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Game Theory
Ultimate goal of competitor analysis is favorable competitive outcome.
A valuable framework for modeling competitive decision-making is the method of game theory
An action which is always optimal regardless of the choice of the other player is known as dominant
strategy
Game theory predicts outcomes are in equilibrium, neither player has any incentive to unilaterally deviate
from his or her chosen action
Game Tree Look forward and reason backward
Game matrices/trees treat the games as static whereas in fact they are dynamic
Behavioral Theory
Behavioral theory in strategy research recognizes that firms like individuals often have non-financial
motives and deviate from profit maximizing behavior.
Underlying many behavioral biases is the general notion of bounded rationality or information processing
limitations.
Decision makers might end up exercising certain heuristics or rules of thumb to simplify the decisions
problem they are facing
Common behavioral limitation resulting from application of decision making heuristics is
o Representativeness bias - Tendency to underestimate error & reliability
o Overconfidence bias Overestimation of a firms capabilities & likelihood of success
o Confirmation bias Firms seek out information that confirms what they already believe
o Endowment effect Irrationally aggressive in defending its territory. They value goods more when
they own them than when they do not
o Status Quo effect Prefer the status quo they are in at all times, irrespective of the situation
The Components of Porters Analysis Framework
What drives the competitor
o Future Goals At all levels of management and in multiple dimensions
o Assumptions Held about itself and the industry
What the competitor is doing and can do
o Current Strategy How the business is currently competing
o Capabilities Both strengths and weaknesses
Diversification Strategy
Deciding What business are we in? is the starting point of strategy. The business scope of firms changes over
time. The dominant trend of the past two decades has been refocusing on core businesses. Diversification is a
conundrum, chances of causing more destruction at the same time potential for a firm to free itself of the
restrictions of a single industry. Diversification decisions by firms involve the same two issues:
How attractive is the industry to be entered?
Can the firm establish a competitive advantage within the new industry?
Trends in Diversification Over Time
Analyzing Radical & Intermediating Change Aggressively pursuing profits in the near term while avoiding
investments that could later prevent them from ramping down their commitments. Instead of viewing rivals in
conventional terms, consider whether you can use alliances to protect common interests and defend against new
completion from outsiders.
Surviving Radical & Creative Change The easiest way to do this is to identify how much you are spending
to renew them. Companies must have the mettle to disappoint some buyers and suppliers, regardless of their track
records, if the risks are too high. Ultimately one of the most successful strategies for companies in industries on
a progressive change trajectory is to develop a system of interrelated activities that are defensible because of their
compounding effects on profits, not because they are hard to understand or replicate.