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We are initiating coverage on Selangor Properties Bhd (SPB) with a Buy Stock Return Information
recommendation. SPB operates 3 major business segments, namely: 1) KLCI 1,771.01
property investment, 2) property development, and 3) investment holdings. Expected Share Price Return (%) 18.4
We like the groups prized assets in Damansara Heights and believe it is Expected Dividend Return (%) 2.4
Expected Total Return (%) 20.8
entering a new chapter with the launch of Aira Residence. SPB is more than
just an undervalued property company and we believe it will draw greater
Share Information
investor recognition over time. Based on a target FY18 P/B multiple of 0.8x,
Bloomberg Code SPR MK
we value SPB at RM5.98. Stock Code 1783
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TA Securities
A Member of the TA Group 25-May-17
Background
SPB was listed on the Main Board of Bursa Malaysia on 6 November, 1963,
making it one of the oldest property companies that is listed on Bursa Malaysia.
It is also known for being the master developer of Damansara Heights, a suburb
carved from 1,000-acres of rubber plantation that the company bought in the
1960s.
Pn Sris son, Mr Wen Chiu Chi is the managing director of SPB. He joined the
company in 1979 and assumed the position of managing director of the company
in 2000. Mr Wen is assisted by Mr Chong Koon San (Chief Operating Officer) and
Mr Lee Tart Choong (Director of Finance) in formulating the groups
development strategies.
Business Overview
SPBs core businesses are classified into 3 divisions, namely: 1) property
investment, 2) property development, and 3) investment holdings. Currently,
SPB has a resilient revenue base, with more than 70% from rental income,
especially from the commercial properties in Malaysia (of about RM50mn per
year) and retail centers in Australia (rental revenue of RM40mn per year). Other
main contributors include property development and investment holdings.
Bottom-line wise, the groups net profit are underpinned by gains from the
disposal of properties, periodic gains from the revaluation of properties and
returns from its financial assets portfolio.
Property Investment
SPB has a number of investment properties presently held for rental income.
Most of the assets were built in the 1960s to 1970s and also can be redeveloped
at a later stage. Its portfolio of investment properties are strategically located
within Damansara Heights and in Bukit Tunku. These properties include:
Menara Millennium. A 25-storey corporate office tower with 550k sq ft
of NLA
Kompleks Pejabat Damansara five blocks of 4-storey office buildings
on 3.9 acres with 210,000 sq ft of NLA.
Plaza Batai 16 units of retail shops
SPB Towers a 17-storey apartment building sitting on 3 acres along
Jalan Batai.
Taman Tunku Flats 1.9 acres of land in Bukit Tunku. Comprises 86
units of apartments and 9 units of shops.
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TA Securities
A Member of the TA Group 25-May-17
Property Development
SPB has 30.6 acres of undeveloped land in the Damansara Heights Area, a total
of 242 acres of land in Gombak, Selayang and Ulu Langat. Contribution from its
property development operations are currently insignificant as SPB has not
been active in launching new projects for several years. However, the property
development division is set to shine again as the group has lined up 3 projects
for launch in FY16 FY19. For a start, SPB unveiled Aira residence in Oct-16.
Located on 3 acres of land along Jalan Batai, Damansara Heights, Aira Residence
is expected to generate a gross development value (GDV) of RM850mn.
Next, the group is looking to relaunch Phase 4 of Bukit Permata, Gombak by end
2017. With an estimated GDV of RM120mn, this phase will feature 36 units of
semi-detached houses and 24 units of bungalow. After Aira Residence, the
company will begin the redevelopment of 7.9 acres of Wisma Damansara in
2018/2019. We understand that the company aims to focus on one project at a
time to ensure the quality of its deliveries.
Investment Holding
The groups investment holding operation in Malaysia include financial assets in
the form of placements of short-term funds in unit trusts. Meanwhile, its
overseas investments comprise equity funds, real estate funds, hedge funds and
fixed deposits. The group usually place the proceeds from asset disposal in
short-term funds in Malaysia. This was intended to provide working capital for:
1) capex improvements in its investment properties, 2) financing of initial
capital for property development and land acquisition, and 3) payment of
dividends. Separately, the groups overseas investment are long-term
placements until there is a need for liquidation to fund any viable business
opportunities that arise in Malaysia or overseas.
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TA Securities
A Member of the TA Group 25-May-17
Investment Thesis
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TA Securities
A Member of the TA Group 25-May-17
Figure 3: SPBs Damansara Heights Land
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TA Securities
A Member of the TA Group 25-May-17
2) Entering a new chapter with the launch of Aira Residence
After decades of laying low, SPB made a comeback with the launch of its
luxury condominium, the Aira Residence in October last year. Located on 3
acres of land along Jalan Batai, Damansara Heights, Aira Residence is
expected to generate a gross development value (GDV) of RM850mn.
Featuring 105 units of condominium with sizes ranging from 2,679 sq ft to
7,730 sq ft, the units are priced at an average RM1,700 per sq ft. We believe
the low-density condominium will mark the beginning of SPBs new era. To
date, more than 60% of the units have been booked and SPB targets about
50% of the 105 units to be sold by the end of the year. The project is
expected to complete and handed over in 2020.
The groups property game plan does not stop here. According to
management, the company will now take on a new direction that will see it
move to develop the land it owns instead of selling parcels like it had done in
recent times for cashflow and profit. It plans to redevelop the 7.9 acres
Wisma Damansara after Aira Residence, and later the 3.59 acres near the
Semantan MRT station, known as Kompleks Pejabat Damansara where SPBs
headquarters, Wisma UN and other low-rise office buildings are located.
SPBs earnings have been rather volatile in the past. However, future
earnings are set to be substantially stronger as we expect new property
launches such as Aira Residence, Bukit Permata and Wisma Damansara, to
take off the ground. We are looking at an impressive 52% earnings CAGR
from FY16-19f. After excluding gains from the asset sale, periodic gains from
the revaluation of properties and returns from its financial assets portfolio,
we see the groups P/E multiple to normalise to 17x in FY19 from 39x in
FY16.
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TA Securities
A Member of the TA Group 25-May-17
Although part of the internal funds will be used to finance its launch of Aira
Residence, we believe SPB will still have plenty of room to gear up - for the
redevelopment of Wisma Damansara and/or landbank replenishment. In
terms of dividends, the group has traditionally been paying consistent
dividends of 10-12 sen per year over the past 5 years (excluding special
dividends). We expect this trend to be maintained, providing a decent bank-
equivalent net yield of 3.0%.
Sector Outlook
It was a lacklustre 2016 for Malaysian property market as cooling measures
introduced by the government in 2014 continued to bite and dampen buying
sentiment. Stringent bank lending policies had also contributed to softer sales.
The Malaysian property sector, which is represented by four major states namely,
Kuala Lumpur, Selangor, Penang and Johor - experienced softer market activities
in 2016. Both residential transaction volume and value for these four states
collectively decreased by 8% and 10% respectively in 2016 against the
corresponding period last year (see Figure 5 and Figure 6).
Source: Napic
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TA Securities
A Member of the TA Group 25-May-17
Financial Outlook
SPBs earnings outlook for 2017-19 will be underpinned by: 1) steady rental
income from its investment properties, 2) maiden revenue recognition from
Aira Residence, and 3) redevelopment of Wisma Damansara.
1) Property Investment:
We are projecting an overall portfolio occupancy rate of 95% with an
average rental growth of 3-5% p.a. For its Australian retail centre, we
assume an AUD/MYR rate of RM3.10 for our forecast horizon.
3) Investment Holdings
We conservatively project a 3% growth p.a. for the investment holdings
division. Note that we exclude unrealised forex gain on investment
securities from our normalised net profit calculation.
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TA Securities
A Member of the TA Group 25-May-17
Potential Bonus Issue?
As management recognises concerns over the stocks liquidity, which would
affect investors interest on the stock, we believe a bonus issue could be on the
cards. The no-par value regime has come into force on 31 January 2017. This
means that the issuance of all shares no longer carries a par value. That also
means that there is no more concept of prohibiting the issuance of shares at a
discount. Having said that, the companys share premium account and capital
redemption reserve account will now be merged with the companys share
capital. There is a transitional period of 24 months to utilise the amounts in the
share premium account and the capital redemption reserve account. We believe
SPB can take this opportunity to utilise its share premium account to reward
shareholders by issuing new bonus shares or dish out dividend in specie. Based
on the groups latest audited balance sheet, it has share premium of about
RM273mn, which is sufficient to do a 1-for-6 bonus issue.
Key Risks
Boring and Unexciting Perception
Other than the Malaysian/Australian economy and property market, one risk
we see is that the group is generally perceived to be a boring and unexciting
company. Despite its quality landbank, the company is not in the same league
with other major developers when it comes new launches or land acquisitions.
The concern always lies with how will the current managing director - Pn Sris
son, Mr Wens, who is 61 years old this year, will unlock the tremendous hidden
value in the group.
While the company may have largely missed out on the recent property
upcycle, we believe it is catching up with the launch of Aira residence, relaunch
of Bukit Permata project and redevelopment of Wisma Damansara. We are
encouraged by this pipeline of pocket sized but big-in-value projects, signaling a
more aggressive stance by management in the coming years.
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TA Securities
A Member of the TA Group 25-May-17
Valuation
We value SPB at RM5.98, which is based on a 20% discount to our projected
FY18 BPS. Our target 0.8x P/B multiple is consistent with our implied target
P/B (0.6-1.2x P/BPS) for small and mid-cap. Although SPBs earnings can be
volatile due to asset sales, exceptional items and uncertain investment returns,
its shares are backed by strong assets and offer good, consistent, dividend of
about 12 sen per year. Lastly, although SPB may not be a developer that makes
news headline on large scale marketing campaigns to promote its new
launches, it has been generating healthy returns for its shareholders. We also
believe that the company is entering a brand new phase, drawing with it,
greater investor recognition over time. We rate SPB as a Buy.
Peers Comparison
Peers Comparison
Company Price Target price EPS growth (%) PER (x) ROE (%) Div Yield (%) P/BV (x)
Call (RM) (RM) CY17 CY18 CY17 CY18 FY17 FY18 FY17 FY18 FY17 FY18
IOIPG Hold 2.10 2.25 11.5 (0.6) 12.1 12.1 5.6 5.2 3.3 3.6 0.6 0.6
SP Setia Buy 3.80 4.10 (10.1) (11.3) 14.9 16.8 7.6 6.6 3.7 3.7 1.1 1.1
Sunway Hold 3.63 3.40 2.6 6.7 13.3 12.5 7.4 7.5 3.3 3.3 1.0 1.0
Mah Sing Hold 1.54 1.67 7.7 (4.2) 10.6 11.1 10.3 9.2 3.9 3.9 1.0 1.0
SPB Buy 5.05 5.98 35.3 30.9 27.0 20.7 2.4 3.1 2.4 2.4 0.7 0.7
Glomac Sell 0.71 0.69 3.6 31.7 12.1 9.2 2.4 4.5 5.7 5.7 0.5 0.4
Ibraco Hold 0.85 1.00 33.3 53.5 11.7 7.6 10.5 14.9 4.1 4.7 1.2 1.1
Hua Yang Sell 1.08 1.07 (20.8) (1.2) 6.0 6.0 12.4 9.9 3.7 3.2 0.6 0.6
Sentoria Hold 0.85 0.80 18.8 39.9 11.8 8.5 7.4 10.4 1.2 1.2 1.0 0.9
Sector (Simple Average) 9.1 16.2 13.3 11.6 7.3 7.9 3.5 3.5 0.9 0.8
Sector (Market Weighted) 2.4 (1.1) 12.4 12.7 6.9 6.5 3.4 3.4 0.9 0.8
Big cap (Simple Average) 3.0 (2.3) 12.7 13.1 7.7 7.1 3.6 3.6 1.0 0.9
Mid/Small Cap (Simple Average) 14.0 31.0 13.7 10.4 7.0 8.6 3.4 3.4 0.8 0.7
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TA Securities
A Member of the TA Group 25-May-17
Earnings Summary
Profit & Loss (RMm) Balance Sheet (RMm)
YE Oct 31 2015 2016 2017f 2018f 2019f YE Oct 31 2015 2016 2017f 2018f 2019f
Revenue 99.5 120.9 163.4 294.5 476.0 Fixed assets 387.9 477.0 476.3 465.9 459.4
EBITDA 51.1 80.4 111.2 136.8 164.6 Others 1,235.5 1,293.9 1,312.5 1,331.0 1,349.5
Dep. & amortisation (0.7) (1.3) (20.6) (20.4) (16.5) Total 1,623.4 1,770.9 1,788.8 1,796.9 1,808.9
Net finance cost (13.2) (13.5) (10.3) (11.1) (11.5) Cash 339.2 233.1 204.5 224.7 243.0
Reported PBT 629.1 98.8 80.3 105.4 136.6 Others 1,026.2 913.4 958.1 995.9 1,048.0
Normalised PBT 37.2 65.6 80.3 105.4 136.6 CA 1,365.4 1,146.5 1,162.6 1,220.5 1,291.1
Taxation (35.4) (31.4) (19.3) (25.3) (32.8) Assets held for sale - - - - -
MI 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total assets 2,988.8 2,917.4 2,951.4 3,017.5 3,100.0
Net profit 593.7 67.4 61.0 80.1 103.8
Normalised net profit 35.1 44.7 61.0 80.1 103.8 ST debt 12.0 4.0 6.5 9.0 11.5
Reported EPS (sen) 172.8 19.6 17.8 23.3 30.2 Other liabilities 42.9 38.3 42.5 49.7 59.6
Core EPS (sen) 10.2 13.0 17.8 23.3 30.2 CL 54.9 42.3 49.0 58.7 71.1
PER (x) 49.4 38.8 28.4 21.7 16.7 Shareholders' funds 2,600.6 2,510.3 2,530.1 2,568.9 2,631.5
GDPS (sen) 50.0 20.0 12.0 12.0 12.0 LT borrowings 228.8 239.5 247.0 264.5 272.0
Div Yield (%) 9.9 4.0 2.4 2.4 2.4 LT liabilities 104.4 125.4 125.4 125.4 125.4
Total long term Liabilities 333.2 364.9 372.4 389.9 397.4
Growth ratios
Assumptions Revenue (%) (1.6) 21.5 35.1 80.3 61.6
YE Oct 31 2017f 2018f 2019f Pretax Profit (%) (11.6) 76.3 22.4 31.2 29.7
New Sales (RM mn) 340.0 370.0 430.0 Core net earnings (%) (9.7) 27.4 36.4 31.2 29.7
Inv Prop Occupancy (%) 95.0 95.0 95.0 Total assets (%) 24.6 (2.4) 1.2 2.2 2.7
BUY : Total return within the next 12 months exceeds required rate of return by 5%-point.
HOLD : Total return within the next 12 months exceeds required rate of return by between 0-5%-point.
SELL : Total return is lower than the required rate of return.
Not Rated: The company is not under coverage. The report is for information only.
Total Return is defined as expected share price appreciation plus gross dividend over the next 12 months. Gross dividend is excluded from
total return if dividend discount model valuation is used to avoid double counting.
Required Rate of Return of 7% is defined as the yield for one-year Malaysian government treasury plus assumed equity risk premium.
Disclaimer
The information in this report has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Its accuracy and/ or completeness is not guaranteed and opinions are
subject to change without notice. This report is for information only and not to be construed as a solicitation for contracts. We accept no liability for any
direct or indirect loss arising from the use of this document. We, our associates, directors, employees may have an interest in the securities and/or companies
mentioned herein.
This report has been prepared by TA SECURITIES HOLDINGS BERHAD for purposes of Mid and Small Cap Research Scheme ("MidS") administered by Bursa Malaysia
Berhad and will be compensated to undertake the scheme. TA SECURITIES HOLDINGS BERHAD has produced this report independent of any influence from the MidS or the
subject company.
For more information about MidS and other research reports, please visit Bursa Malaysias website at:
www.bursamids.com
for TA SECURITIES HOLDINGS BERHAD(14948-M)
(A Participating Organisation of Bursa Malaysia Securities Berhad)
Kaladher Govindan Head of Research
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