 0.031 0.027 0.046 0.046 0.026 0.028 0.022 0.025
CR, Current Ratio 3.020 1.947 4.169 1.180 1.222 0.612 2.008 0.861 4.970
QR, Quick Ratio 2.018 1.218 2.727 0.786 0.830 0.426 0.994 0.457 1.842
Source: Appendix A
54
studied under portfolio II; and debt ratio higher than 60% is considered as
highly levered and studied under portfolio III.
Table 4.5 presents important financial indictors separately for three portfolios
formed, which, among others reveals as follows:
At the lower level of capital gearing, firms tend to employ more short-
term debt than long-term debt and firms gradually shift on long-term
borrowing in respect to increasing leverage. In portfolio I, the proportion
of short-term debt on total debt is 87% (0.2750.316) and it decreased to
56% (0.5630.991) in portfolio III
Smaller firms tend to have less leverage ratio and vice versa. The firms
having higher growth rate rely more on debt capital for their financing
requirements. The average growth rate of sales for less levered firms is
8.7%, for moderately levered firms is 21% and it has been observed
48.5% for highly levered firm. The median statistic in this regard is
somewhat different.
The firms having the higher leverage ratios have higher collateralizable
assets and higher total assets growth rate. On an average, most of the
firms have more than 50% collateralizable assets. The ratio of
collateralizable assets, measured by ratio of fixed assets plus inventory
to total asset, for less levered firm is 50.5%; for moderately levered firm
is 61.5%; and for highly levered firm is 66.7%. The evidence is obvious
because the collateralizable assets help to raise borrowing capital by
pledging. The assets growth rate increased from 6.5% in portfolio I to
7.6% in portfolio II and it further increased to 11.9% in portfolio III. In
addition, the total assets turn over ratio for all three portfolios are
similar. It is 1.25 times for portfolio I and 1.08 for portfolios II and III.
The firms having the lower leverage have higher the liquidity. The
median statistics of current ratio of portfolio I is 1.95 and it decreases to
0.86 in portfolio III. This evidence shows that liquidity is the decreasing
function of leverage. It also implies that increasing leverage leads to
short-term insolvency, which may drive to bankruptcy.
From the above, it is clear that the firms having moderate level of debt have the
better financial indicators than having lower debt or heavy debt.
shown in Figure 4.2. The graph plots return on assets over leverage. The X-axis
reports leverage ratio and Y-axis reports return on assets.
The tradeoff theory states that the increasing debt capital increases the debt-tax
shield but at lower level of leverage, the bankruptcy cost, agency costs and
financial distress cost may not exist, even if exist it will be mitigated by the
debt tax shield but after certain level of debt ratio, the cost function of debt
capital increases faster than tax-shield benefit function. Hence, this empirical
evidence is consistent with tradeoff theory and signifies the notion of 'optimal
capital structure'.
57
In nutshell, from the above analysis, it has been observed that higher the
leverage ratio, initially, tends to increase the profit after certain level (say,
moderate level) it declines; highly levered firms are larger in size and higher in
sales growth rate than moderately and less levered firms, however, poor to
maintain liquidity position; and the size and sales of Nepalese firms are, on an
average equal, however the sales growth rate is higher than assets growth rate.
SECTION 2
The notion of optimal capital structure shows the dynamic nature of capital
structure i.e. firm holds the target level of debt ratio and moves toward it. Some
of the early the works are done based on static concept of capital structure and
the recent works are done based on dynamic concept of capital structure. Due
to the methodological limitation, the study relies on static concept of capital
58
structure. In this section what firm specific factors determines the capital
structure have been dealt with stronger econometric estimation techniques.
1. Econometric Analysis
The Ordinary Least Square (OLS) and Generalized Least Square (GLS)
estimates are presented in Table 4.6 and 4.7 respectively. The basic model of
estimation is:
DRi , t 1 ASi , t 2CRi , t 3GWi , t
The results from OLS in Table 4.6 denote that the independent variables
explain 21.2% variability in total debt ratio, 42% variability in the long-term
debt ratio and 18.4% variability in short-term debt ratio measured by adjusted
59
Table 4.6
OLS Estimates of Capital Structure Determinants
Here in this table, estimates from Ordinary Least Square (OLS) are presented. The data are from
NEPSE and SEBO database and the sample contains 20 non-financial firms listed on the NEPSE for
the period 1992-2004. TD is the ratio of total debt to total assets where the total debt is measured long-
term debt plus total current liabilities. LTD is the ratio of long-term debt to total assets. STD is ratio of
total current liabilities to total assets. AS is the ratio of fixed assets plus inventory to total assets. CR is
the ratio of current assets to current liabilities. GW is the percentage change in sales in respect to
previous year. NDT is ratio of annual depreciation to total assets. PRO is ratio of EBITDA to total
assets. RISK is the time series standard deviation of EBITDA. SIZE is the natural logarithm of sales.
Standard errors are displayed in parentheses below the coefficients. p-values are given in italics below
the standard error value. In Total Model, total debt ratio is dependent variable. In Long-term Model,
long-term debt ratio is dependent model. In Short-term Model, short-term debt ratio is dependent
variable. The estimated model is:
DRi , t 1 ASi , t 2CRi , t 3GWi , t 4 NDTi , t 5 PROi , t 6 RISKi , t 7 SIZEi , t i , t
Table 4.7
GLS Estimates of Capital Structure Determinants
Here in this table, estimates from Generalized Least Square (GLS) are presented. The data are from
NEPSE and SEBO database and the sample contains 20 non-financial firms listed on the NEPSE for
the period 1992-2004. TD is the ratio of total debt to total assets where the total debt is measured long-
term debt plus total current liabilities. LTD is the ratio of long-term debt to total assets. STD is ratio of
total current liabilities to total assets. AS is the ratio of fixed assets plus inventory to total assets. CR is
the ratio of current assets to current liabilities. GW is the percentage change in sales in respect to
previous year. NDT is ratio of annual depreciation to total assets. PRO is ratio of EBITDA to total
assets. RISK is the time series standard deviation of EBITDA. SIZE is the natural logarithm of sales.
White standard errors are displayed in parentheses below the coefficients. p-values are given in italics
below the white standard error value. Total debt ratio, long-term debt ratio and short-term debt ratio
are the dependent variables in Total Model, Long-term Model, and Short-term Model respectively. The
estimated model is:
DRi , t 1 ASi , t 2CRi , t 3GWi , t 4 NDTi , t 5 PROi , t 6 RISKi , t 7 SIZEi , t i , t
In the same manner, the coefficients of constant and CR are inverse in the case
of total model and long-term model. Among other, from the OLS estimates,
assets structure, risk and size have positive influence on leverage and liquidity,
growth, non-debt tax shield and profitability have negative influence on
leverage.
The GLS estimates, presented in Table 4.7 are more efficient because GLS has
adjusted Cross-Section Weighted White Heteroscedasticity-Consistent Standard
Error and Covariance (Gujarati, 2003, p. 415). Also, the lower R-squared
motivated to use GLS method of estimation, which results BLUE (best linear
unbiased estimates).
8
The adjusted R2 incorporates degree of freedom associated with explained variation (Gujarati, 2003).
Theil (1978) suggests that it is good practice to use adjusted R2 rather than R2 because R2 tends to
give an overly optimistic picture of the fit of the regression, particularly when the number of
explanatory variables is not very small compared with the number of observations (p. 135).
61
The GLS models have the almost similar signs of estimates as on OLS models
but the adjusted R2 value have been changed significantly. The adjusted R2 value
of total model increased to 95.4%. The adjusted R2 of long-term model
increased to 44.6%. Similarly, the adjusted R2 of short-term model increased to
83% from 18.4% in OLS. Therefore, the results from GLS denote that the
independent variables explain 95.4% variation in total debt ratio, 44.6%
variation in long-term debt ratio and 83% variation in short-term debt ratio. The
F-statistic of GLS models is significant at 1% level, or 99% confidence level.
In following paragraphs, the estimates of GLS models, presented in Table 4.7,
are described in detail, particularly focusing on total model.
The coefficient of current ratio, CR (proxy for the liquidity) is negative in total
model and short-term model however positive with long-term model and it is
statistically significant at 1% and 5% level respectively. The findings are in line
with the view that liquidity of firms exerts a negative impact on firms'
borrowing decisions. This negative effect might be due to potential conflicts
between debtholders and shareholders of firms (Ozkan, 2001, p. 190). In other
words, firms having higher liquidity hold more liquid assets and have lower
short-term debt, which decreases short-term debt ratio and total debt ratio by
62
the same time. However, the relation of liquidity with long-term debt is
somewhat puzzling. It indicates that increasing liquidity increases the long-
term debt ratio. It might imply that, to some extent, higher liquidity could
backup to increase long-term debt.
findings of Rajan and Zingales (1995), Booth et al. (2001), Ozkan (2001), and
Gaud et al. (2005).
The coefficient of risk, RISK (as proxied by time series standard deviation of
firms EBITDA) is approximately zeros it is statistically significant. It indicates
the possibility of not direct relationship between risk and leverage. It indicates
the independency of leverage ratio and risk, in Nepalese practices, which is
contradicting evidence on capital structure theory. The theories suggest that
firms with relatively higher operating volatility will have incentive to have
lower leverage (Myers, 1977; and DeAngelo and Masulis, 1980). However, it
evidence might be the consequence of the methodological limitation where the
same time series standard deviation of EBITDA was used for all the years.
From the above analysis it is reviled that firm specific attributes plays
important role in capital structure management of Nepalese enterprises.
The OLS and GLS models presented in Table 4.6 and 4.7 have low Durbin-
Watson statistic, which shows the possibility of the presence of autocorrelation.
The null hypothesis of 'no autocorrelation' is rejected. 9 In the presence of
autocorrelation, the estimators may not efficient (Gujarati, 2003). Therefore,
OLS as well as GLS (Cross-Section Weighted White Heteroskedasticity-
Consistent Standard Error and Covariance) estimators may lack the efficiency.
9
H0: No autocorrelation, or = 0
H1: Yes autocorrelation, or 0
At 1% level of significance, the tabulated d L and dU are 1.53 and 1.72 approximately for n = 161. The
d statistics of all the models do not fulfill the requirement of d U < d < 4- dU to accept the null
hypothesis. Therefore, it suggests the possibility of presence of autocorrelation.
64
In such case Madala (1992) and Gujarati (2003) 10 suggest to use the First-
Difference Method.
or
Table 4.8
First-Difference Model Estimates
This table presents the estimates from the first-difference model. Data are from NEPSE and SEBO
database and contains 20 non-financial firms listed in NEPSE. The both dependent and independent
variables are transformed into first difference and regressed against total debt ratio. The DAS, DCR,
DGW, DNDT, DPRO, and DSIZE are the first-difference operators of assets structure, current ratio,
growth, non-debt tax shield and size respectively. The first difference reduced the sample size into 136.
The model is:
DRi , t 1ASi , t 2 CRi , t 3GWi , t 4 NDTi , t 5PROi , t 6 SIZEi , t i , t
.
Independent Variables Coefficient White Std. t-Statistic Prob.
Error
DAS 0.052 0.024 2.123 0.036
DCR -0.034 0.015 -2.230 0.027
DGW 0.005 0.001 4.839 0.000
DNDT 0.219 0.186 1.172 0.243
DPRO -0.302 0.023 -12.98 0.000
DSIZE 0.062 0.016 3.985 0.000
R-squared 0.333
Adjusted R-squared 0.307
S.E. of regression 0.208
F-statistic 12.970
Prob (F-statistic) 0.000
Durbin-Watson stat 1.784
n 136
Note: The first-difference model estimates are Cross-Section Weighted White
Heteroskedasticity-Consistent Standard Errors & Covariance (Gujarati, 2003).
Yt = Xt + t
(4.2)
where is the first difference operator. In equation (4.2), the error term, t is
free from serial correlation to run the regression (Gujarati, 2003, p. 478).
The first-difference model for this study can be derived from equation (4.2).
10
Use the first-different form whenever the d < R2 (Madala, 1992, p. 232). Use the first-different form
whenever the d < R2 (Madala, 1992, p. 232). The first transformation may be appropriate if the
coefficient of autocorrelation is very high, say in excess of 0.8, or the Durbin-Watson d is quite low
(Gajarati, 2003, p. 478).
65
(4.3)
In the first-difference model there is no intercept that means that the regression
line passes through the origin (Gujarati, 2003). RISK is omitted from the
explanatory variables because of same value for all the time series. When
regressed the first-difference model with first-difference operators of
explanatory variables, the results are as shown in Table 4.8.
The signs of the first difference operators in Table 4.8 are similar to total model
(GLS) in Table 4.7 except non-debt tax shield, NDT. The sign of first-
difference operator of non-debt tax shield is positive, however, it is not
statistically significant at normal levels. This evidence is somewhat puzzling
and contradictive with GLS estimate, however, it is noteworthy to mention that
in first different model, the independent variables are regressed against first-
difference operator of total debt ratio rather than total debt ratio itself where
some methodological issues may rises.
SECTION 3
firm is the function of economic growth rate, inflation rate, capital market
development, liquid liabilities and Miller's tax advantage (Booth et al., 2001).
Table 4.10
Macroeconomic Influences on Capital Structure Choice
The table shows the results of regression of various debt measures against a set of independent macroeconomics variables. Data for independent variables are from
Table 4.9 and data from depended variables are from Table 4.3. In total model, dependent variable is total debt ratio, measured as total debt divided by total assets. In
long-term model, long-term debt ratio is dependent variable and measured as ratio long-term debt to total assets. In short-term model, the dependent variable is
short-term debt ratio. GDP growth is measured at factor cost. Inflation (INFL) is based on annual percentage change is consumer price index (annual average,
1994/95=100). MCGDP is the ratio of market capitalization to GDP. The estimated basic model is: DRt 1GDPt 2 INFLt 3 MCGDPt t 11
Independent Variables Total Model Long-term Mod
CoefficientStd. ErrorProb.CoefficientStd. ErrorProb.CoefficientStd. ErrorProb.
Intercept66.67220.9300.019-7.74212.7080.56573.57026.3050.031
GDP-1.5381.7430.4120.6211.0580.579-2.1472.1900.365
INFL-0.6811.6460.6932.4190.9990.052-3.0382.0680.192
MCGDP2.5331.8560.2212.2681.1270.0910.2952.3330.904
R-squared 0.628 0.632
Adjusted R-squared 0.443 0.448
S.E. of regression 8.124 4.933
F-statistic 3.381 3.437
Prob. (F-statistic) 0.095 0.093
Durbin-Watson stat 1.316 1.806
n 10 10
11
In this model, it is assumed that the underlying time series is stationary (Johnston and DiNardo, 1997; and Gajarati, 2003).
6
9
(MOF, 2005) and SEBO Annual Report (SEBO, 2004). The data from
Economic Survey 2004/05 is said to be different and updated (MOF, 2005, p.
2). Nepal has experienced highest GDP growth rate in 2001 during last 10
years and it is lowest in 2002, which is -0.3%. The GDP growth rate is
decreasing; the latest statistic is around 2% (MOF, 2005). The 10-year average
statistic of GDP growth rate is 3.8%, which is nominal in case of developing
countries.
The inflation rate for 1999 is the highest during last 10 years and the 10-year
average statistic is 5.5%. The ratio of stock market capitalization to GDP is, on
an average, 7.7%. It is higher than 10-developing countries except Jordan and
Malaysia (Booth et al., 2001, Table II). NEPSE is only one stock market in
Nepal. The stock market index in 2000 is the highest during last 10 years. The
index is decreasing over the years thereafter; however, it is slightly improved in
2004.
Table 4.10 offers some preliminary conclusions on the relation between capital
structures and intuitional characteristics. These conclusions are generated by
time series data from 1995 to 2004. Table 4.10 shows the result of the time
series regressions in which the dependent variables are the three debt ratios,
viz.; total debt ratio, long-term debt ratio and short-term debt ratio. The
independent variables are GDP growth, inflation rate and ratio of stock market
capitalization to GDP.
The obvious caveat to the results in Table 4.10 is that with only 10 years, the
standard errors of the coefficients are too large for the coefficients to be judged
significant at normal level. However, coefficient of inflation and the market
capitalization to GDP are significant at 10% level in long-term model. All three
models are significant at 10% level.
debt and less short-term debt. Since the contribution of short-term debt on total
leverage is significantly high, the evidence is obvious. This evidence implies
that the Nepalese companies prefer long-term debt securities and rely less on
short-term borrowing when the economic growth is higher. The inflation rate is
negatively related to total debt ratio and short-term debt ratio, whereas, it is
positively related to long-term debt ratio. It implies that increasing inflation
supports to increase long-term debt and decrease short-term debt. To some
extent, in short-run, the higher inflation decreases the interest rate, which could
foster long-term borrowing. Finally, both debt ratios vary positively with
market capitalization. It implies that as capital markets become more
developed, they become a viable option for corporate financing.
SECTION 4
Analysis of Survey of Capital Structure: A Managerial Perspective
The purpose of conducting a field research is to shed some lights on how
managers perceive about capital structure decisions. This study is motivated by
the works of Allen (1991), and Pradhan and Ang (1994). In their extensive
survey of financial managers, Allen (1991) found that internal financing was
the most preferred source of financing. In Nepalese context, Pradhan and Ang
(1994) found the results similar to Allen (1991).
This section is devoted to analyzing the results of the opinion survey on major
aspects of capital structure management in Nepalese enterprises. The opinion
survey consists of interviewing 20 respondents. Of the total 20 respondents
interviewed, three were company secretaries, four were middle level business
executives, seven were financial managers, and six were directors/executive
directors. The prorforma of interview schedule is presented in Appendix B.
For the purpose of the study, the personal interview was conducted during
June-July 2005 in Kathmandu. The interview schedule mainly contained
7
1
This section is organized into four parts. Part 1 describes the respondents'
opinion about capital structure pattern and debt ratios while part 2 deals with
capital structure policy. The analysis of responses on tax effect on capital
structure has been undertaken in part 3. Finally, part 4 deals with firm specific
attributes influencing leverage ratio.
When the respondents were asked about the pattern of capital structure
employed by them, it is revealed that that they prefer a mixed type of capital
structure. They are not in favor of using equity alone in capital structure. They
prefer a mix of different types of capital. They have used short-term debt, and
equity. Surprisingly, none of them have used long-term debt and hybrid
securities, e.g., debenture, preferred stock, or debt with warrants attached or
convertibles yet.
About the debt capital, the majority of the respondents (65%) answered that
they have moderate level of debt ratio (ranging from 40-60%). However, a 30%
of respondent indicated that they have employed a very high debt ratio
(something above 60%).
Since, debt is a cheaper type of capital and interest payments are tax
deductible, a great majority of companies would like to use as much of debt as
possible. Hence one of the fundamental issues in capital structure
management is to find out if there is a limit on debt. In this connection, a
majority of respondents opined that (about 85%) there is a limit on what they
can borrow. Of them, 55% reported that they are at or very near the debt limit.
The respondents were also asked if they have any definite preference for any
debt level or a leverage ratio. The discussion revealed that the majority of
respondents (about 60 percent) have a preference for 60 percent debt, that is, 60
percent of total assets should be financed by debt. Thus they not opined that
7
2
there exists optimal capital structure but they also opined that the optimal
capital structure means 60 percent debt to total assets ratio. In other words, the
acceptance of optimal capital structure means rejection of pecking order
hypothesis in Nepalese enterprises.
The next aspect of survey dealt with respondents most preferred source of
financing. Table 4.11 clearly shows that the most preferred source of financing
has been the retained earning, followed by bank loan. The external equity and
other sources such as trade credit are not preferred source of financing. The
respondents have no preference for hybrid securities at all. This result is very
surprising because through out the world hybrid type of financing has received
much more attention in recent years.
Table 4.11
Respondents' Preference over Financing Alternatives
Financing Alternatives Rank
1 2 3 4 5
Bank Loan 7 10 3 0 0
Retained Earning 11 7 1 0 1
Debt and Hybrid Securities 0 0 5 6 9
External Equity 1 1 2 8 8
Others (Trade Credit, etc.) 1 2 9 6 2
3. Tax Effects
7
3
One of the important issues in capital structure management is the tax effects,
that is, the tax deductibility of interest payments on debt. About 60% of
respondents opined that tax has an important influence on their capital structure
decisions. Of them, the majority of respondents (about 75%) are in favor of
increasing debt in capital structure from the present level but there are 15% of
respondents who are not willing to increase the present debt level. According to
DeAngelo and Masulis (1980), higher non-debt tax shields, for example,
depreciation expenses and investment tax credit may lead to lower leverage.
The majority of respondents believe that assets structure and firm size have
positive influence on leverage; and profitability and business risk have negative
influence on leverage. The asset structure refers to whether the firm has more
of long-term assets or more of short-term assets. If the firm has more of long-
term assets, it would employ more leverage, other things remaining the same or
vice versa. As regards the firm size, greater the size of the firms, greater is the
capacity to take risks and higher would be the leverage. As regards the
profitability, higher the profitability, lower would be the leverage, other things
remaining the same or vice versa. Similarly, if the business risk is on higher
side, the firms tend to use less debt in the capital structure. The various factors
affecting the debt level are presented in Table 4.12.
As regards non-debt tax shield, a great majority of respondents are not very
familiar with it. However some 15 percent of respondents opined that that non-
debt tax shield has negative influence on leverage, that is, if the non-debt tax
shield is higher, the lower would be the debt. They would not interest in debt
tax shield and hence would use lower level debt. Thus the debt level depends
on the extent to which the firm has non-debt tax shield. The respondents also
opined that growth has positive impact on leverage. The higher the growth,
more funds would be required for financing the growth and higher would be
the debt ratios.
Table 4.12
Influence of Firm Specific Attributes on Leverage.
7
4
The above analysis revealed some further facts, which were not revealed by the
analysis of secondary data. The Nepalese financial executives believe that there
exists optimal capital structure. This finding is important which indicates the
need for further research in the area of optimal capital structure.
7
5
CHAPTER FIVE
This study mainly aims at examining the pattern and determinants of capital
structure in Nepalese firms. Its specific objectives are: (i) to determine
structural pattern of the capital structure; (ii) to examine the relationship of
leverage with different financial indicators (ratios); (iii) to make an
international comparison of debt ratios; (iv) to assess the determinants of
capital structure; (v) to investigate whether and to what extent the capital
structure theories can explain capital structure choice of Nepalese firms; and
(vi) to examine managements views on various aspects of the capital structure.
This is perhaps the first study of its kind in Nepal. This study covers 20-non
financial firms listed in NEPSE for the period 1992-2004. For the purpose of
the study, the necessary data were collected from NEPSE database and SEBO
database. The opinions of managers were collected by direct interview.
This study has used ratio analysis to accomplish some of the objectives. More
specifically, it has employed decompositional analysis and properties of
portfolio analysis to assess the pattern of capital structure of the firms.
Econometric models have been employed to analyze the capital structure
determinants both at micro and macro level.
- Based on the median value of leverage, Nepalese firms are found less
levered than the G-7 countries except USA, UK and Canada (Rajan and
Zingales, 1995) and four developing countries viz.; India, South Korea,
Pakistan and Turkey. South Korea has the highest median total leverage,
which is 73.4%. However, Nepalese firms have higher leverage than
other 6 developing countries, viz.; Brazil, Mexico, Jordan, Malaysia,
Thailand and Zimbabwe. The Brazil, among all, has the lowest total
leverage ratio, which is 30.3%. Similarly, the Japan has highest long-
term debt ratio, which is 53%, and Brazil has the lowest debt ratio,
which is 10%.
- The study of properties of the portfolio shows that at the lower level of
leverages, firm tends to employ more short-term debt than long-term
7
7
debt and firm shifts to long-term debt from short-term debt in respect to
increasing leverage ratio. The moderately levered firm are higher
profitable than less levered and highly levered firms. Among others, the
ratio of EBITDA to total asset increases in portfolio is 13.3%. It
increases to 18.3% in portfolio II and decreases to 7.1% in portfolio III.
The profitability measures show that profitability is the concave
function of leverage. On an average, all the firms have more than 50%
collateralizable assets and the firm size and the sales are approximately
equal. The firms having the lower leverage have higher the liquidity.
The median statistics of current ratio of portfolio I is 1.95 and it
decreases to 0.86 in portfolio III. Therefore, the liquidity is the
decreasing function of leverage.
From above, it can be concluded that Nepalese firms are highly levered and
rely more on short-term debt. The trend of debt ratio (total and short-term) is
increasing over the period. It might be the consequences of the regressive
(recession) economic scenario, which results in to lower profitability and
higher leverage (Booth et al., 2001). Similarly, the decreasing or negative
profitability increases the payables, which ultimately increases the short-term
debt. It would be the cause to increase the short-term debt ratio of the firm
since 1999. The high debt ratio could not result into profitability because the
marginal analysis for debt function is concave. The optimal level of debt-equity
combination results in profitability and optimal value of the firm. Both the firm
specific and macroeconomic factors also play important in firms' capital
structure decisions. The retained earning and the bank loads are the most
preferred sources of financing among Nepalese practitioners.
2. Recommendation
7
9
It is observed that majority of the firms in sample have debt ratio more than
60% of total assets. It is also observed that moderate level (range of 40-60%) of
debt ratio yielded optimal profitability. Therefore, the firms can be benefited by
employing moderate level of debt rather than low or extremely high. The heavy
reliance on short-term debt may not be the positive signal for the profitability
and liquidity, which may result into bankruptcy because of default.
One can increase the sample size to obtain more reliable and valid
conclusions. Also, a study extending the survey regarding optimal
capital structure is anticipated.
A study similar to this should be conducted from time to time. The long-
term stability of results needs to be reviewed from time to time. Also,
the determinants of capital structure may vary from one period to
another period, from one firm to another firm and from one industry to
another industry. Hence, a study of capital structure determinants in
individual firm, particular industry should be conducted.
Since the study is based on panel data, estimation techniques for such
data could be somewhat different from OLS and GLS. For panel data,
Arellano-Bond dynamic panel data estimation technique is suggested
which is regarded as better estimation technique of panel data. It also
8
0
There are different measures of leverage; one can use those different
alternative measures of leverage to test the results.
Since the capital structure is one of the most controversial issues in corporate
finance, there is room for study from different perspectives. Even, one can
develop his or her own methodological approach to study various aspects of
capital structure.
8
1
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APPENDIX A
Secondary Dataset
APPENDIX B
Interview Schedule
Name: Position:
Organization: Address:
Date: ..
b. No
9. If tax rate increases by 20%, what will be your response?
a. Increase debt
b. Decrease debt
c. No changes
10. In your opinion, how the following firm specific attributes affects on
leverage ratio?
Firm Specific Attributes Positive Influence Negative Influence Don't
Know/Undecided
Non-Debt Tax Shield
Assets Structure
Profitability
Firm Size
Growth
Liquidity
Business Risk
11. Do you think that product market and/or industry class also influence the
leverage ratio?
a. Yes b. No c. Don't Know/Undecided