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Journal of Infection and Public Health


journal homepage: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/jiph

Risk factors for poor prognosis in children with refractory purulent


meningitis and the discharge criteria
Hai-Lun Peng a,b,c,d, Yue Hu a,b,c,d,∗, Hong-Jia Chen a,b,c,d, Pan-Pan Song a,b,c,d, Li Jiang a,b,c,d
a
Department of Neurology, Children’s Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, China
b
Ministry of Education Key Laboratory of Child Development and Disorders, China
c
Key Laboratory of Pediatrics in Chongqing, China
d
Chongqing International Science and Technology Cooperation Center for Child Development and Disorders, China

a r t i c l e i n f o a b s t r a c t

Article history: This study was undertaken to investigate the relationship between cerebrospinal fluid abnormalities
Received 1 November 2016 and prognosis in pediatric refractory purulent meningitis. Ninety cases of pediatric refractory purulent
Received in revised form 14 June 2017 meningitis were stratified into “good” (n = 33) or “poor” (n = 57) prognosis groups according to the Glas-
Accepted 9 July 2017
gow clinical outcome scores. The symptoms, laboratory results, and prognosis were compared by using
univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses. Univariate analysis showed that poor prognosis
Keywords:
was associated with: unequal pupil size in both eyes; positive Babinski sign; CSF-WBC >500 × 106 /L, CSF
Children
protein concentration >1.0 g/L, CSF glucose content <1.5 mmol/L; initial procalcitonin result >0.1 ng/dL
Refractory purulent meningitis
Prognosis
on admission; hemoglobin <90 g/L during hospitalization; abnormal head imaging, and abnormal elec-
Discharge criteria troencephalogram. On multivariate analysis only unequal pupil size in both eyes and CSF glucose content
Antibiotic course <1.5 mmol/L remained significant. The CSF protein concentration was significantly different between
groups at discharge. The cutoff value was 0.68 g/L. We recommend that discharged patients meet the
following criteria: full antibiotic course and over 1 week of defervesce, disappearance of acute phase
symptoms, CSF-WBC ≤28 × 106 /L, CSF glucose >1.75 mmol/L, and protein <0.68 g/L. The patient may be
discharged for follow-up if no relapse occurs during 3–5 days of observation after drug withdrawal.
© 2017 Published by Elsevier Limited on behalf of King Saud Bin Abdulaziz University for Health
Sciences. This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license (http://creativecommons.org/
licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/).

Introduction is acute, it develops rapidly, and mortality and morbidity are higher
than those of common purulent meningitis. Some pediatric patients
Purulent meningitis, also known as acute bacterial meningitis, is have poor therapeutic outcomes such as minimal effectiveness of
a common infectious disease that affects the central nervous system conventional antibiotic therapy, relapse rapidly after showing signs
in children. The main clinical features of the disease include fever, of improvement on treatment, CSF remains abnormal, or in some
increased intracranial pressure, meningeal irritation, and purulent cases there are serious sequelae including death. It is unclear why
changes to the cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) [1]. Purulent meningitis the disease is more refractory in some patients than others and
is an important cause of morbidity and mortality in neonates and why some patients have a better prognosis than others with a sim-
children [2–9]. Mortality can reach 100% in pediatric patients with- ilar disease course. Therefore, early recognition of the symptoms of
out any treatment [10]. The onset of refractory purulent meningitis severe disease and understanding the risk factors resulting in poor
prognosis for refractory purulent meningitis is critical to reducing
the mortality and morbidity of purulent meningitis [11].
Abbreviations: CSF, cerebrospinal fluid; EEG, electroencephalography; CNS, This study was undertaken with multiple objectives: (1) to
central nervous system; GOS, Glasgow Outcome Score criteria; ROC, operating understand the risk factors for poor prognosis in pediatric patients
characteristic curve; WBC, white blood cell; CMA, China Medical Association; PCT, with refractory purulent meningitis; (2) characterize the relation-
procalcitonin.
ship between CSF recovery and the prognosis of refractory purulent
∗ Corresponding author at: Department of Neurology, Children’s Hospital of
meningitis; and (3) provide evidence based recommendations for
Chongqing Medical University, No.136 Zhongshan 2nd Road, Yu Zhong District,
Chongqing 400014, China. Fax: +86 23 67460022. an appropriate antibiotic treatment course, and discharge criteria.
E-mail addresses: 158156396@qq.com (H.-L. Peng), huyue915@163.com (Y. Hu), The study is a retrospective analysis of clinical data and outcomes
topmax@163.com (H.-J. Chen), 34186586@qq.com (P.-P. Song), for 90 children with refractory purulent meningitis in the Children’s
jiangli19640718@163.com (L. Jiang).

http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jiph.2017.07.007
1876-0341/© 2017 Published by Elsevier Limited on behalf of King Saud Bin Abdulaziz University for Health Sciences. This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND
license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/).

Please cite this article in press as: Peng H-L, et al. Risk factors for poor prognosis in children with refractory purulent meningitis and
the discharge criteria. J Infect Public Health (2017), http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jiph.2017.07.007
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2 H.-L. Peng et al. / Journal of Infection and Public Health xxx (2017) xxx–xxx

Hospital of Chongqing Medical University from February 2011 to chi-square test. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used
July 2014. for the indicators with statistical significance in the univariate sta-
tistical analysis. A receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was
Material and methods used to determine the best cut-off value for diagnosis. Statistical
significance was established at P < 0.05.
Subject inclusion and exclusion criteria
Results
For inclusion in the study, subjects had to meet the following
criteria: (a) age ≥1 month; (b) symptoms and findings consistent For the ninety cases, the onset age range was from 1-month-
with the diagnostic criteria for purulent meningitis [2]; and (c) old to 14-years-old. The average duration of antibiotic usage in this
pediatric patients meeting one or more of the following criteria study was 37 days, and the range was 6–76 days. Subjects were
were classified as having refractory purulent meningitis [12]: (i) followed for a minimum of 8 months and a maximum of 4 years.
severe disturbance of consciousness (prolonged coma); (ii) cere- Of the 90 enrolled subjects, 33 (33/90; 36.67%) were included in
bral hernia; (iii) repeated or prolonged convulsions; (iv) abnormal the “good prognosis” group. Of these, 9 cases were cured and 24
plate-like brain parenchymal loci on head CT or MRI; (v) compli- cases showed improvement. The “poor prognosis” group included
cations persisting during late follow-up, such as subdural effusion, the remaining 57 subjects (57/90; 63.33%). Of these, 12 cases died
ependymitis and hydrocephalus; (vi) death, or sequelae during late (12/90; 13.33%), and none of the subjects underwent an autopsy.
follow-up such as secondary epilepsy, cranial nerve damage, and The incidences of sequelae in the “poor prognosis” group were: 35
psychomotor retardation; (vii) treatment for >3 weeks according cases of mental retardation (35/90; 38.89%), 9 cases of secondary
to a regular treatment program (except for a prolonged course epilepsy (9/90; 10%), 6 cases of hydrocephalus (6/90; 6.67%), 4
of treatment caused by nosocomial infections or underlying dis- cases of hearing impairment (4/90; 4.44%), and 3 cases of move-
ease); and (viii) unexplained recurrent suppurative intracranial ment disorders (3/90; 3.33%). Eleven (11) cases (11/90; 12.22%)
infections. were complicated with two or more sequelae, including 4 cases of
This study was approved by the Ethics Committee of the Chil- mental retardation complicated with secondary epilepsy, 3 cases
dren’s Hospital affiliated with Chongqing University of Medical of mental retardation complicated with hydrocephalus, 2 cases of
Sciences. Informed consent was obtained from the parents or legal mental retardation complicated with hearing impairment, 1 case
guardians of the subjects via signed consent forms. of mental retardation complicated with movement disorders, and
Subjects were excluded from the study if they met the following 1 case of mental retardation complicated with hydrocephalus and
criteria: (i) cases complicated with viral encephalitis, tubercular movement disorders.
meningitis or cryptococcus meningitis and (ii) cases in which other
central nervous system (CNS) disorders could not be excluded.
Etiology and treatment

Methods
CSF culture was performed in 90 patients. CSF smears were pos-
itive in 4 patients (Gram-positive cocci), while CSF cultures were
Ninety (n = 90) cases met the inclusion criteria in the neurology
positive in 19 patients (total: 19/90, 21.11%). Blood cultures were
ward in the Children’s Hospital of Chongqing Medical University
performed in 90 patients. Blood smear was positive in only 1 patient
between February 2011 and July 2014. The cases were divided into
(Gram-positive cocci), while blood cultures were positive in 35
the “good prognosis” group and “poor prognosis” group based on
patients (total: 35/90, 38.89%) (Table 2). The isolates from CSF and
the clinical Glasgow Outcome Score criteria (GOS; Table 1) [13]. The
blood matched.
cases scoring a 5 on the GOS were stratified to the “good prognosis”
After admission, antibiotics were administered to all 90 patients
group and those scoring 1–4 points were stratified to the “poor
(100%). The empirical antimicrobial therapy for purulent meningi-
prognosis” group.
tis was based on patient age and specific predisposing condition.
Targeted antimicrobial therapy was based on positive pathogen
Statistical analysis identification by CSF or blood cultivation. Surgery was performed
in 25 patients (25/90, 27.78%) (Table 3).
Statistical analysis was performed using SPSS22.0 statistical
software package. Measurement data were analyzed with the
t test and rank sum test; and count data were analyzed with Table 2
the chi-square test. If measurement data were not normally dis- The etiology of CSF and blood cultures.

tributed, then they were converted to count data to be analyzed by Item Etiology N

CSF Streptococcus pneumoniae 9


Table 1 cultures Escherichia coli 6
Glasgow outcome score criteria. Enterobacter cloacae 1
Staphylococcus aureus + Streptococcus pneumoniae 1
Score Criteria Klebsiella pneumoniae subsp. pneumoniae + Acinetobacter 1
baumannii
5 Cure: purulent meningitis symptoms and the signs have disappeared
Klebsiella pneumoniae subsp. pneumonia + Staphylococcus 1
completely, two consecutive CSF values are normal, peripheral blood is
aureus
normal, no complications or sequelae are present. Significant
improvement: purulent meningitis symptoms and signs are relieved Blood Streptococcus 15
significantly, CSF results are basically normal, various complications cultures Staphylococcus 9
are improved, no sequelae. Escherichia coli 4
4 Frequent seizures or movement disorders occur due to central nervous Klebsiella pneumoniae 2
system dysfunction, CSF values show no improvement, no Listeria monocytogenes 1
complications mitigation is available Pasteurella pneumotropica, 1
3 Severe central nervous system disorders Staphylococcus aureus + Streptococcus pneumoniae 1
2 Vegetative state Staphylococcus hominis subspecies + Staphylococcus epidermidis 1
1 Death Staphylococcus haemolyticus + Staphylococcus capitis 1

Please cite this article in press as: Peng H-L, et al. Risk factors for poor prognosis in children with refractory purulent meningitis and
the discharge criteria. J Infect Public Health (2017), http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jiph.2017.07.007
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H.-L. Peng et al. / Journal of Infection and Public Health xxx (2017) xxx–xxx 3

Table 3 refractory meningitis was the dependent variable. Two factors


The treatment for antibiotic and surgery.
remained significantly associated with the risk for poor prognosis
Treatment N in subjects with severe meningitis, unequal pupil size in both eyes
Meropenem 4 (regression coefficient 1.662, OR 5.268) and CSF glucose content
Third-generation cephalosporin 4 <1.5 mmol/L (regression coefficient 1.500, OR 4.483).
Third-generation cephalosporin + vancomycin 32
Vancomycin + carbapenem 17
Carbapenem + third-generation cephalosporin 12 Relationship between the last CSF before discharge and subject
Penicillin + third-generation cephalosporin 9 prognosis
Chloramphenicol + third-generation cephalosporin 7
Vancomycin + ceftriaxone + rifampicin 1
The CSF of pediatric subjects with purulent meningitis was
Vancomycin + meropenem + rifampicin 3
Vancomycin + meropenem + ceftizoxime 1
described using three parameters: WBC count (number of
Subdural effusion drainage 13 cells × 106 /L), glucose concentration (mmol/L), and protein con-
Ommaya reservoir implantation into encephalocoele 9 centration (g/L). The data were not normally distributed according
Epidural hematoma drainage 1 to the chi-square test, therefore, the subjects were stratified into
Partial small bowel resection due to “meconium peritonitis” 1
categories, and the chi-square test was used to compare between
Resection of pilonidal sinus in the occipital region and Ommaya 1
reservoir implantation into encephalocoele groups. The one-sided 95% CIs were CSF-WBC count <28 × 106 /L
and CSF glucose >1.75 mmol/L respectively. The difference in CSF
protein concentration was statistically significant (P = 0.009). The
Univariate analysis for risk factors of poor prognosis in subjects cut-off point for the two groups was determined to be <0.68 g/L
with severe purulent meningitis using the ROC (Table 5).

To determine which clinical factors might be associated with Duration of CSF abnormalities in pediatric subjects with severe
poor prognosis, we conducted a univariate analysis using a num- purulent meningitis
ber of common clinical tests that monitor subjects with purulent
meningitis (Table 4). Of these, poor prognosis was associated with CSF-WBC counts, protein concentration, and glucose concentra-
the following 9 clinical indicators: unequal pupil size in both tion at discharge or during follow-up normalized, or were nearly
eyes, positive Babinski sign, CSF-white blood cell (WBC) count normal, in 28 of 90 cases (28/90; 31.11%).
>500 × 106 cells/L, CSF protein values >1.0 g/L, CSF glucose con- In the “good prognosis” group, the CSF completely normalized in
tent of <1.5 mmol/L, initial procalcitonin (PCT) results >0.1 ng/dL 16 cases (16/33; 48.48%). Of these 16 cases, the CSF had normalized
on admission, hemoglobin <90 g/L during hospitalization, abnormal by discharge in 13 cases, and normalized later during follow-up
head imaging, and abnormal video EEG results. in 3 cases. The minimum period from disease onset to recovery
in cases where the CSF normalized was 2 weeks (2 cases). Eleven
Multivariate analysis for risk factors of poor prognosis of (11) cases took approximately 1–2 months to recover, 1 case recov-
refractory purulent meningitis ered after 3 months, 1 case recovered after 7 months, and 1 case
caught unexplained recurrent meningitis. In this subject the CSF
We next used the nine significant clinical parameters identified had normalized at discharge, and then the subject could take care
as predicting poor prognosis in the univariate analysis to perform of himself/herself in daily life and learning. The CSF did not nor-
a multivariate analysis. The nine associated factors were included malize in the remaining 17 cases (17/33; 51.52%). Of these, 12 cases
as independent variables and the prognosis of children with did not have CSF parameters followed after discharge. In 9 of the 17

Table 4
Univariate analyses for risk factors predicting poor prognosis in pediatric subjects with refractory purulent meningitis.

Influence factor Good prognosis group (n = 33) Poor prognosis group (n = 57) Statistical quantity P (<0.05)

Age ≤1 years 24 45 2 = 0.452 0.607


Gender (male) 19 31 2 = 0.086 0.501
Headache 7 4 2 = 3.925 0.091
Vomiting 21 36 2 = 0.002 0.964
Convulsion 17 38 2 = 2.019 0.155
Listlessness, restlessness, irritability 12 24 2 = 0.287 0.592
Disturbance of consciousness 8 22 2 = 1.938 0.164
Bulging anterior fontanelle 9 15 2 = 0.010 0.921
Neck hindered positive 14 17 2 = 1.469 0.225
Positive Brudzinski signs 0 3 2 = 1.797 0.296
Positive Kerning signs 3 4 2 = 0.125 0.704
Slow/loss of pupillary light reflex 8 13 2 = 0.024 0.877
Unequal pupil size of both eyes 0 12 2 = 8.016 0.003
Dystonia 8 19 2 = 0.825 0.304
Babinski sign positive 4 21 2 = 6.367 0.014
Abnormal patellar reflex 0 5 2 = 3.065 0.154
Peripheral WBC values (<4*109 /L/>12*109 /L) 14 16 2 = 1.938 0.164
CSF-WBC (>500*106 /L) 6 25 2 = 6.103 0.013
CSF-protein (>1.0 g/L) 16 44 2 = 7.751 0.005
CSF glucose (<1.5 mmol/L) 6 24 2 = 5.383 0.020
PCT >0.1 ng/dL 9 27 2 = 7.748 0.005
Ultra-sensitive CRP >8 mg/L 19 39 2 = 0.454 0.500
Hb <90 g/L 11 33 2 = 5.046 0.025
Abnormal video EEG 9 25 2 = 5.046 0.025
Abnormal head imaging 21 49 2 = 5.967 0.015
Temperature 39.18 ± 0.79 39.31 ± 0.75 t = −0.750 0.455

Please cite this article in press as: Peng H-L, et al. Risk factors for poor prognosis in children with refractory purulent meningitis and
the discharge criteria. J Infect Public Health (2017), http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jiph.2017.07.007
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Table 5 content <1.5 mmol/L, initial PCT results >0.1 ng/dL on admission,
CSF parameters immediately before discharge in pediatric subjects with refractory
hemoglobin <90 g/L during hospitalization, abnormal head imag-
purulent meningitis who have a good or poor prognosis.
ing, and abnormal video-EEG findings. In multivariate analysis
Item Good prognosis group Poor prognosis group P only unequal pupil sizes in both eyes and CSF glucose content
(n = 33) (n = 57)
<1.5 mmol/L remained significant.
CSF-WBC (*106 /L) 0372 Clinically, unequal pupil size in both eyes suggests possible ocu-
≤15 20 29 lomotor palsy or brain herniation. Liu et al. [17] performed a similar
>15 13 28
retrospective study of 148 pediatric subjects with purulent menin-
Range 1–290 0–2740
The median number 10*106 /L 18*106 /L gitis and also found that in a multivariate analysis the strongest
Mean ± SD 30.30 ± 54.25*106 /L 182.07 ± 518.11*106 /L risk factor for poor prognosis was unequal pupil size in both eyes.
CSF glucose (mmol/L) 0.428
Casado-Flores et al. [18–20] reported that abnormal pupils were
≥2.2 23 35 associated with death in purulent meningitis caused by Streptococ-
<1.5 10 22 cus pneumoniae.
Range 1.16–3.75 0.05–5.69 The degree of reduction in CSF glucose may indirectly reflect the
The median number 2.25 mmol/L 2.27 mmol/L
fecundity of pathogenic bacteria and the extent of brain damage,
Mean ± SD 2.47 ± 0.64 mmol/L 1.96 ± 1.30 mmol/L
and thereby suggest a poor prognosis [21]. The studies [15,17,22]
CSF protein (g/L) 0.009 show that a reduced CSF glucose concentration (<1.5 mmol/L [17]
≤0.45 21 20
>0.45 12 37
or <10 mg/dL [22] or <40 mg/dL [15]) is an important risk factor for
Range 0.14–1.38 0.1–20.80 poor prognosis in pediatric subjects with purulent meningitis. In
The median number 0.48 g/L 0.8 g/L this study, we analyzed the initial CSF glucose concentrations after
Mean ± SD 0.57 ± 0.30 g/L 1.74 ± 3.14 g/L admission. Using 1.5 mmol/L as the cutoff point, 6 cases in the “good
prognosis” group and 24 cases in the “poor prognosis” group fell
below 1.5 mmol/L; a significant difference in a multivariate logistic
cases (9/17; 52.94%) one CSF value remained abnormal; in 4 cases regression analysis.
the CSF-WBC values remained abnormal, in 1 case the CSF glucose The antibiotics course and discharge criteria for severe purulent
values remained abnormal, in 4 cases the CSF protein concentra- meningitis recommended in published treatment guidelines are
tion was abnormal. In 4 of the 17 cases (4/17; 23.53%), two CSF not consistent in China and abroad. The Clinical Practice Guideline
values remained abnormal; in 3 cases the CSF protein and glucose of the China Medical Association (CMA) [23] recommends discon-
concentrations were abnormal and in 1 case the CSF protein con- tinuing antibiotics 5–7 days after the CSF returns to normal after
centration and CSF-WBC count were abnormal. Finally, in 4 of the clinical symptoms resolve. In contrast, the antibiotic course rec-
17 cases (4/17; 23.53%) all three of the CSF parameters remained ommended abroad for purulent meningitis are based on positive
abnormal. pathogen cultivation [24–27]. In this study, the average antibi-
In the “poor prognosis” group, the CSF was completely back to otic course was 37 days, which was longer than recommended
normal in 12 of 57 cases (12/57; 21.05%). The CSF was completely by the international guidelines [24–27]. However, 72.2% of the
normalized in 4 cases at discharge, and gradually normalized dur- children did not complete the standard of care antibiotic course
ing follow-up in 8 cases. The minimum period from the onset to recommended in the guidelines from the CMA [23]. An insuffi-
recovery was a month (n = 4 cases). Five (5) cases took 1–2 months cient antibiotic course may affect the therapeutic effect, making
to recover and 3 cases recovered in 3–5 months. The CSF param- it easier to develop recurrent meningitis or serious neurological
eters did not normalize in 45 (45/57; 78.95%) cases. Of these, 38 sequelae, including death. However, a prolonged antibiotic course
cases did not have CSF parameters followed after discharge. In 28 of may cause the emergence of a superbug, increase the risk of nosoco-
the cases (28/45; 62.22%) a single CSF parameter remained abnor- mial infection [28], and affect growth and development of children
mal; in 6 cases the CSF-WBC values were abnormal, in 6 cases the [29,30].
CSF glucose values were abnormal, and in 16 cases the CSF protein There is no unified conclusion on when to withdraw drug for
remained abnormal. In 8 cases (8/45; 17.78%) two CSF parameters refractory purulent meningitis. One meta-analysis [31] suggests
remained abnormal; in 4 cases the CSF-WBC and CSF protein con- there is no significant difference in the final efficacy, sequelae of
centration was abnormal, in 1 case the CSF-WBC and CSF glucose long-term neurological damage or hearing loss, secondary nosoco-
concentration was abnormal, and in 3 cases the CSF protein and glu- mial infections, and other adverse events between a short course
cose concentrations remained abnormal. In 9 cases (9/45; 20.00%) (≤7 days) and prolonged course (standard treatment) of antibi-
all three of the CSF parameters remained abnormal. In the pedi- otics. The appropriate treatment course for children with purulent
atric subjects who died during follow-up, the CSF parameters had meningitis cannot be established due to the limitations of the avail-
not normalized at the time of discharge or during follow-up. able data. Molyneux et al. [32] recommended 5 days of antibiotic
The proportion of pediatric subjects in whom the CSF parame- for children with purulent meningitis caused by S. pneumoniae,
ters had completely normalized at discharge was not significantly Haemophilus influenzae, or Neisseria meningitidis to avoid producing
different between the “good prognosis” and “poor prognosis” resistant bacteria due to the excessive use of antibiotics.
groups (P = 0.075). After the start of antibiotic treatment of purulent meningitis,
CSF recovery often follows a predictable order: (1) disappearance
Discussion of bacteria, (2) glucose normalizes, (3) cell number normalizes,
and (4) protein content normalizes. Changes in the CSF parameters
Predictors of death and sequelae have been previously described in children with purulent meningitis, including low CSF glucose,
[14–16]. However, there are relatively few studies assessing risk high protein, and high cell count, are the result of an inflammatory
factors for poor prognosis in pediatric subjects with refractory cascade and metabolic disorders. They do not necessarily reflect
purulent meningitis. Here we show that in pediatric subjects bacterial persistence and do not necessarily predict intracranial
with refractory purulent meningitis, univariate analysis indi- infection recurrence or relapse. Even if the pathogens have been
cated poor prognosis may be associated with the following killed by antibiotics, the CSF still needs time to return to nor-
factors: unequal pupil size of both eyes, positive Pakistan’s sign, mal. In this study, the CSF took up to seven months to return
CSF-WBC >500 × 106 /L, CSF protein values >1.0 g/L, CSF glucose to normal in the “good prognosis” group. There is no statistically

Please cite this article in press as: Peng H-L, et al. Risk factors for poor prognosis in children with refractory purulent meningitis and
the discharge criteria. J Infect Public Health (2017), http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jiph.2017.07.007
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Please cite this article in press as: Peng H-L, et al. Risk factors for poor prognosis in children with refractory purulent meningitis and
the discharge criteria. J Infect Public Health (2017), http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jiph.2017.07.007

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