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Balance of Payment:
An overview of last 20 years performance of Bangladesh
Submitted To:
Saud Ahmed
Lecturer
Department of Finance
Jagannath University, Dhaka.
Submitted By:
Md. Mazharul Islam.
Group Representative of Finance Interface
ID No: 091541
B.B.A, 3rd Batch (3rd Year, 2nd Semester)
Session: 2008-2009
Department of Finance
Jagannath University, Dhaka.
Acknowledgement
At the starting of our report, we would like to thank the Almighty Allah for blessing
us with the strength, aptitude and patience for successfully completing our
assignment.
We would like to thank our course teacher of International Trade and Finance, Saud
Ahmed for giving us this assignment as a result of which we have got the opportunity
to know many more about Balance of Payment of Bangladesh, its different
components, its history of trends and so on which has widened our knowledge. We
have tried our best to implement his suggestions while doing this assignment.
We would also like to thank some of the personals of Bangladesh Bank who have
helped us through providing 10 years information regarding Balance of Payment of
Bangladesh. Our sincere gratitude goes to them for giving us time from their busy
schedule, providing us with information that was required to complete this
assignment.
Finally our sincere thanks goes to each and everyone who has helped and supported us
significantly in different stages during the completion period of this assignment.
Executive Summary
The main source documents for compilation of the balance of payments of Bangladesh
are the records of the Authorized Dealers, supplemented by information obtained from
the Bangladesh Bank and Economic Relations Division (ERD) of the Ministry of
Finance.
In Bangladesh Balance of Payments are recorded under two main heads: current
account and capital & financial account. As per the basic conventions in accounting,
balance of payments transactions are recorded in the form of double-entry book
keeping, with each credit-entry exactly balanced by an offsetting debit-entry and vice
versa. A credit-entry records the provision of real resources denoting exports of goods
and services and a decrease in holding of foreign financial assets or an increase in
foreign financial liabilities. Conversely, a debit-entry records the provision of real
resources denoting imports of goods and services and an increase in holding of foreign
financial assets or a decrease in foreign financial liabilities. Unrequited transfers and
counter-parts are shown as credits when the entries to which they provide the offsets
are debits and as debits when those entries are credits. The net positions are arrived at
by deducting debits from credits. Thus for assets, whether real or financial, a positive
(credit) figure represents a decrease in holdings while a negative (debit) figure
represents an increase. In contrast, for liabilities, a positive figure shows an increase
and a negative figure a decrease. The overall Balance of Payments are determined
through adding all the net balances of all accounts.
From 1991 to 1997 in calculating current account of Balance of Payments trade
balances, services balances and unrequited transfer balances are considered and after
1997 in calculating current account of Balance of Payments along with trade balances
and services balances, income balances and current transfers balances are also
considered. Previously only capital account are considered but now along with capital
account, financial account are also considered. From 1991 to 2011 there occurs many
changes, up and down in different accounts. Some of which have considered as good
for our country and some of which are not. In this report we have tried our best to
present the changes and the impacts of them.
Letter of Transmittal
16th April, 2012
Saud Ahmed
Lecturer
Department of Finance
Jagannath University, Dhaka.
Dear Sir,
We have completed this assignment as part of our course International Trade and
Finance (FIN 3207). The assignment has been compiled as per your requirements. It
gives us immense pleasure to tell you that working on this assignment has given us a
wide range of exposure.
The assignment is based on the knowledge, experiences and the skills that we have
acquired studying the course, International Trade and Finance.
We are thus submitting this assignment with the hope that it lives up to your
satisfaction. However we would be glad if you enlighten us with your thoughts and
views regarding the assignment. In addition, if you wish to enquire about any of the
aspects of the assignment, we would be glad to answer your queries.
Sincerely
.
Md. Mazharul Islam
ID: 091541
Department of Finance
Jagannath University, Dhaka.
Table of Contents
Name Page No
Acknowledgement i
Executive Summary ii
Introduction 2
Objectives 2
Part - I
Methodology 3
Limitation 3
Overview of Balance of Payment 4
Balance of Payment 4
Components of balance of payment 4
A Comparative Difference Between BPM 4 and BPM 5 5
Current Account 5
Goods Account 5
Services Account 6
Income 9
Current Transfers 10
Recent Current Account of Bangladesh 11
Imports of goods and services 11
Part - II Major Import Items of Bangladesh 12
Recent Imports of Bangladesh 12
Exports of goods and services 12
Major Export Items of Bangladesh 12
Recent Exports of Bangladesh 13
Bangladesh Balance of Trade 13
Capital and Financial Account 14
Capital Account 14
Financial account 14
Recent Capital Account of Bangladesh 15
Incentives and Facilities for Investors 16
Other Incentives 16
Conclusion 18
Appendix 19
Tables
Table 1: A Comparative Difference Between BPM4 5
and BPM 5
Table 2: Balance of Payment Tables 20
Graph
Part-III Graph 1: Balance of Trade 8
Graph 2: Balance of Services Account 10
Graph 3: Unilateral/Current Transfer Account 11
Graph 4: Current Account 13
Graph 5: Capital Account 15
Graph 6: Balance of Payments 17
Graph 7: Foreign Exchange Reserve Account 19
Graph 8: Exchange Rate 19
Bibliography 21
Introduction
This is an assignment which we have prepared to fulfill the requirement of the course
International Trade and Finance(FIN-3207). This following assignment has been
assigned to us by our course teacher of International Trade and Finance, Saud Ahmed.
This assignment reflects about our depth understanding about the Balance of Payment.
The Bangladesh Bank follows a classificatory scheme for BOP presentation as per the
5th edition of the IMF's Balance of Payments Manual (BPM5). The Balance of
Payments is a statistical statement for a given period showing Transactions in goods,
services and income between an economy and the rest of the world; Changes in the
economy's monetary gold, special drawing rights (SDRs) and other financial claims
on and liabilities to the rest of the world; Transfers and counterpart entries that are
needed to balance, in an accounting sense, any entry for the foregoing transactions and
changes which are not mutually offsetting.
Objectives
The main objectives of this assignment are:
To gather knowledge broadly about Balance of Payment.
To know the trends of Balance of Payment of Bangladesh.
To know about the real accounting method and format used to calculate the
Balance of Payment in Bangladesh which however cannot be understood
properly by reading books and studying in classrooms.
To gain an in-depth knowledge about how different accounts are recorded,
calculated and what are their impact in the overall Balance of Payment.
To gain knowledge practically through analysis of the year to year up and
down of the Balance of Payment.
Methodology
This assignment has been completed by taking information from primary and
secondary sources. We have completed our assignment by taking information from
different journals from Bangladesh Bank regarding Balance of Payment of
Bangladesh. We have also taken information from different websites.
Limitation
While preparing this assignment, we faced some limitations in terms of having poor
knowledge regarding different elements and steps of Balance of Payment. Although
we had this limitation, however we have tried our level best to fulfill the objectives of
this assignment properly.
Balance of Payment
Balance of payment is a record of all transactions made between on particular country
and all other countries during a specified period of time. BOP compares the dollar
difference of the amount of exports and imports including all financial exports and
imports. BOP may be used as an indicator of economic and political stability. A
negative balance of payment means that more money is flowing out in the country
than coming in and vice-versa.
In the Bangladesh Balance of Payments statements are grouped under two major
categories as given below,
The Bangladesh Bank has been following a new classificatory scheme for BOP
presentation as per the 5th edition of the IMF's Balance of Payments Manual (BPM5)
since 1997-98. Before that they followed the classificatory scheme for BOP
presentation as per the 4th edition of the IMF's Balance of Payments Manual (BPM4).
A brief Discussion about a comparative difference between two manual and
discussion about two heads of balance of payments and is given in the next pages
respectively,
2. Services 2. Services
2.1 Receipts 2.1 Receipts
2.2 Payments 2.2 Payments
3. Income
3.1 Receipts
3.2 Payments
1) Current Account
Current Account is the sum of the (A) Goods and Services, (B) Income and (C)
Current Transfers.
a) Goods
Recording of goods implies provision or acquisition of real resources of an economy
to and from the rest of the world. The credit entries of the flows measure the domestic
real resources provided to, while the debit entries stand for acquisition of real
resources from the rest of the world. Exports of goods are credited and imports of
goods are debited in the goods account and the net goods accounts are calculated by
subtracting the amount of imports from the amount of exports. In equation,
Goods covers general merchandise, goods for processing, repairs on goods, goods
procured in ports by carriers and non monetary gold.
Goods for processing: Transactions in goods are recorded under this item
when goods imported for processing are re-exported to the country from which
those goods were originally imported and vice-versa.
Goods procured in ports by carriers: The item refers to those goods, such as
fuels, provisions, stores and supplies for carriers usually purchased for
commercial use in ships, aircraft and other carriers.
Non monetary gold: This represents gold that is held as a store of value which
is not recognized as part of reserves in the financial account.
b) Services
Recording of services implies provision or acquisition of services of an economy to
and from the rest of the world. The credit entries measure the services provided to,
and the debit entries measure the acquisition of services from the rest of the world.
Exports of services are credited and imports of services are debited in the services
account and the net services accounts are calculated by subtracting the amount of
imports from the amount of exports. In equation,
Net services account= Value of services exported - Value of services imported
Different types of service accounts are discussed here.
Travel: Travel represents receipts and payments under tourism and other travel
for such purposes as business and personal. Business travelers are usually
commercial travelers, government employees on official travel and employees
of international organizations on official missions. Personal travel covers
travelers going abroad for religious, educational, health purposes, visits to
relatives and friends, participation in sports etc.
Insurance services: Credit entries cover net premium on direct insurance and
reinsurance assumed by resident insurance companies. Debit entries cover
premium on merchandise insurance on imports, which are not available
separately but are included in freight. An estimated 10 percent of import
freights is treated as insurance.
Royalties and License Fees: The item covers receipts and payments associated
with the authorized use of intangible no produced non-financial assets and
proprietary rights, such as patents, copy rights, trademarks, industrial processes
etc. and the use through licensing agreement of produced originals or photo
types such as manuscripts and films.
Govt. Services n.i.e.: Under this residual item the primary credit entries are
service expenditures of foreign diplomatic missions and international
organizations in Bangladesh and the primary debit entries are the expenditures
relating to Bangladesh diplomatic personnel, diplomatic and trade mission, and
military expenditures abroad.
Balance of Trade
2000000
1500000 1641592
1000000
340377
500000 72627
Million in US $
0
-101685
-500000 -118919 -521819
-442062
-1000000
-1500000
-2000000
-2163411
-2500000
From above graph we can see the red line is for export, green line is for import and
the blue line is for trade balance. Here it is seen that in 1991-1992, the trade balance
is close to the horizontal line where the trade deficit is 46,292 million US Dollar only
whereas in 2001-02 the line of trade balance become going down from horizontal line
and it is close to the line of import. In 2010-11 the trade balance is showing a deficit
amount and the deficit amount is 521,819 million US Dollar. The overall balance of
trade is showing a deficit balance.
B) Income
The Income component of the Balance of Payments is restricted to income earned
from the provision of two factors of production viz, labor and capital. Accordingly
income earned from the labor is called compensation of employees while income
earned from the capital is called investment income. Income paid to Bangladeshis
from overseas sources are credited in the income account and income paid by
Bangladeshis to overseas sources are debited in the income account. In equation,
Net Income Account= Income Credits - Income Debits
Investment income
Direct investment
The credit entry covers profit receipts on equity participation and interest
receipts on debt by Bangladeshi direct investors from abroad and debit entry
records the profit and interest paid to the foreign direct investors by the
reporting economy. Data on direct investment income are derived from
banking records. Data on reinvested earnings are collected through enterprise
survey.
Portfolio investment
The credit entry covers dividend accrued on equity securities (shares) and
interest received from holding of foreign bonds, notes, and money market
instruments and associated financial derivatives, and the debit entry includes
the payments on account of the same instruments to the foreign investors. Data
on portfolio investment income are collected from the exchange records
provided by authorized dealers.
Other Investment
The credit entry under this head includes mainly interest and discount received
by Bangladesh Bank from investment account and treasury bills and receipts of
interest/discount on all other resident claims on non-resident other than direct
and portfolio investment. The debit entry represents mainly interest payments
of Medium & Long-term Loan (MLT) and other short-term loans, payments of
IMF charges and payments of interest/discount on all other liabilities to
nonresident other than direct and portfolio investment.
Service Account
300000
182929
200000
100000 21537 40955
Million in US $
0
-49319
-100000 -35550
-90274 -172077
-200000
-300000
-400000 -355006
C) Current Transfers
Official grants in food and commodity for immediate consumption and technical
assistance are included in the current transfers. It also includes workers' remittances,
other gifts and donations etc. Transfer of funds into Bangladesh are credited and the
transfer of funds out of Bangladesh are debited. In equation,
Net Current Transfer = Credits - Debits
General government: The credit entries for current transfers of the general
government (i.e. government official sectors) include grants in the form of food
and commodity and technical assistance received from donor countries and
international organizations. Debit entries represent payments on the same
accounts.
Other sectors: Credit entries of other current transfer mainly cover workers'
remittances and donations provided by foreign private organizations. Payments
on the same accounts constitute debit entries.
600000
500000
400000
300000
200000
100000
0
Bangladesh reported a current account surplus equivalent to 264 Million USD in the
fourth quarter of 2011. This page includes a chart with historical data for Bangladesh's
Current Account. Current Account is the sum of the balance of trade (exports minus
imports of goods and services), net factor income (such as interest and dividends) and
net transfer payments (such as foreign aid). The balance of trade is typically the most
important part of the current account.
The economy of Bangladesh depends on imports both for consumer items and
industrial raw materials. The major import items of Bangladesh are: Wheat, oil, seeds,
crude petroleum, raw cotton, edible oil, petroleum products, fertilizer, staple fibers,
yarn, iron and steel, capital goods. Major trading partners of Bangladesh for both
exports and imports are: USA, EU countries, India, China, Japan, South Korea,
Australia, Malaysia, Hong Kong, Taiwan, Indonesia, Thailand, Saudi Arabia, UAE.
Bangladesh is the member of many International economic and trade blocks like, OIC,
ICC, ISO, SAARC, G-77 and BIMST-EC.
Bangladesh Imports were worth 3346 Million USD in January of 2012. Bangladesh
imports mostly petroleum product and oil, machinery and parts, soybean and palm oil,
raw cotton, iron and steel and wheat. Bangladesh main imports partners are China
(17% of total), India, Indonesia, Singapore and Japan.
Exports of goods and services represent the value of all goods and other market
services provided to the rest of the world. They include the value of merchandise,
freight, insurance, transport, travel, royalties, license fees, and other services, such as
communication, construction, financial, information, business, personal, and
government services. They exclude compensation of employees and investment
income (formerly called factor services) and transfer payments.
According to a World Bank report released in 2011The Exports of goods and services
(US dollar) in Bangladesh was last reported at 18471882566.67 in 2010. Exports of
goods and services represent the value of all goods and other market services provided
to the rest of the world. They include the value of merchandise, freight, insurance,
transport, travel, royalties, license fees, and other services, such as communication,
construction, financial, information, business, personal, and government services.
They exclude compensation of employees and investment income and transfer
payments. Bangladesh is considered as a developing economy which has recorded
GDP growth above 5% during the last few years.
Balance on current account = Balance on goods and services + Net income +Net transfer
100000
50000
62254
0
8107
-50000
-59573
-100000
A) Capital Account
Money coming to Bangladesh are credited and the money coming out of Bangladesh
are debited in the capital account. In equation,
Balance of capital account = Capital transfer credited Capital transfer
debited
B) Financial Account
Financial account records all transactions associated with changes of ownership in
foreign financial assets and liabilities.
Balance of Financial Account = Direct investment + Portfolio investment + Other
Investment + Reserve Assets
Direct investment: This item covers remittances received from foreign direct
investors in their enterprises in the reporting economy and remittances made
abroad by Bangladeshi direct investors for equity participation. The data on
foreign direct investment (FDI) transactions are collected through enterprise
surveys.
Other Investment: Other investment includes all financial transactions that are
not covered in the categories for direct investment, portfolio investment or
reserve assets. Under other investment, the instrument classified under assets
and liabilities, comprises trade credits, loans (including use of Fund credit and
other loans from the Fund), currency and deposits and other assets and
liabilities.
internal records of the Bangladesh Bank and IMF. Transactions of gold, SDR
and foreign exchange of Bangladesh Bank, transactions in the reserve position
in the IMF are reflected in the reserve assets.
Balance of Capital and Financial Account = Balance of capital account + Balance of Financial account
The Net capital account (Bop; US dollar) in Bangladesh was last reported at
470949802.86 in 2010, according to a World Bank report released in 2011. The Net
capital account (Bop; US dollar) in Bangladesh was 474938510.33 in 2009, according
to a World Bank report, published in 2010. The Net capital account (Bop; US dollar)
in Bangladesh was reported at 490457363.36 in 2008, according to the World Bank.
Net capital account includes government debt forgiveness, investment grants in cash
or in kind by a government entity, and taxes on capital transfers. Also included are
migrants' capital transfers and debt forgiveness and investment grants by
nongovernmental entities. Data are in current U.S. dollars. This page includes a
historical data chart, news and forecast for Net capital account (Bop; US dollar) in
Bangladesh. Bangladesh is considered as a developing economy which has recorded
GDP growth above 5% during the last few years. Microcredit has been a major driver
of economic development in Bangladesh and although three fifths of Bangladeshis are
employed in the agriculture sector, three quarters of exports revenues come from
garment industry.
Other incentives:
Tax exemption on royalties, technical know-how fees received by any
foreign collaborator, firm, company and expert.
Tax exemption on income of the private sector power generation company for
15 years from the date of commercial production.
Facilities for full repatriation of invested capital, profit & dividend
There will be no discrimination in case of duties and taxes for the same type of
industries set up by foreign and local investors and in the public and
private sectors. Special incentives and facilities will be provided for making
investment in 100 per cent export- oriented industries.
Balance of Payment
250000
200000
150000
Million in US $
100000
50000
0
-50000
-100000
-150000
-200000
2009-2010
1991-1992
1992-1993
1993-1994
1994-1995
1995-1996
1996-1997
1997-1998
1998-1999
1999-2000
2000-2001
2001-2002
2002-2003
2003-2004
2004-2005
2005-2006
2006-2007
2007-2008
2008-2009
In the above graph, blue line is for current account balance, red line is for capital and
financial account, black line is linear line and the green line is for overall balance of
payment. According to the all other graph we discussed previously, we can
understand the overall balance of payments easily. In this graph the overall balance
of payments is showing a negative balance. If we draw a straight line the future
balance of payments will be negative. So we have to ensure a positive capital account
balance and current account balance through increasing FDI, export of new product
and decreasing the import of less important goods.
Conclusion
Last but not the least, Errors and Omissions are also considered in Balance of
Payments. In Bangladesh errors and omissions are the difference between the current
account and capital & financial account. If we will success to minimize the errors and
omissions account then the overall balance will be increased. New items such as
handicraft and cottage goods should be implemented to export. It will be a good
source of foreign revenue. Bangladesh have also an opportunity to implement the
beach of Coxs Bazaar to catch the eye of foreigners, it will also a good source of
revenue. At Present Bangladesh have to provide necessary incentives to the FDI that
will increase the capital account and thus overall balance. Also Bangladesh have to
search new country to export labor. As we know the remittance is the highest source
of Current transfer of Bangladesh which plays an important role in increasing the
overall balance.
Appendix
10000
Million in US $
8000
6000
4000
1608 1307
2000
0
From the above graph it is observed that in 1991-92 the balance of foreign exchange
reserve account was below and in 1993-94 to 1994-95 it increased from its low
position but from 1994-95 to 2001-02 its position was continuously in the below of
horizontal line and from 2002-03 it has again increased and it is still continuing its
positive growth.
38.1453
40
20
0
1995-1996
1991-1992
1992-1993
1993-1994
1994-1995
1996-1997
1997-1998
1998-1999
1999-2000
2000-2001
2001-2002
2002-2003
2003-2004
2004-2005
2005-2006
2006-2007
2007-2008
2008-2009
2009-2010
2010-2011
Bibliography
Book:
Reference:
Website:
http:// www.bangladesh-bank.org/
http://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/26134/
http://www.nationsencyclopedia.com/Asia-and-
Oceania/Bangladesh-BALANCE-OF-
PAYMENTS.html#b#ixzz1rKmZjtKn