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European Journal of Obstetrics & Gynecology and Reproductive Biology 169 (2013) 223–229

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European Journal of Obstetrics & Gynecology and


Reproductive Biology
journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/ejogrb

A population-based study of venous thrombosis in pregnancy in


Scotland 1980–2005
Eleanor V. Kane a, Catherine Calderwood b, Richard Dobbie c, Carole Morris c, Eve Roman a,
Ian A. Greer d,*
a
Epidemiology and Cancer Statistics Group, Department of Health Sciences, University of York, United Kingdom
b
Royal Infirmary of Edinburgh, United Kingdom
c
Information and Statistics Division, NHS National Services, Scotland, United Kingdom
d
Faculty of Health and Life Sciences, University of Liverpool, United Kingdom

A R T I C L E I N F O A B S T R A C T

Article history: Objectives: Data on time trends in the incidence of pregnancy-related venous thromboembolism (VTE)
Received 4 September 2012 are sparse. This report charts the incidence of pregnancy-related VTE over the period 1980–2005 in
Received in revised form 25 March 2013 Scotland, and discusses the results in relation to potential risk factors.
Accepted 29 March 2013
Study design: 1 475 301 maternity discharges from Scottish hospitals recorded on the Scottish Morbidity
Record 2 (SMR2) were included. Incidences of pregnancy-related VTE, antenatal deep venous
Keywords: thromboembolism (DVT), postnatal DVT and pulmonary embolism (PTE) were derived relative to the
Venous thromboembolism
number of deliveries, and risk factors were analysed using Poisson regression.
Pregnancy
Pulmonary embolism
Results: Over the period, VTE incidence rose from 13.7 to 18.3 per 10 000 deliveries, antenatal DVTs from
Deep vein thrombosis 8.8 to 12.2 per 10 000 deliveries and PTE from 1.5 to 3.0 per 10 000 deliveries. Postnatal DVTs, on the
other hand, declined from 4.2 to 2.7 per 10 000 deliveries. Risk factors were: age over 35 years; three or
more previous pregnancies; previous VTE; obstetric haemorrhage; and preeclampsia. Antenatal DVT risk
was highest in the most deprived areas, where events started increasing before those in less deprived
areas. Postnatal DVT risk was increased following caesarean delivery, especially when unplanned,
although after 1996, events following emergency caesarean decreased.
Conclusion: During the 26-year period, pregnancy-related VTEs increased, with the greatest rise for
antenatal DVTs. Postnatal DVTs, on the other hand, declined over the period, particularly following
emergency section. Thromboprophylaxis use following emergency delivery may have led to the
postpartum reduction. To continue to prevent events, risk assessment and intervention are required,
particularly antenatally.
ß 2013 Elsevier Ireland Ltd. All rights reserved.

1. Introduction since 1995 for women at risk, particularly following caesarean


delivery [3,4]. Thromboprophylaxis following delivery has not
Pulmonary embolism is a major cause of maternal death in the been accepted internationally, however, due to the difficulty in
western world [1]. Pregnancy is a specific risk factor for venous conducting randomised controlled trials among pregnant women,
thromboembolism (VTE) due to changes in the haemostatic as well as the relatively low absolute risk [2]. As for risk factors,
system, reduction in venous flow and potential trauma to pelvic many have been extrapolated from the non-pregnant population,
vessels during the course of delivery [2]. Despite accurate data on although there are increasing data quantifying pregnancy-associ-
mortality from thromboembolism, few contemporary data on the ated risk factors such as immobility, high body mass index and
incidence of VTE in pregnancy have been reported, and most of medical conditions [5]. Before thromboprophylaxis guidelines, an
them antedate guidelines for thromboprophylaxis in pregnancy. earlier study in the Scottish population found that women aged
Throughout the UK, thromboprophylaxis has been recommended over 35 years had twice the risk of antenatal DVT compared to
women under 35 years, who had a DVT rate of six per 10 000.
Following delivery, DVT risks also doubled with age over 35 years
and for emergency caesarean delivery compared to both elective
* Corresponding author at: Faculty of Health & Life Sciences, University of
Liverpool, 3rd Floor, The Foundation Building, 765 Brownlow Hill, Liverpool L69
caesarean and vaginal delivery [6].
7ZX, United Kingdom. Tel.: +44 0151 795 0422. With clinical evidence lacking, examination of temporal
E-mail address: ian.greer@liverpool.ac.uk (I.A. Greer). trends in VTE incidence may give some insight into whether

0301-2115/$ – see front matter ß 2013 Elsevier Ireland Ltd. All rights reserved.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ejogrb.2013.03.024
224 E.V. Kane et al. / European Journal of Obstetrics & Gynecology and Reproductive Biology 169 (2013) 223–229

Table 1
Incidence rates of venous thromboembolism, antenatal deep venous thrombosis, postnatal deep venous thrombosis, and pulmonary thromboembolism, Scotland 1980–2005.

Total deliveries VTEa Antenatal DVTa Postnatal DVTa PTEa


b b b
N Rate 95% CI N Rate 95% CI N Rate 95% CI N Rateb 95% CI

Total 1 475 301 2006 13.6 13.0–14.2 1287 8.7 8.2–9.2 498 3.4 3.1–3.7 290 2.0 1.7–2.2
Age
<25 493 435 582 12.2 11.2–13.2 399 8.3 7.5–9.1 131 2.7 2.2–3.2 78 1.7 1.4–2.1
25–34 831 043 1117 13.5 12.7–14.3 706 8.5 7.9–9.2 272 3.3 2.9–3.7 170 2.0 1.7–2.3
35 150 823 307 20.7 18.2–23.3 182 11.9 10.0–13.8 95 7.1 5.5–8.6 42 2.9 2.0–3.9
Year
1980–1985 371 958 471 13.7 12.4–15.0 309 8.8 7.8–9.8 141 4.2 3.5–5.0 55 1.8 1.3–2.3
1986–1990 305 967 378 12.8 11.4–14.1 246 8.2 7.1–9.2 103 3.6 2.9–4.4 43 1.5 1.0–1.9
1991–1995 296 038 335 11.4 10.2–12.6 214 7.3 6.3–8.3 91 3.1 2.4–3.7 45 1.5 1.1–2.0
1996–2000 262 711 374 14.1 12.6–15.6 222 8.5 7.4–9.7 89 3.3 2.6–4.0 78 3.0 2.3–3.6
2001–2005 238 627 448 18.3 16.6–20.1 296 12.2 10.8–13.7 74 2.7 2.1–3.4 69 3.0 2.3–3.8
a
VTE: venous thromboembolism; DVT: deep venous thrombosis; PTE: pulmonary thromboembolism. Numbers do not add up to total number of VTE since 79 deliveries
had antenatal and postnatal DVTs, 15 deliveries had antenatal DVT and PTE, 12 deliveries had postnatal DVT and PTE, and 1 delivery had all three types of VTE; for 39
deliveries, type of VTE was not known.
b
Incidence rate per 10 000 deliveries adjusted for age and year.

thromboprophylaxis reduces the occurrence of VTE. This study the log likelihood ratio test. Analyses were repeated for antenatal
describes the pattern of VTE associated with pregnancy in Scotland DVT, postnatal DVT and PTE; for a small number of deliveries more
between 1980 and 2005, using routinely collected hospital than one type of VTE was recorded but restricting analyses to
discharge data, and investigates potential risk factors. deliveries with only one type did not change the findings. All
analyses were conducted using Stata/IC 11.1 for Windows
2. Materials and methods (StataCorp LP).

The Scottish Morbidity Record (SMR2) is a registry containing 3. Results


clinical and demographic characteristics and outcomes for all
women discharged from Scottish maternity hospitals: regular During 1980–2005, the overall incidence rate for VTE was 13.6
quality-assurance checks have confirmed that it is more than 99% per 10 000 deliveries. The majority of events were antenatal (8.7
complete [7]. Obstetric histories are linked via the mother’s record, per 10 000 deliveries) rather than postnatal DVT (3.4 per 10 000
and other national databases including SMR11 (neonatal informa- deliveries) or PTE (2.0 per 10 000 deliveries). Incidence rates are
tion up to 2002), SBR (Scottish Birth Record, from 2003) and GRO shown by maternal age, an established risk factor in this
Birth registrations (General Registry Office for Scotland) add data population [6] and by each five-year period (Table 1). Age-specific
relating to the baby. Hospital admissions for pregnancy-related rates of VTE in total, antenatal DVT, postnatal DVT and PTE
VTE in non-obstetric settings were obtained from the Scottish demonstrate an increase in all types with maternal age (Fig. 1).
Morbidity Record 1 (SMR1; hospital admissions data) using Temporal trends showed that VTE increased from the mid-1990s,
probability-based matching to link maternal identifying informa- mostly due to the rise in antenatal DVTs (Fig. 2). For PTE, the rate
tion to SMR2 [8]. All hospital episodes of pregnancy-related VTE, was around 1.5 per 10 000 deliveries until 1996, when rates
from forty weeks before to six weeks after delivery, were identified increased to 3.0 per 10 000 deliveries. Postnatal DVT on the other
using ICD codes for DVT (ICD9: 325, 437.6, 451.1, 451.2, 453, hand decreased over the 26 years.
671.3–671.5; ICD10: G08, I63.6, I67.6, I80.1–I80.3, I82, O22.3, Risk factors for VTE were age 35 or over (IRR = 1.73, 95% CI 1.50–
O22.5, O87.1, O87.3, O87.9) and PTE (ICD9: 415.1, 673.2; ICD10: 1.98), parity of 3 or more (IRR = 1.61, 95% CI 1.37–1.88), previous
I26, O88.2). Ethical approval was obtained from the Privacy VTE (IRR = 7.30, 95% CI 6.07–8.77), and haemorrhage (IRR = 1.67,
Advisory Committee of the Information Services, National Health 95% CI 1.43–1.93). These associations were generally present for
Service, Scotland. antenatal DVT, postnatal DVT and PTE, and most remained when
The dataset comprised deliveries in Scotland to women aged adjusted for other risk factors (Table 2). Hypertension was
13–48 years from 1980 to 2005: data for the first decade have been associated with antenatal DVT (IRR = 1.19, 95% CI 1.01–1.39)
published previously [6]. There were 1 558 013 deliveries in total and preeclampsia was related to postnatal DVT (IRR = 1.66, 95% CI
but one health board was excluded due to discrepancies in their 1.20–2.30) and PTE (IRR = 3.14, 95% CI 2.21–4.46). In addition,
data, leaving 1 475 301 (95%) deliveries for analysis. The incidence emergency and elective caesarean delivery were associated with
of VTE in pregnancy and postpartum adjusted for age and year was postnatal DVT (IRR = 2.24, 95% CI 1.79–2.81; IRR = 1.40, 95% CI
calculated relative to the total number of hospital deliveries. Age- 1.01–1.94 respectively).
specific incidence rates were calculated by single year, aggregating During the study, more women gave birth in their late 30s and
data for women aged 15 years or less or over 40 years. To examine early 40s and the number of caesarean deliveries increased from
age and time trends, three-year moving averages of incidence rates around 1 in 10 deliveries in 1980–1985 to 1 in 5 in 2000–2005. The
were plotted. Potential risk factors included parity, previous VTE, postnatal DVT rate was lowest among women aged under 25 who
ante- and postnatal haemorrhage, preeclampsia, hypertension, had had a vaginal delivery (2.1 per 10 000 deliveries). Compared to
mode of delivery and deprivation as well as maternal age at this group, having a vaginal delivery at older ages or a caesarean
delivery and year of delivery. Deprivation was based on the delivery aged under 25 increased postnatal DVT risk around three-
Carstairs score [9], an area-based measure of socioeconomic status fold (IRR = 2.85, 95% CI 2.05–3.95; IRR = 3.43, 95% CI 2.27–5.18
calculated using 1991 Scottish census data. Incidence rate ratios respectively) while having an emergency caesarean when aged 35
(IRR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) were estimated using and over increased the risk six-fold (IRR = 5.80, 95% CI 3.62–9.30)
Poisson regression [10]. Tests for interaction were conducted using (Table 3). The decrease in postnatal DVTs over time was most
E.V. Kane et al. / European Journal of Obstetrics & Gynecology and Reproductive Biology 169 (2013) 223–229 225

Fig. 1. Age-specific incidence rates of venous thromboembolism, antenatal deep venous thrombosis, postnatal deep venous thrombosis, and pulmonary thromboembolism,
Scotland 1980–2005. Three-year sliding average rates are plotted, e.g. the rate plotted at age 20 is the average of rates at ages 19, 20 and 21. Rates are adjusted for year of
delivery.

Fig. 2. Year-specific incidence rates of venous thromboembolism, antenatal deep venous thrombosis, postnatal deep venous thrombosis, and pulmonary thromboembolism,
Scotland 1980–2005. Three-year sliding average rates are plotted, e.g. the rate plotted for 1985 is the average of rates across 1984, 1985 and 1986. Rates are adjusted for age at
delivery.

notable for emergency caesarean, where incidence rates fell from While postnatal DVT rates decreased, antenatal DVT rates rose.
12.3 per 10 000 deliveries (95% CI 7.4–17.1) in 1980–1985 to 3.9 The increasing trend occurred at all maternal ages and not just
per 10 000 deliveries (95% CI 1.8–6.0) in 2001–2005 (Table 4). In among women aged 35 and over (data not shown). This VTE was
1991–1995, immediately before prophylaxis guidelines, the rate increased amongst women living in the most deprived areas of
was 7.4 per 10 000 deliveries (95% CI 4.2–10.6) and following their Scotland (Table 2) and the temporal trends differed from those
introduction, it fell to 4.9 (95% CI 2.4–7.5) in 1996–2000. living in less deprived areas. In the 1980s, antenatal DVT rates were
Compared to 1980–1985 rates, the incidence of postnatal DVTs similar for women living in the most and less deprived areas (9.3
was significantly lower from 1996 onwards (1996–2000: per 10 000 deliveries, 95% CI 7.2–11.4; 8.2 per 10 000 deliveries,
IRR = 0.43, 95% CI 0.23–0.81; 2001–2005: IRR = 0.34, 95% CI 95% CI 7.2–9.3, respectively). Rates began to increase in the 1990s
0.18–0.66). This pattern remained when adjusted for parity, in the most deprived areas (1996–2000: 13.0 per 10 000 deliveries,
deprivation, antenatal haemorrhage, preeclampsia, hypertension 95% CI 9.9–16.0; 2000–2005: 16.3 per 10 000 deliveries, 95% CI
and previous VTE. 12.8–19.9), but not until the millennium in the less deprived areas
226
Table 2
Associations between antenatal deep venous thrombosis, postnatal deep venous thrombosis, and pulmonary thromboembolism; and age, year of delivery, deprivation, parity, hypertension, previous venous thrombosis embolism,
haemorrhage, preeclampsia and delivery mode.

Total deliveries Antenatal DVTa Postnatal DVTa PTEa


(N = 1 475 301)
N = 1287 IRRb 95% CI Adj. IRRb Adj. 95% CI N = 498 IRRb 95% CI Adj. IRRb Adj. 95% CI N = 290 IRRb 95% CI Adj. IRRb Adj. 95% CI

Age (mean, sd) 27.2 (5.55) 27.6 (5.84) 1.08c 1.03–1.13 1.06c 1.01–1.11 28.7 (6.15) 1.25c 1.16–1.35 1.25c 1.16–1.36 28.6 (5.79) 1.21c 1.10–1.34 1.14c 1.03–1.26
<25 493 435 399 1 Ref 1 Ref 131 1 Ref 1 Ref 78 1 Ref 1 Ref
25–34 831 043 706 1.03 0.91–1.16 1.06 0.93–1.20 272 1.27 1.03–1.57 1.27 1.03–1.58 170 1.22 0.93–1.59 1.22 0.93–1.62
35 150 823 182 1.40 1.17–1.68 1.33 1.10–1.60 95 2.58 1.97–3.38 2.34 1.76–3.10 42 1.49 1.01–2.18 1.34 0.90–2.00

E.V. Kane et al. / European Journal of Obstetrics & Gynecology and Reproductive Biology 169 (2013) 223–229
Year 1.09d 1.05–1.13 1.09d 1.05–1.14 0.96d 0.90–1.02 0.91d 0.85–0.97 1.24d 1.14–1.34 1.20d 1.10–1.30
1980–1985 371 958 309 1 Ref 1 Ref 141 1 Ref 1 Ref 55 1 Ref 1 Ref
1986–1990 305 967 246 0.96 0.81–1.14 0.97 0.82–1.15 103 0.86 0.67–1.11 0.87 0.67–1.13 43 0.93 0.63–1.39 0.95 0.63–1.42
1991–1995 296 038 214 0.86 0.72–1.02 0.86 0.72–1.03 91 0.75 0.57–0.97 0.75 0.57–0.99 45 0.97 0.66–1.45 0.98 0.65–1.47
1996–2000 262 711 222 0.99 0.83–1.18 1.00 0.84–1.20 89 0.78 0.60–1.02 0.77 0.59–1.02 78 1.84 1.30–2.61 1.87 1.31–2.68
2001–2005 238 627 296 1.45 1.23–1.70 1.49 1.26–1.76 74 0.69 0.52–0.92 0.66 0.49–0.89 69 1.76 1.23–2.52 1.76 1.21–2.56
Deprivation quintile
1st (most affluent) 264 660 234 1 Ref 1 Ref 82 1 Ref 1 Ref 48 1 Ref 1 Ref
2nd 267 301 223 0.94 0.79–1.13 0.98 0.81–1.17 94 1.14 0.84–1.53 1.20 0.89–1.62 57 1.18 0.80–1.73 1.26 0.86–1.85
3rd 269 384 202 0.85 0.70–1.02 0.89 0.74–1.07 83 0.99 0.73–1.35 1.09 0.80–1.48 58 1.19 0.81–1.74 1.28 0.87–1.88
4th 290 056 247 0.96 0.81–1.15 1.02 0.85–1.22 93 1.03 0.77–1.39 1.16 0.86–1.56 53 1.01 0.68–1.49 1.12 0.76–1.66
5th (least affluent) 345 362 354 1.16 0.98–1.37 1.26 1.06–1.49 133 1.24 0.94–1.64 1.43 1.08–1.89 69 1.10 0.76–1.59 1.29 0.89–1.88
Not Recorded 38 538 27 0.79 0.53–1.18 0.90 0.60–1.35 13 1.09 0.61–1.95 1.18 0.65–2.14 5 0.72 0.28–1.80 1.08 0.42–2.76
Paritye
0 725 228 650 1 Ref 1 Ref 253 1 Ref 1 Ref 144 1 Ref 1 Ref
1–2 667 418 524 0.83 0.74–0.93 0.80 0.71–0.90 199 0.80 0.66–0.97 0.83 0.68–1.01 116 0.75 0.59–0.97 0.84 0.65–1.08
3+ 82 648 113 1.40 1.14–1.72 1.19 0.96–1.46 46 1.38 1.00–1.90 1.32 0.95–1.84 30 1.43 0.95–2.14 1.50 0.99–2.27
Previous VTEa
No 1 462 434 1207 1 Ref 1 Ref 472 1 Ref 1 Ref 276 1 Ref 1 Ref
Yes 12 867 80 7.42 5.91–9.33 7.97 6.30–10.1 26 5.37 3.61–7.99 6.06 4.03–9.12 14 5.28 3.07–9.07 5.71 3.28–9.94
Hypertension
No 1 298 755 1110 1 Ref 1 Ref 424 1 Ref 1 Ref 234 1 Ref 1 Ref
Yes 176 546 177 1.19 1.01–1.39 1.18 0.96–1.44 74 1.24 0.97–1.59 0.92 0.65–1.31 56 1.81 1.35–2.42 1.00 0.63–1.59
Preeclampsia
No 1 403 448 1216 1 Ref 1 Ref 458 1 Ref 1 Ref 254 1 Ref 1 Ref
Yes 71 853 71 1.19 0.94–1.52 1.03 0.76–1.39 40 1.66 1.20–2.30 1.60 1.01–2.53 36 3.14 2.21–4.46 2.98 1.72–5.17
Antenatal haemorrhage
No 1 338 579 1186 1 Ref 1 Ref 450 1 Ref 1 Ref 247 1 Ref 1 Ref
Yes 86 722 101 1.36 1.11–1.66 1.34 1.09–1.64 48 1.75 1.30–2.36 1.54 1.14–2.08 43 2.77 2.01–3.83 2.64 1.90–3.65
Postnatal haemorrhage
No – – – – – – 438 1 Ref 1 Ref 231 1 Ref 1 Ref
Yes – – – – – – 60 1.47 1.12–1.93 1.20 0.90–1.60 59 2.33 1.74–3.12 2.19 1.63–2.93
Delivery mode
Vaginal 1 233 136 – – – – – 358 1 Ref 1 Ref – – – – –
Elective caesarean 91 621 – – – – – 41 1.40 1.01–1.94 1.39 1.00–1.94 – – – – –
Emergency caesarean 150 544 – – – – – 99 2.24 1.79–2.81 2.06 1.63–2.61 – – – – –
a
VTE: venous thromboembolism; DVT: deep venous thrombosis; PTE: pulmonary thromboembolism.
b
Incidence rate ratios (IRR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) estimated using Poisson regression; adjusted incidence rate ratios (Adj. IRR) were adjusted for age at delivery, year of delivery, deprivation, parity, hypertension,
previous VTE, haemorrhage and preeclampsia, and for postnatal DVT, mode of delivery.
c
IRR for 5-year increase in age compared to age below 20.
d
IRR for 5-year increase compared to 1980–1985 period.
e
Seven deliveries had no information on parity.
E.V. Kane et al. / European Journal of Obstetrics & Gynecology and Reproductive Biology 169 (2013) 223–229 227

Table 3
Associations between postnatal deep venous thrombosis, age and mode of delivery.

Age Vaginal delivery Elective caesarean Emergency caesarean


a a b b a a b b
Total N Rate 95% CI IRR 95% CI Total N Rate 95% CI IRR 95% CI Total N Ratea 95% CIa IRRb 95% CIb

<25 433 707 91 2.1 1.7–2.6 1 Ref 16 816 10 6.3 2.4–10.3 2.86 1.49–5.49 42 912 30 7.1 4.5–9.6 3.43 2.27–5.18
25–34 687 471 206 3.0 2.6–3.4 1.48 1.15–1.89 56 618 19 3.4 1.9–5.0 1.70 1.04–2.80 86 954 47 6.1 4.3–8.0 2.79 1.96–3.98
35 111 958 61 5.8 4.3–7.4 2.85 2.05–3.95 18 187 12 7.4 2.6–12.2 3.56 1.94–6.52 20 678 22 15.7 8.2–23.2 5.80 3.62–9.30
a
Incidence rate per 10 000 deliveries.
b
Incidence rate ratios (IRR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) estimated using Poisson regression adjusting for year of admission. Test for interaction between age at
delivery and mode of delivery: x2 = 8.61, p = 0.07.

Table 4
Associations between postnatal deep venous thrombosis and mode of delivery by year of delivery.

Year Total Vaginal delivery Elective caesarean Emergency caesarean

N Ratea 95% CIa IRRb 95% CIb Total N Ratea 95% CIa IRRb 95% CIb Total N Ratea 95% CIa IRRb 95% CIb

1980–1985 325 485 106 3.5 2.8–4.2 1 Ref 18 625 7 3.9 0.9–6.9 1 Ref 27 848 28 12.3 7.4–17.1 1 Ref
1986–1990 262 919 70 2.9 2.2–3.5 0.79 0.59–1.07 16 053 12 8.1 3.4–12.8 1.97 0.77–5.00 26 995 21 8.3 4.6–12.0 0.76 0.43–1.34
1991–1995 249 867 65 2.6 2.0–3.2 0.73 0.54–1.00 17 520 5 2.9 0.3–5.4 0.73 0.23–2.32 28 651 21 7.4 4.2–10.6 0.68 0.39–1.20
1996–2000 212 906 67 3.0 2.2–3.7 0.84 0.62–1.15 18 418 7 4.4 1.0–7.8 0.95 0.33–2.75 31 387 15 4.9 2.4–7.5 0.43 0.23–0.81
2001–2005 181 959 50 2.3 1.6–3.0 0.71 0.51–1.01 21 005 10 4.7 1.6–7.8 1.17 0.44–3.15 35 663 14 3.9 1.8–6.0 0.34 0.18–0.66
a
Incidence rate per 10 000 deliveries.
b
Incidence rate ratios (IRR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) estimated using Poisson regression adjusting for age at delivery. Test for interaction between year of delivery
and mode of delivery: x2 = 14.1, p = 0.08.

Table 5
Associations between antenatal deep venous thrombosis and deprivation by year of delivery.

Year 1st to 4th quintiles of deprivation 5th quintile of deprivation (least affluent)

Total N Ratea 95% CIa IRRb 95% CIb Total N Ratea 95% CIa IRRb 95% CIb

1980–1985 278 418 228 8.2 7.2–9.3 1 Ref 93 540 81 9.3 7.2–11.4 1 Ref
1986–1990 231 672 195 8.3 7.2–9.5 1.02 0.84–1.24 74 295 51 6.6 4.7–8.5 0.78 0.55–1.11
1991–1995 228 714 152 6.7 5.6–7.7 0.80 0.65–0.98 67 324 62 9.6 7.2–12.1 1.03 0.74–1.43
1996–2000 204 959 148 7.2 6.1–8.4 0.86 0.70–1.06 57 752 74 13.0 9.9–16.0 1.40 1.02–1.92
2001–2005 186 176 210 11.2 9.7–12.8 1.34 1.11–1.62 52 451 86 16.3 12.8–19.9 1.77 1.30–2.41
a
Incidence rate per 10 000 deliveries.
b
Incidence rate ratios (IRR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) estimated using Poisson regression adjusting for age at delivery. Test for interaction between deprivation and
year of delivery: x2 = 17.4, p = 0.002.

(2000–2005: 11.2 per 10 000 deliveries, 95% CI 9.7–12.8 per 10 000 advent of ultrasound venography [11], VTE may have been
deliveries) (Table 5). diagnosed clinically rather than by X-ray venography due to
concerns of radiation exposure to the fetus. Such clinical diagnosis
4. Comments may have overdiagnosed the problem in the earlier years of this
study in contrast to objectively confirmed diagnosis at later times.
Over the 26-year period, the rate of venous thrombosis Pregnancy-related VTE may not necessarily present to obstetric
associated with pregnancy increased from 14 in 1980–1985 to departments and 2% of cases were identified by non-obstetric ICD
18 of every 10 000 deliveries in 2001–2005. The rise in pregnancy- codes. Coding of VTE could be an issue, and since validation of
associated VTE was due to increasing numbers of antenatal DVTs. codes against medical records elsewhere suggests positive
In the most deprived areas of Scotland, the rise started before, and predictive values of more than 80% for the broad groupings of
incidence of antenatal DVTs remained above, that in less deprived VTE, DVT and PTE [12,13], it is possible that rates are over-
areas. PTE rates were constant across the first 16 years of the study estimated. Changes in diagnoses and coding quality are unlikely to
until a slight increase around 1996–1997 and have remained at explain the differing trends in antenatal and postnatal events, and
three per 10 000 deliveries since. Not all types of VTE were on the by social deprivation. One health board, comprising 5% of
increase. The incidence of postnatal DVTs declined from over four deliveries, had higher than typical numbers of PTEs in two
to under three per 10 000 deliveries. Postnatal DVTs have consecutive years, and its exclusion did not change the findings for
decreased the most amongst women delivering by emergency other types of VTE. We were unable to explain the increase in
caesarean, particularly after 1995. antenatal DVTs in terms of risk factors, such as obesity,
Our study, based on almost 1.5 million deliveries in Scotland, is immobilisation during pregnancy, smoking in pregnancy, and
one of the largest population-based studies of pregnancy-related multiple pregnancies for example, due to a lack of data. Our data
VTE, and covers the period when thromboprophylaxis guidelines could not be linked to prescribing and therefore we cannot
in pregnancy were introduced. This population-based study using establish which women received thromboprophylaxis.
routinely collected hospital data has some limitations. Changes in The incidence of pregnancy-related VTE in Scotland is amongst
diagnostic techniques and in practice during the study period may the highest reported in the last decade. Elsewhere, rates per 10 000
have impacted our findings. For instance, increased epidural rates deliveries have ranged from five in South Korea, ten in England and
and antibiotic prophylaxis for caesarean delivery may have Australia, 12 in Denmark to 17 or more in North America and Hong
reduced the VTE risk. Conversely, in the early 1980s before the Kong [14–21]. Temporal trends described in North America,
228 E.V. Kane et al. / European Journal of Obstetrics & Gynecology and Reproductive Biology 169 (2013) 223–229

Scandinavia and England mostly relate to data up to the 1990s DVTs rose in all age groups. Some DVTs in pregnancy may be
[20,22–25]. One study described pregnancy-related VTE incidence preventable if risk factors such as obesity, smoking in pregnancy,
from 1991 through 2005 using hospital inpatient records [20]. immobilisation and deprivation could be addressed. Previous
These Canadian data found a decline in DVTs during pregnancy and VTE and the other risk factors examined here explained 5% or less
postpartum. During the study, there was a change in practice from of antenatal DVTs, although a higher proportion could be
treating women with DVTs as outpatients rather than inpatients explained if there is non-differential misclassification of VTE
and this may have influenced their observation. This same study resulting in underestimation of the risk estimates. As in the
and another conducted in the US both reported increases in PTE Scottish population as a whole, obesity has become more
incidence from the early 1990s to the mid-2000s [20,26] while an common among pregnant women in recent years [32]. Using
earlier US study reported a decline from 1966 to 1995 [25]. Our PTE data from another study where a third of women were
data showed a constant rate until 1996/1997, and a higher but overweight and a BMI of 25 kg m 2 or more increased antenatal
constant rate since. DVT risk to 1.6, being overweight may account for over 15% of
In the UK, postpartum prophylaxis for women at risk has been antenatal DVTs [5]. Attributable fractions depend on the
advocated for almost 20 years [27]. In September 1995, the first prevalence of the exposure in a population but nevertheless,
Scottish Intercollegiate Guidelines Network (SIGN) document on this example gives some indication of the impact being
prophylaxis of VTE specifically published a section on pregnancy overweight may have on the occurrence of antenatal DVTs.
giving clear national guidelines applicable to the Scottish Health Whatever underlying factors are causing the rise, it is clear that
Service [4]. The guideline highlighted pregnancy as a risk factor women from the most deprived areas of Scotland have a greater
particularly for the puerperium, and where there was a history of incidence than those from less deprived areas. Nevertheless, the
previous thromboembolism or thrombophilia, age over 35, obesity, increase in antenatal DVTs has occurred among all women in our
emergency caesarean or major surgery or concurrent medical study, rising by almost 50% over the last ten years. These data
illness in pregnancy. Pharmacological prophylaxis with heparin show a decrease in postnatal DVTs following the advent of
with or without graduated elastic compression stockings was guidelines for thromboprophylaxis but on the other hand, an
recommended for patients at risk. In the same year, the Royal increase in antenatal DVTs that needs addressing.
College of Obstetricians and Gynaecologists (RCOG) published
their guidelines for thromboprophylaxis in obstetrics [3], and in
Conflict of interest
particular following caesarean delivery, with consideration of
similar risk factors to the SIGN recommendations. This was
The authors have no competing interests.
disseminated to all Fellows and Members of the College in late
1995. The reduction in postnatal VTE following the introduction of
these guidelines suggests the possibility of their impact in practice. Acknowledgements
This decrease may be greater than our data reflect since during the
study period, older maternal age, caesarean delivery and obesity The Executive Health Department, Chief Scientists Office
have become more common. It is worth noting that while specific funded data extraction and processing conducted by the Informa-
pharmacological thromboprophylaxis after caesarean delivery is tion and Statistics Division, NHS National Services. The study was
commonly practised in Europe, it is much less common in North approved by the Privacy Advisory Committee of the Information
America. Services, National Health Service, Scotland.
While cause and effect cannot be demonstrated here, the
temporal relationship for postnatal DVTs is suggestive of, and References
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