Launch Mission Execution Forecast

Vehicle: Falcon 9 Inmarsat-5 F4

Issued: 14 May 2017/1400UTC (1000EDT)
Valid: 15 May 2017/2321-0010UTC (1921-2010EDT)

Synoptic Discussion: A boundary associated with a low pressure system is moving through the Space
Coast, allowing some cooler and drier air to filter in as surface winds switch northeasterly. Winds will
remain onshore Monday, pushing most sea breeze cumulus clouds inland. There is a slight chance of
afternoon storms near Floridas Big Bend, which could shed anvil cirrus back over towards the
Spaceport. The primary concerns are cumulus clouds associated with onshore flow and anvil clouds from
inland storms. Maximum upper-level winds will be from the west-northwest at 55 knots near 45,000 feet.
On Tuesday, easterly winds will increase slightly as high pressure ridge builds in. Otherwise weather
will be similar to Mondays with a low risk of cumulus clouds from the east and anvil clouds from the west.
Maximum upper-level winds will be from the northwest at 50 knots near 45,000 feet.
Clouds Coverage Bases (feet) Tops (feet)
Cumulus Few 2,500 7,000
Cirrus Scattered 25,000 28,000

Weather: Isolated Showers

Surface Visibility: 7 miles Solar Activity: Low
Liftoff Winds (MPH): 100 @ 15 P20 (200) Pressure: 29.94 inHg
Temperature: 77F RH: 70%

Launch day probability of violating launch weather constraints: 20%

Primary concern(s): Cumulus and Anvil Cloud Rules

Delay day probability of violating launch weather constraints: 20%

Primary concern(s): Cumulus and Anvil Cloud Rules, Liftoff Winds

15/0632 EDT 15/2006 EDT

Sunrise: Sunset:
16/0631 EDT 16/2007 EDT
14/2320 EDT 15/1013 EDT 81%
Moonrise: Moonset: Illumination:
16/0006 EDT 16/1104 EDT 73%

Next forecast will be issued: 15 May 2017