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(1)
Trading Comparable EV/07E EBITDA 55.3 62.8 6.0x 6.8x
(2) 59.2
Trading Comparable EV/07E FCF 74.2 6.4x 8.0x
(3)
Trading Comparable P/07E E 52.5 65.6 5.7x 7.1x
M bi
Mobistar Metrics
M i (EUR(EURm)) 590 9
590.9 575 6
575.6 38 9%
38.9% 38 5%
38.5% -2.6%
2 6% 426 9
426.9 414 2
414.2 -3.0%
3 0% 286 2
286.2 273 5
273.5 -4.4%
4 4%
Note:
1. Financial projections based on broker consensus estimates;
2. Multiples have been adjusted for minorities, associates and affiliates - Market values have been used where available otherwise broker SOTP has
been used as a substitute
3. Yahoo finance has been used for share price data
4. Net debt is a per latest quarterly reports available
5. Fx rates have been obtained from Oanda.com as on 25 Aug 2007
Transaction Comparables Summary
EV / Acquisition
Target Acquiror Date Stake EV (m) Revenue EBITDA
O2 Telefonica 31-Oct-05 100.0% 25,840 2.45x 8.8x
Proximus Belgacom 25-Aug-06 25.0% 6,600 3.11x 6.6x
EV / 07E Revenue
Re en e
Min Max
Trading Comparables Range 2.4x 3.1x
Mobistar Metrics (EURm) 1,517.7 1,517.7
Implied Enterprise Value (EV in EURm) 3,716 4,713
Implied Price Per Share (EUR) 58.0 73.8
EV / 07E EBITDA
Min Max
Trading Comparables Range 6.6x 7.6x
Mobistar Metrics ((EURm)) 590.9 590.9
Implied Enterprise Value (EV in EURm) 3,922 4,510
Implied Price Per Share (EUR) 61.3 70.6
Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)
(in EURm)
Fiscal Year End 31 December 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Norm
Revenue 1,518 1,494 1,531 1,544 1,553 1,559 1,563 1,564 1,566 1,567 1,567
Growth nm -1.5% 2.5% 0.8% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% n.a.
EBITDA 591 576 595 598 601 603 605 605 606 607 607
EBITDA Margin 38.9% 38.5% 38.8% 38.7% 38.7% 38.7% 38.7% 38.7% 38.7% 38.7% 38.7%
Allowable D&A (145) (152) (153) (144) (145) (145) (146) (146) (146) (146) (163)
EBIT(A) 446 423 442 454 456 458 459 459 460 460 444
Cumulative EBIT 446 869 1,311 1,765 2,222 2,680 3,139 3,598 4,058 4,518
Effective Tax Rate 30.0% 30.0% 30.0% 30.0% 30.0% 30.0% 30.0% 30.0% 30.0% 30.0% 30.0%
Tax on EBIT(A) (134) (127) (133) (136) (137) (137) (138) (138) (138) (138) (133)
NOPAT 312 296 309 318 319 321 321 322 322 322 310
Allowable
ll bl D&A 145 152 153 144 145 145 146 146 146 146 163
Capital Expenditures (164) (161) (162) (160) (162) (162) (163) (163) (163) (163) (163)
% of Revenues 10.8% 10.8% 10.6% 10.4% 10.4% 10.4% 10.4% 10.4% 10.4% 10.4% 10.4%
Change in Working Capital (9) 12 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
Free Cash Flow to the Firm 284 299 301 303 304 305 306 306 307 307 312
Growth n.a. 5.2% 0.9% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% n.a.
Y
Years Di
Discounted
t d 05
0.5 15
1.5 25
2.5 35
3.5 45
4.5 55
5.5 65
6.5 75
7.5 85
8.5 95
9.5 95
9.5
Discount Factors 0.9623 0.8910 0.8250 0.7639 0.7073 0.6549 0.6064 0.5615 0.5199 0.4814 0.4814
Discounted Cash Flows 273 266 249 231 215 200 186 172 159 148 150
WACC
Terminal Value 4,181 7.0x 7.1x 8.0% 3,858 3,977 4,112 4,267 4,445
9.0% 3,458 3,545 3,643 3,754 3,879
Discounted Terminal Value 2,013 10.0% 3,134 3,200 3,273 3,354 3,445
Discounted
Di t d Cash
C h Flows
Fl 22,100
100 EV / FCF
Enterperise Value (EV) 4,112 2,007 2,008 Implied EBITDA Exit Multiple
Implied Share Price (EUR) 64.3 427 414 Terminal Growth Rate
9.6x 9.9x 7 -0.5% 0.0% 0.5% 1.0% 1.5%
Discounted Terminal Value / Firm Value 48.9% 6.0% 7.9x 8.6x 9.4x 10.4x 11.6x
Normalized EBITDA 607 7.0% 6.8x 7.3x 8.0x 8.7x 9.5x
CC
WAC
I li d Exit
Implied E i EBITDA Multiple
M li l 69
6.9x 8 0%
8.0% 60
6.0x 64
6.4x 69
6.9x 74
7.4x 80
8.0x
9.0% 5.4x 5.7x 6.1x 6.5x 7.0x
10.0% 4.9x 5.1x 5.4x 5.8x 6.1x
Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)
Levered Market Net Net Debt/ Equity/ D/E Tax 1-tax rate ((D/e)*1-t)+1 Unlever.
(LC mm) Beta Cap. Debt EV EV Ratio Rate Beta
Cosmote 0.76 7,466 2,146 22.3% 77.7% 28.7% 29.0% 71.0% 120.4% 0.63
Vodafone 1.04 81,681 23,000 22.0% 78.0% 28.2% 30.0% 70.0% 119.7% 0.87
Mean 0.75