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Brent M. Eastwood
Founder @GovBrain
Nov 1 3 min read
Virginia Democrat Ralph Northam on the left and Republican Ed Gillespie on the right. (Photo:
RVA Mag)
https://medium.com/@beastwood1919/virginia-governors-race-govbrain-trend-analysis-has-candidates-in-dead-heat-1a6e5216ca 1/4
11/16/2017 Virginia Governors Race: GovBrain Trend Analysis Has Candidates in Dead Heat
types the name of the candidate, clicks enter, and watches the results
over time.
You can see how Gillespie started out ahead on the Trend Meter, but he
gave up the lead to Northam on October 21. Northam had his largest
lead on October 23, but then Gillespie began chipping away at the
de cit and caught up to Northam on October 31.
Money from outside groups has ooded into the state as the race is
seen as a testing ground for U.S. Senate elections and other statewide
contests around the country that are slated for 2018. Vice President
Mike Pence has campaigned for Gillespie and Trump often tweets his
support for the Republican ticket. Former President Barack Obama
appeared at a Richmond rally for Northam in October.
https://medium.com/@beastwood1919/virginia-governors-race-govbrain-trend-analysis-has-candidates-in-dead-heat-1a6e5216ca 2/4
11/16/2017 Virginia Governors Race: GovBrain Trend Analysis Has Candidates in Dead Heat
Polling results for the race have been scattered. Northam has led by 17
points in some surveys while Gillespie has been up by 8. Average
polling data compiled by RealClear Politics as of November 1 has
Northam winning by 3.6 percent.
The race on the Trend Meter is extremely close, but GovBrain gives the
advantage to Ralph Northam, since he has trended higher for more
days. But Gillespie is a strong closer and he could still win in an upset
that would worry a lot of national Democrats.
https://medium.com/@beastwood1919/virginia-governors-race-govbrain-trend-analysis-has-candidates-in-dead-heat-1a6e5216ca 3/4