TALLER No.

1 PRONSTICOS
La directora de trfico de una empresa de fabricacin de cortadoras de csped de tamao medio
reuni en la siguiente tabla los datos de los envos de los ltimos diez aos:
AO CDIGO GRUPO ENE FEB MAR ABR MAY
2010 10103310 G6 4.129 1.191 4.092 3.793 3.507
2009 10103310 G6 2.973 1.132 3.151 3.680 3.297
2008 10103310 G6 2.082 1.087 2.427 3.423 2.968
2007 10103310 G6 1.853 914 2.039 2.705 2.464
2006 10103310 G6 1.798 851 1.632 2.219 1.750
2005 10103310 G6 1.277 758 1.551 2.131 1.365
2004 10103310 G6 1.035 728 1.102 1.982 1.311
2003 10103310 G6 766 576 838 1.428 1.010
2002 10103310 G6 675 519 646 1.300 748
2001 10103310 G6 540 395 517 1.209 614
de tamao medio

JUN JUL AGO SEP OCT NOV DIC

4.263 3.802 4.164 3.200 2.405 1.841 3.308
3.709 3.270 3.915 3.104 1.973 1.639 2.945
3.598 2.551 3.641 2.980 1.776 1.476 2.445
3.347 2.220 2.622 2.116 1.652 1.196 1.932
3.046 2.021 1.862 1.990 1.388 1.077 1.449
2.285 1.860 1.360 1.453 1.333 830 1.406
1.691 1.544 966 1.366 1.187 623 1.125
1.438 1.483 841 1.312 986 449 968
1.280 1.409 606 1.194 908 414 756
909 1.226 552 860 809 381 704
AO CDIGO GRUPO ENE FEB MAR ABR MAY
2010 10103010 G1 4.779 12.523 12.500 15.119 21.371
2009 10103010 G1 4.445 11.396 11.345 13.456 15.388
2008 10103010 G1 3.468 10.827 8.282 12.245 14.927
2007 10103010 G1 3.018 9.745 6.626 11.511 11.046
2006 10103010 G1 2.415 8.966 5.699 10.936 8.837
2005 10103010 G1 2.295 6.277 5.244 9.624 8.219
2004 10103010 G1 2.135 4.771 4.510 9.047 6.658
2003 10103010 G1 1.623 3.960 4.014 7.238 5.993
2002 10103010 G1 1.234 3.446 3.172 5.719 5.334
2001 10103010 G1 0.938 3.205 2.855 4.690 3.894

2.635 7.512 6.425 9.959 10.167

2010 29.802 22.2%

2009 27.186 24.6%
2008 22.577 23.7%
2007 19.389 23.9%
2006 17.080 24.6%
2005 13.816 23.8%
2004 11.416 23.7%
2003 9.597 23.8%
2002 7.852 23.2%
2001 6.998 25.0%
JUN JUL AGO SEP OCT NOV DIC ventas totales
12.161 13.965 11.619 3.385 4.120 12.721 9.710 133.973
11.067 11.172 8.715 2.945 3.456 9.160 7.963 110.508
8.965 9.273 6.188 2.415 3.111 8.428 7.008 95.137
6.366 8.624 5.693 1.763 2.427 8.091 6.238 81.148
5.284 7.935 5.124 1.287 2.209 5.988 4.679 69.359
3.911 6.825 3.946 1.197 1.856 4.192 4.352 57.938
2.738 5.392 2.999 1.138 1.652 3.731 3.395 48.166
2.519 4.745 2.310 0.877 1.421 2.799 2.852 40.351
2.217 3.986 2.195 0.746 1.251 2.240 2.282 33.822
1.885 3.468 1.669 0.627 0.914 1.815 2.054 28.014
5.711 7.539 5.046 1.638 2.242 5.917 5.053
###

48.651 36.3% 28.969 21.6% 26.551 19.8%

39.911 36.1% 22.832 20.7% 20.579 18.6%
36.137 38.0% 17.876 18.8% 18.547 19.5%
28.923 35.6% 16.080 19.8% 16.756 20.6%
25.057 36.1% 14.346 20.7% 12.876 18.6%
21.754 37.5% 11.968 20.7% 10.400 18.0%
18.443 38.3% 9.529 19.8% 8.778 18.2%
15.750 39.0% 7.932 19.7% 7.072 17.5%
13.270 39.2% 6.927 20.5% 5.773 17.1%
10.469 37.4% 5.764 20.6% 4.783 17.1%
AO CDIGO GRUPO ENE FEB MAR ABR MAY
2010 10103110 G3 1.690 5.558 2.381 4.669 6.320
2009 10103110 G3 1.589 4.225 1.715 3.269 4.614
2008 10103110 G3 1.303 3.127 1.458 2.452 3.830
2007 10103110 G3 1.121 2.721 1.342 2.305 2.796
2006 10103110 G3 0.841 2.313 0.980 2.167 2.293
2005 10103110 G3 0.791 1.620 0.824 1.951 1.904
2004 10103110 G3 0.760 1.151 0.759 1.366 1.505
2003 10103110 G3 0.654 1.117 0.699 1.271 1.189
2002 10103110 G3 0.615 1.039 0.595 1.144 0.880
2001 10103110 G3 0.486 0.936 0.435 1.064 0.704

0.985 2.381 1.119 2.166 2.604

2010 9.629 17.6%

2009 7.529 16.5%
2008 5.888 15.4%
2007 5.184 16.6%
2006 4.134 15.9%
2005 3.235 14.5%
2004 2.670 14.8%
2003 2.470 16.2%
2002 2.249 17.1%
2001 1.857 16.9%
JUN JUL AGO SEP OCT NOV DIC TOTAL VENTAS
7.195 7.349 6.310 2.813 3.630 2.237 4.652 54.804
6.476 5.733 6.058 2.392 3.522 2.103 3.955 45.651
6.217 5.447 4.423 1.986 3.311 1.578 3.006 38.138
5.036 4.630 3.185 1.748 2.649 1.168 2.495 31.196
4.432 4.029 2.294 1.224 2.199 0.935 2.246 25.953
4.167 3.788 1.996 1.163 1.584 0.795 1.775 22.358
3.709 2.804 1.657 0.826 1.220 0.740 1.580 18.077
3.339 2.328 1.177 0.587 1.050 0.607 1.185 15.203
2.872 2.119 0.930 0.552 0.924 0.438 1.079 13.187
2.097 1.971 0.661 0.409 0.786 0.368 1.047 10.964
4.554 4.020 2.869 1.370 2.088 1.097 2.302

18.184 33.2% 16.472 30.1% 10.519 19.2%

14.359 31.5% 14.183 31.1% 9.580 21.0%
12.499 32.8% 11.856 31.1% 7.895 20.7%
10.137 32.5% 9.563 30.7% 6.312 20.2%
8.892 34.3% 7.547 29.1% 5.380 20.7%
8.022 35.9% 6.947 31.1% 4.154 18.6%
6.580 36.4% 5.287 29.2% 3.540 19.6%
5.799 38.1% 4.092 26.9% 2.842 18.7%
4.896 37.1% 3.601 27.3% 2.441 18.5%
3.865 35.3% 3.041 27.7% 2.201 20.1%
AO CDIGO GRUPO ENE FEB MAR ABR MAY
2010 10103120 G4 1.690 5.558 2.381 4.669 6.320
2009 10103120 G4 1.319 3.891 2.239 4.249 5.436
2008 10103120 G4 1.214 2.763 2.150 3.995 4.512
2007 10103120 G4 1.105 2.156 1.505 3.276 3.384
2006 10103120 G4 0.929 1.919 1.250 2.851 2.742
2005 10103120 G4 0.809 1.382 1.150 2.623 2.194
2004 10103120 G4 0.599 1.272 0.817 2.414 1.756
2003 10103120 G4 0.456 1.031 0.646 2.342 1.282
2002 10103120 G4 0.415 0.753 0.537 2.155 1.180
2001 10103120 G4 0.391 0.648 0.376 1.746 1.086

0.893 2.137 1.305 3.032 2.989

2010 9.629 17.4%

2009 7.449 15.7%
2008 6.127 15.7%
2007 4.766 14.5%
2006 4.098 14.5%
2005 3.341 13.8%
2004 2.688 13.1%
2003 2.133 12.2%
2002 1.705 11.6%
2001 1.415 11.3%
JUN JUL AGO SEP OCT NOV DIC TOTAL VENTAS
7.195 7.349 6.310 2.813 4.024 2.237 4.652 55.198
6.332 7.056 5.995 1.970 3.179 1.947 3.908 47.521
5.573 5.081 4.916 1.773 2.385 1.733 2.971 39.066
4.403 4.878 4.474 1.561 2.099 1.387 2.645 32.873
3.919 3.903 4.206 1.265 1.554 1.277 2.460 28.275
3.724 3.084 3.576 1.038 1.275 1.137 2.264 24.256
3.278 2.375 3.433 0.935 1.161 0.819 1.653 20.512
2.951 1.877 3.296 0.870 0.964 0.615 1.158 17.488
2.538 1.352 3.132 0.618 0.675 0.456 0.869 14.680
2.310 1.001 2.663 0.439 0.621 0.393 0.800 12.474
4.222 3.796 4.200 1.328 1.794 1.200 2.338

18.184 32.9% 16.472 29.8% 10.913 19.8%

16.017 33.7% 15.021 31.6% 9.034 19.0%
14.080 36.0% 11.770 30.1% 7.089 18.1%
11.063 33.7% 10.913 33.2% 6.131 18.7%
9.512 33.6% 9.374 33.2% 5.291 18.7%
8.541 35.2% 7.698 31.7% 4.676 19.3%
7.448 36.3% 6.743 32.9% 3.633 17.7%
6.575 37.6% 6.043 34.6% 2.737 15.7%
5.873 40.0% 5.102 34.8% 2.000 13.6%
5.142 41.2% 4.103 32.9% 1.814 14.5%
AO CDIGO GRUPO ENE FEB MAR ABR MAY
2010 10103210 G5 4.129 1.191 4.092 3.793 3.507
2009 10103210 G5 3.634 0.674 2.988 3.452 2.981
2008 10103210 G5 2.617 0.674 2.720 2.451 2.534
2007 10103210 G5 2.330 0.674 2.068 1.741 1.774
2006 10103210 G5 2.191 0.493 1.614 1.567 1.704
2005 10103210 G5 1.950 0.449 1.550 1.317 1.313
2004 10103210 G5 1.755 0.405 1.333 1.159 1.143
2003 10103210 G5 1.317 0.393 1.120 0.858 1.063
2002 10103210 G5 1.001 0.393 0.997 0.858 1.000
2001 10103210 G5 0.731 0.393 0.698 0.858 0.700

2.166 0.574 1.918 1.805 1.772

2010 6.474 16.3%

2009 4.336 13.0%
2008 4.068 15.4%
2007 3.416 16.4%
2006 2.600 14.8%
2005 2.448 16.1%
2004 2.143 15.8%
2003 1.906 15.1%
2002 1.783 14.0%
2001 1.484 12.1%
JUN JUL AGO SEP OCT NOV DIC TOTAL VENTAS
4.263 3.802 4.164 3.200 2.405 1.841 3.308 39.695
3.368 3.498 3.706 2.784 1.997 1.768 2.515 33.365
2.796 2.764 2.965 1.977 1.538 1.556 1.786 26.378
2.713 2.046 2.461 1.384 1.123 1.276 1.286 20.876
2.198 1.555 1.723 1.274 0.989 1.238 1.055 17.601
1.693 1.431 1.431 1.109 0.989 0.954 1.013 15.199
1.609 1.045 1.389 1.032 0.989 0.954 0.770 13.583
1.288 0.857 1.209 0.774 0.989 0.954 1.770 12.592
1.070 0.857 1.040 0.774 0.989 0.954 2.770 12.703
0.782 0.857 0.760 0.774 0.989 0.954 3.770 12.266
2.178 1.871 2.085 1.508 1.300 1.245 2.004

11.277 28.4% 11.528 29.0% 6.990 17.6%

9.330 28.0% 10.196 30.6% 6.051 18.1%
7.864 29.8% 7.907 30.0% 4.898 18.6%
6.261 30.0% 6.306 30.2% 3.838 18.4%
5.606 31.9% 4.720 26.8% 3.531 20.1%
4.319 28.4% 3.971 26.1% 2.921 19.2%
3.895 28.7% 3.810 28.0% 2.678 19.7%
3.414 27.1% 3.192 25.3% 3.678 29.2%
3.070 24.2% 2.854 22.5% 4.678 36.8%
2.182 17.8% 2.294 18.7% 5.678 46.3%
AO CDIGO GRUPO ENE FEB MAR ABR MAY
2010 10103310 G6 4.129 1.191 4.092 3.793 3.507
2009 10103310 G6 2.973 1.132 3.151 3.680 3.297
2008 10103310 G6 2.082 1.087 2.427 3.423 2.968
2007 10103310 G6 1.853 0.914 2.039 2.705 2.464
2006 10103310 G6 1.798 0.914 1.632 2.219 1.750
2005 10103310 G6 1.277 0.914 1.551 2.131 1.365
2004 10103310 G6 1.035 0.914 1.102 1.982 1.311
2003 10103310 G6 0.766 0.914 0.838 1.428 1.010
2002 10103310 G6 0.766 0.914 0.838 1.300 0.748
2001 10103310 G6 0.766 0.914 0.838 1.209 0.748

1.745 0.981 1.851 2.387 1.917

2010 9.412 23.7%

2009 7.256 20.9%
2008 5.596 18.4%
2007 4.806 19.2%
2006 4.344 20.5%
2005 3.742 21.1%
2004 3.051 20.3%
2003 2.518 19.5%
2002 2.518 21.0%
2001 2.518 23.0%
JUN JUL AGO SEP OCT NOV DIC TOTAL VENTAS
4.263 3.802 4.164 3.200 2.405 1.841 3.308 39.695
3.709 3.270 3.915 3.104 1.973 1.639 2.945 34.788
3.598 2.551 3.641 2.980 1.776 1.476 2.445 30.454
3.347 2.220 2.622 2.116 1.652 1.196 1.932 25.060
3.046 2.021 1.862 1.990 1.388 1.077 1.449 21.146
2.285 1.860 1.360 1.453 1.333 0.830 1.406 17.765
1.691 1.544 0.966 1.366 1.187 0.830 1.125 15.053
1.438 1.483 0.966 1.312 0.986 0.830 0.968 12.939
1.280 1.409 0.966 1.194 0.986 0.830 0.756 11.987
0.909 1.226 0.966 0.860 0.986 0.830 0.704 10.956
2.557 2.139 2.143 1.958 1.467 1.138 1.704

11.563 29.1% 11.166 28.1% 7.554 19.0%

10.686 30.7% 10.289 29.6% 6.557 18.8%
9.989 32.8% 9.172 30.1% 5.697 18.7%
8.516 34.0% 6.958 27.8% 4.780 19.1%
7.015 33.2% 5.873 27.8% 3.914 18.5%
5.781 32.5% 4.673 26.3% 3.569 20.1%
4.984 33.1% 3.876 25.7% 3.142 20.9%
3.876 30.0% 3.761 29.1% 2.784 21.5%
3.328 27.8% 3.569 29.8% 2.572 21.5%
2.866 26.2% 3.052 27.9% 2.520 23.0%