Sunteți pe pagina 1din 17

Exihibit 1: Key Financial and Market Value Data, 2002-2011 (in millions of dollars except for ratios)

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006


Balance Sheet
Cash and Marketable Securities 142 197 552 759 1,138
Total Current Assets 674 820 1,214 1,684 2,288
Net PP&E 1,817 2,303 2,466 3,052 4,804
Other Assets 1,058 1,674 2,743 3,602 4,887
Total Assets 3,549 4,797 6,423 8,338 11,979

Short-Term Borrowing and Current portion of Long-Term Debt 71 52 110 165 151
Total Current Liabilities 479 591 789 1,027 1,441
Long-Term Debt 647 654 610 788 1,257
Other Liabilities 897 866 1,041 1,103 2,213
Total Liabilities 2,023 2,111 2,441 2,918 4,911
Total Common Stock 1,288 2,522 3,807 4,937 6,368
Minority Interest 238 164 175 482 700
Total Equity 1,526 2,686 3,982 5,420 7,068

Earnings and Market Valuation


Revenue 1,321 1,852 2,456 2,879 2,966
COGS 885 1,185 1,302 1,468 1,554
Gross Profit 436 667 1,154 1,411 1,412
Operating Income 222 320 575 863 906
Net Income 98 168 332 512 489
Share Price 17.32 30.12 39.82 57.75 55.22
Number of Common Shares Outstanding 185 223 230 244 256
Market Value of Common Equity 3,205 6,716 9,159 14,091 14,135
Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Equity 2.1 2.5 2.3 2.6 2.0
Earnings/Share 0.53 0.75 1.44 2.10 1.91
Dividends/Share 0.18 0.18 0.35 0.45 0.45
Price/Earnings Ratio 33 40 28 28 29
for ratios)

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

1,121 1,351 1,888 2,254 1,732


2,168 2,016 3,480 4,680 4,502
7,648 7,661 7,818 8,303 10,274
2,500 3,330 4,307 4,351 4,464
12,316 13,007 15,605 17,335 19,240

153 79 75 141 277


1,517 1,512 2,332 3,042 3,061
1,666 1,757 2,355 2,130 2,272
1,990 2,454 2,023 1,589 2,555
5,173 5,723 6,710 6,761 7,888
6,400 6,184 7,489 8,914 9,581
743 1,100 1,405 1,660 1,771
7,143 7,284 8,895 10,574 11,352

4,851 5,322 6,218 7,864 8,860


2,421 2,725 2,761 3,672 4,093
2,430 2,597 3,457 4,192 4,767
1,696 1,426 2,036 2,750 3,089
982 812 1,150 1,635 1,840
64.24 57.23 55.98 63.18 66.23
278 298 322 340 396
17,858 17,055 18,026 21,481 26,227
2.5 2.3 2.0 2.0 2.3
3.53 2.72 3.57 4.81 4.65
0.70 0.70 0.90 1.35 1.35
18 21 16 13 14
Exihibit 2: Iron Ore Spot Price CFR China (62% Fe) from 2002 to 2012 (US$/ton)
Exhibit 3: Cash Flow Estimation with the South African Investment Opportunity (in millions of dollars)

Line 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
Cash Flow Estimation with Price at $80/ton
1 Revenue: 2 million tons @ $80 160.0 160.0 160.0 160.0 160.0 160.0 160.0 160.0 160.0
a
2 Mining costs 28.8 28.8 28.8 30.4 30.4 30.4 33.6 33.6 33.6
3 Smelting, refining, and freight costs 48.0 48.0 48.0 48.0 48.0 48.0 48.0 48.0 48.0
4 Operating profits 83.2 83.2 83.2 81.6 81.6 81.6 78.4 78.4 78.4
5 Depreciation and amortization 12.0 12.0 12.0 12.0 12.0 12.0 12.0 12.0 12.0
6 EBIT 71.2 71.2 71.2 69.6 69.6 69.6 66.4 66.4 66.4
7 Taxes @ 35% 24.9 24.9 24.9 24.4 24.4 24.4 23.2 23.2 23.2
8 Net income 46.3 46.3 46.3 45.2 45.2 45.2 43.2 43.2 43.2
9 Cash flow from operations 58.3 58.3 58.3 57.2 57.2 57.2 55.2 55.2 55.2
10 Return of working capitalb 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11 Total cash flows 58.3 58.3 58.3 57.2 57.2 57.2 55.2 55.2 55.2
Cash Flow Estimation with Price at $100/ton
12 Revenue: 2 million tons @ $100 200.0 200.0 200.0 200.0 200.0 200.0 200.0 200.0 200.0
13 Mining costs a
28.8 28.8 28.8 30.4 30.4 30.4 33.6 33.6 33.6
14 Smelting, refining, and freight costs 48.0 48.0 48.0 48.0 48.0 48.0 48.0 48.0 48.0
15 Operating profits 123.2 123.2 123.2 121.6 121.6 121.6 118.4 118.4 118.4
16 Depreciation and amortization 12.0 12.0 12.0 12.0 12.0 12.0 12.0 12.0 12.0
17 EBIT 111.2 111.2 111.2 109.6 109.6 109.6 106.4 106.4 106.4
18 Taxes @ 35% 38.9 38.9 38.9 38.4 38.4 38.4 37.2 37.2 37.2
19 Net income 72.3 72.3 72.3 71.2 71.2 71.2 69.2 69.2 69.2
20 Cash flow from operations 84.3 84.3 84.3 83.2 83.2 83.2 81.2 81.2 81.2
21 Return of working capitalb 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
22 Total cash flows 84.3 84.3 84.3 83.2 83.2 83.2 81.2 81.2 81.2

a Mining costs were assumed to go up in steps.


During the first half of the mining operations,
costs were expected to be relatively low as a large
portion of the iron ore was covered with little
overburden. More expensive mining would not
be necessary until the later years of mine
operation.
b Of the original $200 million investment in
capital for the project, $20 million was budgeted
for working capital.
ions of dollars)

2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 Total

160.0 160.0 160.0 160.0 160.0 160.0 2,400.0


38.4 38.4 38.4 38.4 38.4 38.4 508.8
48.0 48.0 48.0 48.0 48.0 48.0 720.0
73.6 73.6 73.6 73.6 73.6 73.6 1,171.2
12.0 12.0 12.0 12.0 12.0 12.0 180.0
61.6 61.6 61.6 61.6 61.6 61.6 991.2
21.6 21.6 21.6 21.6 21.6 21.6 346.9
40.0 40.0 40.0 40.0 40.0 40.0 644.3
52.0 52.0 52.0 52.0 52.0 52.0 824.3
0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 20.0 20.0
52.0 52.0 52.0 52.0 52.0 72.0 844.3

200.0 200.0 200.0 200.0 200.0 200.0 3,000.0


38.4 38.4 38.4 38.4 38.4 38.4 508.8
48.0 48.0 48.0 48.0 48.0 48.0 720.0
113.6 113.6 113.6 113.6 113.6 113.6 1,771.2
12.0 12.0 12.0 12.0 12.0 12.0 180.0
101.6 101.6 101.6 101.6 101.6 101.6 1,591.2
35.6 35.6 35.6 35.6 35.6 35.6 556.9
66.0 66.0 66.0 66.0 66.0 66.0 1,034.3
78.0 78.0 78.0 78.0 78.0 78.0 1,214.3
0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 20.0 20.0
78.0 78.0 78.0 78.0 78.0 98.0 1,234.3
Exhibit 4: Sensitivity of NPV (in millions of dollars) to Ore Prices versus Various Discount Rates

Discount rates Iron ore at $80 Iron ore at $100


5% $336.64 $581.42
6% $294.51 $519.25
7% $256.97 $463.80
8% $223.43 $414.23
9% $193.41 $369.81
10% $166.46 $329.90
11% $142.23 $293.97
12% $120.39 $261.56
13% $100.66 $232.24
14% $82.80 $205.68
15% $66.61 $181.57
16% $51.89 $159.63
17% $38.50 $139.63
18% $26.29 $121.36
19% $15.13 $104.66
20% $4.93 $89.34
21% ($4.43) $75.29
22% ($13.01) $62.37
23% ($20.91) $50.46
24% ($28.17) $39.49
25% ($34.87) $29.35
26% ($41.05) $19.97
27% ($46.77) $11.28
28% ($52.05) $3.22
29% ($56.95) ($4.26)
30% ($61.50) ($11.21)
Discount Rates
Exhibit 5: World Top 10 Countries in Iron Production, Consumption, and Steel Production (Million Tons)

World Iron Ore Production by Smelter Location

Country 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011


China 420 588 707 824 880 1,070 1,200
Australia 262 275 299 342 394 433 480
Brazil 280 318 355 355 300 370 390
India 140 140 180 220 245 230 240
Russia 105 110 105 85 100 101 100
Ukraine 73 76 80 56 72 78 80
South Africa 40 40 42 53 55 59 55
US 54 53 52 54 27 50 54
Canada 30 34 33 31 32 37 37
Iran 19 20 32 32 33 28 30
Rest of World 267 246 315 248 262 134 134
World Total 1,690 1,900 2,200 2,300 2,400 2,590 2,800

World Iron Ore Consumption

Country 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011


China 524 649 746 750 865 937 1,005
Japan 133 135 139 138 107 132 130
Russia 77 82 82 77 68 77 77
South Korea 44 44 47 50 44 53 68
India 41 44 46 48 46 62 62
Brazil 54 52 57 56 41 51 53
US 58 61 57 55 31 44 48
Ukraine 58 61 57 50 41 44 46
Germany 46 49 50 47 32 47 44
Taiwan 16 16 17 15 13 15 21
Rest of World 195 195 206 197 142 179 175
World Total 1,246 1,388 1,504 1,483 1,430 1,641 1,729

World Steel Production by Smelter Location

Country 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011


China 348 421 488 499 567 626 684
Japan 112 116 120 119 88 110 108
US 93 99 97 91 58 81 86
India 39 43 50 55 58 66 72
Russia 65 70 72 68 59 67 69
South Korea 48 49 51 53 48 58 68
Germany 45 47 49 46 33 44 44
Ukraine 39 41 43 37 30 33 35
Brazil 32 31 34 34 27 33 35
Turkey 21 23 25 26 25 29 34
Rest of World 263 276 286 276 204 247 256
World Total 1,105 1,216 1,315 1,304 1,197 1,394 1,491

Sources: US Geological Survey and Bloomberg


oduction (Million Tons)
Exhibit 6: Tentative Capital Takedown Plan and Loan Principal Repayment Schedule (in millions of dollars)

Line 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Capital Takedown Schedule a

1 Senior secured debtU.S. banks (10%) 10.0 50.0


2 Senior unsecured debtJapanese and Korean banks (7%) 10.0 30.0
3 Senior subordinated debt Chinese steel makers (9%) 20.0 40.0
4 EquityNew Earth Mining, Inc. 40.0 0.0
5 Total capital 80.0 120.0

Loan Principal Repayment Schedulea


6 Senior secured debtU.S. banks (10%) 0.0 8.5 8.1 8.5 8.2 7.8 7.1 6.1
7 Senior unsecured debtJapanese and Korean banks (7%) 0.0 5.4 5.2 5.1 4.8 3.9 3.5 3.2
8 Senior subordinated debt Chinese steel makers (9%) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.0
9 Total repayments 0.0 13.9 13.3 13.6 13.0 11.7 10.6 17.3
a
Capital was to be supplied at the beginning of the year and repaid at the end of the year.
n millions of dollars)

2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 Total

60.0
40.0
60.0
40.0
200.0

5.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 60.0


2.3 2.1 2.2 2.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 40.0
8.0 8.0 8.0 8.0 8.0 8.0 4.0 60.0
16.0 10.1 10.2 10.3 8.0 8.0 4.0 160.0
Exhibit 7: Projected Cash Flows for New Earth Equity Investment (in millions of dollars)

Line 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
Cash Flow Estimation with Price at $80/ton
1 EBIT (based on iron ore at $80/ton) 71.2 71.2 71.2 69.6 69.6 69.6 66.4 66.4 66.4
2 Interest 31.9 10.9 8.0 5.1 2.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
3 Pre-tax profit 39.3 60.3 63.2 64.5 66.9 69.4 66.4 66.4 66.4
4 Taxes @ 35% 13.8 21.1 22.1 22.6 23.4 24.3 23.2 23.2 23.2
5 Net income 25.5 39.2 41.1 41.9 43.5 45.1 43.2 43.2 43.2
6 Depreciation and amortization 12.0 12.0 12.0 12.0 12.0 12.0 12.0 12.0 12.0
7 Cash flows from operations 37.5 51.2 53.1 53.9 55.5 57.1 55.2 55.2 55.2
8 Working capital changes 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9 Cash flow for debt repayment and dividends 37.5 51.2 53.1 53.9 55.5 57.1 55.2 55.2 55.2
10 Contractual debt repayment 0.0 13.9 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11 Debt payment under loan covenants 37.5 18.6 19.9 27.0 27.7 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 Cash available for equity holders 0.0 18.6 19.9 27.0 27.7 55.1 55.2 55.2 55.2
13 Equity investment 40 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 Total

61.6 61.6 61.6 61.6 61.6 61.6 991.2


0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 58.8
61.6 61.6 61.6 61.6 61.6 61.6 932.4
21.6 21.6 21.6 21.6 21.6 21.6 326.3
40.0 40.0 40.0 40.0 40.0 40.0 606.1
12.0 12.0 12.0 12.0 12.0 12.0 180.0
52.0 52.0 52.0 52.0 52.0 52.0 786.1
0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 20.0 20.0
52.0 52.0 52.0 52.0 52.0 72.0 806.1
0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 27.2
0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 132.8
52.0 52.0 52.0 52.0 52.0 72.0 646.1
0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 40.0
Exhibit 8: Schedule of Debt Amortization Including Prepayments (in millions of dollars)

Line Loan Principal Payment Schedule 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Senior secured debtU.S. banks
1 Contractual repayment 0.0 8.5 8.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2 Prepayment 22.5 11.2 9.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
3 Annual debt amortization 22.5 19.7 17.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 Cumulative debt amortization 22.5 42.2 60.0 60.0 60.0 60.0 60.0 60.0 60.0 60.0

Senior unsecured debtJapanese and Korean banks


5 Contractual repayment 0.0 5.4 5.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
6 Prepayment 15.0 7.5 6.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
7 Annual debt amortization 15.0 12.9 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
8 Cumulative debt amortization 15.0 27.9 40.0 40.0 40.0 40.0 40.0 40.0 40.0 40.0

Senior subordinated debt Chinese steel makers


9 Contractual repayment 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10 Prepayment 0.0 0.0 3.3 27.0 27.7 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11 Annual debt amortization 0.0 0.0 3.3 27.0 27.7 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 Cumulative debt amortization 0.0 0.0 3.3 30.2 58.0 60.0 60.0 60.0 60.0 60.0

13 Total contractual repayment 0.0 13.9 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14 Total prepayment 37.5 18.6 19.9 27.0 27.7 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15 Total debt amortization 37.5 32.5 33.2 27.0 27.7 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 Total

0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 16.6


0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 43.4
0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 60.0
60.0 60.0 60.0 60.0 60.0

0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.6


0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 29.4
0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 40.0
40.0 40.0 40.0 40.0 40.0

0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0


0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 60.0
0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 60.0
60.0 60.0 60.0 60.0 60.0

0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 27.2


0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 132.8
0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 160.0

S-ar putea să vă placă și