Investment Prospectus :

General assessment and perspectives

Liberia
Project funded by the European Union
EuropeAid/Development Cooperation Instrument
DCI-ENV/2013/335-152

ECOWAS SUSTAINABLE ENERGY WEEK

“Towards a Viable and Robust Energy Market in the ECOWAS Region”

17 - 19 October 2016

WWW.ECREEE.ORG
Analysis of renewable energy and energy efficiency policies
SE4ALL AA vs RRESMP(*) vs AFTEG (**)
National Strategy (NREAP, NEEAP, SE4ALL AA) (*) Rural and Renewable Energy Strategy
and Master Plan
(**) Africa Energy Unit (AFTEG), WB, 2011
Current 2020 2030
Total Supply &
Access to Electricity for all country (in %) 1,4 34 100
demand (GWh)
Rural Electrification served with Electricity (in %) 0,3 34,5 100 Year 2020 2030
Total baseline Installed Capacity (in MW) 60 105 515/660(*) Action Agenda 1.541,5 5.694,3
Renewable Energy connected to the grid (in MW) 4,5 75 150 Liberia Rural Energy Strategy 1.173,2 2.297,6
and Master Plan
Transmission / Distribution losses 28% 18% 10%
Low 1.886,8 3.269,3
Share of population Using improved cookstoves (%) 15% 26% 48% Africa Energy Unit Scenario
Share of Households using LPG(%) 10% 21% 43% (AFTEG) High 3.394,2 6.532,2
(*) With/Without EE Energy savings, i.e. avoided capacity Scenario
100%
AA Targets 150 200
• Liberia is in dynamic transition and in
80%
MW urgency for Energy supply.
60%

40%
75 100 • Different assumptions lead to different
20% forecasts,
4.5
0% 0 • With the market developing, soon these
2015 2020 2025 2030 Year will converge
RE Electricity Access
Grid Losses Efficient cooking WWW.ECREEE.ORG
Regulatory framework in place
“Universal access to modern energy services in an affordable, sustainable and environmentally-friendly manner in order to
foster the economic, political, and social development of Liberia”

CURRENT SITUATION
Policies
• National Energy Policy of Liberia (NEPL), 2009
• Agenda for Transformation (AfT), 2009.
• Liberia’s Investment Plan for Renewable Energy (IPRE), 2013
Energy Law
• Electricity Law of Liberia, 2015, to establish the legal and regulatory framework for the production,
transportation, distribution and sale of energy products and services in Liberia. The following
institutions are created:
• Liberia Electricity Regulatory Commission (LERC - will be created by end of October 2016);
• The position of Deputy Minister for Energy for the Department of Energy of the MLME
• The Rural and Renewable Energy Agency (RREA)
• The recently adopted Rural Energy Master Plan and Strategy (August 2016)

WWW.ECREEE.ORG
Rural and Renewable Energy Strategy and Master Plan

Developing the Grid

• Expand Medium Voltage grid beyond the 3 planned corridors outside of Monrovia -
$US308M, 164,300 homes
• Additional in on-grid renewable generation outside Monrovia - $US 242 M
Decentralized Grid Program
• Large decentralized grids to electrify the 10 largest settlements in each County, partially
through transitional solar/diesel mini-grids – $US 292M, 96,800 homes
Beyond the Grid
• Solar-based off-grid solutions - $US 16M, 4.000 homes
Other than Power
• Promoting efficiency in buildings, appliances, and cooking, including LPG - $US 24M
Building Capacity
• Institutional framework, organizations, information and management systems to implement
the Master Plan – $US 52M
Liberia - Today

Others (Hydro) , Access to Electricity

Petroleum
0.12% Products , 5.24%
Monrovia 0,95%
Charcoal , 9.49% Electricity 0,15%
Other Urban
Generation ,
1.39% Rural 0,30%

Overall 1,4%

Energy Efficiency
Petroleum Products
Electricity Generation Technical / non technical grid losses 28%
Firewood
Charcoal Efficient cookstoves 1%
Others (Hydro)
Firewood, 83.76% Installed Capacity
Liberia Electric Company 60 MW

Self Production 90 MW

Primary Energy Mix Grid connected RE 4,5 MW

WWW.ECREEE.ORG
Liberia: Electrification model
• Network Expansion & Interconnections.
• Increase connected generation capacity
• Mini Grids
• Integration of mini grids & Network.
Rural and Renewable Energy Programs and Selected Projects
Investment 2015- 2020- 2025- Committed
(MUSD) 2020 2025 2030 Funding
I. GTG – Growing the Grid 550,94 101,72 219,5 229,71 80,74
GTG.1 Monrovia Corridors 157,11 48,06 58,12 50,92 62,67
GTG 1.1 Monrovia Corridors-West Exchanges 35,63 19,13 11,53 4,97 24,14
II. DG Decentralized Grids 291,82 117,37 84,76 89,69 60,05
DG.1 Diesel/Solar Transitional Mini Grids 47,82 28,92 11,41 7,5 2,776
DG 1.2 East Liberia (Region 1) 28,92 28,92 0,00 0,00 2,76
III. BTG Beyond the Grid 15,97 8,07 4,66 3,23 0,00
BTG. 1 Solar Villages and Home 6,46 3,42 2,13 0,91 0,00
DG 1.2 East Liberia (Region 1) Solar Villages 2,35 1,04 0,96 0,34 0,00
IV. OTP Other than Power 24,31 10,31 5,80 8,20 0,00
OTP.1.1 Efficient Light Appliances 1,18 0,78 0,20 0,20 0,00
OTP 1.1 Appliance Energy 0,55 0,35 0,10 0,10 0,00
V. BC Building Capacity 51,90 24,19 14,15 13,56 0,00
BC 1.1 Public Sector scale up Initiative 3,15 1,35 0,90 0,90 0,00
BC 1.1 RREA reorganization study, competency analysis and 0,20 0,20 0,00 0,00 0,00
capacity building plan
 Pipelines of the IP

Pipeline 1 Pipeline 2 Pipeline 3 Pipeline 4 Pipeline 5

• Generation, •Off-grid (Mini- •Bioenergy and • Energy • Enabling

transmission Grids and Cooking Projects Efficiency environment
and standalone
distribution (on systems)
–grid)

WWW.ECREEE.ORG
Projects connected to the grid

• Identified needs / Targets

• To increase electricity access from the current 1,4% (0,9% for grid
Pipeline 1 connected and 0,4% (not including 90 MW of auto producers) to 35% by
2030
• To achieve an overall 30% renewable energy contribution to the
electricity mix
• Production, • To rebuild and extend the national grid to allow for capacity injections
transmission into it.
and
distribution
(on-grid) • Identified type of projects
• LHP (Approx. 600 MW (Year 2016) of LHP have been identified of which
Mt Coffee is planned to be commissioned first before the end of 2016)
• SHP (Approx. 150 MW of SHP have been identified but these need
further assessment to electrify mini-grids (Pipeline 2)
• Network HV/MV lines of more than 2000 km are planned (inc.
interconnections). Approx 15-20% of them with secured funding

WWW.ECREEE.ORG
Projects not connected to the grid
• Identified needs/Targets
Pipeline 2 • To reach 35% from Mini-Grid/ Off-grid systems by 2030

• Identified type of projects

•Not connected Approx. 150 MW of mini-off grid systems have been identified
to the grid (Mini- • Mini-grids powered purely by renewables (mainly hydro)
Grids and • Mini-grids powered by hybrid systems (diesel/Hydro-biomass)
standalone
systems) • PV & pico-hydro rural systems
Most need further feasibility assessment to reach financing or
funding discussions

WWW.ECREEE.ORG
Projects of bioenergy and sustainable cooking

Pipeline 3 • Identified needs

• To replace traditional firewood with LPG usage to 50% by 2020 and >40%
by 2030, while
• Share of population using improved cookstoves to reach >25% by 2020
•Bioenergy and and >45% by 2030
sustainable
cooking
• Identified type of projects
GOL shall develop national programs for the adoption of technological
standards for cooking fuels and appliances in terms of efficiency, (safety
and health impacts) in accordance with international bodies such as the
Global Alliance for Clean Cook Stoves (GACC).
• Some local private initiatives for related commercial activities

WWW.ECREEE.ORG
Projects of energy efficiency

• Identified needs / Targets

Liberia's Initial National Communication (2013) reinforces the National
Pipeline 4 Energy Policy with additional long-term targets and related activities,
which includes:
• To reduce greenhouse gases by at least 10% by 2030
• To improve energy efficiency by at least 20% by 2030
• Energy
Efficiency • To Replace cooking stoves with low thermal efficiency (5-10%) with the
higher-efficiency (40%) stoves

• Identified type of projects

• Reduction or losses in domestic and public lighting (i.e. 100% efficient
lighting by 2020);
• Reduction of losses in the electric grid;
• Reduction of losses in the building sector; and
• Reduction of losses in the industrial sector, and, in parallel
• Establishment and enforcement of EE Standards and labelling

WWW.ECREEE.ORG
Projects to improve enabling environment for energy investments

• Identified needs
• Acceleration of the process for the Liberia Electricity Regulatory
Pipeline 5 Commission to play its role as Regulator.
• There is no PPP framework
• Among others
• Enabling
environment
• Identified type of projects
• Technical assistance/capacity building to relevant public agencies
and private operators
• Feasibility assessment of identified and pre-assessed RE projects
in order to reach financing or funding, although several projects
have been identified
• Among others

WWW.ECREEE.ORG
 Thank you
for your attention
Contacts
Mr. Sylvester M. Massaquoi
Director of Energy
Email:Satmquoi@yahoo.com
+231-886522634
Republic Of Liberia

10/24/2016