1. How does NSO forecast population? NSO forecasts population by extrapolating trends: by determining the size of population that is extrapolated from the past. Linear trend extrapolation: can be presented graphically or by linear regression Non linear trend extrapolation: same goal as the linear trend, except that it had the nonlinear type of presentation Moving average: It is a sum of a number of steps which progress towards the year for which a forecast is required.
2. What are the formulas used in forecasting?
Forecasting based on the number of births and deaths B(t) = B(o)(1 + g s)t Forecasting using births, deaths, emigration, and immigration; The cohort-survival method B(t) = B(o) (1 + g s + i e)t