Documente Academic
Documente Profesional
Documente Cultură
Mar/Apr/May 2017
Multiple Unit and Time Dog
or Tail, the choice is yours to
make
W.D.GANNS HEXAGON
CHART
ADVANCED HURST
CHANNEL APPLICATIONS
7 Powerful Ways to Improve Your Trading
The Flash Crash cycle in
2017 The 17-Year Cycle Returns
Jaywiz 22 Created in the U.S.A. is prepared from information believed to be reliable but not guaranteed us
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WaveTrack International 23
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Sacred Science 29 cussed herein. Any article that shows hypothetical or stimulated performance results have certain
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Sacred Science 30 compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated
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Sacred Science 40
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Watch Now!
A year ago, the stock indices opened 2016 with a rare down week followed by
a very rare down month, which became the worst January in history. Investors
who usually become the tail of the dog, as emotions cause them to take the
wrong actions at the wrong times, waited through most of the decline off of the November
14 high before feeling the need to sell. As the dog-like certainty of higher and higher prices
became the tail-like confusion of falling prices, selling begot selling, and emotions exaggerated
into panic.
Of course, this is exactly when you want to be the dog, as everyone else is being dragged
around in tail-like actions. Yet, no matter how much most of us mere-mortals tell ourselves that
we know what were doing and that we wont succumb to the whims of the crowd (and its taillike
actions), the real world mixture of money and emotions, coupled with too much leverage or
margin and the fact that we joined the trend late in development, leaves most of us with tail-like
results.
When both of these indicators are at overbought extremes, a red box is created to catch
attention to the hot emotional buying that is occurring and warn not to get burned. Conversely,
when both indicators are at oversold extremes, a green box is created to catch attention to the
coolness of buying (or extreme selling) that is occurring and warn that emotional selling is not
indicated, while calm buying is indicated. Therefore, it can be as simple as buying green boxes
and selling red boxes.
You might wonder: If its that easy, why isnt everyone doing it? The answer is because we
humans like to have input into our destinies. We like to believe our intelligence is better than
most; above average. Therefore, we have a need to know and need to be right, governed by
our ego, which guarantees we act more subjectively than objectively. Usually this causes us to
experience less than average results in our own personal financial decisions. To the extent we
can remove ourselves from the process, tame our ego, give up at least some of the need to steer
our destiny, we tend to receive above average results. Of course, some of us can create superior
outcomes without outside help, but thats the exception, not the rule.
What is really interesting is the power of the herds or crowds collective unconsciousness. Look
at how the red boxes and green boxes have created the parallel channel that rises from lower
left to upper right. I didnt create that, the actions of millions of market participants did. I merely
connected the dots. If you take away the channel lines, the turns still manifest at the same
places. This is because of the dog/tail effect.
When you are in sync with the crowd, quieting your ego, and allowing the crowds wisdom to
steer your decisions (passive investment strategies, index and sector funds and ETFs, managed
money programs), you are receiving the benefits of the dog, which moves through the doors of
life first, followed by their tail. But when you believe you know more than most, understand a
secret ingredient, possess insight that few others have, your ego is forcing you into the role of
the tail. Sometimes we see dogs chasing their tails, moving backwards in hope of catching their
tail. Most commonly, as the dog eventually gets dizzy, falls down and gives up. This is also
what can happen to investors that attempt to have too much influence in their investment
and trading plans when they shouldnt . Eventually, we too, get dizzy, give up and fall down.
Unfortunately, this usually results in buying too close to the red boxes and selling too close to
the green.
This is the RSX, which is the Russia ETF. Rather than use news, opinions, whispers and what
we feel or think will happen to Russian stocks, given all of the geopolitical influences, these
indicators allow an empirically-based action plan. Here, now, the only action that is objectively
supported is that of selling. Buying is never indicated when stochastics are at the extreme
overbought 90% threshold, nor when price is at the upper 2 standard deviation band. In
addition, buying is never indicated when only a three wave movement is visible.
In fact, these are the exact conditions under which each of these three indicators imply that
selling is indicated. Not because of news, innuendo, or any other external or fundamental input,
but because historical, empirical data shows that these conditions are highly correlated with
price declines in the near future.
Therefore, for totally unrelated reasons, both of these charts forecast declines in the coming
days, weeks and months. So, whats an investor to do with this information? First, if long, selling
actions should take your position to flat. If flat, selling actions take you to net short exposure.
If already short, selling actions should strengthen your confidence in your short position, and/
or cause you to add more short exposure. Even if you arent familiar with short selling, having
an objective decision support process to just move you from long to flat, back to long, then back
to flat, over and over again, will put/keep you in the market when odds of rising prices are most
favorable and take you out of the market when odds of rising prices are least favorable.
The intent of this course is to provide a trading strategy that Low risk, high reward trades averaging
allows for large returns from low risk investments. Trades 1:10 risk:reward ratio!
have an average risk:reward ratio of 1:10, with a Trade setups with minimum 500% return
minimum return of 500% per trade to maximum returns & average 1000% return!
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forward analytical techniques explained in Ganns How to when they hit!
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The analytical techniques and strategy taught in this course Uses classical Gann risk management and
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trading experience. They can be easily understood and returns like those Gann is famous for
applied by any trader, new or seasoned, to great effect with A simple technique for beginners a new
very little time or difficulty. The strategy is based strategy for seasoned traders!
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can effectively implement this strategy. 463 Pages - Online Student Trading Forum
STATEMENT OF INTENT
HOW TO TRADE LIKE This course presents a detailed analysis of the entire
W. D. GANN sequence of 322 trades from 1915-1931 presented in WD
Ganns US Steel trading course. The specifics of these
trades and of Ganns Mechanical Method provide profound
An Exploration of the Mechanical insights into the mind of one of the greatest traders of
history.
Trading Lesson on U. S. Steel With detailed charts accompanying the analysis, the
reader will discover great insights in reading market action
BY TIMOTHY WALKER and learn to understand the specific rules and triggers that
2 VOLUMES - TEXT & CHARTS Gann used to manage an account through every phase of
market activity.
SUEDE HARDCOVERS - ONLY $595.00 This course shows how Gann could turn a $3000 account
GANNS MECHANICAL METHOD TRADING into over $6 million in 15 years. But it also shows
extraordinary returns in shorter trading periods. For
SYSTEM APPLIED TO THE MODERN S&P500 instance, from his initial investment of $3000 in February
1915 until October 21 of the same year, Gann produced a
IN 2014 PRODUCED 570% ON A $5000 E-
1,337% return increasing the account to $40,123.
MINI POSITION IN ONLY 3 MONTHS! GANNS FAMOUS SWING TRADING SYSTEM!
I was recently asked to provide an explanation of my trading style and approach as presented
in my book, Market Vibrations. First off, Ill state that I love markets. I dont care so much
for marketing myself or my book, but I can see that people do need to know how I approach
trading, to know if my approach might be something that would also work for them. I propose
that if erectile dysfunction is having a materially negative impact on your life, youll probably see
the doctor without having to watch commercials about it on TV. But thats just my opinion.
That said, I suppose that marketing isnt always a bad thing, since if I dont tell you a bit about
how I teach trading, youll never know if what I have to share, much like Viagra, may not be
just what you need. For example, I would have never heard about Mr. Gann were it not for his
interesting marketing brochures. Still, Im going to try to minimize the marketing here and try
to concentrate on a few lessons that Ive learned from Mr. Gann. Hopefully, I may even expose a
few of you to the need to study Mr. Ganns work. But first Ill discuss my book. Its based upon
Mr. Ganns teachings.
Market Vibrations was never meant to be a book. It was actually the result of a shopping effort
where I had intended to purchase a book. Im always seeking new knowledge. Mr. Gann said
we should always be learning and I like to follow his instructions. While shopping, I asked Brad
Stewart about his offerings through the Sacred Science and Cosmological Economics Institutes.
Ive found some of his books to be educational in the past. At that point, Mr. Stewart asked
about my tastes and experience with trading so he could gauge which courses might benefit me
most.
I responded that I didnt know squat and that I liked simple stuff that worked. That summed
everything up pretty well. The fact is that Im wise enough to know that finding simple stuff
that works is almost as elusive as finding an honest politician. Simple stuff that works is at
least theoretically possible!
I also made my big mistake and showed Mr. Stewart a few charts. Those charts showed some
of the simple things that I had learned from Mr. Ganns teachings. Mr. Gann was kind enough to
leave us many trails to research in the wake of his success. He wrote much of it down for us if
were willing to follow his instructions and do some work. He doesnt make it easy, but he does
provide us with exposure to a lot of his hard-earned wisdom.
Mr. Stewart asked for more charts as examples as they had reminded him of his past studies.
Ironically, instead of Mr. Stewart selling me a book he began selling me on writing a book for
him. The problem with that was that Im lazy and I wasnt interested in writing a book. I thought
that trading was a more lucrative use of time. I also didnt consider myself to possess a fountain
of wisdom that people needed to read. Mr. Gann seemed to want people to do the work for
themselves anyway.
At some point though, I questioned to myself why Mr. Gann wrote books and courses. I dont
believe for a second that he needed the money. Ultimately, I think he genuinely wanted to help
people that would work to help themselves. He even told us so much in his books. Helping
others was his reward. That became one of the reasons I decided to write my book. Maybe I
could also help someone (maybe even my son and other family and friends) along the path to
trading as a successful profession and business. I reasoned that I could also write a tribute to
honor Mr. Gann and his work. I could prove that his instructions still worked to this day just
like he said they would. I had confirmed it for myself just like he instructed me to do.
I started working on the book and am pleased that I did. As it turns out, when you need
to thoroughly explain and document things, you learn a lot about your own thoughts and
techniques. Work has benefits. I didnt foresee it, but I believe Mr. Gann knew that writing books
was beneficial to him and his studies. Ive learned that lesson and hope the great man will still
be teaching me unexpected things until the day I die. In my opinion, Mr. Gann left a fertile
hunting ground. Now, I also study his actions and not just his words.
I cant really show you the simple stuff from my book here. That wouldnt be fair to the book
owners. Rest assured that youve probably seen much of it before in one form or another.
However, in the universe of Gann studies its not hard to find interesting concepts to ponder.
Really, most of it is common sense (which is often pretty uncommon). So
Lets move to some Gann Lessons so you might find some value to consider here.
I just turned down an offer where someone was selling me some wonderful market analysis at
half the regular price. He had already predicted many past market turns and was providing the
future roadmap for the markets. I had subscribed to his service in the past but Ive dropped
most all subscriptions in favor of doing my own thinking. Thats one of Mr. Ganns rules Dont
use the advice of another person for your trading.
Mr. Gann instructs us that we should do our own analytical work so we understand why we are
making the decisions we are making. Otherwise, we are much more likely to fail. Statistics say
that 95% of traders lose everything they invest. Im guessing that a large portion of those failing
traders also subscribe to market guru letters and watch Financial News on TV too.
Mr. Gann knew that humans have a tendency to want someone one to tell them what to do. In
that scenario, we get to brag about all of our successes and blame the advice provider for any
of our failures. The 95% losers not only lose in trading, but they likely even wasted more money
on expert advice. If that is the case, they are not following Mr. Ganns rules. They are
lambs heading to the market slaughterhouse.
The price for the salesmans new wonderful market analysis was $500. I thought to myself that
I could buy a few copies of every one of Mr. Ganns books for that sum. I knew that the half-
The lesson here is that I had saved $500 that I might have spent in the past. I love to see good
analytical work. But I ultimately need to do most of that for myself if Im following Mr. Ganns
rules. By doing my own work and having my own knowledge, Ive ended up with the confidence
that I dont need to pay for investment advice. Knowledge and work help prevent unneeded
expense.
Of course, there are wonderful analysts that sell market knowledge, experience, or research
capabilities that help a trader develop advantages in the markets. For those exceptions to the
rule, you can use them to make sure you arent missing something or even to check your own
work. If you miss something, you can still review everything and make your own conclusions.
Ultimately, success becomes something of its own master.
In September of 2016, the kind people that have purchased my book were discussing potential
short trades for the S&P. We have an internet forum where we can ask questions or discuss
markets if we wish. We can share ideas, perspectives, and experiences. When pondering the
S&P, I remembered a lesson that Mr. Gann had shown me. Ill share that with you here. In Mr.
Ganns book 45 Years on Wall Street, he listed Rule 1. Determining the Trend. He said,
Determine the trend of the Dow-Jones 30 Industrial Averages or the 15 public utilities averages
or the average on any group of stocks that you intend to trade in, then select the stock in the
group in which you want to trade and see if its Trend indications conform to the Trend indicated
by the Averages.
I suppose we can interpret that a few different ways. For one possible suggestion, we are being
told to review the major indexes as an average but we probably should trade an individual
equity that shares the short trade characteristics we are targeting with the indexs signals. With
that kind of thought in mind, I suggested to the forum that I had looked around the markets
and found Lululemon.com (LULU). It was providing a number of Mr. Ganns selling signals. For
one example, it was nearing a double-top at all-time-high prices from over three years back. Mr.
Gann teaches us to target that kind of situation.
Two months later, LULU has dropped almost 33%. Not all trade opportunities work out this
way, but its not all that uncommon either. LULU has been a textbook example of Gann analysis
applied to the markets of 2016. For comparison, the S&P500 has dropped 3.6% in the same two
months of time. To my simple mind, I think 33% versus 3.6% validates the concept. With this
approach, I have learned that I generally dont trade the S&P500, SPY, e-mini, DOW, etc. I can
watch the Indexes just like Mr. Gann instructs and even look for trading signals. However, Im
almost always better off to trade a stock instead. That is my experience, anyway.
Mr. Gann teaches us to trade both long and short. He wants us to recognize all opportunities
regardless of market direction. If we are trading with the trend of a market, which is required by
Mr. Ganns rules, we have to be trading both short and long, unless you find a market that only
moves in one direction. Long or short, we need to find good rules-based setups. We need rules
to help us determine the likelier direction of the larger trends. Mr. Gann teaches these types of
things. Ultimately, they are pretty simple and they often work!
United Air Lines (UAL) is another equity I pretty recently discussed in the book forum. Mr. Ganns
rules were providing signals to get long at the yellow box on the weekly chart presented next.
Not every setup will be a winner. However, these setups really arent so mythical when you train
yourself to find them. From its recent lows, UALs price it has risen over 52%... that was, back
when I first wrote this article in October.
If we play both long and short in the markets as Mr. Gann instructs, you might find yourself long
in an airlines trade and short trading ladies clothing (LULU). You might also be patiently waiting
for grains or metals or other markets to provide their trading setups. Or, after a large profit, like
above, you may be well poised, at times, to ride the same vehicle right back down again. You
get to pick markets that fit your style and taste but only if they are providing adequate signals
to justify your trading decision.
Over time, if you make an effort to use Mr. Ganns rules, you internalize them. This approach
helps you to eliminate your personal biases from the market. You either have good setups
with acceptable risks or you dont. Trading becomes a business decision and a much less
emotional thing. You are happy to trade both long and short when the setups come. Its not
necessarily easy or everyone would do it. However, it really can be pretty simple stuff once you
start training your mind with Mr. Ganns instructions. You just have to understand what those
instructions are and how to use them.
Why do the great majority of people who buy and sell stocks lose? There are three main
reasons:
1. They overtrade or buy and sell too much for their capital.
2. They do not place a stop loss order or limit their losses.
3. Lack of Knowledge. This is the most important reason of all.
Think about that. Ive broken all of those rules and it cost me money. Maybe you have too.
Now, re-read #3. Mr. Gann told us on several occasions to learn before you lose. In this case, it
is the lack of knowledge is the most important reason for failure.
For knowledge, you need to prove for yourself that the strategies have value or not. Whether
you study books or paper trade, you cant buy experience. As Albert Einstein stated, knowledge
comes from experience. That circles us back to you needing to do your own work.
I readily declare that I never know what the markets are going to do. However, with Mr. Ganns
rules, Im of the opinion that I can find wonderful risk versus reward situations for trading. The
goal is not to know what will happen. The goal is to have a net profit over time whatever
I bring that up because trades can end up losing. Thats fine as a business expense. Mr. Gann
teaches us how manage our risks. You simply must learn to manage your risks prior to trading
with your hard-earned money. That is part of the knowledge that you need to gain. Mr. Gann
repeatedly emphasized risk management rules. He knew this was required for your success as a
speculator/investor.
Conclusion
Earlier we discussed that Mr. Gann taught us not to use another persons opinions for trading.
Paradoxically, I find myself providing a sort of trading advice with a book and articles. My
sincerest advice is that you dont need to buy my book. Study Mr. Ganns books for yourself. My
book generally tells you the same things that Mr. Gann will tell you. I might save you time by
boiling some of Mr. Ganns concepts down for you, while providing concrete examples working in
the modern markets. I can also help you with a strategy that will increase your profits and limit
your risk. This is something that Mr. Gann taught too, but not very clearly, so that it can take
some years to hunt down these little secrets, if you find them at all.
However, you can do all of that work for yourself. If you arent willing to do some work for
yourself, Id recommend that you avoid trading in general and are probably better off not
spending your money on the books and market gurus anyway. If you are willing to do the work,
I suggest you go slowly and steadily if on your own. If you turn to someone like me, I wont
teach you something different that Mr. Gann would, but Ill help you find your way along much
faster than you would be able to working on your own, and time is money. We all stand on the
shoulders of others who share with us their many years of experience. Just as Mr. Gann shared
his 45 years on Wall Street with us, so shall I share my 20 years street smarts with others
too. In some small way, perhaps I will give back some of that value which I have received from
the likes of Mr. Gann.
Finally, if I didnt think my book could help you pay for itself, the book wouldnt have been
published. It just takes a trade or two to begin teaching you to be your own master and repay
its costs. Youve seen some actual examples earlier in this article. While my book will not and
cannot trade for you, it is designed to help you to get into Mr. Ganns mindset, and manage your
risks, while learning to do your own analytical work. Mr. Gann provided the rules. Maybe you can
use them to your advantage, and like Mr. Gann said, make speculation a profitable profession.
For more information on Gordon Roberts book, Market Vibrations: W.D. Ganns How to
Make Profits in Modern Markets, see the following link:
http://www.sacredscience.com/Roberts/Market_Vibrations.htm
WWW.TRADERSWORLD.COM March/April/May 2017 21
WWW.TRADERSWORLD.COM March/April/May 2017 22
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ELLIOTT WAVE-COMPASS
Elliott Wave updates published twice weekly Right-click functionality to select different contracts, time-
All four asset classes Stock Indices, Currencies, Interest Rates periods and alternate counts
& Commodities Tutorial charts depict the main pattern unfolding for each chart/
Username & password access to the EW-COMPASS system to forecast + permutations
view all charts online Download each report & individual charts in .pdf format
Fibonacci-Price-Ratios Access to archived reports
Stock Indices
SUBSCRIBE NOW! 2
Bonds
US$ 39.00 p.m. Currencies (FX)
Commodities
Our annual Elliott Wave forecast videos have been a regular feature since the financial-crisis
covering four distinct asset classes, Stock Indices, Commodities, Currencies & Interest Rates.
This is probably the most detailed, thoroughly researched material available with wave count
illustrations depicting specific pattern development and fib-price-ratio projection targets for
the coming year 2017 and beyond. No waffle, no contradictions or ambiguities, these forecasts
provide a concise harmonised picture together with in-depth cycle analysis.
Earlier last year, Developed Market (DM) stock indices, key benchmarks like the S&P and the
Eurostoxx 50 hit important lows, ending a 9-month corrective sell-off that began from the May
15 highs into February 16 lows. This was the largest decline in over 4 years and comparable to
the year-2011 correction. But this event also marked the end of 5-year counter-trend declines in
Emerging Markets (EM) and Commodities. This formed an important convergence because the
performance of EMs and Commodities had been divergent over the past five years now they
fig #5
An extract from this video/report can be seen in fig #5. This depicts the S&P 500s recovery
from the financial-crisis low of 666.79 unfolding as primary wave 5. Labelled in intermediate
degree, (1)-(2)-(3)-(4)-(5), wave (3) remains in upward progress but expected to complete
late 2017/early 2018. Subdividing wave (3) into minor degree, i-ii-iii-iv-v, wave v. five projects
upside targets towards 2766.19+/- derived where this unfolds by a fib. 61.8% ratio of the net
gain in waves i-iii. Minor wave iii.s high of May 15 at 2134.72 ended price-expansion, the term
attributed to the end of a 3rd-of-3rd wave. We have discovered a regular recurrence where this
level marks the fib. 61.8% golden-section phi cut of the entire, developing impulse pattern,
i.e. primary wave 5. By extending minor wave iii. three of intermediate (3) by a fib. 61.8% ratio,
an ultimate upside target is obtained for wave (5) towards 4397.45+/-. The video/report pulls
together two additional time-series, the primary degree five wave impulse pattern developing
within cycle wave 5 (Oct.74 low) and the cycle degree impulse unfolding from the June 32 low
these illustrate a fib-price-ratio convergence matrix aligning to the intermediate degree upside
targets.
There is always a danger of analysing long-term trends without the effectiveness of fib-price-
ratio matrices and accompanying cycles also, there are distinct advantages in analysing
positively correlated markets across differing regions because this eliminates pre-conception
interdependency is key to successful forecasting and investing/trading. The video continues with
the Dow Jones (DJIA), Russell 2000, Nasdaq 100 and then some sectors before moving on to
Europe, Asia and Emerging Markets which have seen some of the largest gains in 2016.
Commodity Inflation!
It was several weeks after publication (2016 annual Forecasts) that Copper, Crude Oil and Gold
formed important lows, between December 15-January 16. A grand RE-SYNCHRONISATION
Precious Metals unfolded higher throughout 2016 into five wave impulse patterns ensuring new,
sustainable uptrends have begun. Deep counter-trend retracements have since approached
downside targets for Gold and Silver and these are expected to finalise in early 2017 prior
to resuming medium-term uptrends. Next upside targets for Gold are towards minimum
$1527.00+/- and Silver towards minimum $27.70+/-. Silver is expected to outperform Gold.
Crude Oil has outperformed other commodities during the last year but it now reaching an
intermediate-term tipping point. How it responds to nearby resistance at $57.00+/- will
determine the price direction and amplitude for the next several months. Should prices be
unable to surmount $57.00+/-, then it would signal a decline to $36.00+/- into Q1/Q217 prior
to resuming its uptrend. A break above would confirm the next sequence of the uptrend engaged
with upside targets towards $78.90+/-.
An extract from this video/report can be seen in fig #79 GoldCorp Inc.
fig #79
WWW.TRADERSWORLD.COM March/April/May 2017 26
Part III, Currencies & Interest Rates - 52 charts Video 1hr 50 mins.
Elliott Wave analysis of this 8-year dollar upswing is confirming the advance as ending a
counter-trend pattern. Furthermore, the typical Fibonacci-Price-Ratio measurements for this
corrective pattern fit perfectly into the current price levels. Together, these three aspects offer a
compelling case for the US$ dollars reversal anytime into Q117.
Over the last few years, upside targets to complete the dollars counter-trend advance havent
changed at all, and looking that far ahead, we often wondered what catalyst or trigger would
eventually turn the tide. Now we know! U.S. President D. Trump is manoeuvring to reverse the
previous administrations strong dollar policy.
This came as quite a surprise for mainstream investment bank economists. Their 2017 annual
forecasts had already opined a strong US$ dollar outlook for most of the year and even beyond
on the premise that inflation was returning and this would propel U.S. interest rates higher. Even
Federal Reserve Chairwoman Janet Yellen is hinting about incremental Fed Funds increases this
year, so why not (linearly) extrapolate a stronger U.S. dollar?
fig. #108
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By Danielle Prandelli
We are presenting an interview with Daniele Prandelli who has done some unbelievable
forecasts over the last years, having been able to make precise projections one year in advance
like Gann did of the coming market action for the following year. This is the goal of most
Gann students, and these results should prove to everyone that this is completely possible in
todays markets when you have the proper tools. The following forecasts have been published
each year, in advance and are fully verifiable.
A Yes and no! I would say yes because I do use studies that I have learnt from Gann,
and I can say that 90% of my personal tools are from him, or at least what I have understood
about him from reading his books and charts. But I never suggest to trade looking only at
Gann studies, because people get too focused on timing and the forecast, missing the point
of creating a strategy.
Lets take a look at the actual situation in the stock market. Gann helps you to understand
how important the immediate market situation is at the moment. I would say super important!
Why? People miss seeing a very strong geometry in the current market setup. Timing is also
suggesting that January is an important time. The following chart will help make everything
clear:
The above Russell 2000 chart shows a very important price level at 1393, because 1393 is
8/5 the 2007 and 2011 High, and 4/1 of the 2002 and 2009 Low.
14,198 x 2 = 20,000
But this is not trading, this is analysis! Gann never taught how to precisely trade this kind
of information, so those who study Gann may think that it is not that important! But it is!!!
What do we do if we see a breakout over the resistance? What if the market turns back? When
do we open the position exactly? Where do we close the position?
Q But aside from these kinds of price setups, it seems that you have also been very
accurate over the last few years with your forecast models, right? Below, we are looking at
your Soybean forecasts from the last 3 years, each of which you say was created and published
a full year in advance! They are quite impressive, as good as those that Gann himself did in his
Lets take the example of January 2016, when the stock market crashed. That year, I had
a forecast telling me to expect to see higher levels in 2016, and that January could be a good
buying opportunity. When the year began, we started planning to buy at some level when we
saw the S&P500 pushing lower, but we did not expect to see such a strong crash! Now, do you
think we remained LONG from 2060, even during the crash?
Of course not! The market made a bottom at 1810, and when trading futures, this is a
loss that it is not possible to withstand! So, to protect the position, we used stops which
closed the position in a small loss when the market when more strongly than expected to
the downside. My forecast was right in the end, because January was actually an excellent
buying opportunity, and we then saw new all-time highs in 2016. But could you believe that
the S&P500 was heading down so fast to 1810? No, we did not expect that, even though we
had a very reliable forecast. So, this teaches us that we absolutely need to create a logical
strategy to allow us to trade according to the forecast, while still protecting us at every point
just in case we may be wrong.
In February 2016, we took advantage of our forecast, believing that it was a very strong
buying opportunity, but we still had a protective level where we would close the position if the
market went beneath it. We sent an update to our subscribers exactly the day of the February
2016 Low, which you can read here:
http://www.iaminwallstreet.com/Special_update-2016-02-11-I_Am_in_Wall_Street_Ltd.pdf
Q So you are an active trader too, right, not just someone who writes newsletters?
A Yes, absolutely, trading is my primary activity! I believe any analyst that doesnt trade
the market cannot really understand trading, so I cannot create strategies without trading
them myself, because I would not be able to understand my feelings following the strategy,
and this is important!
If I say to buy because I think the market will go up, and I say to not use stops, it means
Im telling you to buy with the total risk to lose all of your money! Would you trade that crazy
strategy? I would not, but it is easy to just say buy when you do not use your own money,
without any logic or reasoning of HOW to buy. Do you understand? When trade with real
money, you FEEL what you are risking, and if it is too much, then there is probably something
Q It seems that you do not create forecast models for every market, may I ask you why?
A The reason is simple, I study my forecast models and I test them for some time, and if I
see it really works, I use it, otherwise I do not. My most reliable forecasts are for the S&P500,
Corn, and Soybeans. Below, you can see my forecast of Corn for 2016 and my 2016 S&P500
Forecast.
Then we also provide a forecast model for Live Cattle. There are other markets where I
have not been able to find the right Key to produce an accurate enough forecast to depend
upon for trading, like Gold or Silver. Im pretty honest, and I know what I know, and I know
what I do not know. Being aware of this helps you avoid being caught in a trap through
illusions when you trade.
A Because of my experience and what I see in many traders when I speak with them, I
often hear someone saying: the market did a Low at X points, so it must go up, and Im going
to buy. Someone saying that has the illusion that he knows that the market cannot go down
anymore, but this is just not reality! Having an opinion is right, but believing that the market
cannot do something, this is an illusion!
I always say that my forecast models are based on statistical studies. This means they will
work most of the time, but not every time. What we do once we have a forecast, is that we
create a strategy where we can control the losses if we are wrong, and make larger profits
when we are right. Following this approach with discipline is a good way to always have a
profit at the end of the year.
Q Can you tell us more about the tools and studies you use in your trading approach?
A As I said, I use techniques based upon Gann studies, but I do not use the Square of 9,
or Hexagon. To be honest with you, I have never learnt how to use them properly with success,
so I had to give up with them for now. I use cycles, planetary cycles, planetary longitude lines,
and geometry. Then I use something very important: common sense! Sometimes we can
easily see where support and resistance are by simply looking at a chart for a few seconds.
Commodities often work in precise horizontal ranges, and we do not need to study for years
to be able to see them.
A Definitely the Soybean market! I just love it! It has great volatility and my personal
work is very responsive with this market. I love the grains generally. Then I like T-Bonds, a
market that I started trading in the last year, and obviously, the S&P500. In the same time,
Gold is a Market I really hate, I find it very tricky to trade. It is probably just me not being so
good in trading that particular market, I just dont relate to it. I do not agree when people say
that if you can make money with one market, you can make money with every market. There
will always be some that you synch with better than others, and you need to find the market
that you connect with.
A I can make a forecast, but remember that trading is not when we follow a forecast,
trading is when we plan a strategy! A wrong forecast is not a reason to lose money! About the
S&P500, I can say that from July/August a down push can lead the Market to lower levels till
October. About Grains, pay attention in the summer, a severe and unexpected drop can come
from June.
Daniele Prandelli has definitely found something that explains the natural cycle of the
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THE SQUARE
QUANTATIVE ANALYSIS OF
FINANCIAL PRICE STRUCTURE
BY CATALIN N. PLAPCIANU
An Unveiling of Gann & Baumrings Most Advanced Multi-Dimensional Technology!
The Gold price rallied nearly 4.8% over the same event cycle.
Traditional price patterns as well as savvy protection levels can lead to tremendous gains. My
Momentum Reversal Method assists in identifying many of these opportunities and is based on
my understanding that bigger price moves usually happen over short periods of time and that
price patterns often precede larger price moves. Strategic investors need to understand these
types of dramatic market events as they can often provide exceptional returns if we pay
attention.
Selecting your trades is something that is a skill as well as a learned talent. I try to stick to
simple rules as applied to my stock picks when applying my Momentum Reversal Method. I
tend to look for smaller cap stocks that exhibit a specific type of price setup and trending
capacity. I, then, look for the opportunity for trend expansion as well as price breakout. This
is one key component to my success, knowing the setups is one thing, being able to spot the
opportunity is something completely different.
Once you are able to understand that stocks typically coil before a breakout move and that
certain types of price setups occur often that can alert you to these potentially explosive moves,
it simply becomes a matter of being able to identify stocks in strong sectors and being able to
quantify the potential for success within each trade.
The reason I'm suggesting global market event cycles as an impetus for opportunities is because
of the numerous trade setups that occurred right after the US election. The election event cycle
prompted a number of excellent examples of my Momentum Reversal Method trading strategy
at work. Let's take a quick look as some of them.
Every one of these chart examples shows variants of the price patterns and coiling of price
that I look for when deploying my Momentum Reversal Method strategy. They all show fantastic
gains. Keep reading to learn some of the simple nuances required to execute this type of
strategy.
Liquidity: I would discount Pacific Continental Corp as a valid trigger compared to the others
simply because of liquidity issues. I don't want to risk capital on a thinly traded symbol where
I may experience trouble executing both entry and exit trades. I may still the trade valid and
attempt to trade a smaller portion of my equity, but I attempt to rank these types of triggers
based on my confidence in liquidity.
Familiarity: Often, I find the same symbols appear in my queries each week or month. I
relate this to the fact that the Momentum Reversal Method is universal in its ability to find
opportunities and these same stock symbols present multiple entry opportunities. Therefore,
you will likely find the same types of results as you learn to deploy a similar strategy.
Risk Protection: Liquidity plays an important role in determining my risk levels and to what
degree I'm willing to extend unwanted risk. Additionally, the setup of the Momentum Reversal
Method defines clear risk parameters that I follow. If you study my trading history, you may be
able to reverse engineer some of my methods, but I generally stick to the same strategy and let
it do what it does best.
Take Profits before the Market Takes it away from you: One key component of my
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W.D.Gann had a number of master charts and are explain so the average person could
understand in a mathematical way. But when you start apply the Astronomy/Astrology in the
way Gann did you come up with some interesting number. Everything of his works you have
to look for what not is written; this is when you start to fine things. Every book on astronomy/
Astrology you can buy will never decode what Gann discovered; again you are looking for whats
not written. Below is Gann explanation of the Hexagon chart, but I will add my own twist, my
own studies not just repeating and recycle Gann material. Because there are 270 of Gann
charts missing you wouldnt know if he looks at the way I do or not. The hexagonal chart is the
interstices of two triangles making up 60 degrees. 60 x 6 = 360. The six sides x six is 36 which
is the magic square of 6 or the number for the Sun.
Since everything moves in a circle and nothing moves in straight lines, this chart is to show
you how the angles influence stocks or commodities at very low and very high levels. It will
also show why stocks or commodities move faster the higher they get. This is because they
have moved out to where the distance between the angles of 45 are so far apart that there is
nothing to stop them. Here, their moves are rapidly up and down.
We begin with a circle of 1 in the centre, and while this only contains 1, the circle is 360 just
the same. We then place a circle of circles around this circle, and six circles complete the
second circle, making a gain of 6 over the first one, end the second circle at 7, making 7 on this
angle a very important month, year, and week. The seventh day is also sacred and a day of
rest. The third circle is completed at 19. The fourth circle around is completed at 37, a gain of
18 over the previous circle. The sixth circle is completed at 91, a gain of 36 over the last circle.
Note that from the first the gain is 6 each time we go around. In other words, when we have
travelled six times around we have gained 36. Note that this completes the first hexagon and
this equals 127 months, or until they reach a square of the hexagon, the important last angle of
45.
The eighth circle around is completed at 169, a gain of 42 over the first. This is a very
important angle and an important time factor for more reasons than one. It is 14 years and one
month, or double our cycle of 7 years. Important tops and bottoms accumulate at this angle, as
you will see by going over your charts.
The ninth circle is completed at 217, a gain of 48 over the previous circle. The tenth circle is
completed at 271, a gain of 54. Note that 271 is the 9th circle from the first. It is also the third
90 angle of 270, of a circle, and a very strong point. This is all confirmed by the Master
Twelve Chart, the four seasons, the Square of Nine Chart, and the Hexagon Chart. This
also shows that mathematical proof is always exact no matter how many ways or from what
directions you figure it.
We have an angle of 66, one of 67, and one of 68, confirming this point to be doubly strong
for tops, bottoms, and space movements up or down.
Again with the centre of the Hexagon Chart at 1, notice that 7, 9, 37, 61, 91, 127, 169, 217,
271, 331, and 397 are all on this direct angle and are important points in time measurement.
Beginning with 1 and following the other angle, note that 2, 9, 22, 41, 66, 97, 134, 177, 226,
281, and 342 are all on the same angle of 90, or an angle of 60 and 240, as measured by the
Hexagon Chart.
Go over this chart and the important angles each way and you will see why resistance is met
either on days, weeks, months, or years, and why stocks or commodities stop and make tops
and bottoms at these strong important points according to time and price.
When any commodity or stock has passed out above 120 or especially above 127, or 127
points, and gone out of the square of the first Hexagon, its fluctuations will be more rapid and it
will move faster up and down. Notice near the centre that in travelling from 6 to 7 it strikes the
angle of 180 or 90, but when the commodity or stock gets out to 162, it can travel up to 169
before striking another strong angle. That is why fast moves occur up and down as stocks or
commodities get higher and as they move from a centre in time.
Everything seeks the centre of gravity and important tops and bottoms are diagrammed
according to centres and measurements of time from a centre, base, or beginning point, either
top or bottom. The angles charted going straight up and across may diagram just the same
going across as the stock or commodity travels over for days, weeks, months, or years. Thus, a
stock or commodity going up to 22 days, 22 weeks, or 22 months would strike an angle of
22. Striking these angles when the price is higher and moving up, the greater the resistance
it will meet. Reverse the rule going down.
Market movements are made just the same as any other thing that is constructed. It is just
the same as constructing a building. First, the foundation has to be laid and then the four sides
have to be completed, and last, but not least, the top has to be put on. The cube or hexagon
proves this law because of time and space in the market. When a building is put up it is built
according to square or hexagon. It has four walls or four sides, a bottom and top, making it a
cube.
In working out the 20-year cycle in the market, the first 60, or 5 years from the beginning,
diagrams the bottom of the cube. The second 60, running to 120, completes the first angle or
the first side and runs out the 10-year cycle. The third 60, or the second side, ends 15 years
or 180. It is very important because we have the building half-completed and must meet
the strongest resistance at this point. The fourth 60, or the end of 20 years or 240 months,
completes 25 years. This is a repetition of the first 5 years, but it completes the fourth side of
our building and is a very important angle. The sixth 60, or 360, completes the circle and
ends 30 years as measured by our time factor, which runs 1 per month on and angle of 45 to
What Gann didnt say about Hexagonal chart, but clearly knew.
The things he writes on about the Hexagonal chart is the first level. Remember he said, I will
never sell my secrets at any price, they arent for sale. The 20-year cycle he uses on the stock
market a lot. First he started the 20-year overlay of stock market data from:
1821 to 1840
1841 to 1860
1861 to 1880
1881 to 1900
1901 to 1920
1921 to 1940
1941 to 1960
1961 to 1980
1981 to 2000
2001 to 2020
He wanted to know if the current year was following any of the previous 20-year cycles. Like
when he did his 1936 forecast he believed it was following the 40-year cycle of 1896. 40 x 9 =
360. If you are looking to see whats to happen in 2017 with the 20-year cycle you would go
back to 1997,1977,1957,1937,1917 and 1897 etc.
The 6th Year of the decade is a Bull Year; this was the case in 1936 and in 2016. The 7th Year of
the decade is a Bear Year, 7 is a bear number.
So you would go back and research these years, in 1897 was a sideways year, 1917 made a low
on 2nd February at 87, high at 99 on 9th June and low at 66 on 19th December. Then 1937 made
a high at 195.5 on 10th March, low at 163 on 17th June, high at 190.5 on 14th August and low at
112.5 on 23rd November, etc.
After you have done that you would go back and look at the 10 year cycles in between: 2007,
1987,1967,1947,1927,1907.
Then look at the 7th year of the decade and this is what hes says about that. Hes say its a Bear.
Also look at his master square of 20 chart, which I did an article on previously in traders world
magazine.
Now most who have looked at astronomy/astrology know the 20-year cycle is close to the
Jupiter/Saturn conjunction and the 10-year is the opposition. There for the 5 year cycle is the
square, which is the 60 degrees in Ganns Hexagonal chart above. Looking at Ganns 1936
forecast there was a Jupiter square Saturn on 8th July 1896 and in this Mundane chart you will
2016 was also 1440 months up (read my last article on square of 144) and is 144 degrees on
the Hexagonal chart.
Going back to 1936, minus 5 years you get 1931, there was a Jupiter opposite Saturn 11th
January 1931 and 11th June 1931; this is the natural 10-year cycle. The bull market continued
from the 30th April 1936 to 10th March 1937 before any good correction. If you look at that date
you will see Jupiter conjunct very close to the sun from the 11th January 1931. Look at all the
eclipses as well going back those 5 years period. There was a total lunar eclipse on 2nd April
1931, plus 5 years gave April 1936, which was a top in the market. On the 2nd April 1931 to 6th
April 1936 you had transiting mars opposite natal mars, transiting mars conjunct natal mercury
and transiting mercury conjunct natal Uranus. There was five eclipse in 1931, 6 in 1926, 4 in
1921, 5 in 1916, 4 in 1911, 5 in 1906 (the year Robert Gordon was born in TTTTA), 4 in 1901
and 4 in 1896.You must go back all these 60 degrees in the Hexagonal chart, look at eclipses;
the numerology counts as well as the astrology. What I mean by numerology like the square in
1896 was on the 8th July, the low in the stock market in the depression was 8th July 1932 which
36 years or of the square of Ganns 144. Theres thing here I wont write about as people will
just copy them, maybe one day I will write a coded book like Gann did in TTTTA. Its way more
complex than any article I have written. The only way to keep a secret is not to tell anyone,
thats what Gann did.
One of Gann secrets was how did he use the averages of planets in the same way Tesla used the
solar system to get free energy? see below Tesla 144 chart. Notice how the 60 and 120 line up
with 144.
Gann also said Remember that you have sign an agreement not to reveal these rules and
instructions to anyone, and by keeping these secret discoveries confidential for your own use,
Also Edward Leedskalnin who built Coral Castle, anti-gravity system was on the same
WWW.TRADERSWORLD.COM March/April/May 2017 54
wavelength. Its very interesting that Tesla live
in New York and Leedskainin lived in Miami, TradersWorld Magazine
both places where Gann lived, maybe they
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that no one has work out what either of these Get everything we have for only $19.95 per year
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energy, wait how many Gann experts do we
have on the planet? 100s. An expert is a dip
under pressure. Notice the date 12/12/12 and
multiply by another 12 you have Ganns great
time cycle 20,736 days. Similar to Ganns
wheel of 24 as well.
In one of the most shocking U.S. elections in modern political history, Donald Trump defeated
Hillary Clinton. His success surprised many who invest and trade the stock market. Those who
believed a Trump win would be a disaster to the United States economy sold into the futures
market heavily, but when the stock market opened, the Trump rally started with the Dow rising
strongly, targeting the 20,000 level.
President elect Donald Trump has shown the world that he is a businessman first, and a
politician second. The men he has appointed to his cabinet, to help him make American great
again, are businessmen, not politicians, a fact that is romancing investors with many buying
into the stock market. Since the election of Donald Trump in November, the U.S. stock market
has been rising strongly with major averages moving to new all-time highs. However, there is
a but, and that but is the economic cycle. Will the impact Donald Trump generates, reverse
the economic cycle that has forecast the movement of the US economy over the past years?
Has fundamentalism taken over from technical analysis? Has President elect Donald Trumps
economic strategy destroyed the periodicity of cycles that have persisted through centuries of
changing conditions?
To answer these questions, I find that I must re-examine the Kondratiev wave and the
Presidential cycle.
The chart in Figure 1 is a chart of the Kondratiev wave with the S&P500 index superimposed.
The chart shows how the K-Wave called for a fall in the Index in 1999. The Index only started
falling in March 2000, bottoming in October 2002, 3 years before the K-wave called for a
recovery in 2005. In May 2007, the index started falling as called for by the K-Wave, bottoming
in March 2009, three years before the bottom called for by the K-Wave. At present, the K-Wave
called for a fall in 2016 and the index did start correcting in July 2015 bottoming end of January
2016. Today the index is rising with the hype of a Trump economy.
The year 2019 as shown on the chart is highlighted by the K-Wave as a year in which panics
have occurred and will occur again. Of course the question is will the market continue to
strengthen and grow under President Donald Trump until sometime before or after January
2019? To answer this question, I look at the chart in Figure 2, a chart of the S&P500 index with
an Elliott Wave count.
Ralph Nelson Elliott (July 28, 1871 January 15. 1948) was an American accountant whose
study of the stock market led him to develop the Elliott Wave which identifies trends in the
financial markets. He postulated that the price movement of the Dow Jones Industrial Average
formed discernable patterns which were repetitive in form, but not necessarily repetitive in time.
His rules have stood the test of time and market action has shown that his theory is workable.
In a BULL market the basic objective of his rule is to correctly determine a three wave up
followed by two waves down.
The chart in Figure 3 is the basic Elliott Wave pattern. Waves 1, 3 and 5 are known as impulse
wave, and waves 2 and 4 are corrective waves. The ABC correction shown on the chart should
bottom within the price zone of wave 4. Of course each wave can have a smaller Elliott Wave
pattern within the larger wave. Waves of any degree in any series can always be subdivided and
re-subdivided into waves of lesser degree or conversely, expanded into waves of higher degree.
Waves 1 to Wave 5 represents a BULL market, and waves A to C a BEAR market. To learn more
about Elliott Wave theory I would suggest that a reader look at the book, Elliott Wave Principle
by Frost and Prechter.
Applying the Elliott Wave principle to the chart in Figure 2, one can see that the Index is
presently in a WAVE 5, and is due to retrace in an ABC correction sometime, in the near future.
The chart is suggesting that the correction will occur during the Presidency of Donald Trump,
however, the Wave 5 could extend beyond the four year Presidential cycle. With unemotional
computers of today trading the market more and more, a Wave 5 which, according to Elliott
We all know that there are humans that are emotionally affected by a full moon. A full moon
occurs when the Moon is completely illuminated by the Sun as seen from the earth. This occurs
when the Earth is located directly between the Sun and the Moon.
Both the Sun and the Moon exert gravity on the Earth, and because the Moon is closer to the
Earth than the sun, its gravitational attraction could be equal to that of the Sun. When a full
Moon therefore occurs, the gravitational attraction of the Sun opposed by the gravity of the
Moon is therefore lessened, which means that the gravitational attraction on a human body is
reduced, having an affect on human emotions.
The planets circling the Sun also exert a gravitational attraction on the Earth, and when the
planets Sun and Moon are all on the same side of the Earth, gravitational attraction is much
stronger. This occurred in the year 2000 as shown in Figure 4 below.
Looking at Figure 5 a copy of an astronomical chart with the Earth at the center, a picture taken
on the 23rd December 2016, one can see how the planets are starting to collect on one side of
the earth. The combined gravity exerted will start affecting human emotion as the planets slowly
repeat the pattern that occurred in the year 2000, as shown in the chart of Figure 4. When this
happens, the market could start correcting strongly because of a change in human emotion
The world of today is more and more becoming a dangerous place to live in. With terrorists
infiltrating Europe and North America, hiding among the immigrants that are escaping the
tragedy of war in the Middle East; terrorists that are murdering innocent civilians as an
expression of their religious beliefs. With an American President elect that has stated the he will
not sit on his hands and allow this to happen; remarking quite bluntly that he knows more than
the Generals, who manage the army of the United States of America; a President that will see
that . there is no point for me to continue. You, the reader listen to the news as much as I do.
There is no doubt that the Trump administration will take a different approach to what is
happening in the world than the Obama administration. How this will affect the stock market is
open to speculation, but cycles, which I believe are created by the gravity of the Sun, Moon and
Planets, will without any doubt decide the future.
And, what is that future? What are the cyclical charts forecasting? The Kondratiev cycle is
suggesting negativity until the year 2023 give or take two years on either side. The Elliott Wave
is suggesting that the S&P500 Index is in a WAVE 5 and should start correcting down in a WAVE
ABC correction, and finally, the formation of the planets around the Earth are suggesting that
Jacob Singer.
Aka Koos van der Merwe
jaxxinn@gmail.com
Author of BRAKENSTROOM, THE VASE
WITH THE MANY COLOURED MARBLES, and
THE SENSIBLE APPROACH TO FINANCIAL
FREEDOM.
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Stocks, Options, Tr a d i n g M e t h o d s a n d C o n c e p t s ;
Futures, FOREX traditionally reserved for big
SOFTWARE banks and hedge funds, now
Algorithms and Vector Graphics
Display Opportunities: Filtering
available for you:
Signal from Noise. ` Spot and follow institutional money moves.
- Risk Management: Decide by an odds appraisal the position size for every trade setup.
- Methods of hedging and leveraging to produce a security blanket or income accelerator at trade entry.
- A trade finder: Telling you assets at a pre-phase- or continuation phase of a price move.
- Multiple trading strategies to participate in long-term and short-term opportunities by combining stocks
and options, futures and options for example.
If you trade or invest how youve always done, you will get what youve always gotten.
Trading is a professional business with very low barriers of entry. Institutions dominate more
than 85% of the financial markets: Prop Traders, Fund Managers, Brokers, Banks, Insurance
Companies. They take the other side of your trade and they are in the business to make money.
There is no beginners league for trading and your money can go quick, when you do not
prepare well for the markets. Actually, many private investors prepare very little and expect
exceptional results:
Do you expect to be successful by reading a book about successful traders?
Trading strategies is a productivity tool. What return do you expect form a low budget
investment?
Do you think you can win trading against professionals without proper preparation?
Be honest to yourself: Where do you stand today and where do you see yourself in one and
three years. Then map out what is needed for you to get you there.
This is unfortunately where most trades spend the least time, they rather jump immediately in
following certain chart patterns or trade recommendations and bangput their money to market.
Can this work?
Yes; however, if you dont know what you do, how can you give yourself a repetitive pattern to
follow?
If you act like this, success might be random and this is exactly where it is so tempting to repeat
the same and over, even so it only randomly worked. Typical human nature lets us repeat this
pattern until it hurts or the account is empty, blaming the market, the system, or others.
Take 20-trades and analyze:
How many winners over losers did you have, with the aim to have at least 13-winners?
Why 13-winners? As a retail trader, to make money, you best focus on being able to predict 65%
of your trades right. If you fall below this level of predictability, your chance for making money
will be thin. We put together the details in a separate documentation that you can read here
click.
Aside from a yes or no, please analyze if you can find a difference and pattern that helps you to
identify successful compared to less successful trade situations.
Let me give you an example: We had a trading student, who understood and liked to trade stock
price breakouts of the high and was producing a tight return; however, he had no system that
allowed him to find those chart setups in a structured way and manner; in addition, he had the
tendency to run his winners short and let the losers cut in deeper.
We gave him a system and the knowledge to trade in a pre-phase of the money move, limited
his risk and only traded when specific conditions were spelled out by the system indicators.
Further, we showed him how to spot and follow through at bottom reversals, behave on mid-
range- or top weakness: All in all, we made him a complete trader, who now has a much higher
participation rate and produces continues income: a big change for his trading career.
The chart shows by clear cut signals, when to trade a bottom reversal and a breakout of the
high. With this system, you only trade when the pre-defined price threshold: Buy>$49.84 is
surpassed in the next candle. This way, you can work with buy-stop or sell-stop orders, allowing
you to pre-program your entries, with no need to be in front of your computer to execute your
orders.
The Citi-chart shows you four confirmed trading opportunities to go long in the stock or long
with stock-options. The opposite pointing signals (red) were not confirmed and thus did not lead
to an accepted trading opportunity. Why were those signals not confirmed? Two reasons:
In addition, when an NLT Light Tower down is followed by an NLT Light Tower up, a change in
command chart setup is given; speaking in baseball language, we are no more hitting to get to the next base, we
are hitting to reach the fences and increase our position size, ready for a home run trade.
Check the following charts that were all traded by a NeverLossTrading Top-Line user:
A similar situation as shown for Citi-Bank: A bottom reversal and a breakout of the high after a
slight price-retracement.
You now see the repetitive pattern: Bottom reversal and breakout of the high; but how to find
those signals and opportunities?
Our client runs a scanner that is installed with the NeverLossTrading program and thus, is able
to scan and find those opportunities on a weekly, daily, or sub-day-time-frame basis. In addition,
we provide daily NLT Alert services, highlighting assets with the desired setup on a daily basis.
The above chart displays for you the desired repetitive price-move-sequence; if you traded
mechanical and not considered that we are not trading the first reversal leg of a directional
move, the given signals lead to two winning and one losing trade and thus ranges above the
minimum attainment rate we are striving for.
Aside from realizing better and more frequent upside trading opportunities, the NLT user, who
trades from an IRA, is now in the position to trade on short opportunities with a simple option
strategy.
The upcoming MRK-Chart (chart-4), displays three trading opportunities, that all got confirmed
by the next candle ticking out the high/low of the trade initiation candle, with the consequence
of three directional trades:
Following our rules of taking profits after a specified candle count, or at a 2-SPU price
move; all three trades produced a positive outcome.
We try to simplify the charts as much as we can and surely there are details to learn and
we teach those in one-on-one sessions, focused on your specific wants and needs.
If you like what you see and you want a personal demonstration:
WWW.TRADERSWORLD.COM March/April/May 2017 68
Call: +1 866 455 4520 or contact@NeverLossTrading.com
Companies operate by a business plan to follow a structured way towards their pre-defined goal.
We want to encourage you to do the same:
Build a financial plan based on your average trade attainment and trade
participation rate:
- How many trades do you want to manage and can you manage in a week?
- What was your average winning percentage, win rate, and return rate?
- Multiply those factors and build a model that gives you an idea where you will land if you
continue doing the same and where you can land by making a change.
Have an action plan in place that tells you what to do where, when, and how:
Operate with Strategies for going Long and Short in any Account
Unfortunately, many traders have a preferred direction and only focus on long or short
opportunities. Thus, they are missing out by limiting themselves. Let us analyze the stock
market momentum with the help of our charts: May to October 2016 we had an underlying short
market and July to December, the stock market was pointing clearly up, continuously taking out
new highs. In such environment, long strategies and focusing on those were prone.
Chart-5: SPY, Weekly NLT Top-Line Chart, May through December 2016
You see, we went from a daily to a weekly chart to analyze the markets; knowing, what starts
in an NLT Light Tower is most probably ending in an NLT Light Tower (candle with a cyan dot);
where the duration period between Light-Tower to Light Tower is in average five, at maximum 10
bars.
Let us take a detailed look on the chart, highlighting those sequences and doing a candle count:
The first sequence: red NLT Light Tower with signal spelled out the price threshold Sell<$213.25.
The next candle ticked out the price threshold, calling for a longer-term short, which ended in
the red NLT Light Tower with the signal: Sell<208.38, which was not confirmed and replaced in
a Change-In-Command price move: one NLT Light Tower is replaced by an opposite facing NLT
Light Tower.
Chart-6: SPY, Weekly NLT Top-Line Chart, May through December 2016
You see the same sequence we pointed out on a daily chart repeats itself on a weekly chart and
does on sub-day time-frames. Our fractal-based algorithms find institutional activity on a pre-
stage of a price move on all major time-frames, tick-frames, and ranges, so you can read high
probability price moves right on your chart.
As a consequence, you had to have a short-strategy between May and October to participate
with the major price moves. Shorting stocks is tied to SEC regulations and with the following
requirements:
- Stock to borrow has to be available from your broker; if not, you cannot go short.
Knowing about those difficulties, we help our clients to operate with clearly distinct option
strategies that allow for accepting a limited risk; however striving for a great upside reward.
These strategies are shared and trained in our mentorships where you learn per trade setup:
- Which strike price to choose?
Let us jointly take a look at some short opportunities that were arising May to October 2016:
In essence: Get prepared to trade with the market direction to the up- and downside; further
prepare to trade on shorter time-frames to participate in short-term price move opportunities
when the market or asset you trade, shows a tendency of moving sideways.
When the market is moving slow or does not move at all, there will still be intra-day price moves
where institutions are testing a high or low breakout. The key is how to find those?
Many of the stocks traded at US-exchanges, already found new price points by being traded at
foreign exchanges prior to the opening of the stock markets at 9: 30 a.m. EST.
We developed a scanner that identifies those shares and then we trade their confirmed price
moves to the up- or downside by using NLT-indicators.
Imagine, you had such an Alert-Report; telling you prior to 9 a.m. EST where you can expect
directional price moves on a short term basis. However, you are not just trading any direction:
Your system-based indicators tell where to buy or sell.
The above chart displays two trading opportunities for a daily return:
In case you use day margin and a 1:4 leverage, $29,000 of cash would have bought you
1000-shares and produced an income that day of $920 (3.2% return on cash), while your
average risk was $430.
Aside from the 2-minute charts, we trade the opening price move of our selected stocks on a
10-minute time-frame:
Let us take an example of the 30-Year Bonds Futures in the most recent days: December 21/22
and you will see where clearly spelled out opportunities unfolded and were followed through.
At the signals we highlight for you, count at red and blue signals for a sequence of maximum
five candles or a 2-SPU price move (SPU is our internal defined expected price move distance
after institutional money flows in or out of an asset and is confirmed by the next candle ticking
out the spelled out price threshold of the signal). On orange signals, trade for 10-bars and then
exit.
Analyzing the trades, you see two favorable setups with a higher reward than risk; however, in
the last trade the risk was higher than the realized reward. Why was that a legit trade?
You did not know at entry that the price will only move two ticks/seconds; however, by the
algorithm and rule you follow, you exit at candle number-5 after the signal candle. Following this
rule gave you a smaller than expected return, but still a positive result.
Successful trading requires you to evaluate the odds of risking your money and accepting that
losses are part of trading. Most private investors feel that they can just read a book about the
habits of traders and then they can replicate what it takes to make a difference. Instead, we
found out that trading success is rather built by preparing the right mindset.
WWW.TRADERSWORLD.COM March/April/May 2017 76
We all know that we cannot learn car driving from a book and hopefully none of us believes that
anything can be learned by just reading one book: The oldest book of the world is around for
about 5,000 years and we still make the same mistakes.
For shortening the fairway to trading success, we want to share the following with you:
Use a High Probability System and follow your system, in particular at times when the going
gets tough; no system produces 100% positive results and thus, dealing with setbacks and
failure is part of trading.
It is easy to back test a system; just make sure it has clear cut rules for entry, exit, and stop.
Check how many trades out of 100 confirmed trade situations were winners and how many
losers.
We encourage people to use a system that produces high probability trade setups where you win
more than 65% of the timecheck for some recent examplesclick.
Thus, when you have such system, hold the course, even when things go wrong. Unfortunately,
this is where many give up and hunt for the next system; while considering that standard
indicators will not give you a higher predictability than 55% on average.
Be Disciplined: When your time for trading is there, you focus, you are ready and prepared
to execute on the opportunities that arrive, not letting other influences disturb you from doing
what you prepared for.
Working or trading from home is not for everybody. Do not let daily life disturb your trading.
Have your screen setups and everything in place that you can do what you want to do; focused
and undisturbed.
The success principles of trading can be compared to professional sports: Success comes from
Bring the odds on your favor; take trades in accordance to defined system entries.
Fill the bases: Scale in and out of positions to capitalize on home run possibilities.
Accept losses as part of trading, knowing the next trade will come from your system.
Concentrate on what you are doing without distraction.
Be Prepared: Every day that you want to trade, you are prepared with a clear cut analysis,
knowing which instruments to trade and how; you operate with a cheat sheet (electronic form
welcome) of what to do and the strategy to follow. NeverLossTrading offers multiple NLT Alerts
to highlight trading opportunities for you. In two of our systems, you even operate with market
scanners and watch list indicators, allowing you to do your own analysis on multiple time-
frames.
Let us give you one example for the newly developed NLT Strong Movers Alert. It is based on
NLT Top-Line signals and highlights specifically strong price turning points.
The report contains symbol by symbol, clear cut entry, exit, and stop rules.
We offer multiple trading systems.click, all taught one-on-one, with high dedication to your
best available times. If you like what you see, ask for a personal demonstration:
Trade Management: All trade mechanics are setup to execute your orders and in case you
need to adjust a trade, you know when and what to do. Trade adjustment has two dimensions:
adding to winners and repairing potential losing trades. You work with buy-stop and sell-stop
orders (bracket orders preferred), so you can pre-program your conditional orders in advance
that they execute automatically when your conditions are met. This way you never run behind
the happening and you realize the participation rate you desire.
Constant Improvement: You strive for constant improvement by journaling your trades to
analyze what you do well, which you will repeat and where you did not do well; which you will
stay away from if possible or improve. To not let you operate on your own, we add a mentorship
period after teaching you how to work with our systems, where you can send in your trades for
In Summary: Do not try to do it all on your own, get coached to turn yourself into the trader you
want to be.
Dedication: Treat trading as a business; regardless if you occasionally trade or you trade for a
living; follow a written business plan, which contains the elements of a financial plan: expected
returns, maximum risk per trade etc. and an action plan: what to do when and how: instruments
to trade, trade strategies to follow, times to be in or out of a trade (news announcement,
earnings).
The table above shows just one small instrument to decide for your position size; however,
our focus is having you to operate with a clearly distinct written business plan that gives you a
sound perspective of the maximum risk you take per trade, the expected returns per instrument
and trading strategies; how to put everything into action: a guide to follow, striving for trading
success as a day trader, swing trader, long-term investor or a combination of those.
After all those details shared, you have the chance to implement every step of the way on your
own or you get help for implementing all of this into your trading routine:
There are many traders, including me at one time, who used a combination trading methods,
trading indicators and trading styles in their day to day trading. Too many combinations
of methods, indicators and charts can become cumbersome, stressful and in many cases,
unprofitable, and certainly not efficient.
Of course, there are those traders who seem to do quite well with indicators and proprietary
methods that use indicators. But, I am just confused as to why I hear traders say that they
have purchased tons of methods over the years and have spent thousands of dollars on them,
and yet, they dont work. For many traders, as far as methods are concerned, if they dont
produce profit from the get go, then they are labeled as not working.
There was an article in one trading magazine a few years ago regarding traders and methods.
The author did a study and found that a trader will spend no more than 3 months on a method
or system and if not profitable, then move to another. In my opinion, this is because many
traders are unfamiliar with the market, they are not adept in determining the target and exit
areas, and as a result, the method becomes the scapegoat.
Trading is about the entries and the exits, that is it. If you come across a method that says for
every entry there is a set target of 2 points, etc., I would shy away from it. The entry areas
vary as do the exits. The market creates both, not the method. Every entry has a destination,
it is not arbitrary. But, this is where the problems begin. As a trader who may work all day, you
may not have the energy or time to learn the mechanics of the market. In reality, this is not
necessary at all.
WWW.TRADERSWORLD.COM March/April/May 2017 81
This is why I have created my auto trades. The ABL and the STALKER are auto trades that
locate the entries for you. The exits are part of our trade management which will be discussed in
a future article. Our EMINISCALP INTERVALS, although not a method, is a predictive study that
reveals potential entry and target areas throughout the day. Our ATA method, although not an
auto trade, also displays potential entry areas throughout the day. We simplify the process by
encouraging traders to view only one chart per market, as nothing else is needed. Our goal is to
make the trading process easier and less stressful, without spending countless hours learning
difficult methods and market structure. Our goal is simplicity, as there is no reason for overload.
I believe that if you are able to trade one market, you can apply these same principles to others.
It is a misconception to think that if you lose in one market, you will make it up in another.
For example, there are traders who have charts for the YM, NQ, and CL displayed at their trading
station. They will watch a YM chart and will take a trade only if the NQ moves to a certain point,
as they believe that this confirmation is needed.
If they take a trade and get stopped, then they may look at the CL chart thinking that they can
make up the loss, but only if the YM moves to a certain point and 3 or 4 indicators line up. This
is difficult and stressful. No need for all of this, as I believe that the markets are very similar in
their nature. They may not move in unison, but they move because of people.
In my opinion, the market does pretty much the same thing day after day. The price may be
different but the entries and targets are configured the same way.
People are creatures of habit. They usually get up at the same time each day, they have lunch
at the same time, coffee breaks at the same time, and so on and so on. So, what would make
them different when trading? If they take bad trades today and they dont change what they are
doing, they will take bad trades tomorrow.
Of course, if they are fortunate enough to trade successfully, they will do the same thing every
day, and that will be taking disciplined trades utilizing their market knowledge by taking specific
setups, as per their method, but only if they have targets.
Ahhh, the targets. Again, my opinion, I see only about five target areas each day. Those who
trade some of my EminiScalp methods should know these target areas.
You can have the best method on earth, but if you are unaware of where the targets are, you
will have problems.
Remember, the market sets the targets, not the method, as the methods purpose is to
determine the entry areas. Below I have included a CL chart (FIG. A) showing EminiScalp
Stalker entries.
FIG. C
Lets look at one more chart. The chart below, FIG. D, shows our EminiScalp ATA method.
FIG. C
The EminiScalp ATA is a manual entry method where dots appear at trade areas. A trader
must determine if there is room for profit and then manually enter the market if the trader
feels that profit is a possibility. This CL chart illustrates our ATA method where dots appear at
trade areas. As previously mentioned, the trader must be able to determine target areas before
entering. This is where our EminiScalp Intervals can be of help.
By the way, all the charts shown were from January 27, 2016.
A trader should be thinking about only two things when trading, the targets and the entries.
This is what trading is all about, nothing else matters. But, attempting to figure out where
the entries and targets are is very difficult for many traders. Just the physical act of manually
entering a trade can be an emotional nightmare. Staying in the trade and hoping the price goes
your way just compounds the feeling. If the experience is not a positive one, then the next trade
is almost impossible to take, so you dont. This is the trade that is profitable and now you are
really beside yourself.
Back in the day I was an indicator trader. I used a combo of different indicators and charts. I
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In mid June 2016 I wrote an article for the July/Aug./Sept 2016 TradersWorld Issue #63 about
the big picture of the EUR/USD. In this article, we are going to follow up on the predictions in
the July/Aug./Sept issue and talk about the position of the EUR/USD at the time of the writing
of this article. The EUR/USD has been in a long term Bear trend from at least the May 2014 high
(see Chart 3). Is that Bear trend over or is it about to resume?
In this article, we will discuss the probable answer to this question and my reasoning and
analysis behind it. We are going to look at pattern and momentum/oscillator position to
determine the trend direction. While the bottom oscillator used in these charts is a propriety
oscillator to the Dynamic Trader software, any oscillator can be used in which the bearish and
bullish reversals of the oscillator (or highs and lows of the oscillator) correlate relatively well
with the swing highs and lows of the markets. The top oscillator is a Slow Stochastic. This article
With a probable overload of information just given, I will simply state the probable direction of
the EUR/USD over the next several months: DOWN, BEAR! With the monthly oscillator Bear, the
next weekly oscillator Bear Reversal will very likely be followed by the continuation of the Bear
trend off the May high for several trading months and if the corrective highs are complete, the
Dec. 2015 low, if not the March 2015 low should be taken out
Charts 1 and 2 are EUR/USD Weekly charts (one with high/low/open/close data and one with
closing data) that were in Issue #63. They both show current data when the Issue #63 article
was written and show the May 2016 high which we thought was the completion of the corrective
rally off the March 2015 low.
Our outlook was confirmed mid-December 2016. Chart 3 is a weekly EUR/USD chart with
current data at the time of this writing (Jan. 31, 2017) and as you can see during the week
ending Dec. 16 the March 2015 low was taken out as predicted confirming the corrective high. A
Before continuing with current market position, lets review the characteristics of impulsive
waves and corrections. My analysis is loosely based on the Elliott Wave Theory. The reason
I use the word loosely is while I will put up wave counts if applicable, I concentrate more on
the characteristics of a trading range. An impulsive wave usually unfolds in a non-overlapping
fashion and usually unfolds in the same direction of the main trend. Corrections usually unfold in
an overlapping wave pattern and in the opposite direction of the main trend.
In Chart 3, take a look at the May 2014 March 2015 decline. It has a non-overlapping wave
pattern compared to the strong overlapping pattern off the March 2015 low. The May 2014
March 2015 decline has characteristics of an impulsive wave and the sideways to up confusing
pattern off the March 2015 low is characteristic of a correction. This pattern off the March 2015
low was the main reason we were confident the March 2015 low would eventually be taken out
back in Issue #63.
Let take another look at Chart 3, weekly data. The important factors here are the weekly
oscillators are Bear, or at the least both the fast and slow lines are in the Overbought Zone, the
top 25% of the oscillator range. This is a weekly momentum signal a multi-week high should be
near and any multi-week high in this market could be a corrective high.
Going back to Chart 4, daily data. The bottom red horizontal line is the 50% retracement of
the Nov. 9 Jan. 3 decline, a strong resistance level. However, the daily oscillators are Bull
signaling the daily trend should continue sideways to up for at least a couple of more trading
days. With the weekly oscillators in the Overbought Zone, the Jan. 31 high slightly below the
50% ret. resistance level, there is a good possibility the next daily oscillator Bear Reversal (when
the fast line crosses below the slow line) will not only coincide with a multi-day high, but very
While the EUR/USD has had a nice rally off the Jan. low, it may be coming to an end around the
time of this writing. The outlook is a multi-week high is at or near completion and it could very
likely be followed by a decline lasting several weeks, if not months to below the January low,
potentially much further. At the time of you reading this article, at the very least a multi-week
high should be complete.
While there are many global ramifications caused by the long term trend directions of the EUR/
USD and its inverse Dollar, you may not have much interest in this if you are a shorter term
trader of the EUR/USD or Dollar. So, please keep in mind, during a multi- month Bear trend,
there should be multi-day to multi-week corrective rallies to the Bear trend which can also be
taken advantage of in the lower degree time frames. So regardless the direction or time frame
you choose to trade, always use objective trade entry strategies, always use stop-losses, trade
more than one unit and have exit strategies for each unit, use stop-loss adjustment strategies,
use a money management plan and most importantly, be disciplined enough to stick to these
trade strategies.
For education on practical trade strategies for every timeframe to take advantage of the
potential multi-month decline in the EUR/USD and for corrective rallies during this decline, check
out my NoBSFX Trading course (info below).
With the EUR/USD, as well as any other market, more information is revealed on whether the
longer term outlook is correct or not as the market unfolds. For continued analysis of the EUR/
USD as well as many more top Forex markets as they unfold and for further education on the
analysis used in this article, check out the NoBSFX Daily Reports and the NoBSFX Net Trend
Video Reports (info below).
Jaime Johnson is a full time trader and the author of the NoBSFX Trading Workshop, the NoBSFX
Daily Reports and the NoBSFX Net Trend Video Reports. For complete information, go to www.
nobsfx.com or send him an email at jaime@nobsfxtrading.com.
In these pages we have written often about the benefits of incorporating Hurst channels into
your trading routine, and the ease of doing this with the OddsTrader app.
For those new to the subject, lets start with a brief introduction of this multipurpose tool. As
the name implies, Hurst channels were introduced to the trading public by J.M. Hurst in his book
The Profit Magic of Stock Transaction Timing, first published in 1970. Hurst channels fall in the category
of forward looking technical analysis (TA) tools, and provide a powerful visual aid for defining a
trend and determining with high accuracy the future trading range and support/resistance levels
of any instrument in any time frame (Figure 1):
(Figure 1)
As can be seen from the chart above, Hurst channels add an element of clarity, by drawing
attention away from random price noise, and by clearly defining the trend without any lag.
However with OddsTrader, we didnt limit ourselves to just delivering a pretty chart; we went
many steps further by adding additional TA and money management tools, such as trading
signals and scanners, cycle tools, a risk/reward oscillator, pivot line, support/resistance levels,
etc. (Figure 2):
The top two lines show the direction of the current and projected trend. They are color coded
and show whether the current and projected trend is up (green), down (red) or sideways
(yellow). The top date is the last trading day for which data is available (in this case, January
27th), and the bottom date is the future date to which the projection extends. The span of the
future projection depends on the viewable time-frame (a day in intraday, a week in daily, a
month in weekly, etc.). In this example, both the current and the projected trends are bullish.
The next four lines show the upside and downside price targets for the time period being
considered (January 27th - February 10th). As long as the trend remains up, and price is above
the Pivot line, the expectation is that the bullish price targets will be met first. (Note: the QQQ
high came in at 127.6 on February 10th).
To summarize, the top two sections of Data tab provide information crucial for any trader
regarding price and time targets, which have proven, time and again, to be highly accurate (for
more information please read our article Fundamental v. Technical in TW #62). Such critical
insight makes it much easier to devise profitable trading strategies, and implement proper
risk management tools. This type of information is even more valuable and indispensable for
planning profitable option trading strategies.
But the amount of useful data doesnt stop here. The next section contains a popular risk/
reward metric (which in all fairness should be called reward to risk), which should always be
considered when assessing the merits of a trade. As a rule of thumb, trades should only be
initiated when they offer a 2 to 1 reward to risk ratio, i.e. when the upside potential is twice as
large as the downside risk.
The other three metrics included are cycle length, swing size, and volatility, which once again
are invaluable, especially in trading options.
For example, the average swing size, along with volatility and the long/short target number
should help you set realistic trading expectations for the time frame youre trading (intraday,
daily, weekly, etc.). In addition, a consideration of cycle length and the average swing size
should help you pick the appropriate time frame for your trading, depending on how much time
you can devote to trading, and what your investment goal is.
If you examine the numbers more closely, youll quickly realize that day-trading is a full-time
job (as there are on average 2 cycles per day), and that trading the longer time frames is more
appropriate for the busy or casual investor. Youll also realize that being patient and waiting for
the right time to place a trade are of paramount importance.
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The May 6 2010 mini Crash became known as the Flash Crash. I first discovered a 360 Trading
(TD, Ganns 360 degrees) cycle and posted it on my public blog, when the Flash Crash occurred,
which is why I named it the Flash Crash (FC) cycle of Lows.
The 360 TD Cycle is about 75 weeks, which has been in the markets ever since the April 14 2000
mini Crash Low and has since pinpointed 8 major crash Lows in the past 17 years, including
the 4/14/00 mini crash Low, 9/21/01 crash Low, 3/12/03L, 8/13/04L, 11/2108 crash Low,
5/6/10 Flash Crash, 10/04/11 Low and more recently the 1/20/16 crash Low.
Many of the 360 TD/75 week flash crash cycle Lows were major Panic Lows, like the 4/14/00
Low, 9/21/01 Panic Low and the 11/21/08 Banking crisis Low. A few, like the 3/12/03 Low and
8/13/04 Low were not Panic Lows, but still major Lows. At times the FC Cycle skips a beat, out
of the last 12, 8 (67%) were direct hits and 4 (33%) were misses.
The exact 360 Trading Day cycle has deviated by only 2 to 8TD:
The Biblical 7 year Cycle and the 360 TD Flash crash Cycle
http://timeandcycles.blogspot.com/2014/12/the-biblical-7-year-cycle-and-360-td.html
5 X 360 TD Flash Crash cycle is the 1800 TD cycle, which is the well known7 yearBiblical cycle,
Conclusion: The Flash Crash Cycle of Lows pinpointed 8 major crash Lows, in the past 17 years,
with an 18% average decline and has deviated maximum 2-8 TD from its exact 360 TD cycle. It has
a 67% chance of seeing a decline into it. The 1800 TD/ 7 Year Cycle is 5 X 360 TD cycle, which has
also has pinpointed major Highs and Lows in the past, including the recent 1/20/16 Low. The Flash
Crash Cycle Low is next due in June-July of 2017.
The various Raj Time and Cycles techniques pinpointed 5-6 major Highs and Lows in 2016, which
can be seen in the link and 2016 review below.
http://timeandcycles.blogspot.com/2016/12/raj-2016-year-in-review-2017-forecast.html
Many predictions were made in advance and posted on theRaj Time and Cycles public blog, in
2016, some were misses, but many of them were direct hits and major High and Lows, within
0-2 days. Below are some of the 2016 highlights:
4. The9/07/16major High was predicted by the47 TD alternating High and Low cycle, the NDX 66
week cycle and the 41-42 week cycle.
5. The11/04/16major Low was predicted by the47 TD alternating cycle and the 108 week cycle
Conclusion: The various Raj Time and Cycles techniques predicted 5-6 major Highs and Lows
in2016, within a day or so, including the 2/11/16 Low of the year. The 47 TD alternating Highs
and Low Cycle was prevalent in 2016.
Whats next:2017and beyondshould be historic years and are patiently waiting to unfold.
After extensive research, we are filtering out ahandful of themost important dates to
watch in 2017, that shows a high degree of confluence and major Time and Cycles clustering,
including the exact date of the Flash Crash Cycle Lows in 2017.Wont it be useful to know
these dates in advance? At least they have the potential to be tremendously profitable. 2017
should be a volatile year and fortunes can be made if the unique Timing and Cycles proves to be
correct.It is best to be well prepared and make 2017 a Happy and prosperous New year.
Trading is my passion. I am a full time trader in the futures markets. I have traded for over
20 years, and concentrate primarily on the currency (FOREX), crude oil, gold, and stock index
futures markets, such as the S & P E-mini. In a previous career, I was a practicing C.P.A. in the
state of Florida.
To develop a high-probability trading strategy, you need to understand price action in the
market. You must be able to identify specific price movement points with a high degree of
accuracy. This is why I developed computerized tools to assist me in achieving my trading goals.
This has greatly helped me to simplify my trading approach and relax. I now have specific entry
set-ups, specific exit set-ups and specific protective stop placement. The following paragraphs
go over the key points.
I have developed a full suite of charts and indicators known as the Trendicators and a market
analyzer known as the TradeFinder, as well as a number of automated trading systems and
automated buy, sell, and trade management systems. What follows are the fundamental
elements you need to be consistently profitable in the futures markets. I have also included
information below that is crucial to your overall success and in managing your risk.
1. Never take a Big Loss Risk Control is essential. Have a strict money management plan in
place before you ever enter a trade. For futures traders, risk is controlled not only by protective
stops, but as importantly the number of contracts you are trading.
2. Always remember that markets can be illogical. Markets can be contradictory in nature.
Dont rely on what you think is a logical conclusion with a market move. The charts are a
snapshot of what has happened over a given time. Dont put your own biases into the market.
Charts tell the story.
3. Remember that a Bull market is the result of maximum bearish negativity and the reverse is
also true! Its time to sell when everyone is screaming BUY!
4. Consider where you are placing your stops as to not use an obvious stop placement that will
5. Patience is a virtue Dont rush into a trade. Wait until you have a setup that forms
according to your tested trading plan before you enter the trade. Many traders dont even have a
specific plan. They approach the markets each day and without a consist roadmap and therefore
their results show it.
6. Treat trading like a business. Have a working business plan with your written trading rules.
Put together a proven, consistent trading strategy and follow it. You need to be committed to
your trading business. You need to be serious about doing whatever it takes to become your
best. Get the training, tools and equipment you need to conduct your trading business. Dont
trade on a day you are not feeling well . Get exercise and take some time off every day to relax.
Have the discipline to stay focused on your goal.
7. Have an attitude of success. Research revealed that a common attribute among all successful
traders was an attitude of success. Your mind can lead you anywhere you want to go!
Technical Trading
To put the probabilities in your favor, you must have an objective method or system for your
trading. I talk to traders almost every day who tell me they are not having consistent results.
If you think about it logically, you will have consistent results only when you start doing things
consistently.
Patterns repeat themselves over and over in all markets, so knowing these patterns can help to
put the probabilities in your favor. The more you can automate your trading signals, the more
objective you will be in your trade selection. You need to determine a set of technical conditions
for which you would take a long or short position in any market. You can use technical
indicators that are widely available, or you can develop your own indicators. Once you have
chosen the indicators you want to use, test them for validity in your trading. As in any testing,
the more data, the more reliable the results will be.
Below you will see 2 examples of a 6 (Brick Size) Navi_Renko chart of the S & P Futures E-mini
chart. These charts have buy and sell signals. The buy signals are the green arrows pointing up
and the sell signals are the magenta arrows pointing down, as noted on the chart.
You can test these signals to determine the probability of success and the average winning
trade vs. the average losing trade. Once you have that data you will be able to determine the
mathematical probability of making money.
Making money in the market is a matter of being on the right side of the market. Specific to
the futures markets, there are both up and down moves each day that provide many trading
opportunities. One approach to the markets is to look for evidence of major support and
resistance levels based on chart history. Many people ask me which time frame that I look at
The above chart and the system displayed by the chart is an example of a signal that will enable
you to objectively test a signal on any chart time frame or data series that you would like to
test. Other examples would be using indicators such as moving averages for buy and sell
signals One method of testing is to use a trade simulator such as the Market Replay function of
the NinjaTrader platform. You can download Market Replay data and test based on historical
data taking trades based on your entry and exit criteria. You will be able to test various stop
and profit target levels over a series of trades. I would suggest that you test during the time
periods in which you plan to trade. An example would be to test the S & P futures from 9:45
AM Eastern time through 11:00 AM Eastern time if that is the part of the day that you intend to
trade.
When we have a positive value from this calculation this means that you have a positive
expectancy based on your data. In other words, you have a system that has put the
probabilities in your favor of being profitable.
Probabilities favor the continuation of a trend, therefore you want to trade or invest in the
direction of the major trend. For purposes of intraday trading or even investing, a daily chart
is a very good place to start to analyze the major trend. To put the odds even further in your
favor, I recommend that you analyze whatever you want to trade to find out the consistency of
the trend. This can be done by measuring the trend in various time frames all the way from
short term trends such as a five minute chart all the way to daily or even weekly charts.
Success Checklist
The following is a basic checklist that you should apply to your trading:
Select a system to trade and test for positive expectancy
Do I have pending news that is likely to impact my trade?
Am I trading during the start and stop times of my trading plan?
Have I done my technical analysis to know where specific areas of support and resistance are
in the market I am trading?
Have I analyzed markets that correlate with the market I want to trade?
Do I currently have a signal from my selected system to go long or short?
Platform:
As you develop your trading skills, I suggest that you use a professional trading platform that
will allow you to trade directly from the charts and will allow you to trade in simulation mode
as well as to execute trades in your live futures account. As with any skill, the more that you
practice, the better you get at it. It is important to develop your skills regarding the proper use
of your trading platform while in simulation mode so as to minimize trading errors after you are
trading your actual trading account.
Trading in simulation mode will help you to develop your confidence and an overall methodology
that fits your personality.
Most traders will develop fear as they trade due to a history of losses. Like any fear, the way
to overcome it, is to continue to do what you fear the most. An advantage of having a trading
WWW.TRADERSWORLD.COM March/April/May 2017 106
platform that provides for simulation is that
you will be able to trade in simulation mode, TradersWorld Magazine
as in our example above to build a plan with
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a positive expectancy and thereby develop
greater confidence in your approach to Get everything we have for only $19.95 per year
trading. As you trade in simulation mode, Save 50% over our regular subscription of $39.95
develop a set of notes that will act as the
beginning of your trading plan. Trade in
simulation mode until you have mastered the
use of the trading platform you have chosen
and are satisfied with your trading success
outcome. As you trade in simulation mode,
practice developing the discipline needed to
execute your trading plan. Through repetition,
you will begin to develop into a polished and
profitable trader.
QUARTERLY MAGAZINE SUBSCRIPTION
Trading Markets: Read articles explaining classical trading
techniques, such as W.D. Gann, Elliott Wave,
FOREX and Forex Futures
astro-trading as well as modern technical
You will find that the FOREX spot and FOREX analysis explaining indicators in eSignal,
futures markets are most active starting with NinjaTraders, MetaStock & Market Analyst.
the European open of 3 A.M. eastern time.
The FOREX market usually will trend quite well COMPLETE BACK ISSUES OF TRADERS
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You also get our complete archive of 60 back
Stock Index Futures
issues from 1986 to present. This, contains
The U.S. stock index futures markets will
articles, product reviews, hundreds of chart
generally be the most active and will trend the examples, how-to-trade articles and much
best between 9:30 A.M. Eastern and 4 P.M.
Eastern time. format, which you can read online anytime.
In every issue, you get the information
Please let us know if you need any help in you need to trade the markets better with
charting, astro, cycles, oscillator tools.
developing your approach to profitable trading.
Works for stocks, bonds, futures, options.
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2017/2018 Challenges
2017
2017 ushers in a decisive period in many markets. It is a time of culmination, inception and/or
corroboration.
It is a year of heightened synergy (of cycles) and heightened anxiety. It is also a year of cyclic
transition on a major scale.
In previous Traders World articles - in 2013--2016 - the groundwork was laid. Those articles
focused on two key generational cycles that are poised to usher in seismic shifts - financially,
socially & geopolitically - in 2017--2021. Those two cycles are the 40-Year Cycle & the 70-Year
Cycle.
The second half of 2016 has initially validated that analysis as bonds & notes plummeted.
1948--1949, the culmination of that prior 70-Year Cycle - experienced the most intense
alignment of global-dividing & global-uniting events in modern history.
These included the founding of multiple global-uniting organizations (Treaty of Brussels & Hague
Congress - forerunners to European Union, World Council of Churches, GATT, UDHR, etc.) & the
ultimate global-unifying event - the introduction of the transistor, ushering in the computer age.
It also included the Berlin Blockade - the onset of the Cold War - and the split of China/Taiwan as
well as the split of Korea. All of those events served to unify large global alliances on opposing
In 1948, the founding of the nation of Israel unified an ancient people & religion AND divided the
globe along polarized ideological lines. Israels rebirth in 1948 arrived an exact 70-Year Cycle
from the founding of Petah Tikva in 1878 - a settlement by Orthodox Jews in Israel that led to 5
Jewish Aliyahs (immigration to Israel from around the globe) over the ensuing 60 years.
That 1878 settlement was an exact 70-Year Cycle from the Perushim immigration to Jerusalem in
While some may dismiss this as merely a religious discussion or cycle, that would be short-
sighted since events surrounding the Middle East have impacted governments, economies &
markets for thousands of years - from the final centuries of the Roman Empire to the rise of
Islam to the Crusades to the Ottoman Empire to World Wars I & II.
Developments in Dec. 2016 have just reaffirmed that Israel & the Middle East are coming back
into focus precisely when this 70-Year Cycle anticipated.
2018--2019 is likely to see intensifying developments linked to ALL of those events from 1948-
-1949.
The 40-Year Cycle was also expected to produce a major interest rate low in 2016 - 40 years
from the onset of an exponential rise in rates from 1976--1980, which was 40 years from a
sudden tightening of credit in 1936/1937 - leading to the second worst stock market crash of the
1900s.
The synergy of these two generational cycles - along with many others - is what prompted
analysis for a MAJOR interest rate reversal in 2016.
[Another facet involves the 40-Year Cycle of Food Crises that comes to a head in 2017--2019 and
is set to spur price surges in many grains & commodities in the coming years.]
With both of these multi-decade cycles focused on 2016/2017--2021 for generational shifts, two
other multi-year cycles began to take center stage as 2016 was coming to a close
Decennial Cycle
The first of those two cycles is a 10-Year Cycle - or a Decennial Cycle (see diagram 1) - that
returns in 2017--2018. Since 1777 (crash of Continentals)--1817 (rechartering of 2nd Bank of
US, led to Panic of 1819), this 10-Year Cycle has timed momentous panics and/or crashes in the
US and around the globe.
Significance is added to this due to its positioning within a 10-Year Cycle Progression of stock
market peaks (see diagram 2).
[NOTE: The positioning within this Cycle Progression does NOT indicate magnitude of highs or
lows, but only their positioning within a larger-degree, overriding cycle. In other words, the
1997 peak is (obviously) not higher than the expected 2017 peak since this diagram focuses on
position - within the overall cycle sequence. The 2017 peak is the final one in this overriding bull
market since the early-1980s before the larger cycle begins to turn negative and crosses over
the 0 line to the downside.]
There is another, even more revealing cycle that dovetails with all of these conclusions
[Those articles were re-published in Traders World Issues #44 & #45 in 2007 & 2008. A
corresponding ad - along with the first 17 Year Cycle article - was submitted in October 2007 &
reiterated that bearish forecast.]
This is a cycle that has been identified as governing the magnetic interaction between the Earth
& Sun. (Of corresponding interest, the 40-Year Cycle governs the Great Conveyor Belt of solar
storms.)
It is a cycle that also governs the emergence & disappearance of certain underground creatures
- the 17-Year cicadas. And, just as there are multiple broods of cicadas - emerging during
different years - there are also two broods of the 17-Year Cycle in the stock market. That is
why major multi-year peaks were forecast for both 2000 & 2007 two distinct applications of
that 17-Year Cycle.
It is a cycle that has governed the stock market for over a century.
And, it is the cycle that resulted in analysis for a sharp ~20% drop in equities between late-
April--late-Sept. 2015 a precursor to what is expected after 1Q 2017 (exactly 17 years from
the stock market peak of 1Q 2000).
That 2014/2015 analysis was linked to similar moves in 1981 & 1998 - when 20% corrections
took hold in the middle third of the year - and was/is expected to set the stage for 2017--2018,
similar to what took place in 2000--2001, 1983--1984 & 1966--1967.
The aforementioned analyses for interest rates (bonds & notes) & stock corrections (mid-2015)
were perfect examples of this synergy - when multiple disciplines concluded the same thing.
So, too, was analysis for 2016 to usher in a new Golden period - 40 years from when gold
began a parabolic move higher - in 1976 (--1980) - AND 17 years from when gold began
a subsequent, multi-year bull market, in 1999. (Readers can view dozens of publications -
detailing these analyses before the fact - at www.40YearCycle.com & www.17YearCycle.com.) It
was the synergy of cycles that demanded attention.
The intriguing aspect of current synergy is that so many of these stock market cycles (10-Year,
17-Year, 40-Year, etc.) will be in negative phases between March 2017--March 2018. There are
monthly & weekly cycles that are also corroborating & fine-tuning that BUT which also identify
when intervening highs & lows are most likely, in 2017 & 2018.
One remarkable combination of weekly & monthly cycles helped pinpoint most of the multi-
month swing points in stock indices over the past two years. That included projected highs in
late-April 15, Dec. 15 & August 16 as well as intervening lows in Aug. 15, Jan. 16, Jun. 16 &
Nov. 16. Those cycles are converging in March/April 2017, with intriguing potential.
As Solomon concluded ~3,000 years ago, when describing the power of synergy, a cord of
three strands is not easily broken. 2017 possesses a cyclic cord of multiple cycles all braided
together. Just one question: Is that cord a life-line or a noose?
Eric S. Hadik is President of INSIIDE Track Trading and can be reached via www.insiidetrack.
com. More information on the 40-Year Cycle can be found at www.40YearCycle.com and on
the 17-Year Cycle at www.17YearCycle.com. A recent Special Report - 40-Year Cycle: Stocks
in 2017--2021 elaborates on all of these cycles and on expectations for the coming years.
What sets these traders apart from other traders? Many think that beating the markets has
something to do with discovering and using some secret formula. The traders in this book
have the right attitude and many employ a combination of fundamental analysis, technical
analysis principles and formulas in their best trading strategies.
Trading is one of the best ways to make a lot of money in the world if one does it right. One
needs to find successful trading strategies and implement them in their own trading method.
The purpose of this book is to present to you the best trading strategies of these traders so
that you might be able to select those that fit you best and then implement them into your
own trading.
I wish to express my appreciation to all the writers in this book who made the book possible.
They have spent many hours of their time and hard work in writing their section of the book
and the putting together their video presentation for the online expo.
Finding out your trading method is extremely important to produce a profitable benchmark
that can be replicated in your live account. Perhaps the best way to find a successful
trading method is to listen to many expert traders to understand what they have done
to be successful. The best way to do that is to listen to the Traders World Online Expos
presentations. This book duplicates what these experts have said in their presentations,
WWW.TRADERSWORLD.COM March/April/May 2017 115
which explains what they have done to find their own trading method.
If you have a trading method that gives you a predictable profit, then that type of objectivity
contributes to your trading edge. The problem with most traders is that being inconsistent
will never allow them to have an edge. After you find your trading method that you feel
comfortable with, you must have the following:
By reviewing all the methods given in this book by the expert traders, it will give, you the
preliminary steps that you need to find your footing in finding your own trading method.
Reading this book and by seeing the actual recorded presentations on the Traders World
Online Expo site can act as a reference tool for selecting your method of trading, investment
strategies and tactics.
It took many of these expert traders in this book 15 30 years to finally come up and find
the answers to find their trading method to make consistent profit. Finding your trading
method could be then much easier when you read this book and incorporate the techniques
that best fit your personality and style from these traders. This book will enable you to that
fastest way to do that.
So if you want help to find your own trading method to be successful in the markets then
buy and read this book.
The book was written by a large group of 35 expert traders, with high qualifications, most
of who trade professionally and/or offer trading services and expensive courses to their
clients. Some of them charge thousands of dollars per day for personal trading! These
expert traders give generally 45-minute presentations covering the same topics given in
this book at the Traders World Online Expo #12. By combining their talents in this book,
they introduce a new dimension to finding a profitable trading edge in the market. You can
use ideas and techniques of this group of experts to leverage your ability to find an edge to
successfully trade. Using a group of experts in this manner to insure your trading success is
unprecedented.
Youll never find a book like this anywhere! This unique trading book will help you uncover
the underlying reasons for your lack of consistency in trading and will help you overcome
poor habits that cost you money in trading. It will help you to expose the myths of the
market one by one teaching you the right way to trade and to understand the realities of
risk and to be comfortable with trading with market. The book is priceless!
Parallels to the Traders World Online Expo 12
It was written by over 30 expert traders. The book was designed to help you
develop your own trading edge in the markets to put you above others who
dont have an edge and just trade by the seat of their pants. 90% of traders
actually lose in the markets and the main reason is simply that they dont have an edge.
All of the writers in this book are very experienced and knowledgeable of different ways. Each
of them has their own expertise in trading the markets. What sets these traders apart from
other traders? Many think that beating the markets has something to do with discovering and
using some secret formula.
The traders in this book have the right attitude and many employ a combination of fundamental
analysis, technical analysis principles and formulas in their best trading strategies. This gives
The purpose of this book is to present to you the best trading strategies of these traders so
that you might be able to select those that fit you best and then implement them into your
own trading style. I wish to express my appreciation to all the writers in this book who made
the book possible. They have spent many hours of their time and hard work in writing their
section of the book and the putting together their video presentation for the online expo.
This is one of the finest trading books youll ever see about trading. The
reason is that it comes from a group of expert pro traders with multiple
years of experience.
The traders in this book have through experience the right attitude and employ a combination
of technical analysis principles and strategies to be successful. You can develop these also.
Trading is one of the best ways to make money. Apply the trading methods in this book and
treat it as a business. The purpose of this book is to help you be successful in trading.
From this book you will get all the strategies, Indicators and trading methods that you need
to make big profits in the markets.
Seasonality
MACD
Stochastics
Moving Averages
Trailing Stops
Fibonacci Retracements & Extensions
All of the charts in this book are produced using my favorite charting software Market-Analyst.
I have also arranged for you to get a FREE trial so that you might have the chance to actually
work with these indicators with a real charting platform.
You will also be able to view the video presentations that I personally created so you can
see how these indicators can be setup and followed with clear and concise step-by-step
instructions. After you understand how these indicators work, I would then recommend that
you go to WorldCupAdvisor.com and consider following Craig Haugaards real-time trades.
This one-of-a-kind book teaches you how to identify the direction of the markets and trade
the markets by using popular trading indicators. This is done by concise instructions backed
by learning videos, hands on practice with real trading software and by following real-time
trades of a master trader.
This book is an enhanced Edition which means that the articles are backed with audio visual
presentation links. Most of the presentations are in HD quality and are put together by the
writers of the articles in the book and really help the learning process.
Successful trading is based on knowledge and having the right psychology to trade the markets.
This book will lift your trading to a much higher level and will save you an enormous amount
to time.
Rob Mitchell is the president of Axiom Research & Trading, Inc. and has
been a trading system developer for over 20 years and has developed a
number of commercially successful trading systems. He has at various
times been the largest eMini S&P trader in the world. Rob has also acted
as a Commodity Trading Adviser, has traded for hedge funds and has won
the Robbins World Cup eMini trading championship in the past. Rob is
a trading teacher and mentor and is the founder and head trader of Oil
Trading Room which is devoted to providing advanced educational resources to traders at all
levels.
In the rest of the book I will explain to you some of the trading ideas of Rob that he uses in
both his Oil Trading Room and in his World Cup Advisor Account. You can then actually see and
understand how some of his ideas work.
I am not going to tell you exactly how Rob used the ideas to make his return of 57% on a
$10,000 investment. That information is not public and belongs only to Rob.
I will tell you some of the trading ideas he uses and help you understand how these ideas work.
I would then recommend that you go to World Cup Advisor and consider following Robs trades.
You will be able to automatically mirror Robs trades in your own brokerage account with World
Cup Leader-Follower AutoTrade service. You will also be able to see what his trades look like
on your own charts and better understand why he made the trades.
In the rest of the book I will explain to you some of the trading ideas Takumaru said he used
I am not going to tell you exactly how Takumaru used the ideas to make his return of 122.6%
on a $10,000 investment. That information is not public and belongs only to Takumaru.
I will tell you which indicators he used and help you understand how these indicators work.
Michael Trading: Learn about some of the trading tools he used $4.99
Michael Cook, was the first-place finisher in the 2014 WORLD CUP
Championship of Futures Trading with a 366% net profit. In this
book there is a detailed interview with Michael with questions and
answers of exactly what he used to win the championship. In this
book I will explain to you the indicators that he said he used in the
interview. You can then actually see and understand how they work.
Here are some the indicators and methods that he said he used: 1)
Moving Averages 2) Seasonality 3) Cycles 4) Seasonality 5) Price
Patterns 6) Williams %R 7) Long with Stops 8) Commitment of
Traders Report You will also be able to download a video presentation
that I personally created so you can see how these indicators can be
setup and followed in a step-by-step manner. After you understand
how these indicators work, I would then recommend that you go to WorldCupAdvisor.com and
consider following Michael Cooks trades.