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Produksi

Tenaga
(Kg) _K Mandays
Bibit (Kg)Pupuk_A (Kg)
Pupuk_B(Kg)
Pendidikan
PRO TNG BIBIT PPKA PPKB PDDK SUMMARY OUTPUT
1 4912 38928 67 200 23 1
2 5086 32481 66 184 21 1 Regression Statistics
3 5253 35296 69 216 24 1 Multiple R 0.933392
4 4805 8359 59 219 25 1 R Square 0.87122
5 3325 7010 53 131 16 0 Adjusted R 0.852282
6 3971 10892 59 157 19 0 Standard E 290.3025
7 3868 9457 56 106 13 0 Observatio 40
8 4202 19897 57 164 19 0
9 2635 9255 41 126 16 0 ANOVA
10 4016 22620 56 103 12 0 df
11 4933 40551 59 251 28 1 Regression 5
12 4194 16988 64 229 26 0 Residual 34
13 4925 18650 70 231 26 1 Total 39
14 3544 13543 55 124 15 0
15 4834 26152 63 280 31 1 Coefficients
16 3436 5399 58 168 20 0 Intercept 1900.026
17 4842 55763 65 288 31 1 TNG 0.006496
18 5508 45880 74 330 36 1 BIBIT 33.13719
19 4424 14407 64 283 31 0 PPKA 17.18215
20 4945 29177 65 253 28 1 PPKB -150.219
21 4965 39196 60 215 24 1 PDDK 584.8364
22 4637 36290 68 218 25 1
23 4963 65314 67 242 27 1
24 4859 49882 68 268 30 1
25 5561 52729 69 309 34 1 RESIDUAL OUTPUT
26 5644 53606 72 328 36 1
27 4422 14693 67 226 25 1 Observation
Predicted PRO
28 5015 45859 59 192 22 1 1 4939.311
29 4145 16152 55 160 19 0 2 4889.819
30 4329 16671 57 143 17 0 3 5106.687
31 4934 36503 56 260 29 1 4 4501.661
32 3752 30921 54 179 21 0 5 3549.184
33 3690 49346 51 213 24 0 6 3769.302
34 5301 36687 63 223 25 1 7 3685.596
35 3664 8829 53 202 22 0 8 3881.799
36 5719 82338 69 303 33 1 9 3080.211
37 6314 82546 82 365 39 1 10 3869.775
38 4755 33489 73 225 25 1 11 4809.948
39 4983 14470 70 336 37 1 12 4160.166
40 3979 66614 62 132 16 0 13 4988.986
average 4582.225 32321 14 3687.841
15 4896.586
16 3739.267
7.05356 0% 17 5292.669
18 5497.257
19 4320.139
20 4969.251
21 4816.604
22 4964.151
23 5231.485
24 5160.454
25 5315.676
26 5446.806
27 4928.179
28 4731.999
29 3722.468
30 3800.457
31 4688.661
32 3811.292
33 3965.102
34 4886.955
35 3879.616
36 5555.141
37 6151.252
38 5231.917
39 5113.545
40 4251.785
TNG Line Fit Plot
8000
6000
4000
BIBIT Line Fit P
2000 8000 PRO
PPKA Lin

PRO
0 6000 Pred
8 2 1
4000 9 6 6 3 8
92 89 055 539 9198000 60 5 0 33
38 10 42000 5 3 36 82 PP

PRO
3 6000
0 4000
TNG 8000
7 9
6 5 2000 0 72 5 6 6 9
59 58 66000

PRO
0
SS MS F Significance F BIBIT 4000
0 7 5 1 68 1 5
20 15 2000

PRO
19384754 3876951 46.00326 0.0000 2 1 2
0
2865369 84275.57 PPKA
22250123 23 19

Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%


Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
622.7721 3.050917 0.004403 634.401 3165.652 634.401 3165.652
0.002842 2.285351 0.028651 0.000719 0.012272 0.000719 0.012272
9.868854 3.357755 0.001948 13.08127 53.19312 13.08127 53.19312
13.13206 1.308412 0.19951 -9.50541 43.8697 -9.50541 43.8697
127.7654 -1.17574 0.247865 -409.87 109.4311 -409.87 109.4311
140.3188 4.167912 0.0002 299.6743 869.9985 299.6743 869.9985

Uji Multikolinier
TNG BIBIT PPKA PPKB PDDK
TNG 1
Residuals BIBIT 0.542702 1
-27.3108 PPKA 0.538133 0.735053 1
196.1812 PPKB 0.528246 0.727142 0.998482 1
146.3132 PDDK 0.501417 0.689374 0.686324 0.683231 1
303.3392
-224.184
201.6978
182.404
320.2013
-445.211
146.2249
123.0515
33.8341
-63.986
-143.841
-62.5862
-303.267
-450.669
10.7427
103.8614
-24.2511
148.3959
-327.151
-268.485
-301.454
245.3242
197.1938
-506.179
283.0012
422.5315
528.5434
245.3388
-59.2917
-275.102
414.0449
-215.616
163.8594
162.7483
-476.917
-130.545
-272.785
NG Line Fit Plot
BIBIT Line Fit Plot
000 PRO
000 PPKA Line Fit Plot
Predicted PRO
1
000 9 6 6 3 8
55 39 198000 60 5 0 33 PRO
0005 39 6000
5 3 36 82 PPKB Line Fit Plot
Predicted PRO
0 4000
TNG 8000 PRO
67 592000 0 72 5 6 6 9
59 58 66000 PDDK Line Fit Plot
PRO

Predicted PRO
0
4000
0 7 51 68 18000
BIBIT 5 2 8 60 03 PRO
20 15 2000
PRO

2 1 2 6000 3 2 3 Predicted PRO


0
PPKA 4000 PRO
23 192000
28 20 2 4 36 29 3 3
PRO

Predicted PRO
0 PPKB
1 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 0

PDDK
LogPRO LogTNG LogBIBIT PDDK
1 3.691258 4.590262 1.826075 1 SUMMARY OUTPUT
2 3.706376 4.511629 1.819544 1
3 3.720407 4.547725 1.838849 1 Regression Statistics
4 3.681693 3.922154 1.770852 1 Multiple R 0.928291
5 3.521792 3.845718 1.724276 0 R Square 0.861725
6 3.5989 4.037108 1.770852 0 Adjusted R 0.850202
7 3.587486 3.975753 1.748188 0 Standard E 0.029356
8 3.623456 4.298788 1.755875 0 Observatio 40
9 3.420781 3.966376 1.612784 0
10 3.603794 4.354493 1.748188 0 ANOVA
11 3.693111 4.608002 1.770852 1 df SS MS
12 3.622628 4.230142 1.80618 0 Regression 3 0.193345 0.064448
13 3.692406 4.270679 1.845098 1 Residual 36 0.031025 0.000862
14 3.549494 4.131715 1.740363 0 Total 39 0.22437
15 3.684307 4.417505 1.799341 1
16 3.536053 3.732313 1.763428 0 Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat
17 3.685025 4.746346 1.812913 1 Intercept 2.21812 0.205793 10.77841
18 3.740994 4.661623 1.869232 1 LogTNG 0.052736 0.018841 2.798943
19 3.645815 4.158574 1.80618 0 LogBIBIT 0.653077 0.120589 5.415734
20 3.694166 4.465041 1.812913 1 PDDK 0.05678 0.013801 4.114075
21 3.695919 4.593242 1.778151 1
22 3.666237 4.559787 1.832509 1
23 3.695744 4.815006 1.826075 1
24 3.686547 4.697944 1.832509 1 RESIDUAL OUTPUT
25 3.745153 4.72205 1.838849 1
26 3.751587 4.729213 1.857332 1 Observation
Predicted LogPRO
Residuals
27 3.645619 4.16711 1.826075 1 1 3.709538 -0.01828
28 3.700271 4.661425 1.770852 1 2 3.701126 0.00525
29 3.617525 4.208226 1.740363 0 3 3.715637 0.00477
30 3.636388 4.221962 1.755875 0 4 3.63824 0.043453
31 3.693199 4.562329 1.748188 1 5 3.547011 -0.02522
32 3.574263 4.490254 1.732394 0 6 3.587522 0.011378
33 3.567026 4.693252 1.70757 0 7 3.569485 0.018001
34 3.724358 4.564512 1.799341 1 8 3.591541 0.031916
35 3.563955 3.945912 1.724276 0 9 3.480561 -0.05978
36 3.75732 4.9156 1.838849 1 10 3.589458 0.014336
37 3.800305 4.916696 1.913814 1 11 3.674409 0.018702
38 3.677151 4.524902 1.863323 1 12 3.620774 0.001855
39 3.697491 4.160469 1.845098 1 13 3.705108 -0.0127
40 3.599774 4.823566 1.792392 0 14 3.572599 -0.02311
15 3.682968 0.001339
16 3.5666 -0.03055
17 3.709174 -0.02415
18 3.741486 -0.00049
19 3.616999 0.028816
20 3.694339 -0.00017
21 3.678397 0.017522
22 3.712133 -0.0459
23 3.72139 -0.02565
24 3.719419 -0.03287
25 3.72483 0.020322
26 3.737279 0.014308
27 3.687223 -0.0416
28 3.677226 0.023045
29 3.576634 0.04089
30 3.587489 0.048899
31 3.657199 0.036
32 3.586303 -0.01204
33 3.580796 -0.01377
34 3.69072 0.033637
35 3.552295 0.011661
36 3.735037 0.022283
37 3.784053 0.016252
38 3.730417 -0.05327
39 3.699296 -0.00181
40 3.643063 -0.04329
LogTNG Line Fit Plot
4
3.8
3.6
3.4 LogBIBIT Line Fit Plot
3.2 4 LogPRO

LogPRO
1 6 27 853.8 3.67 PDDK Line Fit Plo
5 49 02 84 3 7 Predicted LogPRO
2 09 763 156 33.432 41 7 1 34 8 55 0 31
6 0 0 1 2 2 42 0 3.2 LogPRO

LogPRO
9 02 371 080 323 593 729762361566 6 4 4 7 7
5 0 6 7 . . 5 11.9 11 93 50 96 02 90 Predicted
4. 4. 4. 3. 4 4 8042. 03.8 4 0 9 2 4 8 0
4 2 2 7 1 2 8 9
07 85 3.6
LogTNG 8 5 3 42 8 1 5 7 33 4 8 1 8 84

LogPRO
26 770 7703.4
8 76 77 85 .7 83
1 . 1. 1. 1 . 1. 1 . 1 1 . PDD
F Significance F 3.2LogBIBIT 4
74.7833813349 1.56E-15 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 3.8 1 1 1 1 1 0

PDDK 3.6

LogPRO
3.4
3.2
1 1 0 0 0 1
P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%
Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
8.076558239E-13 1.800753 2.635487 1.800753 2.635487
0.0081874968 0.014524 0.090948 0.014524 0.090948
4.197385562E-06 0.408511 0.897642 0.408511 0.897642
0.0002158165 0.02879 0.084771 0.02879 0.084771
Plot
ine Fit Plot
LogPRO
DDKPredicted
LineLogPRO
Fit Plot
LogPRO
4 7 7 Predicted LogPRO
96 8 02 090
8 9
8 1 8 84 LogPRO
.8
3
PDDK Line Fit Plot
Predicted LogPRO
4
1 0 0 1 3.8
1 1 1 1 1 0

PDDK 3.6
LogPRO

LogPRO
3.4
3.2
1 1 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 0 1 0 0 1 1

PDDK
Bulan Bulan 2016 2017 Log2016 log2017
Januari 1 28849 39880 4.460131 4.600755 #N/A
Februari 2 32059 39752 4.50595 4.599359 #N/A 2016 Movi
Maret 3 35058 41095 4.544787 4.613789 31988.67 40000
April 4 34030 43932 4.531862 4.642781 33715.67
35000
Mei 5 33110 41950 4.519959 4.622732 34066

Value
Juni 6 35344 43867 4.548316 4.642138 34161.33 30000
Juli 7 37902 41929 4.578662 4.622515 35452 25000
Agustus 8 36946 45379 4.567567 4.656855 36730.67 1 2 3 4 5
September 9 37873 45640 4.57833 4.659346 37573.67 bulan
Oktober 10 35945 45412 4.555638 4.657171 36921.33
Nopember 11 38278 4.582949 37365.33
Desember 12 39439 4.595926 37887.33

SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.881909
R Square 0.777763
Adjusted R 0.75554
Standard E 1.782691 2016 Lin
Observatio 12 15
10
ANOVA 5
Bulan

df SS MS F Significance F 0
Regression 1 111.2201 111.2201 34.99706 0.000148 9 8 0 2
84 05 11 90
Residual 10 31.77986 3.177986 28 35 33 37 3
Total 11 143 2016

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%
Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
Intercept -30.6548 6.30162 -4.86459 0.000657 -44.6957 -16.6139 -44.6957 -16.6139
2016 0.001049 0.000177 5.915831 0.000148 0.000654 0.001445 0.000654 0.001445

RESIDUAL OUTPUT

Observation
Predicted Bulan
Residuals
1 -0.37809 1.37809
2 2.99077 -0.99077
3 6.138189 -3.13819
4 5.059314 -1.05931
5 4.093784 0.906216
6 6.438343 -0.43834
7 9.122936 -2.12294
8 8.119624 -0.11962
9 9.092501 -0.0925
10 7.069086 2.930914
11 9.517544 1.482456
12 10.736 1.263999
#N/A
2016 Moving Average #N/A 2017 Moving Ave
40000 40242.33 46000
41593 44000
35000 42000
42325.67 40000
Value

Value
Forecast
30000 43249.67 38000
42582 36000
25000
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 43725
bulan 44316 bulan
45477

2016 Line Fit Plot


15
10
5 Bulan
Bulan

0 Predicted Bulan
-5 49 8 0 2 3 8
2016 Line Fit Plot
2 8 8
3 5 05 3 11 790 787 827
3 3 3 3
15
2016
10
5 Bulan
Bulan

0 Predicted Bulan
9 8 0 2 3 8
84 05 11 90 87 27
28 35 33 37 37 38

2016

Upper 95.0%
2017 Moving Average
6000
4000
2000
0000 Forecast
8000
6000
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

bulan
Bulan Bulan 2016 2017 Log2016 log2017 SUMMARY OUTPUT
Januari 1 28849 39880 4.460131 4.600755
Februari 2 32059 39752 4.50595 4.599359 Regression Statistics
Maret 3 35058 41095 4.544787 4.613789 Multiple R 0.881909
April 4 34030 43932 4.531862 4.642781 R Square 0.777763
Mei 5 33110 41950 4.519959 4.622732 Adjusted R 0.75554
Juni 6 35344 43867 4.548316 4.642138 Standard E 1.782691
Juli 7 37902 41929 4.578662 4.622515 Observatio 12
Agustus 8 36946 45379 4.567567 4.656855
September 9 37873 45640 4.57833 4.659346 ANOVA
Oktober 10 35945 45412 4.555638 4.657171 df SS
Nopember 11 38278 4.582949 Regression 1 111.2201
Desember 12 39439 4.595926 Residual 10 31.77986
Total 11 143

Coefficients
Standard Error
Intercept -30.6548 6.30162
2016 0.001049 0.000177

RESIDUAL OUTPUT

Observation
Predicted Bulan
Residuals
1 -0.37809 1.37809
2 2.99077 -0.99077
3 6.138189 -3.13819
4 5.059314 -1.05931
5 4.093784 0.906216
6 6.438343 -0.43834
7 9.122936 -2.12294
8 8.119624 -0.11962
9 9.092501 -0.0925
10 7.069086 2.930914
11 9.517544 1.482456
12 10.736 1.263999
2016 Residual Plot
14
4
12
2 10

Residuals
0 8
28000630000 32000 34000 36000 38000 40000 42000
-2 Bulan
-4 4 Predi
2 2016
0
MS F Significance F -2
111.2201 34.99706 0.000148
3.177986

t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%


Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
-4.86459 0.000657 -44.6957 -16.6139 -44.6957 -16.6139
5.915831 0.000148 0.000654 0.001445 0.000654 0.001445
sidual Plot

4000 36000 38000 40000 42000


Bulan
Predicted Bulan
2016
Bulan Bulan 2016 2017 Log2016 log2017 SUMMARY OUTPUT
Januari 1 28849 39880 4.460131 4.600755
Februari 2 32059 39752 4.50595 4.599359
Maret 3 35058 41095 4.544787 4.613789 Observation
April 4 34030 43932 4.531862 4.642781
Mei 5 33110 41950 4.519959 4.622732
Juni 6 35344 43867 4.548316 4.642138
Juli 7 37902 41929 4.578662 4.622515
Agustus 8 36946 45379 4.567567 4.656855
September 9 37873 45640 4.57833 4.659346
Oktober 10 35945 45412 4.555638 4.657171
Nopember 11 38278 46494.67 4.582949
Desember 12 39439 47151.22 4.595926

SUMMARY OUTPUT
RESIDUAL OUTPUT

Observation
Predicted Bulan
Residuals
1 -0.62387 1.623871
2 3.111837 -1.11184
3 6.278289 -3.27829
4 5.224479 -1.22448
5 4.254029 0.745971
6 6.565978 -0.56598
7 9.040168 -2.04017
8 8.1356 -0.1356
9 9.013065 -0.01306
10 7.163016 2.836984
11 9.389702 1.610298
12 10.44771 1.552292
RESIDUAL OUTPUT 2016 Line Fit Plot
15
Observation
Predicted Bulan
Residuals 10
1 -0.37809 1.37809 5 Bulan

Bulan
2 2.99077 -0.99077 0 Predicted Bulan
3 6.138189 -3.13819 -5 49 58 10 02 73 78
8 0 1 9 8 2
4 5.059314 -1.05931 2 8 35 3 3 37 37 38
5 4.093784 0.906216 2016
6 6.438343 -0.43834
7 9.122936 -2.12294
8 8.119624 -0.11962
9 9.092501 -0.0925
10 7.069086 2.930914
11 9.517544 1.482456
12 10.736 1.263999

Log2016 Line Fit Plot


15
10
5
0 Bulan
-5
Bulan

7 7 8 3 9 1 Predicted Bulan
7 6 3 1 3 6 1 8 0 1 2 7 7 07 2 3 8
0 7 9 2 9 9
0 13 4 7 8 9 9 5 8 66 8 3 2 2 9 4
4 6 54 51 5 7 57 58
4 . 4. 4. 4 . 4. 4.
Log2016
e Fit Plot

Bulan
Predicted Bulan
73 27
8
38

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