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Subject SA3
CMP Upgrade 2013/14
CMP Upgrade
This CMP Upgrade lists all significant changes to the Core Reading and the ActEd
material since last year so that you can manually amend your 2013 study material to
make it suitable for study for the 2014 exams. It includes replacement pages and
additional pages where appropriate. Alternatively, you can buy a full replacement set of
up-to-date Course Notes at a significantly reduced price if you have previously bought
the full price Course Notes in this subject. Please see our 2014 Student Brochure for
more details.
Changes to the ActEd Course Notes, Series X Assignments and Question and
Answer Bank that will make them suitable for study for the 2014 exams.
Produce coherent advice and recommendations for the overall financial management of a
general insurer.
Parts (i), (ii) and (iii) of objective (n) have not changed.
Chapter 2
Page 11
The fourth paragraph from the bottom of the page now reads:
Each loss above a fixed amount is pooled amongst the members in accordance
with an agreed formula depending on claim history. The group also operates a
captive to share some risks above the pooling arrangement. Any risk in excess
of the pooling arrangement is reinsured in the market. Some clubs also buy their
own market reinsurance below the pool attachment point.
Page 14
A new discussion of Payment Protection Insurance has been added to Section 5.1.
Remove pages 13 to 16 and replace with new pages 13-14, 14a-14b and 15-16 provided
at the end of this Upgrade.
Page 18
In the first paragraph of Section 7.1, the first sentence should now read as follows:
Page 20
Page 23
Add a new sentence of Core Reading after the fifth paragraph on this page, to read:
Page 28
Page 30
Page 32
Page 33
Page 36
Page 38
Since 2006, Lloyds has been subject to the ICAS regime (originally under the
FSA and now under the PRA) and each syndicate has been required to produce an
ICA.
In the last paragraph on this page, change On 1 January 2014, to When Solvency
II takes effect,
Page 39
Change the four occurrences of FSA in the section on ICA review to PRA.
Page 40
In the first paragraph of Core Reading in Section 10.2, the last sentence should now
read:
FAL are set bottom-up as ICA times 135% less a credit for member
diversification.
Chapter 3
Page 1
In the fist paragraph of Core Reading, change April 2012 to April 2013.
Pages 8-12
There have been a number of changes and additions to Section 3. Remove pages 7-12
from your Course Notes and use replacement pages 7-12, 12a and 12b provided at the
end of this Upgrade.
Page 16
In the last paragraph on the page, change Finance Bill 2012 to Finance Act 2012.
Page 18
At the end of the first paragraph of Core Reading in Section 7.1, change 30 April
2012 to 30 April 2013.
Chapter 4
Pages 1-20
Page 24
In the paragraph immediately preceding the table, delete the words based on the QIS5
specification,.
Page 26
In the second sentence of the first paragraph on this page, delete the words based on
the QIS5 specification,.
Page 27
In the sentence immediately preceding the bullet points in the discussion of the risk
margin, delete the words based on the QIS5 specification,.
Page 29
In the first paragraph of the discussion of contract boundaries, delete the words based
on the QIS5 specification,.
Pages 31-38
There have been numerous changes to these pages, including the updating of values in
the tables of MCR factors and standard deviations, and changes to the SCR risk
structure diagram. Remove pages 31-38 from your Course Notes and replace with new
pages 31-38 provided at the end of this Upgrade.
Page 42
Page 43
The Core Reading at the end of the page should be extended to read as follows:
Having already developed models for the similar ICA calculation described
earlier in this chapter, it is anticipated that insurance companies within the UK,
particularly larger ones with economies of scale, may be more likely to use the
internal model option than insurers in continental Europe.
It should be noted that there are subtle differences between ICAS and Solvency
II. The latter is more stretching as once a model is approved it can be used to
set SCR. The ICA meanwhile is a number that may come from a model but may
not.
The PRA sent a letter to firms in the internal model approval process on
29 January 2013 setting out the PRAs intention to allow firms to use their
Solvency II work to meet the current regulatory requirements under the
Individual Capital Adequacy Standards (ICAS).
Page 48
Page 52
A new sentence of Core Reading has been added, which should be inserted at the
bottom of this page:
EIOPA has also published draft detailed quantitative reporting templates (QRTs)
for reporting on an annual and quarterly basis of quantitative financial
information under Solvency II.
Page 54
Significant changes have been made to Section 5.13. Remove pages 53-54 from your
Course Notes and replace with new pages 53, 54, 54a and 54b provided at the end of
this Upgrade.
Pages 55-56
Significant changes have been made to Sections 5.14 and 6. Remove pages 55-56 from
your Course Notes and replace with new pages 55-56 provided at the end of this
Upgrade.
Pages 59-61
Significant changes have been made to the Chapter Summary. Remove pages 59-62
from your Course Notes and replace with new pages 59-62, 62a and 62b provided at the
end of this Upgrade.
Chapter 5
There have been significant changes made throughout this Chapter. Remove all pages
in the chapter and insert the replacement chapter provided at the end of this Upgrade.
Chapter 6
Page 7
A new paragraph of Core Reading has been added. The following paragraph should be
inserted at the end of Section 1.3
Binders may operate in this context. These are contractual agreements setting
out the scope of delegated authority, allowing cover holders to enter into
contracts of insurance and to issue insurance documents on behalf of Lloyds
managing agents or other London Market participants.
Page 8
An extra sentence has been added to the fifth paragraph on this page. This whole
paragraph should now read:
Most large risks are coinsured due to their size it is not practical for one
insurer to take 100%. In coinsurance each insurer takes a proportional share of
the risk. The percentage of whole risk is the percentage of the 100% value of the
layer/insured value.
Page 15
Extra Core Reading has been added. The following wording should be inserted at the
end of Section 3:
Page 16
Page 19
The first bullet point in Section 5.1 has been expanded and should now read as follows:
Page 20
Two new sentences have been added to the fourth paragraph of Section 6. The whole
paragraph now reads as follows:
For new business propositions, it is likely that the data will be particularly
scanty. Renewals should in theory have more data available. However it should
be borne in mind that even if the business is new to the insurer, it is likely to
have previously been insured. If this past data is not available, the terms offered
may reflect this.
Page 24
A third bullet point has been added to the discussion of premium payment:
A minimum premium paid up-front but adjusted after the end of the
coverage period to allow for actual exposure.
Page 25
A new paragraph of Core Reading has been added. Insert the following paragraph
immediately after Question 6.8:
There may also be multi-year risks, eg construction, where the sum insured
varies by period and where premiums may be shown in the original year
proportionally. These may be re-rated subsequently based on the actual
exposure (re-signing).
Page 26
The two paragraphs of Core Reading in the discussion of commission have been
replaced with the following single paragraph:
For large policies, the insurer may pay a fee instead of commission. In any
case, we should understand all premium deductions. There may also be profit
commission agreements with the broker. The broker may also rebate
commission to the original insured.
A new summary paragraph has been added right at the end of Section 7.1, as follows:
Summary
These examples should make it clear that there are many areas to consider. A
brief consideration of every area may often be better than an in depth
consideration of only one or two areas.
Page 28
An extra bullet point has been added. Insert the following bullet point at the top of the
existing list:
Chapter 8
Page 10
The bullet points at the beginning of Section 2.1 have changed. Replace the existing
text with the following:
Chapter 11
Page 5
Delete the whole of the penultimate paragraph of Core Reading on this page.
Page 6
A new sentence has been added to the final paragraph in Section 2.1. This whole
paragraph now reads as follows:
Page 8
A new sentence has been added to the final paragraph in Section 2.7. This whole
paragraph now reads as follows:
The projected premium income and attaching loss ratios should be consistent
with the stage in the underwriting cycle for the line of business in question. This
is likely to require discussion with management to understand the extent to
which they intend to follow the underwriting cycle for each line of business (eg a
strategic decision to maintain profitability in a softening market should normally
be accompanied by assumptions about the loss of volume as competitiveness
reduces).
Page 12
A new sentence has been added to the penultimate paragraph in Section 3. This whole
paragraph now reads as follows:
We could run the model using different values for the variables to assess the
sensitivity of the results to these. Note that judgement from a suitably
experienced person may be required to help assess / select some of the
parameters, as data may either be scarce or not capture features that we may
expect to occur.
Page 19
A new paragraph of Core Reading has been added. The following wording should be
inserted at the end of Section 6.6:
Chapter 14
Page 16
In the discussion of Cost savings and capital releases, change FSA returns to PRA
returns.
Pages 17-18
In the discussion of Parties involved, change all incidences of FSA returns to PRA
returns.
Page 18
In the discussion of Court hearings, change the FSA to the PRA. Similarly, in the
discussion of Policyholder notification, change The FSA to The PRA.
Pages 23-24
Page 27
Chapter 18
Pages 1-14
There have been many additions to the Core Reading and ActEd text at the start of this
Chapter. Remove pages 1-14 and insert replacement pages 1-14f, provided at the end of
this Upgrade.
Glossary
Page 1
an example being the Claims Reserving Manual published by the Faculty and
Institute of Actuaries.
Page 7
Page 10
Page 14
The definition of deferred acquisition costs has been updated. The first sentence now
reads:
Page 18
In the definition of experience rating, the end of the first paragraph now reads:
Page 19
The definitions of Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (FSMA)* and Financial
Services Authority (FSA)* have been deleted.
Page 20
Fronting
In insurance the term fronting may also be used to describe the process
whereby an individual effects a policy for him/herself but tries to save money by
putting the policy in someone elses name.
Page 39
In the definition of required solvency margin*, FSA has been changed to PRA.
Page 46
Pages 48 52
The following items have been deleted from the list of abbreviations:
Chapter 3
Page 3
In the last paragraph on the page, change the reference to FSA returns to PRA
returns.
Pages 8-12
As stated above, there have been a number of changes and additions to Section 3.
Remove pages 7-12 from your Course Notes and use replacement pages 7-12, 12a and
12b provided at the end of this Upgrade.
Chapter 4
Pages 1-20
Page 43
Pages 55-56
As stated above, changes have been made to Section 6. Remove pages 55-56 from your
Course Notes and replace with new pages 55-56 provided at the end of this Upgrade.
Page 63
Chapter 5
As stated above, there have been significant changes made throughout this Chapter.
Remove all pages in the chapter and insert the replacement chapter provided at the end
of this Upgrade.
Chapter 6
Page 28
As stated above, an extra Core Reading bullet point has been added. Insert the
following paragraph immediately after the new bullet point:
Page 33
Add a new bullet point to the end of the second set of points on this page, as follows:
Chapter 7
Page 7
A new sentence has been added to the sentence that immediately precedes the section
on incorporating capital costs into premiums. This should now read as follows:
If you are interesting in digging deeper into this theory, Donald Mangos paper
referenced above gives a lengthy numerical example to illustrate the above ideas. This
paper is thought-provoking but some of its assumptions are questionable, eg the
assumption that it is appropriate to use the same opportunity cost rate when calculating
the capital call cost as when calculating the capacity occupation cost.
Page 10
The discussion of coherence of risk measures has been increased. The following text
should be inserted after the second paragraph on the page:
If you decide to read further around this subject, you may find that practitioners have
differing views on the desirable qualities of a risk measure, including different
definitions of some of the measures mentioned in the Core Reading, and (for example)
different conclusions about whether a particular measure is coherent or not.
For exam purposes, its important not to be too dogmatic about the rights or wrongs of
any particular conclusion. Rather, use this chapter to improve your general awareness
of the topic of capital allocation and risk measurement. It is also worth bearing in mind
that, at the time of writing (Summer 2013), the material in this chapter has never been
examined directly in the Subject SA3 exam.
If you are interested in exploring these concepts in more detail, you may like to look at
the following papers:
Denault, M. (2001) Coherent allocation of risk capital
http://www.risk.net/digital_assets/4969/v4n1a1.pdf
Chapter 9
Page 5
The FSA Returns have now become the PRA Returns. Therefore the third paragraph of
Section 1.2 should be amended to read:
The statutory returns are also known as PRA Returns, and Insurance Annual Returns.
They were formerly known as FSA Returns (most recently) and also as DTI Returns,
when they were made in terms of the Insurance Companies Act and Regulations, prior
to 2002.
Page 26
The four incidences of FSA Returns within this table should be changed to PRA
Returns.
Page 27
In Solution 9.12, the two incidences of FSA Returns should be changed to PRA
Returns.
Chapter 10
Page 38
The reference given for more details of the working party findings is no longer valid.
Replace the link with the following:
www.actuaries.org.uk/research-and-resources/documents/f10-update-uk-
asbestos-working-party.
Chapter 11
Page 5
Page 22
The upcoming Solvency II regulations have meant that many insurers have
significantly increased their levels of financial modelling.
Chapter 15
Page 5
Use your knowledge of the Core Reading and any professional guidance.
Page 11
Chapter 18
Pages 1-14
As stated above, there have been many additions to the Core Reading and ActEd text at
the start of this Chapter. Remove pages 1-14 and insert replacement pages 1-14f,
provided at the end of this Upgrade.
Page 16
In the discussion of the 2006 paper Treating customers fairly, change the FSA to the
PRA.
Page 24
The wording has changed in the sixth paragraph of Section 3.4. This should now read
as follows:
Part 1
In Solution 1.4 part (iii), in the fourth bullet point from the end, replace FSA
Handbook with PRA Handbook.
Part 2
In Solution 2.3 part (i), replace Actuarial Profession Standards with Actuarial
Practice Standards in the point immediately following the bullet points.
In Solution 2.3 part (ii), the third point should now read:
To signal to those outside the Institute and Faculty of Actuaries (IFoA) the standards
to which members operate. []
Part 3
In Solution 3.1 part(i)(a), the paragraph following the formula has been changed. This
now reads:
For example, if portfolio X has a value of 100m and an otherwise identical portfolio Y
has a value of 50m, the risk associated with portfolio X can not be greater than the risk
associated with portfolio Y.
In Solution 3.1 part(i)(b), the paragraph following the formula has been changed. This
now reads:
For example, if this constant were related to currency exchange rates, where the risk
measure is independent of the currency in which the risk is measured, then doubling the
exposure would correctly double the capital required, without allowing for any extra
diversification.
Part 6
In the discussion of Shareholders funds in Solution 6.4, change the reference to the
FSA in the sixth point to the PRA.
In the bullet points at the end of Solution 6.6 part (iv), change RMM in the second
bullet point to MCR.
In the Introduction section of Solution 6.7, change the second paragraph so that it reads:
The reserves have been calculated in accordance with generally accepted actuarial
principles and in accordance with professional guidance from the Institute and Faculty
of Actuaries.
In the discussion of Investment income in Solution 6.7, change the penultimate point on
page 36 so that it reads not discounting rather than discounting.
However, if you are having your attempts marked by ActEd, you will need to use the
2014 version of the assignments.
A comment has been added to each solution detailing which part of the course it covers.
Assignment X1
Solution X1.1
In part (i), change the reference to the FSA on the second page to the PRA.
Solution X1.4
Assignment X2
Solution X2.2
In the first point of part (i), change UK Actuarial Profession to Institute and Faculty
of Actuaries (IFoA)
Assignment X3
Solution X3.2
In part (ii), insert a new point after the fourth point, as follows:
We are assuming here that it is appropriate to use the same opportunity cost rate when
calculating the capital call cost as when calculating the capacity occupation cost. []
Solution X3.3
Assignment X4
Solution X4.2
In the section on Capital and solvency in part (ii), change both incidences of FSA to
PRA.
For further details on ActEds study materials, please refer to the 2014 Student
Brochure, which is available from the ActEd website at www.ActEd.co.uk.
5.2 Tutorials
For further details on ActEds tutorials, please refer to our latest Tuition Bulletin, which
is available from the ActEd website at www.ActEd.co.uk.
5.3 Marking
You can have your attempts at any of our assignments or mock exams marked by
ActEd. When marking your scripts, we aim to provide specific advice to improve your
chances of success in the exam and to return your scripts as quickly as possible.
For further details on ActEds marking services, please refer to the 2014 Student
Brochure, which is available from the ActEd website at www.ActEd.co.uk.
If you have any comments on this course please send them by email to SA3@bpp.com
or by fax to 01235 550085.
5 Acquisition of business
The main methods of acquiring business are discussed in this section. However, new
methods sometimes appear, as insurers strive to boost their market share. You should
keep an eye on the financial press to see what companies are doing to attract customers.
Intermediaries
Normally intermediaries are only paid by a commission for each policy that they sell.
For example, private motor insurance is often sold through high street insurance
brokers. A prospective policyholder will contact a brokers office and the broker will
be rewarded by commission payments from the insurance company with whom the
business is placed.
With classes such as domestic buildings insurance, mortgage guarantee insurance and
travel insurance, insurance brokers may not be the most natural intermediary. With
buildings insurance and mortgage guarantee insurance, much of the business is sold
through the building society or bank that supplied the mortgage for the house purchase.
In the case of travel insurance, the travel agent will often sell the insurance.
A product that in recent years has come to haunt many insurers selling
financial / credit covers in the personal lines market is payment protection
insurance (PPI). PPI has become the most complained about financial product
ever in the UK.
Although the policy is purchased by the consumer / borrower, the benefit paid in
the event of a claim goes to the company that extended credit to the consumer.
PPI usually covers minimum loan (or overdraft) payments for a finite period
(typically 12 months).
It may sound like a useful product (and indeed it can be), but PPI has caused a great
deal of controversy in recent years.
In all types of insurance some claims are accepted and some are rejected.
However, in the case of PPI, the number of rejected claims is high compared to
other types of insurance.
A primary reason for this is that, as with many forms of general insurance, the
insurance is not underwritten at the sales stage; it is sometimes taken out by
customers without careful consideration as to whether it is right for their
circumstances, and without careful attention to the policy eligibility conditions,
eg care needs to be taken if a person is or became unemployed, as payments in
lieu of notice (for example) may render a claim ineligible despite the insured
person being genuinely unemployed.
Policies that were designed to cover people in full-time employment were often sold to
unemployed or self-employed people who wouldnt be eligible to make a claim. Other
policies were sold to customers who were older than the age limit specified. Careful
consideration at the sales stage could have avoided these policies being taken out in the
first place.
As is the case for most forms of insurance, individuals who seek out and purchase a
policy without advice have little recourse if and when a policy does not benefit
them. However, most PPI policies are not sought out by consumers. In some
cases, consumers claim to be unaware that they even have the insurance.
Surveys show that 40% of policyholders claim to be unaware that they had a
policy.
If a customer has been sold a policy that isnt suitable, this is called mis-selling.
PPI was mis-sold and complaints about it were mishandled on an industrial scale
for well over a decade with this mis-selling being carried out not only by the
banks or providers, but also by third party brokers. The sale of such policies
was typically encouraged by large commissions, as the insurance would
commonly make the bank / provider more money than the interest on the original
loan, such that many mainstream personal loan providers made little or no profit
on the loans themselves; all or almost all profit was derived from PPI
commission and profit share.
Where a policy has been mis-sold, the customer should be able to cancel the policy and
get a refund of premiums paid. They will normally need to actively make a claim in
order to do this, and so claims management companies have been very busy in recent
years trying to persuade / help people to make a claim, in return for a substantial
percentage of the amount refunded.
In response to the mis-selling scandal, new regulations have been introduced to prevent
it (or something similar) from happening again.
Most rules came into force in October 2011, with some following in April 2012.
The insurer may employ a number of staff to sell motor insurance directly to the public.
These employees will have a customer base that has been built up over many years.
The same salesman will visit their customers on a regular basis with the hope that they
will renew their policy (eg their motor policy) each year and that they will also take out
new types of insurance. Nowadays, the number of insurers offering this door
collection service is negligible, as most customers now prefer to deal via payment
methods such as direct debit and credit card.
Internet etc
Following the success of Direct Line since the 1980s, there are now adverts for a
number of new insurers with names like Tom-Dick-and-Harry Direct. This applies in
the UK and in a number of countries overseas, eg South Africa. The aim of these new
companies is to reduce costs by cutting out the need for regional sales branches and
commission payments to intermediaries, although advertising costs can be high. In the
UK in particular, internet sales now make up the majority of all general insurance sales
for some classes of business.
Aggregators are another more recent development these are websites that submit a
prospective policyholders details to many other sites, collect quotes (hopefully on a
like-for-like basis) and compare them side-by-side. It is debateable whether or not they
can be classed as brokers, depending on how they make their money (through
commissions or otherwise).
Contact is made with the public through advertising in the media (eg TV, newspapers),
by direct mail or by phone. The main classes affected by the growth of direct sales in
recent years have been private motor and domestic property.
Many risks that are insured in the London Market are too large to be insured
entirely by one insurer. Instead, they are co-insured. A particular co-insurers
percentage share of a risk is known as its line.
The Lloyds Act states that Lloyds business must be introduced through a
Lloyds broker. However, it does provide for exceptions to be decided upon by
the Council of Lloyds. To date exceptions have been given for:
personal lines business
term life business (which is life assurance, not general insurance).
There are service companies that have been approved to introduce personal
lines business into Lloyds.
Some syndicates selling personal lines now deal directly with the public via direct
telephone sales, as outlined above.
Underwriting agencies
There have been some problems in the past with this type of arrangement. For
example, many agencies are paid a percentage of premiums as commission.
This causes a potential conflict of interest for the agency because it has an
incentive to increase the volume of business written without sufficient regard for
the profitability of the business. It is important that the interests of the agency
and the insurer are aligned and that the insurer has good access to exposure
data.
Many of these agencies were formed by brokers. For them it is an efficient way
of doing London Market business. The agency might also be formed by a
company established for that reason. In some cases, a company may establish a
specialist agency to underwrite risks on behalf of an insurer. For example, an
agency might specialise in offering cover to caravan owners. Some agencies
have been formed with specialist risk management functions in-house to write
specialist business on behalf of an insurer, for example, environmental pollution.
This type of arrangement remains a major source of business for many London
Market companies.
Question 3.1
The main feature of the UK GAAP principles is what is known as deferral and
matching of assets and liabilities, ie consistent methods of valuation that can, to an
extent, be some way from reality. For example, the deferral of acquisition costs is
currently acceptable, but arguably not exactly realistic.
This has caused some concern amongst regulators, in that UK GAAP principles could
be seen as unfair, and so moves have taken place to rectify the situation, as follows.
The standards that the IAS prescribe are called the International Financial Reporting
Standards (IFRS).
FRS 102: The financial reporting standard applicable in the UK and Republic of
Ireland.
This is the new UK GAAP. It was issued on 14 March 2013 and will apply to
unlisted entities for accounting periods commencing on or after 1 January 2015,
bringing about a simplified and modernised reporting regime for those entities
compared to the current UK GAAP.
These new revisions to financial reporting standards have been made by the Financial
Reporting Council (FRC). The FRCs overriding objective in setting these accounting
standards is to enable users of accounts to receive high-quality understandable financial
reporting proportionate to the size and complexity of the entity and users information
needs. A key aim is to have consistency with international accounting standards, using
a method that is cost-effective to apply.
Question 3.2
An insurance company may well want to defer its tax payments by setting up reserves
that are as large as possible. HM Revenue and Customs (HMRC) will not be very keen
on insurance companies deferring tax by setting up unnecessarily large reserves.
Therefore one key question that the tax inspectors will ask is whether they believe the
reserves being set up are appropriate.
The written actuarial opinion must be in accordance with actuarial standards and
confirm that, on the basis of the information at the time the financial statements
are adopted, the amount is not excessive. The opinion need not be given by
an actuary, though it must conform to actuarial standards.
Question 3.3
Question 3.4
Note that the Core Reading has used both URR and AURR. Remember that the term
can be used in either way, so always define it.
Question 3.5
Which accounting concept might the insurer use to justify setting up an AURR?
Provisions for IBNR are acceptable subject to justification of the existence and
extent of such claims. This will be most difficult in classes subject to great claim
variation and in particular those where latent claims may exist.
Question 3.6
How might you convince HMRC that your method of allowing for latent claims is
reasonable?
HMRC have been known to examine claims handling expense provisions to test
whether the provision is calculated with sufficient accuracy as to enable the
provision to be considered specific and therefore tax deductible.
The insurance technical provisions claimed for tax purposes are net of amounts
recoverable from reinsurers. For tax purposes it is necessary to assume that all
amounts due will be recovered. A deduction is allowed for specific provisions
for amounts estimated to be irrecoverable from reinsurers but a general
provision is not allowed.
In other words, only if you have doubts over a specific reinsurers ability to pay specific
recoveries, can the provision set aside for this be deducted for tax purposes.
Equalisation provisions
Question 3.7
The maximum amount that may be transferred into the reserve in a given year is
expressed as a percentage of written premium. The rules for transferring money out of
the reserves are related to a claim ratio. Once the ratio in a particular year exceeds a
prescribed amount, then the reserve is reduced. There is a maximum amount for the
size of the reserve that the insurer can hold. This maximum is also expressed as a
percentage of written premium.
For all classes other than those specified (ie for less volatile classes) HMRC will not
allow the reserves against tax.
Broadly speaking, equalisation reserves are therefore treated as normal reserves and are
tax-deductible. In the next chapter we shall see that, for published accounts, insurers
often have the choice of basis (either UK GAAP or IFRS). Equalisation reserves are
not shown under the IFRS basis, but are under the UK GAAP basis however, as an
insurers tax computation usually follows the PRA Return, it will allow for the
equalisation reserves shown there.
Provisions for future catastrophe losses are not allowable except under the
equalisation reserve rules (see above).
This page has been left blank so that you can slot the replacement
pages into your Course Notes.
Chapter 4
Legislation
Syllabus objectives
(c) Describe the principal regulatory and supervisory requirements that affect
general insurers (including Lloyds) established in the UK, under:
Current insurance regulations
Prospective Solvency II regulations.
0 Introduction
Why should insurance business suffer more legislation than, say, washing machine
manufacturers? One of the reasons is that there is more scope for the purchaser to lose
out financially. With insurance you have to trust the insurer to pay valid claims as and
when they arise in the future.
The uncertainty underlying insurance business means that it is not just a question of
trusting the honesty of the insurer. The insurer may be very well-meaning but if their
business is not soundly managed they may well have collapsed by the time you make a
claim. There is clearly a danger of policyholders suffering at the hands of unscrupulous
or incompetent operators.
Some monetary amounts set out in this unit are subject to annual indexation.
For the avoidance of doubt, all such amounts are correct at the date of drafting
and relate to returns at year-end 2012. Candidates should familiarise themselves
with any updated values.
There is insufficient space in this course to cover the taxation (covered in the
previous chapter), legislation, regulation and supervision of insurance entities in
the UK in detail. This chapter aims to provide an overview of the most important
areas affecting general insurers.
Section 1 of this chapter covers current general insurance supervision in the UK and the
role of the Prudential Regulation Authority (PRA).
The Financial Services Act 20122, which came into effect on 1 April 2013,
amended FSMA 20003 to create two UK regulators of insurance (and other
financial services); the Prudential Regulation Authority of the Bank of England
(PRA) and the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA).
Various target implementation dates for Solvency II have been missed. The feeling, at
the time of writing (June 2013) is that full implementation wont happen before 2016
and it is quite possible that this date may slip further.
The FCA has a strategic objective of ensuring that financial markets function
well and three operational objectives of:
(a) securing an appropriate degree of protection for consumers,
(b) protecting and enhancing the integrity of the UK financial system and
(c) promoting effective competition in the interests of consumers in financial
services.
1
For general insurers, the relevant European Directives are the first, second and
third non-life directives (73/239/EEC, 88/357/EEC and 92/49/EEC) as updated by
the non-life Solvency I Directive (2002/13/EC) and the Reinsurance Directive
2005/69/EC).
2
http://www.legislation.gov.uk/ukpga/2012/21/enacted.
3
When FSMA 2000 initially came into effect in December 2001, it created the
Financial Services Authority. The Financial Services Act 2012 replaced the FSA
with the PRA and FCA.
Essentially, the FCA wants consumers to be able to use financial services with
confidence and have products that meet their needs, from firms and individuals they can
trust. It achieves this by regulating firms and financial advisers so that firms put the
interests of their customers and the integrity of the market at the core of what they do.
The PRA is responsible for the prudential regulation and supervision of banks, building
societies, credit unions, insurers and major investment firms; in total, the PRA regulates
around 1,700 financial firms, of which around 500 are insurers.
The PRA has a general objective of promoting safety and soundness of persons
who carry out PRA regulated activities (which include effecting and carrying out
a contract of insurance).
In addition to this general objective, the PRA has a second statutory objective specific
to its regulation of insurers:
Note that it is not the PRAs role to ensure that no insurer fails. Rather, it seeks to
ensure that any insurer that does fail does so in a way that allows for an appropriate
degree of protection for policyholders and avoids significant disruption to the supply of
critical financial services (ie it fails in an orderly manner).
Handbooks
The rules and guidance of the FCA and PRA are contained in their respective
handbooks4. It is primarily through these Handbooks that the UK implements the
EU Insurance and Reinsurance Directives. The supervisory approach of the PRA
is contained in its supervisory approach document5. The supervisory approach
of the FCA can be found on its website6.
These Threshold Conditions set out the minimum requirements that insurers
must meet in order to be permitted to carry on the regulated activities in which
they engage. They are designed to promote safety and soundness of the firms,
and appropriate protection of policyholders. They are listed on the next page.
4
The FCA Handbook can be found at http://fshandbook.info/FS/html/FCA and the
PRA Handbook can be found at http://fshandbook.info/FS/html/PRA. They can
also be found at the respective FCA and PRA websites http://www.fca.org.uk/
and http://www.bankofengland.co.uk/pra/Pages/about/default.aspx
5
http://www.bankofengland.co.uk/publications/Documents/praapproach/insuranc
eappr1304.pdf (www.bankofengland.co.uk / PRA / supervision)
6
http://www.fca.org.uk/about/what/regulating/how-we-supervise-firms (from the
FCA home page go to about us / what we do/ regulating / how we supervise
firms)
Threshold conditions
The conditions also require that the insurers head office and management are in the
UK, if it is incorporated in the UK.
8
Full details of the Threshold Conditions can be found in Box 1 at page 12 of the
PRAs supervisory approach document.
Under the FSMA, the PRA is required to consult on changes to its rules (unless
delay would be prejudicial) and to issue feedback. Consultation Papers (CPs)
detail the proposed new requirements, including a commentary on the changes
and specific questions on areas where the PRA would like comments. The PRA
issues feedback statements on the responses received and details of additional
areas for consultation. Once the requirements are finalised they are issued as
Policy Statements (PSs) or Handbook Notices and revisions to Handbook text
are published in the form of legal instruments.
All the CPs and PSs can be found on the PRAs website. You might want to have a
quick read through some of the more important ones relating to general insurance
(particularly those mentioned in this chapter) but dont get too bogged down in the
detail. Rather, use them as an indication of the areas of interest that the PRA is
currently concerned with.
9
http://fshandbook.info/FS/html/PRA or from www.bankofengland.co.uk click on
Prudential Regulation Authority and the PRA Handbook can be found under
External links
Of the PRA Handbook blocks, prudential standards are the principal regulatory
requirements of interest to actuaries.
This block includes details of the Prudential Sourcebooks GENPRU and INSPRU.
These contain a number of standards that the PRA expects firms to meet.
Many of the areas addressed by the Sourcebooks look very similar to those that were in
the old legislation prior to introduction of the FSMA.
The structure of the Handbook sets out the prudential requirements common to all
regulated firms in a general prudential sourcebook with separate sourcebooks for
sector-specific matters. The General Prudential Sourcebook (GENPRU) is
applicable generally to banks, building societies, investment firms and insurers,
and includes some insurance-specific requirements. The Insurance Prudential
Sourcebook (INSPRU) is applicable just to insurers (including Lloyds). The
Interim Prudential Sourcebook for Insurers (IPRU-INS) contains primarily financial
reporting requirements, including financial reporting requirements in respect of
Lloyds.
INSPRU 7 includes rules and guidance on factors that firms should follow in
performing their ICA, including factors to consider when assessing the various
types of risk (eg credit risk, market risk, liquidity risk, operational risk) together
with guidance on taking account of the results of stress and scenario testing.
The firms assessment of its capital needs and of its risks are subject to PRA
review and the PRA will issue Individual Capital Guidance (ICG) to firms setting
out the level of capital that it believes should be maintained. ICG takes into
consideration capital resources consistent with a 99.5% confidence level over a
one year timeframe that the value of assets will exceed the value of liabilities (or,
if appropriate, an equivalent lower confidence level over a longer timeframe).
The ICG will often be equal to the ICA, but it could be more if the PRA believes the
ICA is insufficient.
ICAs are a relatively recent but important development, using much actuarial resource.
In addition to the ICA process described above, there is another capital requirement
calculation. This has been in place for a relatively short period of time and arose from
perceived deficiencies in the pre-existing minimum capital requirements. The basic
idea behind the ECR is to encourage insurers to hold more capital.
The ECR goes some way towards a risk-based capital approach, and so could be
thought of as another of the interim steps between now and implementation of
Solvency II, which is discussed in Section 5.
2.3 Lloyds
The PRA has full responsibility for the regulation of the Society of Lloyds, and
the Society has a risk management role.
The Society, managing agents, members agents and Lloyds advisers have to
comply with the general rules of PRA regulated firms, including those for
authorisation and approval.
The prudential requirements for Lloyds have been developed on the same lines
as for the companies market, wherever possible and are contained in GENPRU
and INSPRU where special sections set out the application to Lloyds. Reporting
requirements for Lloyds are contained in IPRU-INS and the PRA website.
Managing agents
To maintain appropriate controls over syndicates including
managing risks such as credit risk and market risk within limits
that are substantially the same as those defined for companies.
To assess the capital needed to support each syndicate that they
manage, to help to ensure that financial resources are adequate at
all times.
The PRA requires firms to assess the adequacy of their financial resources for
themselves and to be able to demonstrate to the regulator that they hold enough
capital. The overall Pillar 2 rule (GENPRU 1.2.30R) sets out the requirement for
firms to have in place sound, effective and complete processes, strategies and
systems to identify and manage the major sources of risk and to assess and
maintain on an ongoing basis the amounts, types and distribution of financial
resources that it considers adequate to cover:
the nature and the level of the risks to which it is, or might be, exposed;
and
the risk that a firm might not be able to meet its capital resource
requirement (CRR).
GENPRU and INSPRU contain rules and guidance on the application of the
overall Pillar 2 rule, including rules in respect of stress and scenario tests
(general stress testing rule GENPRU 1.2.42R) and principles and guidance
specific to insurers on Individual Capital Assessments.
Notice that the glossary defines free reserves to be the excess of assets over technical
reserves and current liabilities, although some practitioners take it to mean the excess of
assets (either admissible or otherwise) over the liabilities including the capital resource
requirement.
Whichever terminology you use in the exam, be sure to define what you mean by it.
Insurers are required to maintain capital resources equal to or in excess of their CRR, at
all times.
The CRR for general insurers is equal to the minimum capital requirement (MCR)
required by the Non-Life Directives (also known as the Required Minimum
Margin (RMM)).
The next section describes how the MCR is calculated. The MCR also used to be
known as the Statutory Minimum Solvency Margin (SMSM). You will come across all
these terms in this course, in past papers, and throughout the general insurance industry.
The calculations are expressed in terms of euro, but for the purposes of calculating the
minimum solvency requirements the exchange rate to be used is laid down in
legislation. This is to avoid having to continually allow for changing currency
exchange rates. If you are looking through very old exam papers, you may see
questions referring to the old basis of calculation, which used ecus. The method was
essentially the same, although the numerical figures were slightly different.
The solvency rules in GENPRU (in particular GENPRU 2.1.17 and 2.1.34, and
INSPRU 1.1.44 to 1.1.52) apply to all except a limited number of insurers.
For composite insurers (other than pure reinsurers) the rules apply separately in
respect of both its long-term (life) insurance business and its general insurance
business. Therefore, a firm carrying on both general insurance business and
long-term insurance business will need to allocate its capital resources between
its general insurance business and long-term insurance business so that the
capital resources allocated to its general insurance business are equal to or in
excess of its CRR for its general insurance business and the capital resources
allocated to its long-term insurance business are equal to or in excess of its CRR
for its long-term insurance business.
The MCR for insurers reflects the requirements of the Solvency I EU directives.
The MCR calculation requirements are also set out in the PRA Handbook in
GENPRU 2.1.34 and INSPRU 1.1.44.
The premiums amount is equal to between 16% and 18% of gross premiums, adjusted
for the effect of reinsurance.
The claims amount is equal to between 23% and 26% of average gross claims (usually
over the last three years), adjusted for the effect of reinsurance.
The brought forward amount is the same as the GICR that applied during the prior
financial year, except where claims outstanding have fallen during that financial year.
If they have fallen, the brought forward amount is itself reduced by the same percentage
fall.
Capital resources are divided into tiers, reflecting the differences in the extent to
which the capital instruments concerned meet the purpose and conform to the
loss absorbency and permanence characteristics of capital. Higher quality
capital is known as tier one capital and capital instruments falling into core tier
one capital can be included in a firms regulatory capital without limit.
Other forms of capital are either subject to limits or, in the case of some
specialist types of capital items, may only be included in capital resources with
the express consent of the PRA by waiver.
Tier two capital (eg most subordinated debt) does not meet the requirements above and
is therefore restricted when considering regulatory capital available.
The calculation of capital resources for an insurer is set out in the PRA
Handbook in GENPRU Annex 1.
3.6 Valuation
The valuation rules (GENPRU 1.3) set out how a firm should recognise and value
assets, liabilities, equity and income statement items. In general, where no
specific valuation rules are set out in GENPRU or INSPRU, recognition and
valuation of assets and liabilities should be in accordance with whichever of the
items listed in GENPRU 1.3.4 are appropriate.
Admissibility rules only allow certain assets, or certain amounts of assets, to count for
the purposes of demonstrating statutory solvency. Other assets may be held, but they
cannot be included in the asset valuation for statutory purposes. The result of this is that
insurers will tend to:
invest in good quality assets
spread investments across a wide range of assets.
3.7 Discounting
General insurers can only discount outstanding claims for the purpose of
calculating capital resources in respect of Class 1 (Accident) or Class 2
(Sickness) or to reflect the discounting of annuities, even if discounting is more
widely used in their financial statements. In the case of classes 1 or 2 the
average time from the accounting date to settlement date must be four years or
more. There are restrictions on the discount rate used (see INSPRU 1.1.14).
Pure reinsurers that have been in run-off since before 31 December 2006,
however, can discount more widely.
All insurers (with some limited exceptions) must prepare annually a revenue
account, balance sheet and profit and loss account in the format prescribed by
IPRU-INS.
The Return comprises a large number of forms, containing very detailed financial
information about the insurer. This information is available to the public since
any person has a right to request a copy from the insurer. This availability
means that competitors, journalists, brokers and many others have access to an
insurers detailed financial information.
However, the amount of detail contained in the Return is far short of that needed to
make any real in-depth analysis of a companys profitability. It is more useful as an
indication of a companys ability to meet statutory solvency levels, and hence is most
useful to establish the level of protection available to policyholders.
The PRA uses the Insurance Annual Return prepared by insurance companies as
a key source of information to monitor the financial resources of an insurer and,
for general insurance business, to assess retrospectively the adequacy of the
insurer's claims provisions. The PRA's primary concern in relation to the Return
is the solvency of an insurer, ie with its ability to meet future claims payments to
policyholders.
The Insurance Annual Return consists of six main sections, each consisting of a series
of forms and other information. The main forms that a general insurer must complete
are:
balance sheet and profit and loss account
revenue account and additional information
additional information on business ceded
directors certificate and auditors report
further statements on such items as major reinsurers, major cedants, derivatives,
controllers, financial reinsurance and financing arrangements.
5 Solvency II
This section focuses on the Solvency II requirements for non-life insurance and
reinsurance undertakings. There are separate (but broadly equivalent)
requirements for life and health insurance business.
All information included in this chapter is current as at the time of writing (April
2013). However, since Solvency II remains under development during 2013, it is
likely that some of the details will have been amended or replaced by the time of
the examination. In particular, it is likely that some of the details included in this
chapter will be amended or replaced following the publication of level 2
implementing measures and level 3 guidelines, probably during the late 2013 or
early 2014.
For example, Solvency I only requires explicit solvency capital to be held against
insurance risks. There is no specific requirement to hold capital against market,
credit or operational risks.
In the UK, as described earlier in this chapter, further regulations have been
developed that seek to address these shortcomings. Some other EU Member
States have introduced their own additional rules at national level, leading to
there being a wide range of different regulatory requirements across the EU.
This effectively undermines the single market and could hinder insurance
groups.
Solvency II will reform the solvency requirements for life and non-life insurance
undertakings, thus improving policyholder security. Solvency II will supersede
the current Insurance Directives and the Reinsurance Directive.
There have been significant delays to the implementation of Solvency II, which
are described in more detail later in this section. At the time of preparation of
this material, it appears that some elements of Solvency II will be implemented
with effect from 1 January 2014 with the remaining elements being implemented
at a later date, possibly 1 January 2016. These dates have not yet been finally
agreed; the Prudential Regulation Authority (PRA) website will provide the latest
information on timing.
The Solvency II Directive will apply to all insurance and reinsurance companies
with gross premium income exceeding 5 million or gross technical provisions
in excess of 25 million; member states have the option to impose lower limits.
Lamfalussy process
The new Solvency II framework has been created in accordance with the
Lamfalussy four-level process:
Finally, at Level 4, the Commission ensures that Member States comply with
applicable legislation, pursuing enforcement action where required.
The Lamfalussy process has also been used to implement regulatory changes in the
banking industry.
A Quantitative Impact Study (QIS) is a field test of how a particular set of rules will
impact a firm or industry.
For Solvency II, QISs have taken place at the end of each of year since 2004 except for
2008. Each QIS exercise has been more comprehensive than the last, both in terms of
the number of participants taking part, and the scope tested.
EIOPA (the European Insurance and Occupational Pensions Authority, one of the
EUs three main financial supervisory bodies and which was previously known
as CEIOPS) has provided technical advice and support to the European
Commission for the development of the implementing measures under Level 2,
and is responsible for producing the Level 3 additional guidance.
This document is over 300 pages long. You can find it at:
http://tinyurl.com/cdsm6lf.
Students may like to refer to recent changes to the Lamfalussy regime as a result
of the de Larosiere report.
These changes result from the establishment of three European Supervisory Authorities
(ESAs) to oversee the regulation of financial services across Europe (from January
2011). The ESAs are:
the European Securities and Markets Agency (ESMA)
the European Banking Agency (EBA)
the European Insurance and Occupational Pensions Authority (EIOPA).
In terms of the Lamfalussy process, national supervisory authorities will now act
through the new ESAs rather than Level 3 Committees as before. In contrast to the
Level 3 Committees, the ESAs have internal resources of their own. They have an
enhanced role at the third level of the process involving, amongst other things, creating
draft technical standards (to be adopted by the Commission as EU Law) and taking
decisions binding on national supervisors and, to a lesser extent, firms.
The legislative process continues to be split into different levels, and legislation
continues to be divided between high-level framework provisions and implementing
measures. Open consultation procedures and transparency are also central to the new
approach.
http://ec.europa.eu/internal_market/finances/docs/de_larosiere_report_en.pdf
harmonise standards across the EU to avoid the need for Member States
to set higher standards (to improve the international competitiveness of
insurance)
bring valuation of assets and liabilities onto a fair value basis, if
possible consistent with IASB (International Accounting Standards Board)
valuation
set a higher capital requirement than currently applicable to permit timely
intervention by the supervisor
have regard to Basel II for banks, with the same 3 Pillar approach
although the definitions of the three Pillars are not identical
not be too onerous to operate for smaller companies.
The MCR factors, based on the EIOPA specification dated 18 October 2012, are
set out in the following table for each line of business.
The resulting MCRs are summed across lines of business to obtain the overall
MCR. The MCR must lie between 25% and 45% of the SCR.
The SCR for each individual risk is then determined as the difference between
the net asset value (for practical purposes this can be taken as assets less best
estimate liabilities) in the unstressed balance sheet and the net asset value in the
stressed balance sheet. These individual risk capital amounts are then
combined across the risks within the module, using a specified correlation
matrix and matrix multiplication.
The proposed structure of the SCR risk charges in the standard formula is
shown in the following diagram.
SCR
Counter-cyclical premium 3
The SCR, based on the standard formula, comprises the following risk charges:
Operational risk
An adjustment, which may include, for example, the loss absorbing
capacity of deferred taxes. This could comprise a reduction in any base
balance sheet deferred tax liability, as this would no longer be fully
payable in a stressed scenario.
The loss absorbing capacity of deferred taxes refers to the fact that deferred
tax liabilities would decrease (or deferred tax assets increase) in the event of a
shock.
Market risk (comprising interest rate risk, equity risk, property risk, spread
risk, currency risk, concentration risk and counter-cyclical premium risk)
Non-life underwriting risk (comprising premium and reserve risk,
catastrophe risk and lapse risk)
Life underwriting risk (comprising mortality risk, longevity risk,
disability/morbidity risk, expenses risk, revision risk, catastrophe risk and
lapse risk)
Health risk (comprising SLT health risk, non-SLT health risk and
catastrophe risk)
The various risk charges are combined together using the following formulae
and correlation coefficients:
In the formula above, SCRop denotes the operational risk charge (from the first bullet
point) and Adj denotes the adjustment referred to in the second bullet point.
where SCRintangible denotes the intangible asset risk and the correlation coefficients
Corri,j are taken from the following coefficient matrix:
The ones on the diagonal simply convey the fact that each risk type is fully correlated
with itself. From the table, we can see that non-life underwriting risk is assumed to be
entirely uncorrelated with both life underwriting risk and health risk, as indicated by the
zeros in the bottom row.
The other figures in the table indicate partial correlations. For example, the entry in the
second row of the first column indicates a correlation coefficient of 0.25 between
counterparty default risk and market risk.
Note that there is no allowance for any diversification benefit between operational risk
and any of the other risks. Therefore all the correlation factors involving operational
risk are assumed to be 1 and are omitted from the table.
The following key values of factors in the SCR standard formula are based
(except where stated to the contrary) on the EIOPA specification dated 18
October 2012, and are subject to potential future change. The following
description is simplified in some respects.
Operational risk
Operational risk is the risk of losses occurring due to inadequate or failed internal
processes, people and systems, or due to external events.
The standard deviations used to calculate the premium and reserve risk factors
in the standard formula are set out in the following table. The standard formula
calculates 99.5% VaR factors from these standard deviations by multiplying the
standard deviations by three.
Notes: The above factors apply to direct and proportional reinsurance business
with the exception of the lines of business labelled NPL, which relate to non-
proportional reinsurance business.
The 99.5% VaR factors in respect of premium risk are applied to the maximum of:
the estimate of net earned premium for each line of business during the
forthcoming year
net earned premiums for each line of business during the previous year.
The premium risk factors have been derived from claims development data
which is gross of reinsurance. For this reason, undertakings are permitted to
multiply the premium risk factors for each line of business by the following
factors, which are intended to represent the excess-of-loss reinsurance which is
in place for each line of business:
80% for motor vehicle liability, fire and other damage, and third party
liability business
100% for all other lines of business.
The 99.5% VaR factors in respect of reserve risk are applied to the best estimate
for claims outstanding for each line of business, after deducting the amount
recoverable from reinsurance and special purpose vehicles.
There is scope, using a specified formula, for the premium risk and reserve risk
factors to be reduced by up to 25% to allow for geographical diversification.
Market risk
Market risk relates to risks arising from changes in investment market values, or other
quantities correlated with investment markets, eg interest rates.
The equity risk charge is equal to 39% of the market value of equities for Type 1
equities (equities listed in regulated markets in countries which are members of
the EEA or the OECD) and 49% for Type 2 equities. A symmetrical adjustment
has been introduced to avoid pro-cyclical effects in other words, in general
terms the equity stress will be smaller following a decline in equity markets and
will be higher following a period of strong performance of equity markets. For
the EIOPA specification dated 18 October 2012, this resulted in an adjustment of
-7%, reducing the Type 1 equity and Type 2 equity stresses from 39% and 49% to
32% and 42% respectively.
The interest rate risk charge is determined by stressing the yield curve by
specified percentages, varying by the term to maturity. This will affect both the
value of certain classes of assets (for example fixed coupon bonds) and the
value of liabilities (which are discounted to allow for the time value of money).
The property risk charge is equal to 25% of the market value of properties.
The spread risk charge is determined through the use of a formula. For
corporate bonds, the loss on the assets is given by a function of the duration of
the assets and the credit rating of the underlying bonds, with lower requirements
for public sector and mortgage-covered bonds.
In Section 5.4, we said that there was an option to use an internal model.
If the SCR is calculated using a (full or partial) internal model, the company must
obtain prior supervisory approval.
The use of an internal model might be appropriate if the risk profile of the
business differs materially from that underlying the standard formula, and/or if
the company already uses such a model for risk management or other decision-
making purposes (eg pricing, investment strategy). The supervisor can require
an insurance company to develop an internal model if it considers that the
standard formula is not appropriate to the risk profile of the company.
Under some circumstances, the use of an internal model can potentially lead to
less onerous overall capital requirements than if the standard formula was used.
Each insurance group must cover its overall group SCR (which will allow for
diversification benefits across the group, and is subject to a minimum of the sum
of the MCRs of each subsidiary) and each insurance subsidiary needs to cover
its own SCR.
Group supervision would normally be carried out at the top level company within
the European Economic Area (EEA). Additional rules apply to subsidiaries and
parents located in a third country, ie non-EEA. These broadly impose
Solvency II requirements or, in the case of a non-EEA parent, the establishment
of an EU holding company.
The Solvency II regime may also have an impact on the optimal product mix for
the company, and on product design.
It is also likely to impact the optimal asset mix for the company, since some
asset classes may become relatively more or less attractive as a result of their
lower or higher capital requirements.
Management information is also likely to change to align the new metrics with
the business and strategic decision-making process.
External disclosures will change, and in general are likely to increase, so the
impact on the market also needs to be considered.
Recall that the counter-cyclical premium is one of the components of market risk in the
standard formula SCR calculation.
The vote of the European Parliament on the Final Version of the Omnibus II
Directive, which has been substantially delayed, has now been rescheduled to
October 2013. The plenary vote will lead to a final version of Omnibus II,
enabling EIOPA to issue level 2 implementing measures and draft level 3
guidelines, probably in late 2013 or early 2014.
The level 2 and level 3 materials are not currently in the public domain and
cannot therefore be discussed in these tuition notes.
The significant delay in the publication of level 2 and level 3 material is causing
difficulties for companies in their preparations for Solvency II implementation.
http://tinyurl.com/cdsm6lf.
EIOPA published draft interim measures on their website on 27 March 2013 for
consultation in respect of:
systems of governance (including the actuarial function)
a forward looking assessment of the undertakings own risks (based on
ORSA principles)
submission of information to National Competent Authorities (NCAs
these are the national regulators)
pre-application for internal models.
In March 2013, EIOPA launched a public consultation on guidelines covering the four
areas above. The purpose of these guidelines is to support national supervisors and
undertakings in their preparations for the Solvency II requirements.
This page has been left blank so that you can slot the replacement
pages into your Course Notes.
Students may find the following links to be useful sources of further information:
Solvency II Directive
http://register.consilium.europa.eu/pdf/en/09/st03/st03643-re01.en09.pdf
https://eiopa.europa.eu/consultations/consultation-papers/index.html
http://www.gcactuaries.org/solvency.html
http://www.bankofengland.co.uk/pra/Pages/solvency2/default.aspx
http://www.insuranceeurope.eu/key-issues/solvency-ii
http://www.lloyds.com/The-Market/Operating-at-Lloyds/Solvency-II
6 Glossary items
Having studied this chapter you should now read the following Glossary items:
Chapter 4 Summary
The Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) is responsible for ensuring that financial
markets function well and that consumers are protected.
GENPRU, INSPRU and IPRU-INS contain the relevant requirements for general
insurers.
Under the requirements of the Solvency I EU Directives, at each year-end insurers must
demonstrate that their assets exceed their liabilities by more than a minimum margin.
This is shown in the Annual Return.
The above calculations are reduced by the ratio of net to gross claims incurred over the
last three years, up to a maximum reduction of 50%.
The MCR is the higher of the GICR and the MGF (BCRR).
Insurers are also required to assess and manage the risks to which they might be
exposed and assess their own capital needs via an ICA assessment, which is
supplemented by ICG. There is an additional soft test of solvency called the ECR.
Note that the MCR under Pillar 1 of Solvency II is not the same as the MCR under
current regulations.
The MCR is calculated using a factor-based approach for each line of business and is
intended to be calibrated to a VaR confidence level of 85% over a one-year time
horizon. Additionally, the MCR must lie between 25% and 45% of the SCR.
The SCR is calculated by combining a number of separate risk charges and allowing for
diversification credits. It is calibrated at a confidence level of 99.5% over a one-year
time horizon.
The SCR based on the standard formula comprises the following risk charges:
operational risk
an adjustment, eg for the loss absorbing capacity of deferred taxes
market risk
non-life underwriting risk
life underwriting risk
health risk
counterparty default risk
intangible asset risk.
If the SCR is calculated using a (full or partial) internal model, the company must
obtain prior supervisory approval. To do so, it must pass the following tests:
use test
statistical quality standards
calibration standards
profit and loss attribution
validation standards
documentation standards.
Each insurer will also be required to carry out an Own Risk and Solvency Assessment
(ORSA) in which it will identify all the risks to which it is subject and the related risk
management processes and controls.
Under Pillar 3, each of the SFCR and RSR documents should include at least sufficient
information to assess:
the system of governance applied by the undertakings
the business they are pursuing
the valuation principles applied for solvency purposes
the risks faced
the risk management systems
capital structure, needs and management.
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Chapter 5
Professional guidance
Syllabus objective
0 Introduction
When carrying out work for a UK general insurance company all members must
comply with all relevant requirements under the Financial Services and Markets
Act (FSMA) together with any professional standards or guidance relevant to the
work being done and the professional body to which they belong.
The Actuaries Code and the Actuarial Standards are relatively new.
Following the Morris Review of the actuarial profession in 2005, HM Treasury asked
the Financial Reporting Council (FRC) to take on responsibility for oversight of the UK
actuarial profession and the independent setting of actuarial technical standards. The
FRC is a UK independent regulator responsible for promoting confidence in corporate
reporting and governance. It also acts for the accounting profession as well as the
actuarial profession.
The IFoA will continue to set ethical standards via the Actuarial Profession Standards
(APSs). The Standards Approval Process sets out the process to be followed in order
that APSs and IANs (covered below) can be published and binding on members of the
IFoA. This process is overseen by the Standards Review Committee.
The IFoA retains the responsibility for regulation of members and in particular
requires members, to whom the Standards apply, to observe them.
You might want to consult the FRC website at www.frc.org.uk for further information
on these.
The Actuary magazine is an additional source of articles, if you wish to keep up-to-date
with the latest developments.
The Actuaries Code came into force on 1 October 2009, and replaced what was known
as the Professional Conduct Standards (PCS) from that date.
The Regulation area of the IFoAs website also includes Information and
Assistance Notes (IANs) and other non-mandatory resource material which are
intended to provide helpful information on particular matters. Unlike the TASs,
IANs are not mandatory and, therefore, members do not have to follow them,
being free to obtain and follow alternative advice from other sources. However,
because they are part of professional guidance, members may have to
demonstrate that they have considered them, if relevant. The IFoA has to ensure
that the content of an IAN does not conflict with any of the FRC standards.
At the time of writing, there are no IANs that are directly related to general insurance
business.
These could be used by any actuary, including those working in the general insurance
field.
The principles outlined in this Core Reading reflect the up-to-date versions as at
30 April 2013. You are not required to have knowledge of changes made after
this date for the purpose of Subject SA3. However, if your answer to an exam
question reflects knowledge of such changes, your answer will, in principle, be
acceptable.
TAS R, TAS D and TAS M are Generic TASs, which means that they apply to any
work which is commonly (or exclusively) performed by actuaries and which falls
within the scope of one or more of the Specific TASs (see below).
The purpose of TAS R is to ensure that the reporting of actuarial work enables
users to judge the relevance and implications of the reports contents, and that
the information is presented in a clear and comprehensible manner. It differs
markedly from previous guidance in its emphasis on the information
communicated in the lead up to decisions rather than on formal reports.
The purpose of TAS D is to ensure that data is subject to sufficient scrutiny and
checking so that users can rely on the resulting actuarial information, and that
appropriate actions are taken where data is inaccurate or incomplete.
You should now read TAS R, TAS D and TAS M, since their contents may help you to
answer exam questions covering related topics.
As well as these Generic TASs, the FRC has published a set of Specific TASs
applying to work in particular areas. Of most relevance to this Subject is the
Insurance TAS, but actuaries should also be aware of other Specific TASs such
as that for transformations.
At the time of writing, the other specific TASs that have been published are the
Pensions TAS and the Funeral Plans TAS, neither of which are relevant for general
insurance. You should check the FRC website regularly for updates.
The purpose of the Insurance TAS is to ensure that management and governing
bodies of insurers can understand and rely on the information supplied by their
actuaries, and understand its limitations. It also requires that information
provided to policyholders is relevant, comprehensible and sufficient for their
needs.
The Transformations TAS gives more detail on principles that should be applied
in actuarial work relating to business reorganisations which affect policyholders
including Part VII transfers and schemes of arrangement.
Part VII transfers and schemes of arrangement will be covered further in Chapter 14.
The IFoA also appreciates input from its members with regards to possible changes to
the guidance. Just because you have yet to qualify does not mean that your input would
not be appreciated.
For your own career, and background reading for Subject SA3, you should read the
Actuaries Code now its only three pages! You can find it here:
www.actuaries.org.uk/research-and-resources/documents/actuaries-code-october-
2009
You should at least remember the five basic principles covered in the Code, ie:
Integrity
Competence and care
Impartiality
Compliance
Open communication.
http://www.actuaries.org.uk/research-and-resources/documents/aps-g2-actuarial-
reporting-lloyds-syndicates-writing-us-business
Read through APS G2 and the Advisory Note on Lloyds US Opinions, which
supplements it.
Question 5.1
In order to be able to provide an SAO, what does a member need to be satisfied of?
It is the intention of the IFoA to produce a number of APSs to replace the former
Guidance Notes. A new APS G1 which covers overarching ethical obligations
has been proposed but may now be replaced by a cross-practice APS on ethical
behaviour. Further APSs are anticipated.
4 Advisory Notes
The Institute and Faculty of Actuaries also issue Advisory Notes on particular issues
from time to time. They do not carry the same weight as the TASs, but offer advice
which an actuary should consider when forming or communicating an opinion on the
issue in question. A recent Advisory Note covers provisions for large losses.
Previous Advisory Notes have covered provisions for reinsurance bad debt and
unallocated loss adjustment expenses.
Chapter 5 Summary
Actuaries should always consider professional standards and guidance.
Actuaries Code
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Chapter 5 Solutions
Solution 5.1
The member needs to be satisfied that the technical provisions held by the syndicate are
at least as large as those calculated by applying generally accepted actuarial methods
and using assumptions that he/she considers reasonable in the context of the Lloyds
Valuation of Liabilities Rules or the basis agreed with regulators.
The technical provisions calculated by the member for the purpose of forming the
opinion must be at least as large as those implied by a best estimate basis without
precautionary margins.
Chapter 18
Further reading
0 Introduction
The following is a list of suggested reading for Subject SA3. Students will find it
useful to consult some of the material to extend their knowledge and to obtain a
different viewpoint when studying a particular topic. However, students are not
expected to have read all of the items on the list.
Most items are available from the Institute and Faculty of Actuaries libraries
(e-mail: libraries@actuaries.org.uk). Articles from the British Actuarial Journal
(BAJ) are available via:
http://www.actuaries.org.uk/research-and-resources/pages/journals
after member login to the Institute and Faculty of Actuaries website. Members
can access full text of BAJ articles cited below via the links shown if they have
logged into Athens first and find British Actuarial Journal through Cambridge
Journals. Members who have registered to use Athens online resources (please
ask libraries@actuaries.org.uk for an Athens account) can access the archive of
BAJ articles through Cambridge Journals.
A learning portal has been set up for Subject SA3, containing links to much of the
suggested reading material. It can be accessed here:
http://www.actuaries.org.uk/research-and-resources/pages/sa-exams-reading.
There is also a Guide to the Specialist Applications Examinations, which may be found
on the Institute and Faculty website at:
http://www.actuaries.org.uk/students/syllabus/guide_sa_exams.
This gives an overview of what can be expected in the Specialist Applications exam.
There is no right or wrong answer to this, and the amount of further reading that a
student does will have to depend on the spare time available for instance, time may
be short if you are studying other subjects simultaneously. However, you will see when
you look at past papers that current topics are frequently examined, and current topics
are often the subject of the further reading material.
Be selective about which publications you read and how much time you spend on each.
There is no point reading and memorising an advanced text on statistical rating
techniques, since you are unlikely to have to reproduce something similar in the exam.
Your time would be better spent reading papers that cover important broad topics, such
as risk, capital and return.
Do not try to memorise all the content of these papers rather, use them to get an idea
of the sorts of issues that general insurance actuaries are concerned about.
Be aware that when examiners set questions for the forthcoming exam, they are
undoubtedly going to be thinking about topical subjects and issues that currently
concern general insurance actuaries.
The better candidates showed that they had prepared for the exam by reading
around the subject in respect of important factors affecting the general insurance
industry at the moment.
It is particularly advisable to familiarise yourself with the topics presented at the last
GIRO conference. These were presented, hence topical, at the same time that the exams
were being prepared. You might like to start with the Brian Hey prize winner!
When doing further reading, don't worry about feeling that you're not taking everything
in. It is bound to feel like this as you haven't got a specific syllabus objective in mind.
However, sometimes your further reading can give you a big advantage when answering
an exam question. For example, in 2000 there were questions on financial engineering
that werent (at the time) covered in the Core Reading. The solution was based on
material from some background reading (in that example, it was a Sigma report). And
in 2008 there was a question on stochastic reserving methods not covered at all by the
course material at the time.
Other times, you may just use your background reading knowledge to add strength to an
answer by giving specific examples of topical events. Look in past Examiners Reports
and you'll see things mentioned (and it really is just a mention) like Spitzer, or Berquist
Sherman. These werent covered by the Core Reading at the time, but could be gleaned
from general background reading.
Even if you dont use the background reading explicitly in any of your answers, simply
reading around generally will boost your knowledge of whats important in the general
insurance world at the moment, and what actuaries are currently thinking about. This
should allow you to realise whats important when answering questions, which should
help to take your answer in the right direction.
1 List of reading
The list that the Core Reading recommends is as follows:
The cycle survival kit an investigation into the reserving cycle and other issues
Archer-Lock, P.; Fisher, S.; Hilder, I.M., et al. 2003 General Insurance Convention
103145
http://www.actuaries.org.uk/giro2003/line.pdf
Asbestos liabilities & the new risk margins framework. - Sydney: Finity
Consulting, 2009. - 64 pages. [RKN: 43615]
Riley, Brett; Watson, Bruce (2009).
http://www.finity.com.au/publication/asbestos-liabilities-and-the-new-risk-
margins-framework/
Back-testing the ODP bootstrap of the paid chain-ladder model with actual
historical claims data.
Leong, Jessica; Wang, Shaun; Chen, Han (2012). (GIRO Conference and
Exhibition 2012)
http://www.actuaries.org.uk/events/paper-presentation-archives/2012
In addition, the online Pricing Wiki and Toolkit Wiki are useful resources for the
practicing General Insurance actuary.
Despite being Australian, the actuarial principles are very similar to those in the UK
(and South Africa, The Caribbean, Hong Kong and probably anywhere else that you
might be reading this). The book covers many of the same areas as the Course Notes,
such as regulation, reserving, premium rating and reinsurance. If you want a different
approach to that given in the Course Notes and the Core Reading, then this book might
help.
Another textbook that might be useful for background knowledge, but this one is
American. This book is more mathematical and statistical than the Australian book, so
in terms of passing the exam perhaps the Australian textbook might be more useful.
An important paper, which is relatively easy to read, and includes lots of information
and examples to give you quite a practical feel for this area.
A short and very readable account of both the Reserving Cycle and the Underwriting
Cycle (not the same thing!).
This report is arguably one of the most important General Insurance reports in recent
years and, as such, is compulsory reading. It challenges fundamentally the reserving
methodology in use today. Many of the subsequent GIRO papers stemmed from
material given in this report in particular, the GIRO 2007 paper Best estimates and
reserving uncertainty (discussed later), which has been the topic of some recent
Subject SA3 exams.
This is another (very short) paper that stemmed from the report discussed in Section 2.5.
It discusses in more detail the considerations to be taken into account when
communicating uncertainty in reserve estimates. This is a topic that has been examined
in recent Subject SA3 exams.
A long and interesting paper (from GIRO 2006) on some of the more exotic features of
reinsurance, many of which have appeared in the exam. Many of the techniques
described can also improve your understanding of pricing primary business.
GRIP was established by the Profession's General Insurance Board in late 2005 to
review actuarial involvement in premium rating issues. This report comes from GIRO
2006.
GRIP is the pricing equivalent of GRIT (see Section 2.5) and, as such, should be seen as
compulsory reading.
This is a very long and heavily mathematical paper that explores the intricacies of the
statistical models than can be used when rating motor business. It was written in 1992
but the content is still very much valid today. It starts very simply with one-way tables
and GLMs, but rapidly progresses into advanced maths which perhaps wouldnt be so
useful for the exam.
This is a short statistical paper that gives an overview of a possible method for
analysing an insurers competitive position, using decision trees. For those interested in
these statistical techniques there is a list of further references at the end. Whilst the
objective is of interest, it is difficult to imagine an exam question focussing on the
technical content.
This advisory note was produced by the General Insurance Board and supplements
APS G2. Therefore we recommend that you read this in conjunction with APS G2.
This actuarial consultancys report, on behalf of the Casualty Actuarial Society, gives
an overview of the capital adequacy models of the main rating agencies. It will give
you an idea of the sort of factors that capital models should normally consider.
It gives practical examples from, for example, a geological viewpoint, as well as the
mathematical principles developed in Extreme Value Theory, which is covered in
Chapter 12. The use of catastrophe models is also discussed, as are other management
controls of extreme events. The paper finishes with a discussion on risk measures.
It covers many aspects of this topical subject, given the PRAs heavy slant towards risk
management in recent years. It covers mainly soft issues, but there are still some
formulae every now and again to keep the mathematicians happy. It gives a useful
insight into the risks covered by PRU that you met in Chapter 4, Legislation.
This paper builds on those presented at the GIRO 2002 and 2003 conventions (see
section 2.38). It is best read in conjunction with those papers.
These papers provide important updates on developments since the guide mentioned
above was produced.
Much of this material is already covered in the Core Reading but it provides a good
summary of the topic. Topics covered include the properties and uses of asbestos, the
associated diseases and, for the UK and US separately, legal developments and losses to
the industry.
This is quite an old paper (1994) so some of the material in Sections 1 and 2 may be in
need of an update. However, it is it very readable and provides a good insight into how
asbestos bodily injury claims can be modelled. A model is described in Section 5 of the
paper and relies on categorising defendants into five tiers according to the nature of
their exposure to asbestos bodily injury claims.
At the time, this was one of the most topical discussions of the day, highlighting the
ever-increasing litigiousness of society. An interesting read, although of course there
have been plenty of developments since then.
This very readable paper summarizes the results of papers produced by GRIT, ROC and
others in relation to reserving and uncertainty. Topics touched upon include the
difference between a range of reasonable estimates and a range of possible outcomes,
possible problems with current practice in determining best estimates, the reserving and
underwriting cycles, the choice of method for determining the uncertainty around the
best estimate, and communicating uncertainty to non-actuarial stakeholders,
This short article provides insight from a technical specialist at the PRA who is a
member of EIOPAs internal models expert group. Some aspects of consultation paper
56 (which sets out tests and standards for internal model approval) and model validation
are discussed, amongst other topics.
This gives detailed Lloyds guidance on the calculation of technical provisions under
Solvency II. At 121 pages, this is quite a comprehensive text covering a whole range of
issues including contract recognition, binary events, the risk margin, reinsurance
recoveries, expenses, discounting and data implications.
This paper discusses the use of Economic Scenario Generators (ESG models) in the
context of Solvency II. It explains how ESG models will be used under Solvency II and
the issues that will need to be considered. It considers ESG models in relation to Pillars
two and three, internal models and market consistent valuation. The author avoids
technical details as far as possible, making the paper quite easy to read.
This is a very readable paper which expands upon the material on this topic already
covered within the Subject SA3 Course Notes. There is an interesting section covering
the various stages of preparation that occur prior to a Scheme being implemented.
Other topics covered include the role of actuaries and the PRA, estimation guidelines,
reporting considerations and dealing with objections to a Scheme.
This paper explains why traditional actuarial methods are unsuitable for estimating
pollution liabilities as well as the distinctions between analysing asbestos and pollution.
Estimation methods and analysis appropriate for pollution are then described in detail.
In Australia, the calculation of risk margins has been mandatory since 2002. However,
this is often a challenging exercise, especially for classes with long latency periods and
limited data. This paper proposes a new approach for determining risk margins above
central reserve estimates and quantifying uncertainty, in particular for asbestos-related
liabilities.
This paper explores how significant the differences are between chain ladder methods
and the results of other reserving methods. It does this by considering the standard error
of the chain ladder reserve estimates. There is a lot of maths in this short paper, so you
may want to read the introduction and then skip to the conclusions at the end.
This is an Australian paper, written in 2008, which considers the key sources of
uncertainty in the claims process. It starts by considering the current approaches to
assessing risk margins around a central estimate, and then proposes a new
comprehensive framework for assessing insurance risk margins, with practical advice
on how to implement the framework.
This paper considers the problem of quantifying the uncertainty associated with the
development of claims reserves for prior accident years in general insurance. It is quite
mathematical, so may not be the most likely thing to be examined in Subject SA3.
This is a very short, very mathematical paper containing theorems, lemmas and proofs
which show that every overdispersed Poisson model (for loss reserving) can be
transformed into the Poisson model by rescaling all incremental claims by a common
factor.
This paper describes a general procedure for bootstrapping and shows how predictive
distributions of outstanding liabilities can be obtained using two alternative methods:
a) bootstrapping and b) Bayesian techniques implemented using Markov chain Monte
Carlo techniques. The two approaches are compared and the similarities and
differences are highlighted.
This paper considers a wide range of stochastic reserving models, beginning with
stochastic models that reproduce the traditional chain-ladder reserve estimates. These
models are then extended to consider parametric curves and smoothing models for the
shape of the development run-off. The Bornhuetter-Ferguson technique is also
considered within a Bayesian framework. The techniques are illustrated with examples
throughout.
Many papers are presented at each years GIRO (General Insurance Research
Organisation previously called General Insurance Study Group, ie GISG) Convention.
Some are better than others, but several of them are excellent. Moreover, they are
generally easy to follow and are quite reader friendly, the kind of thing that you could
read on a train. Topics are wide ranging, with current issues always well represented
and most other significant topics coming round every few years. For most years, you
can get bound copies of the papers from Napier House, or maybe a colleague will lend
you a set. The papers are also freely available on the Institutes website.
The number of working party papers presented at the Convention has increased rapidly
over the last few years. The topics covered by the papers have often appeared in the
exam, and indeed many of them were the source of inspiration for much of the Core
Reading. We have already mentioned many GIRO papers in Sections 2.1 2.18.
Do not be put off by the size of some of the older publications! Many of the papers are
only references to the workshops held at the Conference and do not contain any useful
information beyond that. However, there are many papers worth reading.
We suggest that you glance through each paper first to assess its relevance, and then
read through the papers that you think are broad enough to be examinable topics. Some
of the more interesting and meaty papers are listed here for you (if not already
mentioned earlier), but you are encouraged to make your own mind up about which
have most relevance.
2012s papers
This paper takes an in-depth look at how catastrophe models can be integrated within a
general insurer. It makes excellent further reading building on the topics discussed in
Chapter 8, Catastrophe models, and is a topic that has been examined a number of
times. It is particularly topical given the emphasis on catastrophe modelling within the
Solvency II framework.
Back-testing the ODP bootstrap of the paid chain-ladder model with actual historical
claims data
Does bootstrapping of the paid chain-ladder model produce reliable reserve estimates?
If you want to know, youll have to read the paper, which uses actual historical data to
justify its conclusions. Useful for those wanting to see a practical example of how the
method is used, in more detail than is given in the Core Reading.
This mathematical paper looks in depth at how game theory can be used within the
pricing methodologies of a general insurer. If youre interested in the topic then this
could be for you, although we would guess its unlikely to be the topic of an exam
question.
Practical issues in the Solvency II Internal Model Approval Process (IMAP) for
general insurance actuaries
This lengthy paper gives detailed coverage of the IMAP process and its surrounding
issues. It is very useful indeed, particularly if you do not have practical experience of
Solvency II, and the topic has appeared in a recent Subject SA3 exam.
Triangle-free reserving
This paper gives an insight into various reserving methods, and their pros and cons, in
particular those that do (and dont) use triangulations of claims data. Whilst some of
the mathematical explanations may be arguably beyond the exam, the general principles
behind the paper make very relevant reading.
2011s papers
This paper discusses the role of the actuarial function by referencing and expanding
upon each of the paragraphs defining this role within the Solvency II Directive. It is a
concise and useful read.
This is a well-written paper providing an introduction to the subject of risk appetite for
actuaries who are involved with general insurance undertakings. Topics covered
include the role and importance of risk appetite, risk appetite within ERM, risk appetite
concepts, drivers of risk aversion, risk appetite articulation and effectiveness, risk
appetite characteristics and risk appetite disclosures.
This paper is concerned with the cost of capital approach for determining a risk margin
(under Solvency II). Such an approach involves computing a fair value, which is the
amount for which liabilities may be settled between knowledgeable, willing parties in
an arm's length transaction. The paper describes how such a fair value may be
calculated.
This paper provides important updates on developments since the original paper on
periodic payment orders (mentioned below in 2010s papers) was published.
2010s papers
This paper provides an example model scope, although the authors stress that it is
designed to stimulate debate rather than form a template. The paper discusses what
(risks, classes, processes etc) should be in scope and what should be out of scope.
Through three case studies (American International Group, Long Term Capital
Management and Union Carbide), this paper looks at risk and opportunity management
within general insurance. In particular, it seeks to identify early warning indicators that
might have been useful in each case and lessons that can be learned for the future.
This paper gives an overview of PPOs (periodic payment orders), reviews some relevant
court cases and considers what impact PPOs will have on companys profits. It
considers the impact of PPOs on reserving, capital modelling, pricing and reinsurance
and how this impact can be mitigated. Practical issues, such as how to administer
payments which may last for fifty or more years are also covered.
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