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1 INTRODUCTORY ANALYSIS
Activity Description
(1,2) System (herein batch process) design.*
(1,3) Determination of required specifications.
(2,4) Tolerance design.*
(2,5) Parameter design.*
(5,6) Special mixing design.
(6,7) Biomass transfer, weighting, milling.
(7,8) Biomass mixing and storing.
(8,9) Sampling, testing.
(9,10) Selection of criteria for comparative
evaluation of biomass modification
methods.
(9,11) Collection of biomass modification
methods.
Figure 2. Arrow/network diagram representing the
(11,12) Evaluation of the elements of the
activities that take place within stage (F), i.e., biomass
multicriteria preference matrix.
processing, of a R&D project for developing novel
(12,13) Multicriteria analysis.
adsorptive materials based on bio-waste recycling. Each
(13,14) Design of batch experiments on
arrow represents a unique activity with its head indicating
kinetics/isotherms.
the direction of progress of the project. Each event
(14,15) Performing of experimental work and
(boxed number) represents a point in time that signifies
processing of results for parameter-values
the completion of some activities and the beginning of
estimation.
new ones. The dummy activities, D1, D2, D4, D5, D6, D7
(15,16) Design of experiments for estimating
are used to establish correct precedence activities; D 3 is
thermodynamic parameter-values.
used to identify activities (namely, ‘collection of biomass
(16,17) Performing of experimental work and
modification methods’, ‘selection of criteria for
processing of results for parameter-values
comparative evaluation of biomass modification
estimation.
methods’) that have common start and end events.
(17,18) Determination of required specifications.
(17,19) Column process design.*
Table II: Fuzzy and stochastic duration per activity.
(19,20) Tolerance design.*
Centr. : Crisp number obtained by defuzzification with
(19,21) Parameter design.*
the centroid method for fuzzy-CPM. Var. : Variance of
(21,22) Design of column experiments on kinetics
earliest expected duration ( Exp.) for PERT.
and isotherms.
(22,23) Performing of experimental work and
processing of results for parameter-values Activity Centr. Exp. Var.
estimation. 1,2 12.167 11.933 0.538
(23,24) (Gray box) modeling by means of 1,3 14.033 14.167 0.360
dimensional analysis. 2,4 3.567 3.483 0.047
(23,25) (Black box) modeling by means of empirical 2,5 5.567 5.683 0.123
techniques. 5,6 11.767 11.883 0.267
(23,26) (White box) mechanismic modeling. 6,7 27.367 27.283 0.967
(26,27) Testing. 7,8 4.867 4.783 0.123
(27,28) Comparison. 8,9 1.633 19.367 0.810
(28,29) Meta-analysis based on a holistic approach 9,10 7.933 7.967 0.160
to decide on the necessity of proceeding 9,11 9.400 9.300 0.321
with a next/upper scale. 11,12 24.000 23.900 1.604
*in the sense of Taguchi terminology for quality 12,13 2.600 2.550 0.014
engineering 13,14 6.100 6.100 0.054
14,15 50.500 49.600 2.668
The corresponding network (Fig. 2), created by 15,16 4.033 4.017 0.023
performing the basic phases of planning/scheduling/ 16,17 37.266 37.083 1.480
controlling, consists of 28 real and 7 dummy activities. 17,18 10.5 10.35 0.340
17,19 15.366 15.333 0.284
19,20 4.233 4.166 0.04
3 IMPLEMENTATION 19,21 5.666 5.633 0.04
21,22 8.166 8.283 0.146
The functionality of the procedure presented herein is 22,23 57.366 57.133 1.69
proved by implementing it in the cases of developing 23,24 6.866 6.983 0.100
novel adsorptive materials based on wheat straw and 23,25 12.533 12.516 0.613
sawdust, for which there is adequate experience in our 23,26 28.6 28.65 1.322
Laboratory. The intermediate and final arithmetic results 26,27 22.9 22.5 1.69
for PERT are shown in Tables II and III. Estimated total 27,28 7.133 7.066 0.134
project time:370.88 for PERT and 373.57 for fuzzy CPM. 28,29 13.1 12.8 0.64
Table III: Earliest time, variance of earliest time,
scheduled time (Earl., VET, Sched., respectively) and
probability (Pr.) of [Earl. > Sched.] per event.
ME1 5 REFERENCES