Sunteți pe pagina 1din 4

Voir Holdings

Recommendation: HOLD
Stock Code: 7240 Bloomberg: VOIR MK Price: MYR0.61 12-Month Target Price: MYR0.61 Date: August 26, 2010

Board: Main Pr ice 30 Day Moving Aver age Pr ice ( MYR)


0.78
Sector: Trading/Services 0.76
0.74

GICS: Consumer Discretionary/Apparel, Accessories & 0.72

Luxury Goods 0.70


0.68

Market Value - Total: MYR73.2 mln 0.66


0.64
0.62
Summary: Voir Holdings is involved in the designing, 0.60
marketing and retailing of its own brand of fashion apparels,
accessories and of licensed casual and sports wear. Vol ume Vol ('000)
40,000

Analyst: Desmond Ch’ng, ACA 30,000


20,000
10,000
0
Oct 07 Dec 07 Mar 08 May 08 Jul 08 Sep 08 Dec 08 Feb 09 Apr 09 Jun 09 Aug 09 Nov 09 Jan 10 Mar 10 May 10 Aug 10

Results Review & Earnings Outlook Recommendation & Investment Risks


• Voir’s 2Q10 results were broadly within expectations. While 1H10 • With the ongoing recovery in its operational results, we raise our call to
results thus far account for just 24% of our full-year forecast, 2H is Hold from Sell. Our 12-month target price is increased to MYR0.61
traditionally and seasonally a stronger period for the group, due to the from MYR0.55 on rolling forward valuations and higher peer valuations.
concentration of festive seasons. Our forecasts are maintained.
• We have ascribed a target PER of 8.8x (8.2x) to our projected 2010
• 2Q10 revenue declined 22% QoQ, but this is expected, given that the earnings and included the projected net DPS over the next 12 months.
second quarter is typically a slow period. On a positive note, revenue Our target PER continues to be pegged to the valuations of a basket of
continues to improve - 1H10 revenue is up 18% YoY, benefiting from a fashion retailers. The upgrade in the target PER is due to higher peer
rebound in consumer demand from a low period in 1H09 during the valuations.
financial crisis. 1H10 saw maiden contributions from a new store in
Sabah (opened December 2009), three fashion shops in Melaka, and • Voir diversified into the food and beverage (F&B) segment as part of its
one fashion shop and an F&B outlet at The Curve. strategy to strengthen its presence in the mass middle-income market.
To this end, management targets to open another three Garden Café
• Its café operations contributed about MYR3 mln to revenue, more than outlets in 2H10. It also plans to open two Voir Gallery stores during this
double the MYR1.1 mln reported in 1H09. It also made a profit of period.
MYR0.18 mln in 1H10 vs. a loss of MYR130,000 in 1H09.
• Downside risks to our recommendation and target price include: (i)
• The benefits of cost restructuring in 2009 continue to flow through. slower-than-expected economic growth that would dampen consumer
1H10 operating profit margin was 5% vs. 3.4% in 1H09. As a result, sentiment and purchasing power; and (ii) lower-than-expected margins
1H10 net profit has since more than doubled YoY. The earnings would from increased competition and new store start-up costs.
have been higher if not for a bad debt write-off of MYR0.2 mln in
2Q10.

• Voir’s effective tax rate is expected to remain high, due to timing


differences arising from its more aggressive store depreciation policy.

Key Stock Statistics Per Share Data


FY Dec. 2009 2010E FY Dec. 2007 2008 2009 2010E
Reported EPS (sen) 4.3 6.0 Book Value (MYR) 3.17 0.58 0.60 0.64
PER (x) 14.2 10.1 Cash Flow (sen) 17.6 10.4 7.5 10.1
Dividend/Share (sen) 2.5 2.0 Reported Earnings (sen) 17.6 6.3 4.3 6.0
NTA/Share (MYR) 0.60 0.64 Dividend (sen) 1.5 0.0 2.5 2.0
Book Value/Share (MYR) 0.60 0.64 Payout Ratio (%) 10.5 0.0 82.4 27.6
No. of Outstanding Shares (mln) 120.0 PER (x) 3.5 9.6 14.2 10.1
52-week Share Price Range (MYR) 0.61 - 0.77 P/Cash Flow (x) 3.5 5.9 8.1 6.1
Major Shareholders: % P/Book Value (x) 0.2 1.0 1.0 0.9
Marvellous Future Sdn Bhd 55.8 Dividend Yield (%) 2.5 0.0 4.1 3.3
Ulasan Teguh Sdn Bhd 12.4 ROE (%) NA 11.6 7.2 9.7
Heng Kear Huat 6.3 Net Gearing (%) 42.5 36.5 28.4 25.3
* Stock deemed Shariah compliant by the Securities Commission.

All required disclosures and analyst certification appear on the last two pages of this report. Additional information is available upon request.
Redistribution or reproduction is prohibited without written permission. Copyright © 2010 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Page 1 of 4
Voir Holdings
Recommendation: HOLD
Stock Code: 7240 Bloomberg: VOIR MK Price: MYR0.61 12-Month Target Price: MYR0.61 Date: August 26, 2010

Quarterly Performance
FY Dec. / MYR mln 2Q10 2Q09 % Change
Reported Revenue 32.4 27.3 18.6
Reported Operating Profit 0.9 0.7 30.4
Depreciation & Amortization -1.3 -1.1 20.8
Net Interest Income / (Expense) -0.3 -0.4 -15.4
Reported Pre-tax Profit 0.6 0.3 89.7
Reported Net Profit 0.3 0.2 53.9
Reported Operating Margin (%) 2.8 2.5 -
Reported Pre-tax Margin (%) 1.8 1.1 -
Reported Net Margin (%) 0.9 0.7 -
Source: Company data

Profit & Loss


FY Dec. / MYR mln 2008 2009 2010E 2011E
Reported Revenue 149.4 149.7 172.0 188.4
Reported Operating Profit 12.8 9.4 12.9 13.9
Depreciation & Amortization -2.7 -3.9 -4.8 -5.2
Net Interest Income / (Expense) -2.1 -1.6 -1.5 -1.5
Reported Pre-tax Profit 12.7 7.8 11.2 12.2
Effective Tax Rate (%) 22.4 34.0 35.0 35.0
Reported Net Profit 9.8 5.2 7.3 7.9
Reported Operating Margin (%) 8.5 6.3 7.5 7.4
Reported Pre-tax Margin (%) 8.5 5.2 6.5 6.5
Reported Net Margin (%) 6.6 3.4 4.2 4.2
Source: Company data, S&P Equity Research

All required disclosures and analyst certification appear on the last two pages of this report. Additional information is available upon request.
Redistribution or reproduction is prohibited without written permission. Copyright © 2010 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Page 2 of 4
Required Disclosures

Standard & Poor’s Equity Research Services Standard & Poor's and its affiliates provide a wide range of services to, or relating
Standard & Poor’s Equity Research Services U.S. includes Standard & Poor’s to, many organizations, including issuers of securities, investment advisers, broker-
Investment Advisory Services LLC; Standard & Poor’s Equity Research Services dealers, investment banks, other financial institutions and financial intermediaries,
Europe includes Standard & Poor’s LLC- London; Standard & Poor’s Equity and accordingly may receive fees or other economic benefits from those
Research Services Asia includes Standard & Poor’s LLC’s offices in Hong Kong organizations, including organizations whose securities or services they may
and Singapore, Standard & Poor’s Malaysia Sdn Bhd, and Standard & Poor’s recommend, rate, include in model portfolios, evaluate or otherwise address.
Information Services (Australia) Pty Ltd.
CMDF-Bursa Research Scheme (“CBRS”)
Glossary
This report has been prepared by S&PM for purposes of CBRS administered by
Bursa Malaysia Berhad, independent from any influence from CBRS or the subject
Strong Buy: Total return is expected to outperform the total return of the KLCI or
company. S&P will receive total compensation of RM15,000 each year for each
KL Emas Index respectively, by a wide margin over the coming 12 months, with
company covered by it under CBRS. For more information about CBRS, please
shares rising in price on an absolute basis.
visit Bursa Malaysia’s website at: http://www.bursamalaysia.com/website/bm/
Buy: Total return is expected to outperform the total return of the KLCI or KL Emas
Index respectively, over the coming 12 months, with shares rising in price on an
absolute basis. Disclaimers
Hold: Total return is expected to closely approximate the total return of the KLCI or This material is based upon information that we consider to be reliable, but neither
KL Emas Index respectively, over the coming 12 months with shares generally S&P nor its affiliates warrant its completeness, accuracy or adequacy and it should
rising in price on an absolute basis. not be relied upon as such. With respect to reports issued to clients in Japan and in
Sell: Total return is expected to underperform the total return of the KLCI or KL the case of inconsistencies between the English and Japanese version of a report,
Emas Index respectively, over the coming 12 months and share price is not the English version prevails. With respect to reports issued to clients in Germany
anticipated to show a gain. and in the case of inconsistencies between the English and German version of a
Strong Sell: Total return is expected to underperform the total return of the KLCI or report, the English version prevails. Neither S&P nor its affiliates guarantee the
KL Emas Index respectively, over the coming 12 months by a wide margin, with accuracy of the translation. Assumptions, opinions and estimates constitute our
shares falling in price on an absolute basis. judgment as of the date of this material and are subject to change without notice.
Neither S&P nor its affiliates are responsible for any errors or omissions or for
results obtained from the use of this information. Past performance is not
S&P 12 Month Target Price – The S&P equity analyst’s projection of the market necessarily indicative of future results.
price a given security will command 12 months hence, based on a combination of
intrinsic, relative, and private market valuation metrics. This material is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of
any security or other financial instrument. Securities, financial instruments or
Shariah-compliant stock - As defined by the Shariah Advisory Council of strategies mentioned herein may not be suitable for all investors. Any opinions
Malaysia’s Securities Commission expressed herein are given in good faith, are subject to change without notice, and
are only correct as of the stated date of their issue. Prices, values, or income from
any securities or investments mentioned in this report may fall against the interests
Required Disclosures of the investor and the investor may get back less than the amount invested. Where
an investment is described as being likely to yield income, please note that the
All of the views expressed in this research report accurately reflect the amount of income that the investor will receive from such an investment may
research analyst's personal views regarding any and all of the subject fluctuate. Where an investment or security is denominated in a different currency to
securities or issuers. No part of analyst compensation was, is, or will be, the investor’s currency of reference, changes in rates of exchange may have an
directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendations or views adverse effect on the value, price or income of or from that investment to the
expressed in this research report. investor. The information contained in this report does not constitute advice on the
tax consequences of making any particular investment decision. This material is not
Additional information is available upon request. intended for any specific investor and does not take into account your particular
investment objectives, financial situations or needs and is not intended as a
Other Disclosures recommendation of particular securities, financial instruments or strategies to you.
This report has been prepared and issued by Standard & Poor’s and/or one of its Before acting on any recommendation in this material, you should consider whether
affiliates. In the United States, research reports are prepared by Standard & Poor’s it is suitable for your particular circumstances and, if necessary, seek professional
Investment Advisory Services LLC (“SPIAS”). In the United States, research reports advice.
are issued by Standard & Poor’s (“S&P”); in the United Kingdom by Standard &
For residents of the U.K. This report is only directed at and should only be relied on
Poor’s LLC (“S&P LLC”), which is authorized and regulated by the Financial
by persons outside of the United Kingdom or persons who are inside the United
Services Authority; in Hong Kong by Standard & Poor’s LLC, which is regulated by
Kingdom and who have professional experience in matters relating to investments
the Hong Kong Securities Futures Commission; in Singapore by Standard & Poor’s
or who are high net worth persons, as defined in Article 19(5) or Article 49(2) (a) to
LLC, which is regulated by the Monetary Authority of Singapore; in Malaysia by
(d) of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (Financial Promotion) Order
Standard & Poor’s Malaysia Sdn Bhd (“S&PM”), which is regulated by the
2005, respectively.
Securities Commission; in Australia by Standard & Poor’s Information Services
(Australia) Pty Ltd (“SPIS”), which is regulated by the Australian Securities & For residents of Singapore - Anything herein that may be construed as a
Investments Commission; and in Korea by SPIAS, which is also registered in Korea recommendation is intended for general circulation and does not take into account
as a cross-border investment advisory company. the specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any
particular person. Advice should be sought from a financial adviser regarding the
The research and analytical services performed by SPIAS, S&P LLC, S&PM, and suitability of an investment, taking into account the specific investment objectives,
SPIS are each conducted separately from any other analytical activity of Standard financial situation or particular needs of any person in receipt of the
& Poor’s. recommendation, before the person makes a commitment to purchase the
investment product.
A reference to a particular investment or security by Standard & Poor’s and/or one
of its affiliates is not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold such investment or For residents of Malaysia. All queries in relation to this report should be referred to
security, nor is it considered to be investment advice. Alexander Chia, Desmond Ch’ng or Ching Wah Tam.
Indexes are unmanaged, statistical composites and their returns do not include
payment of any sales charges or fees an investor would pay to purchase the
securities they represent. Such costs would lower performance. It is not possible to
invest directly in an index.

Redistribution or reproduction is prohibited without written permission. Copyright © 2010 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Page 3 of 4
Required Disclosures

Recommendation and Target Price History P rice (M YR)


Date Recommendation Target Price 0.74
New Hold 0.61
27-Aug-09 Sell 0.55 0.72
27-May-09 Sell 0.50
26-Feb-09 Sell 0.57 0.70
27-Nov-08 Hold 0.70
28-Jul-08 Hold 0.71 0.68

0.66

0.64

0.62

0.60
Oct 07 Jan 08 Apr 08 Jul 08 Oct 08 Jan 09 Apr 09 Jul 09 Oct 09 Jan 10 Apr 10 Jul 10

Redistribution or reproduction is prohibited without written permission. Copyright © 2010 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Page 4 of 4

S-ar putea să vă placă și