TEAMWORK

Consultores: Martinez Hernandez Angelica Patricia

Muoz Quiroga Claudia Patricia
Rodriguez escamilla Gonzalo Rafael
Guerrero Melo Jenny Paola
Julieth Paola Sandoval Mahecha

Modelo Conceptual de la Situacin Planteada

Contexto: La compaa de autopartes McQueen ha estado incumpliendo con las entregas, sus
tiempos de ejecucin son altamente variables y no es posible precisar las fechas de entrega. Ante esta
problemtica el gerente est buscando alternativas de solucin y mejora para lo cual debe decidir
entre las siguientes opciones de mantener su maquinaria o cambiarla:

SISTEMA MAQUINARIA COSTO MANTENIMIENTO GARANTIA

Actual 3 maquinas ------------- Prcticamente no Su uso
requiere
Proveedor 1 : 3 maquinas 100.000 Mantenimientos 5 aos
Sede EEUU frecuentes: cada
vez que complete
60 partes
procesadas.
Proveedor 2: 3 maquinas 75.000 Mantenimientos 5 aos
Sede Alemania frecuentes: cada
vez que complete
100 partes
procesadas.

Objetivo: Determinar cul es el mejor sistema de produccin para la empresa McQueen considerando
las siguientes ventajas en costos de produccin:

1) Menos tiempo de proceso, con lo cual se generara menos costos por incumplimiento

2) Menos esperas en cada estacin por pieza con lo cual se genera menos costo de WIP improductivo.

MODELO CONCEPTUAL: El proceso de produccin se lleva a cabo en tres estaciones de trabajo,

dependiendo del producto tiene diferentes rutas de fabricacin en dichas estaciones, pero su principal
producto sigue la siguiente ruta: Secuencialmente pasa por las estaciones 1, 2 y 3, retorna a la estacin
2 y luego a la 1 de donde nuevamente pasa a la estacin 3.

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Representacin Grfica

6
EXIT
ENTRY 1 8

STATION STATION 7
1 5 3

3
8
2 STATION NEW
4
2 PROCESSS

Grfico 1. Representacin grfica del proceso productivo de la compaa de autopartes

Anlisis de datos de entrada

TIEMPO ENTRE LLEGADAS

Distribution Summary
Distribution: Exponential
Expression: -0.001 + EXPO(12.2)
Square Error: 0.000203
Chi Square Test
Number of intervals 30
Degrees of freedom 28
Test Statistic = 32.7
Corresponding p-value = 0.247
Kolmogorov-Smirnov Test
Test Statistic = 0.0114
Corresponding p-value > 0.15
Data Summary
Number of Data Points 4999
Min Data Value 0
Max Data Value = 84.2
Sample Mean = 12.2
Sample Std Dev = 12.1
Histogram Summary
Histogram Range = -0.001 to 85
Number of Intervals 40

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ACTUAL

Tiempo de estacin 1 Actual ( Paso 1)

Distribution Summary
Distribution: Erlang
Expression: 2 + ERLA(0.331, 9)
Square Error: 0.000146
Chi Square Test
Number of intervals 25
Degrees of freedom 22
Test Statistic = 27.2
Corresponding p-value = 0.212
Kolmogorov-Smirnov Test
Test Statistic = 0.0129
Corresponding p-value > 0.15
Data Summary
Number of Data Points 5000
Min Data Value = 2.42
Max Data Value = 10.4
Sample Mean = 4.98
Sample Std Dev = 0.988
Histogram Summary
Histogram Range = 2 to 11
Number of Intervals 40

Tiempo de estacin 2- Actual ( Paso 2 )

Distribution Summary
Distribution: Normal
Expression: NORM(5.05, 2.03)
Square Error: 0.000162
Chi Square Test
Number of intervals 31
Degrees of freedom 28
Test Statistic = 88.7
Corresponding p-value < 0.005
Kolmogorov-Smirnov Test
Test Statistic = 0.00668
Corresponding p-value > 0.15
Data Summary
Number of Data Points 5000
Min Data Value 0
Max Data Value = 13.2
Sample Mean = 5.05
Sample Std Dev = 2.03
Histogram Summary
Histogram Range = -0.001 to 14
Number of Intervals 40

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Tiempo de estacin 3- Actual ( Paso 3 )

Distribution Summary
Distribution: Uniform
Expression: UNIF(3, 7)
Square Error: 0.000198
Chi Square Test
Number of intervals 40
Degrees of freedom 39
Test Statistic = 39.6
Corresponding p-value = 0.45
Kolmogorov-Smirnov Test
Test Statistic = 0.0128
Corresponding p-value > 0.15
Data Summary
Number of Data Points 5000
Min Data Value 3
Max Data Value 7
Sample Mean = 5.01
Sample Std Dev = 1.15
Histogram Summary
Histogram Range = 3 to 7
Number of Intervals 40

Tiempo de estacin 2 - Actual ( Paso 4 )

Distribution Summary
Distribution: Normal
Expression: NORM(5, 0.505)
Square Error: 0.000133
Chi Square Test
Number of intervals 30
Degrees of freedom 27
Test Statistic = 24.9
Corresponding p-value = 0.58
Kolmogorov-Smirnov Test
Test Statistic = 0.00965
Corresponding p-value > 0.15
Data Summary
Number of Data Points 5000
Min Data Value = 3.22
Max Data Value = 6.76
Sample Mean 5
Sample Std Dev = 0.505
Histogram Summary
Histogram Range = 3 to 7
Number of Intervals 40

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Tiempo de estacin 1 - Actual ( Paso 5 )

Distribution Summary
Distribution: Beta
3 + 4.77 * BETA(8.77,
Expression: 12.1)
Square Error: 0.000403
Chi Square Test
Number of intervals 23
Degrees of freedom 20
Test Statistic = 52.5
Corresponding p-
value < 0.005
Kolmogorov-Smirnov Test
Test Statistic = 0.0263
Corresponding p-
value < 0.01
Data Summary
Number of Data Points 5000
Min Data Value = 3.29
Max Data Value = 7.36
Sample Mean 5
Sample Std Dev = 0.503
Histogram Summary
Histogram Range = 3 to 7.77
Number of Intervals 40

Tiempo de estacin 3 - Actual ( Paso 6 )

Distribution Summary
Distribution: Uniform
Expression: UNIF(4, 6)
Square Error: 0.000238
Chi Square Test
Number of intervals 40
Degrees of freedom 39
Test Statistic = 47.6
Corresponding p-value = 0.176
Kolmogorov-Smirnov Test
Test Statistic = 0.0104
Corresponding p-value > 0.15
Data Summary
Number of Data Points 5000
Min Data Value 4
Max Data Value 6
Sample Mean 5
Sample Std Dev = 0.576
Histogram Summary
Histogram Range = 4 to 6
Number of Intervals 40

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PROVEEDOR 1
Estacin 1 Proveedor 1

Distribution Summary
Distribution: Gamma
Expression: GAMM(1.02, 3.89)
Square Error: 0.000139
Chi Square Test
Number of intervals 31
Degrees of freedom 28
Test Statistic = 23.8
Corresponding p-value = 0.689
Kolmogorov-Smirnov Test
Test Statistic = 0.0137
Corresponding p-value > 0.15
Data Summary
Number of Data Points 5000
Min Data Value = 0.323
Max Data Value = 13.5
Sample Mean = 3.97
Sample Std Dev = 1.99
Histogram Summary
Histogram Range = 0 to 14
Number of Intervals 40

Estacin 2 Proveedor 1

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Distribution Summary
Distribution: Erlang
Expression: ERLA(0.997, 4)
Square Error: 0.000135
Chi Square Test
Number of intervals 29
Degrees of freedom 26
Test Statistic 21
Corresponding p-value = 0.742
Kolmogorov-Smirnov Test
Test Statistic = 0.00736
Corresponding p-value > 0.15
Data Summary
Number of Data Points 5000
Min Data Value = 0.184
Max Data Value = 14.6
Sample Mean = 3.99
Sample Std Dev 2
Histogram Summary
Histogram Range = 0 to 15
Number of Intervals 40
Estacin 3 Proveedor 1

Distribution Summary
Distribution: Erlang
Expression: ERLA(1, 4)
Square Error: 0.000152
Chi Square Test
Number of intervals 27
Degrees of freedom 24
Test Statistic = 18.1
Corresponding p-value > 0.75
Kolmogorov-Smirnov Test
Test Statistic = 0.00785
Corresponding p-value > 0.15
Data Summary
Number of Data Points 5000
Min Data Value = 0.24
Max Data Value = 15.2
Sample Mean 4
Sample Std Dev 2
Histogram Summary
Histogram Range = 0 to 16
Number of Intervals 40

Tiempo de mantenimiento Proveedor 1

Distribution Summary
Distribution: Normal
Expression: NORM(59.5, 5.25)
Square Error: 0.003959

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Chi Square Test

Number of intervals 5
Degrees of freedom 2
Test Statistic = 1.64
Corresponding p-value = 0.454
Kolmogorov-Smirnov Test
Test Statistic = 0.0561
Corresponding p-value > 0.15
Data Summary
Number of Data Points 100
Min Data Value 42
Max Data Value = 73.1
Sample Mean = 59.5
Sample Std Dev = 5.27
Histogram Summary
Histogram Range = 41 to 74
Number of Intervals 10

PROVEEDOR 2

Estacin 1 Proveedor 2

Distribution Summary
Distribution: Normal
Expression: NORM(4, 0.498)
Square Error: 0.000136
Chi Square Test
Number of intervals 30
Degrees of freedom 27
Test Statistic = 24.4
Corresponding p-value = 0.605
Kolmogorov-Smirnov Test

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Test Statistic = 0.00807

Corresponding p-value > 0.15
Data Summary
Number of Data Points 5000
Min Data Value = 2.34
Max Data Value = 5.81
Sample Mean 4
Sample Std Dev = 0.498
Histogram Summary
Histogram Range = 2 to 6
Number of Intervals 40

Estacin 2 Proveedor 2

Distribution Summary
Distribution: Normal
Expression: NORM(3.99, 0.608)
Square Error: 0.000235
Chi Square Test
Number of intervals 26
Degrees of freedom 23
Test Statistic = 37.1
Corresponding p-value = 0.0337
Kolmogorov-Smirnov Test
Test Statistic = 0.0103
Corresponding p-value > 0.15
Data Summary
Number of Data Points 5000
Min Data Value = 1.8
Max Data Value = 6.48
Sample Mean = 3.99
Sample Std Dev = 0.608
Histogram Summary
Histogram Range = 1.32 to 6.95
Number of Intervals 40
Estacin 3 Proveedor 2

Distribution Summary
Distribution: Normal

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Expression: NORM(4, 0.709)

Square Error: 0.000225
Chi Square Test
Number of intervals 25
Degrees of freedom 22
Test Statistic = 29.4
Corresponding p-value = 0.145
Kolmogorov-Smirnov Test
Test Statistic = 0.00885
Corresponding p-value > 0.15
Data Summary
Number of Data Points 5000
Min Data Value = 1.44
Max Data Value = 7.27
Sample Mean 4
Sample Std Dev = 0.709
Histogram Summary
Histogram Range = 1 to 7.86
Number of Intervals 40

Tiempo de mantenimiento Proveedor 2

Distribution Summary
Distribution: Beta
Expression: 90 + 20 * BETA(1.08, 0.845)
Square Error: 0.002307
Chi Square Test
Number of intervals 13
Degrees of freedom 10
Test Statistic 6

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Corresponding p-value > 0.75

Kolmogorov-Smirnov Test
Test Statistic = 0.0564
Corresponding p-value > 0.15
Data Summary
Number of Data Points 200
Min Data Value = 90.2
Max Data Value 110
Sample Mean 101
Sample Std Dev = 5.81
Histogram Summary
Histogram Range = 90 to 110
Number of Intervals 14

Tiempo Entre llegadas

Se generar un anlisis del total de llegadas por hora y se determina la distribucin de probabilidad
con las cantidades de frecuencia por cada hora de llegada vs total general

Distribucion de
Probabilidad
0.05

0.04

0.03

0.02 Probabilidad
0.01

0
10:00
11:00
12:00
13:00
14:00
15:00
16:00
17:00
18:00
19:00
20:00
21:00
22:00
23:00
0:00
1:00
2:00
3:00
4:00
5:00
6:00
7:00
8:00
9:00

Grfico 2. Histograma del tiempo entre llegadas

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Grfico 3. Input analyzer tiempo entre llegadas

Tiempo entre Llegadas

Nmero de datos analizados 4999
Mnimo 0
Mximo 84,2
Promedio 12,2
Desviacin Estndar 12,1
Hiptesis Nula
Nivel de significancia (a) 32,7
Grados de libertad (g.l) 28
P-value Chi Square Test =0,247 Kolmogorov-Smirnov Test = >0,15

Parmetros de la distribucin Distribucin: Exponencial Expresin: -0.001 + EXPO (12.2) Error cuadrado:
0.000203
Conclusin Resumen del histograma

Histograma Rango = -0.001 a 85

Nmero de intervalos = 40

Tabla 1. Resumen planteamiento prueba de bondad de ajuste para tiempo entre llegadas

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Referencias
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wU29aVc16ZM

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eg_sTev_BAs

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2JfJrxQTp1Q

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