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INNOVATION, STRATEGY, and STRUCTURE -
Organizations, Institutions, Systems and Regions
at
Copenhagen Business School, Denmark, June 15-17, 2011
Low Cost Pills or High End Innovation? Strategic Growth Options for Emerging
Economy Firms
Florian Tube
EBS Business School
Innovation Management and Entrepreneurship
florian.taeube@ebs.edu
Anu Wadhwa
anu.wadhwa@epfl.ch
Alexander Frenzel
afrenzel@de.imshealth.com
Amit Karna
amit.karna@ebs.edu
Abstract
We present an exploratory framework of organizational transformation and strategic renewal of emerging economies
firms faced with extreme turbulence in their institutional
Jelcodes:O32,F23
and regulatory contexts.
Paper submitted to the DRUID Summer Conference 2011 on
Abstract
In this paper we present an exploratory framework that furthers our understanding of
organizational transformation and strategic renewal of firms in emerging economies
when faced with extreme turbulence in their institutional and regulatory contexts. We
use the Indian pharmaceutical industry as an illustrative example in which firms are
faced with disruptive industry level trends in the global pharmaceutical industry and
extreme institutional changes in their domestic environments. This leads firms to
different strategic responses which we explore with a mix of qualitative and
quantitative data and illustrative case studies.
Abstract
emerging economies when faced with extreme turbulence in their institutional and
example in which firms are faced with disruptive industry level trends in the global
environments. This leads firms to different strategic responses which we explore with
Introduction
Turbulent environments threaten the long term viability of firms and generate
resources and capabilities (Guth and Ginsberg, 1990). The process of strategic
structures and routines (Floyd and Lane, 2000), thus enabling firms to respond
little about how firms in developing economies overcome the tensions created by their
counterparts in the developed world. On the one hand, these firms face disruptive
changes in their already complex institutional environments which can erode their
existing capabilities and market share. On the other hand, they have to build and
international markets. Despite these challenges, there is ample anecdotal evidence that
some firms from emerging market economies are successfully able to surmount these
Economist, 2007). Even though the data speak volumes about the innovative ability of
these firms to overcome high barriers to their survival and growth, greater theoretical
inquiry is required to gain insights into how they manage the dual challenges of
globally during periods of changing institutional contexts (Li, Hitt, & Worthington,
The limited research that sheds light on this topic has identified the pace of
and slow development of institutions and factor markets as critical factors that can
emerging economies changes (Filatochev et al., 2003; Newman, 2003; Peng & Heath,
1996; Spicer, McDermott & Kogut, 2000). Focusing on the firm and industry level
economies, Chittoor, Sarkar, Ray & Aulakh (2008) have conceptualized the rapid
Building upon this recent research, we argue that growth strategies can entail a
These options include the mode of growth, innovative intensity; value chain stage and
capabilities, they are likely to purse different growth strategies that need not be
strategies composed by the dimension mentioned above and investigate how the
growth trajectory of firms evolves, contingent upon their existing strengths and
capabilities, and the performance effects thereof. Thus, we present a framework that
when faced with extreme turbulence in institutional and regulatory contexts of firms
in emerging economies.
framework and examine the adaptive responses of Indian and foreign pharmaceutical
firms in India to institutional and regulatory changes in the Indian environment arising
partly from significant events that are altering the nature of competition in the global
pharmaceutical industry.
as generic drug development (Ranbaxy, 2008).1 This is only one of the latest
of dramatic technological and institutional changes that have already led to a decline
in its overall value from US$ 2 trillion to US$ 1.5 trillion (Ghemawat, 2007), and
pose serious challenges to and opportunities for industry players. While the Indian
pharmaceutical industry has a very small fraction of this huge market, its growth
On the technology front, the year 2005 marked the patent expiration,
revenues). This is challenging as the costs of new drug development are rising fast
and often cross the US$ 1 billion threshold accompanied by the rise in competition
from generics substitutes. Within a month of the expiry of these blockbuster drugs,
87% of its sales switched to generics (Langreth and Herper, 2006). This rise of
(Bhandari, 2005).
the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT, now World Trade Association,
WTO) India entered the TRIPS agreement in 1994 with a 10 year transition period.
This period was granted to pharmaceutical firms in order to prepare for the new
multinationals. In line with the general Indian policy climate of import substitution, in
1972 the government had introduced patents law and price ceilings which aimed at
(Ramani, 2003). These changes, coupled with the liberalization of the Indian market
firms into India as well as created an impetus for the domestic firms to invigorate
The implications of these environmental changes are manifold, and for Indian
incumbents they present an even more profound combination. Foreign MNCs are
increasing competition in the Indian market, because they are encouraged by their
national health systems to reduce costs and at the same time they can now enter India,
as a low cost market, with product patent protection hence no fear of reverse
compete seems diminished and the Indian pharmaceutical market now being a level
playing field. On the other hand, MNCs are searching for generics producers and
biotech firms since the mid-1990s to fill their product pipeline at both high and low
In this paper, we focus on how these firms evolve to reach their aspirations of
becoming multinationals themselves and why these firms have different growth paths
showing that changes in economic policies, such as patent regimes can benefit
prepared firms at the cost of certain others (Athreye, Kale and Ramani, 2010).
Strategic options for Indian pharmaceutical companies
In this paper, we focus on how EEFs evolve and take on different growth
trajectories such as trying to become MNCs in their own right and why they follow
an exploratory study to analyse the dynamics of competition through the lens of these
firms. Our framework unpacks the blackbox of growth strategies to examine when
firms choose to follow a certain path and how this choice depends on their existing
First, growth may take place via several modes of growth ranging from organic to
inorganic. Second, growth strategies may involve an innovative intensity that may aim
at the high end of the spectrum of innovation (as in the case of new drug discovery) or
be concentrated at the low-end of innovation (as in the case of generic drugs). Third,
the growth can happen in a different stage of the value chain (from R&D to
marketing). Finally, growth can take place in different national contexts, namely a
Modes of Growth. In principle, the mode of growth can take the shape of
alliances. Given the comparatively limited size of the Indian market and
through pure organic growth. For the case of Indian EEFs, we will show evidence
intensities.
Innovative Intensity. Growth may also involve varying degrees of
innovative effort. Firms that aim at the high end of the pharmaceutical spectrum
will need to develop the R&D capabilities in order to discover new drug
through the clinical trials, manufacturing and marketing. On the other hand firms
may choose to concentrate on the low end by leveraging their existing capabilities
in generic drug delivery. We argue that firms that possess greater levels of
financial resources, have a strong position in the industry and have prior
experience with internationalization are also more likely to pursue the high-end
innovation than firms that do not have the same endowment of resources and
capabilities.
firms have to decide between developing an integrated value chain and focusing
on their core competence in one or more specific stages and covering the
marketing JVs.
Indian pharmaceutical firms also need to focus on their domestic market, where
the rules of the game no longer protect the domestic firms from entry of
which answer their need for growth which need not be mutually exclusive but can
dimensional matrix with a total of 36 cells. These options are shown in table 1:
Production
Marketing
Global Technology
Production
Marketing
different growth strategies are contingent upon, how they affect the trajectory
firms may take and what performance effect this has. For each of the above
position in the domestic market and its prior experience with internationalization
is likely to play a role in the degree to which it chooses a mix of modes in order to
grow. We argue that, ceteris paribus, firms with more resources and capabilities,
question is not within the scope of this exploratory paper, but is a question that we
Empirical evidence
quantitative data. Qualitative data is derived from content analysis of newspapers and
business magazines in both India (Mint, Times of India, Business Today) and abroad
(Business Week, Economist). These qualitative data are used to identify broad
(M&A). We argue that M&A data, like foreign offices, are a complementary yet
conventional variables such as international sales (cf. Chittoor, Sarkar, Ray & Aulakh
investment (FDI) could be used as well, but as argued earlier, because of regulatory
requirements this happens much less frequently. The data we use include all
transactions of healthcare firms, because this includes not only pharma but also
biotech and related industries between 1 January 1985 and 31 December 2007 with at
least one of the two parties involved, the acquiror or the target firm, being from India.
Finally, we use proprietary databases from IMS Health, a private data
solutions provider for the pharmaceutical industry. IMS Health collects sales data at
firm or therapy area level through a sample of 3,100 pharmacies stratified into 35
major metros and 14 states (excluding the metros) regional clusters. As an additional
stratification semi-rural and rural clusters are also considered. At the same time these
special focus is on Hospital stockists. A purposive selection is also done to ensure that
the company coverage benchmarks are met within each of the regional clusters. This
sampling frame enables utilisation the so-called stratification and purposive effect,
which reduces the statistical error compared to an unstratified sample of the same
size.
share. Out of this sample we then selected the fasted growing firms between 1998 and
2006 for in-depth case studies. The fastest growing Indian firm at that size level is
Ranbaxy (now part of Daiichi Sankyo) and the fastest-growing foreign firm is
Quantitative Evidence
FDI is also more holistic as it combines asset/ resource seeking and market
seeking motives that can be disentangled according to the type of capability acquired.
Figure 1 gives an overview of the time trends from 1985 to 2007 of inward and
outward FDI involving Indian firms. As can be seen the institutional and technical
changes are reflected in strong increases in cross-border M&A activity in 1995 and
2005. Moreover, inward deals almost always outnumber outward investments, except
70
60
50
No. of deals
40 Inward FDI
30 Outward FDI
20
10
0
85
87
89
91
93
95
97
99
01
03
05
07
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
20
20
20
20
Year
What we can find looking at the data in more disaggregate fashion is the
different types of firms involved. Table 1 shows industries in which acquisitions are
made; most of investments stay within the pharmaceutical industry, primarily at the
low, generics but also at the high-end new drug development. Not surprisingly, only
few acquisitions are made in the biotech industry. This is not surprising insofar as one
would expect pharmaceutical -biotech linkages to come into effect primarily through
(pharmaceutical) industry life-cycle such M&A happens once biotech firms have gone
Biotech 9 2,91%
Chemicals 5 1,62%
economies, while inward M&A comes exclusively from developed economies (not
reported for space reasons). This reflects different acquisition motives such as market-
Germany 9 2,78%
China 6 1,85%
Belgium 5 1,54%
Spain 4 1,23%
Italy 3 0,93%
Switzerland 3 0,93%
Qualitative Evidence
move to the case study evidence, we present findings form newspaper analysis of the
according to the 6x6 matrix introduced in the previous section. Interestingly, grouping
strategic actions by Indian and foreign pharmaceutical firms in this table reveals two
striking points. Firstly, there seem to be no JVs or strategic alliances in the domestic
context, as covered by newspapers and business press. Given that M&A data from
and calls into question data collection by news agencies, calling for further cross-
checking and cleaning of available quantitative and qualitative data. Beyond data
efforts with foreign firms. As a caveat, these data need more careful scrutiny, hence
Organic Inorganic
RANBAXY Laboratories
distributor for a Japanese company Shionogi. The name Ranbaxy is a combined word
from the names of its first owners Ranbir and Gurbax. Bhai Mohan Singh bought the
company in 1952 from his cousins Ranbir Singh and Gurbax Singh. After Bhai
Mohan Singh's son Parvinder Singh joined the company in 1967, the company saw a
significant transformation in its business and scale. His sons Malvinder Mohan Singh
and Shivinder Mohan Singh sold the company to the Japanese company Daiichi
pharmaceutical company. Ranbaxy & Daiichi Sankyo combined rank among the top
46 countries, although its products are sold in over 125 countries. Its manufacturing is
spread over 7 countries. Its 12000 strong workforce is derived from 50 different
nationalities. Since 2006, it has spent over $500 million on various M&A activities
within and outside of India. Refer to exhibit-1 for key financial information
Ranbaxy was incorporated in 1961 and went public in 1973. For the year
2008, the Company recorded Global Sales of US $ 1,682 Mn, reflecting a growth of
4%. The Company has a balanced mix of revenues from emerging and developed
markets that contribute 54% and 39% respectively. In 2008, North America, the
garnering US $ 330 Mn. Business in Asia has been going strong with India clocking
Strategy
Using the finest R&D and Manufacturing facilities, Ranbaxy manufactures
determined to bring in increased revenues from dosage forms sales. Ranbaxy's diverse
product basket of over 5,000 SKUs encompasses a wide therapeutic mix covering a
majority of the chronic and acute segments. Healthcare trends project that the chronic
treatment segments will outpace the acute treatment segments, primarily driven by a
growing aging population and dominance of lifestyle diseases. In line with that,
This indicates its presence in the fast-growing chronic and lifestyle disease segments.
its key markets through organic and inorganic growth routes. Growth is well spread
strengthen its business and competitiveness. Ranbaxy has forayed into high growth
potential segments like Biologics, Oncology and Injectables. These new growth areas
R&D
Ranbaxy views its R&D capabilities as a vital component of its business
Ranbaxy is among the few Indian pharmaceutical companies in India to have started
its research program in the late 70s, in support of its global ambitions. A pioneering
world class R&D centre was commissioned in 1994. Today, the Company's four
generics research and innovative research. The R&D environment for both drug
discovery and development helps Ranbaxy to retain its leadership position in the
generics space offering value added formulations based on its Novel Drug Delivery
System (NDDS) and New Chemical Entity (NCE) research capabilities. The new drug
Ranbaxy has 10 programs including one Anti-malaria molecule for which Phase-III
clinical trials have commenced in India, Bangladesh and Thailand. Ranbaxy has
controlled- release products for the regulated markets. Ranbaxys first significant
international success using the NDDS technology platform came in September 1999,
International Expansion
The new markets, like Japan and Mexico offer good potential markets to
Ranbaxy. With its own operations in the newly opening market of Japan, it has
become the first company from India to start operations in this market. Apart from
Japan and Mexico the focus is on emerging BRIC economies and South African
for both finished dosage formulations and active pharmaceutical ingredients. Orchid
is a niche player in the global pharmaceutical industry with a strong track record,
particularly in sterile products. With Ranbaxy's extensive front end presence, the
In June 2008, Ranbaxy entered into an alliance with one of the largest
and generic pharmaceutical powerhouse. The combined entity now ranks among the
Ranbaxy in a higher growth trajectory and it will emerge stronger in terms of its
global reach and in its capabilities in drug development and manufacturing. Ranbaxy
products by 2012 with a strong presence in developed markets. The Company aspires
to be amongst the Top 5 global generic players and aims at achieving global sales of
US $5 Bn by 2012.
Novartis
Novartis, meaning new skills in Latin, was founded in 1996 from the merger
Novartis AG that holds 100% of all the operating companies of the group. Novartis
achieved a net sales of $41.5 billion in 2008, from continuing healthcare operations,
while net income amounted to $8.2 billion. The R&D investements were over $7.2
billion in 2008. Headquartered in Basel, Switzerland, Novartis employed
has operations in approximately 140 countries around the world. For key financial
Novartis provides healthcare solutions that address the needs of patients and
health products. The Groups businesses are divided on a worldwide basis into the
diagnostics)
Strategy
Novartis strategy is to strengthen this healthcare portfolio through sustained
announced a significant agreement with Nestle S.A. providing the right to acquire
77% majority ownership of Alcon Inc. (NYSE: ACL) in two steps and add this world
leader in eye care to its portfolio. The potential value of these transactions was
approximately $39 billion. In July 2008, the first step was completed when Novartis
acquired a 25% stake in Alcon for $10.4 billion in cash. In the optional second step, it
had the right to acquire Nestles remaining 52% majority stake between January 2010
in 2007 with the sale of the Medical Nutrition and Gerber Business Units, which were
previously included in the Consumer Health Division. These businesses were sold in
Pharmaceutical Division
Novartis pharmaceutical division researches, develops, manufactures,
organized into global business franchises responsible for the marketing of various
products, as well as the Novartis Oncology business unit, responsible for the global
divisions, accounting in 2008 for $26.3 billion, or 64%, of Group net sales from
continuing operations, and for $7.6 billion, or 77%, of Group operating income from
continuing operations (excluding corporate income and expense, net). The division is
associates as of December 31, 2008, and sell products in approximately 140 countries.
The product portfolio of the Pharmaceuticals Division includes more than 50 key
marketed products, many of which are leaders in their respective therapeutic areas. In
addition, the divisions portfolio of development projects includes 152 potential new
products, new indications or new formulations for existing products in various stages
of clinical development.
Although specific distribution patterns vary by country, Novartis generally
sells its prescription drugs primarily to wholesale and retail drug distributors,
hospitals, clinics, government agencies and managed healthcare providers. In the US,
licensing and distribution agreements with other companies when legally permitted as
the divisions total net sales. The Pharmaceuticals Division invested $5.1 billion and
$4.3 billion on research and development in 2007 and 2006 respectively. There were
over 150 projects in clinical development in 2009. The Research program of the
division is responsible for the discovery of new drugs, with a principal goal to
discover new medicines for diseases with high unmet medical need. The
Development program is focused to determine whether new drugs are safe and
May 2002 in Cambridge, Massachusetts and five ongoing locations around the world:
Basel, Switzerland; Horsham, UK; Emeryville (CA), US; East Hanover (NJ), US; and
Shanghai, China.
Targeted initiatives within the Divisions will generate significant cost savings and
healthcare industry.
Alliances
The pharmaceuticals division of Novartis has formed alliances with other
to develop new products, acquire platform technologies and access new markets.
Novartis licenses products that complement its current product line and are
appropriate to its business strategy. Therapeutic area strategies have been established
to focus on alliances and acquisition activities for key disease areas/indications that
are expected to be growth drivers in the future. Novartis reviews products and
compounds it is considering licensing using the same criteria as it uses for its own
Today
Inspite of financial downturn, Novartis accelerated growth in several key
countries and regions, including the US, Germany and Asia-Pacific. 2009 was
particularly successful in the US, with three consecutive quarters of positive growth
growth in key regions, Novartis continued to adjust our strategy and structure in
capabilities that pertain to home market, finance and marketing. In this exploratory
study, we find that in order to cope with the challenges posed by this turbulent
not necessarily targeted at high-end firm capabilities (Rx). Leveraging their existing
experience and expertise in low cost innovation, Indian firms also strengthen their
generics capabilities to target markets at the bottom of the pyramid where they seem
To the best of our knowledge, this paper is the first one using a combination of
public data from company websites, annual reports, newspapers and databases such as
Thomsons M&A as well as proprietary databases from IMS Health. However, while
this combination gives us unique advantages in terms of data richness, a lot of further
analysis is required in order to benefit fully from it. Moreover, limitations include
right-hand side truncation in 2006 when reactions to the change in patent law might
become more visible. Finally, being a rather empirical paper, in order to draw
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