Welcome to Stat 101:

Introduction to Quantitative Methods for

Psychology and the Behavioral Sciences

Kevin Rader, krader@fas.harvard.edu

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 Unit Outline

Course Logistics and Details

The What and Why of the Field of Statistics?
Much needed terminology
Snapshot of whats to come in the course

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 Stat 100 vs. 101 vs. 102 vs. 104
Each course assumes no prior knowledge of statistics
They all cover the same basic statistical concepts (about 3/4 of
the course)s, though they each emphasize different topics
throughout
Stat 104 will cover more material and is more mathematically
rigorous, others are similar level.
Stat 101 will use mostly examples from psychology, general
social/behavioral sciences, and public health.
Stat 102 emphasizes medical and lab science examples
Stat 104 emphasizes examples from economics/finance
Stat 100 is a more general course with a wide-range of examples
More questions: ask after class.

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 Kevins Contact Info
My office: Science Center, Room SC-105 (likely to change)
Office Hours (stop in unannounced):
Tues 12:30-1:30pm and Thurs 11:30am-12:30pm
Also by appointment (via email)

Phone numbers:
Statistics Department: (617) 495-5496
My office (SC-105): NA

Email: krader@fas.harvard.edu (preferred over phone)

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 Teaching Staff

Teaching Fellows:

Joseph Lee: lee26@fas.harvard.edu

Lazhi Wang: wang75@fas.harvard.edu

Teaching assistants will be teaching sections, holding office

hours, answering questions via email, and grading
assignments and exams.

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 Course Website
Course website:
http://isites.harvard.edu/icb/icb.do?keyword=k97307

There you will find (eventually):

Syllabus
Administrative Announcements
Lecture Notes
SPSS Tutorial (including download and install instructions)
Assigned Homeworks
HW #1 will be posted soon: Due Fri, Sept 13th
Other Study Material (practice exams, web links, etc...)

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 Lecture Notes
Paper copies will NOT be handed out at the beginning of
lecture after this week (we will provide copies on Thursday).
Theyre organized in Units: which follow chapters in the
textbook (will diverge a bit at end of semester)
Lecture notes will be posted at least 24 hours in advance
Notes are somewhat concise you are encouraged to add
your own annotations and develop your own notes
Occasionally mistakes appear in lecture notes; corrected
versions will be posted after class

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 Class Meetings
Lectures:
Tues & Thurs, 1011:30am, Science Center SC-Hall A
Sections
Optional (but strongly recommended) weekly section to discuss
homework, do extra problems, and review difficult concepts.
No section this week (begin week of Sept 9).
Look for announcement on the course website for permanent times
(OHs too).
SPSS Tutorials
To be held in SC-B09
One on Thursday afternoon and one on Monday afternoon. Times TBD.

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 Textbook

Statistical Methods for the Social Sciences, Agresti & Finlay,

4th edition. Amazon Link:
www.amazon.com/Statistical-Methods-Social-Sciences-Edition/dp/0205646417/
Texts website - http://bcs.whfreeman.com/ips7e/
(6th edition will work fine, 5th ed is prob OK too)
About half of the assigned homework problems will be
assigned from the text, so its a good idea to have a copy.
Its a great reference for more details on what is seen in the
lectures. Fairly straightforward explanations.

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 Computing and Calculations
For all exams (and some homework), you will need a
calculator with log, exponential, square-root functions.

Statistical Computing Package: SPSS

Can be downloaded from:
http://downloads.fas.harvard.edu/download
Tutorial Document on website:
http://isites.harvard.edu/icb/icb.do?keyword=k97307&pag
eid=icb.page624278
HW #1 will include an introduction to the software. There
are also the SPSS Tutorial Sessions
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 Exams

Tues, October 10th: Midterm I, 10-11:30am (in class)

Tues, Nov 12th: Midterm II, 10-11:30am (in class)

Tues, Dec 12-20th: Final Exam, Date and Time TBD

You will be allowed 1 cheat sheet for Midterm 1, 2 sheets

for midterm 2, and 3 sheets for the Final Exam (front and
back OK).

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 Homeworks
Posted to course website on Fridays:
http://isites.harvard.edu/icb/icb.do?keyword=k97307&pageid=icb.page6
24266

Hard Copies must be handed in to the 3rd floor HW

boxes.

Late homeworks will only be accepted with an official

University excuse (either from UHS or from your
resident deans office). NO HW Scores will be
dropped!

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 HW Collaboration
You are encouraged to discuss homework with other
students (and with the instructor and TFs, of course), but
you must write your final answers yourself, in your own
words.

Solutions prepared in committee or by copying or

paraphrasing someone elses work are not acceptable; your
handed-in assignment must represent your own thoughts.
All computer output you submit must come from work that
you have done yourself.

Please indicate on your problem sets the names of the

students with whom you worked.

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 Group Project
Will be a roughly 3-5 page paper of text (graphs, tables,
etc are in addition to that) based on a data analysis of
your choosing.

Groups of size 2 or 3 required. Very helpful to bounce

ideas of each other.

Due towards end of reading period (Dec. 10).

More details about the project to come later in the semester

(around Oct 31st).

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 Course Grading
Component Weighting1 Weighting2 Weighting3

Homeworks 30% 30% 30%

Midterm 1 10% 20% 20%

Midterm 2 20% 10% 20%

Final Exam 30% 30% 20%

Project 10% 10% 10%

Total 100% 100% 100%

Your overall score for the course will be the maximum of the 3 weighting
schemes presented above. Final course letter grades are not assigned
according to a fixed percentages of A's, B's etc (i.e., the course is not `curved').
Letter grades are assigned to the old-fashioned boundaries of A- to A: 90 - 100
final score; B- to B+: 80 - 90, etc. Slight adjustments may be made on the
boundaries of letter grades (boundary moved down a bit).
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 Course Goals for Students
To learn and understand descriptive statistics and graphical
summaries, basic probability theory, and statistical inference.

To introduce a range of quantitative tools and methods of

analysis commonly used in the social, psychological and
behavioral sciences with an emphasis on application of methods
to real data.

To become statistically skilled. At the end of the course, you

should be able to address a research question by choosing a
good data source, be able to figure out and perform what
analysis is most appropriate, and be able to report the findings
that are technically accurate. You should also be able to know
the limitations of your results.
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Unit 1: Intro to Statistics
Chapter 1 in the Text

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 So what is statistics?
(and why is it so cool?)
The study of the methods for obtaining, organizing,
analyzing, and interpreting data.
Why bother? Principles provide a framework for
Collecting data and the design of experiments and
observational studies (Design)
Describing and summarizing data (Description)
Drawing inferences about populations as a whole and
predicting future events (Inference)

Short story: Statistics is the science of using data to prove a

point (and hopefully forming a correct conclusion).

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Proving Points with Statistics

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 Other questions that could be
addressed statistically
Social Sciences
What are the features of online ads that are more likely to capture
your attention?
How (if at all) is happiness associated with income, job
satisfaction, social life, religious beliefs, or political ideology?
Health
Does a smoking ban in bars lower the rate of lung cancer?
How can we study whether a new therapy is better than a standard
therapy for treating depression?
Sports
Is David Ortiz truly a clutch hitter? Is Alex Rodriguez anti-clutch?
Can we predict which teams in the NFL will improve from last
year?
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 In Class Exercise: Research
Question about Harvard Students

Lets brainstorm! In small groups (2 to 4 students)

discuss something you would like to find out about
your fellow Harvard classmates (the whole student
body or a subgroup).
Kevins Boring Example: Who sends more text
messages: men or women?
Please think of a more interesting example

Any group want to share their example with the class?

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 Population vs. Sample
Population: entire group of individuals on which we
desire information.
Technicality: actual vs. conceptual populations
For our Harvard study:

Sample: a part of the population on which we

actually collect data.
For our Harvard study:

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 Parameters and Statistics
Descriptive statistics: summarize the data in the
actual sample of data.
Inferential statistics: provide predictions or
generalizations about the population based on the
data we collected in the sample.
Parameter: a numerical summary of the population.
For our Harvard study:

Statistic: a numerical summary of the sample data.

For our Harvard study:

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 How does this apply to the framework
of Statistical studies (3 parts)?
Design: Study planning Description: Graphical Inference: predictions
and implementation and numerical methods about the population based
for summarizing data on the sample

How should the study What are the How do these

be conducted? characteristics of the measurements generalize
subjects in our to all student of interest
sample? (the population)?
How should we select
students (subjects) for
What are the Could we predict how
the study? How many
summary the measurements would
should be included?
measurements of the relate in the larger
data we collected? population?
What information
(data) do we need to How do our Anything further to
collect? measurements relate? investigate in the future?
Software can helpa lot!

Here is just a quick preview

of what a dataset (a
collection of measurements
for the subjects in a
sample) looks like in SPSS:

Each column represents a

variable (a characteristic
measured on the subjects)

Each row represents a

different subject, and
contains the observations
for that subject
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 Take Home Message: 3 Major
Overarching Topics in the Course

1) Design: planning and obtaining data for your research

study.

2) Description: summarizing the data in your sample.

3) Inference: making predictions based on the data and

generalizing the results for the population.

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 Last Word
If you are planning on taking this course, you should
Download and install SPSS from FAS IT:
http://downloads.fas.harvard.edu/download
Go to the course website and follow the SPSS tutorial
document. And/or attend an SPSS tutorial session (the
schedule will be posted on the website later today).
Read through (or at least browse) chapters 1 and 2 in the
text.
Be aware that HW #1 will be posted by the end of the
week (it is due next Friday, Sept. 13th).
Be happy!

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