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B o nds a nd

C l imate Ch a n ge
The state of the market in
2016
E AND F A N S P O RT
UR O TR
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W AT E R AND IN
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A$ 694
billion
climate-aligned
bonds universe

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LUTIO
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WA S T E

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T I-S E C TO
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PLUS:
Labelled Green Bond
Prepared by Climate Bonds Initiative. Commissioned by HSBC.
Market Update
1 Bonds and Climate Change, July 2016 www.climatebonds.net
A $694bn Climate-Aligned Bond Universe
Our research estimates Whats new?
that there are $694bn Contents
This year we carried out more detailed
of climate-aligned research in three areas: Climate-Aligned Universe 4
Labelled Green Bonds
bonds outstanding, 1. US municipal bond market: we 6
searched through 1,000 individual bond Transport 8
an increase of $96bn prospectuses from the past two years to
Energy 9
on last years report. catalogue climate-aligned US municipal
bonds (page 16). Water 10
This is our 5th annual State of the Market Buildings & Industry 11
2. Chinese unlabelled green bond market:
report. The report, commissioned by
we checked our data against data shared Waste & Pollution Control 12
HSBC, discovers and quantifies bonds
by the China Energy Conservation &
that are being used to finance low carbon Multi-Sector 12
Environmental Protection (CECEP) and
and climate-resilient infrastructure: Agriculture & Forestry 13
China Central Depository & Clearing Co.
climate-aligned bonds. This includes
(CCDC) (page 17). Future Themes 13
labelled green bonds with use of proceeds
defined and labelled as green, as well 3. Water utilities: we looked to see which Regional Analysis 14
as a larger universe of bonds financing water bonds could meet the Climate
US Municipal Market 16
climate-aligned assets that do not carry a Bonds Water Criteria (page 10).
green label. Together, these make up our China 17
climate-aligned bond universe. $694 billion is the beginning- A Solid Foundation for Growth 18
The $694bn is made up of approximately labelling is key to growth
3,590 bonds from 780 issuers across our While the $694bn provides a good picture
climate themes: Transport, Energy, Buildings
& Industry, Water, Waste & Pollution Control
of current climate-aligned investment Climate opportunity
in the bond market, even this does not
and Agriculture & Forestry. It includes While a $694bn universe is
show the full potential for future labelled
$118bn of labelled green bonds. encouraging, it is small in the context
green bond growth. Labelled green bonds
of what is required to remain within a
The $96bn increase on last year is from: are primarily issued by non-pureplay
2-degree scenario. According to the
companies whereas the 83% of the
$94bn new bonds from existing issuers International Energy Agency (IEA),
climate-aligned universe that is unlabelled
cumulative investment of $53tn
Plus: $85bn from new issuers comes from pureplay issuers only. The
is required by 2035 in the energy
labelling of green bonds is therefore
Minus: $83bn matured bonds and sector alone while New Climate
essential to shift fixed income investment
issuers that have dropped out Economy estimates that $93tn of
towards climate change solutions.
investment is required across the
Methodology Institutional investors play a whole economy by 20301.
To find unlabelled bonds, we screened crucial role To put this in context, the global
Bloomberg issuer data and reviewed over bond market currently stands at
At the 2015 COP21 in Paris, 188 Parties
1,700 issuers to identify those with over approximately $90tn2. The bond
presented their national plans to try to
95% of revenue derived from climate- market is therefore an essential tool
keep global temperature rise this century
aligned assets; thus all of our unlabelled to finance the transition to a low-
below 2 degrees Celsius.
issuers are pureplay companies. We carbon economy. The growing green
included all bonds from these issuers These plans will require a mix of public bond market will continue to be an
issued after 1 Jan 2005, the year the and private sector capital - especially important part of this transition but
Kyoto Protocol was ratified, and before the $100tn institutional investor sector. it is not the whole picture there
31 May 2016. Fortunately, at the same COP, institutional are a range of unlabelled climate
investors representing $11.2tn undertook investment opportunities in the
Our screening criteria is based on work
to work to grow a green bonds market3; bond market which are captured
undertaken through the Climate Bonds
and the insurance industry re-iterated its in this report.
Standard. Our screening process is not
commitment to increasing by 2020 by a
always able to apply the full Criteria due to
factor of 10 its climate smart investments. Notes:
insufficient granularity of information. The total climate-aligned bond universe includes
The Bank of Englands Prudential Regulation
both labelled green bonds and unlabelled bonds.
The Criteria are continually expanding to Authority has also recommended green $ refers to USD unless otherwise stated.
include new sectors and updated based on bonds as a climate-related investment YTD = year-to-date
emerging research. This evolution means opportunity for UK insurance firms4. Finally, 1. http://2014.newclimateeconomy.report/finance/
that some issuers drop out and others fall there is growing interest in climate-aligned 2. http://www.bis.org/publ/qtrpdf/r_qt1606_charts.pdf
into the database. We have also updated investment from PRI signatories (1,525 to 3. http://www.climatebonds.net/files/files/Paris_Inves-
tor_Statement_9Dec15.pdf
our research process to improve the data date, with $60tn under management) and 4. http://www.bankofengland.co.uk/pra/Documents/
in our climate-aligned universe. from other investor groups. supervision/activities/pradefra0915.pdf

2 Bonds and Climate Change, July 2016 www.climatebonds.net


Labelled green bonds account for 17% of our climate-aligned bond universe

$118bn
Labelled Green bonds

$576bn
UNLabelled Climate-Aligned bond S

Key Takeaways
The climate-aligned bond market amounts to $694bn outstanding
Labelled green bond market stands at $118bn outstanding (17% of total)
$576bn outstanding is currently not labelled as green but is climate-aligned
At 67%, low-carbon transport is the dominant theme
Its a long dated market: 70% of bonds have tenors of 10 years or more

3 Bonds and Climate Change, July 2016 www.climatebonds.net


Overview of the Climate-Aligned Bond Universe
The $694bn climate- Transport and Energy are the largest climate themes
aligned universe is
made up of six climate Waste & Pollution Control 0.7%
themes that will enable Agriculture & Forestry 0.9%
a transition to a low
Buildings & Industry 2%
carbon and climate-
Water 2.6%
resilient economy.
Multi-sector 8.2%
Transport is the largest theme in the
universe, making up 67% of all bonds
outstanding (more on page 8). Energy is
the second largest, accounting for 19% of
the amount outstanding.
Energy
Between them, Water, Buildings & Industry, 18.8%
Waste & Pollution Control and Agriculture
& Forestry make up 6% of the universe.
The multi-sector theme, which
accounts for 8% of the universe,
is made up entirely of labelled green
bonds that each finance a range of Transport
projects and assets across the six 66.8%
themes and can therefore not be
allocated to a single theme.

Scaling up investment
In order to remain within a 2-degree
world, bonds will be an essential tool in
scaling up investment across all themes.
But its important to note that bonds have The transport theme accounts for 70% Some of these are from small issuers which,
been utilised more in some sectors than of the investment grade segment of the if rated, would likely be sub-investment
in others. This is based on the maturity universe - just above its overall proportion grade while others, such as the USAs
of the technology and the suitability of of the universe. Energy accounts for 15% Overseas Private Investment Corp, would
assets to bond financing. Rail assets, of investment grade bonds, slightly under likely fall into a high rating band.
for example have been financed using its overall proportion of the climate-
bonds for decades (hence their large aligned universe. 85% of the multi-sector 78% of the universe is
presence in our data), while relatively few theme is investment grade with the investment grade
bonds are issued by companies within remaining 15% unrated.
the agriculture and forestry sector. As The high-yield (BBB- or lower)
renewable energy technologies mature, segment is currently small making No Rating AAA
we expect to see more bonds from the up less than 6% of the universe. 16% 15%
Energy theme. As a comparison - high-yield
bonds made up approximately
78% of the climate-aligned 21% of issuance in the
<BBB
universe is investment grade US corporate bond market
6%

Investment grade issuance is classified in 20155.


as BBB- or higher. The largest ratings BBB
The average coupon within 10%
band is AA, which makes up 37% of
the high-yield segment of
the bonds outstanding and includes AA
the climate-aligned bond
large rail entities such as China Railway 37%
market was 6.9%, whilst
Corp, the UKs Network Rail and A
in the investment grade
French state-owned rail company SNCF. 16%
segment, the average coupon
This is different to the labelled green
was approximately 3.7%.
bonds market (see page 6-7) where
43% of issuance falls within the AAA 16% of outstanding climate-aligned
rating category. bonds do not have a rating. 5. http://www.sifma.org/research/statistics.aspx

4 Bonds and Climate Change, July 2016 www.climatebonds.net


There is a broad spread The other two largest currencies are The universe is made up of a
of currencies USD (23%) and EUR (16%), both broad range of currencies
being common currencies for issuers in
35% of bonds are denominated in
emerging and developed markets.
Chinese RMB, the vast majority of
which are onshore bonds. Less than For the first time this year, the USD
$0.5bn of the $239bn outstanding Indian Rupee (INR) made it into $169 bn
were dim sum bonds; i.e. RMB bonds the top 10 currencies with 2%
issued offshore. of total issuance. EUR
Chinese-based issuers also issued $111.2 bn
approximately $2bn in USD-denominated
bonds on offshore exchanges.

The majority of issuance is GBP


from government entities $58.2 bn CNY
CAD $18.7 bn
$244.6 bn
As in previous years, over 60% of RUB $16.9 bn
bonds outstanding was issued by a INR $15.2 bn
government entity - local governments, KRW $14.5 bn
multilateral development banks, CHF $12.7 bn
agencies or state-owned entities. SEK $7.9 bn
This group of issuers includes the Others $24.8 bn
largest issuer in the universe- China
Railway Corp as well as Network Rail, The majority of bonds have tenors of 10 years or more
the EIB, EUROFIMA and the New York
Metropolitan Transportation Authority.

bn
bn

bn
bn
bn

Amount

00
00

00
00
$0

$4
issued
$2

$3
$1

The majority have tenors


longer than 10 years >10
Approximately 70% of bonds in the
climate-aligned universe have tenors
5-10
of 10 years or greater. This is in contrast


to the labelled green bond market where
AAA

50% have tenors between 5-10 years 3-5
AA

(page 6).
A
In the climate-aligned universe, ratings 1-3
BBB
bands are fairly consistent across each
<BBB
tenor range although AA bonds make up
the majority of bonds with tenors greater
than 10 years.
<1 No Rating

Bond tenors (years)


The majority of bonds are
larger than $100m The majority of climate-aligned bonds are between
Over 68% of bonds issued are between $100m and $500m in size
$100m and $500m in size. The average Number of bonds
bond size within the unlabelled climate-
1,200


aligned universe was $196m. Over 44%
Unlabelled climate-aligned bonds

of the bonds issued were greater than
$200m in size, indicating plenty of 1,000 Labelled green bonds
benchmark size investment opportunities
available to investors. 800
Bond size thresholds for indices
vary between index types and 600
currencies. Typically, thresholds are
around $200m. 400
In general, bonds within the transport
theme tended to be the largest, with an 200
average issuance size of over $400m
while the average bond in the energy
0
theme is $135m.
0-$10m $10m- $100m- $200m- $500m- $1bn +
$100m $200m $500m $1bn

5 Bonds and Climate Change, July 2016 www.climatebonds.net


Labelled Green Bond Issuance is Growing
The labelled green bond Corporate and muni bonds make up
market continues to a growing proportion of issuance
grow year-on-year and

2016 estimate: $100 bn


currently amounts to over $40 bn
$118bn outstanding. Bank
Corporate
Labelled green bonds are bonds with use
ABS
of proceeds earmarked to finance new $30 bn
Muni
and existing projects with environmental
benefits. Green bonds make up 17% of Development Bank

our $694bn climate-aligned universe, up


from 11% in our 2015 report*. $20 bn
A green bond label is a signalling or discovery
mechanism for investors. It enables the
identification of climate-aligned investments
with limited resources for due diligence. $10 bn
By doing so, a green bond label reduces
friction in the market, thereby facilitating
growth in climate-aligned investments.
Green bond indices have also greatly $0 bn
contributed to reducing friction by
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
giving investors a means to evaluate YTD
performance and assess risk. Labelled
Green Bond Indices include: S&P Dow 82% of the labelled green bond Labelled green bond tenors
Jones, Solactive, Barclays MSCI and Bank
market is investment grade are shorter than unlabelled
of America Merrill Lynch.
climate-aligned bonds
2015 was another record year for the
labelled green bond market, with over <BBB 4% 100% < 3 years < 3 years
$42bn issued. 2016 is set to reach new
heights with over $28bn issued up to the
80% 3-5 years
end of May 2016. We estimate that 2016 5-10 years
issuance could reach $100bn. No Rating
14%
Development bank issuance has 60%
increased year-on-year and new issuers AAA 5-10 years
have joined the market. While the 43%
proportion of development banks as a 40%
BBB > 10 years
percentage of the market has decreased 9%
since the first corporate green bonds were
issued, development banks remain large 20%
A
issuers and are important in meeting 15% > 10 years
demand for AAA-rated bonds. AA
15% 0%
The European Investment Bank (EIB) has
Unlabelled climate- Labelled green
issued the largest amount of green bonds to aligned bonds bonds
date (over $17bn) and was the largest issuer
of green bonds in both 2014 and 2015. Corporate bond and commercial bank market. We have since seen increasing
Development banks have also played bond issuance continues to grow. We issuance from municipalities and cities
an important role, more recently, as expect this trend to continue, with new both inside and outside of the US and we
cornerstone investors for labelled green issuers entering the market each year. expect to see more; this is covered in more
bonds. For example, KfW has an explicit Over 45 different corporate and bank detail on page 16.
mandate in Europe while IFC has taken issuers issued green bonds in 2015, up
The average tenor of labelled green
large investments in Indias PNB Housing from just over 30 in 2013 and fewer than
bonds is between 5-10 years. This is in
Finance green bonds. 10 in 2012.
contrast to unlabelled climate-aligned
The first municipalities issued green bonds bonds where long tenors are more
* Note: Labelled green bond figures may differ from
other databases due differences in: inclusion criteria, in 2012, but it took until 2014 for labelled common, with 70% having tenors of
exchange rates and cut-off dates green bonds to come from the US muni 10 years or more. This is due to the

6 Bonds and Climate Change, July 2016 www.climatebonds.net


dominance within the climate-aligned The green bond market covers a wide range of sectors
universe of large state-backed entities
in the rail sector where investment Buildings & Industry 9.2%
horizons are long. Transport 7.3%
43% of the bonds outstanding fall into Water 6.2%
the AAA credit ratings band, primarily Waste & Pollution 0.4%
due to large development banks such as Agriculture & Forestry 0.1%
the World Bank, IFC and the EIB.

A broad range of use of proceeds


Labelled green bonds are used to finance Energy 15%
projects in a range of themes, with Energy
and Buildings & Industry being the largest.
Multi-sector makes up 49% of the market Buildings
and comprises bonds with a mixed use of Multi-sector & Industry 15%
proceeds for a variety of projects. While 49%
we do not have project level data for each
of the multi-sector bonds, we estimate Energy Transport 6%
that the Energy and Buildings & Industry 27.8%
Water 5%
themes make up an equal proportion of Waste & Pollution 4%
their use of proceeds, with 15% each. Agriculture & Forestry 2%
Transport is a relatively small theme in Adaptation 2%
the labelled bond market when compared
to its large share in the climate-aligned
universe as bonds solely for transport (see page 17). Thus far, 2016 has been External reviews play an important role in
projects are a more recent feature of the a bumper year for Chinese issuers with the market and could be reinforced further
green bond market. Toyotas 2014 ABS, Shanghai Pudong Development Bank with more consistent standards.
which financed loans for electric and issuing two of the largest green bonds ever
The Climate Bonds Standard Board
energy efficient vehicles, was the first (at $2.3bn and $3bn), making China the
oversees criteria development and
green bond solely for transport. Since largest issuing country in 2016 ytd.
certification for the labelled green
then we have seen the entry of transit
bond market. It convenes scientists,
authorities such as Transport for London Standards can help to boost
investors and other specialists in expert
in 2015 and, in 2016, the large New York the market
committees, to develop criteria for assets
Metropolitan Tranportation Authority.
The rapid growth in the green bond market and projects that can be financed with
USD and EUR currencies make up over over the past 3 years has been met with green bonds. The benefit of the Standard
80% of issuance. This is in contrast to questions around the environmental claims is that it provides clear, science-based
the climate-aligned bond market, where of these bonds. In the absence of clear and criteria on what is green. The Standard is
the currency spread is more balanced and widely accepted definitions around what is aligned with the requirements of the GBP.
includes a greater number of emerging green, many investors have raised concerns Throughout this report, we have detailed
market currencies. There are 25 currencies about greenwashing, where bond the current progress of specific Criteria
represented in the labelled green bond proceeds are allocated to assets that have development for the Standard - this can
market. little or uncertain environmental value. This be found in the overview of each theme on
We expect to see more RMB issuance as can both shake confidence in the market pages 8-13.
the Chinese government aims to make and hamper efforts to finance a transition
China the largest source of issuance to a low carbon economy. 59% - 66% of green bonds have
The Green Bond Principles (GBP), external received an external review
USD and EUR denominated
reviews or opinions and the Climate $50 bn
bonds make up 80% issuance Bonds Standard scheme are tools to
No review
address greenwashing.

bn

$40 bn External review


bn

0
$5
$0

The GBP were launched in 2014 by a


USD group of banks to bring clarity to the
EUR processes and transparency associated $30 bn
RMB with green bonds. The four voluntary
SEK principles primarily relate to the process $20 bn
GBP of issuance, disclosure and reporting,
CAD while the questions of what is green is
AUD adressed by third parties. $10 bn
ZAR
Bonds that have received an external
BRL $0 bn
review make up approximately 60% of
NOK
the labelled green bond market - this has 2013 2014 2015 2016
Others
remained relatively constant year on year. YTD

7 Bonds and Climate Change, July 2016 www.climatebonds.net


A N S P O RT
TR

Transport 1,605 climate-aligned bonds


$464bn outstanding 148 issuers
Largest issuer: China Railway Corp

Rail dominates the A range of other unconventional Electric and energy efficient vehicles are
transport theme, making transport bonds also exist. The theme
contains a number of bonds from
a burgeoning source of climate-aligned
bonds. Electric car manufacturer Tesla
up 93% of the overall smaller issuers which form an interesting Motors is a major issuer with $2.9bn
amount outstanding. constituent of the transport bond market. issued to fund its electric car business.
For example, bicycle manufacturers Ideal
Tesla is the only auto manufacturer in our
Transport remains the largest theme in the Bike and Sun Race Sturmey-Archer or
climate-aligned dataset which has not issued
climate-aligned universe. Rail bonds make Chaowei which develops batteries for
a labelled green bond. This is because most
up the vast majority of issuance but a diverse electric bikes.
auto manufacturers produce a diverse range of
range of other sectors are also represented. vehicles, only a few of which meet our criteria.
China Railway Corporation is the largest Climate Bonds Standard
bond issuer ($194bn) and has been
The Criteria for Low-Carbon Labelled green bonds
responsible for the huge expansion of high
Transport were finalised in 2016. ($8.6bn outstanding)
speed rail in China. China now has more
They set out which projects are
high speed rail than the rest of the world The US municipal market was an area
applicable for certification based on
combined, transporting more than 6 million for growth in green transport bonds.
whether or not they are compatible
people every day. Since our last report there have
with an emissions trajectory that
The UKs Network Rail is the second largest limits global temperature rises to 2 been several large transport-related
issuer overall ($40.3bn) with issuance degrees. Applicable assets are: labelled green bonds. Notably New
being buoyed by recent rail infrastructure York MTA issued a $782m green
Public passenger transport, bond certified under the Climate
modernisation. Frances national rail
company SNCF was another major issuer Private light-duty and heavy goods Bonds Standard in February 2016.
($34bn). American freight rail made up a vehicles that are electric, hybrid or The bond finances rail infrastructure
significant share of rail bonds in our data; alternative fuel, in New York City and proved a
Burlington North Santa Fe ($17.7bn), Union great success, especially with local
Dedicated freight railway lines and retail investors.
Pacific ($11.9bn) and Norfolk Southern
supporting infrastructure.
Corp (7.5bn) were the three largest freight Washington States Puget Sound
rail bond issuers. Fossil fuels, in particular coal, issued the largest municipal green
form a major part of rail freight. bond of 2015, which totalled $943m,
Transportation authorities account for
In recognition that coal freight for the Seattle regions public transit
a large source of bond issuance. These
may be required to make railways investments. Puget Sound received
are distinct from rail companies as they
economically feasible during the a second review from Sustainalytics,
are government bodies that may provide
transition to a low carbon economy, a key move in the US muni market
multiple forms of public transit; such as bus
the Criteria allow up to, but not where second reviews are not a
rapid transit or metro. Londons TfL is the
exceeding, 50% of eligible rail freight common feature.
largest with $4.8bn outstanding, New Yorks
and infrastructure to be used to
Metropolitan Transportation Authority Auto manufacturers are a small but
transport coal.
(MTA) was also a major issuer ($3.6bn). growing area for labelled green bonds.
Toyota came to market with a green
Rail makes up 93% of the transport theme ABS to finance leases and loans for
new low carbon vehicles in 2014 and
Other have issued two labelled green bonds
EE vehicles since then. In 2016, Hyundai issued
a $500m green bond for hybrid and
electric vehicles, while Chinese car
Bus manufacturer Geely issued a green
bond for the manufacture of hybrid
London taxis.
Rail 93% Others 7%
Currently, some vehicles included in
labelled green bonds issued by auto
manufacturers would not be eligible
Transit under the Climate Bonds Standard
but have been included in the report
as they represent current best
practice within the sector.

8 Bonds and Climate Change, July 2016 www.climatebonds.net


W ind

Energy 1,120 climate-aligned bonds


$130bn outstanding 400 issuers
Largest issuer: Hydro-Qubec

With global energy Hydropower makes up 32% of this


Climate Bonds Standard
demand rising, energy theme. Large hydropower plants are
controversial due to the methane leakage Criteria for wind, solar and geothermal
is at the forefront of the that can take place when areas are have been released and are available
transition to a low-carbon flooded to create reservoirs. These type for Climate Bond Certification.
of emissions seem to be particularly high
and climate-resilient in tropical zones, and for this reason,
Other criteria in this theme are
economy. Energy is the we have excluded hydropower projects
currently in development, including:

second largest theme with reservoirs in these areas from our Bioenergy: Draft Criteria have
dataset. Inclusion in future reports will received public comments; these are
in the climate-aligned depend on the outcome of ongoing being reviewed prior to submission to
universe, with $130bn discussions as part of the development of the Standards Board for approval.
outstanding. the Hydropower Criteria of the Climate
Marine Energy: Work commenced
Bonds Standard (see box).
April 2016 and includes wave and
This theme is made up of a diverse tidal power.
range of renewable energy assets. While Solar and wind account
bonds have been used to finance mature for approx. 30% of the Hydropower: Work commenced
technologies such as hydropower for energy theme under the Water Criteria
development process and is currently
decades, there is increasing issuance for
Energy Efficiency 6% being developed further to capture
newer technologies.
hydro-specific factors.
Wind and solar specific bonds make up
29% of the theme; they also contributed Wind
to the mixed renewable energy segment. 11%
Labelled green bonds
The solar sector is dominated by large ($33bn outstanding)
solar pureplays: such as SolarCity, Solar
SunPower and SolarWorld. Also included 18% Hydro The majority of labelled green
are large project bonds issued by Solar 32% bonds have been linked to
Star ($1.3bn) and Topaz Solar ($1bn). renewable energy projects. The
SolarCity is the largest solar issuer in green bond market first developed
our dataset and is also a labelled green with renewable energy and energy
bond issuer. It is the largest solar rooftop Mixed Renewable efficiency projects and they remain
contractor in the US, selling about one Energy well understood in the investor
third of total residential solar installations. 29% community. German development
bank KfW is one the largest green
Conventional energy companies are also bond issuers in the energy theme,
developing renewable assets through Nuclear 4%
with over $8bn issued for renewable
bond financing. For example, our largest energy projects.
wind issuer is Huaneng Renewables 60% of the Energy theme is investment
(a subsidiary of Huaneng Group), one grade. A large amount of bonds (32%) There are a range of issuer types
of the largest coal-based electric utility fall into the A ratings category, due in in this theme, including energy
enterprises in China. Voltalia Energia part to large hydropower companies utilities, banks with energy assets on
issued one of the few recent project such as Hydro-Qubec. Within the their loan books and asset backed
bonds; a $122m BRL-denominated mixed renewable energy segment, a issuances. Some of the early issuers
bond in March 2016. This 19 year bond third of outstanding bonds have received (such as EDF), have returned to the
finances a wind development in Sao an AAA rating. Within the hydropower green market after the success of
Miguel do Gostoso, Brazil. It comprises sector, 88% of bonds are issued by their initial green issuance.
four wind farms totalling an installed sovereign entities. This is in contrast to
In 2016, the Asian Development
capacity of 108 MW. the solar and wind sub-categories, where
Bank facilitated the issuance
its only 8%.
It should be noted that nuclear of the first green bond from the
has been included in our data (4% 36% of outstanding solar bonds and Philippines. This took the form
of oustanding climate-aligned energy 60% of wind bonds have a tenor of 10 of a 75% guarantee for a $225.7m
bonds), due to its potential fit within years or more. 70% of issuance was in green bond from AP Renewables.
a low-carbon economy. However, USD ($41.8bn), RMB ($23.3bn) and EUR The use of proceeds financed
we recognise there are controversies ($23.2bn), with bonds being issued in 21 geothermal projects and received
associated with this technology. different currencies. Climate Bonds Certification.

9 Bonds and Climate Change, July 2016 www.climatebonds.net


W AT E R

Water 153 climate-aligned bonds


$18bn outstanding 84 issuers
Largest issuer: Anglian Water

Water-related assets authorities. Climate-aligned water bonds


make up a significant share Bonds have been split up into a number
tend to be low risk, investment
grade bonds
of the capital investments of subsectors. Water treatment focussed
on bonds used to fund waste and drinking No Rating 3%
in both developed and water upgrades, which are particularly
emerging economies. popular in the municipal bond market.
Flood protection included investment BBB
As the global climate changes, drought, 21% AAA
in levees, storm sewers, sea walls and
floods and other extreme weather 32%
other flood defences. Bonds from Dutch
conditions are likely to increase in
bank Nederlandse Waterschapsbank
frequency and severity, putting pressure
were put in this subsector as its bonds
on water utilities. Water infrastructure that
were partly used to fund a scheme
is able to cope with more extreme and
set up by the Dutch government
unpredictable weather patterns is an A
to upgrade water management and 24%
important investment for the future.
flood protection in anticipation of AA
Despite their importance, identifying future climate shifts. 21%
climate-aligned water bonds remains
The smallest subsector was conservation
challenging, thus they account for a
and restoration focussing on the
small proportion of the climate-aligned
restoration of natural water and the Labelled green bonds
universe. We do not consider water
conservation of water supply. For example, ($7.4bn outstanding)
bonds to be green by default. To be
Cadiz issued a water recovery and storage
included, infrastructure needs to be There have been several labelled
project in the Southern Californian desert.
climate-resilient. This requires thorough green water bonds out of the US.
disclosure; a feature that is not yet More general water authority adaptation An early issuer was DC Water, who
common across water utilities and upgrades were included under the came to market with a second review
umbrella of climate resilience. from Vigeo and have subsequently
UK-based Anglian and Severn Trent returned to the market in 2015 with a
Climate Bonds Standard Water Authorities bonds were $100m issuance.

This year sees the development included in the theme for their efforts Many labelled green water bonds
of the new Water Climate Bonds to implement detailed and extensive have been issued by state level water
Criteria which provide a clear climate adaptation plans. We researched authorities in the US though no other
definition of which investments a large number of water authorities, have a second review.
are consistent with improving the but most did not provide enough specific
disclosure on climate adaptation to be Authorities with green bonds include
climate resilience of water assets. Massachusetts Clean Water, Indiana,
These criteria will help bond investors included. However, we note that they are
New York, St Pauls, Connecticut and
quickly determine the environmental potentially making investments that would
New Jersey. The common concern
credentials of water-related bonds. qualify if disclosed.
with the labelled US municipal green
In a nutshell, the Water Criteria bonds is the low levels of disclosure
Use of proceeds on climate resilience in the water
encompass investments in engineered
water infrastructure for water collection, authorities overall investment plan. If
treatment and distribution. this disclosure is missing and there is
no review from an independent party,
Investment can be certified under the Flood it is difficult to determine how aligned
Climate Bond Standard if they: Protection these green bonds are.
26% Climate
Deliver greenhouse gas mitigation Resilience One bond which stands out in this
57% regard is the 2016 San Francisco
Promote adaptation to climate
Public Utilities Commissions $240m
change
Water green bond for water. It was certified
Facilitate increased climate Treatment under the Climate Bonds Standard.
resilience in the social, economic 14% Recent droughts have put water issues
and environmental systems that at the top of the agenda in California
Conservation &
underpin and are affected by and certified green water bonds are
Restoration 3%
water assets part of the financing solution.

10 Bonds and Climate Change, July 2016 www.climatebonds.net


ILDINGS
BU

Buildings 113 climate-aligned bonds


& Industry 66 issuers
$14bn outstanding Largest issuer: Unibail-Rodamco

The Buildings & Industry products tend to be made by diversified


Labelled green bonds
theme chiefly comprises manufacturers whose range of products
make them ineligible for inclusion. The few
($11bn outstanding)
bonds used to fund low- that are included are manufacturers of LED 79% of bonds in this theme are
carbon buildings (LCB). lighting such as Acuity Brands Lighting and labelled green bonds, the majority of
Everlight Electronics. which are financing LCB.
The Buildings & Industry theme captures Due to a tightening of our criteria this Vasakronan issued the first corporate
bonds financing improvements in energy year, the size of the theme has decreased bond linked solely to LCB in 2013.
efficiency in buildings or products. by around $8bn. The majority of this is They have continued to issue green
67% of bonds in this theme are linked due to LG Electronics dropping out; it bonds as others have joined the
to LCB, 79% of which are labelled green was included in previous reports for its market, including Unibail-Rodamco
bonds (see box). The largest issuer in this high percentage of products that met (and its subsidiary Rodamco Sverige)
theme was Unibail-Rodamco, Europes Energy Star ratings in comparison with its which is the largest issuer to date with
largest listed real-estate company (all peers. LG Electronics and others were not $1.8bn currently outstanding.
issuance was labelled green bonds). included in the universe as energy efficient Australias ANZ Bank was the first
The French property developer Socit products have become more standard in to issue a bond certified using the
Fonire Lyonnaise, which has 100% of its the consumer markets and best practice is Climate Bonds LCB Criteria in May
property portfolio BREEAM-certified, was no longer easy to identify. This could be a 2015. A number of others have
the second largest issuer. future area of work. followed including ABN AMRO
To identify unlabelled green bonds linked We also hope that future reports will (Netherlands), Axis Bank (India),
to green buildings, we used LEED & include bonds linked to industrial energy Westpac (Australia) and Obvion
BREEAM certification schemes as a key efficiency - this will be driven by the work (Netherlands).
criteria. We also included REITS (Real of the Climate Bonds Standard. It is not just corporates that are
Estate Investment Trusts) and companies issuing green bonds. US munis
with more than 95% of their revenue have more recently entered the
generating assets certified at BREEAM Good
Climate Bonds Standard
market with bonds to improve
or above or at LEED Gold or above. In our The Climate Bonds Criteria for LCB the energy efficiency of academic
analysis, nearly half of the outstanding LCB were released in 2015 and focus on institutions such as Massachusetts
bonds have tenors of 5 years or more. the energy efficiency upgrades of Institute of Technology and University
commercial and residential buildings, of Texas.
While the theme also includes
as well as efficieny upgrades.
manufacturers of products and technologies The $11bn of labelled green bonds
that improve energy efficiency (LED Assets are eligible if their energy represented in this theme does
lighting, insulation etc.), such bonds remain efficiency is in the top 15% of not capture multi-sector bonds with
difficult to capture in our methodology as comparable buildings in the same city, an energy efficiency component to
or if the investment would lead to very them. Over 94% of bonds in the
significant increases in energy efficiency. Multi-sector theme (see page 12)
70% of the theme is
To expand the roll-out of certified have an energy efficiency or LCB
represented by LCB bonds, we are working with partners component to them, although it is
to establish these 15% thresholds for hard to estimate what is actually
Energy Efficiency 5% each city. allocated on such projects. This
includes World Bank green bonds
However, determining the energy
where Buildings & Industry projects
efficiency of buildings remains
Mixed LED include an energy efficient light
challenging, due to data availability.
15% 10% bulb exchange scheme in Mexico
For this reason, the Criteria also allow
and energy efficiency programs in
for certification of buildings assets that
paper, cement and manufacturing
meet approved building codes. These
industries in China.
serve as proxies for this 15% threshold
and include BREEAM and LEED. We expect to see more bonds
issued to finance industrial efficiency
Industrial Energy Efficiency out soon
projects once Criteria on such projects
A Technical Working Group to develop become clearer. The Climate Bonds
Low Carbon Buildings Climate Bonds Criteria for industrial Initiatives Criteria development
70% energy efficiency will be launched in should help to clarify issues and
summer 2016. boost issuance.

11 Bonds and Climate Change, July 2016 www.climatebonds.net


LUTIO
POL

Waste & Pollution


D N
N
58 climate-aligned bonds

CO
A
WA S T E

NT
Control 27 issuers

ROL
$4.8bn outstanding Largest issuer: Covanta

The Waste & Pollution have varying reputations in different


Labelled green bonds
Control theme captures markets. In Europe, where projects tend
($0.5bn outstanding)
to be newer, they are seen as green
bonds linked to recycling, whereas in the US, projects are older There are two labelled green bonds in
resource recovery and and are often seen as dirty. This makes it this theme: French waste management
difficult to develop inclusion criteria for company Paprec issued a $500m
waste to energy (WTE). this report, as the age of the plant and green bond in 2015 to finance its
the technology used is key to determining recycling plants while US municipality
It is the smallest theme in this years Ramsey County issued a $17m bond
its environmental credentials; this
report. This is partly due to how we for WTE facilities.
information is often not available.
split the themes up, with, for example,
We have, however, included all WTE-
wastewater treatment going into the
linked bonds we found as our cut-off
water theme. It is also because large
date is 2005. It is likely that bonds being
More than a third of the use of
bond issuers linked to waste disposal proceeds in this theme are linked
issued after this date will be linked to
make use of a diverse range of waste
newer technologies. In our analysis, to WTE projects, while another
disposal methods (including landfill
nearly half of the outstanding WTE third are linked to recycling
without gas capture) which are excluded
bonds have tenors of 10 years or more.
in our criteria.
The other main use of proceeds is for
36% of the outstanding issuances are Recycled products
pure-play recycling companies dealing
linked to WTE projects. These projects 24%
with metal, paper or products. Issuers
Pollution Metal
include Canadian company Cascades
control recycling
Climate Bond Standard which manages recyclable material and
7% 18%
manufactures recycled packaging.
There are currently no clear inclusion areas
for waste and pollution assets in any other After a careful analysis of last years
Mixed
recognised green bond guidelines. This database, Klabin, the Brazilian paper
recycling
makes it more challenging for issuers manufacturer and recycling company
12%
and investors. However, development dropped out as it had less than 95% of its Waste to Energy
of Climate Bonds Standard Criteria for revenue climate-aligned. In the future, we 36%
waste management assets and projects will look for progress on the increase of its
is scheduled to begin in summer 2016. renewable energy assets, on the recycled
content percentage and on its disclosure. Other recycling 3%

TIS ECTO
UL R
M

Multi-sector 390 labelled climate-aligned bonds


$57bn outstanding 60 issuers
Largest issuer: EIB

This sector is comprised The multi-sector theme also includes defined as eligible projects while 60%
entirely of labelled bonds issued by corporations and of bonds have defined Agriculture
municipalities with mixed use of proceeds. & Forestry projects as eligible. The
green bonds with mixed This includes bonds issued by banks proportion actually allocated to smaller
use of proceeds. to finance a range of renewable energy themes such as Agriculture & Forestry
and energy efficiency projects as well as remains uncertain. For example, World
The theme includes all the multilateral bonds issued by cities and municipalities Bank green bonds have agriculture
development banks, such as the to finance transport and energy and forestry projects defined as
European Investment Bank (EIB), infrastructure. eligible but reporting shows relatively
World Bank and IFC, whose green bonds few agriculture and forestry projects
finance a range of projects across our Exact allocation of proceeds is hard
compared to others.
themes. The EIB is the largest issuer to estimate as data is not available.
in the theme and the largest issuer of However, over 90% (by number) of all Note: No bonds in this theme have been
labelled green bonds to date with over bonds issued have either renewable included in other themes; no double
$15bn currently outstanding. energy, energy efficiency or both counting has taken place.

12 Bonds and Climate Change, July 2016 www.climatebonds.net


E AND F
UR

Agriculture &
LT O
U

R
141 climate-aligned bonds

ES
IC

Forestry
AGR

T RY
17 issuers
$6.2bn outstanding Largest issuer: WestRock

Deforestation and Forest Bonds future Climate Bonds Standard


agriculture are one of the or fantasy?
The Land Use Technical Working
largest contributors to Forest bonds have long been discussed Group was convened by the Climate
greenhouse gas emissions. as a potential financing instrument but Bonds Initiative in 2014.
we have yet to see serious issuance.
Stopping deforestation must A core issue is that bonds are usually It brings together international
be a key part of a global issued to finance infrastructure that experts in the agriculture and forestry
space to develop robust criteria
emissions reduction plan. will generate revenue. However in the
forestry space, discussions relate to the for sustainably-managed forests,
use of bonds to avoid deforestation, agriculture and other lands.
This is currently a small theme, making up
where revenue streams are not obvious. Phase 1 of the Land Use Criteria
less than 1% of the total climate-aligned
universe but investment in sustainable The Commission on Climate and Tropical has been released for public
land use, forestry and agriculture is critical Forests estimates that $30bn p.a6. is consultation and is now in the final
to remaining within a 2-degree scenario. required to halve deforestation. The stages of review prior to submission to
challenge remains getting solid cash the Climate Bonds Standard Board for
It is unclear at the moment what role approval. These Criteria focus on the
flows in place to support a bond.
bonds will play in this sector - bonds are mitigation opportunities of land use
not commonly issued by companies within assets and projects.
the agriculture and forestry sector (out of Several new issuers were added to the
all companies in the agriculture, forestry theme this year, including American Phase 2 Criteria are currently under
and farming sectors fewer than 10% paper company WestRock for its fully FSC development. These will focus on
have issued bonds). Of the bonds in our certified paper products. WestRock was climate adaptation and resilience
dataset, the vast majority are from paper the largest issuer in the theme, followed impacts of those assets and projects.
and pulp companies with FSC-certified by the Swedish state-owned forestry
forests and chain of custody certification. company Sveaskog. 6. http://www.climateforestscommission.org/

Future Themes
We are constantly improving our For this report, we searched for bonds bonds were found when carrying out
discovery tools for this report. Through linked to marine technology such as tidal our research in the US municipal bond
the Climate Bonds Standard, we intend to and wave but were unable to discover market. The bonds had a total value
expand our Criteria to cover new sectors any. We expect that this will change as of $26m and were used to lay fibre
in the climate-economy. This will ensure technologies mature and our discovery optic cables and improve broadband
we keep up with latest developments tools are refined. connectivity. Due to lack of standards
in technology and the bond market. As they were not included in the main
such, there are a number of areas which Information, data but are a sign of a growing potential
we hope to be able to include in future Communications of development in this market and
reports. These include: & Technology the importance of developing standards
in this area.
POL
LUTI
ON Though ICT may
Marine
D
N not seem like a
CO

TRAN PORT
A

Industrial
S

green industry, it has the potential to


WA ST E

NT

The Marine Criteria


reduce our GHG emissions significantly. Energy
ROL

straddle several
sectors, including
Greater connectivity can negate the Efficiency
necessity for international travel. Also,
energy (e.g. tidal and Climate Bonds
improved technological processes can
wave), transport (marine shipping and Criteria are currently
facilitate greater efficiency through power
transportation) and fisheries (sustainable being developed for Industrial Energy
management and improved resource and
fisheries). It also covers marine infrastructure Efficiency and will attempt to build criteria
process efficiency.
such as coastal management against for industrial energy efficiency in highly
flooding and erosion. Criteria are likely to be Though no corporate bonds were found energy intensive industries, such as steel
developed and finalised by the end of 2016. in this sector, a small number of ICT manufacturing and building.

13 Bonds and Climate Change, July 2016 www.climatebonds.net


A Diverse Geographic Spread
Norway = $4.9bn

Iceland = $1bn Sweden = $6.1bn

UK = $61.8bn
Denmark = $1.4bn
Canada = $27bn
Ireland = $7.8bn Netherlands = $10.4bn
Germany = $14.3bn
France = $63.9bn Switzerland = $4.4bn
USA= $111.3bn Italy = $5bn
Portugal = $6.7bn
Spain = $1.3bn

Cayman Islands = $5.2bn


Mexico = $1.2bn

Africa & Middle East = $2.8bn

Brazil = $2.4bn

South Africa = $1.4bn

North America (excluding Mexico)= $138bn Latin America = $4.4bn


The USA is the second largest issuer country in our climate- Latin America (including Mexico) remains small in
aligned universe, making up 16% the total. Rail issuer overall numbers, making up less than 1% of the total.
Burlington North Santa Fe is the largest issuer from the USA, The majority of bonds fall into the transport and
making up 17% of USA issuance alone. While issuers in the energy themes with a small proportion of Agriculture
Energy theme tend to be much smaller, they are also more & Forestry bonds.
numerous with over 200 separate Energy issuers making
While the numbers are small, there is growing interest
up a total of $28bn. 40% of the entire Water theme is made
in climate finance solutions (including labelled green
up of US issuers, primarily muni bonds which have been
bonds) in Latin America. The Climate Bonds Initiative
labelled as green. USA-based issuers continue to drive the
is involved in setting up Working Groups in Mexico
green labelled bond market with the USA being the largest
and Brazil. A focus will be the agriculture and forestry
single issuing country to date.
sectors, where a large proportion of global emissions
Energy is the dominant theme for Canadian climate-aligned come from.
bonds, primarily due to Hydro-Qubec which is the largest
Labelled green bond issuance from Latin American issuers
issuer in the Energy theme. Ontario became the first
is small but growing. Recent bonds include a $500m bond
Canadian province to issue a labelled green bond in 2014.
from Costa Ricas Banco Nacional in April 2016. While
they have primarily been in the Energy theme, we expect
Note: Only countries with issuance of over $1bn outstanding are represented on the map.
The remaining countries are included within regional totals and amount to $6.1bn in total.
to see future developments in the Agriculture & Forestry as
Regional development banks are also included within regional totals where appropriate. definitions and criteria become clearer.

14 Bonds and Climate Change, July 2016 www.climatebonds.net


Top 10 countries for climate-aligned bonds

Rest of the World 11%


Germany 2%
Russia 2%
Russia=$15.5bn India 2%
South Korea 3% China
Canada 4% 36%

Supranationals
6%
UK
9%
South Korea = $19.6bn
Japan = $2.6bn France United States
China = $246bn
9% 16%
(Page 17)

India = $16.9bn
Hong Kong = $1.5bn

Thailand = $3.2bn
Eastern Europe = $15.7bn
Russia accounts for largest proportion of climate-aligned
bonds from Eastern Europe. The majority of these were linked
to the Russian Railways who met our criteria of less than 50%
of revenue coming from the transportation of fossil fuels.
Remaining Eastern European issuance is small and includes
only one unlabelled climate-aligned issuer from Hungarian
Enefi Energy. There have been two labelled green bonds out
of Eastern Europe thus far: Nelja Energia from Estonia (for
renewable energy) and Latvenergo out of Latvia.
Australia = $2.5bn

Asia Pacific (excluding China) = $48bn


Excluding China, the Asia region is dominated by India and
South Korea
South Korea has almost equal issuance in energy and
transport themes with two dominant issuers: Korea Railroad
and Korea Hydro & Nuclear. In the labelled green bonds
space, Hyundai issued Koreas first corporate green bond
Western Europe = $195bn linked to energy efficient and electric vehicles in 2016.
The UK and France are the largest issuing countries in Indias significant presence in the market is due to large
Western Europe given large rail financing projects issuers: Indian Railways and National Hydroelectric. Both are
currently in our unlabelled climate-aligned universe and until
The majority of UK issuance has come from Network Rail
2015, this was Indias only presence in our report. However,
for rail finance and refinancing. New rail projects in the UK
changes in Indian policy have led to issuances of labelled
include Cross Rail in London.
green bonds from Hero Wind Energy (2015), Axis Bank
Issuance from France is dominated by state rail entity SNCF (2016), Yes Bank (2016) and others. We expect to see many
which accounts for 67% of French climate-aligned bonds. more in the future.
French regions have also been pioneers in the muni and city
Australian issuance of unlabelled climate-aligned bonds
bond space, with the first ever green muni/city bonds issued
is small and dominated by rail operator Aurizon. However,
by French regions in 2012 and the latest from Paris in 2015.
Australia has proven to be an active region for labelled
While Transport is the largest theme in the region, Germany bonds certified by the Climate Bonds Initiative with bonds
bucks the trend in Europe with energy bonds accounting for from banks: ANZ Bank (2015), National Australia Bank
84% of all German climate-aligned bonds. German issuance (2014) and Westpac (2016).
makes up 10% of the Energy theme overall, due to large
We did not find any unlabelled climate-aligned issuance
issuers (such as KfW), linked to wind and solar.
from the Philippines, but note that the first labelled green
Western Europe is the largest region for labelled green bond from the Philippines was issued by AP Renewables in
bond issuance accounting for over 40%. 2016. It finances geothermal and hydro power projects.

15 Bonds and Climate Change, July 2016 www.climatebonds.net


Spotlight on: The US Municipal Bond Market
The US municipal (muni) New York, California and Massachusetts are the top 3
bond market is replete climate-aligned bonds issuers
with climate-aligned
WA
investment opportunities.
We identified $30bn MA
of climate-aligned US NY
CT
muni bonds, 68% of which
are unlabelled. CO IL IN
CA
The first labelled green bonds issued by VA
a municipality/city were issued by French AZ
regions le-de-France, Nord-Pas-de-Calais
and Provence-Alpes-Cte dAzur in 2012. GA
Since then, muni and city bonds from TX
around the world have joined the market
and total issuance makes up a significant
proportion of the labelled green bond market.
>$1bn
Non-US municipalities/cities/regions
$500m-$1bn
have issued over $6bn in labelled green
$100m - $500m
bonds since 2012, with multiple issuances
<$100m
from le-de-France, City of Gothenburg,
No data
Stockholm Lans Landsting and others.
The entry of the first US Municipal Bonds are primarily financing
bonds into the labelled market was a Labelled green bonds
transport and water projects
game-changer because of the scale of
2015 saw significant growth in the
this market and its potential for future
Buildings & Industry labelled green muni bond market,
issuance. Investors currently hold $3.7tn
4% with $4.7bn in issuance, up by 47%
of US municipal debt while issuance in Multi-sector
Waste & Pollution over 2014.
2015 was over $400bn7. 5%
2% Largest issuers in 2015: Washington
The search tools and reporting availability Energy state (>$1bn), Massachusetts
for the US muni market made it possible to 9% ($915m), New York ($479m).
carry out an in-depth analysis of thousands
of individual US muni bond prospectuses Water infrastructure accounted for 46%
from 2014-2016 to find bonds that meet Transport of issuance. Transport made up 25%.
our climate-aligned criteria. Water 57%
23% The first Climate Bonds certified
This enabled us to discover a further $20.6bn muni bond was issued in Feb 2016
of unlabelled climate-aligned bonds by the Metropolitan Transportation
which, with the $9.7bn labelled green Authority of New York.
bonds, brought our total climate-aligned
US muni bond universe to $30.3bn.
Use of proceeds An interesting feature of the American
municipal bond market is the high
Green City bonds Bonds were used to finance a diverse range of
number of retail investors; up to 50%
projects including; urban rail, renewable energy,
of US municipal bonds are bought
Green bonds can offer much needed energy efficiency projects, sewage treatment, by individuals. A key reason for the
access to capital for local governments recycling and flood defences. However, as in popularity of the muni bond market in the
and cities in emerging and developing the wider climate-aligned universe, transport US is that bonds are frequently structured
countries to finance climate-friendly dominates issuance with the majority of debt to give tax breaks to bond buyers. This
infrastructure. However, local being issued by transit authorities. enables bonds like CREBs and QECBs
governments, as well as local utilities to appeal to both retail investors and
and transport companies often lack The US muni bond market has had a long
history of issuing climate-aligned bonds. institutions that are looking for low-risk
the know-how or legislative power to and tax efficient investments, which in
access the bond market. For a decade, US municipalities have been
exchange gives municipalities access to
raising finance for energy conservation
The Climate Bonds Initiative has low-cost capital for clean energy projects.
and renewable energy through Qualified
partnered with others to provide Energy Conservation Bonds (QECBs) and 7. https://www.sec.gov/spotlight/municipal
guidelines on issuing muni bonds. Clean Renewable Energy Bonds (CREBs). securities.shtml

16 Bonds and Climate Change, July 2016 www.climatebonds.net


Spotlight on: China
The Chinese government This year marks the release of the ChinaBond China Green
is ready to expand Bond Index which is a list of climate-themed bonds in China.
private investments for The China Green Bond Index, put The primary reason that the China
its transition to a low together by CCDC and CECEP, amounts Green Bond Index includes bonds which
to approximately RMB2.3tn ($343bn). we excluded is due to differences in
carbon economy. We analysed this index against our inclusion criteria, specifically based on
China bond dataset and discovered that: Chinas context. For example, we require
An annual investment of at least RMB2-
at least 95% of the companies revenue
4tn ($320-640bn) will be required to Overlapped bonds make up 90% of
to be climate-aligned. The China Green
address climate change8 in China, of which outstanding Chinese bonds in our
Bond Indexs criteria also allow fossil-
85-90% is expected to come from the dataset and 65% of the China Green
fuel related investment such as clean
private sector9. The Chinese government Bond Index.
coal while we do not.
has announced it will issue RMB300bn
76% of overlapped bonds are in the
($46bn) of labelled green bonds in 201610.
3 bn
transport theme.
China is the largest country of issuance
34
= $ Our China to
in the climate-aligned universe where
unlabelled issuance is dominated by
China Railway Corporation (largest issuer t
ex

with $194bn). These figures highlight the

al=
n B on d I n d

importance of bonds within the transport


sector and demonstrate the continuing
importance that bonds will play in raising

$246bn
finance for low-carbon transportation.
Our collaboration with entities such as
Overlap =
the CCDC, CECEP, NAFMII and Shanghai
Stock Exchange has helped to identify
$220bn
more unlabelled domestic bonds (see
e

diagram to the right)11.


re

Labelled green bonds in China


a G

China is seen as a leader in driving


growth in the labelled green bond in
market. Shanghai Pudong Development Ch
Bank, Industrial Bank Co. and Bank of
Qingdao have issued labelled green bonds
totalling $7.5bn in 2016, making China the
largest country of issuance in 2016 so far. PBoC publishes Green financial China is the largest
official green bond system formally country of issuance
The total labelled issuance figure above guidelines endorsed in the in 2016ytd
is based on PBoCs recently developed 13th Five Year Plan
green bond guidelines. These aim to 2015 2016
encourage issuers to arrange external
July December January March April June
reviews on the green credentials of bonds
and to incentivise institutions and service
providers to develop issuing capabilities. Xinjiang Goldwind Joining the EY Chinese CCDC and CECEP launch
PBoC is also the regulator overseeing the Science and branch, SynTao Green the China Green Bond Index
interbank bond market, accounting for Technology issues Finance becomes the and the China Green Bond
93% of outstanding bonds in China. Chinas first 1st Chinese-registered Selected Index
corporate Green company to be approved
The implementation of third party Bond as a verifier against the Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock
certification against green bond standards international Climate Exchanges set up guidelines
is emerging. Approved verifiers under Bonds Standard for their corporate Green Bond
the international Climate Bonds Standard issuance pilot programmes
and Certification Scheme, such as
KPMG, EY, DNV GL, Bureau Veritas and 8. http://finance.china.com.cn/money/bank/ 11. National Association of Financial Market Institutional
Trucost, can provide certification services yhyw/20160317/3631992.shtml Investors (NAFMII): http://www.nafmii.org.cn/english/
in China against the Climate Bonds 9. Peoples Bank of China/United Nations Environment China Central Depository & Clearing Co (CCDC):
Programme. http://www.chinabond.cn/d2s/eindex.html
Standard, as well as checking adherence 10. China Daily: http://europe.chinadaily.com.cn/ China Energy Conservation and Environmental Protec-
to PBoCs Guidelines. business/2016-03/04/content_23746490.htm tion Group (CECEP): http://www.cecep.cn/g3603.aspx

17 Bonds and Climate Change, July 2016 www.climatebonds.net


A Solid Foundation for Growth
The continuing strength Combined with continuing growth in
Key Takeaways
of the labelled green bond corporate green bonds, we believe the
labelled green bond market can reach COP21 commitments mean
market illustrates the $300bn p.a. of issuance by 2018. that vast green infrastructure
extent of investor demand Some $2.5-3tn of capital is needed investments are needed.
each year in climate change related The capital needed is available and
for climate-related investments, with 60-70% of that going it needs infrastructure style yield.
investments. to emerging markets. An indicator of Institutional investors say they
adequate bond market engagement would want green; the green bond market
The case for investors is simple: green
be climate-related issuance of at least $1tn is evidence of that demand.
bonds have comparable yield and ratings
a year. Thats the objective for 2020. Governments now need to act to
to other available investments, with
the added benefit of proceeds going to To achieve this objective we need: bring green infrastructure projects
assets or projects material to addressing 1. To develop local green bond markets to market.
climate change. Simple, yet powerful, with
Insurance investors and pension funds
over-subscription being the norm in both have been the main drivers of the labelled expect this next in countries such as
developed and emerging markets. Thats green bonds market; playing an important Brazil, Mexico and South Korea.
because investors with tens of trillions of role as international investors, they will Convening national market development
dollars under management have indicated stimulate green bond issuances in different collaborations that include local
their anxiety about climate change risks. countries. But domestic capital will need to institutional investors. For example, the
The climate-aligned universe outlined in be mobilised as well. That will take: Mexican Stock Exchange is hosting a
this report shows just how many unlabelled Demonstration issuance of domestic Climate Bonds Working Group.
bonds are available to investors looking to green bonds by public sector entities Regulatory reform to encourage capital
shift capital to climate-aligned investments. and banks. The aim is to make domestic flows to climate-aligned investments.
It also demonstrates the opportunity for investor demand visible, while providing This will include: a) investibility reforms,
growth in the green bond market if future guidelines for issuance by others and like land use zoning that allows high-
issuance from these issuers is labelled. liquidity for a nascent market. We density developments over metro

In our 2015 State of the Market report, we proposed an agenda for policy makers. Were making progress:

1. Establish green project In the wake of COP21, various projects are now pushing pipeline development. For example,
pipeline a Green Infrastructure Investor Coalition, led by Climate Bonds, was launched this year. Its
aim is to bring together investors, governments, development banks and project developers to
promote capital flows to developed green project pipelines.

2. Strengthen local bond In the wake of publishing green bond regulations, China opened up access to its interbank bond
markets market for foreign investors in February 2016.

3. Strategic public issuance State-owned development banks in Mexico and Costa Rica issued their countrys first green
bonds. Separately, IFC issued the first green masala bond (Indian Rupee denominated in an
overseas market) in August 2015.

4. Develop green standards Official green bonds guidelines published by the Peoples Bank of China and the National
Development & Reform Commission (NDRC).
Green bonds requirements published by the Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI).

In May 2016 IFC was the sole investor of a private placement deal to finance YES Banks second
5. Strategic public
green bond issuance. In October 2015 the Central Bank of Bangladesh committed to investing a
investment
share of foreign exchange reserves in green bonds.

6. Credit enhancement In May 2016 Zhejiang Geely issued a green bond with an enhanced rating (A1/A/A), provided
by a standby letter of credit from the Bank of China London Branch.

7. Tax incentives In China, tax incentives for green labelled bonds were proposed by the PBoC in March 2015.
In Dec 2015, SEBI proposed tax incentives for bonds of INR 50bn for renewable energy
projects in India.

8. Instruments to aggregate In May 2015 the Inter-American Development Bank launched a project financing a
assets and structure risks demonstration green securitization deal, aggregating energy efficiency loans in Mexico.
The Climate Aggregation Platform, launched at COP21 by UNDP & Climate Bonds, to promote
the dissemination of best practice in green aggregation and securitisation.

18 Bonds and Climate Change, July 2016 www.climatebonds.net


stations in return for property value 3. An opportunity for governments to act
increases being used to pay for the There are trillions of dollars of investible
Can a brown company
metro line; b) capital market reforms like projects around the world that must be issue a green bond?
removing restrictions that limit green developed in order to reduce emissions Yes. This is why:
bond investments. Chinas opening up of quickly and help economies adapt to
the domestic bond market for overseas 1. Green bonds are about use of
climate change already underway. These proceeds. This is a pillar of the Green
investors earlier this year is an example are in areas like clean energy, low-carbon
of a policy change that will benefit green Bond Principles.
transport and climate-resilient water
bonds investment. infrastructure. 2. Urgency requires big players: We
2. Ambition adequate to the challenge dont have the time to leave all green
At the same time, we have a world awash investments to smaller, pureplay
While the scale of the challenge is large, the with capital, with much of it invested green companies, and wait for them to
investment opportunity is also immense. in historically low-yielding assets like slowly displace fossil fuels.
Governments at national and sub-national German government bonds - assets that
3. Fossil fuel companies offer scale:
levels need to turn their now ubiquitous will not fund pension and insurance fund
Their green units account for a small
climate change plans into green investment liabilities. These funds need investment
share of company balance sheets, but
plans that can be used to drive opportunities with some yield.
are large compared to other players.
For more on Green Infrastructre Investing see ww.giicoalition.org

financing strategies. Strong demand for green bonds E.g. if the solar division of Total SA
Some countries are acting shows there is clear investor was separate, it would be one of the
with ambition: India has set a appetite for green deal flow. worlds largest solar businesses.
target of 175 gigawatts of new For a hundred years, governments 4. Using brown balance sheets to
renewable energy capacity by have been using regulation, build green infrastructure is what we
202212, and has similarly massive plans for guarantees and long-term contracts need. If green bonds are backed by
rail development, water infrastructure and to design projects that attract the full balance sheets of a fossil fuel
smart cities. According to Yes Bank, $70bn institutional capital. company, investors dont need to take
of debt investment is needed to achieve the on renewable energy risk.
Action to bring green infrastructure
countrys clean energy goals alone. Chinas
projects to market will deliver deal flow for 5. Its already happening: Engie, a
ambition is even greater: the Central Bank
pension and insurance funds, and deliver it largely gas energy company, issued a
believes the country will need $300bn a
with the risk/yield profiles investors need. green bond. The balance sheet does
year for its green transition, with only 15%
available from public sources. Governments But we need urgent action. That means not impact the green credentials of the
in Germany, France and Mexico also have everything from creating clever public- bond provided strong management
ambition; others will follow this year. private partnerships to reforming practices are in place.
regulation to support green investing. 6. Banks and energy giants issue green
12. Bloomberg: http://www.bloomberg.com/news/ bonds despite fossil fuel filled balance
articles/2015-02-28/india-to-quadruple-renewable If we do that, we will see the needed $1tn
-capacity-to-175-gigawatts-by-2022 of green bonds issued annually. sheets. Oil companies issuing green
bonds is no different to issuance from
banks with fossil fuel exposure.
Is a price difference important? The implications of a greenium Where is the additionality?
Anecdotal evidence has emerged that, in A greenium implies lower returns To date, green bonds have been largely
some markets at least, green bonds are for investors, but cheaper funding for used for projects already planned or
receiving better pricing than plain vanilla issuers. A lower cost of capital would for refinancing completed projects.
bonds. Is this a sign that some investors be a game-changer for issuers, but for Do they really contribute to addressing
are willing to pay a greenium for green? investors means sacrificing returns. climate change?
A look at labelled green bonds in EUR This could result in a green bond To answer that an understanding of
and USD shows that quasi-government market limited to funds with a green the capital flow is needed: bonds are
green bonds are priced roughly in line with bond mandate. primarily refinancing instruments that
vanilla bonds. However, for certain EUR For the green bond market to reach the allow equity investors and banks to
denominated corporate green bonds, we scale required, its crucial green bonds are free up capital from existing assets and
see a premium in the secondary market, in mainstream portfolios. Our view is that recycle it into new projects. Or allow
and primary market spreads are tighter. pricing will (and should) remain tight, but corporates to develop assets internally
There would seem to be a lack of supply within limits acceptable to the majority of and, when the new asset is valued on
relative to demand. That suggests ongoing investors. Beyond this, green investments their balance sheet, issue new bonds
appetite for more labelled green bonds, should and will be preferenced using backed by that increased balance sheet.
and investors paying a small greenium. government policy tools. And then move on to the next crop
of projects. A large and liquid bond
market makes all that possible.
How governments can grow green bond markets & green finance

Fundamental Actions Proven Support Tools Innovative Additions


Establish green project pipeline Instruments to aggregate assets and Adjust risk weightings for green
structure risks investments
Strengthen local bond markets
Strategic public green Preference green
Strategic public green
bond investment investments in central

GO
bond issuance
bank operations
Credit enhancement
Develop green
standards Tax incentives

19 Bonds and Climate Change, July 2016 www.climatebonds.net


Bonds and Climate Change
We need a huge capital shift to
avoid catastrophic climate change
Required: $93tn global investment in
climate solutions by 203013
This will include substantial bond issuance
Investors can act now: in a $90tn bond market we
find $694bn of climate-aligned bonds outstanding
This is largely an investment grade universe

m a rket
b o nd
a l
l o b
The $118bn
t n g
labelled green
bond market 0
$9
Th
e

The $694bn
climate-aligned
bond universe
13. http://2014.newclimateeconomy.report/finance/
Design: Godfrey Design.

Published by the Climate Bonds Initiative Report prepared by the Climate Bonds Initiative. Written by Disclaimer: This report does not constitute investment
July 2016 in association with HSBC Climate Change Bridget Boulle, Camille Frandon-Martinez, Jimmy Pitt-Watson advice and the Climate Bonds Initiative is not an investment
Centre of Excellence. with help from the Climate Bonds team as well as Tess Ols- adviser. The Climate Bonds Initiative is not advising on the
en-Rong, Alan Meng and Candace Partridge. We would like merits or otherwise of any bond or investment. A decision
The Climate Bonds Initiative is an investor focused not-for- to thank MyLinh Ngo and Chris Kaminker for their input. to invest in anything is solely yours. The Climate Bonds
profit, working to mobilize debt capital markets for a rapid Initiative accepts no liability of any kind for investments
transition to a low-carbon and climate resilient economy. All source data from Bloomberg LLP. All figures are rounded. anyone makes, nor for investments made by third parties.

Prepared by Climate Bonds Initiative.


20 Bonds and Climate Change, July 2016
Commissioned by HSBC. www.climatebonds.net
www.climatebonds.net

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