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2
What is the landscape like
for Africa/Context?
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Agriculture remains a major source of income for Africa; but untapped potential
has resulted in persistent poverty/limited wealth creation and food insecurity
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Urbanization is driving increased demand for food products that are
not mostly supplied by African producers
Increasing urbanization across Africa Shifting consumption preferences to ‘premium’ rice
African urbanization rates; millions of people, 2000-2025 Per capita rice consumption by grade – Nigeria Example
Kg per capita per year
635
35.0
532
30.5 10.9
+4% 446 (31%)
372 21.4
311 Standard (70%)
263
9.1 24.1
(30%) (69%)
Premium
Source: IFPRI, Policy options for accelerated growth and competitiveness of the domestic rice economy in Nigeria; World Bank; CGIAR, Technologies for African Agricultural Transformation; Africa Rice Center,
The New Rice for Africa – a Compendium; World Bank Data; Dalberg analysis 5
Agriculture in Africa
Yet… While…
5% POP (BILLIONS)
3
• Employs 60% of its
60% 2.5
population
2
1.5
0.5
30% • Contributes 25-
40% of GDP 0
2010 2050
Total horticulture exports, billion KSH Total floriculture exports, million USD Total farmers registered, million users
10.3
GESS was
97 introduced to
+11% +41% 550 farmers in April
346 2012
4.2
21 178
0.66 13
2000 2005 2010 2014 2001 2005 2010 2013 2016 2012 2013 2014
p
• Strong political will and
• Strong foreign investor and partner • Ethiopian Horticulture Producers
government support to transform
support developing and driving the and Exporters actively managing the
the input supply system.
industry. sector.
• Use of public funds to leverage
• Contract farming model used to • Strong Government support in i)
private-sector investment (i.e.
assure consistent supply. infrastructure and logistics, ii)
agro-dealers networks).
• Political will to support smallholder access to land, iii) provision of long-
• Leverage mobile technology to
farmer development. term credit, and iv) attracting
achieve scale and provide
domestic and foreign investors.
nationwide access.
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What are the current
needs/financing sources
and financing gap?
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Achieving Feed Africa’s Goals requires substantial investment and results in massive
revenues
Investment required to transform Africa agriculture; USD billion, 2016-2025 Indicative Estimate
Enablers
Partnership for
Infrastructure6
Sustainability,
Environment8
Ag. Finance7
opportunity
Hard & Soft
Inclusivity,
Value Chain Development
by 2025
Nutrition
Enabling
revenue
Annual
Africa
Total
ATA
Value
Production4 Total
Addition5
Horticulture ~5-6 ~4-5 ~9-11 ~65-80 ~265-330 ~20-30 ~30-40 <5 ~315-400 ~16
Total ~110-135 ~90-110 ~200-250 ~65-80 ~265-330 ~20-30 ~30-40 <5 ~315-400 ~85
■ USD 315-400 billion over the next decade, or an average of $32-40bn annually
■ Could unlock USD 85 billion in revenues annually from 2025
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Mobilizing Funding to Address the Financing Gap
Current Funding for Agriculture Development in Africa
vs. Requirements for Transformation, $bn / year
Key • Including:
Facts… • Sovereign Wealth Funds: USD 160 Billion
• Pension Funds: USD 380 Billion
• Private Equity Funds: USD 25-35 Billion, with 900 million
per year to agriculture
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Rationale for new ways of financing African Agriculture
Financial
Low level of
Demographics institutions
commercial bank
and shifting diet challenged when
lending to
habits. offering products
agriculture.
to agriculture.
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When offering financial products to agriculture, financial
institutions face:
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What should New Ways of Financing Agriculture
Focus on? (2/2)
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Some Indicative Products Needed
TECHNOLOGY
INFRASTRUCTURE
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AfDB’s Response
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A Focused Approach on Integrated Commodity Value
Chains
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Increased
7 Increased
Increased
Inclusivity, ENABLERS Investment in
Hard and Soft
Sustainability, and Infrastructure
Nutrition (CSA, (market
AFAWA, nutrition, infrastructure,
blue economy, farmer e-
Transformation
Improved
Agribusiness
Environment Expanded
(Policy reforms – Agricultural
inputs (land, Finance (AFAWA,
finance) RSFM)
integration and
trade)
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The Bank intends to increase agricultural lending to $2.4bn
annually (public and private)
■ Others:. GEF,
TSF, SRF,
AHAI already has a robust pipeline of requests for the upcoming years (US$8.0 Billion) GAFSP
■ Source: AHAI.
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FLAGSHIPS TO SUPPORT STRATEGY
RISK SHARING FACILITY NUTRITION COORDINATION
MECHANISMS
CLIMATE
SMART POST
TAAT MECHANIZATION AGRICULTURE HARVEST LOSS AGROPOLES
BLUE ECONOMY
&
LIVESTOCK
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FEED AFRICA’S APPROACH TO CATALYZING
PRIVATE SECTOR INVESTMENT
Risk mitigation
RSFs;
Insurance
solutions;
funded DFIs
Dedicated
vehicle (PSCEF,
Support of
CIF) with
RECs initiatives
adapted
through TAs
processes and
risk assessment
Financing
agriculture
supporting
solutions
Corporate
transactions to Crowding: Use
large groups of Private Equity
and commodity funds as indirect
traders’ vehicles
networks
Blended
financing
solutions (ADF,
ADB, TA fund)
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Other financing structures/flagships of Feed Africa to address
the specific finance needs
• The Agricultural Project Finance Facility catalyzes
financing for the build-out of agricultural infrastructure in
Infrastructure Affirmative
support of the agricultural transformation agenda by
Finance
providing co-funding and project development assistance Financing • Will raise women’s incomes by increasing their
to value chain projects.
Action for access to credit to grow agriculture and other
Women in
businesses.
Africa
(AFAWA)
• The African Agriculture Trade Finance Facility facilitates
trade and improves global competitiveness of African
Trade Finance
agricultural exporters by providing access to finance for
banks and export aggregators.
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Technical Assistance
Commodity Blended
Exchanges Finance
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The degree to which RS instruments are broadly known and
utilized varies with most of Africa
ILLUSTRATIVE
Tunisia
Morocco
Liberia: Discussions Risk Sharing Legend
underway between
Algeria Libya Large scale Agri RSF
Government and AfDB Western
Egypt
Sahara Limited Agri RSK
Active Planning
Mauritania Desire Raised
Mali Sudan
Ghana: Bank of Ghana Niger
Chad No data
Senegal Eritrea
provides some measure of Gambia
support but has not Guinea Bissau
Guinea
Burkina Faso Djibouti
Uganda: $50M equity co-investment facility set-
Nigeria Southern Somalia
committed to independent
Benin
Ghana
Sierra Leone Cote
Central African
Sudan Ethiopia up by Ministry of Finance for Government of
organizations and fund; Liberia
d’Ivoire
Cameroon Rep. Uganda; co-invests alongside commercial banks
Togo
Ministry of Agriculture
Equatorial guinea
lobbying to shift view Sao tome & Principe Kenya
Gabon Democr. Rep.
Uganda Kenya: Currently conducting a strategy review
Rwanda
Congo Of the Congo sponsored by the Central Bank to design a
Nigeria: $500M guarantee Burundi
Tanzania
“KIRSAL”
facility set-up by Central
Rwanda: Discussions underway between
Bank, with support from
Government and AfDB
Ministry of Agriculture and Angola Malawi
Zambia
commercial banks
Mozambique Tanzania: Partnership with Standard Bank and
Zimbabwe
Namibia AGRA to lend to farmers and agribusinesses
Cameroon: $4.1M risk sharing Botswana
and sorghum
Note: Additional RSFs exist outside of agriculture, including Celtel Uganda, Ghana School Financing Facility, Kenya School Risk Sharing Facility, and Kenya Student Loan Program; IFC =
International Finance Corporation; BICEC = Banque Internationale du Cameroun pour l’Épargne et le Crédit; AGRA = Alliance for a Green Revolution in Africa
Source: Central Bank of Nigeria, AGRA, Government of Ghana, Government of Uganda, Standard Bank, lit. search; author's analysis
AgSMEFF – Transforming Agri-SME Financing
Agricultural SMEs: Investment ≈ USD 1–10 M
FACILITY LAYOUT: USD 215 M (initial)
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Partnerships and Platforms
AFRICAN DEVELOPMENT BANK GROUP
CONTACT:
Benedict Kanu
Email: b.kanu@afdb.org