Summarize the key points

Your newly appointed manager was just called to attend a Security Council meeting on the
situation in 'Rilwana'. You received input from the political team regarding the situation in the
country. In five bullet points, summarize - in your own words - whatever you think
are the 'key points' that he/she should take away from the 'full text' below. Do not
write more than 100 words.

Key Points
1. Although Rilwana remains politically volatile in 2017/2018, the security situation will
gradually improve.

2. John Does regime, which is now in its third term, has been made secure through
extreme security measures and low popular support for the opposition.

3. The government is further strengthened through complete authority over parliament

and legislature, and financial security through increased taxation.

4. If the current trends continue, there is a risk that the regime will convert Rilwana to a
one-party state.
5. Opponents of the authoritarian regime will continue conducting low-level attacks.

Full Text
Rilwana will remain politically volatile throughout 2017-18, but the security situation will
continue to improve after the height of the country's political crisis in late 2015 and early
2016. Violent unrest was sparked by the controversial re-election in July 2015 of the president,
John Doe, for a third consecutive five-year term in office, which his critics say violates an
agreement that ended the country's civil war. What began as a protest movement has
subsequently evolved into a low-level insurgency, although it is becoming clear that armed
elements of the opposition will not be able to mobilise enough popular support to dislodge Mr
Doe's administration. Meanwhile, the security forces are, for their part, also becoming more
adept at containing instability, often via extreme repression. This fragile semblance of stability
is allowing for higher tax collection, and this in turn will militate against a financial collapse for
the regime, which will otherwise be under financial stress from falling donor inflows.
Accordingly, the security forces will continue being paid, and their loyalty will prevent a total
loss in the government's grip on power.

However, as the government becomes progressively more confident about its chances for
survival, any need for it to resolve the crisis peacefully through dialogue and political
concessions will also diminish. Rather, recent trends suggest that the regime will use the crisis
as a pretext for transforming Rilwana from a nominally pluralistic democracy into a one-party
state. Indeed, much of the political opposition has fled violence or been imprisoned on
charges of sedition, and there is little reason to expect that any restrictions on their activity
will be relaxed. Besides this, parliament, which is dominated by the ruling Labour Party, has
shown itself to be firmly united behind Mr Doe and opposed criticism of his governance. A
loyalist set-up in the legislature also means that proposed measures to drastically reduce
checks on the executiveincluding by abolishing term limits on the presidencyare likely to
be passed. This drift even further towards authoritarianism will preclude any form of peaceful
resolution with the opposition, who demand that a two-term limit on the presidency be
upheld. As a result, loosely organised resistance movements will continue to carry out low-
level attacksincluding the targeted assassination of officialswhich will present a constant
challenge to domestic security.