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Recommendation List

International Stocks – 23 July 2010

New recommendations:
• AT&S
• HTC Corp.
• Perseus Mining
• Bekaert

Cancelled:
• Novo Nordisk
• Johnson & Johnson

Erste Group Research - Recommendation List 23 July 2010 Page 1


Core Investments – Modelportfolios
since 1.1.03 since 1.1.10 seit 1.1.03 since 1.1.10
S&P 500 € 1% 9% Portfolio € 108% 16.3%

Amerika S&P 500 $ 24% -1.9% Portfolio (Lo) 155% 5%

Purchase Purchase Current Perf. Outperf. Perf.


Security ISIN Country Sector Date Price Price Euro local local
VALEANT PHARMACEUTICALS US91911X1046 US Pharma 15.01.2010 34.5 54.7 75.2% 62.6% 58.9%
JOHNSON & JOHNSON US4781601046 US Healthcare 14.09.2007 63.1 57 -3.1% 16.7% -9.6%
BIOGEN IDEC INC US09062X1037 US Biotechnology 15.05.2009 49 56.2 20.1% -9.2% 14.6%
DEL MONTE FOODS US24522P1030 US Food 02.10.2009 11.6 13.8 37.7% 12.3% 18.9%
NATIONAL BEVERAGES US6350171061 US Beverages 02.10.2009 11.1 14 40.1% 19.1% 25.8%
AMBEV BRAMBVACNPR1 BZ Beverages 27.11.2009 167.1 189 29.1% 15.1% 13.1%
CLIFTON STAR RESOURCES CA18713J1084 CN Gold Mining 18.06.2010 4.4 3.9 -15.2% -8.2% -10.6%
SILVER WHEATON CA8283361076 CN Silver Mining 07.05.2010 19.5 19.7 0% 3.9% 0.9%
MAGMA DESIGN AUTOMATION US5591811022 US Technology 23.04.2010 3.7 3.3 -7.9% -1.2% -10.7%
OSISKO MINING CA6882781009 CN Gold Mining 16.07.2010 11.8 11.8 0.3% 1% 0.3%

since 1.1.03 since 1.1.10 seit 1.1.03 since 1.1.10


STOXX 600 € 26% 0.2% Portfolio € 79% 11.4%

Europa
Purchase Purchase Current Perf. Outperf. Perf.
Security ISIN Country Sector Date Price Price Euro local local
NOVO NORDISK DK0060102614 DK Pharma 05.02.2010 373.5 497 31.4% 16.2% 33.1%
NESTLE CH0038863350 CH Food 11.06.2010 54.4 53.6 1.4% 1.4% -1.5%
BEKAERT BE0003780948 BE Industrial 23.07.2010 147.4 #WERT! #WERT! #WERT! #WERT!
HENKEL DE0006048432 DE Consumer Goods 18.06.2010 41.4 39.9 -3.7% -2.4% -3.7%
FRESNILLO GB00B2QPKJ12 GB Silver & Gold Mining 11.06.2010 1013 1104 6.3% 5.4% 9%
RANDGOLD GB00B01C3S32 GB Gold Mining 07.05.2010 5580 6055 9.3% 7.5% 8.5%
ARM HOLDINGS GB0000595859 GB Technology 23.04.2010 258.9 316.5 25.5% 28.5% 22.2%

since 1.1.03 since 1.1.10 seit 1.1.03 since 1.1.10


Asien MSCI Far East 16% 7.6% Portfolio € 95% -13.5%

MSCI Far East (Lo) 8% -8.6% Portfolio(Lo) 127% -22.4%

Purchase Purchase Current Perf. Outperf. Perf.


Security ISIN Country Sector Date Price Price Euro local local
HTC Corp TW0002498003 TW Computers 23.07.2010 551 #WERT! #WERT! #WERT! #WERT!
MITSUBISHI CORP JP3898400001 JN Diversified 23.07.2009 1571 1823 23.9% 21.9% 16%
INFOSYS TECHNOLOGIES INE009A01021 IN Technology 22.02.2008 1580.1 2757.8 70.3% 118.8% 74.5%
PERSEUS MINING AU000000PRU3 AU Gold Mining 23.07.2010 2.3 #WERT! #WERT! #WERT! #WERT!
MEDUSA MINING AU000000MML0 AU Gold Mining 23.04.2010 4.5 4 -11.3% -15.3% -11.8%
REAL GOLD MINING KYG740991057 HK Gold Mining 23.04.2010 12.5 11.3 -6.9% -13.2% -9.7%

since 1.1.03 since 1.1.10 seit 1.1.03 since 1.1.10


ATX € 110% -3.3% Portfolio € 750% 1.9%
Österreich
Purchase Purchase Current Perf. Outperf.
Security ISIN Country Sector Date Price Price Euro local
CONWERT IMMOBILIEN AT0000697750 AT Real Estate 11.03.2010 8.4 8.7 3.1% 7.3%
SPARKASSEN IMMO AT0000652250 AT Real Estate 07.10.2009 5.2 5.1 -2.9% 4.5%
RAIFFEISEN INTERNATIONAL AT0000606306 AT Financial 08.02.2010 33.8 33.5 -1.1% -1.3%
austriamicrosystems AT0000920863 AT Technology 09.07.2010 35 37.6 7.6% 4.1%
VIENNA INS. GROUP AT0000908504 AT Financial 26.05.2006 46.6 36 -22.7% 13.8%
INTERCELL AT0000612601 AT Consumer, non-cyclical 06.04.2005 5.7 13.8 141.4% 152.2%
VOESTALPINE AT0000937503 AT Industrial 07.10.2009 24.5 25 1.9% 9.3%
RHI AT0000676903 AT Industrial 10.03.2008 27 20.9 -22.7% 11.6%
BWT AT0000737705 AT Industrial 19.05.2009 14.2 18.6 31.4% 13.4%
SEMPERIT AT0000785555 AT Industrial 18.06.2009 19.4 28.1 44.9% 25.9%
OMV AT0000743059 AT Oil & Gas 24.01.2008 43.6 25.1 -42.4% -4.4%
KAPSCH TRAFFICCOM AT000KAPSCH9 AT Traffic Management 13.02.2008 27.3 30.5 11.6% 49.8%
IMMOFINANZ AT0000809058 AT Real Estate 29.04.2010 3.1 2.4 -22% -13.8%
AT&S AT0000969985 AT Technology 23.07.2010 11.6

Erste Group Research - Recommendation List 23 July 2010 Page 2


USA - Core Investments
VALEANT PHARMACEUTICALS
After many years the company is restructured now and in 60

a much better shape than before. We expect above 55

sector average growth of earnings and sales for the next 50

years. Especially the company's exposure to Emerging 45

Markets is attractive for investors. BUY 40

35

30

25

20
07.09 09.09 11.09 01.10 03.10 05.10
VALEANT PHARMACEUTICALS MAV 30 MAV 60

MARKET DATA / VALUATION PROFITABILITY / GROWTH (in %)


Market Cap. (Mil. EUR) 3,205 Return on Equity 84.68
Beta 0.92 Operating Margin 30.01
52-Week-High 55.51 Debt Ratio 61.8
52-Week-Low 24.37 Dividend Yield
PE current Year 24.88 Earnings Growth current year
PEG Ratio 1.88 Earnings Growth next year 3.22
Price/Book Ratio 9.68 Historical Earnings Growth 3.14
Price/Sales Ratio 4.99 Historical Sales Growth 3.13

JOHNSON & JOHNSON


Cancellation: Due to reported serious quality problems 68

in some manufacturing plants we expect the stock to 66

underperform the market for some quarters. 64

62

60

58

56

54
07.09 09.09 11.09 01.10 03.10 05.10
JOHNSON & JOHNSON MAV 30 MAV 60

MARKET DATA / VALUATION PROFITABILITY / GROWTH (in %)


Market Cap. (Mil. EUR) 121,628 Return on Equity 26.35
Beta 0.67 Operating Margin 27.1
52-Week-High 66.2 Debt Ratio 22.33
52-Week-Low 56.86 Dividend Yield 3.66
PE current Year 12.03 Earnings Growth current year -3.68
PEG Ratio 1.73 Earnings Growth next year 4.45
Price/Book Ratio 2.97 Historical Earnings Growth 4.4
Price/Sales Ratio 2.53 Historical Sales Growth 5.06

BIOGEN IDEC INC


Biogen Idec is a globally active Biotech company with 65

constantly improved sales and profits. The stock is 60


attractively valued at a PE of 13x and offers investors
high upside potential. 55

50

45

40
07.09 09.09 11.09 01.10 03.10 05.10
BIOGEN IDEC INC MAV 30 MAV 60

MARKET DATA / VALUATION PROFITABILITY / GROWTH (in %)


Market Cap. (Mil. EUR) 11,599 Return on Equity 16.1
Beta 0.74 Operating Margin 29.59
52-Week-High 60.28 Debt Ratio 14.94
52-Week-Low 41.75 Dividend Yield 0
PE current Year 12.82 Earnings Growth current year 26.22
PEG Ratio 1.45 Earnings Growth next year 3.37
Price/Book Ratio 2.63 Historical Earnings Growth 3.35
Price/Sales Ratio 3.38 Historical Sales Growth 4.98

Erste Group Research - Recommendation List 23 July 2010 Page 3


USA - Core Investments
DEL MONTE FOODS
Del Monte Foods is a food producer also with sales within 18

the pet food market. The company is improving is 16

profitability which is mainly driven by sales and margin


14
growth. Due to the cheap valuation (PE: 10) we expect
the stock to clearly outperform the S&P 500 in the long 12

run. 10

6
07.09 09.09 11.09 01.10 03.10 05.10
DEL MONTE FOODS MAV 30 MAV 60

MARKET DATA / VALUATION PROFITABILITY / GROWTH (in %)


Market Cap. (Mil. EUR) 2,124 Return on Equity 14.23
Beta 0.84 Operating Margin 13.58
52-Week-High 16.14 Debt Ratio 41.4
52-Week-Low 8.92 Dividend Yield 2.62
PE current Year 10.5 Earnings Growth current year 64.86
PEG Ratio 1.31 Earnings Growth next year 1.23
Price/Book Ratio 1.5 Historical Earnings Growth 1.2
Price/Sales Ratio 0.73 Historical Sales Growth 1.52

NATIONAL BEVERAGES
National Beverage Corp. is a small company with just 15

1.200 employees that produce and distribute soft drinks. 14

We already can see some signs of improvement with 13

regard to some profitability measures. The company has 12

a solid balance sheet and also growing cash flows. In our 11


opinion there is a realistic chance of the stock to
10
outperform the S&P 500 in the medium term.
9

8
07.09 09.09 11.09 01.10 03.10 05.10
NATIONAL BEVERAGES MAV 30 MAV 60

MARKET DATA / VALUATION PROFITABILITY / GROWTH (in %)


Market Cap. (Mil. EUR) 498 Return on Equity 21.11
Beta 0.88 Operating Margin 8.74
52-Week-High 14.27 Debt Ratio 0
52-Week-Low 8.62 Dividend Yield
PE current Year 19.66 Earnings Growth current year 31.48
PEG Ratio Earnings Growth next year 0.71
Price/Book Ratio 4.56 Historical Earnings Growth 0.71
Price/Sales Ratio 1.08 Historical Sales Growth 0.77

AMBEV
Companhia de Bebidas das Americas (AmBev) is the 200

largest beverage producer in South America. It produces 190

beer, soft drinks, teas, mineral water, and sports drinks. 180

The company's main brands are Antarctica, Brahma, and 170

Skol. Ambev’s sales grew at an average of about 10% 160

since 2006. The valuation is at peergroup level and the 150

business growth prospects are high. We recommend 140

buying this stock. 130

120
07.09 09.09 11.09 01.10 03.10 05.10

AMBEV MAV 30 MAV 60

MARKET DATA / VALUATION PROFITABILITY / GROWTH (in %)


Market Cap. (Mil. EUR) 47,720 Return on Equity 27.97
Beta 0.58 Operating Margin 39.57
52-Week-High 190.25 Debt Ratio 24.61
52-Week-Low 130.05 Dividend Yield 4.07
PE current Year 19.51 Earnings Growth current year 16.62
PEG Ratio 1.89 Earnings Growth next year 9.72
Price/Book Ratio 5.15 Historical Earnings Growth 9.71
Price/Sales Ratio 5.62 Historical Sales Growth 12.16

Erste Group Research - Recommendation List 23 July 2010 Page 4


USA - Core Investments
MAGMA DESIGN AUTOMATION
Magma Design Automation is a small software producer 4,0

for the semiconductor industry. After restructuring of the 3,5

company we can clearly see improvements in profitability 3,0


and expect the continuation of this successful turnaround
situation. Under these circumstances the stock has a far 2,5

above average potential for further advances. 2,0

1,5

1,0
07.09 08.09 09.09 10.09 11.09 12.09 01.10 02.10 03.10 04.10 05.10 06.10
MAGMA DESIGN AUTOMATION MAV 30 MAV 60

MARKET DATA / VALUATION PROFITABILITY / GROWTH (in %)


Market Cap. (Mil. EUR) 136 Return on Equity
Beta 1.43 Operating Margin -4.14
52-Week-High 3.88 Debt Ratio 105.69
52-Week-Low 1.31 Dividend Yield
PE current Year Earnings Growth current year 97.58
PEG Ratio Earnings Growth next year -0.07
Price/Book Ratio Historical Earnings Growth -0.07
Price/Sales Ratio 1.35 Historical Sales Growth 0.29
SILVER WHEATON
The Canadian company buys silver by-products from 24

companies that mine silver. Silver Wheaton in its sector 22

is an important market participant with prospects for 20

further earnings growth in the coming years. 18

16

14

12

10

8
07.09 08.09 09.09 10.09 11.09 12.09 01.10 02.10 03.10 04.10 05.10 06.10
SILVER WHEATON MAV 30 MAV 60

MARKET DATA / VALUATION PROFITABILITY / GROWTH (in %)


Market Cap. (Mil. EUR) 5,032 Return on Equity 9.03
Beta 1.2 Operating Margin 48.95
52-Week-High 22.65 Debt Ratio 7.3
52-Week-Low 9.21 Dividend Yield 0
PE current Year 42.18 Earnings Growth current year 457.14
PEG Ratio 2.05 Earnings Growth next year 0.39
Price/Book Ratio 3.66 Historical Earnings Growth 0.38
Price/Sales Ratio 21.64 Historical Sales Growth 0.92

CLIFTON STAR RESOURCES


A small Canadian gold explorer that is successful in 9

delivering good results concerning existing gold reserves. 8

The company is working together with Osisko Mining. 7

Due to its small market cap it is risky but offering far 6

above average performance perspectives for potential 5

investors. 4

1
07.09 08.09 09.09 10.09 11.09 12.09 01.10 02.10 03.10 04.10 05.10 06.10
CLIFTON STAR RESOURCES MAV 30 MAV 60

MARKET DATA / VALUATION PROFITABILITY / GROWTH (in %)


Market Cap. (Mil. EUR) 81 Return on Equity
Beta 0.67 Operating Margin
52-Week-High 8.25 Debt Ratio 0
52-Week-Low 1.85 Dividend Yield
PE current Year Earnings Growth current year
PEG Ratio Earnings Growth next year -0.09
Price/Book Ratio 4.15 Historical Earnings Growth -0.09
Price/Sales Ratio Historical Sales Growth -0.11

Erste Group Research - Recommendation List 23 July 2010 Page 5


USA - Core Investments
OSISKO MINING
Osisko is one of the most successful gold mining 13

companies in Canada. Production will start at the end of 12

2010. The company has far above average proven gold 11

reserves. It will be able to mine the metal with low costs. 10

The takeover of Brett Resources and cooperations with 9


Clifton Star Resources and Bowmore will promote
8
Osisiko's developement in the long run.
7

6
07.09 08.09 09.09 10.09 11.09 12.09 01.10 02.10 03.10 04.10 05.10 06.10
OSISKO MINING MAV 30 MAV 60

MARKET DATA / VALUATION PROFITABILITY / GROWTH (in %)


Market Cap. (Mil. EUR) 3,256 Return on Equity -3.03
Beta 0.84 Operating Margin
52-Week-High 12.45 Debt Ratio 14.79
52-Week-Low 6.42 Dividend Yield 0
PE current Year Earnings Growth current year
PEG Ratio Earnings Growth next year -0.08
Price/Book Ratio 3.6 Historical Earnings Growth -0.08
Price/Sales Ratio Historical Sales Growth 0.5

Erste Group Research - Recommendation List 23 July 2010 Page 6


Europe - Core Investments
NOVO NORDISK
CANCELLATION: With the performance of 31% in Euro since 550

early February, the stock has more than met our expectations. 500
Because of the ailing technical constellation (Double Top), we
450
now take the stock from our recommendation list.
400

350

300

250
07.09 08.09 09.09 10.09 11.09 12.09 01.10 02.10 03.10 04.10 05.10 06.10
NOVO NORDISK MAV 30 MAV 60

MARKET DATA / VALUATION PROFITABILITY / GROWTH (in %)


Market Cap. (Mil. EUR) 39,904 Return on Equity 31.34
Beta 0.73 Operating Margin 29.24
52-Week-High 519 Debt Ratio 3.74
52-Week-Low 299.5 Dividend Yield 1.78
PE current Year 25.95 Earnings Growth current year 14.73
PEG Ratio 1.33 Earnings Growth next year 17.97
Price/Book Ratio 9.03 Historical Earnings Growth 17.82
Price/Sales Ratio 5.66 Historical Sales Growth 26.16

NESTLE
The Swiss food group has already convinced for years 56

with rising sales and strong margins. With an expected 54

P/E of 15x for 2011, Nestle valued at the same multiple 52

as the sector (Stoxx 600 - Food producers). In addition, 50

the stock currently offers a dividend yield of 3%. Nestle is 48

a good defensive share with potential. 46

44

42

40
07.09 08.09 09.09 10.09 11.09 12.09 01.10 02.10 03.10 04.10 05.10 06.10
NESTLE MAV 30 MAV 60

MARKET DATA / VALUATION PROFITABILITY / GROWTH (in %)


Market Cap. (Mil. EUR) 138,030 Return on Equity 20.92
Beta 0.75 Operating Margin 12.61
52-Week-High 54.65 Debt Ratio 30.38
52-Week-Low 41.12 Dividend Yield 3.27
PE current Year 20.71 Earnings Growth current year 29.5
PEG Ratio 1.97 Earnings Growth next year 2.92
Price/Book Ratio 3.81 Historical Earnings Growth 2.91
Price/Sales Ratio 1.9 Historical Sales Growth 3.54

HENKEL
Handle is a consumer products manufacturer 45
headquartered in Germany. The company is active in
40
three main areas "detergent", "Cosmetics and Personal
Care" and "Adhesives, Sealants and Surface Treatment." 35
The company has a global presence- of the 30
approximately 50,000 employees, more than work 80%
outside Germany. 40% of annual sales come from 25
outside of Europe. With a P/E of 14x for 2011, the 20
company is valued below the sector. We continue to 07.09 10.09 01.10 04.10
expect positive earnings in this defensive sector. Buy. HENKEL MAV 30 MAV 60

MARKET DATA / VALUATION PROFITABILITY / GROWTH (in %)


Market Cap. (Mil. EUR) 15,907 Return on Equity 9.29
Beta 0.79 Operating Margin 8.05
52-Week-High 42.54 Debt Ratio 39.76
52-Week-Low 23.97 Dividend Yield 1.51
PE current Year 23.72 Earnings Growth current year -51.06
PEG Ratio 0.97 Earnings Growth next year 1.38
Price/Book Ratio 2.46 Historical Earnings Growth 1.38
Price/Sales Ratio 1.26 Historical Sales Growth 2.82

Erste Group Research - Recommendation List 23 July 2010 Page 7


Europe - Core Investments
RANDGOLD
Randgold is a Britsh operator of gold mines in Africa. The 7.000

largest mines are located in Mali, the Ivory Coast and 6.500

Senegal. In the recent quarters the company increased 6.000

turnover, profit and operating margin above its peers. In 5.500

line with our positive outlook for a rising gold price, we 5.000

expect an above-average performance of Randgold. Buy. 4.500

4.000

3.500

3.000
07.09 08.09 09.09 10.09 11.09 12.09 01.10 02.10 03.10 04.10 05.10 06.10
RANDGOLD MAV 30 MAV 60

MARKET DATA / VALUATION PROFITABILITY / GROWTH (in %)


Market Cap. (Mil. EUR) 6,506 Return on Equity 5.98
Beta 0.65 Operating Margin 26.29
52-Week-High 6600 Debt Ratio 0.25
52-Week-Low 3351 Dividend Yield 0.31
PE current Year 101.05 Earnings Growth current year 57.22
PEG Ratio 0.67 Earnings Growth next year 0.86
Price/Book Ratio 5.04 Historical Earnings Growth 0.84
Price/Sales Ratio 16.83 Historical Sales Growth 4.12

FRESNILLO
Fresnillo is the world's largest primary silver producer (3rd in 1.200

worldwide total production) and Mexico's second largest gold 1.100


producer. The company is listed on the LSE and operates four 1.000
producing gold and silver mines and three exploration projects.
900
Fresnillo plans to double silver production within the next ten years
800
and increase its gold production to further diversifying its precious
metal asset base in Mexico and possibly in other countries in South 700

America. In 2009, Fresnillo increased silver production by 9% to a 600


record 38 Mio. ounces. The company also increased gold production 500
by 5% to 277,000 ounces. We believe the silver price will extend its
400
gains and therefore recommend to buy the stock. 07.09 08.09 09.09 10.09 11.09 12.09 01.10 02.10 03.10 04.10 05.10 06.10
FRESNILLO MAV 30 MAV 60

MARKET DATA / VALUATION PROFITABILITY / GROWTH (in %)


Market Cap. (Mil. EUR) 9,379 Return on Equity 30.97
Beta 1.25 Operating Margin 50.45
52-Week-High 1139 Debt Ratio 0
52-Week-Low 539.5 Dividend Yield 1.42
PE current Year 37.66 Earnings Growth current year 141.33
PEG Ratio 0.43 Earnings Growth next year 0.45
Price/Book Ratio 10.31 Historical Earnings Growth 0.45
Price/Sales Ratio 14.27 Historical Sales Growth 0.77

ARM HOLDINGS
ARM Holdings is a technology company headquartered in 350

England. The company is best known for its processors,


300
although it also designs, licenses and sells software
development tools The ARM Holdings is considered to be 250
market dominant in the field of mobile phone chips, particularly
smart phones. A characteristic feature of ARM processors is 200

their low electric power consumption. With the accelerating


growth of the smart phone market worldwide we see further 150

opportunity in this stock.


100
07.09 08.09 09.09 10.09 11.09 12.09 01.10 02.10 03.10 04.10 05.10 06.10
ARM HOLDINGS MAV 30 MAV 60

MARKET DATA / VALUATION PROFITABILITY / GROWTH (in %)


Market Cap. (Mil. EUR) 5,331 Return on Equity 5.47
Beta 0.85 Operating Margin 12.51
52-Week-High 362.4 Debt Ratio 0
52-Week-Low 120.5 Dividend Yield 0.87
PE current Year 104.77 Earnings Growth current year -7.33
PEG Ratio 2.5 Earnings Growth next year 0.03
Price/Book Ratio 6.09 Historical Earnings Growth 0.03
Price/Sales Ratio 13.89 Historical Sales Growth 0.1

Erste Group Research - Recommendation List 23 July 2010 Page 8


Europe - Core Investments
BEKAERT
NEW RECOMMENDATION: Bekaert is a Belgian company with 160

18,000 employees. The company specializes in advanced 150

metal transformation and advanced materials and coatings. 140

Main customers are the automotive and construction. Products 130

120
include wire and cable, structural steel, fences and filters. The
110
company is well positioned internationally and generates almost
100
70% of its sales outside Europe. With a P/E of 12x for 2010 and
90
a very strong technical chart, the stock is a buy
80
recommendation.
70
07.09 08.09 09.09 10.09 11.09 12.09 01.10 02.10 03.10 04.10 05.10 06.10
BEKAERT MAV 30 MAV 60

MARKET DATA / VALUATION PROFITABILITY / GROWTH (in %)


Market Cap. (Mil. EUR) 2,974 Return on Equity 12.57
Beta 1.08 Operating Margin 10.53
52-Week-High 149.5 Debt Ratio 35.3
52-Week-Low 80.64 Dividend Yield 2.39
PE current Year 19.44 Earnings Growth current year -12.9
PEG Ratio 1.45 Earnings Growth next year 7.69
Price/Book Ratio 2.31 Historical Earnings Growth 7.67
Price/Sales Ratio 1.21 Historical Sales Growth 13.37

Erste Group Research - Recommendation List 23 July 2010 Page 9


Asia - Core Investments
INFOSYS TECHNOLOGIES
The Indian IT service provider is one of the biggest 3.100

beneficiaries of globalization. In the past quarter, 2.900

turnover exceeded the USD 1 billion mark for the first 2.700

time, EBIT-margin increased to 28.8 %. For the current 2.500

fiscal year, the company expects nearly 30% of profit and 2.300

sales growth, due to the current record backlog certainly 2.100

a realistic expectation. After the recent price declines, we 1.900

see the stock now at an attractive entry-level. 1.700

1.500
07.09 09.09 11.09 01.10 03.10 05.10
INFOSYS TECHNOLOGIES MAV 30 MAV 60

MARKET DATA / VALUATION PROFITABILITY / GROWTH (in %)


Market Cap. (Mil. EUR) 26,284 Return on Equity 30.34
Beta 0.67 Operating Margin 30.81
52-Week-High 2911.55 Debt Ratio 0
52-Week-Low 1935 Dividend Yield 1.1
PE current Year 25.31 Earnings Growth current year 5.01
PEG Ratio 1.39 Earnings Growth next year 109.84
Price/Book Ratio 6.92 Historical Earnings Growth 109.72
Price/Sales Ratio 6.97 Historical Sales Growth 157.25

MITSUBISHI CORP
Mitsubishi Corp. ist ein japanischer Handelskonzern, der zu den zehn 2.600
größten Unternehmen an der Tokioter Börse zählt. Mitsubishi ist auch
in Zeiten der Wirtschaftskrise ein hoch profitables Unternehmen, das 2.400

sich durch zahlreiche Investitionen in den letzten Jahren zu einer


2.200
Beteilungsgesellschaft mit großen Wachstumschancen entwickelt hat.
Der Konzern wird an der Börse aufgrund von der 1,4 Mrd. Barrel 2.000
Ölreserven als reiner Rohstoffwert gehandelt, ist aber unter anderem
Japans größter Hühnerproduzent, Besitzer einer Fastfood Kette, und 1.800

hält Beteiligungen an einem Batteriehersteller, einem australischem


1.600
Bergwerk und einer Supermarktkette. Wir empfehlen Mitsubishi Corp.
als breit diversifiziertes Japan-Investment zum Kauf. 1.400
07.09 09.09 11.09 01.10 03.10 05.10

MITSUBISHI CORP MAV 30 MAV 60

MARKTDATEN / BEWERTUNG RENTABILITÄT / WACHSTUM (in %)


Marktkap. (Mio. EUR) 28.547 Eigenkapitalrentabilität 10,22
Beta 1,23 Operative Marge 4,00
52-Wochen-Hoch 2.542,00 Fremdkapitalquote 57,04
52-Wochen-Tief 1.725,00 Dividendenrendite 3,03
KGV aktuelles Geschäftsjahr 11,39 Gewinnwachstum aktuelles Jahr -25,27
Dynamisches KGV 0,42 Gewinnwachstum nächstes Jahr 166,24
Kurs/Buchwert 1,05 Historisches Gewinnwachstum 165,86
Kurs/Umsatz 0,68 Historisches Umsatzwachstum

MEDUSA MINING
Australia based Medusa Mining is a debt-free and 5,5

5,0
unhedged company, producing gold at cash costs of
4,5
USD 190 per ounce. The current resource of almost
4,0
700,000 ounces should be extended to up to 7 million 3,5
ounces within the next few years. In the medium-term, 3,0

Medusa wants to produce 300,000 to 400,000 ounces. 2,5

The exploration is fully financed from cash flow, 2,0

moreover we like the shareholder structure. 1,5

1,0
07.09 09.09 11.09 01.10 03.10 05.10
MEDUSA MINING MAV 30 MAV 60

MARKET DATA / VALUATION PROFITABILITY / GROWTH (in %)


Market Cap. (Mil. EUR) 532 Return on Equity 37.93
Beta 1.21 Operating Margin 62.85
52-Week-High 4.89 Debt Ratio 0
52-Week-Low 2.18 Dividend Yield 0
PE current Year 13.12 Earnings Growth current year
PEG Ratio Earnings Growth next year 0.23
Price/Book Ratio 5.5 Historical Earnings Growth 0.23
Price/Sales Ratio 9.16 Historical Sales Growth 0.55

Erste Group Research - Recommendation List 23 July 2010 Page 10


Asia - Core Investments
REAL GOLD MINING
Real Gold Mining is a chinese low-cost producer (cash 17

costs at USD 208 per ounce) with high-grad mines in 15

Inner Mongolia. The strong production growth from 13


capacity expansion and potential acquisitions indicate
attractive upside potential. Therefore we expect the 11

valuation gap vs. it's peers to narrow. 9

5
07.09 09.09 11.09 01.10 03.10 05.10
REAL GOLD MINING MAV 30 MAV 60

MARKET DATA / VALUATION PROFITABILITY / GROWTH (in %)


Market Cap. (Mil. EUR) 1,027 Return on Equity 35.34
Beta Operating Margin 72.77
52-Week-High 15.74 Debt Ratio 0
52-Week-Low 6.24 Dividend Yield 0
PE current Year 12.65 Earnings Growth current year 66.12
PEG Ratio Earnings Growth next year 0.79
Price/Book Ratio 3.08 Historical Earnings Growth 0.78
Price/Sales Ratio 6.59 Historical Sales Growth 1.08

PERSEUS MINING
New Recommendation: The Austrialian Gold Explorer 3,0

has about 7 Mio. Ounces of gold in resouces and will 2,5


start production in Q3 2011. Besides the experienced
management, we like the low valuation, high exploration 2,0

potential as well as low cash costs. 1,5

1,0

0,5
07.09 08.09 09.09 10.09 11.09 12.09 01.10 02.10 03.10 04.10 05.10 06.10

PERSEUS MINING MAV 30 MAV 60

MARKET DATA / VALUATION PROFITABILITY / GROWTH (in %)


Market Cap. (Mil. EUR) 677 Return on Equity -4.99
Beta 1.26 Operating Margin
52-Week-High 2.48 Debt Ratio 0
52-Week-Low 0.73 Dividend Yield 0
PE current Year Earnings Growth current year 22.38
PEG Ratio Earnings Growth next year -0.03
Price/Book Ratio 4.96 Historical Earnings Growth
Price/Sales Ratio Historical Sales Growth 0.02

HTC Corp
New Recommendation: The Taiwanes hight-tech 600

company is specializing in smart phones and currently 550

holds 70% market share for Windows Mobile 500

smartphones. The stock is a good buy, due it's low 450

valuation, dynamic growth, stable margins and a dividend 400

yield of nearly 5%. 350

300

250

200
07.09 09.09 11.09 01.10 03.10 05.10
HTC Corp MAV 30 MAV 60

MARKET DATA / VALUATION PROFITABILITY / GROWTH (in %)


Market Cap. (Mil. EUR) 10,265 Return on Equity 35.8
Beta 1.01 Operating Margin 16.69
52-Week-High 583 Debt Ratio 0
52-Week-Low 277.5 Dividend Yield 5.48
PE current Year 19.19 Earnings Growth current year -20.61
PEG Ratio 0.84 Earnings Growth next year 28.71
Price/Book Ratio 6.62 Historical Earnings Growth 28.18
Price/Sales Ratio 2.99 Historical Sales Growth 46.37

Erste Group Research - Recommendation List 23 July 2010 Page 1


Austria – Xetra Core Investments
CONWERT IMMOBILIEN
The residential property company is mainly focused on 11
Austria and Germany. Positive is the currently running 10
share buyback programme and the valuation of the stock
9
below our DCF value and the NAV per share. The start of
8
dividend payments should be seen positively from our
point of view. Additionally, the investment of the syndicate 7
around H.P. Haselsteiner is certainly attractive for the 6
stock. The envisaged full ECO-takeover should be value 5
accretive in the mid-/long-term. Our target price: EUR 07.09 09.09 11.09 01.10 03.10 05.10
10.7. CONWERT IMMOBILIEN MAV 30 MAV 60

MARKET DATA / VALUATION PROFITABILITY / GROWTH (in %)


Market Cap. (Mil. EUR) 745 Return on Equity 2.98
Beta 0.76 Operating Margin 54.51
52-Week-High 10.3 Debt Ratio 55.92
52-Week-Low 6.14 Dividend Yield 3.45
PE current Year 18.52 Earnings Growth current year 60.05
PEG Ratio n.a. Earnings Growth next year 51.48
Price/Book Ratio 0.55 Historical Earnings Growth -31.52
Price/Sales Ratio 3.45 Historical Sales Growth n.a.

SPARKASSEN IMMO
S Immo disposes of a broadly diversified and conserva- 6,5

tively financed property portfolio with a focus on A, GER 6,0

and the CEE countries. The currently running


5,5
development projects will bring a strong improvement in
cash flows, esp. in 2010/11. The valuation of the stock 5,0

exceeds the peer group level based on P/NAV, but due to 4,5

expected jump in results it actually becomes much more 4,0


attrative. Acquisitions of distressed assets are possible
additional share price triggers. Our target price: EUR 6.5. 3,5
07.09 09.09 11.09 01.10 03.10 05.10

SPARKASSEN IMMO MAV 30 MAV 60

MARKET DATA / VALUATION PROFITABILITY / GROWTH (in %)


Market Cap. (Mil. EUR) 345 Return on Equity 6.74
Beta 0.88 Operating Margin 51.17
52-Week-High 6.02 Debt Ratio 62.61
52-Week-Low 3.95 Dividend Yield 0
PE current Year 10.31 Earnings Growth current year -142.75
PEG Ratio n.a. Earnings Growth next year 55.31
Price/Book Ratio 0.67 Historical Earnings Growth 9.03
Price/Sales Ratio 1.84 Historical Sales Growth n.a.

RAIFFEISEN INTERNATIONAL
Raiffeisen International (RI) is the holding company for 16 50

network banks and 17 leasing companies covering the 45

entire CEE region (including Belarus, Ukraine and 40


Russia). RI trades rather low in a peer group comparison
due to the happenings around the merger with RZB. Given 35

that there are some signs of economic improvement in the 30

CEE region, we see a diminishing probability for negative 25


surprise. Our target price: under review.
20
07.09 08.09 09.09 10.09 11.09 12.09 01.10 02.10 03.10 04.10 05.10 06.10

RAIFFEISEN INTERNATIONAL MAV 30 MAV 60

MARKET DATA / VALUATION PROFITABILITY / GROWTH (in %)


Market Cap. (Mil. EUR) 5,382 Return on Equity 4.93
Beta 1.34 Operating Margin n.a.
52-Week-High 48.55 Debt Ratio 89.76
52-Week-Low 27.19 Dividend Yield 2.68
PE current Year 18.81 Earnings Growth current year 79.66
PEG Ratio n.a. Earnings Growth next year 177.46
Price/Book Ratio 0.89 Historical Earnings Growth -32.57
Price/Sales Ratio n.a. Historical Sales Growth n.a.

Erste Group Research - Recommendation List 23 July 2010 Page 2


Austria – Xetra Core Investments
VIENNA INS. GROUP
Austria’s largest insurance company sets great store by the 45

43
expansion into CEE. Almost 50% of the premium volume is
41
already being earned in the region. In Romania, Bulgaria,
39
Slovakia and Czech Republic the company is already number 37
one. The company has a total of some 20 million customers in 35
24 countries. The GDP of the CEE region is lower GDP in 33

comparison to Western Europe and the region has an enormous 31

growth potential with respect to insurance density, despite the 29

short-term negative effects from the economic situation. Our 27

25
target price: EUR 44.5. 07.09 09.09 11.09 01.10 03.10 05.10
VIENNA INS. GROUP MAV 30 MAV 60

MARKET DATA / VALUATION PROFITABILITY / GROWTH (in %)


Market Cap. (Mil. EUR) 4,662 Return on Equity 9.76
Beta 1.02 Operating Margin n.a.
52-Week-High 43.75 Debt Ratio 86.01
52-Week-Low 29.96 Dividend Yield 3.06
PE current Year 11.86 Earnings Growth current year 14.07
PEG Ratio n.a. Earnings Growth next year 14.63
Price/Book Ratio 1.12 Historical Earnings Growth 0.63
Price/Sales Ratio n.a. Historical Sales Growth n.a.

INTERCELL
Intercell is the first biotech company listed on Wiener 35

Börse specialized in the development of therapeutic and 30


prophylactic vaccines. The vaccine market offers excellent
growth perspectives. The first successfully launched 25

vaccine is against Japanese encephalitis, where sales are


20
growing. The company has a lot more projects in the
pipeline and in the clinical testing phase with cooperation 15

partners (esp. Novartis/Merck/Glaxo). Our target price:


EUR 27. 10
07.09 08.09 09.09 10.09 11.09 12.09 01.10 02.10 03.10 04.10 05.10 06.10
INTERCELL MAV 30 MAV 60

MARKET DATA / VALUATION PROFITABILITY / GROWTH (in %)


Market Cap. (Mil. EUR) 674 Return on Equity -4.61
Beta 0.75 Operating Margin -29.41
52-Week-High 29.28 Debt Ratio 22.78
52-Week-Low 13.15 Dividend Yield 0
PE current Year n.a. Earnings Growth current year -10.49
PEG Ratio n.a. Earnings Growth next year -124.24
Price/Book Ratio 1.91 Historical Earnings Growth -241.23
Price/Sales Ratio 8.1 Historical Sales Growth 15.48

IMMOFINANZ
Immofinanz is one of the largest property companies in 3,5

the CEE region und has been successfully restructured by 3,0


the new board around CEO Zehetner, following financial
difficulties. We initiate our coverage with a target price of 2,5

EUR 3.0. The current attractive multiples (P/NAV,


2,0
EV/EBITDA) confirm our positve stance on the share.
1,5

1,0
07.09 09.09 11.09 01.10 03.10 05.10
IMMOFINANZ MAV 30 MAV 60

MARKET DATA / VALUATION PROFITABILITY / GROWTH (in %)


Market Cap. (Mil. EUR) 2,544 Return on Equity 3.91
Beta 0.86 Operating Margin 50.82
52-Week-High 3.32 Debt Ratio 56.43
52-Week-Low 1.38 Dividend Yield 0
PE current Year 12.58 Earnings Growth current year -44.55
PEG Ratio n.a. Earnings Growth next year 8.29
Price/Book Ratio 0.48 Historical Earnings Growth -33.65
Price/Sales Ratio 3.43 Historical Sales Growth n.a.

Erste Group Research - Recommendation List 23 July 2010 Page 3


Austria – Xetra Core Investments
VOESTALPINE
voestalpine is a comparatively defensive Austrian steel 33

31
company with extensive downstream activities and a clear
29
focus on high quality niche positions. Long-term contracts
27
also contribute to a more stable earnings pattern in 25
comparison to peers. It enjoys a unique regional location 23

to supply CEE markets with high quality products. Despite 21

voestalpine's high indebtedness it has no immediate 19

refinancing needs. Our target price: EUR 28. 17

15
07.09 08.09 09.09 10.09 11.09 12.09 01.10 02.10 03.10 04.10 05.10 06.10
VOESTALPINE MAV 30 MAV 60

MARKET DATA / VALUATION PROFITABILITY / GROWTH (in %)


Market Cap. (Mil. EUR) 4,219 Return on Equity 9.01
Beta 0.97 Operating Margin 7
52-Week-High 31.29 Debt Ratio 62.27
52-Week-Low 18.75 Dividend Yield 3.21
PE current Year 14.54 Earnings Growth current year 374.12
PEG Ratio n.a. Earnings Growth next year 45.81
Price/Book Ratio 1.27 Historical Earnings Growth -27.65
Price/Sales Ratio 0.46 Historical Sales Growth -4.34

RHI
RHI is a global player and has a worldwide number one 28

26
position in the refractories business. The most important
24
customer industries are iron & steel, cement & lime,
22
nonferrous metals and glass. The situation in the steel 20
and industrial sector (RHI's clients) is currently improving. 18

The outlook for 2010 is promising, the restructurings 16

undertaken were very successful. Our 12-month target 14

price: EUR 32. 12

10
07.09 08.09 09.09 10.09 11.09 12.09 01.10 02.10 03.10 04.10 05.10 06.10
RHI MAV 30 MAV 60

MARKET DATA / VALUATION PROFITABILITY / GROWTH (in %)


Market Cap. (Mil. EUR) 856 Return on Equity 36.46
Beta 0.95 Operating Margin 9.69
52-Week-High 26.5 Debt Ratio 75.01
52-Week-Low 14.19 Dividend Yield 0
PE current Year 8.91 Earnings Growth current year 326.1
PEG Ratio n.a. Earnings Growth next year 27.18
Price/Book Ratio 2.75 Historical Earnings Growth -8.52
Price/Sales Ratio 0.59 Historical Sales Growth -2.04

BWT
BWT is Europe's leading water technology company. 24

Recently BWT succesfully entered the filter market (point- 22

of-use market) for water pitchers, coffee-machines and


20
other interesting food appliction. We consider BWT as a
quite attractive investment case due to its stable core 18

business model in combination with the excellent growth 16

opportunities in the point-of-use segment. Our target 14


price: EUR 27.3.
12
07.09 08.09 09.09 10.09 11.09 12.09 01.10 02.10 03.10 04.10 05.10 06.10
BWT MAV 30 MAV 60

MARKET DATA / VALUATION PROFITABILITY / GROWTH (in %)


Market Cap. (Mil. EUR) 338 Return on Equity 13.17
Beta 0.63 Operating Margin 6.76
52-Week-High 23.22 Debt Ratio 49.77
52-Week-Low 14.03 Dividend Yield 2.15
PE current Year 15.28 Earnings Growth current year -7.6
PEG Ratio n.a. Earnings Growth next year 15.26
Price/Book Ratio 1.93 Historical Earnings Growth -6.35
Price/Sales Ratio 0.72 Historical Sales Growth 3.79

Erste Group Research - Recommendation List 23 July 2010 Page 4


Austria – Xetra Core Investments
SEMPERIT
Although Semperit is usually seen as cyclical stock, 40% 33

of the company's revenues are generated by the division 31

Sempermed which is producing surgical- and examination 29

gloves. The increase in sales revenues of the last quarters 27

clearly proved that this division is able to deliver strong 25

figures even in a very difficult business environment. 23

Semperit has a solid balance sheet structure with a net 21

cash position which should enable the company to think 19

about acquisitions. Our target price is EUR 38. 17


07.09 08.09 09.09 10.09 11.09 12.09 01.10 02.10 03.10 04.10 05.10 06.10
SEMPERIT MAV 30 MAV 60

MARKET DATA / VALUATION PROFITABILITY / GROWTH (in %)


Market Cap. (Mil. EUR) 579 Return on Equity 13.62
Beta 0.64 Operating Margin 10.2
52-Week-High 32.47 Debt Ratio 30.18
52-Week-Low 19.1 Dividend Yield 4.53
PE current Year 13.24 Earnings Growth current year 12.47
PEG Ratio n.a. Earnings Growth next year 7.93
Price/Book Ratio 1.75 Historical Earnings Growth -0.73
Price/Sales Ratio 0.77 Historical Sales Growth 6.94

OMV
OMV currently suffers from low refining margins, but the 34

current oil price level is favourable. The stock is still 32

suitable as a "hedge" for the portfolio against possible oil


30
price increases and is also a good means to diversify into
the commodity sector. The valuation of the stock is 28

currently quite low, in our opinion, and does not consider 26

the strong substance of the company. Our target price: 24


EUR 38.
22
07.09 08.09 09.09 10.09 11.09 12.09 01.10 02.10 03.10 04.10 05.10 06.10
OMV MAV 30 MAV 60

MARKET DATA / VALUATION PROFITABILITY / GROWTH (in %)


Market Cap. (Mil. EUR) 7,652 Return on Equity 11.82
Beta 0.95 Operating Margin 11.5
52-Week-High 32.74 Debt Ratio 52.16
52-Week-Low 23.86 Dividend Yield 3.98
PE current Year 7.5 Earnings Growth current year 75.04
PEG Ratio n.a. Earnings Growth next year 16.87
Price/Book Ratio 0.85 Historical Earnings Growth -14.1
Price/Sales Ratio 0.39 Historical Sales Growth -1.22

KAPSCH TRAFFICCOM
KTC benefits in the long-term from budget constraints of 35

governments and from the ever rising traffic volume. We 33

see plenty of projects globally in the long term. The 31

valuation of the stock is only based on existing projects. 29

Recently there have been good news from the tender in 27

South Africa and further smaller projects. Our target price: 25

EUR 38. 23

21

19
07.09 08.09 09.09 10.09 11.09 12.09 01.10 02.10 03.10 04.10 05.10 06.10
KAPSCH TRAFFICCOM MAV 30 MAV 60

MARKET DATA / VALUATION PROFITABILITY / GROWTH (in %)


Market Cap. (Mil. EUR) 373 Return on Equity 18.45
Beta 0.6 Operating Margin 14.24
52-Week-High 33.5 Debt Ratio 48.87
52-Week-Low 20.93 Dividend Yield 2.79
PE current Year 11.84 Earnings Growth current year -8.53
PEG Ratio n.a. Earnings Growth next year 1.03
Price/Book Ratio 2.04 Historical Earnings Growth -0.75
Price/Sales Ratio 1.14 Historical Sales Growth 20.71

Erste Group Research - Recommendation List 23 July 2010 Page 5


Austria – Xetra Core Investments
austriamicrosystems
austriamicrosystems is a global leader in the design and 45

manufacture of high performance analog ICs. ams not 40

only benefits from the ongoing market recovery but also 35

from its recently launched products that set new standards 30

for various technologies. With its high operating leverage 25


it benefits strongly from an further increase of its capacity
20
utilization. ams produces strong free cash flow that is
15
used for piling up cash and a 25% payout ratio. Target
Price: CHF 46. 10
07.09 09.09 11.09 01.10 03.10 05.10
austriamicrosystems MAV 30 MAV 60

MARKET DATA / VALUATION PROFITABILITY / GROWTH (in %)


Market Cap. (Mil. EUR) 308 Return on Equity 10.37
Beta 0.89 Operating Margin 11.02
52-Week-High 43 Debt Ratio 33.07
52-Week-Low 13.65 Dividend Yield 1.66
PE current Year 15.3 Earnings Growth current year -207.9
PEG Ratio n.a. Earnings Growth next year 68.73
Price/Book Ratio 1.53 Historical Earnings Growth -8.93
Price/Sales Ratio 1.54 Historical Sales Growth -1.43

AT&S
New recommendation 12

11
AT&S currently benefits from the strong growth in the 10
mobile internet area. All plants produce at the capacity 9

limits and further expansion capex is planned. The outlook 8

7
for the next quarters looks promising to us. Despite the
6
already strong share price increase, we see further upside 5
potential. Our target price: EUR 16.1. 4

2
07.09 08.09 09.09 10.09 11.09 12.09 01.10 02.10 03.10 04.10 05.10 06.10

AT&S MAV 30 MAV 60

MARKET DATA / VALUATION PROFITABILITY / GROWTH (in %)


Market Cap. (Mil. EUR) 299 Return on Equity 11.74
Beta 0.83 Operating Margin 9
52-Week-High 11.64 Debt Ratio 55.64
52-Week-Low 3.55 Dividend Yield 2.87
PE current Year 10.5 Earnings Growth current year -169.34
PEG Ratio n.a. Earnings Growth next year 5.81
Price/Book Ratio 1.17 Historical Earnings Growth -26.7
Price/Sales Ratio 0.57 Historical Sales Growth -0.93

Erste Group Research - Recommendation List 23 July 2010 Page 6


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This research report was prepared by Erste Group Bank AG (”Erste Group”) or its affiliate named herein. The information herein has been obtained from, and any
opinions herein are based upon, sources believed reliable, but we do not represent that it is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. All
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Please refer to www.erstegroup.com for the current list of specific disclosures and the breakdown of Erste Group’s investment recommendations.

Erste Group Research - Recommendation List 23 July 2010 Page 7

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