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To,
Prof. Kshama Agarwal,
Dept. of EAFM,
University of Rajasthan,
Jaipur - Rajasthan.
Dear Sir,
In response to call for research papers for presentation in 67th AII India
Commerce Conference by ICA, I have great pleasure to submit a research paper titled
"A Psychometric Assessment of Risk Tolerance and Financial Behaviour of
Individual Investors in Indian Capital Market” for your evaluation and selecting the
paper for the presentation All India Commerce Conference. Kindly consider this research
paper for BBAY award session also. Sincerely hope that this letter will find you in good
health and happiness. Expecting a positive reply after evaluation of this research paper.
Thanking You,
Yours Sincerely,
(Sd/-)
Dr.P. Antony George
September
2014
A Psychometric Assessment of Risk Tolerance and
Financial Behaviour of Individual Investors in
Indian Capital Market
Research Paper-Abstract
67th All India Commerce Conference Technical Session-II
Associate Professor, Post Graduate Department of commerce & Research Centre, St. Thomas College,
Kozhencherry, Pathanamthitta, Kerala.(NAAC accredited with B++),
Ph: ® 0479 - 2303242, Mob:9495953243, 9446917752, E-mail agkavalam®yahoo.com
A Psychometric Assessment of Risk Tolerance and
Financial Behaviour of Individual Investors in
Indian Capital Market
INTRODUCTION
The contribution of individual investors belongings to household sector to Gross
Domestic Savings (GDS) in India has been estimated to be about seventy percent that clearly
implies their significant role in accelerating the capital formation and the growth of Indian
financial system in the right direction. The psychological and behavioural characteristic,
approach and attitude of individual investors influence their saving and investment decision
which exert strong impact on resource allocation faction of the financial system and their wealth
maximization through financial decision. The generation of adequate saving by individual
investors and the Judicious and fair allocation of the surplus financial resources to productive
sectors of the economy through financial and physical assets largely determine the direction and
trend in the growth of financial system and its prospects and destiny. Similarly, the dynamism,
vibrancy, sustainability and its capacity to remain in the trajectory of high growth rate to a great
extent depends on sensible and appropriate portfolio decision of individual investors and their
active participation in the financial market. More importantly, only when the individual investors
directly allocate their savings to common stock and growth oriented securities they can ensure
wealth maximization through portfolio decision. Empirical Investigations reveals that the
willingness and enthusiasm of individual investors in channelizing their surplus financial
resource through appropriate portfolios largely depends on their level of risk tolerance and other
psychographic characteristic influencing portfolio decision. A thorough examination of saving
allocation pattern of individual investors in Indian financial system indicates that the approach of
individual investors in diverting their savings to shares and other risky securities is really
discouraging and imbalanced since a substantial portion their saving has been mobilized by
government, banks and other financial institutions through depository financial instruments. This
asymmetrical trend in resources allocation is a major hurdle in channelization of the household
savings to productive sectors individual’s wealth maximization and also obstructs the promotion
nurturing of the entrepreneurial spirit of millions of risk-takers in industry, services and
agricultural sectors in the economy. Another major problem that the individual investor with
inappropriately low risk tolerance may face is the huge difference in the retirement benefits from
contributory pension scheme. Thus, the reluctance of individual investors to allocate a
reasonable amount of their savings to risky securities poses some challenge to the sustainable
growth of financial system and prosperity and well being of individual investors. The present
study attempt to empirically investigate this the complex issue in financial system in respect of
portfolio management by individual investors to have a realistic and fair be on this issue.
Need for and significance of the study
The active involvement and participation of individual investors in the capital market is a
prerequisite for infusing dynamism and to ensure sustainable growth of financial market. In fact,
willingness and interest of individual investors for the allocation of major portion of their saving
to risky investment instrument such as equity, corporate bonds and debentures, mutual funds etc.
to a great extent depend on their appetite towards risk and some other characteristics of individual
investors. Though scholarly studies Rosenberg (2005) Soldofsky et.al(2008) examined this issue,
a scientific measurement and analysis of risk tolerance and financial behavior of individual
investors had not been adequately covered in these studies. The political leaders, authorities and
policy makers at the helm of financial market are very much interested in getting reliable and
factual information on the issue to address and resolve problems associated with financial market.
Therefore the findings of the present study may generate some knowledge to enrich the existing
theory on this academic area and beneficial in the formulation of financial policies and
programmes.
1. Is risk tolerance a prominent psychographic factor influencing the portfolio decision and
financial behavior of individual investors?
2. To what extent risk tolerance influence different categories of individual investors in the
selection of financial/physical assets in their portfolio?
3. To what extent there is difference in the level of risk tolerance of different categories of
Individual investors ?
Objectives of the study
To find answers to above questions, the following objectives were formulated for the
study
1. To assess and evaluate the level of risk tolerance of different categories of individual
investors in portfolio decision.
2. To measure and analyse the degree of difference in the risk tolerance of different
categories of investors using cumulative logistic analysis
3. To diagnose various clusters of individual investors in terms of degree of risk tolerance
and analyse the distinctive characters ion of these clusters.
4. To examine whether the risk tolerance influence the composition and design of portfolio
and in the financial preference of individual investors.
Hypotheses
1) There is no significant difference in the risk tolerance of individual investors belonging to
different geographical regions.
3) There is no significant difference in the risk tolerance of individual investors in different time
periods/longitudinally.
5) There is no significant impact of risk tolerance on the portfolio composition and financial
preference of individual investors.
2. The behaviour and approach of individual investors may likely to change in accordance
with change in economic, social and cultural environment. Therefore the findings of the
study may not be very realistic in different time periods and geographical regions.
LITERATURE REVIEW
Several outstanding research studies are conducted on risk tolerance and financial behavior of
individual investors which reveal insightful findings on this research issue. Coggin et. al (2007)
in their outstanding study examined the risk factors associated with portfolio selection and
management and elaboratively discussed the techniques and methods to face the risk factors. The
meta-analysis of pricing risk factor is really a model for serious researchers in this area.
In his well known study Droms (1987) beautifully presented a model for allocation of
savings to different categories of securities. He clearly depicted how an individual investor select
financial assets and manage risk to create rewarding portfolio. The findings of this study is very
insightful for investors to develop a balanced and matured approach in investment programme
Rosenbergo et. al (1996) conducted a study to measure and analyse systematic risk
associated with portfolio having very high equity component. The methods and techniques
suggested in the study for prediction of systematic risk associated with risky portfolio are very
useful for individual investors with high-risk tolerance. The study is also very useful for
academic community and researches for its contribution to literature on portfolio theory
Another practically useful study in this area was conducted by Smith (1974) in which he
examined the capacity of individual investors to assume risk in the selection and mixing of
financial assets in the portfolio. The findings of the study showed that only those individual
investors with reasonable degree of risk tolerance and foresight can take financially rewarding
portfolio decision.
Financial risk tolerance has been measured using several techniques. The techniques can be
separated into measures based on observing risky behavior and measures using surveys to ask
questions that gauge one's willingness to assume risk in given situations (Hanna, Gutter, & Fan
2001; Hanna & Lindamood, 2004). Some studies infer financial risk tolerance from behavior
such as ownership of risky assets or the ratio of risky assets to total wealth (Cohn, Lewellen,
Lease, & Schlarbaum 1975; Friend & Blume, 1975; Fama & Schwert, 1977; Morin & Suarez,
1983; Mclnish, Ramaswami, & Srivastava, 1993; Schooley & Worden 1996). However, studies
based on behavior often are influenced by self-selection bias and do not typically consider other
factors that would prevent ownership such as financial constraints, discrimination or lack of
exposure to information about financial markets. The Health and Retirement Survey posed
hypothetical scenarios to obtain a measure of financial risk tolerance related to the economic
concept of' risk aversion (Barsky .et al., 1997). Grable (2000) presented a combination of
investment choices and subjective perceptions.
The above mention studies on risk tolerance and behaviour of individual investors
clearly shows that there is some relationship between risk tolerance and portfolio decision.
However an analysis of the findings of the studies suggest some research gaps especially
scientific measurement risk tolerance and comparative analysis of difference in nature and
financial behavior of different categories of investors. in this area. The present study endeavors to
examine this research issue with a focus on the research gaps identified.
METHODOLOGY
An appropriator methodology had been formulated for the study keeping in mind the
qualitative and abstract variables that are associated with the research problems. The research
issues and qualitative terms were suitably operationalised and an appropriate conceptual design,
measurement procedures, sample design, analytical design data display design hypotheses testing
were developed in conformity with research objection and hypotheses.
Population / Universe : The individual investors both male and female within the age group of
21-75 years residing in selected regions in India who have exposure to financial market
constituted the population if the study. Research Approach : A behavioristic and psychometric
approach had been adopted for collection of data to avoid respondent’s self perception in their
responses and both qualitative and quantitative approaches had been followed. Research
Method: The study mainly followed survey method of data collection. However observation
method was also appropriately employed considering its effectiveness in some practical
situations. Sample Design: A suitable sample design was adopted for the execution of the study
with an empirical focus on research problem. Sample frame/source list had been prepared from
the list of individual investors from share broking firms located in different areas. Size of the
sample had been determined considering the nature of universe, standard of accuracy and other
research considerations. The approach based on precision rate and confidence level had been
employed to determine the sample size. Simple random sampling was the method of sampling
employed for the selection of sample unit. Questionnaire was the method of data collection
used for the collection of primary data. In the analysis design suitable descriptive and inferential
statistical measures such as averages, standard deviation, correlation, regression, Z test, cumulate
logistic analysis, cluster analysis etc. had been employed. Face validly and content validity
were the validity tests employed to determine validity of measures. Spilt half reliability and
test-retest reliability had been employed to determine the reliability of measures used.
Dependent variable employed in this study was the risk tolerance of individual investors
in terms of score assigned to them as per risk tolerance test. The level of risk tolerance of
individuals attributable to different components of risk measured to derive interval level data on
this qualitative variable.
Independent variables selected for the study were demographic, financial and
geographic characteristics such as education, life cycle, social classes, occupation status, regional
background, time periods etc. A cumulative logistic model had been employed for the risk
tolerance analysis. The model allows different independent variables to have multi dimensional
effects on the risk tolerance and examine the effects of explanatory variables on the probability of
individual investors to assume different levels of risk tolerance.
Conceptual and analytical framework
To conduct the research study with maximum academic clarity and research focus, a
conceptual and analytical frame had been developed. In the frame work different variable
identified to examine the research problem are presented in an integrated manner. The
identification and conceptualization of different abstract concepts that are basically qualitative the
nature is very useful to view the research problem sensibly and execute the study by employing
appropriate methods and procedures.
Fig:1
Conceptual and analytical framework of the study
Application Cumulative
Social Income of Risk Preference Preference
Logistic
Classes Education Tolerance for for
Analysis Forms
Test Securities
of Return
To measure the risk tolerance, a risk tolerance test was conducted which was adopted
from empirical study conducted by the T. Ronce Price group of mutual fund, USA with some
modifications. Since direct question on risk tolerance might fail to reveal the true dimensions of
risk tolerance, this behavioristic approach was adopted. The test consisted of three sets of
questions made to test how the customers are comfortable with risk on different situations of
uncertainty. Respondents were asked to select one answer for each set of questions and
depending on their choices, scores were assigned. Respondents could select their choices on the
basis of the level of risk tolerance and those having high risk tolerance would select choices with
high scores and vice versa. No hints were given in the questionnaire on allocation of scores for
options for questions so that respondents might select their right choice avoiding their self
perception.
Eight to fourteen points Individual Investors who score between eight to fourteen points are
moderately risk tolerant. They would assume reasonable risk for moderate increase in return.
They would like to buy financial assets with equity components and have preference for saving
products with moderate equity components offered by mutual funds.
Fifteen to twenty one points Individual investors who score between fifteen to twenty one
points have high-risk tolerance. They would be willing to take more chances in pursuit of
maximum return. The higher the score the higher will be the risk tolerance. While investing in
financial assets they look for high overall return and prefer securities having high potential for
profit and growth.
The results of the study are presented as answers to research questions given as the
specific objectives of the study. In this analysis, individual investors are classified ' into three
groups in terms of their risk tolerance. Individual investors with low risk tolerance constituted the
first group that scored between 1-7 points and those with moderate risk tolerance constituted the
second group who scored between 8-14 points and the third group consisted of individual
investors with high-risk tolerance having scored between 15-21 points. The overall risk tolerance
of the 300 respondents is analysed by grouping them in three distinctive groups with different
ranges of scores.
Results of the multivariable analysis in respect of risk tolerance suggests the risk appetite
of various categories of individual investors. In the age group, individual investors within the age
group of 20-34 are more comfortable with risk, which is clear from the higher risk tolerance
mean score. Because young individuals who wish to make a possible fortune, will be ready to
assume more risks in the construction portfolio. This age group generally invest more than
60percent of savings in growth oriented securities and financial assets with high equity
components and naturally they have the capacity to assume higher risk. Individual belonging to
higher age group do not follow an aggressive investment strategy and avoid risky investment
programmes because their main financial goal is to have a regular and consistent income and
adequate liquid fund. Consequently, they prefer risk free financial securities and as far as
possible, they avoid any form of risk in portfolio decisions and it is clearly reflected in the low
risk tolerance score of higher age group segment.
Table-3 Risk Tolerance of Individual Investors- Difference in
Demographic Categories (P value 5% significant level)
Age group 20-35 35-50 50-65 65 and above
20-35 - 0 0 0.034
35-50 - - 0.024 0
50-65 - - - 0
65 and - - - 0
above
65 and - - - -
above
Occupation Employees Professionals Businessmen Retired Self employed
Employees - 0 0 0.0 0
34
Professionals - - 0.024 0 0
Businessmen - - - 0 0
Retired - - - - 0
Self employed - - - - -
Life Bachelor Young married Young full Older Older empty nest
Cycles empty empty nest nest full nest
Bachelor - 0.0056 0.0124 0.0 0
empty 012
3
Young married - - 0.0124 0 0
empty nest
Yong full nest - - - 0.0 0
024
Older full nest - - - - 0
Older empty - - - - -
nest
Social classes Upper Upper Middle Lower middle class Lower class
class class
Upper class - 0.0056 0.0134 0.00123
Upper middle - - 0.0124 0
class
Lower middle - - - 0.0024
class
Lower class - - - -
Source: primary data
Table:4 Cumulative Logistic Analysis of Risk Tolerance –Demographic,
Geographic and Longitudinal Categories
Level of Risk Substantial Risk High Risk Low Risk
Tolerance
Parameter Coefficient Odd Ratio Coefficien Odd Ratio Coefficient Odd Ratio
t
Geographical Background: Reference Category =Central region
Southern 0.0182 0.96 0.0235 0.95 0.0213 0.96
Northern 0.3258 1.38 0.0135 0.07 0.657 0.57
Western 0.439 1.53 0.0597 1.09 0.1923 0.87
Eastern 0.0195 0.97 0.0213 0.97 0.0232 0.97
Education: Reference category= Higher Secondary
Graduate 0.321 1.37 0.734 2.08 0.232 0.79
Post Graduate 0.389 1.42 0.231 1.25 0.0159 0.98
Professional 0.418 1.52 0.208 1.18 0.0182 0.94
Life Cycles : Reference Category= Young Full Nest
Bachelor Empty 0.458 1.63 0.205 1.18 0.0172 0.95
Nest
Young arried 0.278 1.38 0.0607 1.09 0.183 0.87
Empty Nest
Older Full Nest 0.139 0.84 0.164 0.86 0.481 0.63
Older Empty 0.114 0.87 0.125 0.88 0.158 0.84
Nest
Social Classes : Reference Category = Middle class
Upper class 0.123 1.12 0.0912 1.09 0.0163 0.98
Upper Middle 0.325 1.38 0.128 1.03 0.181 0.84
Class
Lower Middle 0.0358 0.96 0.0265 0.96 0.065 1.05
Class
Lower Class 0.389 0.75 0.072 0.72 0.089 0.92
Occupation Status : Reference Category Salary earness
Self employed 0.577 1.83 0.346 1.35 0.315 1.28
Professionals 0.405 1.48 0.213 1.24 0.016 0.96
Business men 0.662 1.92 0.354 1.41 0.314 1.32
Retired 0.112 0.88 0.109 0.93 0.072 0.97
Longitudinal Category: Reference Period = 2000
2005 0.142 0.87 0.164 0.85 0.475 0.62
2010 0.232 0.79 0.098 0.91 0.048 0.95
2012 0.406 0.67 0.016 0.98 0.056 1.06
Source Primary Data
Analysis of risk tolerance of different groups of individual investors reveals some
interesting information on risk tolerance of investors. The investors belonging to lower age group
are comfortable with high risk and as the individuals become old, there is substantial reduction in
their risk assumption capacity, which reflects in low tolerance score. Similarly, while male
investors shows higher risk tolerance in portfolio decisions, the risk assumption capacity of
female investors is comparatively low. Businessmen belonging to occupational group exhibit the
highest risk tolerance, which shows their enterprising and aggressive attitude in the investment
programme. On the contrary, retired fellows shows risk aversion characteristics who naturally
dislike financial assets with high equity component. Similarly, as investors pass through bachelor
to old empty-nest life cycle there is gradual and noticeable reduction in the risk tolerance.
Likewise, investors in upper class and upper middle class are more comfortable with risk and
lower social class segment also shows high risk aversion.
In order to examine the difference in the risk tolerance of investors in different groups, P
values of risk tolerance is calculated.~ P values of risk tolerance score of investors in different
life cycles suggest the level of risk tolerance of investors different life cycle is not equal. Because
as per risk tolerance test in all the cases P values are less than 0.05. As in the investors pass
through different phases in the life cycle stages their attitude toward risk varies and exhibits
different degrees of risk tolerance. Similarly, P values calculated for the risk tolerance of
investors in different demographic categories also indicates the difference in the level of risk
tolerance of customers belonging to these groups since P values in all the cases are less than 0.05
Similar insightful findings are also revealed in the analysis in respect different
demographic categories of investors. The bachelor empty nest shows their adventurous attitude
towards portfolio discussions. This category of individuals generally willing to take susbstatial
risk to so as to squeeze maximum benefits from opportunities available. Similerly the high risk
tolerance in terms of odd ratio of businessmen is a clear indication of their true self. The
Businessmen are by nature welcome substantial risk when they expect substantial gain from
business opportunities including capital market operation.
The multiple correlations between risk tolerance and demographic variables are analysed
in this study to examine the degree of relationship between these variables. The multiple
correlation between demographic variables such as income, age, education and risk tolerance and
between the above mentioned variables and saving propensity is analysed. The demographic
variables income, age, education have been taken as predictors (constant) and risk tolerance and
saving propensity have been taken as dependent variables. The results of the analysis are
presented in the following table.
The above tables clearly suggest the strong correlation between the level of risk tolerance and
portfolio selection and financial preference preference for forms of return. Individual investors
who exhibit high risk tolerance prefer to create portfolio with risky financial assets especially
equity. In the light of above result fifth null hypothesis has been rejected. However the
number of individual investors who are willing to assume risk is very few and naturally the
involvement of small investors in the capital market is very dreary. The individual investors who
have very low risk tolerance are afraid of risky financial assets and satisfied with fixed return
from safe investment avenue. The most undesirable trends in saving and investment behaviour of
individual investors is their reluctance to enter capital market even through mutual funds with
high equity component . Aggressive marketing and sales promotion programmers initiated by
private insurance players to a great extent divert the savings of individual investors to insurance
sector. However the direct participation of more intelligent and matured individual investors in
the capital market is very essential to ensure the sustainability and desired progress of stock
market. In fact, a substantial portion of transaction in the capital market have been conducted by
individual investors which make the capital market to progress in the right way and direction.
However some undesirable and unethical tendencies and practices in the stock market is a major
reason identified for the gradual reduction in the risk tolerance of ordinary investors. Bulk deals
by institutional investors at unexpected time make the capital market highly volatile and
individual investors are dragged to chopping stock market sessions that may again reduce their
risk tolerance.
Cluster-III, risk loving aggressive investors exhibits aggressive characteristics in all dimensions
of the investment activity and portfolio decision. High risk tolerance is the most important
characteristic feature of this cluster who always expects exceptional return from their portfolio.
Generally they want high degree of flexibility and liquidity in portfolio, and also expect speedy
and prompt customer service from FIs. If the employees of the FIs are not knowledgeable and
skilled, it will definitely displease this dynamic and futuristic-minded segment. Price Sensitivity,
self-reliance and confidence in the management of investment mattersl financial planing to attain
short term solvency etc. are the main areas diagnosed from the analysis of distinctive
characteristics of the members of this cluster. Individual investors belonging to this cluster have a
futuristic and enterprising attitude towards financial decision and create portfolio to reap
maximum financial return and wealth generation. High saving propensity, preference of short
turn gain heavy usage of credit card, interest for active participation in secondary market etc. are
the prominent financial attitude of individual investors of this cluster. They are excellent financial
decision makers having deep knowledge on the functioning of capital market and share price
movement and always maintain aggressive approach in Investment activity.
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