Page< '* Dally Mall, Wednesday, Seplember 25, 2002

~Despife rebellion by 56 Labour'MPs, Prime Minis~er'~

By David Hughes
Politmal Ednor

T01n- Bloat won the backing of

an anxious-House of Commons
last mght for tinI`ed Nations
action to strip Saddam Husseln
of hls te :TIfynng arsenal of
weapons -if necessary by force,
But, despite a commanding Par.
hamentary performance, the
Prime Mlnlster faced a bigger than
expected rebellion from his own
ranks
Labour divisions over Iraq were
e~gl osed as a total of 53 of N.r Blue's
MPs, plus nice Scottish end Welsh
natianadats and two Lib Dome, voted
agamat the Government
Truss mure sntl-war Labcur MPs
acted ss tellers-who are not allowed
-,ote -brmgmg the total number of
or rebels up to 50
rote is e blow to party officious
,ad predicted orate woulai be no
-ere than 35 rebels
The backlash came after Nir Blelr
had warned that the warlike amb,4ons
of the Iraqi dictator could trigger a
conflict that mud orgulf the whole
wcrld, including this country'
He backed up his svarntng with the
hind contours of the'dossier of death',
a 50-page catalogue setting out in
blood-cuuliing noted the Iraqi dlete-
tor's war plans They include
® Stockades of chemical and bmmgi-
csl we .. ... . some of than, deployable
at lust 45 minutes notice
6 The existence of up to 20 alEmbein
mu sIIes, capable of carrying cbehical
ar boo:ogical worneads These could
reach 'the UK soaerelgn base areas in
Cvprus andNato members, Greece and
Turkey as well he Iraq's reignbouri'
® Ev¢cence hour Saddam has 'sougbt

'We should not

igniflcant amounts of urantum from

9fnca'to develop nuelear warheads
B~ologica~ weap-ons ' . `
e Attempts by Iraq to secure other
materials and technology which am be
used t0 oevelap nuclear warheads,
But the dossier was dc....d by
the Ooveroment's antics as coal' tooll
nothing ne,v-a view shared by expert
r 'sts-LabouroppOnentsofmilltary
i said the today of containing
im should continue - a call
cltly rejected by far BI°,r
~ He had walked Into the Commons
braced for a showdown with Labour
MPs who have been demandmg a
debate on Iraq forwee§s
Two-and-a-halfhoarslaterheleft the
chamber know,ng that has painstak-
hvgly coostrocten case against Load -
thereussnomentionOftheUS yaIIey
o. Tegmle change- had bought him
time to press home a i714 ult.matum
against Bageadwi.
But, given the concerns votced dur-
ing a sombre and thouqhtiLl debate,
that mood could shift monastically 9 Saddam: His weapons programme is growing, Mr Bialr told MPs
access to any site in a sig- active, detailed and grow . force has never worked
The Prime Mimster's per- inflcent dlploniatic devel- hig, The portly of contend- with dictators and never
farmance thrtlleo the ooment,both B"ussiaand meat isnotworking
AmerlcansPresidentBUSh will wark,'besald.
prmaed Mr SJ21rfar=telhng China signslled that they °The WM'J programme s Without action now, the
the tmeh' about Baddam were moving behind the wit shot do- Itik up and threat posed by 9addam
tting rural.g now
'We shouldn't deceive -will turn Into reality' h1:
resolution against Irsh, It would be severa years Bla .r sought to aaap some
ourselves about man, ' That was Immediately
the Presldent said.this before Saddam coeld of the concerns of back-
.adermlned by ~-ench acquire a usable nuclear bencbers by proposing a
'He is wlllmg to use President Jacques Chirac weapon,thoughifhecould peace
Tyddle conference
weapous of mass destme- m the
who said that a new for tmport Rssile matena191e-
tmn . And the Prone bilnis- Basa
resolution was not gaily 'ttwould only befl
ter coachmen to mske one 'tndispensable'
case, and an will L' conflict ml ght be dates .
The Prime Minister was ~In the face of this evi-
The Iraqls denounced the heard 1a silence as he high- dence, Idr Blatr asked say,saylngthat,when the
ch oose, as'totallybasel=_ss' lighted the key char qes 'Would theworldbevnseto time comes, Parllameat
and repeated the claim hard the dossl= which has Seave the pnesent situation ~~ not shrink from d olng
that they no longer been compiled largely from, ~+nrLSturbed7 whatlsnecesseryandwhat
have weapoas of mass intelligence rspans from The Prime Minister
destmctlon. the security services blslatedanymove hadto MrBtatrwesbrleflybeek-
They said they would Mr Blalr told MPS 'FIis be becked by the threat of ledbyLabourhetD-wlngers
weapons of mass destrua farm 'DiplOmacy not
ti0o (wI2O) programma is backed by the threat of -
.UM to page $, Col 1

~ 4~©,0~ 4S
 tesday, September 25, 2002

ainst `Saddam -wins over an anxious Commons ~ _"IRAQ: `ti-!E DOSSIER

MtS-Si~-~THREATJARCERSIWTHGEMANT~
T>,ipacE.r .~.°t ....,, ., ;
Nato's second largest military iraq's traditional enemy suffered
powerwith powerful conventional ge attack from 500 missiles during
forces, only Moslem malorlty 58 19808 War.Seep 1n Baghdad as
member. Base for U.S and UK potential suppdtter ofa Shiite
aircraft patrolling northern Iraq
WING Moslem uprising against Saddam
No-Fly Zone EastTUrkey m range
rtnud of existing Iraq, missiles.
Iie range 400-mUe range K!lWABT~ ~ .
-range, hqw 12,9-male range Mator base for U S. and UK forces,
dfatkel G7r,ARUS ' .
Home to 3,60D UK troops, some including warplanes enforcing
iteof Canyon TURKEY
ucal or under UN control Within range southern No-Fly Zone Within ~_
rgicalwruheafi of Iraqt al-Hussem rocket range of smaller Iraqi missites.e
.dt
worloaaon - SY Ten=
7-fu lion to iSdRAEC`_-, eigtid ; IRA "OATAR -
no r Small Gulf emirate Has! to
md the90 miles Key forest if Saddam can drop ~ -~,~usa 1
~ 20,000 U.5 personnel and
wed by UN warheads an Israeli cities and dozens of warplanes at
otubons, al-Udmd antase, including
could flock to his side Strategy, ~,<n "'," ~ E rl^RA Cameorn command HO
-Hussein lolled m 1991, but then Arab world r"~°~ `u" ',`Caad;, - 1 ~
which sound run say
NFmdarange was United against Iraq Israel, a 'I t . , d
Invasion of Iraq Buildings
oditled5ovmteta nuclear power,hasthreatened protected against chemical
and 'B' ,r 'annthdahon' of Iraq if attacked, KUWAIT CI
Riyadh e and brological attack
mgte-atege tlqutcl-'
.41(t1`2
eelled rocket, tired ~ -EGYPT .__ _ -
rom mobile Leiria SAUp(ARAUIk' .- .--~ _~ E ;~MOscai Q2$A/AR3
rands Banned Base for thousands of U Stroops- - Key ally of Britain,
SAUDI ARABIA %
Allows use of enhances
As, Ballwin ; but ' Lukewarm over supporting .r-
`uy to 2D'hldden military action, Main springboard ----------- and training areas by UK
frant UN Inspectors . . lot 1991GUiiWarmvasron . ~ larries just out of range
Could carry of existing weapons, but
chemical or OMAN could be hit by missiles
biological, i.a'~aJShi~~ttl J'acirs developing
tvarhesds -
8'atHlike plcture tsfahe mts'sile test5ite 25_ntiles horth of-9aghd ; The al-Nusseln tan be
-'$.PCANNEe launched from mob:fe Camera
;AI "Abbas
a"td-mlsranga
Further ; °
development of Stand used lot testing
Seud.Programme Scud missile engines - U
-native before Gull dismantled by UN
.Wer,fhoughito '

MIAMI
4 hid }g~
^ 7e range
am's long-term
samedlum ;
r*ge bedistlc
,misslleableto sa
~threaan large paHs, larger engine test stand
of the Middle E .W,~
under construction, big
Walk beganIn 7998'y
enough to test ballistic
missile. capable Of smiting
proact could
targets 75D miles away
; SYaCaadUr 2W7

spec~n~s
?IRAO to already draw+ng up plans umant and Interview any eclan-
to thwart the return of any UN tlst, technician or other Indrvld-
inspection teams, Intelligence ual and seat any prohibited
soutess say. items for destruction,
Saddem has 'leernt lessons' Between 1991 and 1998, when
From previous Inspections and the UN teams left, the trsqrs
has begun concealing end ds- phvslcelly threatened and psy-
persing sensitive equipment and cholog,cally Intimidated thent,
documents. He has developsd In 1 g97, lraq created a category
moblla laboratorres capable of oi'presldenilal' and 'sovere,gn'
producing biological wati sltes from which inspectors were
student's previous campaign barred. Many were designed to
of harassment, deception, Intitn- runs weapons material,
,rlshon and obstrucaan aganet inspectors did destroy some
Unit inspectors in the 19Bgs made "Spans but thousands of tons
a mockery of their remit to oratrommel weepaos ingredtents
that. . -any totem . tot inepec- and materials to produce anthrax
tion at any time, review any doc- were suit unaccounted for .
ae
AODAM w raising £2btlllob a
yen, through dlrolt trade to fund
his weapons Of ins" desiniction,
All Iraq's imports and exparts
are restricted under UN sanc-
tions, to prevent any materials
with military use being obtained .
But an nrorease m IIIIcrt irade, in
hard currency and barter goods,
is bvpasstng thasa efforts to Uu,
extent that Saodam's With, eam-
lngs have doubled slnce 1999 .
As well as maintaining his con-
vemranal entries led devei0ping
his W1.1 weep . . ., saddam is
using the money ro build palaces
and bu y luxury goods .
In.tellig~n~e :
TONY etAlfl eNectlvaly ..its to also have school to linalligoencter
be trusted that secret Intelll- from close Wehi'- I . . Me CIA .
gance - which cannot be pub- ' The rapoKaxplama howsenlor
Ilshedindetail-iacorrvrncrng mimstersatebrleledbytheJoint
1 and other ministers nave intelligence Committee, which
boon bnered m detail on the meelsweekly InWhitehalt,bnng-
inteliigence and are satisfied as mg, together the various sPV
tonsautharrty;heclalms.Butno agencies, life Foreign Office,
details can be 2vvealed because MOD, Home Office oil them .
'sources need to be pratectedl The dossier includes some
The dossier ,a peppered with satellrte mtelhgance Images, but
references to the work at the only simple photo-reconnaie-
apres :'Intell,ganee Indicates Simon, pictures
that . .'snd'Intalligence available There Is no reference to Amer-
from re l iable sourses ..' too . far more advanced space-
Prlnmpatlyth,smetenal Isfrom based sensors - thought to be
MIS,MIB,GCHOandthef)efence able to penetrate bunkers and
Intelligence Staff, although 'we pmpourt radiation SOUWoS.

ANAL'/SlS: M~ffhta Nielti~ and MiclletiElleetnark .

do, '
 .
re 6 t Daily Mail, Wednesday, Septemtet 25, 2002

pposition from the LibD= -M31 1

t,uncan Smifh insists

Continued! Imm Page Four

when as laid Sandman had
chemical weapons m the Lap-
.
war
One backber .cnec sash 'And we
were supporticg hlm ' Another
se7d 'SUet lilce Vtetnam'_e- " --
But the Prlme Mnuste~ recelved
100 per cent support from lain
ours .. Smith The Tory leader
said that Britain must not. shy
sway tom it . responslbllfties at a
time of International bearis
'History is bttlred with the desire
of decent people to give Alte likes If
Sadoam Husseln a secand chance,'
be send 'Se has nod ten years Of
second chances Now surely is the
ttme to act'
However, Liberal Democrat
leader Charles 2Iennedy voiced his
opposition to joining the II S .n
'precipitate ecaan' agautst It-,
'FOr those of us who have
subsarlbed to British umlateral-
cover
is " -rearenotabouttoslgnupto
f can unilate:absm an .
I he said
LuDe . foreign affairs
spokesman Mensles Campbell
asked who we Ad replace Soon=
d .^.e was tapp ed, how long a1Led
troop . ..Old rematn 1. Iraq
and whetne[ there was an 'exit
stategy'
'When lives af Brttish set'vlcemen
and womenmay be put at risk rt ts
nertner xii-xineophic to question
the polities of the Bash sdmxnls-
tretitoo no, mapatrmtlc,' he added
But 6 was the opposition on the
Labam benches tttatwes ofgreat-
est concern to Mr Bleur Tam
and dictated all 50 pages in that
S Sees the Premier try to
convince' the Commons
IS Commons; said
the foggy-voiced
Father of the House,
'should be . . .told'
The words were
thumped home, like a tent peg
in the Arabian desert beitfg
thwacked with a mallet .
This House, meant Tam Dalyeli
(Lan, Linbthgow), should have the
say on whether the country
sends its men and women to war
Sadly It won't be like that, This
House . . 11 probably be last to leam
if a lit upper is applied to the fuse
and the Middle East gces ka-boom.
For one measly day our elected
politicians were given Hme to dis-
cuss the likelihood of war Hurry,
hurry, hurry Parliament was back
for, ooh, as long as It takes to
cook a beef casserole in an Aga,
To compound the sense of
urgency In Westm,nster, the Gov-
ernment's Infamous Stedam
Husse,n'dossler' (a word nor
mail, used by newapapen when
they have fresh din on a ped- that Snakespesrean heroine down the colour control knob In Ing the questions that have gone
erast) was published just thres- voice and told us his alleged my eyes I . .. able to ppm,ru . UN-asked 'The LICDems' Maps,.
and-a-halt hours before the sisrf Inne~convlctloha this form as Lady Boothroyd, for, Campbell also spoke well and
of proceedmgs . He admitted that thin,. ware their Commons Speaker was the first to Mention some-
MPS were ezpected to have read 'reelly, really senous'and that he Two away sat the American thing everyone else had egnared:
believed 'very, very strongly' In ambassador, a flush-faced, con- the qeotorate Rememberthem?

I rA thirst for power time This scorned ambitious

and for oil'
' Delved, the Father of the House
end a :ong time opponent of nuh-
taryactron p[essedunsuccesstUllY
for a chance for MPs to vote on a
substitutive motion against a con-
plot -rather than the technical
I matron to adjourn t.:e House
Which the Gover[Irnent tablea last
i night
Alan Stmpson,anather Labour
clam of the Goverement on ]raq,
drsrrmdssed the daseler as deePIy
flawed, par4al and s?perficra' and
accused the II 5 a. pressing for
military noun, tn order to secure
Iraqi nil nghts
.
' 1 think Bush will hit Iraq
i [t the Same way that a
t +h lut a battle He needs to
s-r his tmr'st forpower and for
ad,' he laid,
'It [s the duty of the House to
remand the Government that there
, as no tno[al mandate to go down
this path. It cannot and will not be
acceptah,e Oo suggest that Brlcam
' is wvhngto pey abloon pool, for an
all ...,.at'
Former Culture Secretary Chrvs
Smith warned Mr Blair against
the U S 1n a'godt-aloae'
attackonInaq
He listed the possible conse-
quences 'An attack on Israel by
Saddler. Hussetn followed by
There are some backbenchers -
not to mention Speakers - who
still follow the printed word with
in.,, finger..
Mr Blair took no part in the
debate Itself. Instead he chose
the far easier option of making a
pro-debste Statement
The Statement ruse meant that
the Prime Minister could not be
Interrupted by troublesome MP.or
subjected 1. prolonged, repeated
questioning on a particular Issue
Statements are far more lightly
policed than proper debates
Other Prime Ministers have had
the confidence and ability to
explain their war alms to a full
debate setting Not Mr Blair
When he did speak he put on
his Mr Humble act. He used
reprisals, an end to any hope of a
new peace process between Israel
supPalibituricall uprisings in other
Arab states where governments
are Perceivedto be too pro-Amen-
an the running Of Bead= Hus-
sem, braerrel), into a hero for m9-
hone across tne Arab world, the
fracturing of the International
coalition age.nst terror'
Labour maverick George Gal-
loway mumbled the ?nine Mints-
tar's defsnce of George Bush.
'Tbe Bntrslrpeople aave seen the
the Anglo-Amencan alhance.
There was something of the
nursery playground about that
~very,ve~y
lain Duncan Smith, the Tory
leads, was no bener It was pos-
slble to agree with his views yet
to despair at the paucity of his
rhetoric The man has no theatre
He Is so wooden It . . a not., he
was not given a coat o Ronseel
over the summer
Clare Short, one of the war
doubters ,n the Camper, sat on
h,a Government front bench Her
left hand clutched her lower
throat and her nose looked sore,
Margaret Becketf, anether dove,
had a pashmms falded on herlap
Or was It a cape and gas mask?
In the reliance was a large ball
of bright scarlet When I turned
P,e.de,t heard the President and
theythtnkthattheya:eestt_^latlng
htm lust about right as not a man
that we Would want to be at tee
wheel of the car as we onve along
the eage or il sum,
However,fisher LabourCabmet
mt .-uster Peter 7,landelsoc satd the
Latest, of force was essenhaL
'Dtplomacy alone will eesqv be
brushed aaide by Seldom Plume-
mg tr:at this time the international
community as . wines is saya is
the holy way to make hrm see
vrvlelfeilow whose cheeks were
the same colour se me Boothrayd
suit The effect of all that red was
to make them look like Me back-
burners ot a Harrier )et.
NTHRAX, botuhnum
tonn, inatailm nom"
Mr Blair said Far A
mmute it sounded like
callover at a minor public school
In fact these were all chemical
.pons that Iraq allegedly ,s
. UN in New York It was good that
able to produce
Charles Kennedy, for the Llb-
Dems, took longer than cr .i
and started to be heckled by the
Tories He shut iheorup by stab .
blng a finger at Mr Duncan Smith
and snarling that 'I am only ask-
sense,' be argued Among the
Toves there was some opposition
PointerCabinet minister Douglas
Hoggsaud 7carve cometothecon-
elumonwarisnot7usuHed Idonot
thick Live threat we face is either
sufficiently grave or comment -
Tory enalracess of the Public
AnaoLaza committee Edward
Leigh added 'I do not believe the
case for Manville, Iraq umlaterally
entbout the IINbas beer, made'
In the Lords, former conservatwe
foreign secretary Lord Camngtan
The nt,-w.r faction had the
best of the poetry fabufous ora-
tory from George Callow, (Lah,
Glasgow KeNm), thoughtful anx,-
ely from Douglas Hogg (CO .,
Sleaford and North Hykeham)
The pro-war crowd had the
advantage of Seddam's past
record of vile behaviour 'He has
had ten years of second chances,
said Mr Duncan Smith Was that a
hipt of envy7
Meanwhile, all the real action
seemed to be happening at the
the Commons was recalled but it
should have been recalled a
month go
As for Mr Blalr, he stayed for an
hour of the debate and then pot-
tered off The Hit... Will lot -6
him for another month.
, .load concern a..Or American
;alk of re grme cl :ange 'If Saddam
Hussem has no weapons of mass
destruction then he is no more
dangerous to the rest ofthe world,
tban other d.ntators and heliports
.no appress chetr clttaens'
Former chief of -he deforee staff
Lord Guthne land he hoped con-
Not could be avoided '9dhat nap-
pens RSardine Eussdn falls7 Will
he retebatv- wash weapons of mass
plasmatic . if attacked? All these
questaons need addressing,'

~`- ID5`fa;ME or.4 ~nsla~~ii;

~.~ 7IlIN Dart-oar-Smith faced--`-I.AfterwardsoneMPsald"Them's GERHARD Schroeder met Mr PRESIDENT Bush-hails d Mr power- yesterdaythe White
Blalrlest mghtfortellmgthetruth-- House denied there was a differ-
protests at a pnvata meeting af? a general feel, ., Met the war Is Blair at Downmg Street last night
Tory MPS an Hue eveof the me,- actually pretty unpopular In the and pleaded with him to help about Iraq, in what the White- encebetween iheallies , -
gerscy debate on Iraq. : country and it is not helpful of heal Germany's rift With the U S House called a fnghtenmg coarser r-` In Iraq, the Prune Minister was
:' A string' at, backbenchers IDS to go q.it. so hard in up- The German Chancellor was re- of Seddam's'murdereusweys'- accusedofscaremongenng'
elected after a campaign In which -He said the Prime Minister was ~_ Foreign min later Nap Sebn said
iAr Stairs Wgirrousl yint-ibegf, an d Rath a-Ia said met me reason far one of his ministers compared Mr 's very strong leader and 1 that Mr Blair had declared 'that
,attacked his de.l .min to offer the backbench unresTisiben Bush's Iraq strategy to Hitler's admire hlswilhngnesstotell the hewouldannounce evldence,
uncritical support to the Prime - belief that Mr Duncan Smith has The minister has been sacked truth end to loped He has contm== but this Is just ...rearaing .n.9,
Minister over,plans to tackle had a'wastedsummei byfalllng but White House anger remains . ued to make the case, like we ' e :aggerahort and lies' . ` - -
'Saddam." -- "'""" to land a convincing qunch on A U S spokesman said 'I don't makethecese,tnatsaddam_HUS- He saidMrnlaahadmadeslmo-
- There is also dismay atreports , the Government over the camp . think anybody should be sur- saul le a threat to peace' . tar claims m the past The alm Is
that Mr Duncan Smith had - uing decline of public services
; prised that words and actions ,'- Although Mr Beirfailled to men- to justify what cannot be justified,'
offered to 'join forces' with Mr, transport snarGups 'and the have consequences They don't tlon'reglme'change'-the U.S.- he added. 'Thw am is to justify
Blalrtorout,enticsofwarintraq --?-levelsflasco . go away after the election: policy of " emovmg Saddam from? hostlle Intentions towerds laq' ,

Dally IiYa11 Wedn esday, September 25, 2002
Ihere mu~t!"be `no more secand chances' for 1 addam ' -IRAQ- THE DOSSIER
, ..
bckpile':IY,aqpChelniEaIHnIn6s9vvfifih~alostrUCtlbti'in'199- .A4itfnlYUIYWNpbH511isp0CEdF,SaystfbIdUIdhowtF7eBBaY,~tfipr195151e,tat~td_Nor
ANY new UN inspection
team sent into Iraq faces a
emission linpomble
My conversation wt.h a senior
former inspector here suggests
it is naive to thud that a short,
sl'rarp visit would be enough to
determine whether Sands.
Hussem has the capli to visit
mass destruction and terror mi
the wor.d
George Buh's fear fs that 1f the
17N Security Council
vr_ahead, gives the
it would
team the
part of a pattern ot which Section
has led the inspectors a merry
dance
But tLere is lew 'her 1 .
WaslNngton that a, less . one silly is
takmg th=- case agemst Ssudzv ;o
h1s country and the warld
Tony H1a1r's Commons address
wae rbe star turn on many of Ar¢er-
ic eskfastT'lshows yestercay
with Charles Intelfc,
dc cnair'manOf e UN lnapec
tion  ewin front 1993 to 2000, makes
it claw that even underthe best of
crrc,.mstances, a proper audit
of nucleaL chermcal and bioloencal
sites presents enormous
atiellenges
her DueHer and other former
inspectors also ha,bout doubts
about whether the new Swedish
chief inspector Hens Bob has :he
driveto overcome the obstructtans
THERE Is no smoking gun
-more a ticking to nstoomb
Yet ft is unlikelv to quell the ds-
qwet felt among MPs and the
pubhe or to convince them that
we need to no to war to remove
Scene. 1 . the own few howth.
For more than tan years, 1 have
Dean investigating sacaams
development of weapons of mass
destruction for BBC's Panorama.
In many ways, we are back to
where we were lust bar., . the
Gulf War a decade ego.
Sadden, has chemmal and blo-
logmal weapons and the means
to make more on .kly.
The amblbon of Me world ' . great-
ast techno-bandd Is now to get
nablearvespons and don . .. .. . . .. . .
Was~Oa~ 9 to~i
_ ~is~'atc
whom Saadam w,It ce" 'te.nly piace
m rvs path
There ate a¢ead> doubts Shoot
his promise of an 'ucmbaehhodao'
mspectron-
_~ Chairs, now veaulbactaucr
at a Washington thunk-table, is
higl"Jy Sceptical about the use of
mspeatipns
He says 'Theyll never work It
didn't work wish Germany after
[rersalbeswhenrnspeetlonsforrned
pan of :he treaty which enaed
World War I (the abut conrllat lc
wh :cn lethal gases were used) and
1t wart work 1mys'
The sheer scale of the task of
monto Iraq's weapons-pro-
dumg ntes sbeatanng.
N1 Duelferbrandlshes a 61r1 black
Me tone of several volumes) con-
ta3tfr_ng part of the database an
Iraqi weapons capability put
togetner by the team of wr.tch be
aas pa-rt, but-". 1993 and 1998
'There we more than 7501oca-
enaCe oncion Or
t killed -a,000 of his own people at
By Jane
dr®rhiS9
region He is working on esnscdfhg
his missiles to target neighbcunng
countries and might even reach
British bases in Cyprus .
But he cannat menace New York
or London with warheads filled
with V% nerve agent or anthrax
spores.
Seek in I gall, the West wes con-
aplcuously allent when Saddem
The;deailly risk: Page ;E1G1l=T :;
~,P.a_
trace that we monitore rL'11°- says
The Lcst lob vs to re-survey tome
Sites to see what bas militated m
,-Is me, four years
Same thelist team of inspectors
was ePectiely boosted by Saddere,
In 1998, many of the most knowl-
ecgeaole mspectors have let-
The rev, orgemsatron known as
Umr.o"r.c - United Nations mom-
twin, Vacircifthh. and Inspection
Commlssmn - wrn have a steep
learntng curve
It must locate 'ragged eqmp-
ment'-some 3,000 bems which we
part of Seddam's mess destruction
hovenvory and which Mr Dueller
ssys have been'scettered all over
Time .
Tbe former inspector has Lttle
doubt about Saddam's ahllty to
maaufactu-"e chemicslaudb<orog-
cal weapons including the lethal
veLpox spares
we also believes that Iraq has the
'1nteLectusl cap ant and mfra-
Halah7a with po1son gas 'He was
a son nf a tenth but he was our
son of a bdcof,es someone m the
U S Administration put It
So bestir wes a the lwarkagainst
the mullahs in Iran while western
balance InduaVles were desper-
ate far fat contracts wRh Iraq . So
his Invasion of Kuwait was a
nesty shock . But then UN
weepons inspectors were Sent to
contain his drive towards
weapons of mess destruction
The UN team was kicked out in
1998 eft., a failure of will
amongst fine UN Sessurity Council
-
- -
structure' to create a nuclear
device
PJl that it lacked when the
lnsp ectors left was the CGSSile mate-
r'a, which could be bought `-or as
little as £130aulhon m the former
Soviet nine .
There smare urcerthentry Spout
Sachem's ah~lit~ ;o dehve. to tar-
gets Back In 199B, Iraq was Seeking
to-
an . .are and was us`~.ill some utay
off developing the sophisticated
sw9tches needed tc r°-lease the
deadly spores
Brmgsrly the stock of longer
rang=- mrsades, to . Scuds which
wcre fired at Tel Ann, during tne
GuIf Wan Is now thought to be him-
tied to between 12 and 18
Ma Dueller believes that the
Scuds mpresem. more of e psJcho-
logtcal threat to . anything ese
When he left IrecL there n as stll
considerable sector about whether
Redeem bad the impact fuses
whrchcouldmakethemworkelfec-
tive :y without incinerating the
chain .or bratogical agents m the
proc=ss
More wofiywtg has Deen the tede-
~loymen: Lo new loratfons m the
last faur yea .-s oP the 20o-3U0 key
persanneiwhohavethe's:owledge
znd sklas to brmg together liaq's
deadly weapoas capablllty
!vfr Duelte. says that these pim,,c
must be interviewed by the -sspec-
Lors and 'entered safe harbour 1n
members some of whom wanted
to get back to lucrebve busmess
.['in Baghdad
In the four years since, Sadden,
be . enjoyed a free hand to rebuild
his forbidden weapons and m
particular his nuclear ambitions .
The Stair dossier offers a few
tentallsing glimpses of new mtel-
Ilgence such as the attempted
smuggiing of fissile metenel from
Afrlea and elsewhere .
But, as sorneone who has spent
months In the grim industnal
gulags of Russia, chasing down
rumours of uranium for sale, I
know that there are many conmen
among the Mafia and rogue sm-
entisis .
I wonder how much Back bone has
. .
Page 7
the West' He argues that this
wouid be critical 1f the goal of
peaceful disarmament is to be
achieved
However having believed m the
rme of inspection processfor more
than a accede . Ih Dueller has now
lomed the scepars
Inthumve con consent
the development of dangerous
zeaoons but it 1s a fearsome tesa
which hands line nor. c.-oppi-sconot
cribs Iniqrs and amessiamt deter-
mmatron to turnover every secret
site
Neither a-'ibese conditions eaiat
Sodas. s IIenduhly ciever at
keeplng the mternat:onel commmu-
mty guess.ng by biowmg hot and
cold
ntspeatron and duarmament may
appear the peacefln alternative to
pre-empllve stoops Butfaceq "alth
an obstructove, Stalinist-style
res
It °ime determined to develop
we untlateral deterrence,
Inspection becrris to look like a
poor second choice
The big v.orry, however, is that
the outcome of a war against Iraq
is sa unpredictable
So far, only former Democratic
presidential candidate Al Gore Is
pubhcly Seeing out the nsks
Many see hrs attack as the Boost
shots tn the 2004 presrdentral
lection campaign . nor at leastthe
alternative arguments we at last
ber g heard
paid for hi that proved
worthless or was Intercepted
Ever since September 71, pre-
emptive action has become the
wsmhward
1t is not a quesbon of how tar
Sabbath has progressed with his
weapons of mass destruction
that matters
It is the nature of the orbital and
repressive Sadism, Intent on
acquiring nuclear weapons, that
provides fine real impetus for the
dossier. In Via canto few months,
whatever public opinion in Britain
concludes, that will he the real
impetus towards war.
Jane Corbin'e Penar'arrza'Ths
Case Against SaCdam" taps
oroudcaxt pro, ,neek an BBCI