Documente Academic
Documente Profesional
Documente Cultură
Manoj Hudnurkar
Symbiosis Centre for Management and Human Resource Development,
Plot No. 15, Phase-I, Rajiv Gandhi Infotech Park, Hinjewadi, Pune 411057, India
Email: manoj_hudnurkar@scmhrd.edu
Sujeet Deshpande
Symbiosis Centre for Management and Human Resource Development,
Plot No. 15, Phase-I, Rajiv Gandhi Infotech Park, Hinjewadi, Pune 411057, India
Email: sujeet_deshpande@scmhrd.edu (Corresponding Author)
Urvashi Rathod
Symbiosis Centre for Information Technology,
Plot No. 15, Phase-I, Rajiv Gandhi InfoTech Park, Hinjewadi, Pune 411057, India
Email: urvashi@scit.edu
Suresh K. Jakhar
Indian Institute of Management Lucknow,
Prabandh Nagar, IIM Road, Lucknow 226013, India
Email: skj@iiml.ac.in
design products such that they can be endlessly probability /high impact events are hard to predict and
recycled so that waste is reduced to zero, natural difficult to manage due to lack of historical data which
resources are not depleted and environment is not can be used for estimating event probability and
polluted. This is in contrast with the Cradle-to-Grave quantifying the risk. As a result, many firms do not
approach. adequately prepare for such events leaving them
5. Resilience Develop a supply chain risk management exposed to risk.
system to react quickly and cost effectively to supply Another line of criticism of the probabilistic risk
chain risks and disruptions. assessment approach is pointed out by (Aven, 2012).
6. Innovation develop and provide new products According to him, where probabilities are measured
meeting customer needs. Provide new ways of based on subjective assessment, the numbers assigned
producing, delivering and distributing products. to probabilities do not reflect the amount of knowledge
supporting the assessment. Two situations with the
2.2 Concept of Risk same subjective probability assignment could have
Common dictionary definition of the term Risk is vastly different knowledge bases supporting the
the possibility that something unpleasant or unwelcome will assessment. In cases, where probabilities are calculated
happen (Oxford Dictionaries, 2015). However, there is no as frequency of occurrence, we need to have a stable,
consensus on how to define risk (Aven, 2012). According to infinite population of similar events which serves as the
(Aven, 2008), risk is related to future events whose basis for calculating the probability. In the case of an
occurrence is uncertain and their consequences (outcomes) event like a terrorist attack, having an infinite
which can have a range of possible values. Thus there is population of similar attacks in the past, so that the
uncertainty associated with both events and their event probability can be calculated is not feasible. In
consequences. The likelihood of occurrence of events and this case, we would need to assume a fictional
that of resulting consequences can be expressed by means of population of non-existing past occurrences so that the
Probabilities calculated on the basis of our prior knowledge event probability can be calculated.
of events and consequences. However, in many cases, 2. Continuous Consequences: there are situations when a
Probabilities are not good measures of Uncertainty. In this discrete failure event cannot be defined, for e.g. risk of
formulation of risk, both positive and negative consequences incurring financial losses due to changes /volatility in
are permitted. In practice however, the term risk is usually foreign exchange or interest rates over a period of time.
associated with undesirable or negative consequences. Based In this case, risk is quantified by measures such as
on the nature of consequences; risk is typically defined as Value at Risk (VaR) or Conditional Value at Risk
follows: (CVaR). Value at Risk is a statistical measure which
1. Discrete Consequences: Here risk is associated with a denotes the amount of money a portfolio, investment
discrete failure event. In this case the risk is defined as: strategy or a firm is expected to lose over a given period
= (1) of time for a specified confidence interval. Conditional
Where PE is the probability of failure event and CE Value at Risk is an extension of the Value at Risk
is the business impact or severity of the event concept and gives the average loss beyond the Value at
(Heckmann, et al., 2015). Risk Confidence level (Heckmann, et al., 2015).
This definition of Risk is in line with the
probabilistic risk assessment used to predict probability 2.3 Supply Chain Risk
of safety failures of complex technological systems. It The term Supply Chain Risk has diverse
excludes unexpected events and assumes availability of interpretations in supply chain risk management literature.
historical data to calculate probabilities of failure The most commonly found definition is based on magnitude
events (Renn, 2008). of potential losses incurred by the firms in the supply chain
However, this approach to risk analysis is not due to undesirable deviations from the expected supply chain
without its drawbacks. First, what constitutes an performance measures or outcomes caused by triggering of
undesirable business impact depends on the values and disruptive events. The disruptive events are characterized by
preferences of the people evaluating it. Second, the their probability of occurrence and the associated impact on
average probabilities may not capture the unique the supply chain (Heckmann, et al., 2015) and (Ho, et al.,
interaction between human actions and their 2015). According to Kajter (as cited in Heckmann, et al.,
consequences. Third, this definition does not capture 2015), supply chain risks could be Cumulative, Additive, or
the increase in actual risk due to failure of Singular. Cumulative supply chain risks intesify as they
organizational processes in place for managing risks or propogate along the supply chain, additive risks have
from managerial risk taking. Fourth, the numerical negative effects along the supply chain when they occur
combination of magnitude of potential losses and their together, while singular risks are locally isolated risks which
probabilities of occurrence means that high impact /low do not impact the rest of the supply chain.
probability events and low impact /high probability (Norman & Jansson, 2004), quantify risk as given in
events with the same expected values, assume the same Eq. (1). The same formula is also typically used for
importance. However, people show distinct preference quantifying supply chain risks as well. In order to avoid the
for allocating scarce risk management resources to low issues related to calculation of probabilities of occurrence of
impact /high probability events and prioritize them over disruptive events due to lack of sufficient historical data,
high impact /low probability events (Renn, 2008). (Norman & Jansson, 2004) document the use of Business
According to (Simchi-Levi, et al., 2015), low Impact Value (BIV) which is defined as a product of gross
Hudnurkar et al.: Supply Chain Risk Classification Schemes: A Literature Review
Operations and Supply Chain Management 10(4) pp. 182 - 199 2017 185
margin and Business Recovery Time (BRT) plus extra 2.5 Classification of Supply Chain Risks
costs, to rank and prioritize risks. (Simchi-Levi, et al., 2015), Risk identification is an important first step in the
evaluate the impact on a supply chain performance measure, SCRM process. Once the risks have been identified it is
of a disruptive event at a node in the supply chain (such as at important to classify them into different categories to help
a supplier facility or a distribution center) lasting for the risk managers understand the universe of risk categories as
duration of Time to Recovery (TTR). TTR is defined as well as the events and conditions that drive them. This
the time taken by the node to resume full functionality post understanding will then facilitate selection and design of
disruption and is increasingly being used to evaluate supply different risk mitigation strategies which are likely to be
chain risks. most effective (Chopra & Sodhi, 2004). Classification of
(Heckmann, et al., 2015), have also documented use by risks also helps in deciding which entity within the
various researchers of other risk measures such as Variance organization or the supply chain will be responsible for
or Standard Deviation, Value at Risk, or Conditional Value managing a particular risk category (Sodhi & Tang, 2012).
at Risk for quantifying supply chain risk. The derived risk categories which result from the risk
classification process are known as Risk Sources. According
2.4 Supply Chain Risk Management (SCRM) to (Jttner, et al., 2003), Risk Sources are the
The discipline of supply chain risk management environmental, organizational or supply chain related
evolved out of the need to ensure business continuity in the variables which cannot be predicted with certainty and which
presence of supply chain risks. Since SCRM is a relatively impact on the supply chain outcome variables. Some
new discipline, currently there is no consensus on the researchers, for e.g. (Ho, et al., 2015), have used the term
definition of SCRM (Sodhi, et al., 2012). SCRM is broadly Risk Types instead of Risk Sources.
defined in literature as a Collaborative endeavor between While each supply chain and organizations within the
supply chain partners aimed at identifying and managing supply chain are unique in terms of the risks they face, it is
risks so as to reduce supply chain vulnerability to risks and important to have a universally accepted classification of
ensure its profitability and continuity. Various researchers supply chain risks in order to establish a common vocabulary
have proposed SCRM approaches including (Hallikas, et al., for risk identification and assessment between organizations
2004), (Kleindorfer & Saad, 2005), (Manuj & Mentzer, in a supply chain and to standardize risk mitigation strategies
2008), (Zsidisin & Ritchie, 2009) and (Tummala & for known supply chain risks. One of the drawbacks of
Schoenherr, 2011). According to (Tummala & Schoenherr, having such a universally accepted classification scheme
2011), SCRM process consists of the following steps: could be that the user of the scheme gets stuck into a
1. Risk Identification - involves a comprehensive and patterned way of thinking. However, benefit of having a
structured identification of supply chain risks. well-defined starting point and rigor of a structured approach
2. Risk Measurement determination of the consequences outweighs this drawback. Further, such a classification
of all identified supply chain risks along with scheme could serve as a significant repository of knowledge
magnitudes of their impact. within the discipline, for e.g. the insurance underwriting
3. Risk Assessment - assessing likelihood of each risk process uses a risk classification scheme which serves as the
factor. basis for insurance risk assessment and knowledge base for
4. Risk Evaluation consists of two sub-steps of risk the underwriters (Asbjrnslett, 2009).
ranking and risk acceptance.
a) Risk ranking - involves determining risk exposure 3. RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
value of each risk factor based on consequence
severity and probability of occurrence and grouping For the purpose of this literature review, we analyzed
risks into classes based on risk exposure values articles on SCRM published in various journals following the
b) Risk Acceptance after supply chain risks are methodology of a content analysis based literature review
grouped into classes they are further classified into proposed by (Seuring & Gold, 2012). The steps in our
unacceptable, tolerable or acceptable risks based on research methodology are summarized as follows:
criteria defined by the organization. 1. Material Collection The literature review is bounded
5. Risk Mitigation and contingency plans risk mitigation to include articles per the following filtering criteria.
and contingency plans are developed taking into Articles were analyzed and those not meeting the
account resource constraints faced by the organization. filtering criteria were excluded from the review.
6. Risk Monitoring and Control involves monitoring a) The article must be a Peer reviewed journal
performance of risk response plans, taking corrective article written in English and published in
and preventive actions to account for deviations from International Journals between 2003 and 2015.
desired SC performance, abnormal cases or SC b) The article should provide a new classification
disruptions. scheme for supply chain risks or define new
(Zsidisin & Ritchie, 2009), suggest that SCRM process supply chain risk sources.
also includes Organizational and Personal Learning For the time period between 2003 and 2013, all
including Knowledge Transfer as a step. This involves 224 articles reviewed by (Ho, et al., 2015) were
capturing risk management know how and lessons learnt by considered for application of filtering criteria. These
individuals and organizations in the supply chain and sharing articles were a result of the search performed by the
them within the organization and with other supply chain authors using the keywords supply chain and risk.
partners. The databases used for the search by the authors
included EBSCOhost, Emerald, IEEExplore, Ingenta,
Metapress, ProQuest, ScienceDirect, Springer, Taylor
Hudnurkar et al.: Supply Chain Risk Classification Schemes: A Literature Review
186 Operations and Supply Chain Management 10(4) pp. 182 - 199 2017
and Francis, and WileyFirst. Application of Filtering Systems and Financial factors while Human Resource
Criteria resulted in short listing of 22 journal articles. includes Organization as a risk source.
For the time period between 2014 and 2015, we The articles were analyzed by mapping the
conducted a search on Google Scholar search engine various risks identified therein into the conceptual
for articles containing the exact phrase, Supply Chain framework. This mapping revealed the risk sources
and atleast one of the words risk or sources addressed by the various risk classification schemes.
anywhere in the article. This search returned 1260 4. Material Evaluation Based on the analysis of various
articles sorted by date. Further analysis of these articles risk classification schemes using the conceptual
as per the filtering criteria resulted in short listing of framework, we drew conclusions, identified research
articles by (Blos, et al., 2015) and (Ho, et al., 2015). gaps and future research directions.
We also conducted a backward search by looking
at the references list of shortlisted articles and a 4. RESULTS
Forward search looking at articles which have cited the
shortlisted articles to identify potential articles which 4.1 Descriptive Analysis
could be added to our review. This process resulted in The temporal distribution of articles is shown in Figure
short listing of article by (Rangel, et al., 2014). 2. The distribution of articles across various journals and
Thus, the material collection step resulted in 25 their main topics are listed in Table 1. It is seen that over the
Journal articles which were then taken up for further time period between 2003 and 2015, while there has been a
review. sustained interest in Supply chain risk classification there is
2. Descriptive Analysis In this step, we analyzed the no large body of research devoted to the subject. The topic
temporal distribution of the articles over the time period has either been a main research topic for the various
between 2003 and 2015. We also analyzed the researchers or has been addressed as a part of a different
distribution of the articles across the various journals research goal.
and the aim /main topic of the article.
3. Category Selection We decided to follow bottoms up 5
Number of papers
2013
2014
2015
Notes: Legend and journal count Computers In Industry (CII = 1); International Journal of Logistics (IJL = 1); International Journal of
Logistics Management (IJLM = 2); International Journal of Physical Distribution and Logistics Management (IJPDLM = 4); International
Journal of Production Economics (IJPE = 6); International Journal of Production Research (IJPR = 6); Journal of Business Logistics (JBL
= 1); Journal of Purchasing and Supply Management (JPSM = 1); Kybernetes (K =1); MIT Sloan Management Review (MSMR = 1);
Supply Chain Management (SCM =1)
Hudnurkar et al.: Supply Chain Risk Classification Schemes: A Literature Review
188 Operations and Supply Chain Management 10(4) pp. 182 - 199 2017
4.2 Category Selection the work of various researchers with the notable exception of
The different supply chain risk classification schemes the following:
proposed by the various researchers and the various risk 1. Risks associated with the product characteristics
sources identified by them, over the time period between namely raw materials, product composition, packaging,
2003 and 2015, have been documented in Table 2. The labeling, and diversion in transit
following conclusions can be drawn from the table: 2. Risks due to E-Commerce, information delays and data
1. There is a wide variety in the terminology used to breach in Information Technology systems
identify the various risk sources 3. Risks due to changes in interest rates, unexpected
2. Some risk classification schemes are fairly explicit movement in market prices, contract terms, duration of
while others take a very generic /broad based approach contracts and asset impairment in Financial Factors
Table 3 gives an illustrative list of supply chain risks 4. Risks associated with process instability, poor process
with their definitions, mapped to the conceptual research yields, poor working conditions, and lack of
framework. The list has been compiled from the work of maintenance in manufacturing facilities
various researchers, most notably (Maruchek, et al., 2011), 5. Risks associated with supplier monopoly due to
(Chopra & Sodhi, 2004), (Olson & Wu, 2010), (Blos, et al., supplier intellectual property /patents in source process
2015), (Tummala & Schoenherr, 2011), (Rangel, et al., 6. Risks associated with legal implications of recycling,
2014), (Hallikas, et al., 2004), and (Tang & Musa, 2011). recycling and reprocessing in Return process and
The listing was also compared against (Alcantara & Riglietti, inventory holding due to inability to recycle /reprocess
2015) to gauge alignment with practitioner perspectives. 7. Risks associated with improper capacity planning, lack
The mapping of various supply chain risks identified by of integration, shared responsibility and coordination in
the researchers over the time period between 2003 and 2015 the Plan process
into the conceptual research framework in accordance with 8. Risks associated with lack of business ethics, employee
the risk listing and definitions in Table 3 is presented in dissatisfaction, workplace rights, employee turnover
Table 4. As can be seen from the frequency counts in the and illness in Human Resources
table, the different types of risk are fairly well represented in 9. Risks associated with Cultural differences between
members of a supply chain and Sovereign Default in
External Environment
Notes:1 - (Harland, et al., 2003); 2 - (Jttner, et al., 2003); 3 - (Cavinato, 2004); 4 - (Chopra & Sodhi, 2004); 5 - (Christopher & Peck, 2004); 6 - (Hallikas, et al., 2004); 7 - (Tang, 2006); 8 -
(Wu, et al., 2006); 9 - (Bogataj & Bogataj, 2007); 10 - (Blackhurst, et al., 2008); 11 - (Manuj & Mentzer, 2008); 12 - (Tang & Tomlin, 2008); 13 - (Wagner & Bode, 2008); 14 - (Trkman &
McCormack, 2009); 15 - (Rao & Goldsby, 2009); 16 - (Kumar, et al., 2010); 17 - (Olson & Wu, 2010); 18 - (Ravindran, et al., 2010); 19 - (Lin & Zhou, 2011); 20 - (Tang & Musa, 2011); 21 -
(Tummala & Schoenherr, 2011); 22 - (Samvedi, et al., 2013); 23 - (Rangel, et al., 2014); 24 - (Blos, et al., 2015); 25 - (Ho, et al., 2015)
Hudnurkar et al.: Supply Chain Risk Classification Schemes: A Literature Review
Operations and Supply Chain Management 10(4) pp. 182 - 199 2017 197
Production Economics, 116, pp. 12-27. Wagner, S. M. & Bode, C. (2008), An empirical examination of
Tang, O. & Musa, S. N. (2011), Identifying risk issues and research supply chain performance along several dimensions of
advancements in supply chain risk management,International risk,Journal of Business Logistics, 29(1), pp. 307-325.
Journal of Production Economics, 133, pp. 25-34. Wu, T., Blackhurst, J. & Chidambaram, V. (2006), A model for
Trkman, P. & McCormack, K. (2009), Supply chain risk in inbound supply risk analysis,Computers in Industry, 57, pp.
turbulent environments a conceptual model for managing 350-365.
supply chain network risk,International Journal of Zsidisin, G. A. & Ritchie, B. (2009), Supply Chain Risk
Production Economics, 119(2), pp. 247-258. Management Developments, Issues and Challenges, In: G.
Tummala, R. & Schoenherr, T. (2011), Assessing and managing A. Zsidisin & B. Ritchie, eds. Supply Chain Risk: A
risks using the Supply Chain Risk Management Process Handbook of Assessment, Management, and
(SCRMP),Supply Chain Management: An International Performance.Springer, New York, pp. 1-12.
Journal, 16(6), pp. 474-483.
Manoj Hudnurkar is a Professor and Head of Department in Operations Management and IT at Symbiosis Center for
Management and Human Resource Development (SCMHRD), Symbiosis International University, Pune, India. Previously,
he worked in Industry as Project Manager and has handled various projects. Manoj has published various papers in international
journals of repute on collaborative supply chain management, supplier classification and supplier performance management.
He also has experience in consulting projects and corporate trainings.
Sujeet Deshpande holds an MBA from Symbiosis Center for Management and Human Resource Development, Symbiosis
International University, Pune, India. He has over 20 years of work experience in Systems Engineering and Project
Management. His areas of research interest include Operations Management, Supply Chain Management and Business
Strategy.
Urvashi Rathod is a Professor at Symbiosis International University (SIU), Pune, India; presently heading Symbiosis Centre
for Research and Innovation (SCRI). She did Ph.D. from Birla Institute of Technology and Science, Pilani, India. She has been
an entrepreneur for 8 years and later, after joining academics, she has been associated with IIM Indore, ICFAI Business School,
International Institute of Information Technology and SIU. She teaches courses related to Information Technology and its
application in business and society. Her research interest includes supply chains and information technology, software design
and development and digital transformation. Her research work has been published in the journals of high repute. She is on
Editorial Boards and Program Committees and a regular reviewer of research works.
Suresh K. Jakhar is working as an Assistant Professor in the Operations Management group at Indian Institute of
Management (IIM) Lucknow, India. Prior to joining IIM Lucknow, he has worked at IIM Rohtak and SCMHRD, Pune. He
has completed his M.Tech. from Indian Institute of Technology (IIT) Delhi and Ph.D. from IIT Roorkee. His research interests
lie in the fields of Sustainable Operations, Supply Chain Management, Operations Research, Fuzzy Optimization and Game
Theory. He has published in various journals such as Journal of Cleaner Production, Production Planning and Control,
International Journal of Productivity and Performance Management, and Sustainable Development.