National Accounts Blue Book 2016

NATIONAL ACCOUNTS STATISTICS
(Provisional Estimates of GDP, 2015-16 and

Final Estimates of GDP, 2014-15)
Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics

Statistics and Informatics Division
Ministry of Planning
NATIONAL ACCOUNTS STATISTICS
(Provisional Estimates of GDP, 2015-16 and Final Estimates of GDP, 2014-15)
May 2016
Published date: May 2016

This Publication Approved by Statistics and Informatics Division
National Accounting Wing

Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics
Statistics and Informatics Division, Ministry of Planning
Parishankhyan Bhaban
E-27/A, Agargaon, Dhaka
www.bbs.gov.bd
Government of the Peoples Republic K M Mozammel Hoq
of Bangladesh Secretary
Statistics and Informatics Division (SID)
Foreword
National Accounts Statistics is an important annual publication of Bangladesh Bureau

of Statistics (BBS). It plays a very significant role in the evaluation and monitoring process of
overall performance of the macroeconomic scenario of the country. BBS publishes the
National Accounts Statistics regularly considering it to be a useful document for policymakers
and researchers/practitioners.
This publication intends to provide an insight on sector-wise economic performance

of the country through measuring selected core macro-economic indicators such as Gross
Domestic Product (GDP), Gross National Income (GNI), Gross Disposable Income (GDI),
Savings, Investment and Consumption. This publication focuses on the provisional estimates
of GDP and other national accounts aggregates for FY2016. It also provides the final
estimates of GDP for FY2015.
I am delighted to know that BBS is going to publish the 19th issue of the series. I
firmly believe that the policy planners, academics, researchers, students and other
stakeholders will find the publication as a useful source of information on wide ranges of
macro-economic indicators of the country.
I would like to convey my sincere thanks to Mr. Mohammad Abdul Wazed, Director
General, BBS and his colleagues for their untiring efforts in bringing out this publication.
K M Mozammel Hoq
Secretary
May 2016
Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics Mohammad Abdul Wazed
Statistics and Informatics Division Director General
Preface
National Accounts Statistics is a regular annual publication of Bangladesh Bureau of

Statistics (BBS) since 1997. This is the 19th issue of the series. This publication reflects the
macro-economic situation and states sector-wise economic performance of Bangladesh. It
also acts as an instrument to monitor and evaluate macroeconomic stability of the country.
This publication inter alia states the provisional estimates of Gross Domestic Product (GDP)
and other national accounts aggregates for FY2016. The final estimates of GDP and other
related national accounts aggregates for FY 2015 have also been presented in this publication.
I express my sincere respect and gratitude to K M Mozammel Hoq, Secretary,
Statistics and Informatics Division (SID) for his continuous support and guidance towards
improvement of the publication. It is recognized that the relentless efforts of the officers of
National Accounting Wing have made possible this document. I would, therefore like to
place on record my heartfelt thanks to Mr. Abul Kalam Azad, Director, National Accounting
Wing and his colleagues for their sincere endeavors.
I strongly believe that this publication will be useful to the planners, policy makers
and researchers who have reason to be concerned with the overall macro-economic situation
of Bangladesh.
Any comments and suggestions from the stakeholders for further improvement of this
publication will be much appreciated.
Mohammad Abdul Wazed

(Additional Secretary)
May 2016 Director General
Key Indicators of National Accounts
Indicator 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16(p)
1. GDP at current market prices (billion Tk.) 11,989 13,437 15,158 17,296
2. GDP at constant market prices (billion Tk.) 7,299 7,741 8,249 8,831
3. GNI at current market prices (billion Tk.) 12,954 14,332 16,142 18,315
4. GNI at constant market prices (billion Tk.) 7,886 8,257 8,784 9,351
5. Per capita GDP at current market prices (Tk.) 78,009 86,266 96,004 108,172
6. Per capita GNI at current market prices (Tk.) 84,283 92,015 102,236 114,547
7. Per capita GDP at current market prices ( in US$) 976 1,110 1,236 1,384
8. Per capita GNI at current market prices ( in US$) 1,054 1,184 1,316 1,466
9. Per capita GDP at constant market prices (Tk.) 47,491 49,701 52,243 55,229
10. Per capita GNI at constant market prices (Tk.) 51,311 53,013 55,634 58,484
11. Growth rate of GDP at constant prices (%) 6.01 6.06 6.55 7.05
12. Sectoral growth rate of GDP at constant prices (%)
Agriculture 2.46 4.37 3.33 2.60
Industry 9.64 8.16 9.67 10.10
Services 5.51 5.62 5.80 6.70
13. Sectoral shares of GDP at constant prices (%)
Agriculture 16.78 16.50 16.00 15.33
Industry 29.00 29.55 30.42 31.28
Services 54.22 53.95 53.58 53.39
14. Consumption at current prices (billion Tk.) 9,347 10469 11799 13163
Private consumption (billion Tk.) 8,734 9751 10980 12144
Public consumption (billion Tk.) 613 717 819 1019
15. Investment at current prices (billion Tk.) 3,404 3840 4379 5081
Private investment (billion Tk.) 2,607 2960 3345 3768
Public investment (billion Tk.) 796 880 1034 1314
16. Domestic savings at current prices (billion Tk.) 2,642 2968 3359 4132
17. National savings at current prices (billion Tk.) 3,660 3927 4399 5242
18. Consumption as % of GDP 77.96 77.91 77.84 76.11
Private consumption 72.85 72.57 72.44 70.21
Public consumption 5.12 5.34 5.40 5.89
19. Investment as % of GDP 28.39 28.58 28.89 29.38
Private investment 21.75 22.03 22.07 21.78
Public investment 6.64 6.55 6.82 7.60
20. Domestic savings as % of GDP 22.04 22.09 22.16 23.89
21. National savings as % of GDP 30.53 29.23 29.02 30.31
22. Revenue receipt as % of GDP 11.65 11.66 10.78 12.05
Tax 9.36 9.69 9.28 10.54
Non-Tax 2.29 1.97 1.50 1.51
23. Total Government expenditure as % of GDP 15.79 16.09 15.81 17.06
Note: p denotes provisional estimates. Constant price base year: 2005-06 Contd.
i
Key Indicators of National Accounts
Indicator 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16(p)
24. General economic level and performance
GDP per capita (US $) 976 1,110 1,236 1,384
GDP rate of growth (%) 6.01 6.06 6.55 7.05
25. Investment
Gross fixed capital formation / GDP 28.39 28.58 28.89 29.38
26. Savings
Savings / GDP 30.53 29.23 29.02 30.31
Savings / Gross fixed capital formation 107.53 102.27 100.46 103.17
27. Performance of government
Government budget deficit / GDP 3.70 3.99 4.66 4.67
Taxes / GDP 9.36 9.69 9.28 10.54
28. Foreign trade performance
Imports / GDP, import rate of growth 26.76 25.52 24.75 21.23
Exports / GDP, export rate of growth 19.54 18.99 17.34 16.27
(Exports + imports) / GDP 46.30 44.51 42.09 37.51
(Exports less imports) / GDP -7.22 -6.53 -7.41 -4.96
29. Balance of payments
Current external account balance / GDP 1.27 0.60 -0.55 1.46
(Exports less imports) / GDP -7.22 -6.53 -7.41 -4.96
30. Foreign exchange reserve (million US$) 15,315 21,508 25,025 27,139/a
31. Prices
Producer Price Index (PPI) (base : 1988-89) 328.06 341.79 343.52 353.33 /b
Consumer Price Index (CPI) (base : 2005-06) 181.73 195.08 207.58 223.35/c
Interest rate 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00
Foreign exchange rates (Taka per US$) 79.93 77.72 77.67 78.15/d
/a
Note: January 2016, /b Third quarter (January-March, 2015-16 average, /c March 2016, /d Seven month (July-January,2015-16) average.
p denotes provisional estimates
ii
C ontents
Page
Key Indicators of National Accounts i
1. Provisional Estimates of GDP for FY2016 and Final Estimates of GDP 1

for FY2015
Provisional Estimates of GDP for FY2016 1
Final Estimates of GDP for FY2015 17
2. Provisional and Final Estimates of GDP by Expenditure Category 21
3. Inflation and Growth Rate 37
Inflation 37
GDP Annex Tables 41
4. Explanatory Notes 77
Concepts and data sources used in compiling GDP estimates 77
Statistical Annex Tables 81
Related Publications on National Accounts Statistics 89

1 Provisional Estimates of GDP for FY2016 and Final
Estimates of GDP for FY2015
Provisional Estimates of GDP in FY2015
Provisional estimates of GDP for FY2016 indicate an expansion of the economy, with a
growth of 7.05% in real term as compared to 6.55% (final estimate) in FY 2015.As
compared to FY2015, the higher GDP growth in FY2016 is mainly due to increase of growth
in respect of (i) Manufacturing, (ii) Electricity, Gas and Water Supply, (iii) Construction, (iv)
Wholesale and retail trade (iv) Public Administration and Defence (vi) Education and (vii)
Health and social works. Crops and horticulture, a sub-sector of the agriculture sector is
estimated to post a downward growth of 0.50% in FY2016 compared to 1.83% in FY2015.
However, the growth of large & medium scale manufacturing sector increased to 11.01% in
FY2016 as against 10.70% in the previous year.
The GDP growth rates at current and constant prices during the year from FY2006 to FY2016
are shown in the following graph.
The value of GDP at current market prices is provisionally estimated at Tk. 17,296 billion
which is about 14.10% higher than that of FY2015. GDP at constant market prices is
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provisionally estimated at Tk. 8,831 billion which is 7.05% higher than that of FY2015 as
shown in Table 5 and Table 6 (page-13).
Per Capita Income
At current prices the per capita GDP and GNI for FY2016 are estimated at Tk. 108,172 (US$
1384) and Tk. 114,547 (US$ 1466) respectively. At constant prices (at 2005-06 prices) the
per capita GDP and GNI for FY2016 are estimated at TK. 55,229 and Tk. 58,484
respectively. The provisional estimates are based on the five to seven months actual data
available for the real sectors, government budget and the projected or trend data of the
remaining sectors and sub-sectors.
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Sectoral performances of the economy for FY2015:
Agriculture Sector
The agriculture sector, which contributes about 15.33% of the total GDP, includes three sub-
sectors namely (i) Crops and horticulture (ii) Animal farming and (iii) Forest and related
services. The overall growth rate of the broad agriculture sector for FY2016 is provisionally
estimated at 2.60% in real terms over FY2015.
Crop agriculture
Crops and horticulture sub-sector: According to the provisional estimate, the crops and
horticulture sub-sector of the agriculture sector is likely to increase by 0.50% in real terms in
FY2016 over FY2015. This growth is due to increase in Jute and some minor crops
production. The production of Jute has increased from 75.01 lac bale in FY2015 to 75.58 lac
bale in FY2016.
Table 1. Production of major crops
(Lac Metric Ton)
Major Crops 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16(p)
Aus 21.33 23.32 21.58 23.26 23.28 22.89
Aman 127.91 127.98 128.97 130.23 131.90 131.90
Boro 186.17 187.59 187.78 190.07 191.92 191.92
Wheat 9.72 9.95 12.55 13.03 13.48 13.48
Total cereals 345.13 348.85 350.88 356.59 360.58 360.19
Maize 10.18 12.98 15.48 21.24 23.50 23.50
Potato 83.26 82.05 86.03 89.50 92.54 92.54
Jute (Lac bale) 83.96 80.03 76.11 74.36 75.01 75.58

Note: p denotes provisional, * denotes actual
Production of Aus rice is 22.89 lac metric tons in FY2016 against 23.28 lac metric
tons in the previous year, i.e. -1.68% lower.
Aman rice production is 131.90 lac metric tons in FY2015 against 130.23 lac metric
tons in FY2014. Production of FY2016 is yet to be finalised.
Since Boro rice production is yet to be finalized, the previous years production has
been taken as estimated production for FY2016.
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It assumes that the previous years production of Wheat will be retained (13.48 lac
metric ton) in FY2016.
Production of Maize has been increased significantly over the recent past and BBS is
actively considering to adopt the same procedure for estimating its production like
other major crops. In FY2016, the production Maize has been forecasted to 23.50 lac
metric tons.
Production of Potato has been forecasted at 92.54 lac metric tons in FY2015 as
compared to 89.50 lac metric tons in FY2014.
Production of Jute has increased from 75.58 lac bales in FY2016 to 75.01 lac bales in
FY2015, i.e. 0.76% higher.
Minor crops contributed about 30% to the total output of the crop sub-sector which
includes pulses, spices, sugarcane, fruits, vegetables, tobacco etc. Most of the minor
crops production is yet to be finalized and hence the previous years production has
been taken as estimated production for FY2016. It may cause some changes in the
production of minor crops if the final estimation is used. It needs to mention here that
during the estimation of provisional GDP, a number of both major and minor crops
have not been harvested. Therefore, final estimate was not done. Over-all, the growth
of agriculture and forestry sector is likely to increase by 1.53% in FY2016 as against
2.45% growth in the previous year.
4
Non-crop agriculture
Animal farming and forestry: The growth rate in the animal farming sub-sector is likely to
be 3.21% in FY2016 compared to 3.08% in FY2015. Gross value added in the forestry and
related services sub-sector is expected to grow by 5.13% during FY2016, compared to 5.08%
in FY2015.
Fishing: Total production of inland and marine catches as estimated by the Directorate of
Fisheries (DOF) is in FY2016 higher than that of the previous year. The fishing sector is
likely to grow by 6.19% in FY2016 compared to 6.38% in FY2015.
Table 2. Fish production (adjusted)

(Thousand Metric Ton)
Year Inland Fish Marine Fish Total Production
2003-04 1,788 388 2,176
2004-05 1,877 407 2,284
2005-06 1,969 427 2,396
2006-07 2,048 446 2,494
2007-08 2,133 464 2,597
2008-09 2,218 482 2,700
2009-10 2,311 503 2,814
2010-11 2,429 566 2,995
2011-12 2,559 597 3,156
2012-13 2,723 633 3,356
2013-14 2,895 648 3,543
2014-15 3,018 684 3,702
2015-16(p) 3,143 722 3,865
Note: p denotes projected estimates
5
Industry Sector
The broad industry sector comprises (i) mining and quarrying (ii) manufacturing (iii)
electricity, gas and water supply and (iv) construction activities. The industry sector
accounts for 31.28% of GDP at constant prices for FY2016. The growth rate of the
broad industry sector is provisionally estimated at 10.10% for FY2016 compared to
9.67% for FY2015. The expected sectoral performances are likely to be as follows:
Mining and quarrying: Data of major components of this sector, i.e. gas, coal and
hard rock are obtained from Petrobangla. Estimation of this sector has been made on
the basis of seven months (July-January, FY2016) data. Mining and quarrying is likely
to sustain its growth at 12.06% in FY2016 which is higher than (9.60%) FY2015.
Production of coal at Barapukuria is included in the Other Mining sub-sector. The
growth rate of the Other Mining sub-sector is 11.41% in FY2016 as compared to
10.90% in the previous year.
Manufacturing: This sector comprises two sub-sectors:

i) Large and medium scale industries and
ii) Small scale industries
Provisional estimate of Quantum Index of Industrial Production (QIIP) used in computing

value added of large and medium scale industries. Growth rate of value added for large &
medium scale industries is 11.01% in FY2016 as compared to 10.70% in FY2015.
Production of both large and medium scale manufacturing industries, particularly in the case
of Food, Textile, Garments and Knitwear, Fertilizer, Cement, Pharmaceuticals and Edible oil
shows higher growth in the first six months of FY2016. However, Beverage, Tobacco and
Leather and Leather products showed negative growth in the first six months of FY2016 as
compared to the corresponding period in the previous year.
As regards small scale industries, the output of cottage and handloom industries is estimated
using inter-survey growth rates obtained from the past surveys. For estimating output of other
small scale industries Quantum Index of Industrial Production for Small Scale Industries is
used. This sub-sector contributes about 27% of the total output of the manufacturing sector.
The production of this sub-sector mostly depends on indigenous raw materials and is
6
generally immune to external shocks. Small scale manufacturing industries like Grain
milling, Food products, Printing and publishing, Garments products etc. show higher growth
in the first six months of current fiscal year. On the other hand production indices of
miscellaneous plastic products, Iron and Steel etc. shows a downward trend in the same
period. Growth rate of small scale industries as a whole stands at 7.02% in FY2016 as against
8.54% in FY2015.
Table.3. Quantum Index of Major Industries (Large and Medium Scale Industries)
(Base: 2005-06)
July-December
Code Name of Industry 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 Growth
2014-15 2015-16
rate
3 GENERAL INDEX(MFG.) 195.19 213.22 236.11 227.92 254.18 11.52
10 Food products 219.1 241.52 333.07 324.61 386.89 19.19
11 Beverages 189.81 243.19 230.06 258.65 250.34 -3.21
12 Tobacco products 144.66 149.65 147.37 144.41 133.65 -7.45
13 Textile 142.41 139.68 122.81 120.42 129.02 7.14
14 Wearing apparel 265.83 293.7 304.76 288.38 316.72 9.83
15 Leather and related products 139.76 147.83 140.48 150.88 114.19 -24.32
16 Wood and products of wood and
238.81 243.39 269.88 259.31 296.13
cork 14.20
17 Paper and paper products 160.43 151.95 174.68 172.75 180.11 4.26
18 Printing and reproduction of
124.36 127.73 140.91 137.21 146.41
recorded media 6.71
19 Coke and refined petroleum
101.54 92.76 96.79 99.27 84.31
products -15.07
20 Chemicals and chemical
84.62 80.41 77.49 79.50 88.49
products 11.31
21 Pharmaceuticals and medicinal
178.79 230.6 290.98 295.66 311.09
chemical 5.22
22 Rubber and plastic products 244.87 263.84 292.69 291.89 320.74 9.88
23 Other non-metallic mineral
139.51 144.18 182.78 166.27 231.41
products 39.18
24 Basic metals 136.41 150.2 187.13 156.22 182.09 16.56
25 Fabricated metal products except
149.03 164.33 182.30 179.78 191.86
machinery 6.72
26 Computer, electronic and optical
99 105.46 148.37 124.81 174.97
products 40.19
27 Electrical equipment 128.53 132.06 164.56 143.66 195.60 36.15
28 Machinery and equipment n.e.c 155.86 172.68 204.89 192.02 247.12 28.69
29 Motor vehicles, trailers and semi
186.62 205.84 178.83 160.10 327.49
trailers 104.55
30 Other transport equipment 138.21 152.88 340.12 397.02 608.06 53.16
31 Furniture 109.14 101.12 116.35 111.91 129.69 15.89
If other industries could retain at least the same rate of growth as achieved in the
corresponding period of previous fiscal year, the overall manufacturing sector may achieve a
growth rate of 10.30% in FY2016 as compared to 10.31% in FY2015.
7
Electricity and Gas: The data available up to January 2016 have been used for projecting
the growth rate of this sector. Long term trend of the annual production of electricity and gas
is shown in the following table:
Table 4. Production of Gas and Electricity
Year Gas Electricity
(106 Cu. meter) (106 KWh)
2004-05 13,783 21,408
2005-06 14,921 22,977
2006-07 15,920 23,268
2007-08 17,014 24,953
2008-09 18,511 26,533
2009-10 19,919 29,246
2010-11 20,075 31,355
2011-12 21,056 35,117
2012-13 22,670 38,229
2013-14 23,232 38,040
2014-15 25,263 40,358
2014-15 14,318 (July- January) 22,895 (July-January)
2015-16 16,097 (July- January) 25,610 (July-January)
In FY2014 and FY2015 electricity production was 38040 and 40,358 million KWh
respectively as reported by Power Development Board (PDB). Electricity production for
the first seven months (July 2015-January 2016) of FY2016 was 25,610 million KWh,
which was 2,715 million KWh higher than that of the same period of the previous year. It
is expected that the generation of electricity will maintain the same growth in the full year
of FY2015.
Gas output is showing a upward trend and natural gas alone accounted for about 37% of
total value added of mining sector.
In FY2014 and FY2015 gas production was 23.23 and 25.26 billion cubic meters
respectively. Gas production for the first seven months (July 2015-January 2016) of
FY2016 was 16.10 billion cubic meters, which was 12.42% higher than that of the same
period of last year.
As a result, the growth rate of the electricity, gas and water supply sector is expected to be
11.15% in FY2016 as compared to 6.22% in FY2015.
Construction: The major components of construction activities are pucca, semi-pucca,

kutcha house construction and other structures. The value of output of pucca and semi-pucca
8
dwelling and non-dwellings construction is estimated using commodity flow approach. This
approach envisages estimation of production of commodities used in construction after
adjusting them for inputs in other industries, changes in stocks; imports and exports so as to
obtain the net availability of commodities for construction purposes. The expenditure on
kutcha house construction is estimated in an indirect way, based on the estimated increase in
the stock of such houses and the cost of construction of an average quality house. Cement,
iron and steel, bricks, timber & round wood and fixtures & fittings are the major inputs of the
construction sector. The domestic production of cement in the first six months of FY2015 is
higher than that of the same period of previous year. Data available from Bangladesh Bank
shows that the import of iron and steel during July-February 2015 is higher than that of the
same period of the previous year. The production of bricks in the first six months of FY2015
is slightly increased over the same period of previous year. Public sector construction is
likely to be higher due to increased Annual Development Programme for FY2015. Overall
the construction sector is likely to achieve higher growth rate due to increase of construction
activity. The construction sector is, therefore, projected to grow by 8.87% in FY2016 against
8.60% in FY2015.
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Service Sector
Service sector or tertiary sector includes all service activities. Total output of the service
sector consists of the collective outputs of the wholesale and retail trade, transport, storage
and communication, financial intermediations, real estate, renting and business activities,
public administration and defence, education, health and social work and community, social
and personal services activities. The sectoral share of the services sector is 53.39% of the
total GDP at constant prices. Growth scenarios of the services sector for FY2016 are briefly
as follows:
Wholesale and retail trade; repair of motor vehicles, motorcycles and personal and
household goods: Commodity flow method is applied to estimate output of this sector which
depends on agriculture and manufacturing sectors. The output of this sector is likely to
register a growth rate of 6.61% in FY2016 compared to 6.35% in previous year. It is due to
increase in manufacturing production and imported commodities in FY2016. Table 5 and
table 6 present the value added estimates and the growth rates of wholesale and retail trade
sector during FY2013 to FY2016 at current and constant prices respectively.
Hotel and Restaurant: Growth rates obtained from Hotel and restaurant survey 2009-10 are
used for estimating output of Hotel and Restaurants sector adjusted by coefficients from
survey of selected economic indicators. Consumer Price Index (CPI) is used for constant
price estimates. The sector is expected to achieve a growth rate of 7.00% in FY2016 which is
higher than previous year (6.83%).
Transport, Storage and Communication Sector: Major sources of information of this

sector are Bangladesh Road Transport Authority (BRTA), Bangladesh Railway (BR),
Bangladesh Shipping Corporation (BSC), Chittagong Port Authority, Bangladesh Inland
Water Transport Corporation (BIWTC), Bangladesh Post Office etc. The combined effect of
information from this sector show that the transport, storage and communication sector is
expected to achieve a growth rate of 6.51% in FY2016 which is higher than previous year
(5.96%). Post and Tele communication services increased with a growth of 7.90% in
FY2016. Communication services, particularly the Mobile Phone Services (MPS) market
continued to drive the telecommunication industries because of strong consumer demand
which led to the high growth of Post and Telecommunication sub-sector. Hence the share of
this sector in GDP is estimated 11.37% at constant prices.
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Financial Intermediations: The financial institutions including central bank, schedule
banks, leasing companies, insurance companies, microfinance institutions, stock markets etc.
belong to this sector. The sources of data are Bangladesh Bank, Insurance Development and
Regularity Authority (IDRA), Bangladesh Insurance Association, Bangladesh Central
Depository Ltd and annual report of other financial institutions. Net interest income is the key
indicator used to estimate the value added of banking sector, where premium received less
claim paid is used to estimate the value added of insurance sector. Other financial auxiliary
includes money changers, insurance agents and stock markets. The sector experienced an
increase of 7.78% in FY2015, where the decrease is estimated to 6.64% in FY2016.
Real Estate, Renting and Business Activities Sector: Inter-censal compound growth rate is
used for estimating dwelling houses. Annual average house rent and maintenance cost is used
for estimating output and intermediate consumption respecting at constant price.
Extrapolation and set movers obtained from the Population and Housing Census, 2011, have
been used for estimating the value added in this sector for FY2016. The growth rate in this
sector is provisionally estimated at 4.51% in FY2016.
Public Administration & Defence sector: This sector covers services rendered by the
administrative departments of the central and the local governments, government non-profit
institutions (NPIs) and defense sector as well. The sources of data are the budget documents
of the central government (revenue and development budgets) and local governments. At
constant prices Public Administration and Defense sector is likely to grow by 15.68 percent
in FY2016 compared to the previous year. This is due to increase in new pay scale, pensions
and gratuities etc. of the government.
Education sector: Gross value added (GVA) of this sector is compiled mainly from public
and private educational institutions. Public part is estimated from Government budget
document. Private part is estimated from the growth rate of Private education survey 2006-
07. Sectoral growth rate for education is expected to be 13.78% in FY2016 compared 8.01%
in FY2015.
Health and social works: Health sector is divided into public and private sub sector.
Current price GVA of Public sector is estimated on income method by using the data from
government expenditure data collected from office of the Comptroller General of Accounts
(CGA). Current price is then deflated to constant price by using CPI national. Growth rate of
Survey on private health establishment survey, 2007 is used to estimate constant price GVA
of private sector and it is being inflated by the said deflator to come up with current price
11
estimate. It is estimated that the sector would record as higher growth of 8.45% in FY2016 as
compared to 5.18% in FY2015.
Community, Social and Personal Services: This sector is projected to grow by 3.30% in
FY2016 over FY2015. This sector is estimated from the growth rate of Labour force survey
2010 and Professional and miscellaneous survey 1992-93.
Sectoral Shares in GDP

At current prices the share of the Agriculture sector (which includes crop and non-crop
agriculture, animal farming and poultry, forestry and fishing) in total GDP is 14.75% in
FY2016 as against 15.51% for FY2015. At current prices, the share of Industry sector in total
GDP is 28.56% for FY2016 as against 28.15% for FY2015. The share of the service sector
(wholesale and retail trade; hotel and restaurants; transport, storage and communication;
financial intermediations; real estate, renting and business activity; public administration and
defence; education; health and social work; community, social and personal services) in total
GDP is 56.69% for FY2016 which was 56.35% for FY2015. The data on sectoral shares
show that the share of agriculture sector in GDP is gradually decreasing while that of service
sector is increasing.
These changes indicate that while physical output (particularly for crops and horticulture) of
Agriculture sector has increased on a sustained basis, its relative contribution has been
declining while service sector contribution has been steadily increasing over the period.
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Table 5. Gross Domestic Product by Industrial Sector at Current Prices, 2012-13 to
2015-16(p)
(Million Tk.)
2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16(p)
Sectoral Sectoral Sectoral Sectoral
Value Value Value Value
Industry Sector Growth Growth Growth Growth
Added Added Added Added
Rate Rate Rate Rate
I. Agriculture 1,857,524 8.81 2,062,758 11.05 2,240,810 8.63 2,424,182 8.18
1. Agriculture and Forestry 1,487,578 7.11 1,639,682 10.22 1,764,997 7.64 1,892,720 7.24
i) Crops and Horticulture 1,067,941 5.84 1,179,029 10.40 1,261,209 6.97 1,335,345 5.88
ii) Animal Farming 253,588 10.26 276,668 9.10 298,845 8.02 329,101 10.12
iii) Forest and related

services 166,050 10.84 183,985 10.80 204,942 11.39 228,275 11.39
2. Fishing 369,946 16.24 423,076 14.36 475,813 12.47 531,462 11.70
II. Industry 3,154,016 18.10 3,535,349 12.09 4,067,108 15.04 4,693,740 15.41
3. Mining and Quarrying 194,611 16.88 210,799 8.32 238,757 13.26 288,797 20.96
4. Manufacturing 1,971,272 17.39 2,232,207 13.24 2,544,831 14.01 2,922,821 14.85
i) Large and medium scale 1,584,482 17.90 1,803,818 13.84 2,059,920 14.20 2,383,955 15.73
ii) Small scale 386,790 15.36 428,389 10.75 484,911 13.19 538,867 11.13
5. Electricity, Gas, Water

supply 163,812 15.45 184,006 12.33 198,682 7.98 224,585 13.04
6. Construction 824,321 20.68 908,336 10.19 1,084,839 19.43 1,257,537 15.92
III. Services 6,401,073 14.13 7,206,899 12.59 8,141,955 12.97 9,316,204 14.42
7. Wholesale and retail trade;

repair of motor vehicles,
motorcycles and personal
and household goods 1,545,794 12.51 1,725,752 11.64 1,925,854 11.60 2,144,067 11.33
8. Hotels and Restaurants 112,634 15.46 130,353 15.73 149,279 14.52 170,611 14.29
9. Transport, Storage and
Communication 1,242,805 10.27 1,343,166 8.08 1,500,253 11.70 1,693,965 12.91
10. Financial Intermediations 422,365 16.30 485,632 14.98 557,610 14.82 628,804 12.77
11. Real Estate, Renting and

Business Activity 788,200 14.71 912,291 15.74 1,060,609 16.26 1,233,924 16.34
12. Public Adm. and Defence 376,782 12.48 447,278 18.71 506,741 13.29 701,031 38.34
13. Education 284,293 13.50 327,673 15.26 376,240 14.82 451,324 19.96
14. Health and social work 238,683 18.55 269,238 12.80 301,352 11.93 347,132 15.19
15. Community, social and

personal services 1,389,516 18.47 1,565,516 12.67 1,764,017 12.68 1,945,345 10.28
GVA at current basic prices 11,412,612 14.28 12,805,005 12.20 14,449,873 12.85 16,434,126 13.73
Tax less subsidy 576,620 1.93 631,739 9.56 708,149 12.10 861,540 21.66
GDP at current market prices 11,989,232 13.62 13,436,744 12.07 15,158,022 12.81 17,295,665 14.10
GNI at current market prices 12,953,523 13.18 14,332,238 10.64 16,142,043 12.63 18,314,994 13.46
Note: p denotes provisional estimates
13
Table 6. Gross Domestic Product by Industrial Sector at Constant Prices,
2012-13 to 2015-16(p) (base: 2005-06)
(Million Tk.)
2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16(p)
Industry Sector Value Sectoral Value Sectoral Value Sectoral Value Sectoral
Added Growth Added Growth Added Growth Added Growth
Rate Rate Rate Rate
I. Agriculture 1,174,360 2.46 1,225,702 4.37 1,266,498 3.33 1,299,436 2.60
1. Agriculture and Forestry 916,565 1.47 951,513 3.81 974,802 2.45 989,677 1.53
i) Crops and Horticulture 664,270 0.59 689,378 3.78 701,996 1.83 705,512 0.50
ii) Animal Farming 128,927 2.74 132,581 2.83 136,666 3.08 141,048 3.21
iii) Forest and related services 123,367 5.04 129,553 5.01 136,139 5.08 143,117 5.13
2. Fishing 257,795 6.18 274,189 6.36 291,695 6.38 309,759 6.19
II. Industry 2,030,084 9.64 2,195,739 8.16 2,407,999 9.67 2,651,202 10.10
3. Mining and Quarrying 115,839 9.35 121,265 4.68 132,901 9.60 148,929 12.06
4. Manufacturing 1,329,941 10.31 1,446,534 8.77 1,595,680 10.31 1,760,008 10.30
i) Large and medium scale 1,084,362 10.65 1,185,403 9.32 1,312,254 10.70 1,456,683 11.01
ii) Small scale 245,579 8.81 261,131 6.33 283,426 8.54 303,325 7.02
5. Electricity, Gas, Water supply 101,257 8.99 105,853 4.54 112,435 6.22 124,974 11.15
6. Construction 483,046 8.04 522,087 8.08 566,983 8.60 617,291 8.87
III. Services 3,794,920 5.51 4,008,360 5.62 4,240,887 5.80 4,525,048 6.70

motorcycles and personal and
household goods 981,731 6.18 1,047,757 6.73 1,114,256 6.35 1,187,870 6.61
8. Hotels and Restaurants 52,204 6.49 55,701 6.70 59,504 6.83 63,670 7.00

Communication 805,140 6.27 853,824 6.05 904,748 5.96 963,608 6.51
10. Financial Intermediations 231,097 9.11 247,902 7.27 267,192 7.78 284,922 6.64

Business activities 495,089 4.04 516,147 4.25 538,880 4.40 563,203 4.51
12.. Public Adm. and Defence 235,419 6.53 251,646 6.89 276,365 9.82 319,707 15.68
13. Education 156,447 6.30 167,809 7.26 181,250 8.01 206,222 13.78
14. Health and Social work 131,367 4.76 138,021 5.06 145,174 5.18 157,446 8.45
15. Community, Social and

Personal Services 706,426 3.25 729,554 3.27 753,518 3.28 778,400 3.30
GVA at constant basic price 6,999,363 6.14 7,429,801 6.15 7,915,384 6.54 8,475,686 7.08
Tax less subsidy 299,602 3.09 311,560 3.99 333,240 6.96 354,857 6.49
GDP at constant market prices 7,298,965 6.01 7,741,361 6.06 8,248,624 6.55 8,830,544 7.05
14
Table 7. Sectoral Share of GDP at Current and Constant Prices, 2012-13 to 2015-16(p)
2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16(p)
Industry Sector Current Constant Current Constant Current Constant Current Constant
Prices Prices Prices Prices Prices Prices Prices Prices
I. Agriculture 16.28 16.78 16.11 16.50 15.51 16.00 14.75 15.33
1. Agriculture and Forestry 13.03 13.09 12.81 12.81 12.21 12.32 11.52 11.68
i) Crops and Horticulture 9.36 9.49 9.21 9.28 8.73 8.87 8.13 8.32
ii) Animal Farming 2.22 1.84 2.16 1.78 2.07 1.73 2.00 1.66
iii) Forest and related services 1.45 1.76 1.44 1.74 1.42 1.72 1.39 1.69
2. Fishing 3.24 3.68 3.30 3.69 3.29 3.69 3.23 3.65
II. Industry 27.64 29.00 27.61 29.55 28.15 30.42 28.56 31.28
3. Mining and Quarrying 1.71 1.65 1.65 1.63 1.65 1.68 1.76 1.76
4. Manufacturing 17.27 19.00 17.43 19.47 17.61 20.16 17.79 20.77
i) Large and medium scale 13.88 15.49 14.09 15.95 14.26 16.58 14.51 17.19
ii) Small scale 3.39 3.51 3.35 3.51 3.36 3.58 3.28 3.58
5. Electricity, Gas, Water supply 1.44 1.45 1.44 1.42 1.37 1.42 1.37 1.47
6. Construction 7.22 6.90 7.09 7.03 7.51 7.16 7.65 7.28
III. Services 56.09 54.22 56.28 53.95 56.35 53.58 56.69 53.39

motorcycles and personal and
household goods 13.54 14.03 13.48 14.10 13.33 14.08 13.05 14.02
8. Hotels and Restaurants 0.99 0.75 1.02 0.75 1.03 0.75 1.04 0.75

Communication 10.89 11.50 10.49 11.49 10.38 11.43 10.31 11.37
10. Financial intermediations 3.70 3.30 3.79 3.34 3.86 3.38 3.83 3.36

Business activities 6.91 7.07 7.12 6.95 7.34 6.81 7.51 6.64
12. Public Adm. and Defence 3.30 3.36 3.49 3.39 3.51 3.49 4.27 3.77
13. Education 2.49 2.24 2.56 2.26 2.60 2.29 2.75 2.43
14. Health and social work 2.09 1.88 2.10 1.86 2.09 1.83 2.11 1.86
15. Community, social and

personal services 12.18 10.09 12.23 9.82 12.21 9.52 11.84 9.18
Total 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00

15
Table 8. Per Capita GDP and GNI at Current Prices, 2011-12 to 2015-16(p)
Item 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16(p)
GDP (Million Tk.) 10,552,040 11,989,232 13,436,744 15158022 17295665
GNI (Million Tk.) 11,445,060 12,953,523 14,332,238 16142043 18314994
Per Capita GDP (Tk.) 69,614 78,009 86,266 96004 108172
Growth rate (per capita GDP) 13.75 12.06 10.58 11.29 12.67
Per Capita GNI (Tk.) 75,505 84,283 92,015 102236 114547
Growth rate (per capita GNI) 14.33 11.63 9.17 11.11 12.04
Per Capita GDP (US $) 880 976 1,110 1236 1384
Per Capita GNI (US $) 955 1,054 1,184 1316 1466
Table 9. Per Capita GDP and GNI at Constant Prices, 2011-12 to 2015-16(p)
(Base: 2005-06)
Item 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16(p)
GDP (Million Tk.) 6,884,932 7,298,965 7,741,361 8248624 8830544
GNI (Million Tk.) 7,467,605 7,886,019 8,257,285 8784104 9350976
Per Capita GDP (Tk.) 45,421 47,491 49,701 52243 55229
Growth rate (per capita GDP) 5.17 4.56 4.65 5.11 5.72
Per Capita GNI (Tk.) 49,265 51,311 53,013 55634 58484
Growth rate (per capita GNI) 5.70 4.15 3.32 4.94 5.12
16
Final Estimates of GDP for FY2015
The provisional estimates of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for FY2015 were released in
September 2015. These estimates are revised and finalized incorporating latest information of
agricultural production, index of industrial production and performance of other key sectors
like construction; transport, storage and communication; financial intermediations and
government expenditure. Thus, final estimates of GDP are based on a more complete annual
data than what were available for the provisional estimates. The salient features of the final
estimates are stated below:
Estimate at constant prices (base: 2005-06)
a. Gross Domestic Product
Gross domestic product at constant prices (base: 2005-06) in FY2015 has now been estimated
at Tk. 8248624 million, against Tk. 7741361 million in FY2014, showing a growth rate of
6.55 per cent over the previous year. The slight increase in growth rate of real GDP in final
estimate (6.55%) as compared to the provisional estimate for the FY2015 (6.51%) is
primarily due to downward revision in the growth of agriculture, mining & quarrying, public
administration, education and some other sectors.
b. Per Capita GDP

The per capita GDP in real terms (base: 2005-06) for FY2015 has been estimated at Tk.
52243 as against Tk. 49,701 for FY2014. The growth rate of per capita GDP has been
estimated at 5.11% for FY2015.
Agriculture sector
According to the final estimates, the agriculture sector (including fishing) showed a growth of
3.33% in FY2015 over FY2014. Such growth was largely attributed to the increased
production of Aus, Aman, Boro, Wheat and Potato.
In the provisional estimates, the crop sub-sector was estimated to grow by 1.30% but in the
final estimates, this sub-sectors growth rate stood at 1.83%.
In the provisional estimates, the fisheries sub-sector was estimated to grow by 6.41%, but in
the final estimates, this sub-sector recorded slightly lower growth rate of 6.38% based on fish
production data provided by the Directorate of Fishery (DOF).
17
Industry sector
Mining and Quarrying: In the provisional estimate, the projected growth rate of mining and
quarrying sector was 7.48% in FY2015. The final estimate showed a growth rate of 9.60%.
Manufacturing: The overall growth rate of manufacturing sector has been finally estimated
at 10.31% for FY2015 which is lower than the provisional estimate of 10.32%. In the final
estimate, large and medium scale manufacturing industries grew by 10.70% as against
10.24% for FY2015.
Electricity, Gas and Water: The overall growth rate of this sector has been finally estimated
at 6.22% for FY2015 which is lower than the provisional estimate of 7.01%. The electricity,
gas and water sub-sector grew by 6.09%, 5.16% and 9.62% respectively for FY2015.
Construction: In the provisional estimates for FY2015, the growth rate was calculated at
8.60%. The final estimate shows a decrease in the growth rate and stands at 8.63% in
FY2015.
Services sector
Wholesale and retail trade; repair of motor vehicles, motorcycles and personal and
household goods: The growth rate in this sector is finally estimated at 6.35% as against
6.59% in the provisional estimate for FY2015.
Transport, Storage and Communication: In the final estimate, the growth rate in
Transport, storage and communication sector is 5.96% against 5.99% in the provisional
estimate.
Financial Intermediation: The growth rate of financial intermediation is finally estimated at

7.78% against 8.83% in the provisional estimate.
Public Administration: The growth rate of Public Administration and Defense sector is
finally estimated at 9.82 percent as against 7.48 percent in the provisional estimate for
FY2015.
* Table 10 and table 11 show the volume and growth rate of GDP in the provisional and the
final estimates for FY2015.
Estimate at current prices
Gross Domestic Product

Gross domestic product at current prices for FY2015 has now been estimated at Tk.
15,158,022 million, against Tk. 13,436,744 million in FY2014, showing a growth rate of
12.81% over the previous year.
The growth rate of GDP for FY2015 over FY2014 is finally estimated at 12.81% which was
provisional estimated at 12.65%.
18
Table 10. Provisional and Final Estimates of GDP at Current Prices, 2014-15
(Million Tk.)
Gross Value added Growth Rate
Provisional Final Provisional Final
Industry Sector
Estimate Estimate Estimate Estimate
I. Agriculture 2,245,880 2,240,810 8.88 8.63
1. Agriculture and Forestry 1,770,046 1,764,997 7.95 7.64
i) Crops and Horticulture 1,266,231 1,261,209 7.40 6.97
ii) Animal Farming 298,871 298,845 8.02 8.02
iii) Forest and related services 204,944 204,942 11.39 11.39
2. Fishing 475,834 475,813 12.47 12.47
II. Industry 4,029,843 4,067,108 13.99 15.04
3. Mining and Quarrying 233,624 238,757 10.83 13.26
4. Manufacturing 2,560,027 2,544,831 14.69 14.01
i) Large and medium scale 2,066,940 2,059,920 14.59 14.20
ii) Small scale 493,086 484,911 15.10 13.19
5. Electricity, Gas, Water supply 208,083 198,682 13.08 7.98
6. Construction 1,028,109 1,084,839 13.19 19.43
III. Services 8,126,284 8,141,955 12.76 12.97
7. Wholesale and retail trade; repair of

motor vehicles, motorcycles and
personal and household goods 1,931,291 1,925,854 11.91 11.60
8. Hotels and Restaurants 148,446 149,279 13.88 14.52
9. Transport, Storage and Communication 1,435,236 1,500,253 6.85 11.70
10. Financial intermediations 565,770 557,610 16.50 14.82
1,063,27
11. Real Estate, Renting and Business activities 0 1,060,609 16.55 16.26
12. Public Administration and Defense 533,563 506,741 19.29 13.29
13. Education 378,939 376,240 15.65 14.82
14. Health and social work 304,552 301,352 13.12 11.93
15. Community, social and personal

services 1,765,216 1,764,017 12.76 12.68
GVA at Current Basic Prices 14,402,006 14,449,873 12.47 12.85
Tax less subsidy 733,990 708,149 16.19 12.10
GDP at Current Market Prices 15,135,997 15,158,022 12.65 12.81
GNI at Current Market Prices 16,108,951 16,142,043 12.40 12.63
19
Table 11. Provisional and Final Estimates of GDP at Constant Prices, 2014-15
(Base: 2005-06)
(Million Tk.)
Gross Value added Growth Rate

Industry Sector Provisional Final
Provisional Final
Estimate Estimate
I. Agriculture 1,262,923 1,266,498 3.04 3.33

1. Agriculture and Forestry 971,163 974,802 2.07 2.45
i) Crops and Horticulture 698,307 701,996 1.30 1.83
ii) Animal Farming 136,689 136,666 3.10 3.08
iii) Forest and related services 136,167 136,139 5.10 5.08
2. Fishing 291,760 291,695 6.41 6.38
II. Industry 2,406,585 2,407,999 9.60 9.67
3. Mining and Quarrying 130,333 132,901 7.48 9.60
4. Manufacturing 1,595,826 1,595,680 10.32 10.31
i) Large and medium scale 1,306,755 1,312,254 10.24 10.70
ii) Small scale 289,071 283,426 10.70 8.54
5. Electricity, Gas, Water supply 113,268 112,435 7.01 6.22
6. Construction 567,158 566,983 8.63 8.60
III. Services 4,242,245 4,240,887 5.83 5.80
7. Wholesale and retail trade; repair of
motor vehicles, motorcycles and
personal and household goods 1,116,811 1,114,256 6.59 6.35
8. Hotels and Restaurants 59,517 59,504 6.85 6.83
9. Transport, Storage and Communication 904,986 904,748 5.99 5.96
10. Financial Intermediations 269,780 267,192 8.83 7.78
11. Real Estate, Renting and Business activities 540,178 538,880 4.66 4.40
12. Public Administration and Defense 270,467 276,365 7.48 9.82
13. Education 180,593 181,250 7.62 8.01
14. Health and Social Work 145,869 145,174 5.69 5.18
15. Community, Social and
Personal Services 754,044 753,518 3.36 3.28
GVA at Basic Prices 7,911,753 7,915,384 6.51 6.55
Tax less subsidy 333,567 333,240 7.06 6.96
GDP at Constant Market Prices 8,245,319 8,248,624 6.51 6.55
20
2 Provisional and Final Estimates of GDP by Expenditure Category
Provisional and Final Estimates by Expenditure Category

Taking the perspective of the final uses of a countrys output, GDP can be derived as the total
of final consumption expenditure, gross capital formation and net exports. Final consumption
expenditure is incurred by three institutional sectors i.e. General Government, Households
and Nonprofit Institutions Serving Households (NPISH).
Final Consumption Expenditure (FCE)

At current prices the final consumption expenditure is likely to grow by 11.56% in FY2016
compared to the previous year. In FY2016, the final consumption is Tk. 13,163,404 million
as against Tk. 11,799,237 million in FY2015. In FY2016, its share in GDE (Gross Domestic
Expenditure) and GDP (Gross Domestic Product) are 75.71% and 76.11% respectively. In
FY2015, the share of final consumption expenditure was 78.38% of GDE and 77.84% of
GDP.
Private Final Consumption Expenditure (PFCE): Private final consumption expenditure is

expected to be Tk. 12,143948 million in FY2016 and Tk. 10,980061 million which is 10.60%
higher than that in FY2015. Table 12 shows the rate of change of consumption expenditure at
current prices.
Table 12. Growth Rate of Final Consumption Expenditure
Growth Rate (%) Consumption-GDP Ratio (%)
Year Total Private General Total Private General
Government Government
2008-09 10.56 10.58 10.32 79.67 74.57 5.09
2009-10 12.44 12.42 12.71 79.19 74.11 5.08
2010-11 15.10 15.09 15.33 79.38 74.28 5.10
2011-12 14.35 14.38 13.91 78.78 73.74 5.04
2012-13 12.45 12.25 15.35 77.96 72.85 5.12
2013-14 12.00 11.65 16.92 77.91 72.57 5.34
2014-15 12.71 12.60 14.22 77.84 72.44 5.40
2015-16(p) 11.56 10.60 24.45 76.11 70.21 5.89
p denotes provisional estimates
21
General Government Consumption Expenditure: Based on budgets (allocations/
estimates), general government consumption expenditure is projected to grow by 24.45% in
FY2016.
The final government consumption expenditure is expected to be Tk. 1,019,456

million in FY2016 which is 5.89% of the GDP (Table-14). In FY2015, the final
consumption expenditure was Tk. 819,176 billion, which was 5.40% of the GDP.
In FY2016, the growth rate of general government final consumption expenditure in

real terms is likely to be 10.71% while this growth rate is estimated at 24.45% at
current prices.
Table 13.General Government Expenditure by Heads
General Government Expenditure (Million Tk.) General Government Expenditure (%)

Year Central Government Local Total Central Government Local Total
Govt.* Govt.*
Total Revenue Develop Total Revenue Develop
ment ment
2003-04 (RE) 454170 286000 168170 21,017 475,187 95.58 60.19 35.39 4.42 100.00
2004-05 (RE) 530880 343170 187710 25,020 555,900 95.50 61.73 33.77 4.50 100.00
2005-06 (RE) 571040 376310 194730 32,026 603,066 94.69 62.40 32.29 5.31 100.00
2006-07(RE) 626560 447400 179160 40,032 666,592 93.99 67.12 26.88 6.01 100.00
2007-08(RE) 731850 547300 184550 46,037 777,887 94.08 70.36 23.72 5.92 100.00
2008-09(RE) 851960 655280 196680 54,044 906,004 94.03 72.33 21.71 5.97 100.00
2009-10(RE) 984880 725710 259170 61,049 1,045,929 94.16 69.38 24.78 5.84 100.00
2010-11(RE) 1149380 819310 330070 90,073 1,239,453 92.73 66.10 26.63 7.27 100.00
2011-12(RE) 1353300 973100 380200 109,088 1,462,388 92.54 66.54 26.00 7.46 100.00
2012-13(RE) 1587470 1087120 500350 140,113 1,727,583 91.89 62.93 28.96 8.11 100.00
2013-14(RE) 1802500 1233370 569130 170,138 1,972,638 91.38 62.52 28.85 8.62 100.00
2014-15(RE) 2075320 1363880 711440 188,152 2,263,472 91.69 60.26 31.43 8.31 100.00
2015-16(BE) 2577466 1732420 845046 222,180 2,799,646 92.06 61.88 30.18 7.94 100.00
* Revised series, RE denotes revised estimates and BE denotes budget estimates
22
Figure 6 shows the final consumption expenditure and its share by private and general
government.
Table 14. Expenditure and Final Consumption of General Government

(Million Tk.)
Year Total Expenditure Total Consumption % of Consumption
2007-08(RE) 777,887 325549 41.85
2008-09(RE) 906,004 359,146 39.64
2009-10 (RE) 1,045,929 404777 38.70
2010-11 (RE) 1,239,453 466839 37.66
2011-2012(RE) 1,462,388 531753 36.36
2012-2013(RE) 1,727,583 613,385 35.51
2013-2014(RE) 1,972,638 717,189 36.36
2014-2015(RE) 2,263,472 819,176 36.19
2015-2016(BE) 2,799,646 1,019,456 36.41

RE denotes revised estimates and BE denotes budget estimates
23
Gross Capital Formation (GCF)
The gross capital formation is made up of gross fixed capital formation (GFCF) and change
in inventories (increase/decrease). Gross capital formation or investment is expected to be Tk.
5,081,382 million in FY2016 compared to Tk. 4,378,651 million in FY2015. Growth rate of
gross capital formation is likely to be 16.05% at current prices compared to 14.03% in
FY2015. The percentage share of GFCF to GDP is likely to be 29.38% during FY2016
compared to 28.89 in FY2015.
Private Gross Capital Formation: The private gross capital formation is estimated Tk.
3,344,722 million (76.39% of total GCF) in FY2015. In FY2016, private gross capital
formation is estimated at Tk. 3,767,549 million. The growth rate of GCF for FY2016 over
FY2015 is expected to be 12.64% in nominal terms.
Private GCF or investment grew by 13.00% in FY2015 over FY2014 and is
expected to grow by 12.64% in FY2016.
Private investment-GDP ratio is likely to be 21.78% in FY2016 compared to
22.07% in FY2015.
Public investment-GDP ratio is likely to be 7.60% in FY2016 compared to 6.82%
in FY2015.
24
Table 15. Expenditure Based Gross Domestic Product at Current Prices, 2012-13 to 2015-16 (p)
(Million Tk.)
Item 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16(p)
1. Domestic demand [(1.1)+(1.2)] 12,750,971 14,308,511 16,177,888 18,244,786

1.1 Consumption [(1.1.1)+(1.1.2)] 9,347,273 10,468,575 11,799,237 13,163,404
1.1.1 Private 8,733,888 9,751,386 10,980,061 12,143,948
1.1.2 General Government 613,385 717,189 819,176 1,019,456
1.2 Investment [(1.2.1)+(1.2.2)] 3,403,697 3,839,936 4,378,651 5,081,382
1.2.1 Private 2,607,486 2,960,024 3,344,722 3,767,549
1.2.2 Public 796,211 879,912 1,033,929 1,313,833
2. Resource balance [(2.1)-(2.2)] -865,701 -878,059 -1,123,611 -857,399
2.1 Exports 2,342,441 2,551,592 2,627,897 2,814,678
2.2 Imports 3,208,142 3,429,651 3,751,508 3,672,077
3. Gross Domestic Expenditure at m.p. 11,885,270 13,430,452 15,054,277 17,387,387
4. Gross Domestic Product at m.p. 11,989,232 13,436,744 15,158,022 17,295,664
5. Statistical Discrepancy [(4)-(3)] 103,962 6,292 103,745 -91,723
6. Net factor income from abroad 964,291 895,494 984,021 1,019,330
7. Gross National Income at m.p. [(4)+(6)] 12,953,523 14,332,238 16,142,043 18,314,994
8. Net current transfers from abroad 53,749 63,342 56,001 90,671
9. Gross Disposable National Income
13,007,272 14,395,580 16,198,044 18,405,665
[(7)+(8)]
10. Gross Domestic savings [(4)-(1.1)] 2,641,959 2,968,169 3,358,785 4,132,260
11. Gross National savings [(9)-(1.1)] 3,659,999 3,927,005 4,398,807 5,242,262
12. Current Account Balance [(2)+(6)+(8)] 152,339 80,777 -83,589 252,603
As percent of GDP
Consumption 77.96 77.91 77.84 76.11
Private 72.85 72.57 72.44 70.21
General Government 5.12 5.34 5.40 5.89
Investment 28.39 28.58 28.89 29.38
Private 21.75 22.03 22.07 21.78
Public 6.64 6.55 6.82 7.60
Exports of goods and services 19.54 18.99 17.34 16.27
Imports of goods and services 26.76 25.52 24.75 21.23
Gross Domestic savings 22.04 22.09 22.16 23.89
Gross National savings 30.53 29.23 29.02 30.31
Note: p denotes provisional estimates. -denotes negative
25
Table 16. Expenditure Based Gross Domestic Product at Constant Prices, 2012-13 to 2015-16 (p)
(Base: 2005-06)
(Million Tk.)
Item 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16(p)
1. Domestic demand [(1.1)+(1.2)] 7,490,025 7,933,480 8,438,208 9,000,563
1.1 Consumption [(1.1.1)+(1.1.2)] 5,282,071 5,507,931 5,839,989 6,170,876
1.1.1 Private 4,913,936 5,110,768 5,408,068 5,692,703
1.1.2 General Government 368,135 397,163 431,921 478,173
1.2 Investment [(1.2.1)+(1.2.2)] 2,207,954 2,425,549 2,598,219 2,829,687
1.2.1 Private 1,713,349 1,873,379 1,986,084 2,095,903
1.2.2 Public 494,605 552,170 612,135 733,785
2. Resource balance [(2.1)-(2.2)] -255,176 -228,952 -325,733 -173,036
2.1 Exports 1,436,734 1,482,726 1,440,765 1,436,174
2.2 Imports 1,691,911 1,711,678 1,766,498 1,609,210
3. Gross Domestic Expenditure at m.p. 7234849 7704528 8112475 8827528
4. Gross Domestic Product at m.p. 7298965 7741361 8248624 8830544
5. Statistical Discrepancy [(4)-(3)] 64,116 36,833 136,149 3,016
6. Net factor income from abroad 587,054 515,924 535,480 520,433
7. Gross National Income at m.p. [(4)+(6)] 7,886,019 8,257,285 8,784,104 9,350,977
8. Net current transfers from abroad 32,722 36,493 30,474 46,293
9. Gross Disposable National Income
[(7)+(8)] 7,918,741 8,293,779 8,814,578 9,397,271
GDP Deflator 164.26 173.57 183.76 195.86
(Implicit deflators : base=2005-06)
Final consumption expenditure
Consumer prices index 177.74 190.80 203.03 213.32
Special Government employees Index 166.62 180.58 189.66 213.20
Gross capital formation
Other construction (Kutcha) 156.31 165.86 176.47 183.23
Wage rate Index (Agriculture) 192.72 205.54 218.55 230.64
Construction Materiel Price Index
(Building Materiel Price Index) 173.24 179.13 190.97 203.94
Planted Machinery 115.71 119.76 120.61 127.52
Transport equipment 144.39 149.53 150.59 154.62
Other capital goods 139.05 143.96
Unit price Index
Export 163.04 172.09 182.40 195.98
Import 189.62 200.37 212.37 228.19
Annual percentage change
Final consumption expenditure :
Household final consumption expenditure 5.13 4.01 5.82 5.26
General govt. final consumption expenditure 5.79 7.89 8.75 10.71
Gross capital formation 5.36 9.86 7.12 8.91
26
Public Gross Capital Formation
Growth rate of public sector investment or GCF for FY2016 is projected at 27.07% over
FY2015 at current prices.
Table 17. Gross Fixed Capital Formation in Public Sector by Sources of Funding at
Current Prices
(Million Tk.)
Year Central Government Local Autonomous and Total
Development Revenue Government SOEs
Budget (ADP) Budget
2004-05 92,820 27,470 15,625 99,186 235,101
2005-06 103,314 28,918 18,005 118,080 268,317
2006-07 98,537 24,676 21,577 135,291 280,081
2007-08 94,953 28,314 24,706 134,841 282,814
2008-09 103,231 32,533 27,586 141,022 304,372
2009-10 134,201 39,350 32,392 166,817 372,760
2010-11 183,133 50,337 44,971 203,063 481,504
2011-12 251,386 38,939 74,067 243,628 608,020
2012-13 368,758 85,733 59,348 282,372 796,211
2013-14 461,291 108,768 70,968 238,885 879,912
2014-15 546,163 132,646 82,323 272,797 1,033,929
2015-16(p) 693,573 129,390 136,657 354,213 1,313,833
Public sector investment or GCF is likely to be Tk. 1,313,833 million in FY2016

compared to Tk. 1,033,929 million in FY2015.
Table 18. Gross Domestic Fixed Capital Formation by Public and Private sectors
at Current Prices
(Million Tk.)
Year Gross Fixed Capital Formation
Public % of GDP Private % of GDP Total % of GDP
2007-08 282,814 4.50 1,364,477 21.70 1,647,290 26.20
2008-09 304,372 4.32 1,543,343 21.89 1,847,715 26.21
2009-10 372,760 4.67 1,720,512 21.57 2,093,272 26.25
2010-11 481,504 5.26 2,029,788 22.16 2,511,292 27.42
2011-12 608,020 5.76 2,374,233 22.50 2,982,253 28.26
2012-13 796,211 6.64 2,607,486 21.75 3,403,697 28.39
2013-14 879,912 6.55 2,960,024 22.03 3,839,936 28.58
2014-15 1,033,929 6.82 3,344,722 22.07 4,378,651 28.89
2015-16(p) 1,313,833 7.60 3,767,549 21.78 5,081,382 29.38
27
Table 19. Shares of Public and Private Investment
As % of total investment
Year 2005-06 prices Current prices
Private Public Private Public
2007-08 82.84 17.16 82.83 17.17
2008-09 83.59 16.41 83.53 16.47
2009-10 82.36 17.64 82.19 17.81
2010-11 81.15 18.85 80.83 19.17
2011-12 80.37 19.63 79.61 20.39
2012-13 77.60 22.40 76.61 23.39
2013-14 77.24 22.76 77.09 22.91
2014-15 76.44 23.56 76.39 23.61
2015-16(p) 74.07 25.93 74.14 25.86
Net Exports of Goods and Services

Net exports of goods and services are the difference between exports and imports of goods
and services. In FY2015 the total exports and imports were recorded at Tk. 2,627,897 million
and Tk 3,751,508 million. As a result, the country posted a trade deficit of Tk.1,123,611
million. In terms of GNI at current prices, the trade deficit was 6.96%.
The volume of export for FY2016 has been projected on the basis of six months (July-
December, 2015) actual data on export available from the balance of payments statement
(BOP) prepared by Bangladesh Bank.
The value of imports of goods and services for FY2016 is estimated at Tk.3,672,077
million compared to Tk. 3,751,508 million in FY2015.
Growth rate of imports of goods and services is likely to be around (-)2.12% in

Y2016 over FY2015.
The value of exports of goods and services for FY2016 is estimated at Tk. 2,814,678
million compared to Tk. 2,627,897 million in FY2015.
Growth rate of exports of goods and services is likely to be around 7.11% in FY2016
over FY2015.
28
Table 20. Investment-GDP Ratio
Investment as % of GDP
Year 2005-06 prices Current prices
Total Private Public Total Private Public
2007-08 27.10 22.45 4.65 26.20 21.70 4.50
2008-09 27.71 23.16 4.55 26.21 21.89 4.32
2009-10 28.49 23.47 5.03 26.25 21.57 4.67
2010-11 29.32 23.80 5.53 27.42 22.16 5.26
2011-12 30.44 24.46 5.98 28.26 22.50 5.76
2012-13 30.25 23.47 6.78 28.39 21.75 6.64
2013-14 31.33 24.20 7.13 28.58 22.03 6.55
2014-15 31.50 24.08 7.42 28.89 22.07 6.82
2015-16(p) 32.04 23.73 8.31 29.38 21.78 7.60
Net factor income
Based on provisional estimate, net factor income posted a positive growth of 3.59% in
FY2016 over previous year.
Net current transfer
Based on provisional estimate, net current transfer posted a positive growth of 61.91% in
FY2016.
Investment and Savings

During FY2015, the investment-GDP ratio was 28.89%, of which investment-GDP ratio for
public sector was 6.82% and private sector was 22.07%. In FY2016, the investment-GDP
ratio is estimated at 29.38% while public and private sector investment-GDP ratios are likely
to be 7.60 and 21.78% respectively. Table 21 shows the savings and investment balance
during FY2010 to FY2016.
29
Table 21. Savings and Investment as percent of GDP
Category 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16(p)

Investment 26.25 27.42 28.26 28.39 28.58 28.89 29.38
Private 21.57 22.16 22.50 21.75 22.03 22.07 21.78
Public 4.67 5.26 5.76 6.64 6.55 6.82 7.60
Domestic savings 20.81 20.62 21.22 22.04 22.09 22.16 23.89
Private 19.48 19.30 19.87 20.59 1.51 1.54 1.85
Public 1.33 1.32 1.36 1.45 20.58 20.62 22.04
National savings 29.44 28.88 29.86 30.53 29.23 29.02 30.31
In FY2015, about 71.82% of the total investment is recorded for construction, 19.68% in
plant and machinery, 8.50% in transport equipment.
In FY2016, about 71.97% of the total investment is recorded for construction, 19.53% in
plant and machinery, 8.50% in transport equipment.
30
Table 22. Composition of Gross Fixed Capital Formation
(Million Tk.)
Year Construction Plant and Transport Others Gross Fixed

Machinery Equipment Capital
Formation
2007-08 1,103,272 345,108 181,972 16,938 1,647,290
2008-09 1,273,669 340,782 213,367 19,898 1,847,715
2009-10 1,429,513 398,276 242,109 23,374 2,093,272
2010-11 1,641,692 520,015 322,128 27,457 2,511,292
2011-12 1,956,904 658,786 334,310 32,254 2,982,253
2012-13 2,354,061 657,298 354,451 37,888 3,403,697
2013-14 2,62,0743 847,432 371,761 - 3,839,936
2014-15 3,145,411 861,724 371,516 - 4,378,651
2015-16(p) 3,657,099 991,640 432,643 - 5,081,382
Figure 10: Composition of GFCF for FY2015 and FY2016
31
Saving: Saving represents the excess of current income over current expenditure. Domestic
saving is a residual estimate i.e., it is the difference between GDP and final consumption.
Thus,
GDP = C+I+(X-M)
or, GDPC = I+(X-M)
or, S(saving, domestic ) = I+(X-M)
Again, GDP = C+I+(X-M)
or, GDP+NFI (net factor income) = C+I+(X-M)+NFI
or, GNI (gross national income) = C+I+(X-M)+NFI
or, GNI+NCT (net current transfer) = C+I+(X-M)+NFI+NCT
or, GNDI (gross national disposable = C+I+(X-M)+NFI+NCT

income)
or, GNDI-C = I+(X-M)+NFI+NCT
i.e. S (national saving, gross ) = I+CAB, where

CAB = (X-M)+NFI+NCT
Where GNDI = Gross National Disposable

Income
CAB = Current account balance

obtained from the balance of
payments (BOP)
When net factor income and net current transfers from abroad are taken into account
with gross domestic saving, the national saving could be arrived.
It is obvious from the equation S (national saving) = I+CAB that, if CAB =0, then
S=I. Obviously, it is a case only for a closed economy. On the other hand, if CAB is negative
(-), the Investment is greater than saving and conversely if CAB is positive (+) the saving is
greater than investment.
32
Table 23. National Accounts Statistics and BOP Identities
(Million Tk.)
Data category 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16(p)
Balance of Payments
1. Exports of goods and non-factor services (E) 2,127,459 2,342,441 2,551,592 2,627,897 2,814,678
2. Imports of goods and non-factor services (M) 2,949,225 3,208,142 3,429,651 3,751,508 3,672,077
3. Current account balance (CAB) 89,163 152,339 80,777 (83,589) 213,584
4. Net factor income from abroad (NFI) 893020 964291 895494 984021 980311
5. Net current transfers (NCT) 17909 53749 63342 56001 90671
National Accounts Statistics (NAS)
6. Gross Domestic Products (GDP) 10,552,040 11,989,232 13,436,744 15,158,022 17,295,664
7. Gross Domestic Expenditure (GDE) 10,472,987 11,885,270 13,430,452 15,054,277 17,387,387
8. Gross National Income (GNI) 11,462,969 13,007,272 14,395,580 16,198,044 18,366,646
9. Gross Disposable Income (GDI) 11,462,969 13,007,272 14,395,580 16,198,044 18,366,646
10. Investment (I) 2,982,253 3,403,697 3,839,936 4,378,651 5,081,382
Gross Domestic Savings (GDS) 2,239,540 2,641,959 2,968,169 3,358,785 4,132,260
GDP-C 2,239,540 2,641,959 2,968,169 3,358,785 4,132,260
I+(X-M) 2,160,487 2,537,996 2,961,877 3,255,040 4,223,983
S-NFI-NCT 2,239,540 2,641,959 2,968,169 3,358,785 4,132,260
National Savings (S) 3,150,469 3,659,999 3,927,005 4,398,807 5,242,262
CAB+I 3,071,416 3,556,036 3,920,713 4,295,062 5,333,985
GDI-C 3,150,469 3,659,999 3,927,005 4,398,807 5,242,262
Foreign Savings (FS) 89,163 152,339 80,777 -83,589 252,603
Investment (I) 2,982,253 3,403,697 3,839,936 4,378,651 5,081,382
(S-NFI-NCT)-(X-M) 3,061,306 3,507,660 3,846,228 4,482,396 4,989,659

33
Final Estimates of Expenditure based GDP, FY2015
Of the main components of GDP by expenditure category, private consumption expenditure

grew by 12.71% at current prices while it grew by 6.03% at constant prices in FY2015 over
FY2014. Based on data, private consumption expenditure has finally been estimated at Tk.
10,980,061 million as against Tk. 10936,180 million in the provisional estimates in FY2015,
which is 0.40% higher than the provisional estimate. This difference between provisional and
final estimates of GDE at current and constant prices in FY2015 may be seen in Table 24 and
Table 25.
The final estimate of gross fixed capital formation or investment is lower than the provisional
estimate in FY2015. Investment growth rate was 14.18% at current prices for the provisional
estimate while the growth rate in the final estimate 14.03% during FY2015. Growth rate of
private investment in final estimate goes up to 13.00% as against 12.84% in provisional
estimate. Also public sector investment in final estimate goes down to 17.50% as against
18.67% in the provisional estimate for FY2015.
34
Table 24. Provisional and Final Estimates of Expenditure based GDP at Current
Prices, 2014-15
(Million Tk.)
Expenditure Components of GDE Provisional Final % Change Growth Rate
Estimates Estimates Final Over Provisional Final
Provisional
Estimates
Consumption 11,760,154 11,799,237 0.33 12.34 12.71
Private 10936180 10980061 0.40 12.15 12.60
Public 823,974 819,176 (-)0.58 14.89 14.22
Investment 4,384,378 4,378,651 (-)0.13 14.18 14.03
Private 3340143 3344722 0.14 12.84 13.00
Public 1044235 1033929 (-)0.99 18.67 17.50
Exports 2603389 2627897 0.94 2.03 2.99
Imports 3900885 3751508 (-)3.83 13.74 9.38
Gross Domestic Expenditure at m.p. 14,847,036 15,054,277 1.40 10.55 12.09
Net factor income from abroad 972954 984021 1.14 8.65 9.89
Gross National Income at m.p. 16,108,951 16,142,043 0.21 12.40 12.63
Net Current transfers from abroad 58300 56001 (-)3.94 (-)7.96 (-)11.59
Gross Disposable National Income 16,167,251 16,198,044 0.19 12.31 12.52
Note: - denote negative
Table 25. Provisional and Final Estimates of Expenditure based GDP

at Constant Prices, 2014-15
(Million Tk.)
Expenditure Components of GDP Provisional Final % Change Growth Rate
Estimates Estimates Final Over Provisional Final
Provisional
Estimates
Consumption 5,384,431 5,408,068 0.44 5.65 6.03
Private 434,555 431,921 (-)0.61 5.35 5.82
Public 2,657,483 2,598,219 (-)2.23 9.41 8.75
Investment 2,035,609 1,986,084 (-)2.43 9.56 7.12
Private 621,875 612,135 (-)1.57 8.66 6.02
Public 5,384,431 5,408,068 0.44 12.62 10.86
Exports 1,427,732 1,440,765 0.91 (-)3.71 (-)2.83
Imports 1,840,831 1,766,498 (-)4.04 7.55 3.20
Gross Domestic Expenditure at m.p 8063371 8112475 0.61 4.66 5.29
Net factor income from abroad 530,016 535,480 1.03 2.73 3.79
Gross National Income at m.p. 8,775,335 8,784,104 0.10 6.27 6.38
Net Current transfers from abroad 31,759 30,474 (-)4.05 (-)12.97 (-)16.49
Gross Disposable National Income 8,807,094 8,814,578 0.08 6.19 6.28
Note: - denote negative
35
36
3 Inflation and Growth Rate
Inflation
As per Consumer Price Index (CPI) (base: 2005-06), the rate of inflation during FY2015 was
6.41% compared to 7.35% in FY2014. Prices of food items increased by 6.68% while prices
of non-food items increased by 5.99% during FY2015. During FY2015, nine month average
inflation rate is 6.05%.
Besides the CPI, price changes can also be measured by percentage change of GDP deflator.
It can be used as an alternative measuring tool of inflation as CPI takes into account only the
selected consumer items. On the other hand, National Accounts Statistics (NAS) take into
account the prices of all outputs (goods and services) produced from each and every
economic activity for an accounting year within a geographical territory.
For the sake of comparison of inflation rates based on CPI and GDP deflator the
required data from FY2007 to FY2016 have been presented in Figure 9.
37
Table 26. Inflation Rate - National
(Base: 2005-06 = 100)
CPI FY16
FY13 FY14 FY15
category
Jul15 Aug15 Sep15 Oct15 Nov15 Dec15 Jan'16 Feb16 Mar16
General 6.78 7.35 6.41 6.36 6.17 6.24 6.19 6.05 6.1 6.07 5.62 5.65
Food 5.22 8.56 6.68 6.07 6.06 5.92 5.89 5.72 5.48 4.33 3.77 3.89
Non-food 9.17 5.55 5.99 6.80 6.35 6.73 6.67 6.56 7.05 8.74 8.46 4.36
Table 27. Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Inflation Rate

(Point to Point)
(Base: 2005-06 = 100)
2015-16
CPI Classification 2012-13 2013-04 2014-15
Dec15 Jan16 Feb16 Mar16
NATIONAL
General index 181.73 195.08 207.58 220.45 222.87 222.58 223.35
Inflation 6.78 7.35 6.41 6.10 6.07 5.62 5.65
Food index 193.24 209.79 223.8 236.57 236.42 235.81 236.99
Inflation 5.22 8.56 6.68 5.48 4.33 3.77 3.89
Non-food 166.97 176.23 186.79 199.78 205.50 205.61 205.64
Inflation 9.17 5.55 5.99 7.05 8.74 8.46 8.36
ALL RURAL
General index 183.9 196.90 209.1 220.87 222.75 222.32 222.98
Inflation 6.14 7.07 6.2 5.58 5.29 4.76 4.79
Food index 192.14 207.72 221.02 232.02 231.86 231.06 232.12
Inflation 4.64 8.11 6.4 4.76 3.63 3.04 3.15
Non-food 170.79 179.69 190.13 203.13 208.26 208.42 208.44
Inflation 8.94 5.21 5.81 7.10 8.37 7.97 7.82
ALL URBAN
General index 177.71 191.73 204.76 219.67 223.09 223.06 223.75
Inflation 8.02 7.89 6.8 7.07 7.53 7.22 7.27
Food index 195.91 214.85 230.56 247.67 247.55 247.41 248.85
Inflation 6.64 9.67 7.31 7.14 5.96 5.48 5.61
Non-food 161.88 171.61 182.32 195.31 201.81 201.87 201.91
Inflation 9.50 6.01 6.24 6.98 9.25 9.14 9.12
Table 28 shows the GDP growth rates both in real and nominal terms and inflation rate based
on CPI during FY2007 to FY2016.
38
Table 28. GDP growth and Inflation Rate
GDP growth rate Inflation rate

(Base: 2005-06)
Period Nominal growth rate Real growth rate
FY 2007 13.99 7.06 9.39
FY2008 14.35 6.01 12.30
FY2009 12.15 5.05 7.60
FY2010 13.11 5.57 6.82
FY2011 14.83 6.46 10.91
FY2012 15.22 6.52 8.69
FY2013 13.62 6.01 6.78
FY2014 12.68 6.06 7.35
FY2015 12.81 6.55 6.45
FY2016(p) 14.10 7.05 6.05/a
Note: /a Nine month (July-March, FY2016) average
It is observed that the average real and nominal GDP growth rates during the last five years
were 6.44% and 13.57% respectively. The average inflation rate during this period was
recorded as 7.06%.
39
40
Annex-I
GDP Annex Tables

42
Table 1. Gross Domestic Product of Bangladesh at Current Prices, 2012-13 to 2015-16(p)
(Million Tk.)
Industrial origin sector 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16(p)
1. AGRICULTURE AND FORESTRY 1,487,578 1,639,682 1,764,997 1,892,720
a) Crops & horticulture 1,067,941 1,179,029 1,261,209 1,335,345
b) Animal Farmings 253,588 276,668 298,845 329,101
c) Forest and related services 166,050 183,985 204,942 228,275
2. FISHING 369,946 423,076 475,813 531,462
3. MINING AND QUARRYING 194,611 210,799 238,757 288,797
a) Natural gas and crude petroleum 79,531 81,557 91,877 107,213
b) Other mining & quarrying 115,080 129,242 146,880 181,584
4. MANUFACTURING 1,971,272 2,232,207 2,544,831 2,922,821
a) Large & medium scale 1,584,482 1,803,818 2,059,920 2,383,955
b) Small scale 386,790 428,389 484,911 538,867
5. ELECTRICITY, GAS AND WATER
SUPPLY 163,812 184,006 198,682 224,585
a) Electricity 121,682 138,335 150,614 171,330
b) Gas 34,475 36,759 37,866 41,501
c) Water 7,655 8,912 10,203 11,753
6. CONSTRUCTION 824,321 908,336 1,084,839 1,257,537
7. WHOLESALE AND RETAIL TRADE;
REPAIR OF MOTOR VEHICLES,
MOTORCYCLES AND PERSONAL
AND HOUSEHOLD GOODS 1,545,794 1,725,752 1,925,854 2,144,067
8. HOTEL AND RESTAURANTS 112,634 130,353 149,279 170,611
9. TRANSPORT, STORAGE &
COMMUNICATION 1,242,805 1,343,166 1,500,253 1,693,965
a) Land Transport 921,831 993,106 1,120,956 1,281,164
b) Water transport 76,486 80,643 89,674 102,448
c) Air transport 10,471 11,156 12,688 13,093
d) Support transport services, storage 60,014 66,716 74,270 78,134
e) Post and Tele communications 174,003 191,544 202,665 219,127
10. FINANCIAL INTERMEDIATIONS 422,365 485,632 557,610 628,804
a) Monetary intermediation (Banks) 347,270 403,897 466,437 528,969
b) Insurance 49,198 53,636 59,376 64,790
c) Other financial intermediation 25,897 28,100 31,796 35,045
11. REAL ESTATE, RENTING AND
BUSINESS ACTIVITIES 788,200 912,291 1,060,609 1,233,924
12. PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION AND
DEFENCE 376,782 447,278 506,741 701,031
13. EDUCATION 284,293 327,673 376,240 451,324
14. HEALTH AND SOCIAL WORKS 238,683 269,238 301,352 347,132
15. COMMUNITY, SOCIAL AND
PERSONAL SERVICES 1,389,516 1,565,516 1,764,017 1,945,345
GVA at basic price 11,412,612 12,805,005 14,449,873 16,434,126
Tax less subsidy 576,620 631,739 708,149 861,540
GDP at current market price 11,989,232 13,436,744 15,158,022 17,295,665
Growth rate 13.62 12.07 12.81 14.10
Note : p denotes provisional
43
Table 2. Sectoral Share of GDP at Current Prices, 2012-13 to 2015-16(p)

1. AGRICULTURE AND FORESTRY 13.03 12.81 12.21 11.52
a) Crops & horticulture 9.36 9.21 8.73 8.13
b) Animal Farmings 2.22 2.16 2.07 2.00
c) Forest and related services 1.45 1.44 1.42 1.39
2. FISHING 3.24 3.30 3.29 3.23
3. MINING AND QUARRYING 1.71 1.65 1.65 1.76
a) Natural gas and crude petroleum 0.70 0.64 0.64 0.65
b) Other mining & quarrying 1.01 1.01 1.02 1.10
4. MANUFACTURING 17.27 17.43 17.61 17.79
a) Large & medium scale 13.88 14.09 14.26 14.51
b) Small scale 3.39 3.35 3.36 3.28
5. ELECTRICITY, GAS AND WATER SUPPLY 1.44 1.44 1.37 1.37
a) Electricity 1.07 1.08 1.04 1.04
b) Gas 0.30 0.29 0.26 0.25
c) Water 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07
6. CONSTRUCTION 7.22 7.09 7.51 7.65
MOTORCYCLES AND PERSONAL AND
HOUSEHOLD GOODS 13.54 13.48 13.33 13.05
8. HOTEL AND RESTAURANTS 0.99 1.02 1.03 1.04
COMMUNICATION 10.89 10.49 10.38 10.31
a) Land Transport 8.08 7.76 7.76 7.80
b) Water transport 0.67 0.63 0.62 0.62
c) Air transport 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.08
d) Support transport services, storage 0.53 0.52 0.51 0.48
e) Post and Tele communications 1.52 1.50 1.40 1.33
10. FINANCIAL INTERMEDIATIONS 3.70 3.79 3.86 3.83
a) Monetary intermediation (Banks) 3.04 3.15 3.23 3.22
b) Insurance 0.43 0.42 0.41 0.39
c) Other financial intermediation 0.23 0.22 0.22 0.21
11. REAL ESTATE, RENTING AND BUSINESS
ACTIVITIES 6.91 7.12 7.34 7.51
12. PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION AND DEFENCE 3.30 3.49 3.51 4.27
13. EDUCATION 2.49 2.56 2.60 2.75
14. HEALTH AND SOCIAL WORKS 2.09 2.10 2.09 2.11
15. COMMUNITY, SOCIAL AND PERSONAL
SERVICES 12.18 12.23 12.21 11.84
GVA at current basic price 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
44
Table 3. Sectoral Growth Rate of GDP at Current Prices, 2012-13 to 2015-16(p)

2. FISHING 16.24 14.36 12.47 11.70
4. MANUFACTURING 17.39 13.24 14.01 14.85
b) Small scale 15.36 10.75 13.19 11.13
5. ELECTRICITY, GAS AND WATER SUPPLY 15.45 12.33 7.98 13.04
a) Electricity 19.42 13.69 8.88 13.75
b) Gas 4.48 6.63 3.01 9.60
c) Water 9.26 16.42 14.48 15.20
6. CONSTRUCTION 20.68 10.19 19.43 15.92
HOUSEHOLD GOODS 12.51 11.64 11.60 11.33
COMMUNICATION 10.27 8.08 11.70 12.91
a) Land Transport 10.60 7.73 12.87 14.29
c) Air transport 2.42 6.54 13.73 3.19
b) Insurance 7.32 9.02 10.70 9.12
ACTIVITIES 14.71 15.74 16.26 16.34
12. PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION AND DEFENCE 12.48 18.71 13.29 38.34
13. EDUCATION 13.50 15.26 14.82 19.96
SERVICES 18.47 12.67 12.68 10.28
GDP at current market price 13.62 12.07 12.81 14.10
45
Table 4. Gross Domestic Product of Bangladesh at Constant Prices, 2012-13 to 2015-16(p)
(Base: 2005-06)

1. AGRICULTURE AND FORESTRY 916,565 951,513 974,802 989,677
a) Crops & horticulture 664,270 689,378 701,996 705,512
b) Animal Farmings 128,927 132,581 136,666 141,048
c) Forest and related services 123,367 129,553 136,139 143,117
2. FISHING 257,795 274,189 291,695 309,759
a) Natural gas and crude petroleum 71,017 72,769 79,120 89,013
b) Other mining & quarrying 44,822 48,496 53,781 59,916
4. MANUFACTURING 1,329,941 1,446,534 1,595,680 1,760,008
a) Large & medium scale 1,084,362 1,185,403 1,312,254 1,456,683
b) Small scale 245,579 261,131 283,426 303,325
SUPPLY 101,257 105,853 112,435 124,974
a) Electricity 84,765 88,538 93,934 104,660
b) Gas 10,600 10,779 11,336 12,441
c) Water 5,892 6,536 7,164 7,873
6. CONSTRUCTION 483,046 522,087 566,983 617,291
HOUSEHOLD GOODS 981,731 1,047,757 1,114,256 1,187,870
COMMUNICATION 805,140 853,824 904,748 963,608
a) Land Transport 511,361 539,808 573,182 610,712
b) Water transport 58,588 60,433 62,622 64,855
c) Air transport 8,943 8,997 9,781 9,958
d) Support transport services, storage 47,187 48,407 51,005 53,479
e) Post and Tele communications 179,061 196,179 208,159 224,605
a) Monetary intermediation (Banks) 191,197 207,117 224,700 240,959
b) Insurance 27,098 27,517 28,604 29,364
c) Other financial intermediation 12,802 13,267 13,888 14,600
ACTIVITIES 495,089 516,147 538,880 563,203
DEFENCE 235,419 251,646 276,365 319,707
13. EDUCATION 156,447 167,809 181,250 206,222
SERVICES 706,426 729,554 753,518 778,400
GVA at constant basic price 6,999,363 7,429,801 7,915,384 8,475,686
Tax less subsidy 299,602 311,560 333,240 354,857
GDP at constant market price 7,298,965 7,741,361 8,248,624 8,830,544
Growth rate 6.01 6.06 6.55 7.05
46
Table 5. Sectoral Share of GDP at Constant Prices, 2012-13 to 2015-16(p)

2. FISHING 3.68 3.69 3.69 3.65
4. MANUFACTURING 19.00 19.47 20.16 20.77
b) Small scale 3.51 3.51 3.58 3.58
SUPPLY 1.45 1.42 1.42 1.47
a) Electricity 1.21 1.19 1.19 1.23
b) Gas 0.15 0.15 0.14 0.15
c) Water 0.08 0.09 0.09 0.09
6. CONSTRUCTION 6.90 7.03 7.16 7.28
HOUSEHOLD GOODS 14.03 14.10 14.08 14.02
COMMUNICATION 11.50 11.49 11.43 11.37
a) Land Transport 7.31 7.27 7.24 7.21
c) Air transport 0.13 0.12 0.12 0.12
b) Insurance 0.39 0.37 0.36 0.35
ACTIVITIES 7.07 6.95 6.81 6.64
DEFENCE 3.36 3.39 3.49 3.77
13. EDUCATION 2.24 2.26 2.29 2.43
SERVICES 10.09 9.82 9.52 9.18
GVA at constant basic price 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
47
Table 6. Sectoral Growth Rate of GDP at Constant Prices, 2012-13 to 2015-16(p)

2. FISHING 6.18 6.36 6.38 6.19
4. MANUFACTURING 10.31 8.77 10.31 10.30
b) Small scale 8.81 6.33 8.54 7.02
SUPPLY 8.99 4.54 6.22 11.15
a) Electricity 9.69 4.45 6.09 11.42
b) Gas 5.91 1.69 5.16 9.75
c) Water 4.75 10.93 9.62 9.89
6. CONSTRUCTION 8.04 8.08 8.60 8.87
HOUSEHOLD GOODS 6.18 6.73 6.35 6.61
COMMUNICATION 6.27 6.05 5.96 6.51
a) Land Transport 5.91 5.56 6.18 6.55
c) Air transport -1.64 0.61 8.71 1.81
b) Insurance 0.61 1.55 3.95 2.66
ACTIVITIES 4.04 4.25 4.40 4.51
DEFENCE 6.53 6.89 9.82 15.68
13. EDUCATION 6.30 7.26 8.01 13.78
SERVICES 3.25 3.27 3.28 3.30
GDP at constant market price 6.01 6.06 6.55 7.05
48
Table 7. Implicit GDP and Sectoral Deflators, 2012-13 to 2015-16(p)

2. FISHING 143.50 154.30 163.12 171.57
4. MANUFACTURING 148.22 154.31 159.48 166.07
b) Small scale 157.50 164.05 171.09 177.65
SUPPLY 161.78 173.83 176.71 179.70
a) Electricity 143.55 156.24 160.34 163.70
b) Gas 325.24 341.02 334.03 333.58
c) Water 129.92 136.36 142.41 149.28
6. CONSTRUCTION 170.65 173.98 191.34 203.72
HOUSEHOLD GOODS 157.46 164.71 172.84 180.50
COMMUNICATION 154.36 157.31 165.82 175.79
a) Land Transport 180.27 183.97 195.57 209.78
c) Air transport 117.09 124.00 129.72 131.49
b) Insurance 181.56 194.92 207.58 220.65
ACTIVITIES 159.20 176.75 196.82 219.09
DEFENCE 160.05 177.74 183.36 219.27
13. EDUCATION 181.72 195.27 207.58 218.85
COMMUNITY, SOCIAL AND PERSONAL
15. SERVICES 196.70 214.59 234.10 249.92
GDP Deflator 164.26 173.57 183.76 195.86
49
Table 8. Per capita GDP, GNI and NNI at Current Prices, 2012-13 to 2015-16(p)
2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16(p)
GDP (Mill. Tk.) 11,989,232 13,436,744 15,158,022 17,295,665
GNI (Mill. Tk.) 12,953,523 14,332,238 16,142,043 18,314,994
NNI (Mill. Tk.) 11,916,816 13,167,213 14,827,753 16,817,263
Population (Mill. No.) 153.7 155.8 157.9 159.9
Per capita GDP (In Tk.) 78,009 86,266 96,004 108,172
Per capita GNI (In Tk.) 84,283 92,015 102,236 114,547
Per capita NNI (In Tk.) 77,538 84,535 93,912 105,180
Exchange rate (Taka per US$) 79.93 77.72 77.67 78.15
Per capita GDP (In US $) 976 1,110 1,236 1,384
Per capita GNI (In US $) 1,054 1,184 1,316 1,466
Per capita NNI (In US $) 970 1,088 1,209 1,346
Table 9. Per Capita Real GDP, GNI and NNI, 2012-13 to 2015-16(p)
2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16(p)
GDP (Mill. Tk.) 7,298,965 7,741,361 8,248,624 8,830,544
GNI (Mill. Tk.) 7,886,019 8,257,285 8,784,104 9,350,976
NNI (Mill. Tk.) 7,250,206 7,581,308 8,064,160 8,578,541
Population (Mill. No.) 153.7 155.8 157.9 159.9
Per capita GDP (In Tk.) 47,491 49,701 52,243 55,229
Per capita GNI (In Tk.) 51,311 53,013 55,634 58,484
Per capita NNI (In Tk.) 47,174 48,673 51,075 53,653
50
Table 10. Gross Domestic Product of Bangladesh at Current Prices by Major Economic
Activity, 2012-13 to 2015-16(p)

1. AGRICULTURE AND FORESTRY 1,487,578 1,639,682 1,764,997 1,892,720
2. FISHING 369,946 423,076 475,813 531,462
4. MANUFACTURING 1,971,272 2,232,207 2,544,831 2,922,821
5. ELECTRICITY, GAS AND WATER SUPPLY 163,812 184,006 198,682 224,585
6. CONSTRUCTION 824,321 908,336 1,084,839 1,257,537
7. WHOLESALE AND RETAIL TRADE; REPAIR
OF MOTOR VEHICLES, MOTORCYCLES
AND PERSONAL AND HOUSEHOLD GOODS 1,545,794 1,725,752 1,925,854 2,144,067
COMMUNICATION 1,242,805 1,343,166 1,500,253 1,693,965

ACTIVITIES 788,200 912,291 1,060,609 1,233,924
12. PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION AND DEFENCE 376,782 447,278 506,741 701,031
13. EDUCATION 284,293 327,673 376,240 451,324

SERVICES 1,389,516 1,565,516 1,764,017 1,945,345
GVA at current basic price 11,412,612 12,805,005 14,449,873 16,434,126
Tax less subsidy 576,620 631,739 708,149 861,540
GDP at current market price 11,989,232 13,436,744 15,158,022 17,295,665
Net primary income from abroad 964,291 895,494 984,021 1,019,329
GNI at current market price 12,953,523 14,332,238 16,142,043 18,314,994
Consumption of fixed capital 1,036,707 1,165,025 1,314,290 1,497,732
NNI at current market price 11,916,816 13,167,213 14,827,753 16,817,263
Population (In Million) 153.7 155.8 157.9 159.9
Per capita GDP at current market price 78,009 86,266 96,004 108,172
Per capita GNI at current market price 84,283 92,015 102,236 114,547
Per capita NNI at current market price 77,538 84,535 93,912 105,180
51
Table 11. Gross Domestic Product of Bangladesh at Current Prices by Broad Industry
Sector, 2012-13 to 2015-16(p)
Broad industry sector 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16(p)

GDP
1. AGRICULTURE 1,857,524 2,062,758 2,240,810 2,424,182
2. INDUSTRY 3,154,016 3,535,349 4,067,108 4,693,740
3. SERVICES 6,401,073 7,206,899 8,141,955 9,316,204
GVA Current basic price 11,412,612 12,805,005 14,449,873 16,434,126
1. AGRICULTURE 16.28 16.11 15.51 14.75

2. INDUSTRY 27.64 27.61 28.15 28.56
3. SERVICES 56.09 56.28 56.35 56.69
GVA Current basic price 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
1. AGRICULTURE 8.81 11.05 8.63 8.18

2. INDUSTRY 18.10 12.09 15.04 15.41
3. SERVICES 14.13 12.59 12.97 14.42
GVA Current basic price 14.28 12.20 12.85 13.73
Table 12. Sectoral Share of GDP at Current Prices by Major Economic Activity, 2012-13 to
2015-16(p)

1. Agriculture and forestry 13.03 12.81 12.21 11.52
2. Fishing 3.24 3.30 3.29 3.23
3. Mining and quarrying 1.71 1.65 1.65 1.76
4. Manufacturing 17.27 17.43 17.61 17.79
5. Electricity, gas and water supply 1.44 1.44 1.37 1.37
6. Construction 7.22 7.09 7.51 7.65
7. Wholesale and retail trade; repair of motor
vehicles, motorcycles and personal and
household goods 13.54 13.48 13.33 13.05
8. Hotel and restaurants 0.99 1.02 1.03 1.04
9. Transport, storage & communication 10.89 10.49 10.38 10.31
10. Financial intermediations 3.70 3.79 3.86 3.83
11. Real estate, renting and business activities 6.91 7.12 7.34 7.51
12. Public administration and defence 3.30 3.49 3.51 4.27
13. Education 2.49 2.56 2.60 2.75
14. Health and social works 2.09 2.10 2.09 2.11
15. Community, social and personal services 12.18 12.23 12.21 11.84
52
Table 13. Sectoral Growth Rate of GDP at Current Prices by Major Economic Sector, 2012-
13 to 2015-16(p)
2. Fishing 16.24 14.36 12.47 11.70
4. Manufacturing 17.39 13.24 14.01 14.85
6. Construction 20.68 10.19 19.43 15.92

vehicles, motorcycles and personal and household
goods 12.51 11.64 11.60 11.33
12. Public administration and defence 12.48 18.71 13.29 38.34
13. Education 13.50 15.26 14.82 19.96
53
Table 14. Gross Domestic Product of Bangladesh at Constant Prices by Major Economic
Sector, 2012-13 to 2015-16(p)
1. AGRICULTURE AND FORESTRY 916,565 951,513 974,802 989,677

2. FISHING 257,795 274,189 291,695 309,759
4. MANUFACTURING 1,329,941 1,446,534 1,595,680 1,760,008
5. ELECTRICITY, GAS AND WATER SUPPLY 101,257 105,853 112,435 124,974
6. CONSTRUCTION 483,046 522,087 566,983 617,291
HOUSEHOLD GOODS 981,731 1,047,757 1,114,256 1,187,870
COMMUNICATION 805,140 853,824 904,748 963,608
ACTIVITIES 495,089 516,147 538,880 563,203
12. PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION AND DEFENCE 235,419 251,646 276,365 319,707
13. EDUCATION 156,447 167,809 181,250 206,222
SERVICES 706,426 729,554 753,518 778,400
Tax less subsidy 299,602 311,560 333,240 354,857
GDP at constant market price 7,298,965 7,741,361 8,248,624 8,830,544
Net primary income from abroad 587,054 515,924 535,480 520,433
GNI at constant market price 7,886,019 8,257,285 8,784,104 9,350,976
Consumption of fixed capital 635,813 675,978 719,945 772,436
NNI at constant market price 7,250,206 7,581,308 8,064,160 8,578,541
Population (In Million) 153.7 155.8 157.9 159.9
Per capita GDP at constant market price 47,491 49,701 52,243 55,229
Per capita GNI at constant market price 51,311 53,013 55,634 58,484
Per capita NNI at constant market price 47,174 48,673 51,075 53,653
54
Table 15. Gross Domestic Product of Bangladesh at Constant Prices by Broad Industry
Sector, 2012-13 to 2015-16(p)
Broad industry sector 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16(p)

GDP
1. AGRICULTURE 1,174,360 1,225,702 1,266,498 1,299,436
2. INDUSTRY 2,030,084 2,195,739 2,407,999 2,651,202
3. SERVICES 3,794,920 4,008,360 4,240,887 4,525,048
1. AGRICULTURE 16.78 16.50 16.00 15.33

2. INDUSTRY 29.00 29.55 30.42 31.28
3. SERVICES 54.22 53.95 53.58 53.39
1. AGRICULTURE 2.46 4.37 3.33 2.60

2. INDUSTRY 9.64 8.16 9.67 10.10
3. SERVICES 5.51 5.62 5.80 6.70
Table 16. Sectoral Share of GDP at Constant Prices by Major Economic Sector, 2012-13 to
2015-16(p)

2. Fishing 3.68 3.69 3.69 3.65
4. Manufacturing 19.00 19.47 20.16 20.77
6. Construction 6.90 7.03 7.16 7.28
vehicles, motorcycles and personal and household
goods 14.03 14.10 14.08 14.02
12. Public administration and defense 3.36 3.39 3.49 3.77
13. Education 2.24 2.26 2.29 2.43
55
Table 17. Sectoral Growth Rate of GDP at Constant Prices by Major Economic Sector,
2011-12 to 2014-15(p)
1. Agriculture and forestry 1.47 3.81

2.45 1.53
2. Fishing 6.18 6.36
6.38 6.19
3. Mining and quarrying 9.35 4.68
9.60 12.06
4. Manufacturing 10.31 8.77
10.31 10.30
5. Electricity, gas and water supply 8.99 4.54
6.22 11.15
6. Construction 8.04 8.08
8.60 8.87
vehicles, motorcycles and personal and
household goods 6.18 6.73
6.35 6.61
8. Hotel and restaurants 6.49 6.70
6.83 7.00
9. Transport, storage & communication 6.27 6.05
5.96 6.51
10. Financial intermediations 9.11 7.27
7.78 6.64
11. Real estate, renting and business activities 4.04 4.25
4.40 4.51
12. Public administration and defense 6.53 6.89
9.82 15.68
13. Education 6.30 7.26
8.01 13.78
14. Health and social works 4.76 5.06
5.18 8.45
15. Community, social and personal services 3.25 3.27
3.28 3.30
GDP at constant basic price 6.14 6.15
6.54 7.08
56
Table 18: Gross Domestic Product by Expenditure Categories at Current Prices,
2012-13 to 2015-16(p)
(Million Tk.)
2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16(p)
Domestic demand (1)+(2) 12,750,971 14308511 16,177,888 18,244,786
Consumption (1) 9,347,273 10,468,575 11,799,237 13,163,404
Private 8,733,888 9751386 10,980,061 12,143,948
General Govt. 613,385 717,189 819,176 1,019,456
Investment (2) 3,403,697 3,839,936 4378650.9 5081382.2
Private 2,607,486 2960024 3,344,722 3,767,549
Public 796,211 879912 1,033,929 1,313,833
Resource balance (3)-(4) -865,701 -878,059 -1,123,611 -857,399
Exports (3) 2,342,441 2551592 2,627,897 2,814,678
Imports (4) 3,208,142 3429651 3,751,508 3,672,077
Gross Domestic Exp. at market price (m..p) 11,885,270 13,430,452 15,054,277 17,387,387
Gross Domestic Product at m.p.(5) 11,989,232 13,436,744 15,158,022 17,295,664
Statistical Discrepancy (6) 103,962 6,292 103,745 -91,723
Net factor income from abroad (7) 964,291 895494 984,021 1,019,330
Gross National Income at m.p. (8)=(5)+(7) 12,953,523 14,332,238 16,142,043 18,314,994
Net current transfers from abroad (9) 53,749 63342 56,001 90,671
Gross Disposible National Income
13,007,272 14,395,580 16,198,044 18,405,665
(10)=(8)+(9)
Gross Domestic saving (11)=(5)-(1) 2,641,959 2,968,169 3,358,785 4,132,260
Gross National saving (12)=(10)-(1) 3,659,999 3,927,005 4,398,807 5,242,262
Current Account Balance (13)=(12)-(2)-(6) 152,339 80,777 -83,589 252,603
Memo items: (% of GDP)
Consumption 77.96 77.91 77.84 76.11
Private 72.85 72.57 72.44 70.21
General Govt. 5.12 5.34 5.40 5.89
Investment 28.39 28.58 28.89 29.38
Private 21.75 22.03 22.07 21.78
Public 6.64 6.55 6.82 7.60
Exports of goods & services 19.54 18.99 17.34 16.27
Imports of goods & services 26.76 25.52 24.75 21.23
Gross Domestic saving 22.04 22.09 22.16 23.89
Gross National saving 30.53 29.23 29.02 30.31
Note: p denotes provisional.
57
Table 19: Gross Domestic Product by Expenditure Categories at Constant Prices,
2012-13 to 2015-16(p)
(Million Tk)
2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16(p)
Domestic demand (1)+(2) 7,490,025 7,933,480 8,438,208 9,000,563
Consumption (1) 5,282,071 5,507,931 5,839,989 6,170,876
Private 4,913,936 5,110,768 5,408,068 5,692,703
General Govt. 368,135 397,163 431,921 478,173
Investment (2) 2,207,954 2,425,549 2,598,219 2,829,687
Private 1,713,349 1,873,379 1,986,084 2,095,903
Public 494,605 552,170 612,135 733,785
Resource balance (3)-(4) -255,176 -228,952 -325,733 -173,036
Exports (3) 1,436,734 1,482,726 1,440,765 1,436,174
Imports (4) 1,691,911 1,711,678 1,766,498 1,609,210
Gross Domestic Exp. at market price(m.p.) 7234849 7704528 8112474.4 8827527.5
Gross Domestic Product at m.p. (5) 7298965 7741361 8248624 8830544
Statistical Discrepancy(6) 64,116 36,833 136,150 3,016
Net factor income from abroad(7) 587,054 515,924 535,480 520,433
Gross National Income at m.p. (8)=(5)+(7) 7,886,019 8,257,285 8,784,104 9,350,977
Net current transfers from abroad (9) 32,722 36,493 30,474 46,293
Gross Disposible National Income (10)=(8)+(9) 7,918,741 8,293,779 8,814,578 9,397,271
GDP Deflator 164.26 173.57 183.76 195.86
(Implicit deflators : base=2005-06)
Final consumption expenditure
Consumer prices index 177.74 190.80 203.03 213.32
Special Government employees Index 166.62 180.58 189.66 213.20
Gross capital formation
Other construction (Kutcha) 156.31 165.86 176.47 183.23
Wage rate Index (Agriculture) 192.72 205.54 218.55 230.64
Construction Materiel Price Index
190.97 203.94
(Building Materiel Price Index) 173.24 179.13
Planted Machinery 115.71 119.76 120.61 127.52
Transport equipment 144.39 149.53 150.59 154.62
Other capital goods 139.05 143.96
Unit price Index
Export 163.04 172.09 182.40 195.98
Import 189.62 200.37 212.37 228.19
Annual percentage change
Final consumption expenditure : 5.17 4.28 6.03 5.67
Household final consumption expenditure 5.13 4.01 5.82 5.26
General govt. final consumption expenditure 5.79 7.89 8.75 10.71
Gross capital formation 5.36 9.86 7.12 8.91
Exports of goods and services 2.45 3.20 -2.83 -0.32
Imports of goods and services 1.22 1.17 3.20 -8.90
Note: p denotes provisional.
58
Table 20. Final consumption expenditure by basic heading at current prices
ICP Basic Consumption expenditure (Million Tk.)
codes Main Aggregates categories headings 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16(p)
A. Household Consumption
1.01.00.0 Food and non-alcoholic
beverages 29 4,531,838 5,056,238 5,687,635 6,285,211
1.01.10.0 Food 27 4,513,090 5,035,423 5,664,199 6,259,068
1.01.11.0 Bread and cereals 5 2,013,936 2,245,477 2,526,452 2,792,836
1.01.11.1 Rice 1,757,215 1,960,096 2,205,627 2,437,706
1.01.11.2 Other cereals, flour and other
cereal products 136,757 152,223 171,395 189,897
1.01.11.3 Bread 9,310 10,263 11,559 12,911
1.01.11.4 Other bakery products 37,170 41,164 46,852 51,661
1.01.11.5 Pasta products 73,484 81,731 91,020 100,661
1.01.12.0 Meat 5 293,244 322,871 361,685 400,534
1.01.12.1 Beef and veal 173,544 189,543 212,581 234,793
1.01.12.2 Pork - - - -
1.01.12.3 Lamb, mutton and goat 15,952 17,651 19,372 21,977
1.01.12.4 Poultry 97,009 108,201 121,311 134,419
1.01.12.5 Other meats and meat preparations 6,740 7,476 8,420 9,346
1.01.13.0 Fish and seafood 2 570,437 647,790 728,523 800,738
1.01.13.1 Fresh, chilled or frozen fish and
seafood 545,001 619,431 696,095 765,394
1.01.13.2 Preserved or processed fish and
seafood 25,437 28,359 32,429 35,344
1.01.14.0 Milk, cheese and eggs 4 242,121 269,530 302,287 334,005
1.01.14.1 Fresh milk 132,384 147,623 165,202 182,957
1.01.14.2 Preserved milk and other milk
products 42,309 46,977 52,711 58,070
1.01.14.3 Cheese 2,962 3,247 3,658 4,029
1.01.14.4 Eggs and egg-based products 64,466 71,683 80,715 88,949
1.01.15.0 Oils and fats 2 167,703 186,739 210,276 233,660
1.01.15.1 Butter and margarine 1,466 1,619 1,823 2,029
1.01.15.2 Other edible oil and fats 166,237 185,120 208,453 231,630
1.01.16.0 Fruits 2 134,974 147,516 166,462 183,411
1.01.16.1 Fresh or chilled fruit 134,917 147,453 165,391 183,333
1.01.16.2 Frozen , preserved or processed
fruit and fruit-based products 58 63 70 78
1.01.17.0 Vegetables 3 478,373 533,478 600,617 664,231
Contd.
59
1.01.17.1 Fresh or chilled vegetables other
than potatoes 292,263 325,903 366,922 406,877
1.01.17.2 Fresh or chilled potatoes 128,291 143,059 161,064 177,293
1.01.17.3 Frozen, preserved or processed
vegetables and vegetable-based
products 57,819 64,516 72,631 80,061
1.01.18.0 Sugar, jam ,honey, chocolate and
confectionery 3 63,856 70,958 79,885 88,711
1.01.18.1 Sugar 40,440 45,121 50,795 56,510
1.01.18.2 Jam, marmalades and honey 17,791 19,663 22,137 24,559
1.01.18.3 Chocolate, confectionery and ice
cream 5,625 6,175 6,952 7,641
1.01.19.0 Food products i.e. 1 548,446 611,064 688,013 760,942
1.01.20.0 Non-alcoholic beverage 2 18,748 20,815 23,436 26,143
1.01.21.0 Coffee, tea and cocoa 14,886 16,545 18,627 20,643
1.01.22.0 Mineral water, soft drinks, fruit
and vegetable juices 3,862 4,270 4,808 5,500
1.02.00.0 Alcoholic beverage, tobacco and
narcotics 5 191,221 200,039 222,448 245,504
1.02.10.0 Alcoholic beverages 3 - - - -
1.02.11.0 Spirits - - - -
1.02.12.0 Wine - - - -
1.02.13.0 Beer - - - -
1.02.20.0 Tobacco 1 104,511 109,356 121,140 133,971
1.02.30.0 Narcotics 1 86,710 90,683 101,308 111,533
1.03.00.0 Clothing and footwear 5 528,548 593,597 668,484 740,004
1.03.10.0 Clothing 3 470,886 529,313 596,096 660,265
1.03.11.0 Clothing materials, other articles
of clothing and clothing
accessories 36,600 41,209 46,532 51,828
1.03.12.0 Garments 431,669 485,174 546,265 604,759
1.03.14.0 Cleaning, repair and hire of
clothing 2,617 2,929 3,298 3,677
1.03.20.0 Footwear 2 57,662 64,285 72,388 79,739
1.03.21.0 Shoes and other footwear 57,132 63,692 72,221 79,103
1.03.22.0 Repair and hire of footwear 529 592 667 737
1.04.00.0 Housing, water, electricity, gas
and other fuels 7 1,434,639 1,606,272 1,808,212 2,002,683
1.04.10.0 Actual and imputed rentals for
housing 1 717,106 808,012 908,782 1,006,990
Contd.
60
1.04.30.0 Maintenance and repair of the
dwelling 1 150,177 166,873 187,880 207,252
1.04.40.0 Water supply and miscellaneous
services relating to the dwelling 2 10,672 11,851 13,541 14,905
1.04.41.0 Water supply 7,624 8,476 9,741 10,684
1.04.42.0 Miscellaneous services relating to
the dwelling 3,048 3,375 3,800 4,220
1.04.50.0 Electricity, gas and other fuels 3 556,685 619,536 698,009 773,536
1.04.51.0 Electricity 97,833 108,491 122,574 135,985
1.04.52.0 Gas 28,733 31,859 35,966 40,089
1.04.53.0 Other fuels 430,119 479,186 539,469 597,461
1.05.00.0 Furnishings, household
equipment and routine
household maintenance 13 285,281 319,265 360,200 398,294
1.05.10.0 Furniture and furnishings, carpets
and other floor coverings 3 61,227 68,799 77,936 87,000
1.05.11.0 Furniture and furnishings 59,093 66,425 75,265 84,032
1.05.12.0 Carpets and other floor coverings 456 511 575 647
1.05.13.0 Repair of furniture, furnishings
and floor coverings 1,679 1,862 2,096 2,321
1.05.20.0 Household textiles 1 43,863 49,071 55,448 61,076
1.05.30.0 Household appliances 3 5,510 6,108 6,978 7,676
1.05.31.0 Major household appliances
whether electricity or not 3,771 4,166 4,793 5,256
1.05.32.0 Small electricity household
appliances 1,287 1,434 1,613 1,784
1.05.33.0 Repair of household appliances 452 508 572 636
1.05.40.0 Glassware, tableware and
household utensils 1 16,466 18,256 20,555 22,753
1.05.50.0 Tools and equipment for house and
garden 2 920 1,033 1,163 1,325
1.05.51.0 Major tools and equipment 274 306 345 380
1.05.52.0 Small tools and miscellaneous
accessories 646 724 817 917
1.05.60.0 Goods and services for routine
household maintenance 3 157,294 175,999 198,120 218,465
1.05.61.0 Non-durable household goods 85,790 95,581 107,625 118,791
1.05.62.0 Domestic services and household
services 71,503 80,418 90,496 99,674
1.05.62.1 Domestic services 71,453 80,062 90,333 99,175
1.05.62.2 Household services 50 56 63 69
Contd.
61
1.06.00.0 Health 7 230,784 260,166 294,846 326,714
1.06.10.0 Medical products, appliances and
equipment 3 166,267 187,226 211,266 233,594
1.06.11.0 Pharmaceutical products 162,368 182,854 206,344 228,005
1.06.12.0 Other medical products 3,245 3,646 4,104 4,675
1.06.13.0 Therapeutic appliances and
equipment 653 726 818 914
1.06.20.0 Out-patient services 3 44,213 50,163 56,945 63,140
1.06.21.0 Medical services 29,617 33,745 38,469 42,397
1.06.22.0 Dental services 677 766 861 967
1.06.23.0 Paramedical services 13,919 15,652 17,614 19,776
1.06.30.0 Hospital services 1 20,304 22,776 26,635 29,980
1.07.00.0 Transport 13 372,618 408,322 463,007 512,360
1.07.10.0 Purchase of vehicles 4 64,779 70,118 78,859 87,074
1.07.11.0 Motor cars 25,590 27,969 31,700 34,742
1.07.12.0 Motor cycles 10,835 11,508 12,861 14,391
1.07.13.0 Bicycles 17,384 18,846 21,122 23,353
1.07.14.0 Animal drawn vehicles 10,970 11,796 13,177 14,587
1.07.20.0 Operation of personal transport
equipment 3 52,829 57,747 65,496 71,807
1.07.22.0 Fuels and lubricants for personal
transport equipment 20,497 22,262 25,189 27,775
1.07.23.0 Maintenance and repair of personal
transport equipment 19,441 21,316 24,192 26,455
1.07.24.0 Other services in respect of
personal transport equipment 12,891 14,169 16,114 17,577
1.07.30.0 Transport services 6 255,009 280,457 318,652 353,480
1.07.31.0 Passenger transport by railway 2,657 2,904 3,311 3,829
1.07.32.0 Passenger transport by road 200,499 219,974 249,580 277,521
1.07.33.0 Passenger transport by air 1,493 1,618 1,869 2,089
1.07.34.0 Passenger transport by sea and
inland waterway 15,433 16,820 19,833 21,486
1.07.35.0 Combined passenger transport - - - -
1.07.36.0 Other purchased transport services 34,928 39,141 44,059 48,555
1.08.00.0 Communication 3 42,203 46,558 53,705 59,713
1.08.10.0 Postal services 5,322 5,678 6,629 7,025
1.08.20.0 Telephone and telefax equipment 4,278 4,744 5,418 6,042
Contd.
62
1.08.20.0 Telephone and telefax services 32,603 36,136 41,657 46,646
1.09.00.0 Recreation and culture 13 59,232 66,096 74,839 82,079
1.09.10.0 Audio-visual, photographic and
information processing equipment 3 48,468 54,003 61,224 67,116
information processing equipment 26,250 29,050 33,096 36,244
1.09.14.0 Recording media 17,794 20,028 22,547 24,743
1.09.15.0 Repair of audio-visual,
photographic and information
processing equipment 4,423 4,925 5,582 6,130
1.09.20.0 Other major durables for recreation
and culture 2 133 147 166 183
1.09.21.0 Major durable for outdoor and
indoor recreation 65 72 81 89
1.09.23.0 Maintenance and repair of other
major durables for recreation and
culture 68 76 85 94
1.09.30.0 Other recreational items and
equipment, gardens and pets 3 564 630 710 782
1.09.31.0 Other recreational items and
equipments 509 569 640 706
1.09.33.0 Gardens and pets 55 61 69 76
1.09.35.0 Veterinary and other services for
pets - - - -
1.09.40.0 Recreation and cultural services 3 6,314 7,087 7,976 8,744
1.09.41.0 Recreational and sporting services 3,327 3,723 4,191 4,591
1.09.42.0 Cultural services 2,988 3,364 3,785 4,152
1.09.43.0 Games of chance - - - -
1.09.50.0 Newspapers, books and stationery 1 3,449 3,887 4,380 4,830
1.09.60.0 Package holidays 1 305 341 384 424
1.10.00.0 Education 1 365,836 417,251 471,447 522,351
1.11.00.0 Restaurants and hotels 2 201,622 227,834 256,664 283,387
1.11.10.0 Catering services 163,215 184,201 207,160 228,652
1.11.20.0 Accommodation services 38,408 43,633 49,503 54,735
1.12.00.0 Miscellaneous goods and services 10 330,972 370,266 417,915 459,266
1.12.10.0 Personal care 2 127,033 142,216 160,480 176,291
1.12.11.0 Hairdressing salon and personal
grooming establishments 21,841 24,450 27,680 30,117
1.12.12 Appliances, articles and products
for personal care 105,193 117,766 132,799 146,174
1.12.20.0 Prostitution 1 - -
Contd.
63
1.12.30.0 Personal effects n.e.c 2 150,541 168,621 190,083 208,951
1.12.31.0 Jewellery, clock and watch 150,098 168,125 189,524 208,336
1.12.32.0 Other personal effects 443 496 559 615
1.12.40.0 Social protection 1 - - - -
1.12.50.0 Insurance 1 7,089 7,890 8,957 9,855
1.12.60.0 Financial services n.e.c 2 - - - -
1.12.61.0 FISIM - - - -
1.12.62.0 Other financial services i.e. - - - -
1.12.70.0 Other services i.e. 1 46,309 51,540 58,395 64,169
1.13.00.0 Net purchases abroad 2 - - - -
1.13.11.1 Purchases by residential
households in the rest of the world - - - -
1.13.11.2 Purchases by non-residential
households in the economic
territory of the country - - - -
Total 110 8,574,794 9,571,905 10,779,402 11,917,565
B. NPISHs Consumption -
2.00.00.0 Individual consumption
expenditure by NPISHs 1 159094 179,481 200,659 226,383
C. Government Consumption 613,385 717,189 819,176 1,019,456
3.00.00.0 Individual consumption
expenditure by Government 21 181,922 206,189 235,510 293,089
4.00.00.0 Collective consumption
expenditure by Government 5 431,463 511,000 583,666 726,367
D. Expenditure on Capital
Formation
5.00.00.0 Gross fixed capital formation 12 3403697 3,839,936 4,378,651 5,081,382
6.00.00.0 Changes in inventories and
acquisition less disposals of
valuables 4
E. Balance of Payment
7.01.11.0 Balance of exports and imports 2 -865701 -878,059 -1123611 -857399
7.01.11.1 Exports of goods and services 2342441 2,551,592 2,627,897 2,814,678
7.01.11.2 Imports of goods and services 3208142 3,429,651
3,751,508 3,672,077
GDP at Expenditure based 155 11,885,270 13,430,452 15,054,277 17,387,387
Note: All figures are highly provisional and subject to revision, p denotes provisional estimates
64
Table 21. Share of Expenditure by Basic Heading at Current Prices
Basic Share of Total GDE
ICP codes Main Aggregates categories headings
2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16(p)
1.01.00.0 Food and non-alcoholic beverages 29 38.13 37.65 37.78 36.15
1.01.10.0 Food 27 37.97 37.49 37.63 36.00
1.01.11.0 Bread and cereals 5 16.94 16.72 16.78 16.06
1.01.11.1 Rice 14.78 14.59 14.65 14.02
1.01.11.2 Other cereals, flour and other cereal
products 1.15 1.13 1.14 1.09
1.01.11.3 Bread 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.07
1.01.11.4 Other bakery products 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.30
1.01.11.5 Pasta products 0.62 0.61 0.60 0.58
1.01.12.0 Meat 5 2.47 2.40 2.40 2.30
1.01.12.1 Beef and veal 1.46 1.41 1.41 1.35
1.01.12.2 Pork - - - -
1.01.12.3 Lamb, mutton and goat 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13
1.01.12.4 Poultry 0.82 0.81 0.81 0.77
1.01.12.5 Other meats and meat preparations 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.05
1.01.13.0 Fish and seafood 2 4.80 4.82 4.84 4.61
1.01.13.1 Fresh, chilled or frozen fish and seafood 4.59 4.61 4.62 4.40
1.01.13.2 Preserved or processed fish and seafood 0.21 0.21 0.22 0.20
1.01.14.0 Milk, cheese and eggs 4 2.04 2.01 2.01 1.92
1.01.14.1 Fresh milk 1.11 1.10 1.10 1.05
1.01.14.2 Preserved milk and other milk products 0.36 0.35 0.35 0.33
1.01.14.3 Cheese 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02
1.01.14.4 Eggs and egg-based products 0.54 0.53 0.54 0.51
1.01.15.0 Oils and fats 2 1.41 1.39 1.40 1.34
1.01.15.1 Butter and margarine 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01
1.01.15.2 Other edible oil and fats 1.40 1.38 1.38 1.33
1.01.16.0 Fruits 2 1.14 1.10 1.11 1.05
1.01.16.1 Fresh or chilled fruit 1.14 1.10 1.10 1.05
1.01.16.2 Frozen , preserved or processed fruit and
fruit-based products 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
1.01.17.0 Vegetables 3 4.02 3.97 3.99 3.82
1.01.17.1 Fresh or chilled vegetables other than
potatoes 2.46 2.43 2.44 2.34
1.01.17.2 Fresh or chilled potatoes 1.08 1.07 1.07 1.02
Contd.
65
2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16(p)
1.01.17.3 Frozen, preserved or processed vegetables
and vegetable-based products 0.49 0.48 0.48 0.46
1.01.18.0 Sugar, jam ,honey, chocolate and
confectionery 3 0.54 0.53 0.53 0.51
1.01.18.1 Sugar 0.34 0.34 0.34 0.33
1.01.18.2 Jam, marmalades and honey 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.14
1.01.18.3 Chocolate, confectionery and ice cream 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.04
1.01.19.0 Food products i.e. 1 4.61 4.55 4.57 4.38
1.01.20.0 Non-alcoholic beverage 2 0.16 0.15 0.16 0.15
1.01.21.0 Coffee, tea and cocoa 0.13 0.12 0.12 0.12
1.01.22.0 Mineral water, soft drinks, fruit and
vegetable juices 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03
1.02.00.0 Alcoholic beverage, tobacco and
narcotics 5 1.61 1.49 1.48 1.41
1.02.10.0 Alcoholic beverages 3 - - - -
1.02.11.0 Spirits - - - -
1.02.12.0 Wine - - - -
1.02.13.0 Beer - - - -
1.02.20.0 Tobacco 1 0.88 0.81 0.80 0.77
1.02.30.0 Narcotics 1 0.73 0.68 0.67 0.64
1.03.00.0 Clothing and footwear 5 4.45 4.42 4.44 4.26
1.03.10.0 Clothing 3 3.96 3.94 3.96 3.80
1.03.11.0 Clothing materials, other articles of
clothing and clothing accessories 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.30
1.03.12.0 Garments 3.63 3.61 3.63 3.48
1.03.14.0 Cleaning, repair and hire of clothing 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02
1.03.20.0 Footwear 2 0.49 0.48 0.48 0.46
1.03.21.0 Shoes and other footwear 0.48 0.47 0.48 0.45
1.03.22.0 Repair and hire of footwear 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
1.04.00.0 Housing, water, electricity, gas and
other fuels 7 12.07 11.96 12.01 11.52
1.04.10.0 Actual and imputed rentals for housing 1 6.03 6.02 6.04 5.79
1.04.30.0 Maintenance and repair of the dwelling 1 1.26 1.24 1.25 1.19
1.04.40.0 Water supply and miscellaneous services
relating to the dwelling 2 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09
1.04.41.0 Water supply 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06
Contd.
66
2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16(p)
1.04.42.0 Miscellaneous services relating to the
dwelling 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.02
1.04.50.0 Electricity, gas and other fuels 3 4.68 4.61 4.64 4.45
1.04.51.0 Electricity 0.82 0.81 0.81 0.78
1.04.52.0 Gas 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.23
1.04.53.0 Other fuels 3.62 3.57 3.58 3.44
1.05.00.0 Furnishings, household equipment and
routine household maintenance 13 2.40 2.38 2.39 2.29
1.05.10.0 Furniture and furnishings, carpets and
other floor coverings 3 0.52 0.51 0.52 0.50
1.05.11.0 Furniture and furnishings 0.50 0.49 0.50 0.48
1.05.12.0 Carpets and other floor coverings 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
1.05.13.0 Repair of furniture, furnishings and floor
coverings 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01
1.05.20.0 Household textiles 1 0.37 0.37 0.37 0.35
1.05.30.0 Household appliances 3 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.04
1.05.31.0 Major household appliances whether
electricity or not 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03
1.05.32.0 Small electricity household appliances 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01
1.05.33.0 Repair of household appliances 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
1.05.40.0 Glassware, tableware and household
utensils 1 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.13
1.05.50.0 Tools and equipment for house and garden 2 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01
1.05.51.0 Major tools and equipment 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
1.05.52.0 Small tools and miscellaneous accessories 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01
1.05.60.0 Goods and services for routine household
maintenance 3 1.32 1.31 1.32 1.26
1.05.61.0 Non-durable household goods 0.72 0.71 0.71 0.68
1.05.62.0 Domestic services and household services 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.57
1.05.62.1 Domestic services 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.57
1.05.62.2 Household services 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
1.06.00.0 Health 7 1.94 1.94 1.96 1.88
1.06.10.0 Medical products, appliances and
equipment 3 1.40 1.39 1.40 1.34
1.06.11.0 Pharmaceutical products 1.37 1.36 1.37 1.31
Contd.
67
2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16(p)
1.06.12.0 Other medical products 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03
1.06.13.0 Therapeutic appliances and equipment 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01
1.06.20.0 Out-patient services 3 0.37 0.37 0.38 0.36
1.06.21.0 Medical services 0.25 0.25 0.26 0.24
1.06.22.0 Dental services 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01
1.06.23.0 Paramedical services 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.11
1.06.30.0 Hospital services 1 0.17 0.17 0.18 0.17
1.07.00.0 Transport 13 3.14 3.04 3.08 2.95
1.07.10.0 Purchase of vehicles 4 0.55 0.52 0.52 0.50
1.07.11.0 Motor cars 0.22 0.21 0.21 0.20
1.07.12.0 Motor cycles 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.08
1.07.13.0 Bicycles 0.15 0.14 0.14 0.13
1.07.14.0 Animal drawn vehicles 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.08
1.07.20.0 Operation of personal transport equipment 3 0.44 0.43 0.44 0.41
1.07.22.0 Fuels and lubricants for personal transport
equipment 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.16
1.07.23.0 Maintenance and repair of personal
transport equipment 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.15
1.07.24.0 Other services in respect of personal
transport equipment 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.10
1.07.30.0 Transport services 6 2.15 2.09 2.12 2.03
1.07.31.0 Passenger transport by railway 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02
1.07.32.0 Passenger transport by road 1.69 1.64 1.66 1.60
1.07.33.0 Passenger transport by air 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01
1.07.34.0 Passenger transport by sea and inland
waterway 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.12
1.07.35.0 Combined passenger transport - - - -
1.07.36.0 Other purchased transport services 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.28
1.08.00.0 Communication 3 0.36 0.35 0.36 0.34
1.08.10.0 Postal services 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04
1.08.20.0 Telephone and telefax equipment 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.03
1.08.20.0 Telephone and telefax services 0.27 0.27 0.28 0.27
1.09.00.0 Recreation and culture 13 0.50 0.49 0.50 0.47
information processing equipment 3 0.41 0.40 0.41 0.39
Contd.
68
2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16(p)
information processing equipment 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.21
1.09.14.0 Recording media 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.14
1.09.15.0 Repair of audio-visual, photographic and
information processing equipment 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04
1.09.20.0 Other major durables for recreation and
culture 2 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
1.09.21.0 Major durable for outdoor and indoor
recreation 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
1.09.23.0 Maintenance and repair of other major
durables for recreation and culture 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
1.09.30.0 Other recreational items and equipment,
gardens and pets 3 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
1.09.31.0 Other recreational items and equipments 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
1.09.33.0 Gardens and pets 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
1.09.35.0 Veterinary and other services for pets - - - -
1.09.40.0 Recreation and cultural services 3 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05
1.09.41.0 Recreational and sporting services 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03
1.09.42.0 Cultural services 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.02
1.09.43.0 Games of chance - - - -
1.09.50.0 Newspapers, books and stationery 1 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03
1.09.60.0 Package holidays 1 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
1.10.00.0 Education 1 3.08 3.11 3.13 3.00
1.11.00.0 Restaurants and hotels 2 1.70 1.70 1.70 1.63
1.11.10.0 Catering services 1.37 1.37 1.38 1.32
1.11.20.0 Accommodation services 0.32 0.32 0.33 0.31
1.12.00.0 Miscellaneous goods and services 10 2.78 2.76 2.78 2.64
1.12.10.0 Personal care 2 1.07 1.06 1.07 1.01
1.12.11.0 Hairdressing salon and personal grooming
establishments 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.17
1.12.12 Appliances, articles and products for
personal care 0.89 0.88 0.88 0.84
1.12.20.0 Prostitution 1 - - - -
1.12.30.0 Personal effects n.e.c 2 1.27 1.26 1.26 1.20
1.12.31.0 Jewellery, clock and watch 1.26 1.25 1.26 1.20
1.12.32.0 Other personal effects 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Contd.
69
2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16(p)
1.12.40.0 Social protection 1 - - - -
1.12.50.0 Insurance 1 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06
1.12.60.0 Financial services n.e.c 2 - - - -
1.12.61.0 FISIM - - - -
1.12.62.0 Other financial services i.e. - - - -
1.12.70.0 Other services i.e. 1 0.39 0.38 0.39 0.37
1.13.00.0 Net purchases abroad 2 - - - -
1.13.11.1 Purchases by residential households in the
rest of the world - - - -
1.13.11.2 Purchases by non-residential households in
the economic territory of the country - - - -
Total 110 72.15 71.27 71.60 68.54
B. NPISHs Consumption - - -
2.00.00.0 Individual consumption expenditure by
NPISHs 1 1.34 1.34 1.33 1.30
C. Government Consumption 5.34 5.44 5.86
Government 21 1.53 1.54 1.56 1.69
4.00.00.0 Collective consumption expenditure by
Government 5 3.63 3.80 3.88 4.18
D Expenditure on Capital Formation
5.00.00.0 Gross fixed capital formation 12 28.64 28.59 29.09 29.22
6.00.00.0 Changes in inventories and acquisition
less disposals of valuables - - -
E. Balance of Payment
7.01.11.0 Balance of exports and imports 2 -7.28 -6.54 -7.46 -4.93
7.01.11.1 Exports of goods and services 19.71 19.00 17.46 16.19
7.01.11.2 Imports of goods and services 26.99 25.54 24.92 21.12
GDP at Expenditure based 155 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
70
Table 22. Percentage Change of Final Expenditure at Current Prices
Basic Percentage Change
2013-14 2014-15 2015-16(p)
1.01.00.0 Food and non-alcoholic beverages 29 11.57 12.49 10.51
1.01.10.0 Food 27 11.57 12.49 10.50
1.01.11.0 Bread and cereals 5 11.50 12.51 10.54
1.01.11.1 Rice 11.55 12.53 10.52
1.01.11.2 Other cereals, flour and other cereal products 11.31 12.59 10.80
1.01.11.3 Bread 10.24 12.63 11.70
1.01.11.4 Other bakery products 10.74 13.82 10.26
1.01.11.5 Pasta products 11.22 11.37 10.59
1.01.12.0 Meat 5 10.10 12.02 10.74
1.01.12.1 Beef and veal 9.22 12.15 10.45
1.01.12.2 Pork -
1.01.12.3 Lamb, mutton and goat 10.65 9.75 13.44
1.01.12.4 Poultry 11.54 12.12 10.81
1.01.12.5 Other meats and meat preparations 10.93 12.63 10.99
1.01.13.0 Fish and seafood 2 13.56 12.46 9.91
1.01.13.1 Fresh, chilled or frozen fish and seafood 13.66 12.38 9.96
1.01.13.2 Preserved or processed fish and seafood 11.49 14.35 8.99
1.01.14.0 Milk, cheese and eggs 4 11.32 12.15 10.49
1.01.14.1 Fresh milk 11.51 11.91 10.75
1.01.14.2 Preserved milk and other milk products 11.03 12.21 10.17
1.01.14.3 Cheese 9.64 12.66 10.13
1.01.14.4 Eggs and egg-based products 11.19 12.60 10.20
1.01.15.0 Oils and fats 2 11.35 12.60 11.12
1.01.15.1 Butter and margarine 10.40 12.60 11.34
1.01.15.2 Other edible oil and fats 11.36 12.60 11.12
1.01.16.0 Fruits 2 9.29 12.84 10.18
1.01.16.1 Fresh or chilled fruit 9.29 12.17 10.85
1.01.16.2 Frozen , preserved or processed fruit and fruit-
based products 8.28 12.62 10.96
1.01.17.0 Vegetables 3 11.52 12.59 10.59
1.01.17.1 Fresh or chilled vegetables other than potatoes 11.51 12.59 10.89
1.01.17.2 Fresh or chilled potatoes 11.51 12.59 10.08
Contd.
71
2013-14 2014-15 2015-16(p)
1.01.17.3 Frozen, preserved or processed vegetables and
vegetable-based products 11.58 12.58 10.23
1.01.18.0 Sugar, jam ,honey, chocolate and confectionery 3 11.12 12.58 11.05
1.01.18.1 Sugar 11.57 12.58 11.25
1.01.18.2 Jam, marmalades and honey 10.52 12.59 10.94
1.01.18.3 Chocolate, confectionery and ice cream 9.77 12.60 9.91
1.01.19.0 Food products i.e. 1 11.42 12.59 10.60
1.01.20.0 Non-alcoholic beverage 2 11.03 12.59 11.55
1.01.21.0 Coffee, tea and cocoa 11.14 12.59 10.82
1.01.22.0 Mineral water, soft drinks, fruit and vegetable
juices 10.57 12.61 14.38
1.02.00.0 Alcoholic beverage, tobacco and narcotics 5 4.61 11.20 10.36
1.02.10.0 Alcoholic beverages 3 -
1.02.11.0 Spirits -
1.02.12.0 Wine -
1.02.13.0 Beer -
1.02.20.0 Tobacco 1 4.64 10.78 10.59

1.02.30.0 Narcotics 1 4.58 11.72 10.09
1.03.00.0 Clothing and footwear 5 12.31 12.62 10.70
1.03.10.0 Clothing 3 12.41 12.62 10.76
1.03.11.0 Clothing materials, other articles of clothing
and clothing accessories 12.59 12.92 11.38
1.03.12.0 Garments 12.39 12.59 10.71
1.03.14.0 Cleaning, repair and hire of clothing 11.92 12.60 11.48
1.03.20.0 Footwear 2 11.49 12.61 10.16
1.03.21.0 Shoes and other footwear 11.48 13.39 9.53
1.03.22.0 Repair and hire of footwear 11.91 12.57 10.46
1.04.00.0 Housing, water, electricity, gas and other
fuels 7 11.96 12.57 10.75
1.04.10.0 Actual and imputed rentals for housing 1 12.68 12.47 10.81
1.04.30.0 Maintenance and repair of the dwelling 1 11.12 12.59 10.31
1.04.40.0 Water supply and miscellaneous services
relating to the dwelling 2 11.05 14.26 10.07
1.04.41.0 Water supply 11.17 14.93 9.68
Contd.
72
2013-14 2014-15 2015-16(p)
1.04.42.0 Miscellaneous services relating to the dwelling 10.74 12.58 11.07

1.04.50.0 Electricity, gas and other fuels 3 11.29 12.67 10.82
1.04.51.0 Electricity 10.89 12.98 10.94
1.04.52.0 Gas 10.88 12.89 11.46
1.04.53.0 Other fuels 11.41 12.58 10.75
1.05.00.0 Furnishings, household equipment and
routine household maintenance 13 11.91 12.82 10.58
1.05.10.0 Furniture and furnishings, carpets and other
floor coverings 3 12.37 13.28 11.63
1.05.11.0 Furniture and furnishings 12.41 13.31 11.65
1.05.12.0 Carpets and other floor coverings 12.07 12.57 12.53
1.05.13.0 Repair of furniture, furnishings and floor
coverings 10.93 12.53 10.72
1.05.20.0 Household textiles 1 11.87 13.00 10.15
1.05.30.0 Household appliances 3 10.86 14.24 10.00
1.05.31.0 Major household appliances whether electricity
or not 10.47 15.04 9.66
1.05.32.0 Small electricity household appliances 11.40 12.53 10.57
1.05.33.0 Repair of household appliances 12.52 12.53 11.22
1.05.40.0 Glassware, tableware and household utensils 1 10.87 12.59 10.69
1.05.50.0 Tools and equipment for house and garden 2 12.24 12.58 13.90
1.05.51.0 Major tools and equipment 11.50 12.63 10.21
1.05.52.0 Small tools and miscellaneous accessories 12.09 12.89 12.21
1.05.60.0 Goods and services for routine household
maintenance 3 11.89 12.57 10.27
1.05.61.0 Non-durable household goods 11.41 12.60 10.38
1.05.62.0 Domestic services and household services 12.47 12.53 10.14
1.05.62.1 Domestic services 12.05 12.83 9.79
1.05.62.2 Household services 11.85 12.59 10.21
1.06.00.0 Health 7 12.73 13.33 10.81
1.06.10.0 Medical products, appliances and equipment 3 12.61 12.84 10.57
1.06.11.0 Pharmaceutical products 12.62 12.85 10.50
Contd.
73
2013-14 2014-15 2015-16(p)
1.06.12.0 Other medical products 12.36 12.56 13.90
1.06.13.0 Therapeutic appliances and equipment 11.14 12.66 11.76
1.06.20.0 Out-patient services 3 13.46 13.52 10.88
1.06.21.0 Medical services 13.94 14.00 10.21
1.06.22.0 Dental services 13.06 12.52 12.30
1.06.23.0 Paramedical services 12.45 12.53 12.27
1.06.30.0 Hospital services 1 12.18 16.94 12.56
1.07.00.0 Transport 13 9.58 13.39 10.66
1.07.10.0 Purchase of vehicles 4 8.24 12.47 10.42
1.07.11.0 Motor cars 9.30 13.34 9.60
1.07.12.0 Motor cycles 6.21 11.76 11.89
1.07.13.0 Bicycles 8.41 12.08 10.56
1.07.14.0 Animal drawn vehicles 7.53 11.71 10.71
1.07.20.0 Operation of personal transport equipment 3 9.31 13.42 9.64
1.07.22.0 Fuels and lubricants for personal transport
equipment 8.61 13.15 10.27
1.07.23.0 Maintenance and repair of personal transport
equipment 9.64 13.50 9.35
1.07.24.0 Other services in respect of personal transport
equipment 9.91 13.73 9.08
1.07.30.0 Transport services 6 9.98 13.62 10.93
1.07.31.0 Passenger transport by railway 9.30 14.01 15.64
1.07.32.0 Passenger transport by road 9.71 13.46 11.20
1.07.33.0 Passenger transport by air 8.37 15.52 11.80
1.07.34.0 Passenger transport by sea and inland waterway 8.99 17.91 8.33
1.07.35.0 Combined passenger transport -
1.07.36.0 Other purchased transport services 12.06 12.56 10.20
1.08.00.0 Communication 3 10.32 15.35 11.19
1.08.10.0 Postal services 6.68 16.76 5.97
1.08.20.0 Telephone and telefax equipment 10.91 14.21 11.51
1.08.20.0 Telephone and telefax services 10.84 15.28 11.98
1.09.00.0 Recreation and culture 13 11.59 13.23 9.67
1.09.10.0 Audio-visual, photographic and information
processing equipment 3 11.42 13.37 9.62
Contd.
74
2013-14 2014-15 2015-16(p)
1.09.11.0 Audio-visual, photographic and information
processing equipment 10.67 13.92 9.51
1.09.14.0 Recording media 12.55 12.58 9.74
1.09.15.0 Repair of audio-visual, photographic and
information processing equipment 11.33 13.34 9.82
1.09.20.0 Other major durables for recreation and culture 2 10.97 12.64 10.04
1.09.21.0 Major durable for outdoor and indoor
recreation 10.69 12.68 10.15
1.09.23.0 Maintenance and repair of other major durables
for recreation and culture 11.24 12.61 9.93
1.09.30.0 Other recreational items and equipment,
gardens and pets 3 11.78 12.57 10.21
1.09.31.0 Other recreational items and equipments 11.84 12.57 10.27
1.09.33.0 Gardens and pets 11.22 12.65 9.70
1.09.35.0 Veterinary and other services for pets -
1.09.40.0 Recreation and cultural services 3 12.24 12.54 9.63
1.09.41.0 Recreational and sporting services 11.92 12.56 9.56
1.09.42.0 Cultural services 12.60 12.51 9.71
1.09.43.0 Games of chance -
1.09.50.0 Newspapers, books and stationery 1 12.70 12.69 10.29

1.09.60.0 Package holidays 1 11.99 12.59 10.20
1.10.00.0 Education 1 14.05 12.99 10.80
1.11.00.0 Restaurants and hotels 2 13.00 12.65 10.41
1.11.10.0 Catering services 12.86 12.46 10.37
1.11.20.0 Accommodation services 13.60 13.45 10.57
1.12.00.0 Miscellaneous goods and services 10 11.87 12.87 9.89
1.12.10.0 Personal care 2 11.95 12.84 9.85
1.12.11.0 Hairdressing salon and personal grooming
establishments 11.95 13.21 8.80
1.12.12 Appliances, articles and products for personal
care 11.95 12.77 10.07
1.12.20.0 Prostitution 1 -
1.12.30.0 Personal effects n.e.c 2 12.01 12.73 9.93
1.12.31.0 Jewellery, clock and watch 12.01 12.73 9.93
1.12.32.0 Other personal effects 12.09 12.73 10.01
1.12.40.0 Social protection 1 -
Contd.
75
2013-14 2014-15 2015-16(p)
1.12.50.0 Insurance 1 11.30 13.53 10.02
1.12.60.0 Financial services n.e.c 2 -
1.12.61.0 FISIM -
1.12.62.0 Other financial services i.e. -
1.12.70.0 Other services i.e. 1 11.30 13.30 9.89
1.13.00.0 Net purchases abroad 2 -
1.13.11.1 Purchases by residential households in the rest
of the world -
1.13.11.2 Purchases by non-residential households in the
economic territory of the country -
Total 110 11.63 12.62 10.56
B. NPISHs Consumption -
NPISHs 1 12.81 11.80 12.82
C. Government Consumption 16.92 14.22 24.45
Government 21 13.34 14.22 24.45
4.00.00.0 Collective consumption expenditure by
Government 5 18.43 14.22 24.45
D Expenditure on Capital Formation
5.00.00.0 Gross fixed capital formation 12 12.82 14.03 16.05
6.00.00.0 Changes in inventories and acquisition less
disposals of valuables - - -
E. Balance of Payment -
7.01.11.0 Balance of exports and imports 2 1.43 27.97 -23.69
7.01.11.1 Exports of goods and services 8.93 2.99 7.11
7.01.11.2 Imports of goods and services 6.90 9.38 -2.12
GDP at Expenditure based 155 13.00 12.09 15.50
76
4 Explanatory Notes
Concepts and data sources used in compiling GDP estimates

1. GDP is an aggregate measure of the total value of gross output produced within the
economic territory of a country in a specified period, before deducting allowance for
consumption of fixed capital (CFC) or depreciation. GDP is measured by using three
different approaches.
2. Provisional GDP estimates for Bangladesh are compiled using both production and
expenditure approaches. Data sources used for production approach include crops
statistics, extrapolation based on inter-census growth rate of population and agriculture
censuses, current industrial production survey, government budgets, other
administrative records, external trade statistics, etc.
3. Under Production approach/method, GDP is measured as the total value added
(value of output minus intermediate consumption) arising from production of all goods
and services sectors of the economy. It is the sum of value added of all industrial
sectors.
4. For Expenditure approaches data sources include HES (Household Expenditure
Survey), external trade statistics, balance of payment statistics, government accounts
and related data from non-government organisations.
5. Under Income approach GDP can be measured as the sum of incomes paid out to the
employees by the producers known as compensation of employees (CE), mixed income
of the self-employed persons (MI) and operating surplus (OS) of the producers and the
consumption of the fixed capital (CFC). The sum of all elements covering payments to
the factors of production is also equal to gross value added at basic prices. If indirect
taxes (IT) less subsidies on production and products are added, it would be equivalent to
GDP in market prices. For lack of required data, BBS could not compile GDP by using
this approach.
Publication schedule of production and expenditure based GDP estimates

6. Production and Expenditure based Provisional Estimate of Annual GDP are
released with a time lag of about nine months after the reference year (i.e. in April /
May of the current financial year). This is the 16th such publication of BBS. Annual
GDP estimates along with other national accounts aggregates are also published in the
Monthly Statistical Bulletin and other publications of BBS.
77
7. The final estimates are based on confirmed data and released within eight to nine
months after the end of the FY. The GDP estimates of Bangladesh are published as
follows:
i) Provisional GDP Estimates : Data mainly upto December of the fiscal year to be
used for estimation and publication by April-May
of the fiscal year.
ii) Final GDP Estimates : By April-May of the following fiscal year.
Qualification of data and caveats on the use of provisional GDP estimates
GDP estimates by Production Approach:

8. Provisional GDP estimates based on production approach are subject to a number of
qualifications due to non-availability of the required data. These qualifications are:
1. Agriculture and Forestry
a. Crops and horticulture Generally actual production figures of aus and jute are
used. For other major crops (aman, boro and wheat)
projected production figures are used. Estimates made by
the Ministry of Agriculture and Sample Crop Cutting by
BBS are used to validate the estimates. Minor crops are
imputed at last years levels and validated as and when
necessary with the production estimates available from
the most recent Household Income Expenditure Survey
(HIES).
b. Animal farming Extrapolated on the basis of inter-census growth rate
obtained from Census of Agriculture, 1983-84, Census of
Agriculture, 1996 and 2008.
c. Forest and related services Outputs projected on the basis of earlier years.
2. Fishing Based on estimates/projection provided by DOF and
validated on the basis of the most recent HIES 2005 data.
3. Mining and Quarrying Administrative data of BCIC and Petrobangla are used for
estimating most of the outputs.
4. Manufacturing Actual growth plus extrapolation based on QIIP for

medium and large industries and also QIIP for small
industries are taken into consideration.
5. Power, Gas, Water Based on targets, modified by actual production data up to

December for gas and electricity of the fiscal year.
6. Construction Based on the trend of imports of major construction

inputs and domestic production data of related industries
till December of the fiscal year.
7. Wholesale and Retail Trade Growth rate reflecting trends of imports, agricultural and
industrial production.
78
8. Hotels and Restaurants Extrapolated on the basis of Report on Integrated Annual
Survey of Non-farm Economic Activities.
9. Transport, Storage and Imputation of last years figure and selective use of
Communication administrative data available up to December of the fiscal
year. Also the budgetary data of government transport and
communication agencies of the fiscal year are utilized.
10. Public Adm. and Defence Based on national budget allocations for the fiscal year.
11. Financial Intermediations Projections based on last year data, bank deposit and
credit up to December 2015.
12. Real Estate, Renting and Projections based on inter-census growth rate: Population
Business Activities Census, Labour Force Surveys, Household Income and
Expenditure Survey (HIES) and estimates of housing
stock and rental income.
13. Health and Social Work Based on national budget allocations for FY2016 for
public sub-sector estimates. Projection and extrapolation
growth rates of the major components for private sub-
sector estimates.
14. Education Based on national budget allocations for the public sector.
Projection and extrapolation of growth rates for private
sub-sector.
15. Community, Social and Projection and extrapolation growth rates of major
Personal Services components.
Provisional estimates provide trends of economic performance. Provisional GDP

estimates are usually subject to revisions because of subsequent data changes.
Expenditure based GDP estimates
Expenditure based provisional GDP estimates are relatively imprecise in nature because of
weakness in the data base used in calculation. The estimates are also subject to limitations of
the methodologies used in estimating the components. The external trade statistics of the last
quarter of the year usually show higher trends and may not follow the previous years pattern.
Uncertainties in the actual expenditures during first quarter are likely to affect the volume of
public sector investments. The basis of extrapolation of the private consumption expenditures
and investments is also fragile. Owing to data limitations, no account is taken of the overall
stock changes. Consumption of NPISH and acquisition net of disposal of valuables are
assumed to be included in private consumption.
79
The provisional GDP estimates by expenditure category are compiled on the basis of the
following data sources:
1. General Government Final Consumption Expenditure: Based on national budget

allocation, government final consumption is extrapolated.
2. Private Final Consumption Expenditure: Extrapolation is done based on recent HIES

2005 data and also residual method is adopted for reconciliation.
3. Gross Fixed Capital Formation: Import of capital goods and domestic production of
materials for capital goods like construction input upto December of the fiscal year is
used.
4. Net Exports: Based on Balance of Payment (BOP) data and actual trends of imports
and exports up to December of the fiscal year.
80
Annex - II
Statistical Annex Tables
81
82
Table 1. Production of Major Agricultural Crops
(Lac metric ton)
Crops 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16(p)
Cereals
Aus 23.32 21.58 23.26 23.28 22.88*
Aman 127.98 128.97 130.23 131.90 131.90
Boro 187.59 187.78 190.07 191.92 191.92
Wheat 9.95 12.55 13.03 13.47 13.47
Maize 12.98 15.48 21.24 22.71 22.71
Total 361.82 366.36 377.83 383.28 382.88
Other crops
Tobacco and Beverage 5.42 5.17 5.47 5.27 5.27
Jute (Lac bales) 80.03 76.11 74.36 75.01 75.58 *
Fruits 43.00 43.78 45.45 45.88 46.37
Oilseeds 7.88 8.04 8.44 9.34 9.34
Pulses 2.35 2.65 3.52 3.78 3.78
Spices 17.51 17.22 20.43 21.79 23.99
Sugarcane 46.03 44.69 45.08 49.87 49.94
Vegetables 115.90 120.53 126.77 130.27 132.62
a. Potato 82.05 86.03 89.50 92.54 92.54
b. Other Vegetables 33.85 34.50 37.27 37.72 40.08
Others 2.29 2.30 2.33 2.47 2.46
Note: i) * Final Estimates
2) p denotes provisional estimates
Table 2. Production of Fish (adjusted)

(Lac metric ton)
Crops 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16(p)
Inland 24.29 25.59 27.23 28.95 30.18 31.43
Marine 5.66 5.97 6.33 6.48 6.84 7.22
Total 29.95 31.56 33.56 35.43 37.02 38.65

Source: Department of Fisheries (DOF) and Household Expenditure Survey, BBS
83
Table 3. Quantum Index of Industrial Production (Large and Medium Scale
Manufacturing Industry)
(Base: 2005-06 = 100)
Growth rate Growth rate
Month 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16(p)
(point to point) (point to point)
July 232.01 248.67 7.18 253.67 2.01
August 185.88 214.74 15.53 258.35 22.31
September 209.91 233.32 11.15 238.70 2.31
October 196.74 203.15 3.26 235.04 15.70
November 196.42 223.58 13.83 253.24 13.27
December 222.26 244.06 9.81 286.05 17.20
January 220.17 244.81 11.19
February* 209.16 226.56 8.32
March* 210.59 228.16 8.34
April* 209.73 230.37 9.84
May* 230.55 257.96 11.89
June* 240.29 277.97 15.68
Yearly 213.22 236.11 10.74
Source: Current Industrial Production Section, BBS
Note: p denote provisional estimates, * QIIP, January-June 2015-16 yet to be release
Table 4. Domestic Production of Natural Gas, Electricity and Fertilizer
Period Gas (106 cu meter) 1 Electricity (106 kWh) 2 Fertilizer (M.T) 3

2004-05 13,783 21,408 2,102,359
2005-06 14,921 22,977 1,926,672
2006-07 15,920 23,268 1,982,292
2007-08 17,014 24,953 1,581,683
2008-09 18,511 26,533 1,347,366
2009-10 19,919 29,246 1,170,119
2010-11 20,075 31,355 1,013,537
2011-12 21,056 35,117 1,047,214
2012-13 22,670 38,229 1,074,791
2013-14 23,232 38,040 976,691
2014-15 25,263 40,358 1028,157
Gas (106 cu meter) 1 Electricity (106 KWh) 2 Fertilizer (M.T) 3
Month
2014-15 2015-16(p) 2014-15 2015-16(p) 2014-15 2015-16(p)
July 1,978 2,185 3,915 3860 22,334 45,233
August 1,998 2,350 3,703 4227 49,038 65,906
September 1,999 2,168 3,598 3997 89,357 66,832
October 2,008 2,345 3,361 4025 116,370 91,589
November 2,050 2,308 2,840 3243 96,668 91,109
December 2,134 2,369 2,686 3053 109,044 128,085
January 2,151 2,372 2,832 139,430
February 2,710 112,760
March* 3,600
April*
May*
June*
Source: 1 Petrobangla
2
Power Development Board, REB & DESA
3
MIS Report, Bangladesh Chemicals Industries Corporation
p denote provisional, * Production of gas, electricity and fertilizer from January to June 2016 are not available
84
Table 5. Deposit and Credit Disbursement
(Billion Tk.)
Financial Year Demand Deposit Time Deposit Domestic Credit
1999-2K 97.05 548.81 778.19
2000-01 108.69 648.27 910.46
2001-02 116.20 744.55 1023.97
2002-03 128.28 872.51 1106.49
2003-04 146.13 992.74 1267.86
2004-05 168.50 1160.42 1488.37
2005-06 197.40 1380.22 1784.12
2006-07 234.63 1613.36 2041.61
2007-08 265.18 1894.81 2470.49
2009-10 302.37 2300.73 2868.55
2009-10 416.22 2750.43 3378.27
2010-11 481.06 3374.19 4308.93
2011-12 510.60 4073.88 5149.73
2012-13 557.37 4799.02 5717.37
2013-14 643.44 5589.78 6379.06
2014-15 728.73 6268.00 7015.26
2015-16(Jul-Jan) 740.91 6677.40 7400.93
Source: Economic Trend, Bangladesh Bank, * indicate (July-February)
Table 6. GDP Growth Rate and Per Capita Income of SAARC Countries
Countries GDP growth rate/a Per capita income US $/b
2012 2013 2014 2011 2012 2013
Afghanistan 11.9 3.4 1.7 570 690 690
Bangladesh 6.52 6.01 6.06 928 955 1054
Bhutan 6.4 3.5 4.0 2180 2320 2330
India 5.1 6.9 7.4 1440 1530 1570
Maldives 1.3 4.7 6.8 5680 5430 5600
Nepal 4.6 3.5 5.2 610 700 730
Pakistan 3.8 3.7 4.1 1140 1250 1360
Sri Lanka 6.3 7.2 7.4 2580 2910 3170

Source: /a Asian Development Outlook 2015, /b World Development Indicators 2014
85
Table 7. Export of Selected Items
(Crore Tk.)
2015-16
Item 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 (Jul-Jan)
Raw Jute 1,888 1,866 1,699 948 856 630
Jute goods (including Carpet) 4,750 5,200 5,989 5,315 5,351 3300
Tea 19 28 17 17 33 8
Leather 3,365 4,115 4778 3,759 3,081 1,323
Fish & Shrimp 4,149 4,758 3399 4,098 3,988 2173
Readymade Garments (including
96,711 122,701 128,285 146,626 156,045 95,627
Knit Wear & Hosiery)
Naphtha Furnace oil & Bitumen 581 975 431 134 291 -
Fertilizers 182 130 - - - -
Others (Including EPZ) 32,508 40,540 44839 52,477 56,841 34,922
Total Exports 14,4432 180,313 189,437 213,374 226,486 137,983
Source: Economic Trend, Bangladesh Bank
Table 8. Import of Selected Items

(Crore Tk.)
2015-16
Year 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15
(Jul-Jan)
Rice 5,943 2,188 239 2701 4310 781
Wheat 7,721 4,763 5575 8685 7915 4560
Total (food) 13,664 6,951 5814 11386 12224 5341
Milk & Dairy Products 1,153 1,750 1708 2249 2409 1038
Spices 898 1,080 947 1423 1668 946
Oil seeds 736 1,420 1932 3952 2745 2418
Edible Oil 7,600 13,051 11185 13686 12223 5712
Pulses all Sorts 2,073 1,911 3373 3536 3057 1621
Sugar 4,667 9,390 5853 7014 5770 3203
Clinker 3,182 3,994 3888 4812 4632 1750
Crude Petroleum 6,350 8,387 8801 7218 6629 1572
Petroleum Products 23,060 30,484 29122 31628 26175 11749
Chemicals 8,938 9,575 10405 11644 12192 7635
Pharmaceutical Products 824 934 952 931 875 546
Fertilizers 8,817 10,907 9563 7977 9647 6064
Dyeing & Tanning Materials 2,371 2,977 3190 4185 4312 2464
Plastic and Rubber Articles 9,278 10,835 10905 13937 14333 8209
Cotton 19,115 16,601 16004 18850 17672 9038
Yarn 9,927 10,833 10849 11705 12377 7391
Textile and articles thereof 19,102 24,168 26133 27853 28569 18538
Staple fibres 1,283 3,250 3627 3833 4078 2709
Iron & Steel 14,290 17,637 18642 20654 22909 12617
Capital Machinery 16,589 15,765 14672 18122 20294 12660
Others (Including EPZ) 66,111 79,063 74763 89977 90395 57743
Total (non food) 226,364 274,012 266514 305186 302961 175621
Total Imports 240,028 280,963 272328 316572 315185 180962
Source: Economic Trend, Bangladesh Bank
86
Table 9. Annual Development Programme by Sectors
(Million Tk.)
Sector FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Budget Revised Budget Revised
Agriculture 37212 22560 27850 24690 32770
Rural Development & Institutions 66223 128860 151300 165530 181820
Water Resources 17341 20250 28310 21420 30620
Industries 23140 26030 17380 14980 14130
Power 90535 79510 92730 82760 164850
Oil, Gas & Natural Resources 22550 19090 22230 10190 19940
Transport 153736 80520 99770 86200 12738
Bridge Division - 20900 87350 52990 89210
Communication 9034 7350 7410 9850 17710
Physical Planning, Water Supply &
Housing 54545 13860 20840 13290 23960
Education & Religious Affairs 87663 78960 97060 87000 99910
Sports & Culture 2085 3140 3050 3470 15990
Health, Population and Family Welfare 42395 38160 43490 45620 53310
Mass Media 749 1080 1190 1130 1260
Social Welfare, Womens Affairs &Youth
Development 5575 15040 22960 16160 22370
Public Administration 15240 28180 45750 59090 50920
Science & Technology 7576 6700 2305 37190 13010
Labour & Manpower 3701 3590 4130 4200 4760
Total Sectoral Allocation 639300 593780 775105 735760 849278
Total Block Allocation 19404 6220 28045 14240 120722
Grand Total 658704 600000 803150 750000 970000
Source: Planning Commission
Table 10. Monetary and Banking Statistics

(Million Tk.)
2016
Items 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
(Jul-Jan)
Currency outside Banks 461,571 547,951 58,4171 675529 769084 879408 926697
Demand Deposits 416,218 481,062 510,604 557365 643443 728734 740911
Money Supply M1 879,883 1031,011 1,097,214 1,236,031 1416451 1608142 1667608
Time Deposits 2750,428 3374,189 4073,881 4,799,023 5589784 6267999 6677403
Money Supply M2 3630,311 4405,200 5171,095 6,035,054 7006235 7876141 8345011
Post Office Deposits 69,353 49,760 25,337 522 - - -
Monetary asset 3699,664 4457,960 5196,432 6,035,576 - - -
Source: Economic Trend, Bangladesh Bank, *April 2015
87
Related Publications on National Accounts Statistics
1. Brochure on National Accounts of Bangladesh, January 1995

2. Institutional sector accounts of Bangladesh for 1995- 96, (Draft), January 1999
3. Bangladesh, National Accounts Statistics: Sources and Methods (revised Estimates from
1995-96 to 2013-14 with base year 2005-06), August 2014
4. Preliminary Estimates of Gross Domestic Product May 1997
5. Preliminary Estimates of Gross Domestic Product 1998-99 and Final Estimates of Gross
Domestic Product, 1997-98
6. Preliminary Estimates of Gross Domestic Product, 1999-2000 and Final Estimates of Gross
Domestic Product, 1998-99
7. National Accounts Statistics (Gross Domestic Product, 2000-2001)
8. National Accounts Statistics (Preliminary Estimates of GDP, 2001-2002)
9. National Accounts Statistics (Provisional Estimates of GDP, 2014-15 and Final Estimates
of GDP, 2013-14)
10. National Accounts Statistics (Provisional Estimates of GDP, 2013-14 and Final Estimates
of GDP, 2012-13)
11. National Accounts Statistics (Preliminary Estimates of GDP, 2012-13 and Final Estimates
of GDP, 2011-12)
12. Estimates of Investment: Methods and Data Sources, May 2002
13. Proceeding of the Workshop-cum-Expert Consultation on National Accounts Compilation
of Bangladesh, January 1994.
14. Report of the National Income Commission, 1990
15. Report of the Task Force on the Review of National Accounts of BBS, June 1996
16. Sources and Methods of Indices (National Accounts Deflators), May 1997
17. System of National Accounts, 2008 (UN Publication)
18. Twenty Years of National Accounting of Bangladesh (1972-92), July 1993
19. Provisional Estimates of Gross Regional Product 1995-96 to 1999-2000
Available for sale at:
1. BBS Publication Section,

Parishankhan Bhaban (Ground Floor)
E-27/A, Agargaon, Dhaka-1207
Phone: 91133383, 9137775, 9138636-7, 9133383-5, ext. 1010
2. BBS Sales Centre, Ansari Building (1st Floor)

14/2, Topkhana Road, Dhaka-1000
National Accounts data are also available in BBS website: http://www.bbs.gov.bd
88
Persons Involved in Preparation of the Report
1. Mr. Abul Kalam Azad, Director, National Accounting Wing, BBS
2. Mr. Ziauddin Ahmed, Joint Director, National Accounting Wing, BBS
3. Mr. Md. Mahbubur Rahman, Deputy Director, National Accounting Wing, BBS
4. Mr. Md. Shahabuddin Sarker, Deputy Director, National Accounting Wing, BBS
5. Mr. Abdul Khaleque, Deputy Director, National Accounting Wing, BBS
6. Mr. Tufail Ahmed, Deputy Director, National Accounting Wing, BBS
7. Ms. Salma Hasnayen, Deputy Director, National Accounting Wing, BBS
8. Mr. Md. Rafiqul Islam, Deputy Director, National Accounting Wing, BBS
9. Mr. Mohiuddin Ahmed, Deputy Director, National Accounting Wing, BBS
10. Ms. Israt Jahan Nasrin, Statistical Officer, BBS
11. Mr. Md. Nazmul Hoque, Statistical Officer, BBS
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NATIONAL ACCOUNTS STATISTICS

(Provisional Estimates of GDP, 2015-16 and

Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics

Published date: May 2016

National Accounting Wing

National Accounts Statistics is an important annual publication of Bangladesh Bureau

This publication intends to provide an insight on sector-wise economic performance

National Accounts Statistics is a regular annual publication of Bangladesh Bureau of

Mohammad Abdul Wazed

Key Indicators of National Accounts i

1. Provisional Estimates of GDP for FY2016 and Final Estimates of GDP 1

Provisional Estimates of GDP for FY2016 1

Final Estimates of GDP for FY2015 17

2. Provisional and Final Estimates of GDP by Expenditure Category 21

3. Inflation and Growth Rate 37

GDP Annex Tables 41

Concepts and data sources used in compiling GDP estimates 77

Statistical Annex Tables 81

Related Publications on National Accounts Statistics 89

Provisional Estimates of GDP in FY2015

Per Capita Income

Aus 21.33 23.32 21.58 23.26 23.28 22.89

Aman 127.91 127.98 128.97 130.23 131.90 131.90

Boro 186.17 187.59 187.78 190.07 191.92 191.92

Wheat 9.72 9.95 12.55 13.03 13.48 13.48

Total cereals 345.13 348.85 350.88 356.59 360.58 360.19

Maize 10.18 12.98 15.48 21.24 23.50 23.50

Potato 83.26 82.05 86.03 89.50 92.54 92.54

Jute (Lac bale) 83.96 80.03 76.11 74.36 75.01 75.58

Table 2. Fish production (adjusted)

Manufacturing: This sector comprises two sub-sectors:

Provisional estimate of Quantum Index of Industrial Production (QIIP) used in computing

Construction: The major components of construction activities are pucca, semi-pucca,

Transport, Storage and Communication Sector: Major sources of information of this

Sectoral Shares in GDP

iii) Forest and related

2. Fishing 369,946 16.24 423,076 14.36 475,813 12.47 531,462 11.70

4. Manufacturing 1,971,272 17.39 2,232,207 13.24 2,544,831 14.01 2,922,821 14.85

5. Electricity, Gas, Water

6. Construction 824,321 20.68 908,336 10.19 1,084,839 19.43 1,257,537 15.92

7. Wholesale and retail trade;

11. Real Estate, Renting and

15. Community, social and

I. Agriculture 1,174,360 2.46 1,225,702 4.37 1,266,498 3.33 1,299,436 2.60

2. Fishing 257,795 6.18 274,189 6.36 291,695 6.38 309,759 6.19

4. Manufacturing 1,329,941 10.31 1,446,534 8.77 1,595,680 10.31 1,760,008 10.30

6. Construction 483,046 8.04 522,087 8.08 566,983 8.60 617,291 8.87

7. Wholesale and retail trade;

9. Transport, Storage and

11. Real Estate, Renting and

15. Community, Social and

Note: p denotes provisional estimates

2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16(p)

I. Agriculture 16.28 16.78 16.11 16.50 15.51 16.00 14.75 15.33

2. Fishing 3.24 3.68 3.30 3.69 3.29 3.69 3.23 3.65

4. Manufacturing 17.27 19.00 17.43 19.47 17.61 20.16 17.79 20.77

6. Construction 7.22 6.90 7.09 7.03 7.51 7.16 7.65 7.28

7. Wholesale and retail trade;

9. Transport, Storage and

11. Real Estate, Renting and

15. Community, social and

Total 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00

Item 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16(p)

GDP (Million Tk.) 10,552,040 11,989,232 13,436,744 15158022 17295665