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Studies in Family Planning
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Abortion Research in Latin America
SANTIAGO GASLONDE SAINZ
The incidence of induced abortion in Latin America iL in- that they have had abortions, and the effect of preventive
creasing even though it is illegal in most countries in the re- measures (family planning programs) on its incidence.
gion. The few countries that do allow abortion permit it only Problems and issues in the use of data from such surveys
in special, limited situations. Consequently, abortions are are discussed below, and findings from some of the major
often carried out under unsafe circumstances that endanger studies are presented.
the health and life of the woman. This contributes to maternal
mortality, and it also results in a high use of obstetrical and
Problems in Abortion Research
gynecological services and expends human and material re-
sources that are needed for other health areas. Comparisons of the various studies and interpretations of
All family planning programs in the region, whether official the findings are hampered by differences in definitions, cri-
or private, have public health objectives aimed primarily at teria, and methodology used and by misunderstandings of
reducing the practice of abortion. In order to plan preventive what the data represent. These main problem areas are dis-
programs, and particularly, in order to be able to evaluate cussed here in an attempt to foster wiser use of past survey
the effectiveness of such programs in achieving their goals, data and better design of future studies.
it is especially important to know the scope and nature of
the problem.
COMPARABILITY OF STUDIES
211
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not been included in this report because they are not compara- under investigation. The exact figure used in the adjustment
ble with data for other countries. Although in some of these is, however, of relatively little importance. What is crucial
surveys attempts were made to separate induced abortions is always to use the same proportion for the whole country,
from those reported as spontaneous, the validity of the-se data whether making regional comparisons between different
is doubtful" (p. 16). groups of women at one point in time or the same group
We cannot avoid admitting that they are right, even though of women over a period of time. If this is done, the margin
the criticism might apply to some of this author's own work. of error of the measurement tends, with successive compari-
In Latin American investigations that attempted to separate sons, to be cancelled out, as is true with any measuring instru-
spontaneous abortions from induced abortions, the number ment. In any case, the error will probably be smaller than
of induced abortions was seriously underreported. The find- that of the investigator who insists on separate survey data
ings were not even consistent with hospital data on cases for spontaneous and induced abortions.
of complications from induced abortions. Such medical evi- From the public health point of view, however, the distinc-
dence leaves little room for doubt, even though the woman tion between spontaneous and induced abortion remains an
herself may deny that the abortion was induced. important one. Whereas in both cases patients with complica-
In most studies, only fetal "losses" (perdidas) have been tions are hospitalized (it is not known what proportion of
recorded, with no attempt made to distinguish between spon- cases do require hospitalization), induced abortions tend to
taneous and induced abortion.2 The research has been carried present more serious complications than spontaneous abor-
out in this way for reasons that investigators (this author tions and therefore cost more in terms of bed-days, staff time,
among them) find valid in the Latin American setting, where antibiotics, blood transfusions, and so forth. Abortion pre-
it is quite unrealistic to believe that women who have induced vention in the two cases is rooted in different approaches:
an abortion will admit to this in an interview. As many obste- prevention of spontaneous abortion is fundamentally a medi-
tricians and gynecologists well know, often women hospi- cal matter, while prevention of induced abortion is basically
talized for treatment of complications of an abortion will deny a social matter (that is, if we consider family planning a social
that it was induced, even when there is incontrovertible proof and not a strictly medical issue).
(such as a piece of the probe still in the uterus or injuries In general, this author believes that making a distinction
to the woman or fetus). Such a woman does not trust her between the two types of abortion is not advisable in the
physician to keep a secret, and she would have even less study of abortion as a social phenomenon under current con-
confidence in the word of a stranger who comes to her home ditions in most countries of Latin America. The distinction
for an interview. is important, however, in the context of prevention and treat-
In an environment where the combined weight of tradition, ment, and it should be made in the study of abortions requir-
prejudice, religion, the low status of women, the law, and ing hospitalization where more reliable data can be obtained.
other factors that influence and create moral and legal sanc- Better still would be a combination of the two types of stud-
tions against induced abortion encourages only secrecy, pre- ies.
tense, and lying, one can hardly expect the statements of
the women interviewed about induced abortion to reflect, or
EVALUATION OF UNDERREPORTING
even approach, the truth. The exception may be women living
in areas where induced abortion, although not legal, is an Most surveys of induced abortion are retrospective in na-
accepted fact of life and is viewed with indifference by public ture. The measures used are the proportion of abortions
authorities. However, where women do not dare to tell the among all pregnancies or the rate of abortions to women inter-
truth about this subject, many of them will tell half-truths viewed about their total fertility history or a specific period
and call induced abortions "losses" if they are offered the of their history. Not only is there always a high degree of
chance. A loss signifies something spontaneous or involuntary distortion present when such an approach is used, but the
and is therefore not morally or legally sanctionable. It can results do not give the current incidence of abortion or the
be reported without risk. If this opportunity is not given to incidence at any point in the past, although they may show
the woman, however, she will usually say nothing about in- trends in the level of abortion over time. In reporting her
duced abortions and, if pressured, may refuse to continue history, a respondent is most likely to forget abortions in the
the interview. By asking about losses and not abortions, the distant past, somewhat less likely to forget stillbirths, and
investigator is likely to obtain more reliable total abortion least likely to forget live births, particularly if the offspring
figures. are still alive at the time of the interview. Thus, the number
After estimating the percentage of spontaneous abortions of pregnancies terminated in abortion, and as a result the
in all pregnancies, it is possible to arrive at an estimate of proportion of pregnancies terminated in abortion, appear very
the number of induced abortions by subtraction. The problem low and often do not even reach the level one would confi-
lies in determining this arbitrary percentage. Authors differ dently predict for spontaneous abortions. This is an effect
greatly as to how they think this should be done (see French in addition to the intentional misreporting of pregnancies and
and Bierman, 1952; UN Population Division, 1954; and World outcomes.
Health Organization, 1970). The percentage of spontaneous If we assume little fluctuation in the extent of underreport-
abortions in all pregnancies can differ from country to ing at any given time or place, it becomes possible to identify
country, by social class, ethnic group, and by age and parity. by age, marital status, socioeconomic or educational level,
It is therefore rather difficult to settle on a measurement for and parity, those groups of women who are at greatest risk
the incidence of spontaneous abortions among all pregnancies of abortion. These women can then become the prime target
so that this figure reflects the true state of affairs in the area for any preventive action contemplated.
The issue of underreporting is more problematic, however,
2The term perdidas ordinarily includes stillbirths. when examining trends over time. For example, events in
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TABLE 1 Annual changes in pregnancy rates, proportions of pregnancies ending in
abortion, and abortion rates in four major Latin American cities during the late 1960s
aCalculated as annual change in the 2.5 year span between the earlier four-year period and the middle of the
latter year.
SOURCE: Gaslonde (1973).
the distant past are more often forgotten than recent ones. INTERPRETATION OF SUMMARY MEASURES
The sample size diminishes the further back in time one goes.
Even when one considers the summary measures of abor-
Women of childbearing age at the time of the survey may
tions per 1,000 pregnancies or abortions per 1,000 women,
have been children themselves ten years earlier. On the other
there is room for disagreement in interpretation.3 The proba-
hand, there may be some gains resulting from greater honesty
bility that a woman will abort in any given year is the product
of responses about distant events. Some investigators think
of two probabilities-the probability of becoming pregnant
that women are more inclined to tell the truth about past abor-
multiplied by the probability of aborting once she is pregnant
tions than about recent incidents because the "blame"-and
(as measured by the proportion of abortions among pregnan-
therefore the sanction-for abortions that occurred long ago
cies).
remains buried in the past. Some scholars argue that young
women are now less inhibited about discussing their abortions If we let P = pregnancies observed during the year
than older generations were and that their greater candor has A = abortions undergone in the same year
created a false impression that the incidence of abortion has W = women interviewed
risen recently. However, in the Latin American Studies Pro- pP = probability of becoming pregnant =
gram (PEAL) surveys conducted by CELADE in Bogota, P/W
Buenos Aires, Lima, and Panama City during the late 1960s pAP= probability of aborting a pregnancy =
(Gaslonde, 1973), both younger (20-34) and older (35-44) A/P
women reported increasing proportions of pregnancies ending pA probability a woman will abort = A/W
in abortion except in Buenos Aires, where the proportions then, pP x pAP= pA, or
fell for both age groups, and among younger women in Pan- P A = A
ama City, where the figure was unchanged between 1963-66 w P W.
and 1967 (see Table 1).
Using this equation with measures from the PEAL survey
in Lima, Panama City, and Buenos Aires (Gaslonde, 1973)
STANDARDIZATION OF COMPARISONS for four-year periods in the mid- and late-1960s, we have the
following annual probabilities:
Another kind of distortion-one that can be attributed to
the analyst rather than to the survey instrument or to respon-
Becoming Aborting A woman's
dent bias or error-occurs when comparisons are made, for pregnant a pregnancy aborting
example, between women of differing socioeconomic or edu- City (P/W) (A/P) (A/W)
cational levels, and when investigators fail to standardize for
Lima 0.161 x 0.123 = 0.0198
age and marital status. These different groups of women may Panama City 0.144 x 0.165 = 0.0238
have very different characteristics. The category "illiterate" Buenos Aires 0.088 x 0.217 = 0.0190
is composed predominantly of older women in consensual
unions while "university graduates" are usually younger,
3The ratio of abortions to live births is rarely used by Latin American authors.
single, or legally married women. Standardization often pro-
The two measures described here are more appropriately characterized as
duces corrected measurements that are very different from proportions than as ratios since, by definition, a proportion occurs within the
those obtained from the general sample. universe that defines it, i.e., the numerator is included in the denominator.
213
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TABLE 2 Abortion rates among sexually active women by contraceptive use status:
Panama City, 1968
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1,000 women. This finding demonstrates that, despite laws naire can determine whether intercourse after the last men-
against abortion in Latin America, women are increasingly struation was protected or unprotected. For the second cate-
resorting to abortion. gory, reasons for abstinence (absence of mate, separation,
illness, and so forth) are coded; and in the final category,
again, contraceptive use or nonuse is classified.
IMPACT OF FAMILY PLANNING
From the total observations one can calculate woman-
As discussed earlier, comparative studies of the effect of months of sexual activity according to whether they were
family planning on abortion aid in the planning and evaluation protected or unprotected and numbers of abortions and births
of family planning programs aimed at reducing the practice throughout the year. Using the Gaslonde-Carrasco technique
of abortion. One way to do this using data from abortion (Gaslonde and Carrasco, 1973), one can then compare cate-
surveys is to examine changes in proportions of pregnancies gories of woman-months for live births and abortions avoided
ending in abortion and in rates of abortion per 1,000 women through the use of contraception, especially use as a result
in comparison with changes in the pregnancy rate. Data in of family planning programs. Such comparisons permit the
Table 1, from the PEAL studies, show such information for conclusion that women who use effective methods of contra-
Bogota, Lima, Panama City, and Buenos Aires. It is assumed ception have fewer abortions than those who use less effec-
that all changes in pregnancy rates per 1,000 women over tive methods, and that even those women who use the less
the time period studied can be ascribed to changes in contra- effective methods have fewer abortions than those who do
ceptive practice rather than to factors affecting exposure to not practice contraception at all.4
coitus (age at which sexual relations begin, celibacy, dissolu-
tion of unions, voluntary and involuntary abstinence, and fre-
Summary
quency of coitus).
Even though the proportion of abortions per 1,000 pregnan- Surveys dealing with abortion in Latin America have pro-
cies rose in Bogota, Lima, and Panama City, decreases in vided useful information despite problems in the collection
the pregnancy rates (assumed to be results of contraceptive and use of the data. Considerations that should be taken into
practice) resulted in decreased rates of abortion per 1,000 account in designing abortion surveys and using the resultant
women aged 20-34 in Bogota and Panama City, and among information have been discussed here. Special attention has
women aged 35-44 in Lima. The decrease in pregnancies per been paid to the need for a broad definition of "abortion"
woman in the 20-34 age group in Lima was not large enough, in order to overcome difficulties in gathering information
however, to offset the steep rise in the proportion of pregnan- about abortion in Latin America.
cies ending in abortion. In Buenos Aires, on the other hand, Surveys have shown increasing incidence of abortion
pregnancy rates rose, but the proportion of pregnancies end- throughout Latin America in the recent past. In examining
ing in abortion fell for both age groups. The actual figures changes over time it is crucial to interpret clearly and care-
show that Buenos Aires was also distinguished from the other fully the summary measures of proportion of pregnancies
cities by lower rates of pregnancies per 1,000 women. Al- ending in abortion and abortion rates per 1,000 women. It
though surveys have shown that use of contraceptives is is also important to realize that the level and direction of
widespread in Buenos Aires, the methods most used are the change of the abortion rate depends on both the rate at which
traditional ones with low use-effectiveness. While they do women are becoming pregnant and the proportion of pregnan-
help lower the pregnancy rate, high failure rates lead to a cies ending in abortion.
high number of unwanted pregnancies, which are then termi- Better survey design and techniques and more careful use
nated by abortion. of the resulting information will aid in the planning and evalu-
While such survey data are useful, contraceptive use is nec- ation of programs aimed at reducing abortion in Latin
essarily inferred rather than documented from them. Compar- America.
ative measures of pregnancies and abortions to contraceptive
users and nonusers can be calculated from the sexual history
4The technique in question has a distinct advantage over other techniques
data obtained from questionnaires in the CELADE abortion used to calculate births and abortions averted. It is not based on hypothetical
surveys, as was done for Panama City in the preceding discus- situations with probabilities calculated for other times and other places (e.g.,
sion. These questionnaires are designed to record the sexual probabilities of having sexual relations, of becoming separated or widowed,
of dying at a still-fertile age) but, rather, the method is based on actual findings
activity of the respondent during the 12 months prior to the among groups of women at a given point in time. In addition, the previous
survey. The 12 months are divided among three categories: year's sexual activity report, unlike a pregnancy history, provides information
on contraceptive use for each month of the year and is therefore a much more
(1) months of pregnancy, (2) months of abstinence, and (3)
reliable measure. For other uses of the sexual activity history, see Gaslonde
months of sexual activity. In the first category the question- and Bocaz (1970).
215
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APPENDIX Summary of abortion data from major surveys in Latin America
Abortions per
Abortions 1,o000 women
Age at per, 1,000
Location survey Years pregnancies Annual Total Source Comments
Argentina
Buenos Aires 20-49 1963 246 12 In 1968-69 (3), cumulative abortions per 1,000 women by
15-44 1964-67 217 88 3 socioeconomic level were: low, 293; middle, 276; high, 463.
15-44 1968 188 99 3
15-49 1968-69 297 3
Chile
Santiago 20-24 1961 155 44.9 10 Family planning activities intensified between 1963 and 1967
20-24 1966 201 56.5 10
Quinta Normal 1964 232 16 Survey in low-income area of Santiago.
Colombia
Bogota 15-44 1964-67 115 16 3
15-44 1968 147 18 3
Urban areas 15-49 1969 .111 171 2 Urban = population over 20,000; rural = under 20,000.
Rural areas 15-49 1969 76 219 2 Prada (2, 15) found evidence of serious underreporting.
Costa Rica
San Jose 20-49 1963 120 7 Gomez (7) found evidence of underreporting.
Mexico
Mexico City 20-49 1963 155 12
1968 128 267 1 1
Nicaragua
Managua 1968 90 13 Only 4 percent of abortions were reported as induced.
Panama
Panama City 20-49 1963 98 211 1 Almost all abortions reported as spontaneous.
15-44 1964-67 165 24 4 1968-69 study (4) found that cumulative abortion rates per
15-44 1968 192 27 4 1,000 women by socioeconomic level and standardized for
age and marital status were: low, 334; middle, 332; high, 205.
Paraguay
Asuncion 15-44 1965 110 15 5 Increase in abortion in Paraguay occurred before the initiation
15-44 1966 130 18 5 of family planning activities in 1969.
15-44 1967 159 21 5
15-44 1968 207 31 5
15-44 1969 237 35 5
15-49 1971 146 5
Coronel
Oviedo and
Villarrica 15-44 1965 108 22 5
15-44 1966 125 24 5
15-44 1967 143 26 5
15-44 1968 147 27 5
15-44 1969 162 28 5
15-49 1971 125 5
Kaakupe and
Ypacarai 15-44 1965 75 12 5
15-44 1966 89 13 5
15-44 1967 152 18 5
15-44 1968 186 24 5
15-44 1969 186 24 5
15-49 1971 124 5
Peru
Lima 15-44 1965-68 123 20 4 1965 survey (8) of women aged 20-40, 96 percent of whom
15-44 1969 227 32 4 were married or cohabiting, found abortions per 1,000
pregnancies by socioeconomic level were: low, 150; middle,
198; high, 191.
NOTE: The measures refer to all fetal deaths (induced and spontaneous abortions as well as stillbirths) except for Chile where only induced abortions are shown.
216
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area metropolitana" [Report on the fertility survey in the metro- 14. Plaza, S., and H. Briones. 1963. "El aborto como un problema
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ABOUTTHE AUTHOR Santiago Gaslonde Sainz, M.D., is medi-
aborto provocado, saber y empleo de las contraceptivas en la ciu-
dad de Managua, 1968" [Survey on induced abortion, knowledge cal director of the Office of Coordination, Family Planning
and use of contraceptives in the city of Managua, 1968]. Managua: Program, Ministry of Health and Social Services, Caracas,
National Institute of Social Security. Venezuela.
217
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