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ACKNOWLEDGEMENT
I hereby acknowledge the help and support of the teachers, who helped me in compiling this project.
I thank the faculty and management of Manipal University Jaipur, School of Law, as the resources
that were necessary to complete the project were provided by them.
I am highly indebted to my teacher Dr. Mahendra Parihar for his guidance and constant supervision
as well as for providing necessary knowledge regarding the subject at hand and also for his support
in completing the project.
I would like to express my gratitude towards my parents and friends for their kind cooperation and
encouragement which help me in completion of this project.
_______________
Tushar Dutt Dave
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CERTIFICATE
This is to certify that Mr. Shubham Agarwal, student of B.A. LL.B. (hons.) semester I, School of
Law Manipal University Jaipur has completed the project work entitled Indias Budget Deficit
under my supervision and guidance.
It is further certified that the candidate has made sincere efforts for the completion of this project.
_______________
Dr. Mahendra Parihar
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What is a 'Budget Deficit 5
BREAKING DOWN 'Budget Deficit 5
Shifts to Budgets 5
Techniques to Reverse a Budget Deficit 5
Budget Deficits and Surpluses 5
5 Important Concepts of Budgetary Deficit is as Follows 6
1. Revenue Deficit: 6
2. Capital Deficit: 7
3. Fiscal Deficit: 7
4. Primary Deficit: 8
5. Monetised Deficit: 8
What is 'Fiscal Deficit 9
Evolution of Indian fiscal policy till 1991 10
Liberalization, growth, inclusion and fiscal consolidation (1991-2008) 11
Wibliography 15
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What is a 'Budget Deficit
A budget deficit is an indicator of financial health in which expenditures exceed revenue. The term
budget deficit is most commonly used to refer to government spending rather than business or
individual spending, but can be applied to all of these entities. When referring to accrued federal
government deficits, the deficits are referred to as the national debt.
In the early 20th century, few industrialized countries had large fiscal deficits. This changed during
the First World War, a time in which governments borrowed heavily and depleted financial reserves.
Industrialized countries reduced these deficits until the 1960s and 1970s, despite years of steady
economic growth.
Shifts to Budgets
Budget deficits may occur in response to certain unanticipated activities. For example, increased
defense spending after the 9/11 terror attacks in the United States contributed to the budget deficit.
While the initial war in Afghanistan cost an estimated $33 billion, the later spending attributed to
operations in Iraq cost $50 billion within the 2003 fiscal year. At the end of the George W. Bush
presidency, the total spent reached $864.82 billion. Combined with the costs accrued during the
Barack Obama presidency of $857 billion, the deficit increased approximately $1.8 trillion.
Budget deficits, reflected as a percentage of Gross Domestic Product (GDP), may decrease in times
of economic prosperity as increased tax revenue, lower unemployment rates and increased
economic growth reduce the need for government-funded programs such as unemployment
insurance and Temporary Assistance for Needy Families (TANF).
If investors expect higher inflation rates, which would reduce the real value of debt, they are likely to
require higher interest rates on future loans to governments.
If desired, a nation can print additional currency to cover payments on debts owed. This is done
through the issuance of securities including Treasury bills and bonds. While this provides a
mechanism to make payments, it does carry the risk of devaluing the nations currency.
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The term "budget surplus" is often used in conjunction with a balanced budget. A budget surplus
occurs when revenues exceed expenses, and the surplus amount represents the difference between
the two. In a business setting, surpluses can be invested back into the company, such as for research
and development (R&D) expenses, paid out to employees in the form of bonuses, or they can be
distributed to shareholders as dividends.
In a government setting, a budget surplus occurs when tax revenues in a calendar year exceed
government expenditures. The United States government has only achieved a budget surplus -- or
a balanced budget, for that matter -- four times since 1970. It happened during consecutive years
from 1998 until 2001.
A budget deficit, by contrast, is the result of expenses eclipsing revenues. Budget deficits almost
invariably result in debt being incurred. For example, the U.S. national debt in excess of $19 trillion
as of June 2016 is the result of accumulated budget deficits over many decades.
The existence of such a large number of measures is explained by the fact that each measure has
analytical and policy relevance, and there is no single measure which may be universally preferred
over all others for all time to come.
The choice of the correct measure would depend upon the purpose of analysis. A brief description
of the various concepts of budgetary deficit is as follows.
1. Revenue Deficit:
The excess of expenditure on revenue account over receipts on revenue account measures revenue
deficit.
Receipts on revenue account include both tax and non-tax revenue and also grants. Tax revenue is
net of States share as al so net of assignment of Union Terri Tory taxes to local bodies. The non-
tax re venue includes interest receipts, dividends and profits, and non-tax receipts of Union
Territorys Grants include grants from abroad also.
Expenditure on revenue account includes both Plan and Non-Plan components. Thus, the Plan
component includes Central Plan and Central Assistance for States and Union Territory Plans.
Non- Plan expenditure includes interest payments, defence expenditure on revenue account,
subsidies, debt-relief to farmers, postal services, police, pensions, other general services, social
services, economic services, non-plan revenue grants to States and Union Territories, expenditure
of Union Territories with legislature, and grants to foreign governments.
Revenue deficit means dissavings on government account and the use of the savings of other
sectors of the economy to finance a part of the consumption expenditure of the government.
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An important objective of fiscal policy should be to ensure surplus in the revenue budget so that the
government also contributes to raising the rate of saving in the economy.
In 2008-09, revenue deficit of the central government is at Rs. 2, 41,273 crore (Revised estimates)
as compared to Rs. 52,569 crore in the previous year. In percentage terms, the revenue deficit is
4.5 per cent (RE) of the gross domestic product in 2008-09, registering an increase of 3.4 per cent
from the previous year.
2. Capital Deficit:
The excess of capital disbursements over capital receipts measures the capital deficit.
Plan capital disbursements include those on Central Plan and Assistance for States and Union
Territories. Non-Plan Capital disbursements include defence expenditure on Capital account, other
non-plan capital outlay, loans to public enterprises, States and Union Territory Governments, foreign
governments and others; and non-plan capital expenditure of Union Territories without legislature.
The items of capital receipts include recoveries of loans extended by the centre itself, but only net
receipts of loans raised by it.
It may be noted that receipts on account of sale of 91 days treasury bills and drawing down of cash
balances do not form a part of capital receipts. However, net receipts on account of sale of 182 days
and 364 days treasury bills and sales proceeds of government assets are included in capital receipts.
3. Fiscal Deficit:
Fiscal deficit is the difference between revenue receipts plus certain non-debt capital receipts and
the total expenditure including loans net of repayments.
In short, fiscal deficit indicates the total borrowing requirements of the government from all sources.
This may also be called Gross Fiscal Deficit (GFD). It measures that portion of government
expenditure which is financed by borrowing and drawing down of cash balances.
It should be noted that in India, borrowings are net amounts (that is, gross borrowings less
repayments). Similarly, loans extended by Government of India are included on the expenditure side
of capital account while recoveries are included on the receipts side. Therefore, the amount of loans
and advances by Government of India is also reduced.
It is often stated that fiscal deficit measures an addition to the liabilities of Government of India. In
2008 -09, fiscal deficit was at a figure of Rs. 3, 26,515 crore (RE) which is 6.1 per cent of Gross
Domestic Product.
Fiscal deficit was of the order of 4 per cent of gross domestic product (GDP) at the beginning of
1980s, and was estimated at more than 8 per cent in 1990-91. The growing fiscal deficit had to be
met by borrowing which led to a mammoth internal debt of the government.
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The servicing of this debt has become a serious problem. Public debt in India is mostly subscribed
to by commercial banks and financial institutions. A judicious macro-management of the economy
requires a progressive reduction in the fiscal deficit and revenue deficit of the government.
4. Primary Deficit:
It is simply fiscal deficit minus interest payments. In the 2008-09 budget, primary deficit was shown
at a figure of Rs. 1, 33,821 crore (Revised estimates).
This measure is also referred to as Gross Primary Deficit (GPD). Measures of deficit described above
(except capital deficit) include payments and receipts of interest. These transactions, however,
reflect a consequence of past actions of the government, namely, loans taken and given in years
prior to the one under consideration.
Exclusion of interest transactions would, therefore, enable us to see the way the government is
currently conducting its financial affairs. Accordingly, Primary deficit is defined as Fiscal Deficit less
net interest payments, (that is less interest payments plus interest receipts).
Net primary deficit is obtained by subtracting Loans and Advances from net fiscal deficit. It is also
equal to Fiscal Deficit less interest payments plus interest receipts less loans and advances.
The primary deficit which was 4.3 per cent of GDP during 1990-91 came down to 1.5 per cent of
GDP during 1997-98 and in the revised estimates for the year 2008-09 it was 2.5 per cent of GDP.
5. Monetised Deficit:
Besides ways and means advances, the Reserve Bank of India also supports the governments
borrowing programme. Monetised deficit indicates the level of support extended by the Reserve
Bank of India to the governments borrowing programme.
Monetised deficit is defined as net increase in net Reserve Bank of India credit to central government.
The rationale for this measure of deficit flows from the inflationary impact which a budgetary deficit
exerts on the economy.
Since borrowings from Reserve Bank of India directly add to money supply, this measure is termed
monetised deficit. It is obvious that monetised deficit is only a part of fiscal deficit.
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What is 'Fiscal Deficit
A fiscal deficit occurs when a government's total expenditures exceed the revenue that it generates,
excluding money from borrowings. Deficit differs from debt, which is an accumulation of yearly
deficits.
Indias deficit in the first two months of the current fiscal was Rs.2.28 trillion or 42.9% of budget
estimates for 2016-17, higher than the year-ago period. The fiscal deficit situation during April-May
of the last fiscal was 37.5% of the budget estimates. The gap between expenditure and revenue for
the entire current fiscal has been pegged at Rs.5.33 trillion.
As per data released by the Controller General of Accounts, tax revenue was Rs.49,690 crore or
4.7% of the estimate. Total receipts (from revenue and non-debt capital) of the government during
the two months was Rs.69,060 crore or 4.8% of the estimates for the current year. It was 4.4% of
the estimates for 2015-16.
Total expenditure of the government during April-May was Rs.2.98 trillion or 15.1% of the entire year
estimates. Of the total expenditure, plan spending was Rs.90,570 crore and non-plan was over
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Rs.2.1 trillion. The revenue deficit during the two month was over Rs.1.99 trillion or 56.2% of the
estimates, CGA data showed. For the 2016-17 year, the government aims to restrict fiscal deficit to
Rs.5.33 lakh crore or 3.5% of the GDP.
Indias expenditure norms remained conservative till the 1980s. From 1973-74 to 1978- 79 the
central government continuously ran revenue surpluses. Its gross fiscal deficit also showed a slow
growth with certain episodes of downward movements (Figure 5). The state governments also ran
revenue surpluses from 1974-75 to 1986-87, barring only 1984-85 (Figure 6). Thereafter, limited
reforms in specific areas including trade liberalisation, export promotion and investment in modern
technologies were accompanied by increased expenditures financed by domestic and foreign
borrowing (Singh and Srinivasan, 2004). The central revenue deficit climbed from 1.4 percent of
GDP in 1980-81 to 2.44 percent of GDP by 1989-90. Across the same period the centres gross
fiscal deficit (GFD) climbed from 5.71 percent to 7.31 percent of GDP. Though the external liabilities
of the centre fell from 7.16 percent of GDP in 1982-83 to 5.53 percent of GDP by 1990-91, in absolute
terms the liabilities were large. Across the same period the total liabilities of the centre and the states
increased from 51.43 percent of GDP to 64.75 percent of GDP.
This came at the cost of social and capital expenditures. The interest component of aggregate central
and state government disbursements reflects this quite clearly. The capital disbursements
decreased from around 30 percent in 1980-81 to about 20 percent by 1990-91. In contrast, the
interest component increased from around 8 percent to about 15 percent across the same period
(Figure 7). Within revenue expenditures, in 1970-71, defence expenditures had the highest share of
34 percent, interest component was 19 percent while subsidies were only 3 percent. However, by
1990-91, the largest component was the interest share of 29 percent with subsidies constituting 17
percent and defence only 15 percent. Therefore, besides the burden of servicing the public debt, the
subsidy burden was also quite great.
While Indias external debt and expenditure patterns were heading for unsustainable levels, the
proximate causes of the balance of payments crisis came from certain unforeseen external and
domestic political events. The First Gulf War caused a spike in oil prices leading to a sharp increase
in the governments fuel subsidy burden. Furthermore, the assassination of former Prime Minister
Rajiv Gandhi increased political uncertainties leading to the withdrawal of some foreign funds. The
subsequent economic reforms changed the Indian economy forever.
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Following the balance of payments crisis of 1991, the government commenced on a path of
economic liberalisation whereby the economy was opened up to foreign investment and trade, the
private sector was encouraged and the system of quotas and licences was dismantled. Fiscal policy
was re-oriented to cohere with these changes.
The Tax Reforms Committee provided a blue print for reforming both direct and indirect taxes. Its
main strategy was to reduce the proportion of trade taxes in total tax revenue, increase the share of
domestic consumption taxes by converting the excise into a VAT and enhance the contribution of
direct taxes to total revenue. It recommended reducing the rates of all major taxes, minimizing
exemptions and deductions, simplifying laws and procedures, improving tax administration and
increasing computerisation and information system modernisation (Rao and Rao, 2006).
As a part of the subsequent direct tax reforms, the personal income tax brackets were reduced to
three with rates of 20, 30 and 40 percent in 1992-93. Financial assets were removed from the
imposition of wealth tax and the maximum rate of wealth tax was reduced to 1 percent. Personal
income tax rates were reduced again to 10, 20, and 30 percent in 1997-98. The rates have largely
remained the same since with the exemption limit being increased and slab structure raised from
time to time. A subsequent 2 percent surcharge to fund education was later made applicable to all
taxes. The basic corporate tax rate was reduced to 50 percent and the rates for different closely held
companies made uniform at 55 percent. In 1993-94, the distinction between the closely held and the
widely held companies was removed and the uniform tax rate was brought down to 40 percent. The
rate was further reduced to 35 percent with a 10 percent tax on distributed dividends in 1997-98
(Rao and Rao, 2006).
Despite these reforms, the tax system continued to have preferential exemptions and deductions as
tax incentives for various socio-economic goals including location of industries in backward areas,
export promotion and technology development. This led to the phenomenon of zero-tax companies
whereby imaginative arrangements were use to leverage all these tax incentives with an intent to
minimise tax liabilities. To counter this trend, the Minimum Alternative Tax (MAT) was introduced in
1996-97. It required a company to pay a minimum of 30 percent of book profits as tax. Further
attempts to expand the tax base and increase revenues were the introduction of the securities
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transaction tax (STT) in 2004 and the fringe benefit tax (FBT) in the budget of 2005-06 (Rao and
Rao, 2006).
In indirect taxes, the MODVAT credit system for excise was expanded to cover most commodities
and provide a comprehensive credit system by 1996-97. The eleven rates were merged into three
with a few luxury items subject to additional non-rebatable tax in 1999-2000. In 2000-01, the three
rates were merged in to a single rate and renamed as central VAT (CENVAT). There remained three
additional excises of 8, 16 and 24 percent. In case of custom duties, in 1991-92 all duties on non-
agriculture goods that were above 150 percent were brought down to this rate. The peak rate was
brought down to 40 percent in 1997-98, 30 percent in 2002-03, 25 percent in 2003-04, and 15 percent
in 2005-06. The number of major duty rates was also brought down from 22 in 1990-91 to 4 in 2003-
04. These four rates covered almost 90 percent of customs collected from items. This period also
saw the introduction of the service tax in 1994-95, which was subsequently expanded to cover more
and more services. Given that the Indian economy was having an increasingly large service
component this increasingly became a major source of revenue. Eventually, provisions were made
for allowing input tax credits for both goods and services at the central indirect tax level (Rao and
Rao, 2006).
Despite the reforms in central taxes, even after the economic reforms of 1991, state government tax
reforms were inadequate and sporadic. A major move in this direction was the coordinated
simplification of the state sales tax system in 1999. This eventually led to the introduction of a VAT
in 21 states in 2005. The value added tax gives credit to taxes paid on inputs and provides relief
from cascading. Implemented at the retail level this replaced the cascading sales tax providing great
relief to consumers and traders alike while enhancing the revenues of the state government. The
administrative design of the VAT ensures reporting of inputs and outputs resulting in substantial
reduction in tax evasion. The basic features of the tax include two rates of 4 percent for common
consumption commodities and inputs and 12.5 percent for the others. Some essential items are
exempted and precious metals are taxed at 1 percent. The credit system covers inputs and
purchases as also capital goods for manufacturers as well as dealers. Credit for capital goods taxes
can be availed over three years of sales. The tax credit operates fully only for intra-state sales (Rao
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and Rao, 2006). This is a major hindrance to the formation of a smooth nationwide market and is to
be addressed by the proposed Goods and Services Tax (GST).
In consonance with the tax reform plans, the sources of central government revenue shifted from
indirect taxes towards direct taxes. In 1995-96, about 54 percent of revenues came from indirect
taxes while around 20 percent were from direct taxes (Figure 8). In 2000-01, the share of indirect
taxes had gone down dramatically to around 45 percent while the contribution from direct taxes had
increased to about 26 percent (Figure 9). By 2005-06, indirect taxes accounted for approximately 43
percent while the direct taxes share was about 35 percent (Figure 10).
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The post 1991 expenditure strategy focussed on reducing subsidies and cutting down on non-capital
expenditures. However, the large debt burden meant that the interest component would take a long
time to ebb. In 1995-96, of the central governments revenue expenditures, 9 percent went to
subsidies, 13 percent to defence and 36 percent to interest.
Five years later in 2000-01, defence and interest remained at 13 percent and 36 percent,
respectively, while subsidies increased slightly to 10 percent. This reveals that the composition of
government expenditure generally does not change very fast. By
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2005-06, the interest component had come down to 30 percent and defence and subsidies each
took up 11 percent. As a component of aggregate disbursements of the central and state
governments, the interest component continued to rise till around 2002- 03 and then started to
decline. Capital disbursements showed just the opposite trend falling till around 2002-03 and then
rising till 2007-08.
The rising revenues from tax administration reforms and expenditure control resulted in the deficits
being brought under control. The central governments revenue deficit went down to 2.37 percent of
GDP in 1996-97 while the GFD was 4.84 percent (Figure 14).
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The government was also more prudent about its external debt. The debt to GDP ratio went down
to 4.3 percent of GDP in 1995-96 and reached a further low point of 2.99 percent in 1999-00.
However, government debt and fiscal discipline again seemed to give way in the early 2000s. The
central governments revenue deficit climbed up to 4.4 percent of GDP in 2002-03 while the GFD
was at 5.91 percent of GDP. By 2003-04 the combined liabilities of the centre and the states were
up at 81.09 percent of GDP from 70.59 percent in 2000-01. The external liabilities were however
kept under control at only 1.67 percent of GDP in 2003-04.
It was obvious that a new fiscal discipline framework was urgently required. After around three years
of discussions, the FRBMA was adopted in 2003. This Act gave a medium term target for balancing
current revenues and expenditures and set overall limits to the fiscal deficit at 3 percent of GDP to
be achieved according to a phased deficit reduction roadmap. The FRBMA enhanced budgetary
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transparency by requiring the government to place before the Parliament on an annual basis reports
related to its economic assessments, taxation and expenditure strategy and three-year rolling targets
for the revenue and fiscal balance. It also required quarterly progress reviews to be placed in
Parliament. A large number of state governments also brought out their own fiscal discipline
legislations (Herd and Leibfritz, 2008).
These fiscal discipline legislations seemed to have had good impact at both the central and state
levels. The year before the global financial crisis in 2007-08, the central governments revenue deficit
came down to 1.06 percent of GDP while the GFD was
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1990-91 1991-92 1992-93 1993-94 1994-95 1995-96 1996-97 1997-98 1998-99 1999-00 2000-01
2001-02 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10
3.33 percent. The state governments achieved a revenue surplus of 0.58 percent of GDP and a GFD
of 1.81 percent of GDP by 2006-07. Even in the year of the crisis, in 2008-09 they had a small
revenue surplus of 0.19 percent of GDP and a GFD of 3.2 percent of GDP (Figure 15). This fiscal
discipline fed into other economic variables in a positive manner. The aggregate disbursements of
the central and state governments showed an increase in capital outlays from 11.87 percent in 2002-
03 to 18.59 percent 2007-08. Inflation was moderate and growth was buoyant at 9.6 percent in 2006-
07. This benign macroeconomic environment was disturbed by the global financial crisis.
Wibliography
1. http://dbie.rbi.org.in
2. http://www.livemint.com/Politics/GMNeUaC4foOacfqizkXIlI/Indias-fiscal-deficit-reaches-nearly-
43-of-budget-target-i.html
3. www.investopedia.com/terms/b/budget-deficit.asp
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