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Universidad Nacional de Ingeniería

SECCIÓN DE POSGRADO
FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍA CIVIL
MAESTRÍA EN INGENIERÍA

CÓDIGO: C-702 HIDROLOGÍA AVANZADA

TRABAJO ENCARGADO N° 2
Análisis, Tratamiento, Completación y Extensión
de la Información Hidrometeorológica
Alumno:
Diego Armando Miranda Sánchez

Profesor: Ing° Walter Obando Licera. Dr.(c)

Fecha: 13 de Junio de 2014

Semestre académico 2014-1


Lima - Perú
TRABAJO ENCARGADO N° 2 Análisis, Tratamiento, Completación y Extensión de la
Información Hidrometeorológica.

1- Desarrollar el marco conceptual del rellenado diario.

CHEREQUE (1980), El manejo estadístico de la información pluviométrica, es decir el estudio de


su comportamiento según un modelo matemático, sólo es posible realizarlo cuando la
información reúne estos tres requisitos: es completa, consistente y de extensión suficiente. Es
por eso que, una información pluviométrica antes de ser estudiada en su comportamiento
debe ser revisada en estos tres aspectos, en la forma cómo se describe enseguida.

Frecuentemente se halla uno con que faltan datos en los registros de lluvias. Esto se debe a
ausentismo del operador o a fallas instrumentales.

Se llama correlación a la operación o procedimiento por medio del cual se completan los
datos faltantes. Para ello se utilizan los datos de estaciones índices, que sí tienen los datos
completos y que se seleccionan de modo que estén lo más cerca posible y sean de altitud
parecida a la estación en estudio. Distancia y altitud son pues los factores principales para la
selección de las estaciones índice.

Métodos de estimación

Método del U.S. Weather Bureau.- Si los datos faltantes son lluvias diarias, se escogen tres
estaciones índice A, B, C.

a) Si la precipitación anual media en cada estación índice (xA, xB, xC) está dentro de un
10 % de la correspondiente a la estación incompleta (x), un promedio aritmético
simple de las precipitaciones en las estaciones índice da una estimación adecuada.

b) Si la precipitación anual media en cualquiera de las estaciones índice difiere de


aquella de la estación problema en más de un 10 % se utiliza la formula

Método de los promedios.- Se escoge una estación índice (A) cuya precipitación anual media
es x A; si la estación problema es la estación x, se halla su correspondiente precipitación anual
media x y se establece la proporción, de donde se puede despejar x que es el dato faltante.
Hay que tener cuidado de hallar los valores medios para el período común de registros. Si hay
dos o tres estaciones índice se procede igual con cada una de ellas, obteniéndose 2 ó 3 valores
de x. El valor final de x será el promedio de esos valores.

2- Caracterizar la precipitación en la Vertiente del Titicaca.

SENAMHI (2012) El procesamiento y análisis de la precipitación, se inició con el proceso de


consistenciado y homogenización de la serie histórica, completado de información y
finalmente la determinación del gradiente pluviométrico. Permitido caracterizar y zonificar el
régimen de precipitaciones a nivel nacional y por vertientes:
 Pacífico: varía entre 0 mm y 750 mm, promedio de 274,3 mm.
 Atlántico: varía entre 0 mm y 5500 mm, promedio de 2060,8 mm.
 Lago Titicaca: varía entre 0 mm y 1500 mm, promedio de 813,5 mm.

3- Efectuar el Análisis, Tratamiento, Completación y Extensión de la Información


pluviométrica de las 13 estaciones con información disponible (periodo 1971 – 2011, 41
años).

Se procedió a realizar el análisis, tratamiento, completación y extención de la información


pluviométrica de las 13 estaciones ver el anexo 1.

BIBLIOGRAFIA

(1) WENDOR CHEREQUE MORAN

(2) www.senamhi.gob.pe/pdf/estudios/hidro_ArtiBHSMultianual.pdf

ANEXOS
GRAFICO 2.1 ANALISIS DE DOBLE MASA
Precipitación Total Anual Histórica
40000.0

R² = 0.9985 ARAPA
R² = 0.9986 CHUQUIBAMBILLA
35000.0 R² = 0.9994 LLALLI
R² = 0.9978 AYAVIRI
R² = 0.9977 SANTA ROSA
PRECIPITACIÓN ACUMULADA ESTACIÓN ANALIZADAS (mm).

R² = 0.9993 PROGRESO
30000.0
R² = 0.9997 PUCARÁ
R² = 0.9996 AZÁNGARO
R² = 0.9992 LAMPA
25000.0
R² = 0.999 PAMPAHUTA
R² = 0.9992 JULIACA
R² = 0.9971 TARACO
20000.0 R² = 0.9994 LA RAYA

15000.0

10000.0

5000.0

0.0
0 5000 10000 15000 20000 25000 30000 35000

PRECIPITACIÓN ACUMULADA ESTACIÓN PROMEDIO (mm).


CUADRO N° 2.1
Análisis de Doble Masa: PRECIPITACIÓN MEDIA MENSUAL HISTÓRICA (mm); PERIODO: 1971 - 2011

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
ESTACIÓN
ARAPA CHUQUIBAMBILLA LLALLI AYAVIRI SANTA ROSA PROGRESO PUCARÁ AZÁNGARO LAMPA PAMPAHUTA JULIACA TARACO LA RAYA PROMEDIO

N° AÑO Anual Acumul. Anual Acumul. Anual Acumul. Anual Acumul. Anual Acumul. Anual Acumul. Anual Acumul. Anual Acumul. Anual Acumul. Anual Acumul. Anual Acumul. Anual Acumul. Anual Acumul. Anual Acumul.

1 1971 530.1 530.1 559.1 559.1 728.5 728.5 490.2 490.2 912.6 912.6 537.8 537.8 722.9 722.9 510.9 510.9 566.4 566.4 818.5 818.5 591.6 591.6 402.9 402.9 926.4 926.4 638.301 638.301
2 1972 757.0 1287.1 645.4 1204.5 862.7 1591.2 610.8 1101.0 978.6 1891.2 639.9 1177.7 606.4 1,329.3 599.7 1,110.6 668.3 1,234.7 755.6 1,574.1 666.5 1,258.1 567.9 970.8 926.4 1,852.8 714.247 1352.55
3 1973 777.9 2065.0 701.6 1906.1 854.6 2445.8 869.9 1970.9 1224.9 3116.1 784.2 1961.9 827.6 2,156.9 716.8 1,827.4 820.1 2,054.8 1,064.1 2,638.2 559.8 1,817.9 563.7 1,534.5 926.4 2,779.2 822.431 2174.98
4 1974 744.6 2809.6 627.2 2533.3 1013.6 3459.4 788.9 2759.8 1197.9 4314.0 552.4 2514.3 717.1 2,874.0 569.7 2,397.1 673.5 2,728.3 815.5 3,453.7 535.6 2,353.5 630.1 2,164.6 938.5 3,717.7 754.2 2929.18
5 1975 546.4 3356.0 761.2 3294.5 726.1 4185.5 804.4 3564.2 1223.8 5537.8 553.3 3067.6 800.9 3,674.9 607.9 3,005.0 651.3 3,379.6 942.8 4,396.5 662.4 3,015.9 577.7 2,742.3 804.1 4,521.8 743.254 3672.43
6 1976 524.4 3880.4 605.5 3900.0 783.0 4968.5 371.0 3935.2 978.8 6516.6 626.7 3694.3 747.7 4,422.6 512.2 3,517.2 569.1 3,948.7 681.6 5,078.1 431.7 3,447.6 406.2 3,148.5 727.8 5,249.6 612.746 4285.18
7 1977 711.0 4591.4 693.4 4593.4 772.1 5740.6 337.3 4272.5 1383.7 7900.3 598.9 4293.2 827.0 5,249.6 565.4 4,082.6 853.9 4,802.6 711.6 5,789.7 605.6 4,053.2 647.5 3,796.0 934.3 6,183.9 741.668 5026.85
8 1978 788.0 5379.4 824.2 5417.6 1104.6 6845.2 853.0 5125.5 1171.5 9071.8 823.8 5117.0 1,133.0 6,382.6 812.8 4,895.4 1,192.0 5,994.6 852.3 6,642.0 715.7 4,768.9 684.7 4,480.7 1,215.7 7,399.6 936.253 5963.1
9 1979 813.1 6192.5 537.0 5954.6 855.5 7700.7 670.8 5796.3 970.0 10041.8 583.6 5700.6 785.2 7,167.8 497.9 5,393.3 719.7 6,714.3 722.4 7,364.4 489.1 5,258.0 609.5 5,090.2 1,063.3 8,462.9 716.703 6679.8
10 1980 898.4 7090.9 650.6 6605.2 603.2 8303.9 696.2 6492.5 886.2 10928.1 498.9 6199.5 567.8 7,735.6 473.7 5,867.0 647.5 7,361.8 637.8 8,002.2 521.0 5,779.0 466.3 5,556.5 845.5 9,308.4 645.623 7325.43
11 1981 1029.4 8120.3 851.1 7456.3 842.5 9146.4 718.5 7211.0 886.2 11814.3 698.7 6898.2 831.7 8,567.3 623.8 6,490.8 871.6 8,233.4 934.2 8,936.4 809.2 6,588.2 748.3 6,304.8 493.3 9,801.7 795.273 8120.7
12 1982 766.2 8886.5 767.4 8223.7 842.5 9988.9 891.6 8102.6 886.2 12700.5 588.7 7486.9 788.3 9,355.6 508.7 6,999.5 861.7 9,095.1 722.1 9,658.5 712.8 7,301.0 578.6 6,883.4 915.6 10,717.3 756.182 8876.88
13 1983 434.0 9320.5 362.7 8586.4 842.5 10831.4 389.1 8491.7 886.2 13586.7 355.1 7842.0 454.7 9,810.3 604.3 7,603.7 360.6 9,455.7 388.0 10,046.5 420.7 7,721.7 355.9 7,239.3 603.6 11,320.9 496.721 9373.6
14 1984 1130.0 10450.5 1012.5 9598.9 842.5 11673.9 2150.3 10642.0 886.2 14472.9 532.1 8374.1 1,275.7 11,086.0 854.4 8,458.1 1,158.6 10,614.3 1,202.0 11,248.5 1,044.6 8,766.3 1,049.8 8,289.1 1,213.3 12,534.2 1104 10477.6
15 1985 1304.5 11755.0 741.7 10340.6 842.5 12516.4 1542.0 12184.0 886.2 15359.2 707.8 9081.9 1,106.7 12,192.7 778.2 9,236.4 1,369.1 11,983.4 984.1 12,232.6 845.9 9,612.2 1,269.8 9,558.9 1,134.2 13,668.4 1039.44 11517
16 1986 1002.7 12757.7 697.7 11038.3 842.5 13358.8 856.0 13040.0 923.7 16282.9 827.8 9909.7 889.5 13,082.2 522.3 9,758.6 739.5 12,722.9 1,071.1 13,303.7 690.6 10,302.8 1,098.5 10,657.4 1,063.7 14,732.1 863.507 12380.6
17 1987 580.5 13338.2 490.4 11528.7 842.5 14201.3 564.9 13604.9 676.3 16959.2 677.9 10587.6 646.8 13,729.0 627.4 10,386.0 641.5 13,364.4 513.7 13,817.4 491.4 10,794.2 659.6 11,317.0 908.6 15,640.7 640.11 13020.7
18 1988 780.6 14118.8 653.7 12182.4 842.5 15043.8 653.4 14258.3 886.2 17845.4 569.5 11157.1 757.3 14,486.3 604.3 10,990.3 751.3 14,115.7 731.7 14,549.1 697.1 11,491.3 662.7 11,979.7 970.2 16,610.9 735.42 13756.1
19 1989 514.1 14632.9 651.4 12833.8 842.5 15886.3 611.7 14870.0 875.4 18720.8 687.1 11844.2 614.1 15,100.4 496.7 11,487.0 500.2 14,615.9 640.1 15,189.2 495.1 11,986.4 465.2 12,444.9 989.6 17,600.5 644.861 14400.9
20 1990 606.5 15239.4 785.6 13619.4 842.5 16728.8 657.8 15527.8 1006.1 19726.9 493.1 12337.3 776.1 15,876.5 614.5 12,101.5 551.7 15,167.6 684.2 15,873.4 447.0 12,433.4 717.4 13,162.3 938.3 18,538.8 701.6 15102.5
21 1991 645.7 15885.1 641.6 14261.0 842.5 17571.3 649.0 16176.8 696.4 20423.3 565.8 12903.1 717.9 16,594.4 604.3 12,705.8 616.1 15,783.7 748.4 16,621.8 499.4 12,932.8 655.3 13,817.6 835.3 19,374.1 670.59 15773.1
22 1992 514.0 16399.1 592.3 14853.3 842.5 18413.8 481.5 16658.3 460.5 20883.8 550.4 13453.5 683.1 17,277.5 591.3 13,297.1 516.9 16,300.6 492.2 17,114.0 291.5 13,224.3 542.3 14,359.9 818.4 20,192.5 567.454 16340.6
23 1993 748.6 17147.7 850.3 15703.6 890.3 19304.1 845.0 17503.3 962.0 21845.8 912.2 14365.7 794.5 18,072.0 742.2 14,039.3 664.6 16,965.2 924.0 18,038.0 683.3 13,907.6 616.7 14,976.6 1,114.8 21,307.3 826.81 17167.4
24 1994 720.4 17868.1 795.2 16498.8 832.4 20136.5 608.2 18111.5 1032.9 22878.7 658.8 15024.5 734.2 18,806.2 612.1 14,651.4 636.6 17,601.8 933.0 18,971.0 633.7 14,541.2 622.4 15,599.0 926.4 22,233.7 749.715 17917.1
25 1995 585.8 18453.9 575.2 17074.0 701.1 20837.6 567.4 18678.9 870.0 23748.7 469.9 15494.4 500.0 19,306.2 460.1 15,111.5 482.7 18,084.5 669.2 19,640.2 560.4 15,101.6 661.2 16,260.2 926.4 23,160.1 617.645 18534.8
26 1996 506.1 18960.0 617.7 17691.7 773.4 21611.0 584.8 19263.7 1014.5 24763.2 555.6 16050.0 631.6 19,937.8 538.3 15,649.8 708.4 18,792.9 957.9 20,598.1 474.9 15,576.6 432.1 16,692.3 926.4 24,086.5 670.904 19205.7
27 1997 796.0 19756.0 985.6 18677.3 976.4 22587.4 849.6 20113.3 1237.0 26000.3 812.6 16862.6 832.9 20,770.7 795.9 16,445.7 857.7 19,650.6 851.5 21,449.6 686.2 16,262.8 710.9 17,403.2 926.4 25,012.9 870.672 20076.3
28 1998 532.0 20288.0 677.7 19355.0 780.8 23368.2 558.5 20671.8 744.0 26744.3 489.0 17351.6 551.4 21,322.1 433.1 16,878.9 568.0 20,218.6 629.5 22,079.1 627.3 16,890.1 531.1 17,934.3 926.4 25,939.3 619.145 20695.5
29 1999 565.3 20853.3 776.8 20131.8 936.5 24304.7 649.6 21321.4 850.8 27595.1 581.2 17932.8 606.2 21,928.3 514.3 17,393.2 744.1 20,962.7 930.8 23,009.9 627.3 17,517.5 544.6 18,478.9 926.4 26,865.7 711.842 21407.3
30 2000 622.8 21476.1 792.7 20924.5 874.1 25178.8 702.7 22024.1 839.5 28434.6 604.5 18537.3 675.4 22,603.7 527.6 17,920.8 686.6 21,649.3 928.0 23,937.9 627.3 18,144.8 459.7 18,938.6 926.4 27,792.2 712.873 22120.2
31 2001 917.3 22393.4 689.9 21614.4 739.7 25918.5 684.2 22708.3 745.8 29180.4 649.9 19187.2 892.2 23,495.9 777.0 18,697.8 787.2 22,436.5 959.2 24,897.1 820.1 18,964.9 416.6 19,355.2 926.4 28,718.6 769.654 22889.9
32 2002 847.8 23241.2 947.5 22561.9 986.4 26904.9 843.1 23551.4 931.3 30111.7 873.4 20060.6 1,022.6 24,518.5 970.3 19,668.1 828.5 23,265.0 980.5 25,877.6 802.2 19,767.1 571.7 19,926.9 926.4 29,645.0 887.054 23776.9
33 2003 641.0 23882.2 774.7 23336.6 677.7 27582.6 734.8 24286.2 737.9 30849.6 622.3 20682.9 728.3 25,246.8 630.8 20,298.9 702.6 23,967.6 868.7 26,746.3 646.1 20,413.2 590.0 20,516.9 926.4 30,571.4 713.947 24490.9
34 2004 740.9 24623.1 792.9 24129.5 787.0 28369.6 860.3 25146.5 760.5 31610.1 783.2 21466.1 995.3 26,242.1 611.7 20,910.6 748.3 24,715.9 721.9 27,468.2 618.8 21,032.0 593.6 21,110.5 926.4 31,497.8 764.677 25255.5
35 2005 633.1 25256.2 738.4 24867.9 817.0 29186.6 706.4 25852.9 694.1 32304.2 555.0 22021.1 698.3 26,940.4 524.9 21,435.5 861.6 25,577.5 812.7 28,280.9 720.8 21,752.8 597.6 21,708.1 926.4 32,424.2 714.331 25969.9
36 2006 486.4 25742.6 778.7 25646.6 958.5 30145.1 702.3 26555.2 850.0 33154.2 527.3 22548.4 713.8 27,654.2 525.3 21,960.8 692.2 26,269.7 862.1 29,143.0 621.3 22,374.1 578.0 22,286.1 926.4 33,350.6 709.408 26679.3
37 2007 630.3 26372.9 596.6 26243.2 917.9 31063.0 656.0 27211.2 777.5 33931.7 584.7 23133.1 645.8 28,300.0 636.7 22,597.5 753.1 27,022.8 877.4 30,020.4 647.8 23,021.9 535.1 22,821.2 926.4 34,277.0 706.559 27385.8
38 2008 650.2 27023.1 620.7 26863.9 798.2 31861.2 631.6 27842.8 654.8 34586.5 474.8 23607.9 630.1 28,930.1 538.0 23,135.5 646.5 27,669.3 644.0 30,664.4 650.7 23,672.6 456.8 23,278.0 926.4 35,203.4 640.212 28026
39 2009 583.5 27606.6 656.7 27520.6 811.9 32673.1 622.3 28465.1 676.9 35263.4 532.4 24140.3 611.1 29,541.2 551.0 23,686.5 688.2 28,357.5 636.1 31,300.5 599.6 24,272.2 460.6 23,738.6 926.4 36,129.8 642.823 28668.9
40 2010 534.7 28141.3 705.8 28226.4 838.5 33511.6 615.3 29080.4 789.0 36052.4 548.4 24688.7 711.4 30,252.6 493.6 24,180.1 552.6 28,910.1 842.1 32,142.6 441.2 24,713.4 527.0 24,265.6 926.4 37,056.2 655.847 29324.7
41 2011 757.7 28899.0 793.9 29020.3 1028.2 34539.8 736.2 29816.6 847.7 36900.1 710.9 25399.6 619.4 30,872.0 591.2 24,771.3 1,006.1 29,916.2 806.8 32,949.4 600.9 25,314.3 566.6 24,832.2 926.4 37,982.6 768.616 30093.3
GRAFICO 2.2 ANALISIS DE DOBLE MASA
Precipitación Total Anual Histórica: Estaciones Pucara y Arapa
35000.0

30000.0
PRECIPITACIÓN ACUMULADA ESTACIÓN ARAPA (mm).

25000.0

20000.0

15000.0

10000.0

5000.0

0.0
0.0 5,000.0 10,000.0 15,000.0 20,000.0 25,000.0 30,000.0 35,000.0

PRECIPITACIÓN ACUMULADA ESTACIÓN PUCARA (mm).


CUADRO N° 3.1
ESTACIÓN ARAPA: PRECIPITACIÓN TOTAL ANUAL HISTÓRICA (1971 - 2011)
ANÁLISIS ESTADÍSTICO : PRUEBAS DE "T" DE STUDENT Y DE FISHER "F"

PRECIPITACIÓN
PRECIPITACIÓN PERIODOS TOTAL ANUAL
AÑOS
ANUAL MUESTRALES CORREGIDA
(mm) (mm)
1 1971 480.2
2 1972 746.2
3 1973 770.7 PERIODO 1 : "DUDOSO"
4 1974 731.6 1971 - 1983
5 1975 499.3
6 1976 473.5 Longitud muestral : N1 = 13
7 1977 692.2 Media del período : X1 = 699.2
8 1978 782.5 Desviación Std. : S1 = 195.7
9 1979 811.9
10 1980 911.9
11 1981 1,065.5
12 1982 757.0
13 1983 367.5
1 1984 1,130.0
2 1985 1,304.5
3 1986 1,002.7
4 1987 580.5
5 1988 780.6
6 1989 514.1
7 1990 606.5
8 1991 645.7
9 1992 514.0
10 1993 748.6 PERIODO 2 : "CONFIABLE"
11 1994 720.4 1984 - 2011
12 1995 585.8
13 1996 506.1 Longitud muestral : N2 = 28
14 1997 796.0 Media del período : X2 = 699.2
15 1998 532.0 Desviación Std. : S2 = 195.7
16 1999 565.3
17 2000 622.8
18 2001 917.3
19 2002 847.8
20 2003 641.0
21 2004 740.9
22 2005 633.1
23 2006 486.4
24 2007 630.3
25 2008 650.2
26 2009 583.5
27 2010 534.7
28 2011 757.7
PRUEBA "T" DE STUDENT
Criterio : Si Tt > Tc : Homogeneidad; Si Tt < Tc : No Homogeneidad
Tc = 0.000 Grados de Libertad = 39
Tt = 2.023 Tc < Tt α= 0.95
Las medias X1 y X2 son Estadísticamente Homogéneas
NO CORREGIR LA PRECIPITACIÓN EN LA MEDIA
PRUEBA "F" DE FISHER
Criterio : Si Ft > Fc : Homogeneidad; Si Ft < Fc : No Homogeneidad
Fc = 1.000 Grados de Libertad : M1 = 27
Ft = 2.132 Fc < Ft M2 = 12
Las desviaciones standard S1 y S2 son Estadísticamente Homogéneas
NO CORREGIR LA PRECIPITACIÓN EN LA DESVIACIÓN ESTÁNDAR
PROCEDIMIENTO DE CORRECCIÓN
Xi = ( ( (Xo - X1) / S1 ) * S2 ) + X2
Xi = valor corregido; Xo = valor por corregir; X1 y S1 = media y desviación estándar
del periodo dudoso; X2 y S2 = media y desviación estándar del periodo confiable
Prueba t para dos muestras suponiendo varianzas iguales

Variable 1Variable 2
Media 699.231 699.23
Varianza 38310.7 38311
Observaciones 13 28
Varianza agrupada 38310.7
Diferencia hipotética de las medias 0
Grados de libertad 39
Estadístico t -1.7E-15
P(T<=t) una cola 0.5
Valor crítico de t (una cola) 1.68488
P(T<=t) dos colas 1
Valor crítico de t (dos colas) 2.02269

Prueba F para varianzas de dos muestras

Variable 1Variable 2
Media 699.231 699.23
Varianza 38310.7 38311
Observaciones 13 28
Grados de libertad 12 27
F 1
P(F<=f) una cola 0.47472
Valor crítico para F (una cola) 2.1323
CUADRO N° 3.1
ESTACIÓN ARAPA: PRECIPITACIÓN TOTAL ANUAL HISTÓRICA (1971 - 2011)
ANÁLISIS ESTADÍSTICO : PRUEBAS DE "T" DE STUDENT Y DE FISHER "F"

PRECIPITACIÓN
PRECIPITACIÓN PERIODOS TOTAL ANUAL
AÑOS
ANUAL MUESTRALES CORREGIDA
(mm) (mm)
1 1971 530.1 480.17
2 1972 757.0 746.17
3 1973 777.9 PERIODO 1 : "DUDOSO" 770.67
4 1974 744.6 1971 - 1983 731.63
5 1975 546.4 499.28
6 1976 524.4 Longitud muestral : N1 = 13 473.49
7 1977 711.0 Media del período : X1 = 717.0 692.24
8 1978 788.0 Desviación Std. : S1 = 167.0 782.53
9 1979 813.1 811.93
10 1980 898.4 911.93
11 1981 1,029.4 1065.50
12 1982 766.2 756.95
13 1983 434.0 367.52
1 1984 1,130.0
2 1985 1,304.5
3 1986 1,002.7
4 1987 580.5
5 1988 780.6
6 1989 514.1
7 1990 606.5
8 1991 645.7
9 1992 514.0
10 1993 748.6 PERIODO 2 : "CONFIABLE"
11 1994 720.4 1984 - 2011
12 1995 585.8
13 1996 506.1 Longitud muestral : N2 = 28
14 1997 796.0 Media del período : X2 = 699.2
15 1998 532.0 Desviación Std. : S2 = 195.7
16 1999 565.3
17 2000 622.8
18 2001 917.3
19 2002 847.8
20 2003 641.0
21 2004 740.9
22 2005 633.1
23 2006 486.4
24 2007 630.3
25 2008 650.2
26 2009 583.5
27 2010 534.7
28 2011 757.7
PRUEBA "T" DE STUDENT
Criterio : Si Tt > Tc : Homogeneidad; Si Tt < Tc : No Homogeneidad
Tc = 0.282 Grados de Libertad = 39
Tt = 2.023 Tc < Tt α= 0.95
Las medias X1 y X2 son Estadísticamente Homogéneas
NO CORREGIR LA PRECIPITACIÓN EN LA MEDIA
PRUEBA "F" DE FISHER
Criterio : Si Ft > Fc : Homogeneidad; Si Ft < Fc : No Homogeneidad
Fc = 0.728 Grados de Libertad : M1 = 27
Ft = 0.403 Fc > Ft M2 = 12
Las desviaciones standard S1 y S2 son Estadísticamente no Homogéneas
CORREGIR LA PRECIPITACIÓN EN LA DESVIACIÓN ESTÁNDAR
PROCEDIMIENTO DE CORRECCIÓN
Xi = ( ( (Xo - X1) / S1 ) * S2 ) + X2
Xi = valor corregido; Xo = valor por corregir; X1 y S1 = media y desviación estándar
del periodo dudoso; X2 y S2 = media y desviación estándar del periodo confiable
Prueba t para dos muestras suponiendo varianzas iguales

Variable 1Variable 2
Media 716.963 699.23
Varianza 27877.1 38311
Observaciones 13 28
Varianza agrupada 35100.4
Diferencia hipotética de las medias 0
Grados de libertad 39
Estadístico t 0.28201
P(T<=t) una cola 0.38971
Valor crítico de t (una cola) 1.68488
P(T<=t) dos colas 0.77943
Valor crítico de t (dos colas) 2.02269

Prueba F para varianzas de dos muestras

Variable 1Variable 2
Media 716.963 699.23
Varianza 27877.1 38311
Observaciones 13 28
Grados de libertad 12 27
F 0.72766
P(F<=f) una cola 0.28707
Valor crítico para F (una cola) 0.4026
CUADRO N° 1.1
ESTACIÓN ARAPA: PRECIPITACIÓN MEDIA MENSUAL HISTÓRICA (mm); PERIODO: 1971 - 2011

AÑO ENE FEB MAR ABR MAY JUN JUL AGO SEP OCT NOV DIC TOTAL

1 1971 121.00 166.30 24.50 35.90 2.80 0.00 0.00 12.60 2.00 35.20 53.10 76.70 530.10
2 1972 171.20 101.60 123.80 37.20 9.90 0.00 1.40 5.10 36.00 35.20 112.10 123.50 757.00
3 1973 201.70 107.60 162.20 85.80 17.30 0.50 5.40 16.40 44.90 38.10 58.00 40.00 777.90
4 1974 227.00 132.80 118.90 35.90 1.70 8.50 1.70 41.60 16.80 44.90 36.70 78.10 744.60
5 1975 164.30 128.00 138.20 24.40 28.70 8.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.00 6.70 45.30 546.40
6 1976 164.90 71.40 63.60 11.80 19.40 2.60 4.00 10.80 68.60 0.30 23.40 83.60 524.40
7 1977 95.40 148.50 101.50 7.40 5.60 0.00 3.40 0.00 38.60 68.60 109.40 132.60 711.00
8 1978 196.10 108.80 103.60 45.60 10.12 10.20 0.20 0.00 11.00 23.20 137.20 142.00 788.02
9 1979 173.00 59.60 139.50 113.00 0.20 0.00 0.00 8.40 0.20 111.20 73.60 134.40 813.10
10 1980 212.60 125.20 166.60 28.00 19.00 0.00 25.10 50.40 85.60 71.70 53.80 60.40 898.40
11 1981 172.20 135.30 219.70 80.10 4.00 0.10 0.00 65.10 8.80 83.90 89.40 170.80 1,029.40
12 1982 167.30 44.60 141.40 63.30 0.40 0.00 0.00 1.80 74.10 93.40 110.50 69.40 766.20
13 1983 52.80 106.50 64.00 45.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 35.70 36.40 18.70 74.30 434.00
14 1984 212.50 160.30 294.60 38.80 17.30 1.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 74.60 171.30 159.10 1,130.00
15 1985 301.10 263.30 152.80 111.90 0.00 36.80 0.00 4.70 18.90 20.20 166.10 228.70 1,304.50
16 1986 105.20 327.80 188.90 47.47 0.00 0.00 2.10 44.80 48.20 69.20 69.63 99.39 1,002.68
17 1987 144.68 46.90 86.60 21.70 2.80 4.30 22.20 33.30 6.00 38.50 125.00 48.50 580.48
18 1988 164.20 56.90 163.00 127.90 59.40 0.00 0.80 0.00 6.00 58.30 6.60 137.50 780.60
19 1989 116.70 73.90 85.90 75.10 3.90 11.70 0.00 9.20 50.20 24.70 27.20 35.60 514.10
20 1990 113.60 84.40 27.30 19.60 6.70 72.80 0.00 5.50 19.50 105.90 47.00 104.20 606.50
21 1991 148.90 96.10 117.40 31.00 11.50 59.60 1.80 2.30 16.00 37.60 51.80 71.70 645.70
22 1992 99.60 64.70 32.80 11.90 0.00 11.00 0.60 86.70 13.30 73.10 58.30 62.00 514.00
23 1993 125.50 73.10 111.70 91.10 11.80 3.50 0.00 19.80 22.00 103.80 74.70 111.60 748.60
24 1994 100.60 154.90 107.50 145.20 8.00 0.40 0.00 3.00 11.90 21.00 72.40 95.50 720.40
25 1995 82.40 122.80 131.50 6.40 4.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.00 19.50 80.30 129.60 585.80
26 1996 155.70 38.70 80.80 9.30 13.00 0.00 1.70 4.70 22.50 40.70 46.20 92.80 506.10
27 1997 193.20 129.90 141.80 55.40 2.50 0.00 0.00 18.70 36.80 31.80 107.00 78.90 796.00
28 1998 78.90 107.60 131.60 59.00 0.00 4.30 0.00 1.40 0.90 42.70 72.60 33.00 532.00
29 1999 99.80 68.00 134.60 52.00 3.50 1.00 0.00 0.50 48.30 72.20 52.30 33.10 565.30
30 2000 187.80 102.20 68.00 2.90 15.60 15.60 1.60 27.50 6.40 93.90 11.40 89.90 622.80
31 2001 210.00 209.40 129.40 57.90 27.00 3.20 9.20 9.00 9.60 75.70 45.20 131.70 917.30
32 2002 90.40 198.80 91.70 70.30 47.80 6.50 23.60 20.40 17.70 119.10 54.20 107.30 847.80
33 2003 179.20 82.60 145.80 37.70 7.80 11.40 0.00 3.50 19.20 19.40 59.80 74.60 641.00
34 2004 219.00 144.40 125.40 35.60 8.40 5.60 7.80 17.10 43.80 5.60 57.60 70.60 740.90
35 2005 90.00 154.80 83.80 20.50 1.00 0.00 0.00 5.20 22.80 60.00 68.20 126.80 633.10
36 2006 131.80 42.40 55.20 18.40 0.00 2.60 0.00 1.40 19.00 80.60 67.40 67.60 486.40
37 2007 77.80 48.80 158.80 98.20 15.80 1.80 1.00 1.20 59.80 17.00 68.30 81.80 630.30
38 2008 146.20 74.90 53.00 0.00 8.60 0.40 0.00 0.00 7.60 52.20 156.50 150.80 650.20
39 2009 41.10 139.10 113.00 44.40 0.00 0.00 3.60 0.00 11.60 35.20 82.00 113.50 583.50
40 2010 105.80 181.80 55.40 35.70 10.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 17.70 16.10 111.40 534.70
41 2011 90.80 185.30 76.30 6.70 8.30 0.60 7.60 0.90 48.60 78.90 56.90 196.80 757.70

MEDIA 144.68 118.78 114.93 47.47 10.12 6.96 3.04 13.00 24.83 52.03 69.63 99.39 704.85
MÍNIMA 41.10 38.70 24.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.30 6.60 33.00 434.00
MÁXIMA 301.10 327.80 294.60 145.20 59.40 72.80 25.10 86.70 85.60 119.10 171.30 228.70 1,304.50

(). Celda marcada de azul: DATO COMPLETADO CON MEDIA ORIGINAL SIN INCLUSIÓN DE DATO.
CUADRO N° 1.1 EXTENCIÓN CON HEC4
ESTACIÓN ARAPA: PRECIPITACIÓN MEDIA MENSUAL HISTÓRICA (mm); PERIODO: 1971 - 2011

AÑO ENE FEB MAR ABR MAY JUN JUL AGO SEP OCT NOV DIC TOTAL

1 1971 121.00 166.00 25.00 36.00 3.00 0.00 0.00 13.00 2.00 35.00 53.00 77.00 531.00
2 1972 171.00 102.00 124.00 37.00 10.00 0.00 1.00 5.00 36.00 35.00 112.00 123.00 756.00
3 1973 202.00 108.00 162.00 86.00 17.00 1.00 5.00 16.00 45.00 38.00 58.00 40.00 778.00
4 1974 227.00 133.00 119.00 36.00 2.00 8.00 2.00 42.00 17.00 45.00 37.00 78.00 746.00
5 1975 164.00 128.00 138.00 24.00 29.00 9.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.00 7.00 45.00 546.00
6 1976 165.00 71.00 64.00 12.00 19.00 3.00 4.00 11.00 69.00 0.00 23.00 84.00 525.00
7 1977 95.00 148.00 101.00 7.00 6.00 0.00 3.00 0.00 39.00 69.00 109.00 133.00 710.00
8 1978 196.00 109.00 104.00 46.00 10.00 10.00 0.00 0.00 11.00 23.00 137.00 142.00 788.00
9 1979 173.00 60.00 140.00 113.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.00 0.00 111.00 74.00 134.00 813.00
10 1980 213.00 125.00 167.00 28.00 19.00 0.00 25.00 50.00 86.00 72.00 54.00 60.00 899.00
11 1981 172.00 135.00 220.00 80.00 4.00 0.00 0.00 65.00 9.00 84.00 89.00 171.00 1,029.00
12 1982 167.00 45.00 141.00 63.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.00 74.00 93.00 110.00 69.00 764.00
13 1983 53.00 106.00 64.00 46.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 36.00 36.00 19.00 74.00 434.00
14 1984 212.00 160.00 295.00 39.00 17.00 2.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 75.00 171.00 159.00 1,130.00
15 1985 301.00 263.00 153.00 112.00 0.00 37.00 0.00 5.00 19.00 20.00 166.00 229.00 1,305.00
16 1986 105.00 328.00 189.00 110.00 0.00 0.00 2.00 45.00 48.00 69.00 78.00 72.00 1,046.00
17 1987 127.00 47.00 87.00 22.00 3.00 4.00 22.00 33.00 6.00 38.00 125.00 48.00 562.00
18 1988 164.00 57.00 163.00 128.00 59.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 6.00 58.00 7.00 137.00 780.00
19 1989 117.00 74.00 86.00 75.00 4.00 12.00 0.00 9.00 50.00 25.00 27.00 36.00 515.00
20 1990 114.00 84.00 27.00 20.00 7.00 73.00 0.00 5.00 20.00 106.00 47.00 104.00 607.00
21 1991 149.00 96.00 117.00 31.00 12.00 60.00 2.00 2.00 16.00 38.00 52.00 72.00 647.00
22 1992 100.00 65.00 33.00 12.00 0.00 11.00 1.00 87.00 13.00 73.00 58.00 62.00 515.00
23 1993 125.00 73.00 112.00 91.00 12.00 4.00 0.00 20.00 22.00 104.00 75.00 112.00 750.00
24 1994 101.00 155.00 108.00 145.00 8.00 0.00 0.00 3.00 12.00 21.00 72.00 95.00 720.00
25 1995 82.00 123.00 132.00 6.00 4.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.00 19.00 80.00 130.00 585.00
26 1996 156.00 39.00 81.00 9.00 13.00 0.00 2.00 5.00 23.00 41.00 46.00 93.00 508.00
27 1997 193.00 130.00 142.00 55.00 3.00 0.00 0.00 19.00 37.00 32.00 107.00 79.00 797.00
28 1998 79.00 108.00 132.00 59.00 0.00 4.00 0.00 1.00 1.00 43.00 73.00 33.00 533.00
29 1999 100.00 68.00 135.00 52.00 3.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 48.00 72.00 52.00 33.00 564.00
30 2000 188.00 102.00 68.00 3.00 16.00 16.00 2.00 28.00 6.00 94.00 11.00 90.00 624.00
31 2001 210.00 209.00 129.00 58.00 27.00 3.00 9.00 9.00 10.00 76.00 45.00 132.00 917.00
32 2002 90.00 199.00 92.00 70.00 48.00 7.00 24.00 20.00 18.00 119.00 54.00 107.00 848.00
33 2003 179.00 83.00 146.00 38.00 8.00 11.00 0.00 4.00 19.00 19.00 60.00 75.00 642.00
34 2004 219.00 144.00 125.00 36.00 8.00 6.00 8.00 17.00 44.00 6.00 58.00 71.00 742.00
35 2005 90.00 155.00 84.00 21.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 5.00 23.00 60.00 68.00 127.00 634.00
36 2006 132.00 42.00 55.00 18.00 0.00 3.00 0.00 1.00 19.00 81.00 67.00 68.00 486.00
37 2007 78.00 49.00 159.00 98.00 16.00 2.00 1.00 1.00 60.00 17.00 68.00 82.00 631.00
38 2008 146.00 75.00 53.00 0.00 9.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.00 52.00 156.00 151.00 650.00
39 2009 41.00 139.00 113.00 44.00 0.00 0.00 4.00 0.00 12.00 35.00 82.00 113.00 583.00
40 2010 106.00 182.00 55.00 36.00 11.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 18.00 16.00 111.00 535.00
41 2011 91.00 185.00 76.00 7.00 8.00 1.00 8.00 1.00 49.00 79.00 57.00 197.00 759.00

MEDIA 144.24 118.78 115.02 49.00 10.15 7.02 3.07 12.98 24.93 52.02 69.76 98.73 705.71
MÍNIMA 41.00 39.00 25.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.00 33.00 434.00
MÁXIMA 301.00 328.00 295.00 145.00 59.00 73.00 25.00 87.00 86.00 119.00 171.00 229.00 1,305.00
GRAFICO 2.10 ANALISIS DE DOBLE MASA
Precipitación Total Anual Histórica: Estaciones Pucara y Pampahuta
35,000.0

30,000.0
PRECIPITACIÓN ACUMULADA ESTACIÓN PAMPAHUTA (mm).

25,000.0

20,000.0

15,000.0

10,000.0

5,000.0

0.0
0.0 5,000.0 10,000.0 15,000.0 20,000.0 25,000.0 30,000.0 35,000.0

PRECIPITACIÓN ACUMULADA ESTACIÓN PUCARA (mm).


CUADRO N° 3.9
ESTACIÓN PAMPAHUTA: PRECIPITACIÓN TOTAL ANUAL HISTÓRICA (1971 - 2011)
ANÁLISIS ESTADÍSTICO : PRUEBAS DE "T" DE STUDENT Y DE FISHER "F"

PRECIPITACIÓN
PRECIPITACIÓN PERIODOS TOTAL ANUAL
AÑOS
ANUAL MUESTRALES CORREGIDA
(mm) (mm)
1 1971 818.5 835.74
2 1972 755.6 790.61
3 1973 1,064.1 1011.95
4 1974 815.5 833.59
5 1975 942.8 924.92
6 1976 681.6 737.52
7 1977 711.6 PERIODO 1 : "DUDOSO" 759.04
8 1978 852.3 1971 - 1991 859.99
9 1979 722.4 766.79
10 1980 637.8 Longitud muestral : N1 = 21 706.09
11 1981 934.2 Media del período : X1 = 791.5 918.75
12 1982 722.1 Desviación Std. : S1 = 192.2 766.58
13 1983 388.0 526.87
14 1984 1,202.0 1110.89
15 1985 984.1 954.55
16 1986 1,071.1 1016.97
17 1987 513.7 617.06
18 1988 731.7 773.46
19 1989 640.1 707.74
20 1990 684.2 739.38
21 1991 748.4 785.45
1 1992 492.2
2 1993 924.0
3 1994 933.0
4 1995 669.2 PERIODO 2 : "CONFIABLE"
5 1996 957.9 1992 - 2011
6 1997 851.5
7 1998 629.5 Longitud muestral : N2 = 20
8 1999 930.8 Media del período : X2 = 816.4
9 2000 928.0 Desviación Std. : S2 = 137.9
10 2001 959.2
11 2002 980.5
12 2003 868.7
13 2004 721.9
14 2005 812.7
15 2006 862.1
16 2007 877.4
17 2008 644.0
18 2009 636.1
19 2010 842.1
20 2011 806.8
PRUEBA "T" DE STUDENT
Criterio : Si Tt > Tc : Homogeneidad; Si Tt < Tc : No Homogeneidad
Tc = -0.474 Grados de Libertad = 39
Tt = 2.023 Tc < Tt α= 0.95
Las medias X1 y X2 son Estadísticamente Homogéneas
NO CORREGIR LA PRECIPITACIÓN EN LA MEDIA
PRUEBA "F" DE FISHER
Criterio : Si Ft > Fc : Homogeneidad; Si Ft < Fc : No Homogeneidad
Fc = 1.943 Grados de Libertad : M1 = 19
Ft = 2.155 Fc < Ft M2 = 20
Las desviaciones standard S1 y S2 son Estadísticamente Homogéneas
NO CORREGIR LA PRECIPITACIÓN EN LA DESVIACIÓN ESTÁNDAR
PROCEDIMIENTO DE CORRECCIÓN
Xi = ( ( (Xo - X1) / S1 ) * S2 ) + X2
Xi = valor corregido; Xo = valor por corregir; X1 y S1 = media y desviación estándar
del periodo dudoso; X2 y S2 = media y desviación estándar del periodo confiable
Prueba t para dos muestras suponiendo varianzas iguales

Variable 1Variable 2
Media 791.514 816.38
Varianza 36958.4 19024
Observaciones 21 20
Varianza agrupada 28221.4
Diferencia hipotética de las medias 0
Grados de libertad 39
Estadístico t -0.47373
P(T<=t) una cola 0.31917
Valor crítico de t (una cola) 1.68488
P(T<=t) dos colas 0.63834
Valor crítico de t (dos colas) 2.02269

Prueba F para varianzas de dos muestras

Variable 1Variable 2
Media 791.514 816.38
Varianza 36958.4 19024
Observaciones 21 20
Grados de libertad 20 19
F 1.94268
P(F<=f) una cola 0.07687
Valor crítico para F (una cola) 2.1555
CUADRO N° 1.10
ESTACIÓN PAMPAHUTA: PRECIPITACIÓN MEDIA MENSUAL HISTÓRICA (mm); PERIODO: 1971 - 2011

AÑO ENE FEB MAR ABR MAY JUN JUL AGO SEP OCT NOV DIC TOTAL

1 1971 151.7 259.4 117.7 27.4 4.2 5.9 0.0 4.7 1.8 11.2 43.4 191.1 818.50
2 1972 244.3 79.1 168.0 39.6 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.9 23.7 44.3 61.2 93.2 755.60
3 1973 279.6 210.4 124.7 108.3 25.1 2.9 12.8 14.1 45.6 19.4 78.7 142.5 1,064.10
4 1974 208.0 262.6 109.5 27.9 0.3 6.6 0.6 49.2 9.4 18.2 12.6 110.6 815.50
5 1975 232.5 237.2 144.7 47.1 23.1 1.4 0.0 1.8 2.2 31.0 50.5 171.3 942.80
6 1976 207.2 110.4 162.5 22.0 23.8 1.5 2.3 20.0 51.2 2.2 5.7 72.8 681.60
7 1977 106.8 182.5 150.4 8.6 2.3 0.0 3.7 0.0 20.4 29.0 122.9 85.0 711.60
8 1978 310.2 98.7 83.6 50.4 0.3 1.9 0.6 0.4 13.0 30.5 117.0 145.7 852.30
9 1979 188.3 123.1 100.9 34.8 1.3 0.0 2.4 5.0 1.2 59.3 102.8 103.3 722.40
10 1980 115.1 73.7 245.5 10.4 2.5 0.2 3.9 5.9 21.3 89.3 28.6 41.4 637.80
11 1981 204.0 212.5 159.7 77.9 1.4 0.0 0.0 39.7 3.8 23.0 59.4 152.8 934.20
12 1982 168.2 81.8 139.8 51.7 5.2 0.5 0.0 1.4 31.0 68.4 145.4 28.7 722.10
13 1983 83.6 53.0 53.8 50.6 20.7 3.3 0.0 1.0 16.2 16.8 2.9 86.1 388.00
14 1984 259.1 254.3 201.3 22.1 11.6 0.8 0.9 23.4 0.0 105.3 141.8 181.4 1,202.00
15 1985 81.8 210.0 168.1 101.2 62.5 14.3 0.0 0.8 3.2 16.8 162.9 162.5 984.10
16 1986 168.3 276.0 189.9 145.3 4.5 0.0 0.0 6.7 14.6 21.6 47.7 196.5 1,071.10
17 1987 229.1 25.0 54.2 8.9 0.6 2.4 25.2 1.4 1.5 35.4 84.5 45.5 513.70
18 1988 186.0 69.9 214.0 110.3 6.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 15.9 19.1 4.5 105.5 731.70
19 1989 175.2 100.5 131.8 68.9 5.0 10.2 1.2 5.4 2.1 12.9 48.8 78.1 640.10
20 1990 160.5 75.2 59.9 36.8 7.1 31.5 0.0 7.5 4.1 93.5 116.7 91.4 684.20
21 1991 205.6 119.3 146.2 58.3 5.8 31.1 3.1 0.0 18.6 29.4 28.6 102.4 748.40
22 1992 96.5 142.3 23.4 9.4 0.0 2.2 0.0 51.5 0.0 30.3 55.0 81.6 492.20
23 1993 246.2 62.0 138.2 52.5 4.6 1.8 0.0 19.3 1.6 108.2 114.5 175.1 924.00
24 1994 224.8 168.1 127.6 86.3 23.4 1.1 0.0 0.0 15.1 12.9 108.3 165.4 933.00
25 1995 115.4 151.5 120.9 40.8 1.1 0.0 0.0 2.6 14.8 15.1 64.2 142.8 669.20
26 1996 254.5 164.2 73.5 73.0 21.5 0.0 0.0 27.9 18.8 3.0 93.2 228.3 957.90
27 1997 220.1 185.5 100.3 55.4 9.1 0.0 0.3 8.7 37.9 33.6 96.9 103.7 851.48
28 1998 154.6 159.8 103.4 29.7 0.0 0.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 31.8 104.3 45.0 629.50
29 1999 153.5 163.9 204.9 116.1 19.3 1.1 0.8 1.9 13.5 118.3 19.5 118.0 930.80
30 2000 202.1 258.8 181.6 23.3 9.4 3.9 0.4 7.7 5.1 89.7 9.9 136.1 928.00
31 2001 299.0 248.1 149.3 81.2 19.5 2.9 3.7 16.1 14.1 39.7 17.5 68.1 959.20
32 2002 152.6 240.7 111.0 75.2 17.0 2.0 27.4 4.3 10.1 76.8 92.9 170.5 980.50
33 2003 222.2 194.8 201.4 21.3 8.3 2.8 0.0 0.0 25.5 22.7 14.1 155.6 868.70
34 2004 226.8 162.8 55.8 75.3 0.0 0.6 11.7 13.2 26.6 14.7 32.3 102.1 721.90
35 2005 111.5 267.5 97.7 60.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 21.4 16.4 101.3 136.1 812.70
36 2006 179.4 165.0 163.7 65.3 1.8 0.0 0.0 9.1 31.4 46.7 110.3 89.4 862.10
37 2007 149.6 147.9 260.9 81.0 13.2 0.0 9.7 0.0 16.7 27.3 54.3 116.8 877.40
38 2008 196.3 68.2 84.2 5.8 0.5 3.9 0.0 0.2 3.3 42.2 27.2 212.2 644.00
39 2009 63.1 131.4 103.7 38.7 3.8 0.0 4.2 0.7 13.9 25.4 117.0 134.2 636.10
40 2010 223.1 215.7 113.9 57.3 7.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 23.2 49.2 151.9 842.10
41 2011 105.9 209.1 155.6 83.2 3.8 0.0 3.9 1.8 25.7 14.1 31.5 172.2 806.80

MEDIA 184.45 161.51 134.08 54.62 9.22 3.36 2.90 8.68 14.54 38.26 67.80 124.22 803.64
MÍNIMA 63.10 25.00 23.40 5.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.20 2.90 28.70 388.00
MÁXIMA 310.20 276.00 260.90 145.30 62.50 31.50 27.40 51.50 51.20 118.30 162.90 228.30 1,202.00

(). Celda marcada de azul: DATO COMPLETADO CON MEDIA ORIGINAL SIN INCLUSIÓN DE DATO.
CUADRO N° 1.10 EXTENCIÓN CON HEC4
ESTACIÓN PAMPAHUTA: PRECIPITACIÓN MEDIA MENSUAL HISTÓRICA (mm); PERIODO: 1971 - 2011

AÑO ENE FEB MAR ABR MAY JUN JUL AGO SEP OCT NOV DIC TOTAL

1 1971 152.0 259.0 118.0 27.0 4.0 6.0 0.0 5.0 2.0 11.0 43.0 191.0 818.00
2 1972 244.0 79.0 168.0 40.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 24.0 44.0 61.0 93.0 755.00
3 1973 280.0 210.0 125.0 108.0 25.0 3.0 13.0 14.0 46.0 19.0 79.0 143.0 1,065.00
4 1974 208.0 263.0 109.0 28.0 0.0 7.0 1.0 49.0 9.0 18.0 13.0 111.0 816.00
5 1975 233.0 237.0 145.0 47.0 23.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 31.0 50.0 171.0 942.00
6 1976 207.0 110.0 162.0 22.0 24.0 1.0 2.0 20.0 51.0 2.0 6.0 73.0 680.00
7 1977 107.0 182.0 150.0 9.0 2.0 0.0 4.0 0.0 20.0 29.0 123.0 85.0 711.00
8 1978 310.0 99.0 84.0 50.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 13.0 31.0 117.0 146.0 853.00
9 1979 188.0 123.0 101.0 35.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 5.0 1.0 59.0 103.0 103.0 721.00
10 1980 115.0 74.0 246.0 10.0 2.0 0.0 4.0 6.0 21.0 89.0 29.0 41.0 637.00
11 1981 204.0 212.0 160.0 78.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 40.0 4.0 23.0 59.0 153.0 934.00
12 1982 168.0 82.0 140.0 52.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 31.0 68.0 145.0 29.0 722.00
13 1983 84.0 53.0 54.0 51.0 21.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 16.0 17.0 3.0 86.0 389.00
14 1984 259.0 254.0 201.0 22.0 12.0 1.0 1.0 23.0 0.0 105.0 142.0 181.0 1,201.00
15 1985 82.0 210.0 168.0 101.0 63.0 14.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 17.0 163.0 162.0 984.00
16 1986 168.0 276.0 190.0 145.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 15.0 22.0 48.0 196.0 1,072.00
17 1987 229.0 25.0 54.0 9.0 1.0 2.0 25.0 1.0 2.0 35.0 84.0 45.0 512.00
18 1988 186.0 70.0 214.0 110.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 16.0 19.0 4.0 106.0 731.00
19 1989 175.0 101.0 132.0 69.0 5.0 10.0 1.0 5.0 2.0 13.0 49.0 78.0 640.00
20 1990 161.0 75.0 60.0 37.0 7.0 31.0 0.0 7.0 4.0 94.0 117.0 91.0 684.00
21 1991 206.0 119.0 146.0 58.0 6.0 31.0 3.0 0.0 19.0 29.0 29.0 102.0 748.00
22 1992 97.0 142.0 23.0 9.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 52.0 0.0 30.0 55.0 82.0 492.00
23 1993 246.0 62.0 138.0 53.0 5.0 2.0 0.0 19.0 2.0 108.0 114.0 175.0 924.00
24 1994 225.0 168.0 128.0 86.0 23.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 15.0 13.0 108.0 165.0 932.00
25 1995 115.0 152.0 121.0 41.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 15.0 15.0 64.0 143.0 670.00
26 1996 255.0 164.0 73.0 73.0 21.0 0.0 0.0 28.0 19.0 3.0 93.0 228.0 957.00
27 1997 220.0 185.0 100.0 55.0 9.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 38.0 34.0 97.0 104.0 846.00
28 1998 155.0 160.0 103.0 30.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 32.0 104.0 45.0 630.00
29 1999 154.0 164.0 205.0 116.0 19.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 13.0 118.0 20.0 118.0 931.00
30 2000 202.0 259.0 182.0 23.0 9.0 4.0 0.0 8.0 5.0 90.0 10.0 136.0 928.00
31 2001 299.0 248.0 149.0 81.0 19.0 3.0 4.0 16.0 14.0 40.0 17.0 68.0 958.00
32 2002 153.0 241.0 111.0 75.0 17.0 2.0 27.0 4.0 10.0 77.0 93.0 170.0 980.00
33 2003 222.0 195.0 201.0 21.0 8.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 26.0 23.0 14.0 156.0 869.00
34 2004 227.0 163.0 56.0 75.0 0.0 1.0 12.0 13.0 27.0 15.0 32.0 102.0 723.00
35 2005 111.0 268.0 98.0 60.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 21.0 16.0 101.0 136.0 812.00
36 2006 179.0 165.0 164.0 65.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 9.0 31.0 47.0 110.0 89.0 861.00
37 2007 150.0 148.0 261.0 81.0 13.0 0.0 10.0 0.0 17.0 27.0 54.0 117.0 878.00
38 2008 196.0 68.0 84.0 6.0 0.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 42.0 27.0 212.0 642.00
39 2009 63.0 131.0 104.0 39.0 4.0 0.0 4.0 1.0 14.0 25.0 117.0 134.0 636.00
40 2010 223.0 216.0 114.0 57.0 8.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 23.0 49.0 152.0 842.00
41 2011 106.0 209.0 156.0 83.0 4.0 0.0 4.0 2.0 26.0 14.0 31.0 172.0 807.00

MEDIA 184.49 161.49 134.10 54.56 9.15 3.34 2.90 8.56 14.56 38.22 67.73 124.15 803.24
MÍNIMA 63.00 25.00 23.00 6.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.00 3.00 29.00 389.00
MÁXIMA 310.00 276.00 261.00 145.00 63.00 31.00 27.00 52.00 51.00 118.00 163.00 228.00 1,201.00
GRAFICO 2.11 ANALISIS DE DOBLE MASA
Precipitación Total Anual Histórica: Estaciones Pucara y Juliaca
30,000.0

25,000.0
PRECIPITACIÓN ACUMULADA ESTACIÓN JULIACA (mm).

20,000.0

15,000.0

10,000.0

5,000.0

0.0
0.0 5,000.0 10,000.0 15,000.0 20,000.0 25,000.0 30,000.0 35,000.0

PRECIPITACIÓN ACUMULADA ESTACIÓN PUCARA (mm).


CUADRO N° 3.10
ESTACIÓN JULIACA: PRECIPITACIÓN TOTAL ANUAL HISTÓRICA (1971 - 2011)
ANÁLISIS ESTADÍSTICO : PRUEBAS DE "T" DE STUDENT Y DE FISHER "F"

PRECIPITACIÓN
PRECIPITACIÓN PERIODOS TOTAL ANUAL
AÑOS
ANUAL MUESTRALES CORREGIDA
(mm) (mm)
1 1971 603.3
2 1972 640.7
3 1973 587.5
4 1974 575.4
5 1975 638.6
6 1976 523.6
7 1977 610.3
8 1978 665.2
9 1979 552.2
10 1980 568.1
11 1981 711.8 PERIODO 1 : "DUDOSO"
12 1982 663.8 1971 - 2002
13 1983 518.1
14 1984 829.2 Longitud muestral : N1 = 32
15 1985 730.1 Media del período : X1 = 616.4
16 1986 652.7 Desviación Std. : S1 = 75.2
17 1987 553.4
18 1988 655.9
19 1989 555.2
20 1990 531.2
21 1991 557.4
22 1992 453.7
23 1993 649.0
24 1994 624.3
25 1995 587.8
26 1996 545.2
27 1997 650.5
28 1998 621.2
29 1999 621.2
30 2000 621.2
31 2001 717.2
32 2002 708.3
1 2003 646.1
2 2004 618.8
3 2005 720.8 PERIODO 2 : "CONFIABLE"
4 2006 621.3 2003 - 2011
5 2007 647.8
6 2008 650.7 Longitud muestral : N2 = 9
7 2009 599.6 Media del período : X2 = 616.4
8 2010 441.2 Desviación Std. : S2 = 75.2
9 2011 600.9
PRUEBA "T" DE STUDENT
Criterio : Si Tt > Tc : Homogeneidad; Si Tt < Tc : No Homogeneidad
Tc = 0.000 Grados de Libertad = 39
Tt = 2.023 Tc < Tt α= 0.95
Las medias X1 y X2 son Estadísticamente Homogéneas
NO CORREGIR LA PRECIPITACIÓN EN LA MEDIA
PRUEBA "F" DE FISHER
Criterio : Si Ft > Fc : Homogeneidad; Si Ft < Fc : No Homogeneidad
Fc = 1.000 Grados de Libertad : M1 = 8
Ft = 3.075 Fc < Ft M2 = 31
Las desviaciones standard S1 y S2 son Estadísticamente Homogéneas
NO CORREGIR LA PRECIPITACIÓN EN LA DESVIACIÓN ESTÁNDAR
PROCEDIMIENTO DE CORRECCIÓN
Xi = ( ( (Xo - X1) / S1 ) * S2 ) + X2
Xi = valor corregido; Xo = valor por corregir; X1 y S1 = media y desviación estándar
del periodo dudoso; X2 y S2 = media y desviación estándar del periodo confiable
Prueba t para dos muestras suponiendo varianzas iguales

Variable 1Variable 2
Media 616.356 616.36
Varianza 5648.9 5648.9
Observaciones 32 9
Varianza agrupada 5648.9
Diferencia hipotética de las medias 0
Grados de libertad 39
Estadístico t -4E-15
P(T<=t) una cola 0.5
Valor crítico de t (una cola) 1.68488
P(T<=t) dos colas 1
Valor crítico de t (dos colas) 2.02269

Prueba F para varianzas de dos muestras

Variable 1Variable 2
Media 616.356 616.36
Varianza 5648.9 5648.9
Observaciones 32 9
Grados de libertad 31 8
F 1
P(F<=f) una cola 0.54429
Valor crítico para F (una cola) 3.07473
CUADRO N° 3.10
ESTACIÓN JULIACA: PRECIPITACIÓN TOTAL ANUAL HISTÓRICA (1971 - 2011)
ANÁLISIS ESTADÍSTICO : PRUEBAS DE "T" DE STUDENT Y DE FISHER "F"

PRECIPITACIÓN
PRECIPITACIÓN PERIODOS TOTAL ANUAL
AÑOS
ANUAL MUESTRALES CORREGIDA
(mm) (mm)
1 1971 591.6 603.34
2 1972 666.5 640.67
3 1973 559.8 587.48
4 1974 535.6 575.41
5 1975 662.4 638.63
6 1976 431.7 523.62
7 1977 605.6 610.31
8 1978 715.7 665.20
9 1979 489.1 552.23
10 1980 521.0 568.13
11 1981 809.2 PERIODO 1 : "DUDOSO" 711.81
12 1982 712.8 1971 - 2002 663.76
13 1983 420.7 518.13
14 1984 1,044.6 Longitud muestral : N1 = 32 829.17
15 1985 845.9 Media del período : X1 = 617.7 730.11
16 1986 690.6 Desviación Std. : S1 = 150.8 652.69
17 1987 491.4 553.38
18 1988 697.1 655.91
19 1989 495.1 555.22
20 1990 447.0 531.24
21 1991 499.4 557.37
22 1992 291.5 453.72
23 1993 683.3 649.05
24 1994 633.7 624.31
25 1995 560.4 587.77
26 1996 474.9 545.18
27 1997 686.2 650.50
28 1998 627.3 621.15
29 1999 627.3 621.15
30 2000 627.3 621.15
31 2001 820.1 717.25
32 2002 802.2 708.32
1 2003 646.1
2 2004 618.8
3 2005 720.8 PERIODO 2 : "CONFIABLE"
4 2006 621.3 2003 - 2011
5 2007 647.8
6 2008 650.7 Longitud muestral : N2 = 9
7 2009 599.6 Media del período : X2 = 616.4
8 2010 441.2 Desviación Std. : S2 = 75.2
9 2011 600.9
PRUEBA "T" DE STUDENT
Criterio : Si Tt > Tc : Homogeneidad; Si Tt < Tc : No Homogeneidad
Tc = 0.026 Grados de Libertad = 39
Tt = 2.023 Tc < Tt α= 0.95
Las medias X1 y X2 son Estadísticamente Homogéneas
NO CORREGIR LA PRECIPITACIÓN EN LA MEDIA
PRUEBA "F" DE FISHER
Criterio : Si Ft > Fc : Homogeneidad; Si Ft < Fc : No Homogeneidad
Fc = 4.023 Grados de Libertad : M1 = 8
Ft = 3.075 Fc > Ft M2 = 31
Las desviaciones standard S1 y S2 son Estadísticamente no Homogéneas
CORREGIR LA PRECIPITACIÓN EN LA DESVIACIÓN ESTÁNDAR
PROCEDIMIENTO DE CORRECCIÓN
Xi = ( ( (Xo - X1) / S1 ) * S2 ) + X2
Xi = valor corregido; Xo = valor por corregir; X1 y S1 = media y desviación estándar
del periodo dudoso; X2 y S2 = media y desviación estándar del periodo confiable
Prueba t para dos muestras suponiendo varianzas iguales

Variable 1Variable 2
Media 617.722 616.36
Varianza 22728.3 5648.9
Observaciones 32 9
Varianza agrupada 19224.8
Diferencia hipotética de las medias 0
Grados de libertad 39
Estadístico t 0.02612
P(T<=t) una cola 0.48965
Valor crítico de t (una cola) 1.68488
P(T<=t) dos colas 0.97929
Valor crítico de t (dos colas) 2.02269

Prueba F para varianzas de dos muestras

Variable 1Variable 2
Media 617.722 616.36
Varianza 22728.3 5648.9
Observaciones 32 9
Grados de libertad 31 8
F 4.0235
P(F<=f) una cola 0.02248
Valor crítico para F (una cola) 3.07473
CUADRO N° 1.11
ESTACIÓN JULIACA: PRECIPITACIÓN MEDIA MENSUAL HISTÓRICA (mm); PERIODO: 1971 - 2011

AÑO ENE FEB MAR ABR MAY JUN JUL AGO SEP OCT NOV DIC TOTAL

1 1971 127.2 125.7 90.0 43.3 0.8 5.9 0.7 5.7 10.8 30.8 47.4 103.3 591.61
2 1972 217.7 97.9 109.9 18.8 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 29.0 34.5 81.7 74.2 666.50
3 1973 142.3 107.4 74.7 80.3 15.7 1.2 5.4 9.2 20.0 45.0 14.2 44.4 559.80
4 1974 150.9 79.0 69.9 19.9 1.8 8.4 0.0 44.8 10.7 40.9 39.9 69.4 535.60
5 1975 137.1 126.8 100.5 16.6 33.9 0.2 0.0 1.5 21.0 74.3 25.9 124.6 662.40
6 1976 148.7 83.0 48.8 11.9 23.3 1.0 0.0 4.1 71.3 0.0 6.3 33.3 431.70
7 1977 56.1 180.8 104.6 5.0 1.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 27.4 49.2 92.2 88.9 605.60
8 1978 208.2 127.9 78.1 42.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.1 11.6 83.0 160.7 715.70
9 1979 137.7 56.6 103.0 23.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 81.1 10.9 76.2 489.10
10 1980 55.7 60.0 174.4 15.1 1.6 0.0 1.9 21.6 31.2 72.3 47.2 40.0 520.98
11 1981 137.3 173.5 158.3 71.3 14.0 0.0 0.0 25.8 26.1 72.5 70.5 59.9 809.20
12 1982 209.3 61.1 101.1 105.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 46.4 48.7 118.9 17.5 712.80
13 1983 52.4 102.8 24.9 40.0 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 21.0 23.4 26.3 117.9 420.70
14 1984 287.8 189.8 106.1 77.1 19.8 20.8 4.0 15.5 1.0 109.7 117.2 95.8 1,044.60
15 1985 70.3 190.7 48.4 76.5 12.6 33.4 0.0 2.3 43.5 59.4 159.5 149.3 845.90
16 1986 127.6 134.7 112.7 104.8 3.0 0.0 3.3 7.5 44.8 2.9 17.4 131.9 690.60
17 1987 192.3 33.7 53.2 10.4 0.0 29.9 0.0 6.4 4.7 37.8 86.2 36.8 491.40
18 1988 196.6 48.9 174.5 86.8 40.0 5.9 1.9 8.9 19.1 33.0 1.5 80.0 697.07
19 1989 184.2 99.3 83.3 30.8 0.0 4.4 0.0 4.0 2.5 13.0 14.8 58.8 495.10
20 1990 110.8 35.8 20.5 25.4 7.0 36.5 1.9 7.0 12.0 41.4 60.6 88.1 446.98
21 1991 109.2 47.8 86.6 46.0 13.0 51.0 4.0 1.0 21.3 27.3 36.5 55.7 499.40
22 1992 64.1 80.8 12.0 30.5 0.0 0.0 6.5 39.6 0.0 58.0 291.50
23 1993 158.8 45.8 105.2 54.5 1.5 0.0 0.0 28.0 16.0 71.0 113.0 89.5 683.30
24 1994 122.4 98.0 105.0 60.0 26.0 0.0 1.9 8.9 19.1 46.9 55.5 90.0 633.67
25 1995 127.0 98.0 88.0 19.2 0.0 5.9 1.9 8.9 19.1 46.9 55.5 90.0 560.38
26 1996 140.9 108.5 45.0 29.0 7.0 0.0 0.0 2.5 2.0 21.0 50.0 69.0 474.95
27 1997 127.0 140.0 101.5 81.0 8.5 5.9 1.9 8.9 19.1 46.9 55.5 90.0 686.21
28 1998 627.35
29 1999 627.35
30 2000 627.35
31 2001 231.2 166.8 164.5 43.3 26.2 2.6 0.6 18.5 4.3 71.5 27.5 63.1 820.10
32 2002 73.0 158.4 119.5 54.2 24.0 3.4 19.4 16.7 15.1 143.1 75.5 99.9 802.20
33 2003 177.5 80.1 121.3 10.7 4.3 4.4 1.1 0.6 38.2 16.9 28.1 162.9 646.10
34 2004 238.4 96.3 69.4 28.2 0.0 0.2 1.5 24.3 38.5 7.2 17.6 97.2 618.80
35 2005 80.6 242.9 100.1 46.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.8 16.0 82.9 57.2 92.6 720.80
36 2006 207.4 50.8 101.3 20.7 0.8 2.0 0.0 1.5 23.8 61.6 77.6 73.8 621.30
37 2007 92.4 43.7 235.0 66.1 3.6 0.2 6.5 0.8 18.2 30.1 84.6 66.6 647.80
38 2008 220.8 69.1 58.5 6.2 0.6 1.0 0.0 1.1 1.8 61.3 37.1 193.2 650.70
39 2009 85.9 170.3 95.9 13.7 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.2 8.1 51.2 83.8 89.5 599.60
40 2010 98.7 127.6 48.0 7.8 13.8 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.4 25.6 19.9 98.6 441.20
41 2011 49.2 184.0 74.0 12.7 5.8 0.0 5.9 4.7 18.5 32.0 56.7 157.4 600.90

MEDIA 140.91 108.54 93.89 40.42 8.53 5.91 1.88 8.87 19.11 46.92 55.49 90.00 617.42
MÍNIMA 49.20 33.70 12.00 5.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.50 17.50 291.50
MÁXIMA 287.80 242.90 235.00 105.80 40.00 51.00 19.40 44.80 71.30 143.10 159.50 193.20 1,044.60

(). Celda marcada de azul: DATO COMPLETADO CON MEDIA ORIGINAL SIN INCLUSIÓN DE DATO.
CUADRO N° 1.11 EXTENCIÓN CON HEC4
ESTACIÓN JULIACA: PRECIPITACIÓN MEDIA MENSUAL HISTÓRICA (mm); PERIODO: 1971 - 2011

AÑO ENE FEB MAR ABR MAY JUN JUL AGO SEP OCT NOV DIC TOTAL

1 1971 127.0 126.0 90.0 43.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 11.0 31.0 47.0 103.0 586.00
2 1972 218.0 98.0 110.0 19.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 29.0 35.0 82.0 74.0 668.00
3 1973 142.0 107.0 75.0 80.0 16.0 1.0 5.0 9.0 20.0 45.0 14.0 44.0 558.00
4 1974 151.0 79.0 70.0 20.0 2.0 8.0 0.0 45.0 11.0 41.0 40.0 69.0 536.00
5 1975 137.0 127.0 100.0 17.0 34.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 21.0 74.0 26.0 125.0 662.00
6 1976 149.0 83.0 49.0 12.0 23.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 71.0 0.0 6.0 33.0 431.00
7 1977 56.0 181.0 105.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 27.0 49.0 92.0 89.0 605.00
8 1978 208.0 128.0 78.0 42.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 12.0 83.0 161.0 716.00
9 1979 138.0 57.0 103.0 24.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 81.0 11.0 76.0 490.00
10 1980 56.0 60.0 174.0 15.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 22.0 31.0 72.0 47.0 40.0 519.00
11 1981 137.0 173.0 158.0 71.0 14.0 0.0 0.0 26.0 26.0 72.0 71.0 60.0 808.00
12 1982 209.0 61.0 101.0 106.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 46.0 49.0 119.0 17.0 712.00
13 1983 52.0 103.0 25.0 40.0 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 21.0 23.0 26.0 118.0 420.00
14 1984 288.0 190.0 106.0 77.0 20.0 21.0 4.0 16.0 1.0 110.0 117.0 96.0 1,046.00
15 1985 70.0 191.0 48.0 76.0 13.0 33.0 0.0 2.0 43.0 59.0 159.0 149.0 843.00
16 1986 128.0 135.0 113.0 105.0 3.0 0.0 3.0 7.0 45.0 3.0 17.0 132.0 691.00
17 1987 192.0 34.0 53.0 10.0 0.0 30.0 0.0 6.0 5.0 38.0 86.0 37.0 491.00
18 1988 197.0 49.0 175.0 87.0 40.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 33.0 1.0 80.0 669.00
19 1989 184.0 99.0 83.0 31.0 0.0 4.0 0.0 4.0 2.0 13.0 15.0 59.0 494.00
20 1990 111.0 36.0 20.0 25.0 7.0 37.0 0.0 7.0 12.0 41.0 61.0 88.0 445.00
21 1991 109.0 48.0 87.0 46.0 13.0 51.0 4.0 1.0 21.0 27.0 36.0 56.0 499.00
22 1992 64.0 81.0 12.0 31.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 40.0 0.0 58.0 56.0 60.0 408.00
23 1993 159.0 46.0 105.0 55.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 28.0 16.0 71.0 113.0 90.0 684.00
24 1994 122.0 98.0 105.0 60.0 26.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 17.0 50.0 86.0 567.00
25 1995 127.0 98.0 88.0 19.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 8.0 38.0 60.0 74.0 514.00
26 1996 149.0 83.0 45.0 29.0 7.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 21.0 50.0 69.0 457.00
27 1997 127.0 140.0 101.0 81.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 41.0 16.0 57.0 76.0 646.00
28 1998 91.0 122.0 71.0 20.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 75.0 100.0 47.0 527.00
29 1999 88.0 91.0 132.0 76.0 10.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 32.0 85.0 30.0 65.0 610.00
30 2000 137.0 87.0 124.0 28.0 10.0 6.0 0.0 3.0 14.0 87.0 13.0 88.0 597.00
31 2001 231.0 167.0 164.0 43.0 26.0 3.0 1.0 18.0 4.0 71.0 28.0 63.0 819.00
32 2002 73.0 158.0 120.0 54.0 24.0 3.0 19.0 17.0 15.0 143.0 75.0 100.0 801.00
33 2003 177.0 80.0 121.0 11.0 4.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 38.0 17.0 28.0 163.0 645.00
34 2004 238.0 96.0 69.0 28.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 24.0 39.0 7.0 18.0 97.0 618.00
35 2005 81.0 243.0 100.0 47.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 16.0 83.0 57.0 93.0 722.00
36 2006 207.0 51.0 101.0 21.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 24.0 62.0 78.0 74.0 622.00
37 2007 92.0 44.0 235.0 66.0 4.0 0.0 6.0 1.0 18.0 30.0 85.0 67.0 648.00
38 2008 221.0 69.0 58.0 6.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 61.0 37.0 193.0 650.00
39 2009 86.0 170.0 96.0 14.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 8.0 51.0 84.0 90.0 600.00
40 2010 99.0 128.0 48.0 8.0 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 26.0 20.0 99.0 442.00
41 2011 49.0 184.0 74.0 13.0 6.0 0.0 6.0 5.0 19.0 32.0 57.0 157.0 602.00

MEDIA 138.46 107.34 94.93 40.51 8.24 5.05 1.44 7.61 18.37 47.78 54.93 86.76 611.41
MÍNIMA 49.00 34.00 12.00 5.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 17.00 408.00
MÁXIMA 288.00 243.00 235.00 106.00 40.00 51.00 19.00 45.00 71.00 143.00 159.00 193.00 1,046.00
GRAFICO 2.12 ANALISIS DE DOBLE MASA
Precipitación Total Anual Histórica: Estaciones Pucara y Taraco
30,000.0

25,000.0
PRECIPITACIÓN ACUMULADA ESTACIÓN TARACO (mm).

20,000.0

15,000.0

10,000.0

5,000.0

0.0
0.0 5,000.0 10,000.0 15,000.0 20,000.0 25,000.0 30,000.0 35,000.0

PRECIPITACIÓN ACUMULADA ESTACIÓN PUCARA (mm).


CUADRO N° 3.11
ESTACIÓN TARACO: PRECIPITACIÓN TOTAL ANUAL HISTÓRICA (1971 - 2011)
ANÁLISIS ESTADÍSTICO : PRUEBAS DE "T" DE STUDENT Y DE FISHER "F"

PRECIPITACIÓN
PRECIPITACIÓN PERIODOS TOTAL ANUAL
AÑOS
ANUAL MUESTRALES CORREGIDA
(mm) (mm)
1 1971 480.3
2 1972 534.7
3 1973 533.3
4 1974 555.1
5 1975 537.9 PERIODO 1 : "DUDOSO"
6 1976 481.4 1971 - 1986
7 1977 560.9
8 1978 573.1 Longitud muestral : N1 = 16
9 1979 548.4 Media del período : X1 = 567.0
10 1980 501.2 Desviación Std. : S1 = 85.8
11 1981 594.1
12 1982 538.2
13 1983 464.9
14 1984 693.3
15 1985 765.8
16 1986 709.4
1 1987 659.6
2 1988 662.7
3 1989 465.2
4 1990 717.4
5 1991 655.3
6 1992 542.3
7 1993 616.7
8 1994 622.4 PERIODO 2 : "CONFIABLE"
9 1995 661.2 1987 - 2011
10 1996 432.1 Longitud muestral : N2 = 25
11 1997 710.9 Media del período : X2 = 567.0
12 1998 531.1 Desviación Std. : S2 = 85.8
13 1999 544.6
14 2000 459.7
15 2001 416.6
16 2002 571.7
17 2003 590.0
18 2004 593.6
19 2005 597.6
20 2006 578.0
21 2007 535.1
22 2008 456.8
23 2009 460.6
24 2010 527.0
25 2011 566.6
PRUEBA "T" DE STUDENT
Criterio : Si Tt > Tc : Homogeneidad; Si Tt < Tc : No Homogeneidad
Tc = 0.000 Grados de Libertad = 39
Tt = 2.023 Tc < Tt α= 0.95
Las medias X1 y X2 son Estadísticamente Homogéneas
NO CORREGIR LA PRECIPITACIÓN EN LA MEDIA
PRUEBA "F" DE FISHER
Criterio : Si Ft > Fc : Homogeneidad; Si Ft < Fc : No Homogeneidad
Fc = 1.000 Grados de Libertad : M1 = 24
Ft = 2.108 Fc < Ft M2 = 15
Las desviaciones standard S1 y S2 son Estadísticamente Homogéneas
NO CORREGIR LA PRECIPITACIÓN EN LA DESVIACIÓN ESTÁNDAR
PROCEDIMIENTO DE CORRECCIÓN
Xi = ( ( (Xo - X1) / S1 ) * S2 ) + X2
Xi = valor corregido; Xo = valor por corregir; X1 y S1 = media y desviación estándar
del periodo dudoso; X2 y S2 = media y desviación estándar del periodo confiable
Prueba t para dos muestras suponiendo varianzas iguales

Variable 1Variable 2
Media 566.99 566.99
Varianza 7364.86 7364.9
Observaciones 16 25
Varianza agrupada 7364.86
Diferencia hipotética de las medias 0
Grados de libertad 39
Estadístico t 0
P(T<=t) una cola 0.5
Valor crítico de t (una cola) 1.68488
P(T<=t) dos colas 1
Valor crítico de t (dos colas) 2.02269

Prueba F para varianzas de dos muestras

Variable 1Variable 2
Media 566.99 566.99
Varianza 7364.86 7364.9
Observaciones 16 25
Grados de libertad 15 24
F 1
P(F<=f) una cola 0.48561
Valor crítico para F (una cola) 2.10767
CUADRO N° 3.11
ESTACIÓN TARACO: PRECIPITACIÓN TOTAL ANUAL HISTÓRICA (1971 - 2011)
ANÁLISIS ESTADÍSTICO : PRUEBAS DE "T" DE STUDENT Y DE FISHER "F"

PRECIPITACIÓN
PRECIPITACIÓN PERIODOS TOTAL ANUAL
AÑOS
ANUAL MUESTRALES CORREGIDA
(mm) (mm)
1 1971 402.9 480.34
2 1972 567.9 534.66
3 1973 563.7 533.28
4 1974 630.1 555.14
5 1975 577.7 PERIODO 1 : "DUDOSO" 537.89
6 1976 406.2 1971 - 1986 481.43
7 1977 647.5 560.87
8 1978 684.7 Longitud muestral : N1 = 16 573.12
9 1979 609.5 Media del período : X1 = 666.1 548.36
10 1980 466.3 Desviación Std. : S1 = 260.7 501.21
11 1981 748.3 594.06
12 1982 578.6 538.19
13 1983 355.9 464.87
14 1984 1,049.8 693.32
15 1985 1,269.8 765.75
16 1986 1,098.5 709.36
1 1987 659.6
2 1988 662.7
3 1989 465.2
4 1990 717.4
5 1991 655.3
6 1992 542.3
7 1993 616.7
8 1994 622.4 PERIODO 2 : "CONFIABLE"
9 1995 661.2 1987 - 2011
10 1996 432.1 Longitud muestral : N2 = 25
11 1997 710.9 Media del período : X2 = 567.0
12 1998 531.1 Desviación Std. : S2 = 85.8
13 1999 544.6
14 2000 459.7
15 2001 416.6
16 2002 571.7
17 2003 590.0
18 2004 593.6
19 2005 597.6
20 2006 578.0
21 2007 535.1
22 2008 456.8
23 2009 460.6
24 2010 527.0
25 2011 566.6
PRUEBA "T" DE STUDENT
Criterio : Si Tt > Tc : Homogeneidad; Si Tt < Tc : No Homogeneidad
Tc = 1.768 Grados de Libertad = 39
Tt = 2.023 Tc < Tt α= 0.95
Las medias X1 y X2 son Estadísticamente Homogéneas
NO CORREGIR LA PRECIPITACIÓN EN LA MEDIA
PRUEBA "F" DE FISHER
Criterio : Si Ft > Fc : Homogeneidad; Si Ft < Fc : No Homogeneidad
Fc = 9.225 Grados de Libertad : M1 = 24
Ft = 2.108 Fc > Ft M2 = 15
Las desviaciones standard S1 y S2 son Estadísticamente no Homogéneas
CORREGIR LA PRECIPITACIÓN EN LA DESVIACIÓN ESTÁNDAR
PROCEDIMIENTO DE CORRECCIÓN
Xi = ( ( (Xo - X1) / S1 ) * S2 ) + X2
Xi = valor corregido; Xo = valor por corregir; X1 y S1 = media y desviación estándar
del periodo dudoso; X2 y S2 = media y desviación estándar del periodo confiable
Prueba t para dos muestras suponiendo varianzas iguales

Variable 1Variable 2
Media 666.088 566.99
Varianza 67944.2 7364.9
Observaciones 16 25
Varianza agrupada 30664.6
Diferencia hipotética de las medias 0
Grados de libertad 39
Estadístico t 1.76759
P(T<=t) una cola 0.04248
Valor crítico de t (una cola) 1.68488
P(T<=t) dos colas 0.08495
Valor crítico de t (dos colas) 2.02269

Prueba F para varianzas de dos muestras

Variable 1Variable 2
Media 666.088 566.99
Varianza 67944.2 7364.9
Observaciones 16 25
Grados de libertad 15 24
F 9.22547
P(F<=f) una cola 1.3E-06
Valor crítico para F (una cola) 2.10767
CUADRO N° 1.12
ESTACIÓN TARACO: PRECIPITACIÓN MEDIA MENSUAL HISTÓRICA (mm); PERIODO: 1971 - 2011

AÑO ENE FEB MAR ABR MAY JUN JUL AGO SEP OCT NOV DIC TOTAL

1 1971 92.1 118.7 45.5 17.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 28.5 64.4 34.9 402.90
2 1972 200.5 78.7 81.3 23.2 4.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.6 19.5 69.8 81.1 567.90
3 1973 149.3 68.2 103.4 86.0 1.5 0.0 2.1 2.3 19.5 17.4 62.6 51.4 563.70
4 1974 225.8 98.8 101.8 26.4 0.0 5.1 0.0 35.1 2.3 20.0 30.7 84.1 630.10
5 1975 102.0 87.3 139.0 15.5 15.1 1.3 0.0 0.0 23.4 38.9 6.9 148.3 577.70
6 1976 163.4 80.3 40.8 0.0 11.3 0.0 0.0 9.1 52.0 0.0 0.0 49.3 406.20
7 1977 86.3 200.8 120.0 8.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 46.5 34.8 73.1 78.0 647.50
8 1978 183.7 135.9 72.2 31.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 26.3 8.7 98.4 128.2 684.70
9 1979 198.7 75.4 119.8 47.9 0.0 0.0 8.6 10.0 0.7 41.9 29.1 77.4 609.50
10 1980 56.2 79.0 84.9 21.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 18.5 54.7 81.4 29.2 40.5 466.30
11 1981 148.5 160.1 135.3 43.6 0.3 0.0 0.0 18.7 38.5 71.6 53.8 77.9 748.30
12 1982 166.1 65.6 55.8 38.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.9 63.4 54.9 81.4 46.6 578.60
13 1983 126.1 25.4 26.3 36.9 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 14.5 29.6 25.7 71.2 355.90
14 1984 256.7 207.6 123.1 41.5 6.0 38.0 8.0 24.5 0.0 65.9 100.1 178.4 1,049.80
15 1985 151.3 177.0 95.3 115.0 18.4 37.4 0.0 5.4 100.7 69.8 278.7 220.8 1,269.80
16 1986 194.5 217.9 233.8 147.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 19.1 61.5 20.6 62.3 140.9 1,098.50
17 1987 285.4 38.5 40.8 38.0 3.7 0.8 32.0 7.5 9.0 34.8 101.3 67.8 659.60
18 1988 119.2 49.8 177.3 134.2 31.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 38.0 4.8 108.3 662.70
19 1989 126.4 69.1 76.0 50.3 0.6 16.0 0.0 21.6 14.3 12.4 24.0 54.5 465.20
20 1990 166.4 79.8 24.8 35.6 4.5 42.5 0.0 9.7 10.6 67.7 83.7 192.1 717.40
21 1991 168.7 102.6 126.9 26.2 23.5 55.0 0.0 0.0 27.0 28.9 32.8 63.7 655.30
22 1992 137.7 116.4 26.6 9.3 0.0 0.0 6.2 58.1 3.8 59.7 45.5 79.0 542.30
23 1993 149.5 50.7 98.9 46.2 15.4 4.6 0.0 6.6 23.8 22.0 75.2 123.8 616.70
24 1994 140.6 196.4 76.6 58.5 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.4 12.6 25.7 98.4 622.40
25 1995 135.7 179.8 129.1 22.0 3.2 0.0 0.0 8.1 12.6 23.2 40.4 107.1 661.16
26 1996 74.2 51.0 79.1 19.6 3.8 0.0 0.0 12.8 16.8 21.2 55.4 98.2 432.10
27 1997 190.2 146.4 109.0 27.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 17.8 44.1 22.0 61.6 92.0 710.90
28 1998 123.6 98.6 58.4 64.6 0.0 6.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 54.6 90.6 34.3 531.10
29 1999 99.6 96.0 115.8 67.2 5.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 39.4 56.2 26.0 38.6 544.60
30 2000 135.0 73.4 74.0 2.4 8.0 19.3 0.0 5.0 5.6 81.2 1.8 54.0 459.70
31 2001 111.8 109.8 14.4 11.8 9.6 2.8 0.0 2.2 6.6 37.0 31.0 79.6 416.60
32 2002 93.6 126.2 63.8 33.4 6.4 0.0 12.0 0.0 39.0 109.2 34.5 53.6 571.70
33 2003 197.0 100.2 102.4 14.4 10.0 4.8 0.0 4.0 25.0 21.8 32.2 78.2 590.00
34 2004 157.2 127.0 107.0 37.6 9.4 5.2 4.6 19.8 20.2 8.8 49.6 47.2 593.60
35 2005 78.4 110.6 105.4 26.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 21.2 75.0 71.2 108.2 597.60
36 2006 187.6 47.8 66.2 16.2 1.4 2.0 0.0 1.4 26.6 58.6 44.6 125.6 578.00
37 2007 89.2 46.2 123.5 76.6 6.2 1.2 0.6 1.8 36.8 18.8 64.4 69.8 535.10
38 2008 154.0 60.0 67.8 0.0 1.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.8 37.4 34.0 98.4 456.80
39 2009 67.0 150.0 50.4 6.4 0.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 20.2 31.4 60.2 72.0 460.60
40 2010 103.0 145.4 63.8 39.6 18.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.6 24.0 7.4 121.8 527.00
41 2011 53.6 156.4 69.6 1.2 8.4 1.2 8.4 4.4 35.4 57.4 37.4 133.2 566.60

MEDIA 142.58 107.43 88.44 38.23 5.83 5.94 2.09 8.06 23.47 39.45 53.70 90.45 605.66
MÍNIMA 53.60 25.40 14.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 34.30 355.90
MÁXIMA 285.40 217.90 233.80 147.90 31.10 55.00 32.00 58.10 100.70 109.20 278.70 220.80 1,269.80

(). Celda marcada de azul: DATO COMPLETADO CON MEDIA ORIGINAL SIN INCLUSIÓN DE DATO.
CUADRO N° 1.12 EXTENCIÓN CON HEC4
ESTACIÓN TARACO: PRECIPITACIÓN MEDIA MENSUAL HISTÓRICA (mm); PERIODO: 1971 - 2011

AÑO ENE FEB MAR ABR MAY JUN JUL AGO SEP OCT NOV DIC TOTAL

1 1971 92.0 119.0 45.0 18.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 28.0 64.0 35.0 402.00
2 1972 200.0 79.0 81.0 23.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.0 20.0 70.0 81.0 568.00
3 1973 149.0 68.0 103.0 86.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 20.0 17.0 63.0 51.0 562.00
4 1974 226.0 99.0 102.0 26.0 0.0 5.0 0.0 35.0 2.0 20.0 31.0 84.0 630.00
5 1975 102.0 87.0 139.0 15.0 15.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 23.0 39.0 7.0 148.0 576.00
6 1976 163.0 80.0 41.0 0.0 11.0 0.0 0.0 9.0 52.0 0.0 0.0 49.0 405.00
7 1977 86.0 201.0 120.0 8.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 46.0 35.0 73.0 78.0 647.00
8 1978 184.0 136.0 72.0 31.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 26.0 9.0 98.0 128.0 684.00
9 1979 199.0 75.0 120.0 48.0 0.0 0.0 9.0 10.0 1.0 42.0 29.0 77.0 610.00
10 1980 56.0 79.0 85.0 22.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 18.0 55.0 81.0 29.0 41.0 466.00
11 1981 149.0 160.0 135.0 44.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 19.0 39.0 72.0 54.0 78.0 750.00
12 1982 166.0 66.0 56.0 39.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 63.0 55.0 81.0 47.0 579.00
13 1983 126.0 25.0 26.0 37.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 15.0 30.0 26.0 71.0 356.00
14 1984 257.0 208.0 123.0 41.0 6.0 38.0 8.0 24.0 0.0 66.0 100.0 178.0 1,049.00
15 1985 151.0 177.0 95.0 115.0 18.0 37.0 0.0 5.0 101.0 70.0 279.0 221.0 1,269.00
16 1986 194.0 218.0 234.0 148.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 19.0 61.0 21.0 62.0 141.0 1,098.00
17 1987 285.0 38.0 41.0 38.0 4.0 1.0 32.0 8.0 9.0 35.0 101.0 68.0 660.00
18 1988 119.0 50.0 177.0 134.0 31.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 38.0 5.0 108.0 662.00
19 1989 126.0 69.0 76.0 50.0 1.0 16.0 0.0 22.0 14.0 12.0 24.0 55.0 465.00
20 1990 166.0 80.0 25.0 36.0 4.0 43.0 0.0 10.0 11.0 68.0 84.0 192.0 719.00
21 1991 169.0 103.0 127.0 26.0 23.0 55.0 0.0 0.0 27.0 29.0 33.0 64.0 656.00
22 1992 138.0 116.0 27.0 9.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 58.0 4.0 60.0 46.0 79.0 543.00
23 1993 149.0 51.0 99.0 46.0 15.0 5.0 0.0 7.0 24.0 22.0 75.0 124.0 617.00
24 1994 141.0 196.0 77.0 58.0 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 13.0 26.0 98.0 622.00
25 1995 136.0 180.0 129.0 22.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 1 13.0 23.0 40.0 107.0 654.00
26 1996 74.0 51.0 79.0 20.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 13.0 17.0 21.0 55.0 98.0 432.00
27 1997 190.0 146.0 109.0 28.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 18.0 44.0 22.0 62.0 92.0 711.00
28 1998 124.0 99.0 58.0 65.0 0.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 55.0 91.0 34.0 532.00
29 1999 100.0 96.0 116.0 67.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 39.0 56.0 26.0 39.0 545.00
30 2000 135.0 73.0 74.0 2.0 8.0 19.0 0.0 5.0 6.0 81.0 2.0 54.0 459.00
31 2001 112.0 110.0 14.0 12.0 10.0 3.0 0.0 2.0 7.0 37.0 31.0 80.0 418.00
32 2002 94.0 126.0 64.0 33.0 6.0 0.0 12.0 0.0 39.0 109.0 35.0 54.0 572.00
33 2003 197.0 100.0 102.0 14.0 10.0 5.0 0.0 4.0 25.0 22.0 32.0 78.0 589.00
34 2004 157.0 127.0 107.0 38.0 9.0 5.0 5.0 20.0 20.0 9.0 50.0 47.0 594.00
35 2005 78.0 111.0 105.0 27.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 21.0 75.0 71.0 108.0 597.00
36 2006 188.0 48.0 66.0 16.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 27.0 59.0 45.0 126.0 579.00
37 2007 89.0 46.0 123.0 77.0 6.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 37.0 19.0 64.0 70.0 535.00
38 2008 154.0 60.0 68.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 37.0 34.0 98.0 456.00
39 2009 67.0 150.0 50.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 20.0 31.0 60.0 72.0 459.00
40 2010 103.0 145.0 64.0 40.0 18.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 24.0 7.0 122.0 527.00
41 2011 54.0 156.0 70.0 1.0 8.0 1.0 8.0 4.0 35.0 57.0 37.0 133.0 564.00

MEDIA 142.56 107.41 88.39 38.20 5.71 5.93 2.10 7.88 23.51 39.49 53.71 90.44 605.32
MÍNIMA 54.00 25.00 14.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 34.00 356.00
MÁXIMA 285.00 218.00 234.00 148.00 31.00 55.00 32.00 58.00 101.00 109.00 279.00 221.00 1,269.00
GRAFICO 2.13 ANALISIS DE DOBLE MASA
Precipitación Total Anual Histórica: Estaciones Pucara y La Raya
40,000.0

35,000.0
PRECIPITACIÓN ACUMULADA ESTACIÓN LA RAYA (mm).

30,000.0

25,000.0

20,000.0

15,000.0

10,000.0

5,000.0

0.0
0.0 5,000.0 10,000.0 15,000.0 20,000.0 25,000.0 30,000.0 35,000.0

PRECIPITACIÓN ACUMULADA ESTACIÓN PUCARA (mm).


CUADRO N° 3.12
ESTACIÓN LA RAYA: PRECIPITACIÓN TOTAL ANUAL HISTÓRICA (1971 - 2011)
ANÁLISIS ESTADÍSTICO : PRUEBAS DE "T" DE STUDENT Y DE FISHER "F"

PRECIPITACIÓN
PRECIPITACIÓN PERIODOS TOTAL ANUAL
AÑOS
ANUAL MUESTRALES CORREGIDA
(mm) (mm)
1 1971 926.4 920.73
2 1972 926.4 PERIODO 1 : "DUDOSO" 920.73
3 1973 926.4 1971 - 1980 920.73
4 1974 938.5 932.30
5 1975 804.1 Longitud muestral : N1 = 10 803.78
6 1976 727.8 Media del período : X1 = 930.8 730.82
7 1977 934.3 Desviación Std. : S1 = 134.7 928.28
8 1978 1,215.7 1197.36
9 1979 1,063.3 1051.63
10 1980 845.5 843.37
1 1981 493.3
2 1982 915.6
3 1983 603.6
4 1984 1,213.3
5 1985 1,134.2
6 1986 1,063.7
7 1987 908.6
8 1988 970.2
9 1989 989.6
10 1990 938.3
11 1991 835.3 PERIODO 2 : "CONFIABLE"
12 1992 818.4 1981 - 2011
13 1993 1,114.8 Longitud muestral : N2 = 31
14 1994 926.4 Media del período : X2 = 925.0
15 1995 926.4 Desviación Std. : S2 = 128.8
16 1996 926.4
17 1997 926.4
18 1998 926.4
19 1999 926.4
20 2000 926.4
21 2001 926.4
22 2002 926.4
23 2003 926.4
24 2004 926.4
25 2005 926.4
26 2006 926.4
27 2007 926.4
28 2008 926.4
29 2009 926.4
30 2010 926.4
31 2011 926.4
PRUEBA "T" DE STUDENT
Criterio : Si Tt > Tc : Homogeneidad; Si Tt < Tc : No Homogeneidad
Tc = 0.124 Grados de Libertad = 39
Tt = 2.023 Tc < Tt α= 0.95
Las medias X1 y X2 son Estadísticamente Homogéneas
NO CORREGIR LA PRECIPITACIÓN EN LA MEDIA
PRUEBA "F" DE FISHER
Criterio : Si Ft > Fc : Homogeneidad; Si Ft < Fc : No Homogeneidad
Fc = 1 Grados de Libertad : M1 = 30
Ft = 2.211 Fc < Ft M2 = 9
Las desviaciones standard S1 y S2 son Estadísticamente Homogéneas
NO CORREGIR LA PRECIPITACIÓN EN LA DESVIACIÓN ESTÁNDAR
PROCEDIMIENTO DE CORRECCIÓN
Xi = ( ( (Xo - X1) / S1 ) * S2 ) + X2
Xi = valor corregido; Xo = valor por corregir; X1 y S1 = media y desviación estándar
del periodo dudoso; X2 y S2 = media y desviación estándar del periodo confiable
Prueba t para dos muestras suponiendo varianzas iguales

Variable 1 Variable 2
Media 930.8415 924.97387
Varianza 18154.6345 16600.056
Observaciones 10 31
Varianza agrupada 16958.8049
Diferencia hipotética de las medias 0
Grados de libertad 39
Estadístico t 0.12389505
P(T<=t) una cola 0.45101736
Valor crítico de t (una cola) 1.68487512
P(T<=t) dos colas 0.90203473
Valor crítico de t (dos colas) 2.02269092

Prueba F para varianzas de dos muestras

Variable 1 Variable 2
Media 930.8415 924.97387
Varianza 18154.6345 16600.056
Observaciones 10 31
Grados de libertad 9 30
F 1.09364899
P(F<=f) una cola 0.39639822
Valor crítico para F (una cola) 2.21069698
CUADRO N° 1.13
ESTACIÓN LA RAYA: PRECIPITACIÓN MEDIA MENSUAL HISTÓRICA (mm); PERIODO: 1971 - 2011

AÑO ENE FEB MAR ABR MAY JUN JUL AGO SEP OCT NOV DIC TOTAL

1 1971 926.41
2 1972 926.41
3 1973 926.41
4 1974 181.1 204.0 165.7 69.4 8.5 7.6 0.6 36.2 8.4 38.0 87.0 132.0 938.50
5 1975 110.3 146.7 166.0 58.2 15.9 0.0 0.0 1.2 37.8 54.7 67.1 146.2 804.10
6 1976 181.8 117.4 187.3 32.7 13.8 12.0 9.5 15.4 39.1 9.5 34.6 74.7 727.80
7 1977 112.4 243.1 129.8 24.7 16.0 0.0 5.0 0.0 33.1 37.5 215.2 117.5 934.30
8 1978 375.9 276.9 131.6 71.0 20.1 0.0 0.0 12.2 48.0 25.5 63.5 191.0 1,215.70
9 1979 206.7 131.1 179.4 94.8 133.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.5 56.5 71.6 178.7 1,063.30
10 1980 157.3 123.7 199.5 42.6 31.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 16.0 119.0 120.8 35.5 845.50
11 1981 54.8 37.5 48.1 21.2 1.2 0.0 0.0 1.0 16.8 78.8 105.5 128.4 493.30
12 1982 124.0 148.3 223.2 61.8 0.0 4.0 0.0 17.0 10.7 99.9 146.7 80.0 915.60
13 1983 124.2 148.3 100.6 83.0 5.0 7.8 0.0 1.5 8.3 28.4 12.7 83.8 603.60
14 1984 292.6 158.4 165.8 81.2 22.6 25.6 3.8 19.5 9.9 131.5 193.5 108.9 1,213.30
15 1985 196.5 166.6 163.3 108.7 43.2 9.1 1.0 0.0 92.5 56.6 148.7 148.0 1,134.20
16 1986 171.6 229.4 192.7 135.8 19.3 0.0 10.4 23.6 56.6 13.2 70.1 141.0 1,063.70
17 1987 270.0 90.2 95.0 44.5 12.2 0.0 17.0 3.5 8.8 55.1 159.0 153.3 908.60
18 1988 186.9 176.9 246.8 146.0 10.2 0.0 0.0 2.7 12.9 46.4 13.7 127.7 970.20
19 1989 244.6 135.4 173.0 79.2 27.7 19.3 0.0 36.6 37.6 48.5 43.9 143.8 989.60
20 1990 199.3 114.0 70.6 46.2 9.3 47.7 2.7 12.7 29.9 137.4 122.2 146.3 938.30
21 1991 195.5 97.8 137.2 43.9 27.7 22.3 0.0 1.3 27.7 74.7 51.8 155.4 835.30
22 1992 190.2 133.1 93.5 29.2 0.0 0.0 48.3 22.9 29.5 67.8 134.3 69.6 818.40
23 1993 240.7 35.7 162.8 122.4 4.8 10.2 13.5 32.8 52.1 70.0 187.5 182.3 1,114.80
24 1994 926.41
25 1995 926.41
26 1996 926.41
27 1997 926.41
28 1998 926.41
29 1999 926.41
30 2000 926.41
31 2001 926.41
32 2002 926.41
33 2003 926.41
34 2004 926.41
35 2005 926.41
36 2006 926.41
37 2007 926.41
38 2008 926.41
39 2009 926.41
40 2010 926.41
41 2011 926.41

MEDIA 190.82 145.73 151.60 69.83 21.08 8.28 5.59 12.01 29.36 62.45 102.47 127.21 926.41
MÍNIMA 54.80 35.70 48.10 21.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.30 9.50 12.70 35.50 493.30
MÁXIMA 375.90 276.90 246.80 146.00 133.00 47.70 48.30 36.60 92.50 137.40 215.20 191.00 1,215.70

(). Celda marcada de azul: DATO COMPLETADO CON MEDIA ORIGINAL SIN INCLUSIÓN DE DATO.
CUADRO N° 1.13 EXTENCIÓN CON HEC4
ESTACIÓN LA RAYA: PRECIPITACIÓN MEDIA MENSUAL HISTÓRICA (mm); PERIODO: 1971 - 2011

AÑO ENE FEB MAR ABR MAY JUN JUL AGO SEP OCT NOV DIC TOTAL

1 1971 128.0 162.0 142.0 45.0 14.0 1.0 0.0 8.0 17.0 42.0 70.0 113.0 742.00
2 1972 256.0 157.0 138.0 55.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 18.0 43.0 110.0 102.0 885.00
3 1973 240.0 179.0 146.0 85.0 9.0 1.0 17.0 6.0 19.0 72.0 58.0 102.0 934.00
4 1974 181.0 204.0 166.0 69.0 9.0 8.0 1.0 36.0 8.0 38.0 87.0 132.0 939.00
5 1975 110.0 147.0 166.0 58.0 16.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 38.0 55.0 67.0 146.0 804.00
6 1976 182.0 117.0 187.0 33.0 14.0 12.0 9.0 15.0 39.0 10.0 35.0 75.0 728.00
7 1977 112.0 243.0 130.0 25.0 16.0 0.0 5.0 0.0 33.0 38.0 215.0 117.0 934.00
8 1978 376.0 277.0 132.0 71.0 20.0 0.0 0.0 12.0 48.0 26.0 64.0 191.0 1,217.00
9 1979 207.0 131.0 179.0 95.0 133.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.0 56.0 72.0 179.0 1,063.00
10 1980 157.0 124.0 200.0 43.0 31.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 16.0 119.0 121.0 36.0 847.00
11 1981 55.0 37.0 48.0 21.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 17.0 79.0 106.0 128.0 493.00
12 1982 124.0 148.0 223.0 62.0 0.0 4.0 0.0 17.0 11.0 100.0 147.0 80.0 916.00
13 1983 124.0 148.0 101.0 83.0 5.0 8.0 0.0 2.0 8.0 28.0 13.0 84.0 604.00
14 1984 293.0 158.0 166.0 81.0 23.0 26.0 4.0 19.0 10.0 132.0 194.0 109.0 1,215.00
15 1985 196.0 167.0 163.0 109.0 43.0 9.0 1.0 0.0 92.0 57.0 149.0 148.0 1,134.00
16 1986 172.0 229.0 193.0 136.0 19.0 0.0 10.0 24.0 57.0 13.0 70.0 141.0 1,064.00
17 1987 270.0 90.0 95.0 44.0 12.0 0.0 17.0 4.0 9.0 55.0 159.0 153.0 908.00
18 1988 187.0 177.0 247.0 146.0 10.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 13.0 46.0 14.0 128.0 971.00
19 1989 245.0 135.0 173.0 79.0 28.0 19.0 0.0 37.0 38.0 49.0 44.0 144.0 991.00
20 1990 199.0 114.0 71.0 46.0 9.0 48.0 3.0 13.0 30.0 137.0 122.0 146.0 938.00
21 1991 195.0 98.0 137.0 44.0 28.0 22.0 0.0 1.0 28.0 75.0 52.0 155.0 835.00
22 1992 190.0 133.0 93.0 29.0 0.0 0.0 48.0 23.0 29.0 68.0 134.0 70.0 817.00
23 1993 241.0 36.0 163.0 122.0 5.0 10.0 13.0 33.0 52.0 70.0 187.0 182.0 1,114.00
24 1994 243.0 176.0 164.0 84.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 15.0 22.0 134.0 114.0 955.00
25 1995 122.0 118.0 161.0 62.0 17.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 19.0 29.0 102.0 166.0 798.00
26 1996 191.0 95.0 97.0 51.0 25.0 1.0 10.0 1.0 21.0 12.0 100.0 155.0 759.00
27 1997 253.0 187.0 150.0 80.0 35.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 25.0 56.0 133.0 105.0 1,027.00
28 1998 141.0 159.0 170.0 58.0 7.0 8.0 0.0 0.0 8.0 64.0 154.0 69.0 838.00
29 1999 95.0 65.0 189.0 123.0 11.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 24.0 177.0 72.0 85.0 845.00
30 2000 214.0 130.0 213.0 65.0 9.0 41.0 0.0 1.0 22.0 123.0 43.0 103.0 964.00
31 2001 229.0 199.0 187.0 59.0 5.0 10.0 1.0 6.0 17.0 66.0 52.0 133.0 964.00
32 2002 159.0 107.0 113.0 63.0 17.0 1.0 143.0 42.0 40.0 165.0 176.0 105.0 1,131.00
33 2003 251.0 180.0 227.0 48.0 1.0 15.0 1.0 0.0 18.0 36.0 40.0 136.0 953.00
34 2004 251.0 161.0 100.0 70.0 60.0 5.0 6.0 8.0 22.0 21.0 21.0 154.0 879.00
35 2005 149.0 191.0 134.0 55.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 22.0 108.0 148.0 138.0 948.00
36 2006 235.0 159.0 148.0 47.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 26.0 83.0 169.0 134.0 1,011.00
37 2007 115.0 65.0 243.0 168.0 12.0 1.0 4.0 3.0 40.0 46.0 123.0 112.0 932.00
38 2008 251.0 179.0 118.0 25.0 15.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 16.0 72.0 55.0 174.0 910.00
39 2009 121.0 199.0 138.0 45.0 26.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 16.0 50.0 194.0 106.0 895.00
40 2010 169.0 139.0 125.0 48.0 9.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 16.0 42.0 88.0 164.0 801.00
41 2011 126.0 173.0 172.0 50.0 15.0 3.0 4.0 9.0 50.0 78.0 97.0 174.0 951.00

MEDIA 189.15 148.61 153.85 67.85 17.54 6.24 7.27 8.49 25.80 64.83 102.22 126.54 918.39
MÍNIMA 55.00 36.00 48.00 21.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.00 10.00 13.00 36.00 493.00
MÁXIMA 376.00 277.00 247.00 168.00 133.00 48.00 143.00 42.00 92.00 177.00 215.00 191.00 1,217.00
GRAFICO 2.3 ANALISIS DE DOBLE MASA
Precipitación Total Anual Histórica: Estaciones Pucara y Chuquibambilla
35000.0

30000.0
PRECIPITACIÓN ACUMULADA ESTACIÓN CHUQUIBAMBILLA (mm).

25000.0

20000.0

15000.0

10000.0

5000.0

0.0
0.0 5,000.0 10,000.0 15,000.0 20,000.0 25,000.0 30,000.0 35,000.0

PRECIPITACIÓN ACUMULADA ESTACIÓN PUCARA (mm).


CUADRO N° 3.2
ESTACIÓN CHUQUIBAMBILLA: PRECIPITACIÓN TOTAL ANUAL HISTÓRICA (1971 - 2011)
ANÁLISIS ESTADÍSTICO : PRUEBAS DE "T" DE STUDENT Y DE FISHER "F"

PRECIPITACIÓN
PRECIPITACIÓN PERIODOS TOTAL ANUAL
AÑOS
ANUAL MUESTRALES CORREGIDA
(mm) (mm)
1 1971 559.1 614.31
2 1972 645.4 662.66
3 1973 701.6 694.15
4 1974 627.2 652.47
5 1975 761.2 727.55
6 1976 605.5 640.31
7 1977 693.4 689.56
8 1978 824.2 762.84
9 1979 537.0 601.93
10 1980 650.6 665.58
11 1981 851.1 777.92
12 1982 767.4 731.02
13 1983 362.7 PERIODO 1 : "DUDOSO" 504.27
14 1984 1,012.5 1971 - 2004 868.35
15 1985 741.7 716.62
16 1986 697.7 Longitud muestral : N1 = 34 691.97
17 1987 490.4 Media del período : X1 = 709.7 575.82
18 1988 653.7 Desviación Std. : S1 = 137.0 667.31
19 1989 651.4 666.03
20 1990 785.6 741.22
21 1991 641.6 660.53
22 1992 592.3 632.91
23 1993 850.3 777.47
24 1994 795.2 746.60
25 1995 575.2 623.33
26 1996 617.7 647.14
27 1997 985.6 853.27
28 1998 677.7 680.76
29 1999 776.8 736.29
30 2000 792.7 745.19
31 2001 689.9 687.60
32 2002 947.5 831.93
33 2003 774.7 735.11
34 2004 792.9 745.31
1 2005 738.4
2 2006 778.7 PERIODO 2 : "CONFIABLE"
3 2007 596.6 2005 - 2011
4 2008 620.7 Longitud muestral : N2 = 7
5 2009 656.7 Media del período : X2 = 698.7
6 2010 705.8 Desviación Std. : S2 = 76.8
7 2011 793.9
PRUEBA "T" DE STUDENT
Criterio : Si Tt > Tc : Homogeneidad; Si Tt < Tc : No Homogeneidad
Tc = 0.205 Grados de Libertad = 39
Tt = 2.023 Tc < Tt α= 0.95
Las medias X1 y X2 son Estadísticamente Homogéneas
NO CORREGIR LA PRECIPITACIÓN EN LA MEDIA
PRUEBA "F" DE FISHER
Criterio : Si Ft > Fc : Homogeneidad; Si Ft < Fc : No Homogeneidad
Fc = 3.185 Grados de Libertad : M1 = 6
Ft = 3.796 Fc < Ft M2 = 33
Las desviaciones standard S1 y S2 son Estadísticamente Homogéneas
NO CORREGIR LA PRECIPITACIÓN EN LA DESVIACIÓN ESTÁNDAR
PROCEDIMIENTO DE CORRECCIÓN
Xi = ( ( (Xo - X1) / S1 ) * S2 ) + X2
Xi = valor corregido; Xo = valor por corregir; X1 y S1 = media y desviación estándar
del periodo dudoso; X2 y S2 = media y desviación estándar del periodo confiable
Prueba t para dos muestras suponiendo varianzas iguales

Variable 1Variable 2
Media 709.691 698.69
Varianza 18774.1 5893.7
Observaciones 34 7
Varianza agrupada 16792.5
Diferencia hipotética de las medias 0
Grados de libertad 39
Estadístico t 0.20462
P(T<=t) una cola 0.41947
Valor crítico de t (una cola) 1.68488
P(T<=t) dos colas 0.83893
Valor crítico de t (dos colas) 2.02269

Prueba F para varianzas de dos muestras

Variable 1Variable 2
Media 709.691 698.69
Varianza 18774.1 5893.7
Observaciones 34 7
Grados de libertad 33 6
F 3.18547
P(F<=f) una cola 0.07488
Valor crítico para F (una cola) 3.79591
CUADRO N° 1.2
ESTACIÓN CHUQUIBAMBILLA: PRECIPITACIÓN MEDIA MENSUAL HISTÓRICA (mm); PERIODO: 1971 - 2011

AÑO ENE FEB MAR ABR MAY JUN JUL AGO SEP OCT NOV DIC TOTAL

1 1971 86.5 169.7 57.6 46.3 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.5 0.0 23.1 68.5 102.9 559.10
2 1972 199.1 126.3 115.9 26.5 2.3 0.0 4.3 2.6 2.5 12.8 21.9 131.2 645.40
3 1973 115.1 84.8 157.8 110.4 7.7 0.0 1.5 9.2 37.7 38.1 84.0 55.3 701.60
4 1974 167.2 102.3 128.5 47.9 0.0 4.2 0.0 25.4 18.8 28.5 43.3 61.1 627.20
5 1975 225.3 101.9 105.9 37.3 22.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 34.2 59.6 43.6 131.4 761.20
6 1976 208.8 88.9 154.9 27.4 15.4 1.5 0.8 2.8 33.8 1.9 26.0 43.3 605.50
7 1977 95.7 138.3 140.1 31.7 4.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 38.0 54.6 106.5 82.5 693.40
8 1978 295.2 127.7 67.0 64.0 0.9 0.6 0.0 0.0 24.7 19.9 101.9 122.3 824.20
9 1979 150.9 56.6 78.7 54.2 1.4 0.0 0.0 4.4 4.7 29.1 34.6 122.4 537.00
10 1980 109.0 103.7 149.2 11.8 11.2 0.0 1.3 2.4 4.8 87.2 64.2 105.8 650.60
11 1981 174.3 176.0 144.8 77.0 7.6 3.1 0.0 11.6 31.0 77.4 41.5 106.8 851.10
12 1982 148.3 91.7 101.1 82.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 27.0 95.0 154.2 67.9 767.40
13 1983 51.4 51.1 60.6 47.6 2.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 15.5 21.3 24.5 88.3 362.70
14 1984 216.3 175.4 139.9 30.5 20.9 0.0 1.3 0.7 2.7 120.6 124.1 180.1 1,012.50
15 1985 114.0 123.5 90.5 34.6 14.7 25.9 0.0 0.5 65.7 24.6 140.8 106.9 741.70
16 1986 99.4 114.8 129.9 90.5 12.9 0.0 1.0 4.1 35.5 2.7 60.1 146.8 697.70
17 1987 111.2 75.1 72.5 32.0 1.1 1.4 7.3 0.9 3.2 9.3 96.6 79.8 490.40
18 1988 201.8 72.6 153.4 71.3 16.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.6 26.7 4.9 94.5 653.70
19 1989 78.6 84.7 113.9 86.8 3.8 0.7 0.7 40.1 30.9 59.8 55.9 95.5 651.40
20 1990 137.5 82.4 149.6 68.3 8.8 48.1 0.0 0.2 9.8 136.1 70.4 74.4 785.60
21 1991 191.4 61.4 118.0 30.1 28.0 39.1 0.0 0.0 1.0 48.3 29.8 94.5 641.60
22 1992 109.8 71.1 84.3 35.4 0.0 2.4 0.0 42.0 0.0 57.5 99.4 90.4 592.30
23 1993 183.4 29.0 182.9 46.9 0.0 16.0 0.0 28.6 9.3 94.1 162.0 98.1 850.30
24 1994 209.4 133.1 139.6 61.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.8 6.1 43.0 76.3 120.6 795.20
25 1995 119.7 102.8 124.8 15.8 2.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.5 27.0 56.7 123.8 575.20
26 1996 162.2 112.0 97.8 61.9 1.4 0.0 3.4 5.0 6.6 11.8 57.1 98.5 617.70
27 1997 205.1 204.3 192.7 63.3 4.0 0.0 0.0 16.5 31.0 35.4 111.6 121.7 985.60
28 1998 128.7 131.5 151.4 22.5 0.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 8.8 72.6 107.3 50.9 677.70
29 1999 114.1 162.6 139.9 146.8 9.8 0.0 1.4 1.7 20.3 58.1 28.0 94.1 776.80
30 2000 183.4 180.6 120.7 14.4 17.3 6.5 7.0 5.3 6.9 94.1 17.4 139.1 792.70
31 2001 238.6 127.3 126.9 25.1 19.3 1.2 4.7 7.5 10.8 40.4 18.2 69.9 689.90
32 2002 156.8 175.5 117.6 92.6 29.2 2.0 13.5 13.6 22.0 94.2 102.5 128.0 947.50
33 2003 137.9 154.8 245.0 43.6 4.3 3.3 0.0 12.6 23.3 18.7 33.6 97.6 774.70
34 2004 215.6 137.0 95.7 42.6 1.1 2.0 3.3 21.9 59.6 13.3 58.3 142.5 792.90
35 2005 88.1 213.7 97.7 39.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.9 0.0 118.3 75.7 98.0 738.40
36 2006 188.8 115.9 94.6 20.5 0.0 3.2 0.0 3.0 5.6 48.0 90.8 208.3 778.70
37 2007 95.6 96.9 130.8 81.9 3.5 0.0 4.6 0.0 22.1 21.1 67.2 72.9 596.60
38 2008 149.7 96.6 44.1 2.9 2.9 1.0 0.0 2.5 0.0 37.8 47.4 235.8 620.70
39 2009 114.1 90.4 137.6 65.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 14.4 19.1 84.8 131.1 656.70
40 2010 187.9 111.4 139.4 73.0 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 18.4 58.2 102.3 705.80
41 2011 122.8 181.1 122.4 9.7 13.5 7.8 9.7 6.8 37.2 31.0 87.7 164.2 793.90

MEDIA 153.38 117.96 122.33 50.56 7.48 4.20 1.65 7.10 17.55 47.09 69.21 109.30 707.81
MÍNIMA 51.40 29.00 44.10 2.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.90 4.90 43.30 362.70
MÁXIMA 295.20 213.70 245.00 146.80 29.20 48.10 13.50 42.00 65.70 136.10 162.00 235.80 1,012.50

(). Celda marcada de azul: DATO COMPLETADO CON MEDIA ORIGINAL SIN INCLUSIÓN DE DATO.
CUADRO N° 1.2 EXTENCIÓN CON HEC4
ESTACIÓN CHUQUIBAMBILLA: PRECIPITACIÓN MEDIA MENSUAL HISTÓRICA (mm); PERIODO: 1971 - 2011

AÑO ENE FEB MAR ABR MAY JUN JUL AGO SEP OCT NOV DIC TOTAL

1 1971 87.0 170.0 58.0 46.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 0.0 23.0 68.0 103.0 560.00
2 1972 199.0 126.0 116.0 27.0 2.0 0.0 4.0 3.0 3.0 13.0 22.0 131.0 646.00
3 1973 115.0 85.0 158.0 110.0 8.0 0.0 2.0 9.0 38.0 38.0 84.0 55.0 702.00
4 1974 167.0 102.0 128.0 48.0 0.0 4.0 0.0 25.0 19.0 28.0 43.0 61.0 625.00
5 1975 225.0 102.0 106.0 37.0 22.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 34.0 60.0 44.0 131.0 761.00
6 1976 209.0 89.0 155.0 27.0 15.0 1.0 1.0 3.0 34.0 2.0 26.0 43.0 605.00
7 1977 96.0 138.0 140.0 32.0 4.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 38.0 55.0 106.0 83.0 694.00
8 1978 295.0 128.0 67.0 64.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 25.0 20.0 102.0 122.0 825.00
9 1979 151.0 57.0 79.0 54.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 5.0 29.0 35.0 122.0 537.00
10 1980 109.0 104.0 149.0 12.0 11.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 5.0 87.0 64.0 106.0 650.00
11 1981 174.0 176.0 145.0 77.0 8.0 3.0 0.0 12.0 31.0 77.0 41.0 107.0 851.00
12 1982 148.0 92.0 101.0 82.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 27.0 95.0 154.0 68.0 767.00
13 1983 51.0 51.0 61.0 48.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 16.0 21.0 24.0 88.0 362.00
14 1984 216.0 175.0 140.0 31.0 21.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 3.0 121.0 124.0 180.0 1,013.00
15 1985 114.0 123.0 90.0 35.0 15.0 26.0 0.0 0.0 66.0 25.0 141.0 107.0 742.00
16 1986 99.0 115.0 130.0 91.0 13.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 35.0 3.0 60.0 147.0 698.00
17 1987 111.0 75.0 72.0 32.0 1.0 1.0 7.0 1.0 3.0 9.0 97.0 80.0 489.00
18 1988 202.0 73.0 153.0 71.0 17.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.0 27.0 5.0 94.0 654.00
19 1989 79.0 85.0 114.0 87.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 40.0 31.0 60.0 56.0 96.0 654.00
20 1990 138.0 82.0 150.0 68.0 9.0 48.0 0.0 0.0 10.0 136.0 70.0 74.0 785.00
21 1991 191.0 61.0 118.0 30.0 28.0 39.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 48.0 30.0 94.0 640.00
22 1992 110.0 71.0 84.0 35.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 42.0 0.0 58.0 99.0 90.0 591.00
23 1993 183.0 29.0 183.0 47.0 0.0 16.0 0.0 29.0 9.0 94.0 162.0 98.0 850.00
24 1994 209.0 133.0 140.0 61.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 6.0 43.0 76.0 121.0 795.00
25 1995 120.0 103.0 125.0 16.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 27.0 57.0 124.0 577.00
26 1996 162.0 112.0 98.0 62.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 5.0 7.0 12.0 57.0 98.0 617.00
27 1997 205.0 204.0 193.0 63.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 16.0 31.0 35.0 112.0 122.0 985.00
28 1998 129.0 131.0 151.0 23.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 9.0 73.0 107.0 51.0 678.00
29 1999 114.0 163.0 140.0 147.0 10.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 20.0 58.0 28.0 94.0 777.00
30 2000 183.0 181.0 121.0 14.0 17.0 6.0 7.0 5.0 7.0 94.0 17.0 139.0 791.00
31 2001 239.0 127.0 127.0 25.0 19.0 1.0 5.0 8.0 11.0 40.0 18.0 70.0 690.00
32 2002 157.0 175.0 118.0 93.0 29.0 2.0 13.0 14.0 22.0 94.0 103.0 128.0 948.00
33 2003 138.0 155.0 245.0 44.0 4.0 3.0 0.0 13.0 23.0 19.0 34.0 98.0 776.00
34 2004 216.0 137.0 96.0 43.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 22.0 60.0 13.0 58.0 142.0 793.00
35 2005 88.0 214.0 98.0 39.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.0 0.0 118.0 76.0 98.0 739.00
36 2006 189.0 116.0 95.0 21.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 3.0 6.0 48.0 91.0 208.0 780.00
37 2007 96.0 97.0 131.0 82.0 3.0 0.0 5.0 0.0 22.0 21.0 67.0 73.0 597.00
38 2008 150.0 97.0 44.0 3.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 38.0 47.0 236.0 621.00
39 2009 114.0 90.0 138.0 65.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 14.0 19.0 85.0 131.0 656.00
40 2010 188.0 111.0 139.0 73.0 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 18.0 58.0 102.0 704.00
41 2011 123.0 181.0 122.0 10.0 13.0 8.0 10.0 7.0 37.0 31.0 88.0 164.0 794.00

MEDIA 153.39 117.95 122.39 50.61 7.41 4.15 1.63 7.12 17.63 47.07 69.17 109.24 707.78
MÍNIMA 51.00 29.00 44.00 3.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.00 5.00 43.00 362.00
MÁXIMA 295.00 214.00 245.00 147.00 29.00 48.00 13.00 42.00 66.00 136.00 162.00 236.00 1,013.00
GRAFICO 2.4 ANALISIS DE DOBLE MASA
Precipitación Total Anual Histórica: Estaciones Pucara y Llalli
40000.0

35000.0
PRECIPITACIÓN ACUMULADA ESTACIÓN LLALLI (mm).

30000.0

25000.0

20000.0

15000.0

10000.0

5000.0

0.0
0.0 5,000.0 10,000.0 15,000.0 20,000.0 25,000.0 30,000.0 35,000.0

PRECIPITACIÓN ACUMULADA ESTACIÓN PUCARA (mm).


CUADRO N° 3.3
ESTACIÓN LLALLI: PRECIPITACIÓN TOTAL ANUAL HISTÓRICA (1971 - 2011)
ANÁLISIS ESTADÍSTICO : PRUEBAS DE "T" DE STUDENT Y DE FISHER "F"

PRECIPITACIÓN
PRECIPITACIÓN PERIODOS TOTAL ANUAL
AÑOS
ANUAL MUESTRALES CORREGIDA
(mm) (mm)
1 1971 737.5
2 1972 893.0
3 1973 883.6
4 1974 1,067.8
5 1975 734.7
6 1976 800.6
7 1977 788.0
8 1978 1,173.2
9 1979 884.6
10 1980 592.3 PERIODO 1 : "DUDOSO"
11 1981 869.6 1971 - 2001
12 1982 869.6
13 1983 869.6 Longitud muestral : N1 = 31
14 1984 869.6 Media del período : X1 = 862.1
15 1985 869.6 Desviación Std. : S1 = 107.6
16 1986 869.6
17 1987 869.6
18 1988 869.6
19 1989 869.6
20 1990 869.6
21 1991 869.6
22 1992 869.6
23 1993 925.0
24 1994 857.9
25 1995 705.8
26 1996 789.5
27 1997 1,024.7
28 1998 798.1
29 1999 978.5
30 2000 906.2
31 2001 750.5
1 2002 986.4
2 2003 677.7
3 2004 787.0 PERIODO 2 : "CONFIABLE"
4 2005 817.0 2002 - 2011
5 2006 958.5
6 2007 917.9 Longitud muestral : N2 = 10
7 2008 798.2 Media del período : X2 = 862.1
8 2009 811.9 Desviación Std. : S2 = 107.6
9 2010 838.5
10 2011 1,028.2
PRUEBA "T" DE STUDENT
Criterio : Si Tt > Tc : Homogeneidad; Si Tt < Tc : No Homogeneidad
Tc = 0.000 Grados de Libertad = 39
Tt = 2.023 Tc < Tt α= 0.95
Las medias X1 y X2 son Estadísticamente Homogéneas
NO CORREGIR LA PRECIPITACIÓN EN LA MEDIA
PRUEBA "F" DE FISHER
Criterio : Si Ft > Fc : Homogeneidad; Si Ft < Fc : No Homogeneidad
Fc = 1.000 Grados de Libertad : M1 = 9
Ft = 2.864 Fc < Ft M2 = 30
Las desviaciones standard S1 y S2 son Estadísticamente Homogéneas
NO CORREGIR LA PRECIPITACIÓN EN LA DESVIACIÓN ESTÁNDAR
PROCEDIMIENTO DE CORRECCIÓN
Xi = ( ( (Xo - X1) / S1 ) * S2 ) + X2
Xi = valor corregido; Xo = valor por corregir; X1 y S1 = media y desviación estándar
del periodo dudoso; X2 y S2 = media y desviación estándar del periodo confiable
Prueba t para dos muestras suponiendo varianzas iguales

Variable 1Variable 2
Media 862.13 862.13
Varianza 11587.1 11587
Observaciones 31 10
Varianza agrupada 11587.1
Diferencia hipotética de las medias 0
Grados de libertad 39
Estadístico t -8.7E-15
P(T<=t) una cola 0.5
Valor crítico de t (una cola) 1.68488
P(T<=t) dos colas 1
Valor crítico de t (dos colas) 2.02269

Prueba F para varianzas de dos muestras

Variable 1Variable 2
Media 862.13 862.13
Varianza 11587.1 11587
Observaciones 31 10
Grados de libertad 30 9
F 1
P(F<=f) una cola 0.53876
Valor crítico para F (una cola) 2.86365
CUADRO N° 3.3
ESTACIÓN LLALLI: PRECIPITACIÓN TOTAL ANUAL HISTÓRICA (1971 - 2011)
ANÁLISIS ESTADÍSTICO : PRUEBAS DE "T" DE STUDENT Y DE FISHER "F"

PRECIPITACIÓN
PRECIPITACIÓN PERIODOS TOTAL ANUAL
AÑOS
ANUAL MUESTRALES CORREGIDA
(mm) (mm)
1 1971 728.5 737.50
2 1972 862.7 892.97
3 1973 854.6 883.58
4 1974 1,013.6 1067.78
5 1975 726.1 734.72
6 1976 783.0 800.64
7 1977 772.1 788.00
8 1978 1,104.6 1173.20
9 1979 855.5 884.63
10 1980 603.2 PERIODO 1 : "DUDOSO" 592.35
11 1981 842.5 1971 - 2001 869.56
12 1982 842.5 869.56
13 1983 842.5 Longitud muestral : N1 = 31 869.56
14 1984 842.5 Media del período : X1 = 836.1 869.56
15 1985 842.5 Desviación Std. : S1 = 92.9 869.56
16 1986 842.5 869.56
17 1987 842.5 869.56
18 1988 842.5 869.56
19 1989 842.5 869.56
20 1990 842.5 869.56
21 1991 842.5 869.56
22 1992 842.5 869.56
23 1993 890.3 924.97
24 1994 832.4 857.87
25 1995 701.1 705.76
26 1996 773.4 789.52
27 1997 976.4 1024.68
28 1998 780.8 798.09
29 1999 936.5 978.46
30 2000 874.1 906.17
31 2001 739.7 750.48
1 2002 986.4
2 2003 677.7
3 2004 787.0 PERIODO 2 : "CONFIABLE"
4 2005 817.0 2002 - 2011
5 2006 958.5
6 2007 917.9 Longitud muestral : N2 = 10
7 2008 798.2 Media del período : X2 = 862.1
8 2009 811.9 Desviación Std. : S2 = 107.6
9 2010 838.5
10 2011 1,028.2
PRUEBA "T" DE STUDENT
Criterio : Si Tt > Tc : Homogeneidad; Si Tt < Tc : No Homogeneidad
Tc = -0.742 Grados de Libertad = 39
Tt = 2.023 Tc < Tt α= 0.95
Las medias X1 y X2 son Estadísticamente Homogéneas
NO CORREGIR LA PRECIPITACIÓN EN LA MEDIA
PRUEBA "F" DE FISHER
Criterio : Si Ft > Fc : Homogeneidad; Si Ft < Fc : No Homogeneidad
Fc = 0.745 Grados de Libertad : M1 = 9
Ft = 0.452 Fc > Ft M2 = 30
Las desviaciones standard S1 y S2 son Estadísticamente no Homogéneas
CORREGIR LA PRECIPITACIÓN EN LA DESVIACIÓN ESTÁNDAR
PROCEDIMIENTO DE CORRECCIÓN
Xi = ( ( (Xo - X1) / S1 ) * S2 ) + X2
Xi = valor corregido; Xo = valor por corregir; X1 y S1 = media y desviación estándar
del periodo dudoso; X2 y S2 = media y desviación estándar del periodo confiable
Prueba t para dos muestras suponiendo varianzas iguales

Variable 1Variable 2
Media 836.081 862.13
Varianza 8634.06 11587
Observaciones 31 10
Varianza agrupada 9315.53
Diferencia hipotética de las medias 0
Grados de libertad 39
Estadístico t -0.74211
P(T<=t) una cola 0.23123
Valor crítico de t (una cola) 1.68488
P(T<=t) dos colas 0.46246
Valor crítico de t (dos colas) 2.02269

Prueba F para varianzas de dos muestras

Variable 1Variable 2
Media 836.081 862.13
Varianza 8634.06 11587
Observaciones 31 10
Grados de libertad 30 9
F 0.74514
P(F<=f) una cola 0.25777
Valor crítico para F (una cola) 0.45235
CUADRO N° 1.3
ESTACIÓN LLALLI: PRECIPITACIÓN MEDIA MENSUAL HISTÓRICA (mm); PERIODO: 1971 - 2011

AÑO ENE FEB MAR ABR MAY JUN JUL AGO SEP OCT NOV DIC TOTAL

1 1971 153.0 289.0 70.0 21.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 4.0 0.0 22.0 36.5 132.0 728.50
2 1972 270.0 160.9 145.8 37.5 3.5 0.0 9.0 10.0 12.5 45.0 41.0 127.5 862.70
3 1973 256.5 156.0 156.0 62.0 1.0 0.0 6.0 12.5 46.5 33.5 57.6 67.0 854.60
4 1974 226.6 213.5 142.5 103.0 2.5 18.5 4.0 96.5 12.0 16.5 34.5 143.5 1,013.60
5 1975 179.3 136.2 147.5 18.5 31.1 0.0 0.0 2.0 15.5 26.0 44.0 126.0 726.10
6 1976 221.5 103.0 222.0 28.0 29.5 12.5 0.5 11.0 55.0 13.0 16.0 71.0 783.00
7 1977 78.8 169.0 136.9 25.0 5.0 2.5 3.2 14.5 62.9 55.5 164.2 54.5 772.09
8 1978 394.7 158.0 96.9 76.7 0.0 0.0 5.2 9.8 31.5 26.9 152.7 152.2 1,104.60
9 1979 169.4 135.6 167.1 66.2 0.3 0.0 0.2 12.2 4.0 74.7 89.3 136.5 855.50
10 1980 52.3 44.7 147.3 15.8 8.6 0.0 0.8 5.0 31.7 120.8 79.1 97.1 603.20
11 1981 842.49
12 1982 842.49
13 1983 842.49
14 1984 842.49
15 1985 842.49
16 1986 842.49
17 1987 842.49
18 1988 842.49
19 1989 842.49
20 1990 842.49
21 1991 842.49
22 1992 842.49
23 1993 189.4 57.3 137.6 53.2 0.0 11.0 0.1 30.6 15.1 105.4 153.3 137.3 890.33
24 1994 208.2 173.3 154.4 75.2 2.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 15.9 75.4 122.2 832.40
25 1995 156.5 168.1 131.5 57.1 1.1 0.0 1.3 8.8 13.8 21.8 43.2 97.9 701.10
26 1996 176.6 163.4 117.3 60.9 16.6 0.0 0.0 3.9 9.8 25.1 41.8 158.0 773.40
27 1997 258.8 158.8 185.3 83.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 14.1 39.2 28.0 82.4 121.8 976.40
28 1998 218.6 175.9 90.0 37.6 0.0 1.1 0.0 9.1 5.3 80.2 73.2 89.8 780.80
29 1999 164.0 178.6 181.0 146.1 7.4 1.7 0.0 1.8 28.7 89.9 21.2 116.1 936.50
30 2000 241.5 184.8 127.7 24.1 18.5 5.1 9.0 12.4 7.8 115.8 23.0 104.4 874.10
31 2001 266.4 126.3 181.3 47.8 24.2 0.0 3.7 5.2 15.6 0.0 0.0 69.2 739.70
32 2002 155.9 150.4 131.7 56.0 30.2 0.6 16.0 110.0 23.2 115.9 92.0 104.5 986.40
33 2003 153.2 126.9 164.7 24.6 3.9 2.0 0.0 8.4 29.4 17.6 29.0 118.0 677.70
34 2004 207.1 118.8 105.4 50.4 7.0 4.0 11.0 15.8 26.0 17.9 50.9 172.7 787.00
35 2005 82.7 302.6 112.3 61.7 0.2 0.0 1.4 2.4 6.7 64.7 80.3 102.0 817.00
36 2006 260.5 142.6 178.6 80.9 0.0 8.2 0.0 9.1 10.6 39.9 77.1 151.0 958.50
37 2007 118.3 130.6 292.5 77.5 21.3 0.4 8.6 0.0 41.7 21.6 66.7 138.7 917.90
38 2008 220.1 136.9 102.4 0.3 4.3 4.5 0.0 2.1 20.8 52.9 14.8 239.1 798.20
39 2009 88.1 178.8 135.3 56.0 7.4 0.0 0.1 0.0 18.1 37.3 131.8 159.0 811.90
40 2010 188.5 198.1 101.4 79.0 5.2 0.0 0.4 0.0 0.0 24.9 70.0 171.0 838.50
41 2011 136.8 228.1 165.7 131.8 16.5 1.5 12.8 10.2 22.2 18.7 58.6 225.3 1,028.20

MEDIA 189.43 160.90 145.80 57.15 8.74 2.54 3.22 14.53 21.06 45.77 65.50 127.77 842.43
MÍNIMA 52.30 44.70 70.00 0.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 54.50 603.20
MÁXIMA 394.70 302.60 292.50 146.10 31.10 18.50 16.00 110.00 62.90 120.80 164.20 239.10 1,104.60

(). Celda marcada de azul: DATO COMPLETADO CON MEDIA ORIGINAL SIN INCLUSIÓN DE DATO.
CUADRO N° 1.3 EXTENCIÓN CON HEC4
ESTACIÓN LLALLI: PRECIPITACIÓN MEDIA MENSUAL HISTÓRICA (mm); PERIODO: 1971 - 2011

AÑO ENE FEB MAR ABR MAY JUN JUL AGO SEP OCT NOV DIC TOTAL

1 1971 153.0 289.0 70.0 21.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 0.0 22.0 37.0 132.0 729.00
2 1972 270.0 191.0 124.0 37.0 4.0 0.0 9.0 10.0 12.0 45.0 41.0 128.0 871.00
3 1973 256.0 156.0 156.0 62.0 1.0 0.0 6.0 13.0 47.0 33.0 58.0 67.0 855.00
4 1974 227.0 213.0 142.0 103.0 2.0 19.0 4.0 97.0 12.0 16.0 34.0 143.0 1,012.00
5 1975 179.0 136.0 147.0 18.0 31.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 16.0 26.0 44.0 126.0 725.00
6 1976 222.0 103.0 222.0 28.0 29.0 13.0 1.0 11.0 55.0 13.0 16.0 71.0 784.00
7 1977 79.0 169.0 137.0 25.0 5.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 63.0 56.0 164.0 55.0 756.00
8 1978 395.0 158.0 97.0 77.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 10.0 31.0 27.0 153.0 152.0 1,105.00
9 1979 169.0 136.0 167.0 66.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.0 4.0 75.0 89.0 136.0 854.00
10 1980 52.0 45.0 147.0 16.0 9.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 32.0 121.0 79.0 97.0 604.00
11 1981 212.0 189.0 149.0 70.0 4.0 3.0 0.0 16.0 21.0 51.0 51.0 115.0 842.49
12 1982 161.0 100.0 185.0 85.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 31.0 82.0 107.0 101.0 842.49
13 1983 31.0 142.0 110.0 44.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 19.0 30.0 38.0 93.0 842.49
14 1984 250.0 149.0 194.0 45.0 24.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 83.0 107.0 167.0 842.49
15 1985 125.0 86.0 173.0 89.0 1.0 6.0 0.0 4.0 41.0 49.0 105.0 148.0 842.49
16 1986 99.0 175.0 193.0 90.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 26.0 39.0 26.0 50.0 159.0 842.49
17 1987 121.0 134.0 139.0 58.0 2.0 1.0 6.0 14.0 12.0 48.0 103.0 107.0 842.49
18 1988 242.0 101.0 279.0 72.0 19.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 10.0 47.0 2.0 128.0 842.49
19 1989 117.0 181.0 163.0 62.0 5.0 1.0 1.0 40.0 36.0 34.0 61.0 135.0 842.49
20 1990 155.0 182.0 103.0 66.0 1.0 12.0 0.0 4.0 7.0 85.0 65.0 112.0 842.49
21 1991 240.0 109.0 145.0 47.0 8.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 18.0 41.0 23.0 116.0 842.49
22 1992 138.0 136.0 114.0 69.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 33.0 11.0 51.0 88.0 101.0 842.49
23 1993 244.0 57.0 138.0 53.0 0.0 11.0 0.0 31.0 15.0 105.0 153.0 137.0 944.00
24 1994 208.0 173.0 154.0 75.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 16.0 75.0 122.0 831.00
25 1995 157.0 168.0 131.0 57.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 9.0 14.0 22.0 43.0 98.0 701.00
26 1996 177.0 163.0 117.0 61.0 17.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 10.0 25.0 42.0 158.0 774.00
27 1997 259.0 159.0 185.0 83.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 14.0 39.0 28.0 82.0 122.0 976.00
28 1998 219.0 176.0 90.0 38.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 9.0 5.0 80.0 73.0 90.0 781.00
29 1999 164.0 179.0 181.0 146.0 7.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 29.0 90.0 21.0 116.0 937.00
30 2000 242.0 185.0 128.0 24.0 18.0 5.0 9.0 12.0 8.0 116.0 23.0 104.0 874.00
31 2001 266.0 126.0 181.0 48.0 24.0 0.0 4.0 5.0 16.0 0.0 0.0 69.0 739.00
32 2002 156.0 150.0 132.0 56.0 30.0 1.0 16.0 110.0 23.0 116.0 92.0 104.0 986.00
33 2003 153.0 127.0 165.0 25.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 8.0 29.0 18.0 29.0 118.0 678.00
34 2004 207.0 119.0 105.0 50.0 7.0 4.0 11.0 16.0 26.0 18.0 51.0 173.0 787.00
35 2005 83.0 303.0 112.0 62.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 7.0 65.0 80.0 102.0 817.00
36 2006 261.0 143.0 179.0 81.0 0.0 8.0 0.0 9.0 11.0 40.0 77.0 151.0 960.00
37 2007 118.0 131.0 292.0 78.0 21.0 0.0 9.0 0.0 42.0 22.0 67.0 139.0 919.00
38 2008 220.0 137.0 102.0 0.0 4.0 5.0 0.0 2.0 21.0 53.0 15.0 239.0 798.00
39 2009 88.0 179.0 135.0 56.0 7.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 18.0 37.0 132.0 159.0 811.00
40 2010 188.0 198.0 101.0 79.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 25.0 70.0 171.0 837.00
41 2011 137.0 228.0 166.0 132.0 16.0 2.0 13.0 10.0 22.0 19.0 59.0 225.0 1,029.00

MEDIA 181.46 155.63 150.00 59.85 7.76 2.41 2.51 13.34 20.93 47.71 65.83 126.49 843.51
MÍNIMA 31.00 45.00 70.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 55.00 604.00
MÁXIMA 395.00 303.00 292.00 146.00 31.00 19.00 16.00 110.00 63.00 121.00 164.00 239.00 1,105.00
GRAFICO 2.5 ANALISIS DE DOBLE MASA
Precipitación Total Anual Histórica: Estaciones Pucara y Ayaviri
35000.0

30000.0
PRECIPITACIÓN ACUMULADA ESTACIÓN AYAVIRI (mm).

25000.0

20000.0

15000.0

10000.0

5000.0

0.0
0.0 5,000.0 10,000.0 15,000.0 20,000.0 25,000.0 30,000.0 35,000.0

PRECIPITACIÓN ACUMULADA ESTACIÓN PUCARA (mm).


CUADRO N° 3.4
ESTACIÓN AYAVIRI: PRECIPITACIÓN TOTAL ANUAL HISTÓRICA (1971 - 2011)
ANÁLISIS ESTADÍSTICO : PRUEBAS DE "T" DE STUDENT Y DE FISHER "F"

PRECIPITACIÓN
PRECIPITACIÓN PERIODOS TOTAL ANUAL
AÑOS
ANUAL MUESTRALES CORREGIDA
(mm) (mm)
1 1971 490.2 591.55
2 1972 610.8 644.54
3 1973 869.9 PERIODO 1 : "DUDOSO" 758.41
4 1974 788.9 1971 - 1982 722.81
5 1975 804.4 729.62
6 1976 371.0 Longitud muestral : N1 = 14 539.16
7 1977 337.3 Media del período : X1 = 760.1 524.35
8 1978 853.0 Desviación Std. : S1 = 442.9 750.97
9 1979 670.8 670.91
10 1980 696.2 682.07
11 1981 718.5 691.86
12 1982 891.6 767.94
1 1983 389.1
2 1984 2,150.3
3 1985 1,542.0
4 1986 856.0
5 1987 564.9
6 1988 653.4
7 1989 611.7
8 1990 657.8
9 1991 649.0
10 1992 481.5 PERIODO 2 : "CONFIABLE"
11 1993 845.0 1983 - 2011
12 1994 608.2
13 1995 567.4 Longitud muestral : N2 = 27
14 1996 584.8 Media del período : X2 = 710.2
15 1997 849.6 Desviación Std. : S2 = 194.6
16 1998 558.5
17 1999 649.6
18 2000 702.7
19 2001 684.2
20 2002 843.1
21 2003 734.8
22 2004 860.3
23 2005 706.4
24 2006 702.3
25 2007 656.0
26 2008 631.6
27 2009 622.3
28 2010 615.3
29 2011 736.2
PRUEBA "T" DE STUDENT
Criterio : Si Tt > Tc : Homogeneidad; Si Tt < Tc : No Homogeneidad
Tc = -0.714 Grados de Libertad = 39
Tt = 2.023 Tc < Tt α= 0.95
Las medias X1 y X2 son Estadísticamente Homogéneas
NO CORREGIR LA PRECIPITACIÓN EN LA MEDIA
PRUEBA "F" DE FISHER
Criterio : Si Ft > Fc : Homogeneidad; Si Ft < Fc : No Homogeneidad
Fc = 0.321 Grados de Libertad : M1 = 28
Ft = 0.387 Fc < Ft M2 = 11
Las desviaciones standard S1 y S2 son Estadísticamente Homogéneas
NO CORREGIR LA PRECIPITACIÓN EN LA DESVIACIÓN ESTÁNDAR
PROCEDIMIENTO DE CORRECCIÓN
Xi = ( ( (Xo - X1) / S1 ) * S2 ) + X2
Xi = valor corregido; Xo = valor por corregir; X1 y S1 = media y desviación estándar
del periodo dudoso; X2 y S2 = media y desviación estándar del periodo confiable
Prueba t para dos muestras suponiendo varianzas iguales

Variable 1Variable 2
Media 675.213 748.76
Varianza 35761.9 111387
Observaciones 12 29
Varianza agrupada 90056.9
Diferencia hipotética de las medias 0
Grados de libertad 39
Estadístico t -0.71401
P(T<=t) una cola 0.23974
Valor crítico de t (una cola) 1.68488
P(T<=t) dos colas 0.47947
Valor crítico de t (dos colas) 2.02269

Prueba F para varianzas de dos muestras

Variable 1Variable 2
Media 675.213 748.76
Varianza 35761.9 111387
Observaciones 12 29
Grados de libertad 11 28
F 0.32106
P(F<=f) una cola 0.02557
Valor crítico para F (una cola) 0.38736
CUADRO N° 1.4
ESTACIÓN AYAVIRI: PRECIPITACIÓN MEDIA MENSUAL HISTÓRICA (mm); PERIODO: 1971 - 2011

AÑO ENE FEB MAR ABR MAY JUN JUL AGO SEP OCT NOV DIC TOTAL

1 1971 78.1 178.6 13.9 56.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.1 0.0 24.0 28.3 107.3 490.20
2 1972 165.3 108.5 82.4 34.2 1.2 0.0 3.0 8.6 17.3 22.7 36.8 130.8 610.80
3 1973 201.4 150.5 134.0 76.6 15.2 0.0 0.0 9.1 72.6 65.7 57.0 87.8 869.90
4 1974 178.6 263.5 67.0 42.6 7.3 7.0 0.0 43.9 5.4 34.2 43.5 95.9 788.90
5 1975 133.1 187.4 104.7 37.3 4.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.9 87.2 73.4 172.3 804.40
6 1976 124.4 103.2 54.3 31.1 1.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 20.4 2.7 0.0 33.1 371.00
7 1977 18.0 87.4 57.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.3 2.6 52.5 118.0 337.30
8 1978 226.1 192.8 75.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.0 27.0 23.9 145.8 153.2 852.97
9 1979 183.3 56.9 101.0 44.3 6.8 4.3 1.4 9.0 15.1 59.0 86.2 103.5 670.80
10 1980 696.20
11 1981 164.1 125.8 105.3 47.5 6.8 4.3 1.4 7.8 15.1 50.6 86.2 103.5 718.48
12 1982 141.6 23.3 163.0 93.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 39.5 35.0 117.7 220.5 57.1 891.60
13 1983 43.0 53.2 72.8 70.5 0.4 2.1 0.0 0.0 7.0 17.4 43.4 79.3 389.10
14 1984 248.1 160.3 152.1 21.0 16.6 3.4 0.0 18.8 0.0 539.5 811.3 179.2 2,150.30
15 1985 721.9 150.2 190.1 158.1 8.2 40.5 0.0 0.0 24.3 59.0 86.2 103.5 1,542.01
16 1986 164.1 172.3 159.7 110.4 16.8 0.0 0.0 2.3 24.0 4.4 38.9 163.1 856.03
17 1987 180.2 70.1 58.1 41.3 4.7 4.8 20.4 3.3 2.0 30.5 72.8 76.7 564.90
18 1988 158.9 87.9 157.1 78.6 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 16.2 46.7 2.5 91.8 653.40
19 1989 158.5 75.7 99.0 56.2 3.7 2.9 0.1 31.6 22.8 47.6 37.0 76.6 611.70
20 1990 190.2 111.1 38.6 32.4 3.8 33.4 0.0 3.5 4.1 87.1 71.7 81.9 657.80
21 1991 163.5 95.9 109.8 27.6 29.6 35.8 0.6 2.9 13.6 51.1 33.2 85.4 649.00
22 1992 109.8 79.5 45.3 27.4 0.0 10.2 0.0 49.0 1.1 54.4 61.0 43.8 481.50
23 1993 206.6 68.0 120.0 26.6 0.3 10.8 0.3 23.7 50.8 84.1 175.0 78.8 845.00
24 1994 113.5 81.9 144.6 69.9 4.7 0.0 0.0 7.5 4.1 16.7 65.5 99.8 608.20
25 1995 96.3 98.4 132.5 44.9 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.1 15.1 70.5 104.1 567.40
26 1996 181.6 123.6 61.0 19.8 6.2 0.0 0.0 4.1 5.3 21.1 61.1 101.0 584.80
27 1997 139.0 194.9 174.0 8.4 1.4 0.0 0.0 14.7 15.1 59.0 135.8 107.4 849.64
28 1998 106.5 90.1 115.2 26.6 0.0 0.5 0.0 1.9 0.5 54.3 96.9 66.0 558.50
29 1999 92.8 156.3 129.7 111.6 7.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 22.6 43.2 31.5 54.9 649.60
30 2000 136.8 224.6 108.6 5.9 6.2 1.6 4.1 7.1 2.5 119.8 8.6 76.9 702.70
31 2001 228.1 111.2 99.9 39.0 22.7 2.9 1.3 10.8 11.3 34.8 21.4 100.8 684.20
32 2002 162.6 191.4 68.0 60.6 21.5 5.2 12.4 11.2 21.3 106.3 87.9 94.7 843.10
33 2003 201.0 103.2 163.2 42.7 9.6 0.0 0.0 10.5 15.1 29.3 25.2 135.0 734.80
34 2004 260.6 151.4 86.6 40.2 3.9 0.8 4.3 15.4 50.9 24.5 68.7 153.0 860.30
35 2005 70.6 224.9 130.2 26.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 4.5 4.8 94.8 83.0 67.0 706.40
36 2006 177.5 65.9 105.6 44.5 0.0 0.6 0.0 2.1 2.8 80.5 78.5 144.3 702.30
37 2007 110.8 77.9 162.4 61.3 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.6 23.7 18.3 86.2 103.5 655.96
38 2008 172.7 121.6 58.3 8.9 1.8 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.9 43.0 44.6 177.9 631.60
39 2009 91.8 123.8 89.8 40.7 4.8 0.0 0.9 0.2 25.2 32.0 94.4 118.7 622.30
40 2010 192.5 125.2 87.9 67.2 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.8 0.4 26.0 30.3 69.8 615.30
41 2011 71.6 164.1 132.7 66.6 12.6 1.4 7.5 2.1 10.8 27.5 96.0 143.3 736.20

MEDIA 164.13 125.81 105.28 47.49 6.76 4.33 1.44 8.97 15.08 58.95 86.24 103.52 727.23
MÍNIMA 18.00 23.30 13.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.60 0.00 33.10 337.30
MÁXIMA 721.90 263.50 190.10 158.10 29.60 40.50 20.40 49.00 72.60 539.50 811.30 179.20 2,150.30

(). Celda marcada de azul: DATO COMPLETADO CON MEDIA ORIGINAL SIN INCLUSIÓN DE DATO.
CUADRO N° 1.4 EXTENCIÓN CON HEC4
ESTACIÓN AYAVIRI: PRECIPITACIÓN MEDIA MENSUAL HISTÓRICA (mm); PERIODO: 1971 - 2011

AÑO ENE FEB MAR ABR MAY JUN JUL AGO SEP OCT NOV DIC TOTAL

1 1971 78.0 179.0 14.0 57.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 24.0 28.0 107.0 490.00
2 1972 165.0 109.0 82.0 34.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 9.0 17.0 23.0 37.0 131.0 611.00
3 1973 201.0 150.0 134.0 77.0 15.0 0.0 0.0 9.0 73.0 66.0 57.0 88.0 870.00
4 1974 179.0 263.0 67.0 43.0 7.0 7.0 0.0 44.0 5.0 34.0 43.0 96.0 788.00
5 1975 133.0 187.0 105.0 37.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 87.0 73.0 172.0 803.00
6 1976 124.0 103.0 54.0 31.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 20.0 3.0 0.0 33.0 370.00
7 1977 18.0 87.0 57.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 52.0 118.0 336.00
8 1978 226.0 193.0 75.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 27.0 24.0 146.0 153.0 844.00
9 1979 183.0 57.0 101.0 44.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 1.0 30.0 66.0 125.0 614.00
10 1980 106.0 84.0 134.0 11.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 36.0 125.0 73.0 81.0 656.00
11 1981 182.0 156.0 142.0 69.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 8.0 3.0 51.0 72.0 98.0 786.00
12 1982 142.0 23.0 163.0 94.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 39.0 35.0 118.0 220.0 57.0 891.00
13 1983 43.0 53.0 73.0 70.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 17.0 43.0 79.0 387.00
14 1984 248.0 160.0 152.0 21.0 17.0 3.0 0.0 19.0 0.0 540.0 811.0 179.0 2,150.00
15 1985 722.0 150.0 190.0 158.0 8.0 40.0 0.0 0.0 24.0 22.0 139.0 122.0 1,575.00
16 1986 134.0 172.0 160.0 110.0 17.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 24.0 4.0 39.0 163.0 825.00
17 1987 180.0 70.0 58.0 41.0 5.0 5.0 20.0 3.0 2.0 30.0 73.0 77.0 564.00
18 1988 159.0 88.0 157.0 79.0 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 16.0 47.0 2.0 92.0 654.00
19 1989 158.0 76.0 99.0 56.0 4.0 3.0 0.0 32.0 23.0 48.0 37.0 77.0 613.00
20 1990 190.0 111.0 39.0 32.0 4.0 33.0 0.0 4.0 4.0 87.0 72.0 82.0 658.00
21 1991 164.0 96.0 110.0 28.0 30.0 36.0 1.0 3.0 14.0 51.0 33.0 85.0 651.00
22 1992 110.0 80.0 45.0 27.0 0.0 10.0 0.0 49.0 1.0 54.0 61.0 44.0 481.00
23 1993 207.0 68.0 120.0 27.0 0.0 11.0 0.0 24.0 51.0 84.0 175.0 79.0 846.00
24 1994 114.0 82.0 145.0 70.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 4.0 17.0 66.0 100.0 610.00
25 1995 96.0 98.0 132.0 45.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 15.0 70.0 104.0 566.00
26 1996 182.0 124.0 61.0 20.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 5.0 21.0 61.0 101.0 585.00
27 1997 139.0 195.0 174.0 8.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 15.0 49.0 56.0 136.0 107.0 880.00
28 1998 107.0 90.0 115.0 27.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 54.0 97.0 66.0 559.00
29 1999 93.0 156.0 130.0 112.0 7.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 23.0 43.0 31.0 55.0 650.00
30 2000 137.0 225.0 109.0 6.0 6.0 2.0 4.0 7.0 2.0 120.0 9.0 77.0 704.00
31 2001 228.0 111.0 100.0 39.0 23.0 3.0 1.0 11.0 11.0 35.0 21.0 101.0 684.00
32 2002 163.0 191.0 68.0 61.0 22.0 5.0 12.0 11.0 21.0 106.0 88.0 95.0 843.00
33 2003 201.0 103.0 163.0 43.0 10.0 0.0 0.0 11.0 15.0 29.0 25.0 135.0 735.00
34 2004 261.0 151.0 87.0 40.0 4.0 1.0 4.0 15.0 51.0 25.0 69.0 153.0 861.00
35 2005 71.0 225.0 130.0 26.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 5.0 95.0 83.0 67.0 707.00
36 2006 178.0 66.0 106.0 45.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 81.0 79.0 144.0 705.00
37 2007 111.0 78.0 162.0 61.0 11.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 24.0 18.0 58.0 69.0 593.00
38 2008 173.0 122.0 58.0 9.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 43.0 45.0 178.0 633.00
39 2009 92.0 124.0 90.0 41.0 5.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 25.0 32.0 94.0 119.0 623.00
40 2010 192.0 125.0 88.0 67.0 15.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 26.0 30.0 70.0 614.00
41 2011 72.0 164.0 133.0 67.0 13.0 1.0 8.0 2.0 11.0 27.0 96.0 143.0 737.00

MEDIA 162.49 125.49 106.88 47.15 6.54 4.07 1.32 8.51 15.73 58.90 85.61 102.98 725.66
MÍNIMA 18.00 23.00 14.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.00 0.00 33.00 336.00
MÁXIMA 722.00 263.00 190.00 158.00 30.00 40.00 20.00 49.00 73.00 540.00 811.00 179.00 2,150.00
GRAFICO 2.6 ANALISIS DE DOBLE MASA
Precipitación Total Anual Histórica: Estaciones Pucara y Santa Rosa
40000.0

35000.0
PRECIPITACIÓN ACUMULADA ESTACIÓN SANTA ROSA (mm).

30000.0

25000.0

20000.0

15000.0

10000.0

5000.0

0.0
0.0 5,000.0 10,000.0 15,000.0 20,000.0 25,000.0 30,000.0 35,000.0

PRECIPITACIÓN ACUMULADA ESTACIÓN PUCARA (mm).


CUADRO N° 3.5
ESTACIÓN SANTA ROSA: PRECIPITACIÓN TOTAL ANUAL HISTÓRICA (1971 - 2011)
ANÁLISIS ESTADÍSTICO : PRUEBAS DE "T" DE STUDENT Y DE FISHER "F"

PRECIPITACIÓN
PRECIPITACIÓN PERIODOS TOTAL ANUAL
AÑOS
ANUAL MUESTRALES CORREGIDA
(mm) (mm)
1 1971 763.5
2 1972 791.0
3 1973 893.6
4 1974 882.4
5 1975 893.1
6 1976 791.1
7 1977 959.8
8 1978 871.4
9 1979 787.4
10 1980 752.5 PERIODO 1 : "DUDOSO"
11 1981 752.5 1971 - 1998
12 1982 752.5
13 1983 752.5 Longitud muestral : N1 = 28
14 1984 752.5 Media del período : X1 = 781.2
15 1985 752.5 Desviación Std. : S1 = 80.6
16 1986 768.1
17 1987 665.0
18 1988 752.5
19 1989 748.0
20 1990 802.4
21 1991 673.4
22 1992 575.1
23 1993 784.1
24 1994 813.6
25 1995 745.8
26 1996 805.9
27 1997 898.7
28 1998 693.2
1 1999 850.8
2 2000 839.5
3 2001 745.8
4 2002 931.3 PERIODO 2 : "CONFIABLE"
5 2003 737.9 1999 - 2011
6 2004 760.5
7 2005 694.1 Longitud muestral : N2 = 13
8 2006 850.0 Media del período : X2 = 781.2
9 2007 777.5 Desviación Std. : S2 = 80.6
10 2008 654.8
11 2009 676.9
12 2010 789.0
13 2011 847.7
PRUEBA "T" DE STUDENT
Criterio : Si Tt > Tc : Homogeneidad; Si Tt < Tc : No Homogeneidad
Tc = 0.000 Grados de Libertad = 39
Tt = 2.023 Tc < Tt α= 0.95
Las medias X1 y X2 son Estadísticamente Homogéneas
NO CORREGIR LA PRECIPITACIÓN EN LA MEDIA
PRUEBA "F" DE FISHER
Criterio : Si Ft > Fc : Homogeneidad; Si Ft < Fc : No Homogeneidad
Fc = 1.000 Grados de Libertad : M1 = 12
Ft = 2.484 Fc < Ft M2 = 27
Las desviaciones standard S1 y S2 son Estadísticamente Homogéneas
NO CORREGIR LA PRECIPITACIÓN EN LA DESVIACIÓN ESTÁNDAR
PROCEDIMIENTO DE CORRECCIÓN
Xi = ( ( (Xo - X1) / S1 ) * S2 ) + X2
Xi = valor corregido; Xo = valor por corregir; X1 y S1 = media y desviación estándar
del periodo dudoso; X2 y S2 = media y desviación estándar del periodo confiable
Prueba t para dos muestras suponiendo varianzas iguales

Variable 1Variable 2
Media 781.215 781.22
Varianza 6500.14 6500.1
Observaciones 28 13
Varianza agrupada 6500.14
Diferencia hipotética de las medias 0
Grados de libertad 39
Estadístico t -1.3E-14
P(T<=t) una cola 0.5
Valor crítico de t (una cola) 1.68488
P(T<=t) dos colas 1
Valor crítico de t (dos colas) 2.02269

Prueba F para varianzas de dos muestras

Variable 1Variable 2
Media 781.215 781.22
Varianza 6500.14 6500.1
Observaciones 28 13
Grados de libertad 27 12
F 1
P(F<=f) una cola 0.52528
Valor crítico para F (una cola) 2.48384
CUADRO N° 3.5
ESTACIÓN SANTA ROSA: PRECIPITACIÓN TOTAL ANUAL HISTÓRICA (1971 - 2011)
ANÁLISIS ESTADÍSTICO : PRUEBAS DE "T" DE STUDENT Y DE FISHER "F"

PRECIPITACIÓN
PRECIPITACIÓN PERIODOS TOTAL ANUAL
AÑOS
ANUAL MUESTRALES CORREGIDA
(mm) (mm)
1 1971 912.6 763.49
2 1972 978.6 790.99
3 1973 1,224.9 893.61
4 1974 1,197.9 882.36
5 1975 1,223.8 893.15
6 1976 978.8 791.07
7 1977 1,383.7 959.77
8 1978 1,171.5 871.36
9 1979 970.0 787.42
10 1980 886.2 PERIODO 1 : "DUDOSO" 752.49
11 1981 886.2 1971 - 1998 752.49
12 1982 886.2 752.49
13 1983 886.2 Longitud muestral : N1 = 28 752.49
14 1984 886.2 Media del período : X1 = 955.2 752.49
15 1985 886.2 Desviación Std. : S1 = 193.5 752.49
16 1986 923.7 768.12
17 1987 676.3 665.03
18 1988 886.2 752.49
19 1989 875.4 747.98
20 1990 1,006.1 802.44
21 1991 696.4 673.40
22 1992 460.5 575.11
23 1993 962.0 784.07
24 1994 1,032.9 813.61
25 1995 870.0 745.75
26 1996 1,014.5 805.94
27 1997 1,237.0 898.65
28 1998 744.0 693.24
1 1999 850.8
2 2000 839.5
3 2001 745.8
4 2002 931.3 PERIODO 2 : "CONFIABLE"
5 2003 737.9 1999 - 2011
6 2004 760.5
7 2005 694.1 Longitud muestral : N2 = 13
8 2006 850.0 Media del período : X2 = 781.2
9 2007 777.5 Desviación Std. : S2 = 80.6
10 2008 654.8
11 2009 676.9
12 2010 789.0
13 2011 847.7
PRUEBA "T" DE STUDENT
Criterio : Si Tt > Tc : Homogeneidad; Si Tt < Tc : No Homogeneidad
Tc = 3.102 Grados de Libertad = 39
Tt = 2.023 Tc > Tt α= 0.95
Las medias X1 y X2 son Estadísticamente no Homogéneas
CORREGIR LA PRECIPITACIÓN EN LA MEDIA
PRUEBA "F" DE FISHER
Criterio : Si Ft > Fc : Homogeneidad; Si Ft < Fc : No Homogeneidad
Fc = 5.760 Grados de Libertad : M1 = 12
Ft = 2.484 Fc > Ft M2 = 27
Las desviaciones standard S1 y S2 son Estadísticamente no Homogéneas
CORREGIR LA PRECIPITACIÓN EN LA DESVIACIÓN ESTÁNDAR
PROCEDIMIENTO DE CORRECCIÓN
Xi = ( ( (Xo - X1) / S1 ) * S2 ) + X2
Xi = valor corregido; Xo = valor por corregir; X1 y S1 = media y desviación estándar
del periodo dudoso; X2 y S2 = media y desviación estándar del periodo confiable
Prueba t para dos muestras suponiendo varianzas iguales

Variable 1Variable 2
Media 955.152 781.22
Varianza 37442.3 6500.1
Observaciones 28 13
Varianza agrupada 27921.6
Diferencia hipotética de las medias 0
Grados de libertad 39
Estadístico t 3.10155
P(T<=t) una cola 0.00178
Valor crítico de t (una cola) 1.68488
P(T<=t) dos colas 0.00357
Valor crítico de t (dos colas) 2.02269

Prueba F para varianzas de dos muestras

Variable 1Variable 2
Media 955.152 781.22
Varianza 37442.3 6500.1
Observaciones 28 13
Grados de libertad 27 12
F 5.76023
P(F<=f) una cola 0.00139
Valor crítico para F (una cola) 2.48384
CUADRO N° 1.5
ESTACIÓN SANTA ROSA: PRECIPITACIÓN MEDIA MENSUAL HISTÓRICA (mm); PERIODO: 1971 - 2011

AÑO ENE FEB MAR ABR MAY JUN JUL AGO SEP OCT NOV DIC TOTAL

1 1971 212.8 229.6 52.2 109.9 2.7 0.1 0.0 1.0 0.0 38.6 80.9 184.8 912.60
2 1972 309.9 153.8 147.0 54.0 2.3 0.0 0.0 16.8 17.7 38.9 76.1 162.1 978.60
3 1973 167.2 166.8 237.6 184.3 41.7 4.8 0.0 26.8 58.5 75.6 141.2 120.4 1,224.90
4 1974 216.9 196.6 158.1 113.5 11.8 0.0 0.0 121.4 55.2 91.6 74.6 158.2 1,197.90
5 1975 276.3 194.0 166.7 35.2 16.8 14.6 0.0 13.1 81.8 64.0 102.7 258.6 1,223.80
6 1976 239.0 121.7 180.3 47.8 39.6 13.7 17.2 17.4 73.6 46.5 57.3 124.7 978.80
7 1977 272.8 286.9 188.2 27.4 0.0 0.0 5.6 0.0 59.9 86.1 248.9 207.9 1,383.70
8 1978 154.6 252.3 177.1 51.7 2.6 0.5 0.0 0.0 53.4 18.9 236.5 223.9 1,171.50
9 1979 279.7 97.7 156.9 87.9 2.3 4.7 3.6 13.7 28.9 58.9 91.1 144.6 970.03
10 1980 886.22
11 1981 886.22
12 1982 886.22
13 1983 886.22
14 1984 886.22
15 1985 886.22
16 1986 193.2 153.1 149.4 55.7 10.2 4.7 3.6 13.7 28.9 7.6 98.0 205.6 923.72
17 1987 186.4 94.0 115.9 39.2 2.0 0.0 24.7 19.2 11.9 50.6 132.4 676.30
18 1988 886.22
19 1989 193.2 153.1 149.4 55.7 10.2 4.7 3.6 45.1 43.4 54.4 51.3 111.3 875.40
20 1990 238.9 195.3 186.7 62.9 8.1 31.7 3.6 2.9 4.8 73.8 30.9 166.5 1,006.10
21 1991 142.6 106.5 143.4 42.7 30.2 29.6 0.0 0.0 10.9 63.4 26.0 101.1 696.40
22 1992 109.8 68.5 26.9 4.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 23.4 8.3 38.3 93.7 87.1 460.50
23 1993 199.2 57.0 140.1 93.5 7.5 7.9 7.2 26.7 28.8 72.1 150.5 171.5 962.00
24 1994 263.2 174.4 188.3 74.8 13.0 2.0 0.0 3.7 4.5 37.3 92.3 179.4 1,032.90
25 1995 127.3 148.2 159.9 28.5 6.2 0.0 0.0 13.7 50.5 84.8 144.6 106.3 870.05
26 1996 190.0 188.2 150.1 56.7 9.8 0.0 10.7 12.9 30.2 74.5 111.0 180.4 1,014.50
27 1997 280.5 162.6 244.9 60.2 5.8 0.0 3.6 21.9 70.8 63.1 164.7 158.9 1,237.00
28 1998 145.6 125.6 134.6 33.3 0.0 2.6 0.0 5.0 9.1 127.5 114.1 46.6 744.00
29 1999 138.5 164.9 276.0 65.2 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 26.6 54.7 16.4 98.2 850.80
30 2000 187.1 139.6 108.0 19.0 3.2 5.9 2.8 7.1 10.5 180.2 24.6 151.5 839.50
31 2001 242.8 163.7 125.8 28.9 34.9 0.0 8.8 5.2 15.5 37.9 25.9 56.4 745.80
32 2002 153.5 168.6 130.9 84.8 27.8 11.3 12.1 2.4 19.9 107.1 89.3 123.6 931.30
33 2003 155.1 147.2 186.3 37.7 10.6 2.3 0.0 11.8 14.6 24.0 26.1 122.2 737.90
34 2004 220.7 113.3 96.4 50.7 0.0 2.6 2.2 20.3 35.6 15.2 80.7 122.8 760.50
35 2005 71.2 202.5 112.0 35.8 0.0 0.0 2.6 10.8 2.0 67.0 84.8 105.4 694.10
36 2006 227.1 103.1 102.5 61.6 1.0 8.0 0.0 6.8 8.3 42.8 73.6 215.2 850.00
37 2007 105.2 104.6 227.2 65.8 9.5 1.2 3.0 0.0 41.6 53.7 81.3 84.4 777.50
38 2008 161.3 79.1 79.9 12.6 4.2 2.6 0.0 2.4 4.8 59.2 56.9 191.8 654.80
39 2009 120.2 135.9 72.4 28.4 2.2 0.0 1.2 0.0 13.3 36.0 126.1 141.2 676.90
40 2010 276.3 150.0 132.0 28.7 8.1 1.2 0.0 0.8 10.4 17.6 44.2 119.7 789.00
41 2011 109.1 208.2 176.7 54.7 12.1 3.6 6.4 1.2 47.8 41.1 47.2 139.6 847.70

MEDIA 193.15 153.14 149.41 55.67 10.20 4.73 3.60 13.75 28.88 58.91 91.05 144.60 900.00
MÍNIMA 71.20 57.00 26.90 4.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.60 16.40 46.60 460.50
MÁXIMA 309.90 286.90 276.00 184.30 41.70 31.70 24.70 121.40 81.80 180.20 248.90 258.60 1,383.70

(). Celda marcada de azul: DATO COMPLETADO CON MEDIA ORIGINAL SIN INCLUSIÓN DE DATO.
CUADRO N° 1.5 EXTENCIÓN CON HEC4
ESTACIÓN SANTA ROSA: PRECIPITACIÓN MEDIA MENSUAL HISTÓRICA (mm); PERIODO: 1971 - 2011

AÑO ENE FEB MAR ABR MAY JUN JUL AGO SEP OCT NOV DIC TOTAL

1 1971 213.0 230.0 52.0 110.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 39.0 81.0 185.0 914.00
2 1972 310.0 154.0 147.0 54.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 17.0 18.0 39.0 76.0 162.0 979.00
3 1973 167.0 167.0 238.0 184.0 42.0 5.0 0.0 27.0 58.0 76.0 141.0 120.0 1,225.00
4 1974 217.0 197.0 158.0 114.0 12.0 0.0 0.0 121.0 55.0 92.0 75.0 158.0 1,199.00
5 1975 276.0 194.0 167.0 35.0 17.0 15.0 0.0 13.0 82.0 64.0 103.0 259.0 1,225.00
6 1976 239.0 122.0 180.0 48.0 40.0 14.0 17.0 17.0 74.0 47.0 57.0 125.0 980.00
7 1977 273.0 287.0 188.0 27.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 0.0 60.0 86.0 249.0 208.0 1,384.00
8 1978 155.0 252.0 177.0 52.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 53.0 19.0 236.0 224.0 1,172.00
9 1979 280.0 98.0 157.0 88.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 9.0 14.0 32.0 87.0 175.0 944.00
10 1980 201.0 125.0 161.0 14.0 12.0 0.0 6.0 4.0 16.0 115.0 68.0 128.0 850.00
11 1981 208.0 178.0 205.0 54.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 25.0 46.0 54.0 71.0 166.0 1,010.00
12 1982 257.0 85.0 180.0 50.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 26.0 94.0 183.0 83.0 959.00
13 1983 115.0 129.0 85.0 36.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 15.0 28.0 74.0 105.0 587.00
14 1984 219.0 192.0 199.0 54.0 18.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 17.0 128.0 471.0 246.0 1,546.00
15 1985 336.0 66.0 205.0 83.0 5.0 5.0 0.0 1.0 65.0 44.0 140.0 175.0 1,125.00
16 1986 185.0 157.0 211.0 95.0 3.0 0.0 8.0 7.0 38.0 8.0 98.0 206.0 1,016.00
17 1987 186.0 94.0 116.0 39.0 2.0 0.0 25.0 19.0 12.0 51.0 132.0 145.0 821.00
18 1988 229.0 76.0 211.0 69.0 16.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 31.0 26.0 16.0 126.0 801.00
19 1989 159.0 116.0 141.0 74.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 45.0 43.0 54.0 51.0 111.0 797.00
20 1990 239.0 195.0 187.0 63.0 8.0 32.0 0.0 3.0 5.0 74.0 31.0 166.0 1,003.00
21 1991 143.0 106.0 143.0 43.0 30.0 30.0 0.0 0.0 11.0 63.0 26.0 101.0 696.00
22 1992 110.0 69.0 27.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 23.0 8.0 38.0 94.0 87.0 461.00
23 1993 199.0 57.0 140.0 93.0 8.0 8.0 7.0 27.0 29.0 72.0 150.0 171.0 961.00
24 1994 263.0 174.0 188.0 75.0 13.0 2.0 0.0 4.0 5.0 37.0 92.0 179.0 1,032.00
25 1995 127.0 148.0 160.0 29.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 50.0 85.0 145.0 106.0 858.00
26 1996 190.0 188.0 150.0 57.0 10.0 0.0 11.0 13.0 30.0 74.0 111.0 180.0 1,014.00
27 1997 281.0 163.0 245.0 60.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 22.0 71.0 63.0 165.0 159.0 1,235.00
28 1998 146.0 126.0 135.0 33.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 5.0 9.0 128.0 114.0 47.0 746.00
29 1999 139.0 165.0 276.0 65.0 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 27.0 55.0 16.0 98.0 851.00
30 2000 187.0 140.0 108.0 19.0 3.0 6.0 3.0 7.0 11.0 180.0 25.0 151.0 840.00
31 2001 243.0 164.0 126.0 29.0 35.0 0.0 9.0 5.0 16.0 38.0 26.0 56.0 747.00
32 2002 154.0 169.0 131.0 85.0 28.0 11.0 12.0 2.0 20.0 107.0 89.0 124.0 932.00
33 2003 155.0 147.0 186.0 38.0 11.0 2.0 0.0 12.0 15.0 24.0 26.0 122.0 738.00
34 2004 221.0 113.0 96.0 51.0 0.0 3.0 2.0 20.0 36.0 15.0 81.0 123.0 761.00
35 2005 71.0 202.0 112.0 36.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 11.0 2.0 67.0 85.0 105.0 694.00
36 2006 227.0 103.0 103.0 62.0 1.0 8.0 0.0 7.0 8.0 43.0 74.0 215.0 851.00
37 2007 105.0 105.0 227.0 66.0 9.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 42.0 54.0 81.0 84.0 777.00
38 2008 161.0 79.0 80.0 13.0 4.0 3.0 0.0 2.0 5.0 59.0 57.0 192.0 655.00
39 2009 120.0 136.0 72.0 28.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 13.0 36.0 126.0 141.0 675.00
40 2010 276.0 150.0 132.0 29.0 8.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 10.0 18.0 44.0 120.0 789.00
41 2011 109.0 208.0 177.0 55.0 12.0 4.0 6.0 1.0 48.0 41.0 47.0 140.0 848.00

MEDIA 197.34 146.98 155.59 56.41 9.39 3.88 2.93 11.61 29.12 60.17 100.34 145.71 919.46
MÍNIMA 71.00 57.00 27.00 4.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.00 16.00 47.00 461.00
MÁXIMA 336.00 287.00 276.00 184.00 42.00 32.00 25.00 121.00 82.00 180.00 471.00 259.00 1,546.00
GRAFICO 2.7 ANALISIS DE DOBLE MASA
Precipitación Total Anual Histórica: Estaciones Pucara y Progreso
30000.0

25000.0
PRECIPITACIÓN ACUMULADA ESTACIÓN PROGRESO (mm).

20000.0

15000.0

10000.0

5000.0

0.0
0.0 5,000.0 10,000.0 15,000.0 20,000.0 25,000.0 30,000.0 35,000.0

PRECIPITACIÓN ACUMULADA ESTACIÓN PUCARA (mm).


CUADRO N° 3.6
ESTACIÓN PROGRESO: PRECIPITACIÓN TOTAL ANUAL HISTÓRICA (1971 - 2011)
ANÁLISIS ESTADÍSTICO : PRUEBAS DE "T" DE STUDENT Y DE FISHER "F"

PRECIPITACIÓN
PRECIPITACIÓN PERIODOS TOTAL ANUAL
AÑOS
ANUAL MUESTRALES CORREGIDA
(mm) (mm)
1 1971 537.8 544.85
2 1972 639.9 645.53
3 1973 784.2 787.81
4 1974 552.4 559.25
5 1975 553.3 560.14
6 1976 626.7 632.51
7 1977 598.9 605.10
8 1978 823.8 826.86
9 1979 583.6 590.01
10 1980 498.9 PERIODO 1 : "DUDOSO" 506.50
11 1981 698.7 1971 - 2000 703.51
12 1982 588.7 595.04
13 1983 355.1 Longitud muestral : N1 = 30 364.71
14 1984 532.1 Media del período : X1 = 617.9 539.24
15 1985 707.8 Desviación Std. : S1 = 123.3 712.49
16 1986 827.8 830.80
17 1987 677.9 683.00
18 1988 569.5 576.11
19 1989 687.1 692.07
20 1990 493.1 500.78
21 1991 565.8 572.46
22 1992 550.4 557.28
23 1993 912.2 914.02
24 1994 658.8 664.16
25 1995 469.9 477.90
26 1996 555.6 562.41
27 1997 812.6 815.81
28 1998 489.0 496.74
29 1999 581.2 587.65
30 2000 604.5 610.62
1 2001 649.9
2 2002 873.4
3 2003 622.3 PERIODO 2 : "CONFIABLE"
4 2004 783.2 2001 - 2011
5 2005 555.0
6 2006 527.3 Longitud muestral : N2 = 11
7 2007 584.7 Media del período : X2 = 623.8
8 2008 474.8 Desviación Std. : S2 = 121.6
9 2009 532.4
10 2010 548.4
11 2011 710.9
PRUEBA "T" DE STUDENT
Criterio : Si Tt > Tc : Homogeneidad; Si Tt < Tc : No Homogeneidad
Tc = -0.137 Grados de Libertad = 39
Tt = 2.023 Tc < Tt α= 0.95
Las medias X1 y X2 son Estadísticamente Homogéneas
NO CORREGIR LA PRECIPITACIÓN EN LA MEDIA
PRUEBA "F" DE FISHER
Criterio : Si Ft > Fc : Homogeneidad; Si Ft < Fc : No Homogeneidad
Fc = 1.029 Grados de Libertad : M1 = 10
Ft = 2.705 Fc < Ft M2 = 29
Las desviaciones standard S1 y S2 son Estadísticamente Homogéneas
NO CORREGIR LA PRECIPITACIÓN EN LA DESVIACIÓN ESTÁNDAR
PROCEDIMIENTO DE CORRECCIÓN
Xi = ( ( (Xo - X1) / S1 ) * S2 ) + X2
Xi = valor corregido; Xo = valor por corregir; X1 y S1 = media y desviación estándar
del periodo dudoso; X2 y S2 = media y desviación estándar del periodo confiable
Prueba t para dos muestras suponiendo varianzas iguales

Variable 1Variable 2
Media 617.911 623.85
Varianza 15201.3 14779
Observaciones 30 11
Varianza agrupada 15093.1
Diferencia hipotética de las medias 0
Grados de libertad 39
Estadístico t -0.13705
P(T<=t) una cola 0.44585
Valor crítico de t (una cola) 1.68488
P(T<=t) dos colas 0.89169
Valor crítico de t (dos colas) 2.02269

Prueba F para varianzas de dos muestras

Variable 1Variable 2
Media 617.911 623.85
Varianza 15201.3 14779
Observaciones 30 11
Grados de libertad 29 10
F 1.02855
P(F<=f) una cola 0.51258
Valor crítico para F (una cola) 2.70481
CUADRO N° 1.6
ESTACIÓN PROGRESO: PRECIPITACIÓN MEDIA MENSUAL HISTÓRICA (mm); PERIODO: 1971 - 2011

AÑO ENE FEB MAR ABR MAY JUN JUL AGO SEP OCT NOV DIC TOTAL

1 1971 133.1 158.3 22.8 32.1 5.9 0.1 0.0 4.3 1.2 38.9 61.3 79.8 537.80
2 1972 155.2 166.7 79.3 27.5 0.4 0.0 2.8 8.3 16.6 21.0 57.9 104.2 639.90
3 1973 162.6 101.0 103.8 105.0 9.5 0.0 3.7 5.4 54.1 78.9 70.4 89.8 784.20
4 1974 107.1 117.5 86.4 49.8 13.0 5.1 0.2 21.1 32.9 30.7 33.5 55.1 552.40
5 1975 104.7 88.4 121.8 27.2 9.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 26.4 40.0 45.5 90.3 553.30
6 1976 167.6 80.1 92.0 28.8 22.3 4.8 3.3 12.5 41.0 8.6 48.0 117.7 626.70
7 1977 84.4 92.0 145.0 21.8 2.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 21.5 50.4 97.2 83.9 598.90
8 1978 150.6 110.3 124.3 50.8 4.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 52.9 17.3 128.9 184.6 823.80
9 1979 146.4 41.3 80.5 69.2 13.8 0.0 5.0 4.6 17.2 31.3 43.3 131.0 583.60
10 1980 117.2 80.4 107.5 4.9 9.1 0.4 2.3 0.0 6.1 77.4 12.3 81.3 498.90
11 1981 146.7 101.1 102.7 52.0 1.9 0.0 0.0 13.2 32.9 65.3 73.0 109.9 698.70
12 1982 191.7 53.4 95.5 20.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 15.8 53.6 109.3 48.3 588.70
13 1983 82.3 58.8 73.4 27.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.8 36.7 63.1 355.10
14 1984 108.7 37.9 98.1 44.0 6.6 1.7 2.5 6.2 20.1 46.9 64.6 94.8 532.10
15 1985 134.0 100.0 98.1 44.0 6.6 1.7 0.0 0.0 34.2 12.4 122.4 154.4 707.81
16 1986 134.3 168.7 162.8 114.1 10.6 0.0 2.5 6.0 38.2 46.9 41.4 102.3 827.80
17 1987 119.8 78.7 82.9 39.2 1.5 1.0 18.4 0.0 7.5 57.8 126.3 144.8 677.90
18 1988 148.8 85.0 154.8 58.4 17.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.0 17.9 10.5 67.5 569.50
19 1989 151.6 119.8 108.5 84.8 7.0 4.7 0.0 27.0 25.0 40.9 48.1 69.7 687.10
20 1990 131.5 75.6 36.7 33.5 0.0 21.6 0.0 5.4 19.0 84.0 67.8 18.0 493.10
21 1991 154.3 73.7 105.1 40.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 28.2 25.9 131.7 565.80
22 1992 134.0 100.0 49.1 21.1 0.0 3.2 0.0 37.2 18.0 29.4 79.8 78.6 550.40
23 1993 191.5 79.1 103.6 52.3 9.7 3.7 10.2 21.9 5.9 158.0 178.0 98.3 912.20
24 1994 120.1 110.7 102.0 59.2 4.8 0.5 0.0 3.2 15.1 51.8 74.8 116.6 658.80
25 1995 69.5 79.1 101.7 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.7 16.8 79.1 98.2 469.90
26 1996 141.5 62.9 94.6 21.4 10.8 0.0 1.4 3.0 4.6 44.8 45.2 125.4 555.60
27 1997 179.8 135.8 196.9 48.0 12.6 0.0 0.0 13.6 17.0 40.0 108.7 60.2 812.60
28 1998 113.8 72.2 52.8 17.5 0.0 7.7 0.0 1.2 2.2 100.3 88.7 32.6 489.00
29 1999 108.3 125.6 136.6 37.8 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 16.6 35.8 54.3 65.7 581.20
30 2000 126.9 114.1 105.1 9.6 1.4 1.2 1.6 2.4 17.0 108.0 17.6 99.6 604.50
31 2001 151.8 111.5 135.4 30.6 21.4 0.0 5.5 0.0 14.2 59.4 62.7 57.4 649.90
32 2002 117.0 107.0 82.0 149.2 8.8 1.8 25.4 4.4 25.6 131.6 86.0 134.6 873.40
33 2003 163.4 114.9 134.8 60.2 7.0 7.6 0.5 7.0 15.4 14.8 16.1 80.6 622.30
34 2004 234.0 160.2 61.8 50.6 7.4 0.0 4.8 22.8 40.6 13.0 53.8 134.2 783.20
35 2005 52.5 199.0 54.7 35.4 0.5 0.0 1.2 2.8 3.8 65.9 57.6 81.6 555.00
36 2006 137.7 46.9 63.6 50.5 0.0 2.1 0.0 3.9 37.0 42.5 63.6 79.5 527.30
37 2007 130.1 58.1 152.6 59.2 14.4 0.6 0.5 0.0 25.8 17.0 75.4 51.0 584.70
38 2008 130.3 73.0 52.4 4.6 6.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.6 34.4 26.5 139.8 474.80
39 2009 112.1 90.9 59.7 15.3 5.2 0.0 4.6 0.8 9.2 19.2 110.8 104.6 532.40
40 2010 153.8 116.6 71.6 40.8 8.6 0.0 0.0 2.6 0.0 24.8 8.6 121.0 548.40
41 2011 93.2 153.8 130.8 51.2 2.1 0.0 6.2 11.0 61.2 59.2 37.6 104.6 710.90

MEDIA 134.00 100.00 98.14 44.02 6.56 1.69 2.50 6.16 20.13 46.90 64.62 94.79 619.50
MÍNIMA 52.50 37.90 22.80 4.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.80 8.60 18.00 355.10
MÁXIMA 234.00 199.00 196.90 149.20 22.30 21.60 25.40 37.20 61.20 158.00 178.00 184.60 912.20

(). Celda marcada de azul: DATO COMPLETADO CON MEDIA ORIGINAL SIN INCLUSIÓN DE DATO.
CUADRO N° 1.6 EXTENCIÓN CON HEC4
ESTACIÓN PROGRESO: PRECIPITACIÓN MEDIA MENSUAL HISTÓRICA (mm); PERIODO: 1971 - 2011

AÑO ENE FEB MAR ABR MAY JUN JUL AGO SEP OCT NOV DIC TOTAL

1 1971 133.0 158.0 23.0 32.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 1.0 39.0 61.0 80.0 537.00
2 1972 155.0 167.0 79.0 27.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 8.0 17.0 21.0 58.0 104.0 639.00
3 1973 163.0 101.0 104.0 105.0 9.0 0.0 4.0 5.0 54.0 79.0 70.0 90.0 784.00
4 1974 107.0 117.0 86.0 50.0 13.0 5.0 0.0 21.0 33.0 31.0 34.0 55.0 552.00
5 1975 105.0 88.0 122.0 27.0 9.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 26.0 40.0 45.0 90.0 552.00
6 1976 168.0 80.0 92.0 29.0 22.0 5.0 3.0 12.0 41.0 9.0 48.0 118.0 627.00
7 1977 84.0 92.0 145.0 22.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 22.0 50.0 97.0 84.0 599.00
8 1978 151.0 110.0 124.0 51.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 53.0 17.0 129.0 185.0 824.00
9 1979 146.0 41.0 81.0 69.0 14.0 0.0 5.0 5.0 17.0 31.0 43.0 131.0 583.00
10 1980 117.0 80.0 107.0 5.0 9.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 6.0 77.0 12.0 81.0 496.00
11 1981 147.0 101.0 103.0 52.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 13.0 33.0 65.0 73.0 110.0 699.00
12 1982 192.0 53.0 96.0 20.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 16.0 54.0 109.0 48.0 589.00
13 1983 82.0 59.0 73.0 27.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.0 37.0 63.0 355.00
14 1984 109.0 38.0 134.0 34.0 23.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 5.0 78.0 185.0 127.0 736.00
15 1985 244.0 155.0 135.0 99.0 4.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 34.0 12.0 122.0 154.0 963.00
16 1986 134.0 169.0 163.0 114.0 11.0 0.0 2.0 6.0 38.0 14.0 41.0 102.0 794.00
17 1987 120.0 79.0 83.0 39.0 1.0 1.0 18.0 0.0 8.0 58.0 126.0 145.0 678.00
18 1988 149.0 85.0 155.0 58.0 18.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.0 18.0 10.0 67.0 569.00
19 1989 152.0 120.0 109.0 85.0 7.0 5.0 0.0 27.0 25.0 41.0 48.0 70.0 689.00
20 1990 131.0 76.0 37.0 34.0 0.0 22.0 0.0 5.0 19.0 84.0 68.0 18.0 494.00
21 1991 154.0 74.0 105.0 41.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 28.0 26.0 132.0 566.00
22 1992 103.0 58.0 49.0 21.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 37.0 18.0 29.0 80.0 79.0 477.00
23 1993 191.0 79.0 104.0 52.0 10.0 4.0 10.0 22.0 6.0 158.0 178.0 98.0 912.00
24 1994 120.0 111.0 102.0 59.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 15.0 52.0 75.0 117.0 660.00
25 1995 70.0 79.0 102.0 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.0 17.0 79.0 98.0 471.00
26 1996 142.0 63.0 95.0 21.0 11.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 5.0 45.0 45.0 125.0 556.00
27 1997 180.0 136.0 197.0 48.0 13.0 0.0 0.0 14.0 17.0 40.0 109.0 60.0 814.00
28 1998 114.0 72.0 53.0 18.0 0.0 8.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 100.0 89.0 33.0 490.00
29 1999 108.0 126.0 137.0 38.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 17.0 36.0 54.0 66.0 582.00
30 2000 127.0 114.0 105.0 10.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 2.0 17.0 108.0 18.0 100.0 605.00
31 2001 152.0 112.0 135.0 31.0 21.0 0.0 6.0 0.0 14.0 59.0 63.0 57.0 650.00
32 2002 117.0 107.0 82.0 149.0 9.0 2.0 25.0 4.0 26.0 132.0 86.0 135.0 874.00
33 2003 163.0 115.0 135.0 60.0 7.0 8.0 0.0 7.0 15.0 15.0 16.0 81.0 622.00
34 2004 234.0 160.0 62.0 51.0 7.0 0.0 5.0 23.0 41.0 13.0 54.0 134.0 784.00
35 2005 53.0 199.0 55.0 35.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 4.0 66.0 58.0 82.0 556.00
36 2006 138.0 47.0 64.0 50.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 4.0 37.0 42.0 64.0 80.0 528.00
37 2007 130.0 58.0 153.0 59.0 14.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 26.0 17.0 75.0 51.0 584.00
38 2008 130.0 73.0 52.0 5.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.0 34.0 26.0 140.0 474.00
39 2009 112.0 91.0 60.0 15.0 5.0 0.0 5.0 1.0 9.0 19.0 111.0 105.0 533.00
40 2010 154.0 117.0 72.0 41.0 9.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 25.0 9.0 121.0 551.00
41 2011 93.0 154.0 131.0 51.0 2.0 0.0 6.0 11.0 61.0 59.0 38.0 105.0 711.00

MEDIA 135.95 100.34 100.02 45.10 6.85 1.76 2.39 6.05 19.80 46.83 67.54 95.63 628.27
MÍNIMA 53.00 38.00 23.00 5.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.00 9.00 18.00 355.00
MÁXIMA 244.00 199.00 197.00 149.00 23.00 22.00 25.00 37.00 61.00 158.00 185.00 185.00 963.00
CUADRO N° 1.7
ESTACIÓN PUCARÁ: PRECIPITACIÓN MEDIA MENSUAL HISTÓRICA (mm); PERIODO: 1971 - 2011

AÑO ENE FEB MAR ABR MAY JUN JUL AGO SEP OCT NOV DIC TOTAL

1 1971 173.1 259.7 43.9 56.6 1.2 0.0 0.0 7.4 1.4 34.0 62.8 82.8 722.90
2 1972 187.0 101.9 74.5 44.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.9 39.6 23.9 39.6 92.7 606.40
3 1973 173.7 147.5 203.6 79.7 0.0 0.0 5.1 11.2 45.2 61.3 47.9 52.4 827.60
4 1974 213.4 114.8 106.7 36.2 1.7 7.3 5.2 55.5 21.0 50.4 24.7 80.2 717.10
5 1975 163.4 181.4 118.2 16.0 20.8 4.9 0.0 1.3 32.5 87.5 51.6 123.3 800.90
6 1976 213.8 155.8 102.2 30.9 7.4 0.0 3.3 5.6 79.2 1.8 32.2 115.5 747.70
7 1977 125.2 213.7 175.3 36.2 1.6 0.0 1.6 0.0 34.8 66.4 82.2 90.0 827.00
8 1978 228.4 180.7 144.2 89.8 8.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 17.3 66.9 169.6 227.8 1,133.00
9 1979 186.1 64.1 118.9 45.6 11.7 0.0 0.2 0.0 8.4 80.1 106.9 163.2 785.20
10 1980 117.0 93.8 132.1 9.1 9.6 0.0 7.1 3.1 27.5 90.9 24.1 53.5 567.80
11 1981 184.4 145.6 124.7 51.8 8.4 2.5 0.0 13.8 34.3 86.6 69.3 110.3 831.71
12 1982 133.0 82.2 126.8 57.6 0.0 3.1 0.0 33.6 51.8 120.2 110.9 69.1 788.30
13 1983 73.9 74.2 34.1 50.7 10.5 7.3 1.9 0.0 28.6 38.3 35.0 100.2 454.70
14 1984 337.3 261.6 117.1 18.7 5.4 6.7 9.3 13.6 2.2 166.3 142.1 195.4 1,275.70
15 1985 178.0 163.4 70.2 171.5 20.3 10.2 0.0 1.7 47.1 30.2 228.1 186.0 1,106.70
16 1986 152.7 196.0 192.1 81.5 12.2 0.0 3.3 11.3 61.5 5.8 51.5 121.6 889.50
17 1987 176.0 83.8 58.7 57.3 6.2 11.4 28.7 9.9 4.9 32.1 99.4 78.4 646.80
18 1988 142.6 114.7 181.3 102.8 18.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.9 46.3 9.9 130.9 757.30
19 1989 129.5 80.3 110.1 62.8 7.0 2.3 1.3 16.4 13.5 48.2 31.6 111.1 614.10
20 1990 147.1 127.2 85.5 46.5 17.5 45.4 0.0 5.7 22.1 99.9 93.7 85.5 776.10
21 1991 114.8 132.0 150.8 43.7 28.7 54.2 5.6 9.1 18.0 48.2 43.5 69.3 717.90
22 1992 221.6 105.0 54.7 23.7 0.6 10.8 0.0 35.2 6.9 29.6 43.9 151.1 683.10
23 1993 184.8 39.6 132.6 89.9 8.3 0.5 0.0 12.5 27.2 78.7 73.0 147.4 794.50
24 1994 158.0 199.7 113.2 58.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 23.3 25.9 65.4 90.1 734.19
25 1995 98.1 76.9 78.9 9.3 2.6 4.9 3.0 0.5 7.7 17.8 94.3 106.0 500.00
26 1996 158.7 82.1 122.6 38.6 22.1 0.0 0.5 4.4 15.7 43.4 50.4 93.1 631.60
27 1997 160.3 126.3 166.5 21.3 2.7 0.0 0.0 13.4 23.3 59.0 142.1 118.0 832.90
28 1998 86.1 118.4 108.6 70.5 0.1 8.6 0.0 1.5 2.7 71.4 51.9 31.6 551.40
29 1999 83.8 111.6 147.7 73.6 10.6 0.0 1.0 6.8 22.3 78.1 24.5 46.2 606.20
30 2000 126.9 143.3 107.9 11.7 4.2 4.1 0.1 29.0 0.3 106.6 35.6 105.7 675.40
31 2001 302.9 117.9 224.9 33.6 18.1 1.8 4.8 9.9 5.0 35.2 29.8 108.3 892.20
32 2002 144.7 197.8 113.3 72.4 14.9 3.9 20.9 21.5 31.4 137.3 72.5 192.0 1,022.60
33 2003 188.3 98.6 122.2 30.5 10.4 6.8 0.0 8.8 26.2 44.8 54.0 137.7 728.30
34 2004 302.7 227.4 104.1 55.2 6.9 4.0 8.2 26.5 48.0 7.5 68.1 136.7 995.30
35 2005 63.0 164.8 123.3 37.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 14.7 6.2 103.2 73.4 112.0 698.30
36 2006 240.7 90.2 124.6 32.6 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.6 5.0 47.2 68.1 104.6 713.80
37 2007 63.2 62.3 197.6 110.7 15.5 0.0 3.5 0.0 37.4 27.0 63.3 65.3 645.80
38 2008 174.6 79.9 62.4 4.1 3.9 0.0 0.0 0.9 24.2 51.4 63.5 165.2 630.10
39 2009 70.2 98.4 131.8 18.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 6.9 42.9 104.9 137.7 611.10
40 2010 198.1 138.7 66.4 114.7 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.2 36.9 27.9 121.3 711.40
41 2011 77.7 169.5 80.4 27.9 17.7 0.2 8.2 0.0 33.0 44.4 24.1 136.3 619.40

MEDIA 162.31 132.26 118.41 51.81 8.34 4.91 3.00 9.48 23.29 57.89 67.98 113.30 752.98
MÍNIMA 63.00 39.60 34.10 4.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.30 1.80 9.90 31.60 454.70
MÁXIMA 337.30 261.60 224.90 171.50 28.70 54.20 28.70 55.50 79.20 166.30 228.10 227.80 1,275.70

(). Celda marcada de azul: DATO COMPLETADO CON MEDIA ORIGINAL SIN INCLUSIÓN DE DATO.
CUADRO N° 1.7 EXTENCIÓN CON HEC4
ESTACIÓN PUCARÁ: PRECIPITACIÓN MEDIA MENSUAL HISTÓRICA (mm); PERIODO: 1971 - 2011

AÑO ENE FEB MAR ABR MAY JUN JUL AGO SEP OCT NOV DIC TOTAL

1 1971 173.0 260.0 44.0 57.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 1.0 34.0 63.0 83.0 723.00
2 1972 187.0 102.0 75.0 44.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 40.0 24.0 40.0 93.0 608.00
3 1973 174.0 147.0 204.0 80.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 11.0 45.0 61.0 48.0 52.0 827.00
4 1974 213.0 115.0 107.0 36.0 2.0 7.0 5.0 56.0 21.0 50.0 25.0 80.0 717.00
5 1975 163.0 181.0 118.0 16.0 21.0 5.0 0.0 1.0 32.0 88.0 52.0 123.0 800.00
6 1976 214.0 156.0 102.0 31.0 7.0 0.0 3.0 6.0 79.0 2.0 32.0 115.0 747.00
7 1977 125.0 214.0 175.0 36.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 35.0 66.0 82.0 90.0 827.00
8 1978 228.0 181.0 144.0 90.0 8.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 17.0 67.0 170.0 228.0 1,133.00
9 1979 186.0 64.0 119.0 46.0 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.0 80.0 107.0 163.0 785.00
10 1980 117.0 94.0 132.0 9.0 10.0 0.0 7.0 3.0 27.0 91.0 24.0 53.0 567.00
11 1981 184.0 146.0 125.0 58.0 8.0 2.0 0.0 14.0 34.0 87.0 69.0 110.0 837.00
12 1982 133.0 82.0 127.0 58.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 34.0 52.0 120.0 111.0 69.0 789.00
13 1983 74.0 74.0 34.0 51.0 11.0 7.0 2.0 0.0 29.0 38.0 35.0 100.0 455.00
14 1984 337.0 262.0 117.0 19.0 5.0 7.0 9.0 14.0 2.0 166.0 142.0 195.0 1,275.00
15 1985 178.0 163.0 70.0 171.0 20.0 10.0 0.0 2.0 47.0 30.0 228.0 186.0 1,105.00
16 1986 153.0 196.0 192.0 82.0 12.0 0.0 3.0 11.0 61.0 6.0 51.0 122.0 889.00
17 1987 176.0 84.0 59.0 57.0 6.0 11.0 29.0 10.0 5.0 32.0 99.0 78.0 646.00
18 1988 143.0 115.0 181.0 103.0 19.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.0 46.0 10.0 131.0 758.00
19 1989 130.0 80.0 110.0 63.0 7.0 2.0 1.0 16.0 13.0 48.0 32.0 111.0 613.00
20 1990 147.0 127.0 85.0 46.0 17.0 45.0 0.0 6.0 22.0 100.0 94.0 86.0 775.00
21 1991 115.0 132.0 151.0 44.0 29.0 54.0 6.0 9.0 18.0 48.0 43.0 69.0 718.00
22 1992 222.0 105.0 55.0 24.0 1.0 11.0 0.0 35.0 7.0 30.0 44.0 151.0 685.00
23 1993 185.0 40.0 133.0 90.0 8.0 1.0 0.0 12.0 27.0 79.0 73.0 147.0 795.00
24 1994 158.0 200.0 113.0 59.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 26.0 65.0 90.0 715.00
25 1995 98.0 77.0 79.0 9.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.0 18.0 94.0 106.0 492.00
26 1996 159.0 82.0 123.0 39.0 22.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 16.0 43.0 50.0 93.0 631.00
27 1997 160.0 126.0 167.0 21.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 13.0 23.0 59.0 142.0 118.0 832.00
28 1998 86.0 118.0 109.0 71.0 0.0 9.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 71.0 52.0 32.0 552.00
29 1999 84.0 112.0 148.0 74.0 11.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 22.0 78.0 24.0 46.0 607.00
30 2000 127.0 143.0 108.0 12.0 4.0 4.0 0.0 29.0 0.0 107.0 36.0 106.0 676.00
31 2001 303.0 118.0 225.0 34.0 18.0 2.0 5.0 10.0 5.0 35.0 30.0 108.0 893.00
32 2002 145.0 198.0 113.0 72.0 15.0 4.0 21.0 21.0 31.0 137.0 72.0 192.0 1,021.00
33 2003 188.0 99.0 122.0 30.0 10.0 7.0 0.0 9.0 26.0 45.0 54.0 138.0 728.00
34 2004 303.0 227.0 104.0 55.0 7.0 4.0 8.0 26.0 48.0 7.0 68.0 137.0 994.00
35 2005 63.0 165.0 123.0 38.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 15.0 6.0 103.0 73.0 112.0 698.00
36 2006 241.0 90.0 125.0 33.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 47.0 68.0 105.0 715.00
37 2007 63.0 62.0 198.0 111.0 15.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 37.0 27.0 63.0 65.0 644.00
38 2008 175.0 80.0 62.0 4.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 24.0 51.0 64.0 165.0 630.00
39 2009 70.0 98.0 132.0 18.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 43.0 105.0 138.0 611.00
40 2010 198.0 139.0 66.0 115.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 37.0 28.0 121.0 711.00
41 2011 78.0 169.0 80.0 28.0 18.0 0.0 8.0 0.0 33.0 44.0 24.0 136.0 618.00

MEDIA 162.34 132.27 118.44 52.05 8.34 4.76 2.88 9.44 22.71 57.83 67.95 113.24 752.24
MÍNIMA 63.00 40.00 34.00 4.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.00 10.00 32.00 455.00
MÁXIMA 337.00 262.00 225.00 171.00 29.00 54.00 29.00 56.00 79.00 166.00 228.00 228.00 1,275.00
GRAFICO 2.8 ANALISIS DE DOBLE MASA
Precipitación Total Anual Histórica: Estaciones Pucara y Azángaro
30,000.0

25,000.0
PRECIPITACIÓN ACUMULADA ESTACIÓN AZANGARO (mm).

20,000.0

15,000.0

10,000.0

5,000.0

0.0
0.0 5,000.0 10,000.0 15,000.0 20,000.0 25,000.0 30,000.0 35,000.0

PRECIPITACIÓN ACUMULADA ESTACIÓN PUCARA (mm).


CUADRO N° 3.7
ESTACIÓN AZANGARO: PRECIPITACIÓN TOTAL ANUAL HISTÓRICA (1971 - 2011)
ANÁLISIS ESTADÍSTICO : PRUEBAS DE "T" DE STUDENT Y DE FISHER "F"

PRECIPITACIÓN
PRECIPITACIÓN PERIODOS TOTAL ANUAL
AÑOS
ANUAL MUESTRALES CORREGIDA
(mm) (mm)
1 1971 483.3 486.94
2 1972 597.8 585.61
3 1973 748.8 715.72
4 1974 559.1 552.28
5 1975 608.4 594.72
6 1976 485.0 PERIODO 1 : "DUDOSO" 488.39
7 1977 553.6 1971 - 1988 547.50
8 1978 872.6 822.39
9 1979 466.5 Longitud muestral : N1 = 18 472.50
10 1980 435.3 Media del período : X1 = 611.8 445.61
11 1981 628.9 Desviación Std. : S1 = 144.5 612.39
12 1982 480.4 484.45
13 1983 603.7 590.69
14 1984 926.3 868.63
15 1985 828.1 783.99
16 1986 498.0 499.57
17 1987 633.5 616.34
18 1988 603.7 590.69
1 1989 465.0
2 1990 616.9
3 1991 603.7
4 1992 587.0
5 1993 742.2
6 1994 612.1
7 1995 460.1
8 1996 538.3
9 1997 795.9 PERIODO 2 : "CONFIABLE"
10 1998 433.1 1989 - 2011
11 1999 514.3
12 2000 527.6 Longitud muestral : N2 = 23
13 2001 777.0 Media del período : X2 = 597.7
14 2002 970.3 Desviación Std. : S2 = 124.5
15 2003 630.8
16 2004 611.7
17 2005 524.9
18 2006 525.3
19 2007 636.7
20 2008 538.0
21 2009 551.0
22 2010 493.6
23 2011 591.2
PRUEBA "T" DE STUDENT
Criterio : Si Tt > Tc : Homogeneidad; Si Tt < Tc : No Homogeneidad
Tc = 0.337 Grados de Libertad = 39
Tt = 2.023 Tc < Tt α= 0.95
Las medias X1 y X2 son Estadísticamente Homogéneas
NO CORREGIR LA PRECIPITACIÓN EN LA MEDIA
PRUEBA "F" DE FISHER
Criterio : Si Ft > Fc : Homogeneidad; Si Ft < Fc : No Homogeneidad
Fc = 1.347 Grados de Libertad : M1 = 22
Ft = 2.114 Fc < Ft M2 = 17
Las desviaciones standard S1 y S2 son Estadísticamente Homogéneas
NO CORREGIR LA PRECIPITACIÓN EN LA DESVIACIÓN ESTÁNDAR
PROCEDIMIENTO DE CORRECCIÓN
Xi = ( ( (Xo - X1) / S1 ) * S2 ) + X2
Xi = valor corregido; Xo = valor por corregir; X1 y S1 = media y desviación estándar
del periodo dudoso; X2 y S2 = media y desviación estándar del periodo confiable
Prueba t para dos muestras suponiendo varianzas iguales

Variable 1Variable 2
Media 611.845 597.69
Varianza 20870.5 15494
Observaciones 18 23
Varianza agrupada 17837.6
Diferencia hipotética de las medias 0
Grados de libertad 39
Estadístico t 0.33679
P(T<=t) una cola 0.36904
Valor crítico de t (una cola) 1.68488
P(T<=t) dos colas 0.73808
Valor crítico de t (dos colas) 2.02269

Prueba F para varianzas de dos muestras

Variable 1Variable 2
Media 611.845 597.69
Varianza 20870.5 15494
Observaciones 18 23
Grados de libertad 17 22
F 1.347
P(F<=f) una cola 0.25255
Valor crítico para F (una cola) 2.11377
CUADRO N° 1.8
ESTACIÓN AZÁNGARO: PRECIPITACIÓN MEDIA MENSUAL HISTÓRICA (mm); PERIODO: 1971 - 2011

AÑO ENE FEB MAR ABR MAY JUN JUL AGO SEP OCT NOV DIC TOTAL

1 1971 91.6 190.3 31.0 28.1 0.5 0.6 0.3 8.7 5.8 18.1 55.8 80.1 510.90
2 1972 140.9 108.9 68.7 37.4 0.0 0.0 4.0 9.7 41.6 26.3 55.6 106.6 599.70
3 1973 176.4 99.8 112.9 93.7 22.2 0.0 3.4 4.9 47.7 43.7 88.3 23.8 716.80
4 1974 98.0 125.0 94.4 34.9 19.0 6.1 0.0 27.6 19.8 30.0 55.7 59.2 569.70
5 1975 96.0 88.6 108.6 33.1 7.2 14.5 0.0 0.0 20.7 71.7 57.5 110.0 607.90
6 1976 115.9 102.5 57.4 6.7 8.9 5.5 0.4 13.3 41.2 3.3 61.0 96.1 512.20
7 1977 64.2 113.0 120.2 17.5 3.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 43.3 51.6 91.2 61.0 565.40
8 1978 141.6 139.3 77.6 37.4 2.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 17.8 35.6 168.5 192.3 812.80
9 1979 146.1 28.7 62.2 39.6 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.5 60.9 37.1 112.8 497.90
10 1980 120.1 64.2 91.3 9.0 5.7 0.0 5.5 3.6 29.4 77.9 10.1 56.9 473.70
11 1981 112.5 105.3 92.3 47.0 5.6 4.0 0.0 26.9 27.7 65.4 36.4 100.7 623.80
12 1982 48.5 101.1 38.8 58.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 27.0 23.0 46.1 72.0 93.7 508.66
13 1983 604.28
14 1984 123.6 101.1 86.9 38.3 6.2 2.0 2.0 9.2 0.8 78.3 238.8 167.1 854.41
15 1985 123.6 101.1 47.8 167.5 6.2 2.0 0.0 0.7 16.3 20.3 178.7 114.0 778.23
16 1986 85.0 92.6 86.9 38.3 6.2 0.0 0.0 6.3 37.0 4.2 72.0 93.7 522.27
17 1987 123.6 107.5 67.7 44.6 6.3 5.3 28.4 9.2 23.0 46.1 72.0 93.7 627.36
18 1988 604.28
19 1989 123.6 101.1 86.9 38.3 6.2 2.0 2.0 9.2 20.8 6.5 35.5 64.5 496.71
20 1990 159.0 76.0 86.9 38.3 6.2 2.0 2.0 9.2 23.0 46.1 72.0 93.7 614.52
21 1991 604.28
22 1992 123.6 101.1 49.7 14.4 0.0 8.0 0.0 59.8 23.0 46.1 72.0 93.7 591.31
23 1993 142.8 54.5 84.3 87.9 11.6 4.8 1.3 9.2 24.4 68.6 125.4 127.4 742.20
24 1994 111.7 169.3 89.1 38.3 0.5 0.0 0.0 6.3 13.4 35.6 59.8 88.1 612.14
25 1995 62.3 78.0 97.8 4.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.6 5.1 33.1 90.0 88.4 460.10
26 1996 142.5 67.9 121.9 15.7 15.0 0.3 2.0 3.1 11.2 35.2 59.5 64.0 538.30
27 1997 150.4 151.3 139.1 30.1 7.8 0.0 0.0 13.1 32.1 36.9 134.6 100.5 795.90
28 1998 95.0 71.4 77.2 24.6 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 11.0 58.0 76.3 17.6 433.14
29 1999 99.8 68.0 134.6 52.0 3.5 1.0 0.0 0.5 30.6 69.3 31.8 23.2 514.30
30 2000 132.4 114.0 51.3 8.4 2.9 7.9 0.5 38.8 0.7 79.8 25.6 65.3 527.60
31 2001 195.4 94.8 168.0 15.9 19.9 0.0 4.4 8.0 16.6 44.9 42.5 166.6 777.00
32 2002 157.4 116.4 155.4 49.1 10.3 1.9 10.8 9.0 15.0 187.3 87.1 170.6 970.30
33 2003 149.9 95.3 109.4 58.9 4.7 5.7 0.6 5.0 7.8 32.9 42.4 118.2 630.80
34 2004 227.4 93.9 47.7 22.8 15.9 0.0 2.8 16.5 39.6 11.0 62.6 71.5 611.70
35 2005 42.5 171.8 78.5 28.6 0.3 0.0 0.0 5.0 19.6 59.8 34.3 84.5 524.90
36 2006 188.7 36.7 75.3 17.2 0.2 1.3 0.0 2.3 11.3 60.6 60.6 71.1 525.30
37 2007 97.0 54.5 164.6 80.6 12.5 0.3 0.6 0.8 60.6 17.1 62.8 85.3 636.70
38 2008 98.4 91.9 43.7 1.0 3.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 22.8 44.0 61.5 171.6 538.00
39 2009 130.0 91.9 72.2 33.2 4.4 0.0 0.4 0.0 14.2 28.2 91.1 85.4 551.00
40 2010 162.6 95.1 63.1 41.8 7.6 0.0 0.3 2.3 0.0 25.6 24.5 70.7 493.60
41 2011 96.7 176.3 60.9 23.4 0.3 0.0 5.5 3.8 67.9 46.8 33.5 76.1 591.20

MEDIA 123.60 101.05 86.90 38.34 6.25 2.04 2.03 9.20 22.95 46.13 72.00 93.67 604.18
MÍNIMA 42.50 28.70 31.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.30 10.10 17.60 433.14
MÁXIMA 227.40 190.30 168.00 167.50 22.20 14.50 28.40 59.80 67.90 187.30 238.80 192.30 970.30

(). Celda marcada de azul: DATO COMPLETADO CON MEDIA ORIGINAL SIN INCLUSIÓN DE DATO.
CUADRO N° 1.8 EXTENCIÓN CON HEC4
ESTACIÓN AZÁNGARO: PRECIPITACIÓN MEDIA MENSUAL HISTÓRICA (mm); PERIODO: 1971 - 2011

AÑO ENE FEB MAR ABR MAY JUN JUL AGO SEP OCT NOV DIC TOTAL

1 1971 92.0 190.0 31.0 28.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 9.0 6.0 18.0 56.0 80.0 511.00
2 1972 141.0 109.0 69.0 37.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 10.0 42.0 26.0 56.0 107.0 601.00
3 1973 176.0 100.0 113.0 94.0 22.0 0.0 3.0 5.0 48.0 44.0 88.0 24.0 717.00
4 1974 98.0 125.0 94.0 35.0 19.0 6.0 0.0 28.0 20.0 30.0 56.0 59.0 570.00
5 1975 96.0 89.0 109.0 33.0 7.0 15.0 0.0 0.0 21.0 72.0 57.0 110.0 609.00
6 1976 116.0 102.0 57.0 7.0 9.0 6.0 0.0 13.0 41.0 3.0 61.0 96.0 511.00
7 1977 64.0 113.0 120.0 17.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 43.0 52.0 91.0 61.0 564.00
8 1978 142.0 139.0 78.0 37.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 18.0 36.0 169.0 192.0 814.00
9 1979 146.0 29.0 62.0 40.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 61.0 37.0 113.0 498.00
10 1980 120.0 64.0 91.0 9.0 6.0 0.0 6.0 4.0 29.0 78.0 10.0 57.0 474.00
11 1981 112.0 105.0 92.0 47.0 6.0 4.0 0.0 27.0 28.0 65.0 36.0 101.0 623.00
12 1982 49.0 101.0 39.0 59.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 27.0 39.0 93.0 80.0 71.0 558.00
13 1983 59.0 100.0 42.0 51.0 17.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 31.0 19.0 43.0 76.0 439.00
14 1984 153.0 126.0 88.0 16.0 5.0 1.0 1.0 13.0 1.0 78.0 239.0 167.0 888.00
15 1985 0.0 0.0 48.0 168.0 28.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 16.0 20.0 179.0 114.0 575.00
16 1986 85.0 93.0 112.0 42.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 37.0 4.0 75.0 97.0 556.00
17 1987 143.0 107.0 68.0 45.0 6.0 5.0 28.0 11.0 9.0 23.0 87.0 69.0 601.00
18 1988 121.0 123.0 97.0 72.0 18.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 21.0 34.0 16.0 100.0 602.00
19 1989 118.0 105.0 80.0 55.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 10.0 21.0 7.0 35.0 64.0 499.00
20 1990 159.0 76.0 57.0 23.0 13.0 9.0 0.0 2.0 18.0 75.0 96.0 78.0 606.00
21 1991 142.0 87.0 110.0 21.0 5.0 6.0 1.0 8.0 9.0 30.0 63.0 52.0 534.00
22 1992 153.0 97.0 50.0 14.0 0.0 8.0 0.0 60.0 6.0 43.0 58.0 120.0 609.00
23 1993 143.0 55.0 84.0 88.0 12.0 5.0 1.0 9.0 24.0 69.0 125.0 127.0 742.00
24 1994 112.0 169.0 89.0 47.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 13.0 36.0 60.0 88.0 620.00
25 1995 62.0 78.0 98.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 33.0 90.0 88.0 460.00
26 1996 143.0 68.0 122.0 16.0 15.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 11.0 35.0 60.0 64.0 539.00
27 1997 150.0 151.0 139.0 30.0 8.0 0.0 0.0 13.0 32.0 37.0 135.0 101.0 796.00
28 1998 95.0 71.0 77.0 25.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 11.0 58.0 76.0 18.0 432.00
29 1999 100.0 68.0 135.0 52.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 31.0 69.0 32.0 23.0 515.00
30 2000 132.0 114.0 51.0 8.0 3.0 8.0 0.0 39.0 1.0 80.0 26.0 65.0 527.00
31 2001 195.0 95.0 168.0 16.0 20.0 0.0 4.0 8.0 17.0 45.0 43.0 167.0 778.00
32 2002 157.0 116.0 155.0 49.0 10.0 2.0 11.0 9.0 15.0 187.0 87.0 171.0 969.00
33 2003 150.0 95.0 109.0 59.0 5.0 6.0 1.0 5.0 8.0 33.0 42.0 118.0 631.00
34 2004 227.0 94.0 48.0 23.0 16.0 0.0 3.0 17.0 40.0 11.0 63.0 71.0 613.00
35 2005 43.0 172.0 79.0 29.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 20.0 60.0 34.0 84.0 526.00
36 2006 189.0 37.0 75.0 17.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 11.0 61.0 61.0 71.0 525.00
37 2007 97.0 55.0 165.0 81.0 12.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 61.0 17.0 63.0 85.0 638.00
38 2008 98.0 92.0 44.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 23.0 44.0 61.0 172.0 538.00
39 2009 130.0 92.0 72.0 33.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 14.0 28.0 91.0 85.0 549.00
40 2010 163.0 95.0 63.0 42.0 8.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 26.0 24.0 71.0 494.00
41 2011 97.0 176.0 61.0 23.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 4.0 68.0 47.0 33.0 76.0 591.00

MEDIA 121.17 99.34 86.37 38.88 7.29 2.12 1.76 8.76 22.32 46.02 70.59 91.54 596.15
MÍNIMA 0.00 0.00 31.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.00 10.00 18.00 432.00
MÁXIMA 227.00 190.00 168.00 168.00 28.00 15.00 28.00 60.00 68.00 187.00 239.00 192.00 969.00
GRAFICO 2.9 ANALISIS DE DOBLE MASA
Precipitación Total Anual Histórica: Estaciones Pucara y Lampa
35,000.0

30,000.0
PRECIPITACIÓN ACUMULADA ESTACIÓN LAMPA (mm).

25,000.0

20,000.0

15,000.0

10,000.0

5,000.0

0.0
0.0 5,000.0 10,000.0 15,000.0 20,000.0 25,000.0 30,000.0 35,000.0

PRECIPITACIÓN ACUMULADA ESTACIÓN PUCARA (mm).


CUADRO N° 3.8
ESTACIÓN LAMPA: PRECIPITACIÓN TOTAL ANUAL HISTÓRICA (1971 - 2011)
ANÁLISIS ESTADÍSTICO : PRUEBAS DE "T" DE STUDENT Y DE FISHER "F"

PRECIPITACIÓN
PRECIPITACIÓN PERIODOS TOTAL ANUAL
AÑOS
ANUAL MUESTRALES CORREGIDA
(mm) (mm)
1 1971 661.2
2 1972 713.5
3 1973 791.6
4 1974 716.2
5 1975 704.8
6 1976 662.5
7 1977 808.9
8 1978 982.7 PERIODO 1 : "DUDOSO"
9 1979 740.0 1971 - 1996
10 1980 702.8
11 1981 818.1 Longitud muestral : N1 = 26
12 1982 812.9 Media del período : X1 = 741.6
13 1983 555.4 Desviación Std. : S1 = 117.2
14 1984 965.6
15 1985 1,073.8
16 1986 750.1
17 1987 699.8
18 1988 756.2
19 1989 627.1
20 1990 653.6
21 1991 686.7
22 1992 635.7
23 1993 711.6
24 1994 697.2
25 1995 618.1
26 1996 734.1
1 1997 857.7
2 1998 568.0
3 1999 744.1
4 2000 686.6
5 2001 787.2 PERIODO 2 : "CONFIABLE"
6 2002 828.5 1997 - 2011
7 2003 702.6
8 2004 748.3 Longitud muestral : N2 = 15
9 2005 861.6 Media del período : X2 = 741.6
10 2006 692.2 Desviación Std. : S2 = 117.2
11 2007 753.1
12 2008 646.5
13 2009 688.2
14 2010 552.6
15 2011 1,006.1
PRUEBA "T" DE STUDENT
Criterio : Si Tt > Tc : Homogeneidad; Si Tt < Tc : No Homogeneidad
Tc = 0.000 Grados de Libertad = 15
Tt = 2.023 Tc < Tt α= 0.95
Las medias X1 y X2 son Estadísticamente Homogéneas
NO CORREGIR LA PRECIPITACIÓN EN LA MEDIA
PRUEBA "F" DE FISHER
Criterio : Si Ft > Fc : Homogeneidad; Si Ft < Fc : No Homogeneidad
Fc = 1.000 Grados de Libertad : M1 = 14
Ft = 2.341 Fc < Ft M2 = 25
Las desviaciones standard S1 y S2 son Estadísticamente Homogéneas
NO CORREGIR LA PRECIPITACIÓN EN LA DESVIACIÓN ESTÁNDAR
PROCEDIMIENTO DE CORRECCIÓN
Xi = ( ( (Xo - X1) / S1 ) * S2 ) + X2
Xi = valor corregido; Xo = valor por corregir; X1 y S1 = media y desviación estándar
del periodo dudoso; X2 y S2 = media y desviación estándar del periodo confiable
Prueba t para dos muestras suponiendo varianzas iguales

Variable 1Variable 2
Media 741.55 741.55
Varianza 13743.1 13743
Observaciones 26 15
Varianza agrupada 13743.1
Diferencia hipotética de las medias 0
Grados de libertad 39
Estadístico t -6E-15
P(T<=t) una cola 0.5
Valor crítico de t (una cola) 1.68488
P(T<=t) dos colas 1
Valor crítico de t (dos colas) 2.02269

Prueba F para varianzas de dos muestras

Variable 1Variable 2
Media 741.55 741.55
Varianza 13743.1 13743
Observaciones 26 15
Grados de libertad 25 14
F 1
P(F<=f) una cola 0.51783
Valor crítico para F (una cola) 2.34069
CUADRO N° 3.8
ESTACIÓN LAMPA: PRECIPITACIÓN TOTAL ANUAL HISTÓRICA (1971 - 2011)
ANÁLISIS ESTADÍSTICO : PRUEBAS DE "T" DE STUDENT Y DE FISHER "F"

PRECIPITACIÓN
PRECIPITACIÓN PERIODOS TOTAL ANUAL
AÑOS
ANUAL MUESTRALES CORREGIDA
(mm) (mm)
1 1971 566.4 661.15
2 1972 668.3 713.53
3 1973 820.1 791.56
4 1974 673.5 716.21
5 1975 651.3 704.79
6 1976 569.1 662.54
7 1977 853.9 808.94
8 1978 1,192.0 PERIODO 1 : "DUDOSO" 982.73
9 1979 719.7 1971 - 1996 739.95
10 1980 647.5 702.84
11 1981 871.6 Longitud muestral : N1 = 26 818.06
12 1982 861.7 Media del período : X1 = 722.8 812.95
13 1983 360.6 Desviación Std. : S1 = 228.1 555.36
14 1984 1,158.6 965.56
15 1985 1,369.1 1073.76
16 1986 739.5 750.13
17 1987 641.5 699.76
18 1988 751.3 756.20
19 1989 500.2 627.13
20 1990 551.7 653.60
21 1991 616.1 686.70
22 1992 516.9 635.71
23 1993 664.6 711.63
24 1994 636.6 697.24
25 1995 482.7 618.13
26 1996 708.4 734.15
1 1997 857.7
2 1998 568.0
3 1999 744.1
4 2000 686.6
5 2001 787.2 PERIODO 2 : "CONFIABLE"
6 2002 828.5 1997 - 2011
7 2003 702.6
8 2004 748.3 Longitud muestral : N2 = 15
9 2005 861.6 Media del período : X2 = 741.6
10 2006 692.2 Desviación Std. : S2 = 117.2
11 2007 753.1
12 2008 646.5
13 2009 688.2
14 2010 552.6
15 2011 1,006.1
PRUEBA "T" DE STUDENT
Criterio : Si Tt > Tc : Homogeneidad; Si Tt < Tc : No Homogeneidad
Tc = -0.296 Grados de Libertad = 39
Tt = 2.023 Tc < Tt α= 0.95
Las medias X1 y X2 son Estadísticamente Homogéneas
NO CORREGIR LA PRECIPITACIÓN EN LA MEDIA
PRUEBA "F" DE FISHER
Criterio : Si Ft > Fc : Homogeneidad; Si Ft < Fc : No Homogeneidad
Fc = 3.785 Grados de Libertad : M1 = 14
Ft = 2.341 Fc > Ft M2 = 25
Las desviaciones standard S1 y S2 son Estadísticamente no Homogéneas
CORREGIR LA PRECIPITACIÓN EN LA DESVIACIÓN ESTÁNDAR
PROCEDIMIENTO DE CORRECCIÓN
Xi = ( ( (Xo - X1) / S1 ) * S2 ) + X2
Xi = valor corregido; Xo = valor por corregir; X1 y S1 = media y desviación estándar
del periodo dudoso; X2 y S2 = media y desviación estándar del periodo confiable
Prueba t para dos muestras suponiendo varianzas iguales

Variable 1Variable 2
Media 722.805 741.55
Varianza 52013.3 13743
Observaciones 26 15
Varianza agrupada 38275.3
Diferencia hipotética de las medias 0
Grados de libertad 39
Estadístico t -0.29551
P(T<=t) una cola 0.38459
Valor crítico de t (una cola) 1.68488
P(T<=t) dos colas 0.76917
Valor crítico de t (dos colas) 2.02269

Prueba F para varianzas de dos muestras

Variable 1Variable 2
Media 722.805 741.55
Varianza 52013.3 13743
Observaciones 26 15
Grados de libertad 25 14
F 3.78469
P(F<=f) una cola 0.0061
Valor crítico para F (una cola) 2.34069
CUADRO N° 1.9
ESTACIÓN LAMPA: PRECIPITACIÓN MEDIA MENSUAL HISTÓRICA (mm); PERIODO: 1971 - 2011

AÑO ENE FEB MAR ABR MAY JUN JUL AGO SEP OCT NOV DIC TOTAL

1 1971 97.8 184.4 36.0 19.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.4 0.5 32.6 42.9 144.4 566.40
2 1972 239.3 89.0 149.6 17.6 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 23.1 11.1 77.5 60.3 668.30
3 1973 213.1 158.1 121.1 89.8 7.6 0.0 2.0 3.3 43.8 81.6 38.1 61.6 820.10
4 1974 222.4 107.2 60.6 36.4 0.0 8.7 1.3 71.1 18.2 24.0 44.7 78.9 673.50
5 1975 157.7 178.1 113.8 18.1 30.5 0.8 0.0 3.8 14.8 43.6 7.2 82.9 651.30
6 1976 187.2 68.5 55.2 15.0 19.1 4.0 0.3 9.3 88.2 0.0 11.0 111.3 569.10
7 1977 71.0 170.0 208.5 11.5 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 29.0 75.2 124.0 163.7 853.90
8 1978 414.2 176.0 142.5 71.0 0.0 1.5 0.0 3.5 22.0 28.7 123.0 209.6 1,192.00
9 1979 192.5 76.9 161.9 45.7 3.3 0.0 0.0 6.2 0.0 38.8 57.9 136.5 719.70
10 1980 86.5 95.5 176.5 5.0 5.9 0.0 0.0 5.5 80.1 65.0 73.5 54.0 647.50
11 1981 190.5 145.5 136.1 48.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 28.0 46.5 46.5 56.5 173.5 871.65
12 1982 166.5 101.5 140.0 148.5 0.0 2.5 0.0 6.5 77.5 48.2 131.0 39.5 861.70
13 1983 23.0 132.1 24.5 13.0 8.5 4.5 0.0 4.5 32.5 44.0 26.5 47.5 360.59
14 1984 223.8 127.1 44.9 83.0 25.5 0.0 0.0 13.0 0.0 137.3 240.3 263.7 1,158.60
15 1985 156.1 433.3 146.5 182.2 11.0 37.0 0.0 9.5 33.7 56.0 145.4 158.4 1,369.10
16 1986 131.3 186.7 142.4 64.2 3.6 0.0 1.4 15.1 23.5 10.4 38.9 122.0 739.50
17 1987 215.5 76.3 17.1 25.8 4.0 1.8 19.2 0.0 4.2 29.6 146.6 101.4 641.50
18 1988 194.5 56.5 160.5 117.3 21.7 0.0 0.1 0.0 11.9 39.7 2.9 146.2 751.30
19 1989 131.4 82.0 111.5 63.2 0.5 2.6 0.8 4.9 2.6 9.1 41.9 49.7 500.20
20 1990 89.7 61.7 31.3 18.9 13.9 43.1 0.0 9.0 2.9 92.7 96.7 91.8 551.70
21 1991 138.7 107.0 90.5 38.2 23.5 40.0 0.8 0.0 8.5 59.4 26.6 82.9 616.10
22 1992 86.4 76.2 33.5 31.4 0.0 2.8 1.4 63.4 0.5 49.2 61.0 111.1 516.90
23 1993 155.3 18.2 140.1 24.6 9.6 0.2 0.0 26.9 13.4 66.0 74.6 135.7 664.60
24 1994 164.0 148.2 105.0 58.1 1.5 0.7 0.0 0.0 4.5 17.6 51.8 85.2 636.60
25 1995 107.8 94.9 94.2 23.7 0.8 0.0 0.0 5.8 19.7 18.7 55.3 61.8 482.70
26 1996 196.0 100.6 108.4 23.6 16.5 0.0 1.8 2.5 22.1 13.5 74.1 149.3 708.40
27 1997 149.4 177.8 147.1 68.9 3.9 0.0 0.0 19.0 42.9 39.9 113.2 95.6 857.70
28 1998 104.7 154.4 104.0 25.8 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 44.9 69.9 62.1 568.00
29 1999 152.7 97.8 143.4 123.0 5.3 1.8 0.0 0.8 32.7 105.5 17.6 63.5 744.10
30 2000 173.7 113.5 130.3 52.7 7.1 6.2 0.0 7.4 14.5 57.1 9.9 114.2 686.60
31 2001 249.7 188.3 114.6 29.5 10.6 2.9 2.2 8.1 4.0 57.5 46.1 73.7 787.20
32 2002 121.8 76.5 139.4 67.6 21.7 4.0 18.7 9.1 16.4 83.3 92.6 177.4 828.50
33 2003 203.3 136.2 139.1 18.3 5.2 3.2 0.0 1.5 30.9 9.1 23.7 132.1 702.60
34 2004 266.6 144.1 101.0 38.9 9.3 2.0 2.3 19.2 26.5 21.6 16.8 100.0 748.30
35 2005 100.6 278.3 116.5 49.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 22.4 75.3 54.3 164.6 861.60
36 2006 188.2 109.5 122.9 19.8 0.7 3.3 0.0 0.2 20.1 52.1 79.7 95.7 692.20
37 2007 81.5 67.8 258.4 83.5 14.0 0.5 6.7 10.0 16.2 27.4 93.3 93.8 753.10
38 2008 236.8 71.8 74.6 3.4 7.7 1.2 0.0 1.4 3.3 54.6 23.4 168.3 646.45
39 2009 102.1 190.3 153.4 40.2 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.6 35.2 77.8 83.8 688.20
40 2010 118.9 144.2 71.6 26.8 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 28.4 14.0 136.3 552.60
41 2011 97.8 213.5 105.4 14.1 7.2 0.0 4.8 4.3 39.6 77.9 93.3 348.2 1,006.10

MEDIA 160.98 132.09 114.00 47.70 7.65 4.32 1.58 9.30 21.90 46.55 65.74 117.86 729.66
MÍNIMA 23.00 18.20 17.10 3.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.90 39.50 360.59
MÁXIMA 414.20 433.30 258.40 182.20 30.50 43.10 19.20 71.10 88.20 137.30 240.30 348.20 1,369.10

(). Celda marcada de azul: DATO COMPLETADO CON MEDIA ORIGINAL SIN INCLUSIÓN DE DATO.
CUADRO N° 1.9 EXTENCIÓN CON HEC4
ESTACIÓN LAMPA: PRECIPITACIÓN MEDIA MENSUAL HISTÓRICA (mm); PERIODO: 1971 - 2011

AÑO ENE FEB MAR ABR MAY JUN JUL AGO SEP OCT NOV DIC TOTAL

1 1971 98.0 184.0 36.0 19.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.0 0.0 33.0 43.0 144.0 565.00
2 1972 239.0 89.0 150.0 18.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 23.0 11.0 78.0 60.0 669.00
3 1973 213.0 158.0 121.0 90.0 8.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 44.0 82.0 38.0 62.0 821.00
4 1974 222.0 107.0 61.0 36.0 0.0 9.0 1.0 71.0 18.0 24.0 45.0 79.0 673.00
5 1975 158.0 178.0 114.0 18.0 30.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 15.0 44.0 7.0 83.0 652.00
6 1976 187.0 68.0 55.0 15.0 19.0 4.0 0.0 9.0 88.0 0.0 11.0 111.0 567.00
7 1977 71.0 170.0 208.0 11.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 29.0 75.0 124.0 164.0 853.00
8 1978 414.0 176.0 142.0 71.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 22.0 29.0 123.0 210.0 1,192.00
9 1979 192.0 77.0 162.0 46.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 0.0 39.0 58.0 137.0 720.00
10 1980 87.0 95.0 176.0 5.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 80.0 65.0 74.0 54.0 647.00
11 1981 190.0 145.0 136.0 49.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 28.0 47.0 63.0 56.0 174.0 888.00
12 1982 166.0 101.0 140.0 149.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 7.0 78.0 48.0 131.0 40.0 862.00
13 1983 23.0 94.0 24.0 13.0 9.0 4.0 0.0 5.0 32.0 44.0 26.0 47.0 321.00
14 1984 224.0 127.0 45.0 83.0 26.0 0.0 0.0 13.0 0.0 137.0 240.0 264.0 1,159.00
15 1985 156.0 433.0 147.0 182.0 11.0 37.0 0.0 10.0 34.0 56.0 145.0 158.0 1,369.00
16 1986 131.0 187.0 142.0 64.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 15.0 23.0 10.0 39.0 122.0 738.00
17 1987 215.0 76.0 17.0 26.0 4.0 2.0 19.0 0.0 4.0 30.0 147.0 101.0 641.00
18 1988 194.0 56.0 161.0 117.0 22.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.0 40.0 3.0 146.0 751.00
19 1989 131.0 82.0 111.0 63.0 0.0 3.0 1.0 5.0 3.0 9.0 42.0 50.0 500.00
20 1990 90.0 62.0 31.0 19.0 14.0 43.0 0.0 9.0 3.0 93.0 97.0 92.0 553.00
21 1991 139.0 107.0 90.0 38.0 24.0 40.0 1.0 0.0 9.0 59.0 27.0 83.0 617.00
22 1992 86.0 76.0 34.0 31.0 0.0 3.0 1.0 63.0 0.0 49.0 61.0 111.0 515.00
23 1993 155.0 18.0 140.0 25.0 10.0 0.0 0.0 27.0 13.0 66.0 75.0 136.0 665.00
24 1994 164.0 148.0 105.0 58.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 18.0 52.0 85.0 638.00
25 1995 108.0 95.0 94.0 24.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 20.0 19.0 55.0 62.0 484.00
26 1996 196.0 101.0 108.0 24.0 16.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 22.0 14.0 74.0 149.0 708.00
27 1997 149.0 178.0 147.0 69.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 19.0 43.0 40.0 113.0 96.0 858.00
28 1998 105.0 154.0 104.0 26.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 45.0 70.0 62.0 568.00
29 1999 153.0 98.0 143.0 123.0 5.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 33.0 106.0 18.0 63.0 745.00
30 2000 174.0 113.0 130.0 53.0 7.0 6.0 0.0 7.0 14.0 57.0 10.0 114.0 685.00
31 2001 250.0 188.0 115.0 29.0 11.0 3.0 2.0 8.0 4.0 57.0 46.0 74.0 787.00
32 2002 122.0 77.0 139.0 68.0 22.0 4.0 19.0 9.0 16.0 83.0 93.0 177.0 829.00
33 2003 203.0 136.0 139.0 18.0 5.0 3.0 0.0 2.0 31.0 9.0 24.0 132.0 702.00
34 2004 267.0 144.0 101.0 39.0 9.0 2.0 2.0 19.0 27.0 22.0 17.0 100.0 749.00
35 2005 101.0 278.0 117.0 50.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 22.0 75.0 54.0 165.0 862.00
36 2006 188.0 110.0 123.0 20.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 20.0 52.0 80.0 96.0 693.00
37 2007 81.0 68.0 258.0 84.0 14.0 1.0 7.0 10.0 16.0 27.0 93.0 94.0 753.00
38 2008 237.0 72.0 75.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 55.0 23.0 168.0 640.00
39 2009 102.0 190.0 153.0 40.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 35.0 78.0 84.0 688.00
40 2010 119.0 144.0 72.0 27.0 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 28.0 14.0 136.0 552.00
41 2011 98.0 213.0 105.0 14.0 7.0 0.0 5.0 4.0 40.0 78.0 93.0 348.0 1,005.00

MEDIA 160.93 131.05 113.93 47.73 7.56 4.32 1.56 9.27 21.90 46.98 65.78 117.88 728.88
MÍNIMA 23.00 18.00 17.00 3.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.00 40.00 321.00
MÁXIMA 414.00 433.00 258.00 182.00 30.00 43.00 19.00 71.00 88.00 137.00 240.00 348.00 1,369.00

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