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Article history: Objectives: Data on time trends in the incidence of pregnancy-related venous thromboembolism (VTE)
Received 4 September 2012 are sparse. This report charts the incidence of pregnancy-related VTE over the period 1980–2005 in
Received in revised form 25 March 2013 Scotland, and discusses the results in relation to potential risk factors.
Accepted 29 March 2013
Study design: 1 475 301 maternity discharges from Scottish hospitals recorded on the Scottish Morbidity
Record 2 (SMR2) were included. Incidences of pregnancy-related VTE, antenatal deep venous
Keywords: thromboembolism (DVT), postnatal DVT and pulmonary embolism (PTE) were derived relative to the
Venous thromboembolism
number of deliveries, and risk factors were analysed using Poisson regression.
Pregnancy
Pulmonary embolism
Results: Over the period, VTE incidence rose from 13.7 to 18.3 per 10 000 deliveries, antenatal DVTs from
Deep vein thrombosis 8.8 to 12.2 per 10 000 deliveries and PTE from 1.5 to 3.0 per 10 000 deliveries. Postnatal DVTs, on the
other hand, declined from 4.2 to 2.7 per 10 000 deliveries. Risk factors were: age over 35 years; three or
more previous pregnancies; previous VTE; obstetric haemorrhage; and preeclampsia. Antenatal DVT risk
was highest in the most deprived areas, where events started increasing before those in less deprived
areas. Postnatal DVT risk was increased following caesarean delivery, especially when unplanned,
although after 1996, events following emergency caesarean decreased.
Conclusion: During the 26-year period, pregnancy-related VTEs increased, with the greatest rise for
antenatal DVTs. Postnatal DVTs, on the other hand, declined over the period, particularly following
emergency section. Thromboprophylaxis use following emergency delivery may have led to the
postpartum reduction. To continue to prevent events, risk assessment and intervention are required,
particularly antenatally.
ß 2013 Elsevier Ireland Ltd. All rights reserved.
0301-2115/$ – see front matter ß 2013 Elsevier Ireland Ltd. All rights reserved.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ejogrb.2013.03.024
224 E.V. Kane et al. / European Journal of Obstetrics & Gynecology and Reproductive Biology 169 (2013) 223–229
Table 1
Incidence rates of venous thromboembolism, antenatal deep venous thrombosis, postnatal deep venous thrombosis, and pulmonary thromboembolism, Scotland 1980–2005.
Total 1 475 301 2006 13.6 13.0–14.2 1287 8.7 8.2–9.2 498 3.4 3.1–3.7 290 2.0 1.7–2.2
Age
<25 493 435 582 12.2 11.2–13.2 399 8.3 7.5–9.1 131 2.7 2.2–3.2 78 1.7 1.4–2.1
25–34 831 043 1117 13.5 12.7–14.3 706 8.5 7.9–9.2 272 3.3 2.9–3.7 170 2.0 1.7–2.3
35 150 823 307 20.7 18.2–23.3 182 11.9 10.0–13.8 95 7.1 5.5–8.6 42 2.9 2.0–3.9
Year
1980–1985 371 958 471 13.7 12.4–15.0 309 8.8 7.8–9.8 141 4.2 3.5–5.0 55 1.8 1.3–2.3
1986–1990 305 967 378 12.8 11.4–14.1 246 8.2 7.1–9.2 103 3.6 2.9–4.4 43 1.5 1.0–1.9
1991–1995 296 038 335 11.4 10.2–12.6 214 7.3 6.3–8.3 91 3.1 2.4–3.7 45 1.5 1.1–2.0
1996–2000 262 711 374 14.1 12.6–15.6 222 8.5 7.4–9.7 89 3.3 2.6–4.0 78 3.0 2.3–3.6
2001–2005 238 627 448 18.3 16.6–20.1 296 12.2 10.8–13.7 74 2.7 2.1–3.4 69 3.0 2.3–3.8
a
VTE: venous thromboembolism; DVT: deep venous thrombosis; PTE: pulmonary thromboembolism. Numbers do not add up to total number of VTE since 79 deliveries
had antenatal and postnatal DVTs, 15 deliveries had antenatal DVT and PTE, 12 deliveries had postnatal DVT and PTE, and 1 delivery had all three types of VTE; for 39
deliveries, type of VTE was not known.
b
Incidence rate per 10 000 deliveries adjusted for age and year.
thromboprophylaxis reduces the occurrence of VTE. This study the log likelihood ratio test. Analyses were repeated for antenatal
describes the pattern of VTE associated with pregnancy in Scotland DVT, postnatal DVT and PTE; for a small number of deliveries more
between 1980 and 2005, using routinely collected hospital than one type of VTE was recorded but restricting analyses to
discharge data, and investigates potential risk factors. deliveries with only one type did not change the findings. All
analyses were conducted using Stata/IC 11.1 for Windows
2. Materials and methods (StataCorp LP).
Fig. 1. Age-specific incidence rates of venous thromboembolism, antenatal deep venous thrombosis, postnatal deep venous thrombosis, and pulmonary thromboembolism,
Scotland 1980–2005. Three-year sliding average rates are plotted, e.g. the rate plotted at age 20 is the average of rates at ages 19, 20 and 21. Rates are adjusted for year of
delivery.
Fig. 2. Year-specific incidence rates of venous thromboembolism, antenatal deep venous thrombosis, postnatal deep venous thrombosis, and pulmonary thromboembolism,
Scotland 1980–2005. Three-year sliding average rates are plotted, e.g. the rate plotted for 1985 is the average of rates across 1984, 1985 and 1986. Rates are adjusted for age at
delivery.
notable for emergency caesarean, where incidence rates fell from While postnatal DVT rates decreased, antenatal DVT rates rose.
12.3 per 10 000 deliveries (95% CI 7.4–17.1) in 1980–1985 to 3.9 The increasing trend occurred at all maternal ages and not just
per 10 000 deliveries (95% CI 1.8–6.0) in 2001–2005 (Table 4). In among women aged 35 and over (data not shown). This VTE was
1991–1995, immediately before prophylaxis guidelines, the rate increased amongst women living in the most deprived areas of
was 7.4 per 10 000 deliveries (95% CI 4.2–10.6) and following their Scotland (Table 2) and the temporal trends differed from those
introduction, it fell to 4.9 (95% CI 2.4–7.5) in 1996–2000. living in less deprived areas. In the 1980s, antenatal DVT rates were
Compared to 1980–1985 rates, the incidence of postnatal DVTs similar for women living in the most and less deprived areas (9.3
was significantly lower from 1996 onwards (1996–2000: per 10 000 deliveries, 95% CI 7.2–11.4; 8.2 per 10 000 deliveries,
IRR = 0.43, 95% CI 0.23–0.81; 2001–2005: IRR = 0.34, 95% CI 95% CI 7.2–9.3, respectively). Rates began to increase in the 1990s
0.18–0.66). This pattern remained when adjusted for parity, in the most deprived areas (1996–2000: 13.0 per 10 000 deliveries,
deprivation, antenatal haemorrhage, preeclampsia, hypertension 95% CI 9.9–16.0; 2000–2005: 16.3 per 10 000 deliveries, 95% CI
and previous VTE. 12.8–19.9), but not until the millennium in the less deprived areas
226
Table 2
Associations between antenatal deep venous thrombosis, postnatal deep venous thrombosis, and pulmonary thromboembolism; and age, year of delivery, deprivation, parity, hypertension, previous venous thrombosis embolism,
haemorrhage, preeclampsia and delivery mode.
Age (mean, sd) 27.2 (5.55) 27.6 (5.84) 1.08c 1.03–1.13 1.06c 1.01–1.11 28.7 (6.15) 1.25c 1.16–1.35 1.25c 1.16–1.36 28.6 (5.79) 1.21c 1.10–1.34 1.14c 1.03–1.26
<25 493 435 399 1 Ref 1 Ref 131 1 Ref 1 Ref 78 1 Ref 1 Ref
25–34 831 043 706 1.03 0.91–1.16 1.06 0.93–1.20 272 1.27 1.03–1.57 1.27 1.03–1.58 170 1.22 0.93–1.59 1.22 0.93–1.62
35 150 823 182 1.40 1.17–1.68 1.33 1.10–1.60 95 2.58 1.97–3.38 2.34 1.76–3.10 42 1.49 1.01–2.18 1.34 0.90–2.00
E.V. Kane et al. / European Journal of Obstetrics & Gynecology and Reproductive Biology 169 (2013) 223–229
Year 1.09d 1.05–1.13 1.09d 1.05–1.14 0.96d 0.90–1.02 0.91d 0.85–0.97 1.24d 1.14–1.34 1.20d 1.10–1.30
1980–1985 371 958 309 1 Ref 1 Ref 141 1 Ref 1 Ref 55 1 Ref 1 Ref
1986–1990 305 967 246 0.96 0.81–1.14 0.97 0.82–1.15 103 0.86 0.67–1.11 0.87 0.67–1.13 43 0.93 0.63–1.39 0.95 0.63–1.42
1991–1995 296 038 214 0.86 0.72–1.02 0.86 0.72–1.03 91 0.75 0.57–0.97 0.75 0.57–0.99 45 0.97 0.66–1.45 0.98 0.65–1.47
1996–2000 262 711 222 0.99 0.83–1.18 1.00 0.84–1.20 89 0.78 0.60–1.02 0.77 0.59–1.02 78 1.84 1.30–2.61 1.87 1.31–2.68
2001–2005 238 627 296 1.45 1.23–1.70 1.49 1.26–1.76 74 0.69 0.52–0.92 0.66 0.49–0.89 69 1.76 1.23–2.52 1.76 1.21–2.56
Deprivation quintile
1st (most affluent) 264 660 234 1 Ref 1 Ref 82 1 Ref 1 Ref 48 1 Ref 1 Ref
2nd 267 301 223 0.94 0.79–1.13 0.98 0.81–1.17 94 1.14 0.84–1.53 1.20 0.89–1.62 57 1.18 0.80–1.73 1.26 0.86–1.85
3rd 269 384 202 0.85 0.70–1.02 0.89 0.74–1.07 83 0.99 0.73–1.35 1.09 0.80–1.48 58 1.19 0.81–1.74 1.28 0.87–1.88
4th 290 056 247 0.96 0.81–1.15 1.02 0.85–1.22 93 1.03 0.77–1.39 1.16 0.86–1.56 53 1.01 0.68–1.49 1.12 0.76–1.66
5th (least affluent) 345 362 354 1.16 0.98–1.37 1.26 1.06–1.49 133 1.24 0.94–1.64 1.43 1.08–1.89 69 1.10 0.76–1.59 1.29 0.89–1.88
Not Recorded 38 538 27 0.79 0.53–1.18 0.90 0.60–1.35 13 1.09 0.61–1.95 1.18 0.65–2.14 5 0.72 0.28–1.80 1.08 0.42–2.76
Paritye
0 725 228 650 1 Ref 1 Ref 253 1 Ref 1 Ref 144 1 Ref 1 Ref
1–2 667 418 524 0.83 0.74–0.93 0.80 0.71–0.90 199 0.80 0.66–0.97 0.83 0.68–1.01 116 0.75 0.59–0.97 0.84 0.65–1.08
3+ 82 648 113 1.40 1.14–1.72 1.19 0.96–1.46 46 1.38 1.00–1.90 1.32 0.95–1.84 30 1.43 0.95–2.14 1.50 0.99–2.27
Previous VTEa
No 1 462 434 1207 1 Ref 1 Ref 472 1 Ref 1 Ref 276 1 Ref 1 Ref
Yes 12 867 80 7.42 5.91–9.33 7.97 6.30–10.1 26 5.37 3.61–7.99 6.06 4.03–9.12 14 5.28 3.07–9.07 5.71 3.28–9.94
Hypertension
No 1 298 755 1110 1 Ref 1 Ref 424 1 Ref 1 Ref 234 1 Ref 1 Ref
Yes 176 546 177 1.19 1.01–1.39 1.18 0.96–1.44 74 1.24 0.97–1.59 0.92 0.65–1.31 56 1.81 1.35–2.42 1.00 0.63–1.59
Preeclampsia
No 1 403 448 1216 1 Ref 1 Ref 458 1 Ref 1 Ref 254 1 Ref 1 Ref
Yes 71 853 71 1.19 0.94–1.52 1.03 0.76–1.39 40 1.66 1.20–2.30 1.60 1.01–2.53 36 3.14 2.21–4.46 2.98 1.72–5.17
Antenatal haemorrhage
No 1 338 579 1186 1 Ref 1 Ref 450 1 Ref 1 Ref 247 1 Ref 1 Ref
Yes 86 722 101 1.36 1.11–1.66 1.34 1.09–1.64 48 1.75 1.30–2.36 1.54 1.14–2.08 43 2.77 2.01–3.83 2.64 1.90–3.65
Postnatal haemorrhage
No – – – – – – 438 1 Ref 1 Ref 231 1 Ref 1 Ref
Yes – – – – – – 60 1.47 1.12–1.93 1.20 0.90–1.60 59 2.33 1.74–3.12 2.19 1.63–2.93
Delivery mode
Vaginal 1 233 136 – – – – – 358 1 Ref 1 Ref – – – – –
Elective caesarean 91 621 – – – – – 41 1.40 1.01–1.94 1.39 1.00–1.94 – – – – –
Emergency caesarean 150 544 – – – – – 99 2.24 1.79–2.81 2.06 1.63–2.61 – – – – –
a
VTE: venous thromboembolism; DVT: deep venous thrombosis; PTE: pulmonary thromboembolism.
b
Incidence rate ratios (IRR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) estimated using Poisson regression; adjusted incidence rate ratios (Adj. IRR) were adjusted for age at delivery, year of delivery, deprivation, parity, hypertension,
previous VTE, haemorrhage and preeclampsia, and for postnatal DVT, mode of delivery.
c
IRR for 5-year increase in age compared to age below 20.
d
IRR for 5-year increase compared to 1980–1985 period.
e
Seven deliveries had no information on parity.
E.V. Kane et al. / European Journal of Obstetrics & Gynecology and Reproductive Biology 169 (2013) 223–229 227
Table 3
Associations between postnatal deep venous thrombosis, age and mode of delivery.
<25 433 707 91 2.1 1.7–2.6 1 Ref 16 816 10 6.3 2.4–10.3 2.86 1.49–5.49 42 912 30 7.1 4.5–9.6 3.43 2.27–5.18
25–34 687 471 206 3.0 2.6–3.4 1.48 1.15–1.89 56 618 19 3.4 1.9–5.0 1.70 1.04–2.80 86 954 47 6.1 4.3–8.0 2.79 1.96–3.98
35 111 958 61 5.8 4.3–7.4 2.85 2.05–3.95 18 187 12 7.4 2.6–12.2 3.56 1.94–6.52 20 678 22 15.7 8.2–23.2 5.80 3.62–9.30
a
Incidence rate per 10 000 deliveries.
b
Incidence rate ratios (IRR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) estimated using Poisson regression adjusting for year of admission. Test for interaction between age at
delivery and mode of delivery: x2 = 8.61, p = 0.07.
Table 4
Associations between postnatal deep venous thrombosis and mode of delivery by year of delivery.
N Ratea 95% CIa IRRb 95% CIb Total N Ratea 95% CIa IRRb 95% CIb Total N Ratea 95% CIa IRRb 95% CIb
1980–1985 325 485 106 3.5 2.8–4.2 1 Ref 18 625 7 3.9 0.9–6.9 1 Ref 27 848 28 12.3 7.4–17.1 1 Ref
1986–1990 262 919 70 2.9 2.2–3.5 0.79 0.59–1.07 16 053 12 8.1 3.4–12.8 1.97 0.77–5.00 26 995 21 8.3 4.6–12.0 0.76 0.43–1.34
1991–1995 249 867 65 2.6 2.0–3.2 0.73 0.54–1.00 17 520 5 2.9 0.3–5.4 0.73 0.23–2.32 28 651 21 7.4 4.2–10.6 0.68 0.39–1.20
1996–2000 212 906 67 3.0 2.2–3.7 0.84 0.62–1.15 18 418 7 4.4 1.0–7.8 0.95 0.33–2.75 31 387 15 4.9 2.4–7.5 0.43 0.23–0.81
2001–2005 181 959 50 2.3 1.6–3.0 0.71 0.51–1.01 21 005 10 4.7 1.6–7.8 1.17 0.44–3.15 35 663 14 3.9 1.8–6.0 0.34 0.18–0.66
a
Incidence rate per 10 000 deliveries.
b
Incidence rate ratios (IRR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) estimated using Poisson regression adjusting for age at delivery. Test for interaction between year of delivery
and mode of delivery: x2 = 14.1, p = 0.08.
Table 5
Associations between antenatal deep venous thrombosis and deprivation by year of delivery.
Year 1st to 4th quintiles of deprivation 5th quintile of deprivation (least affluent)
Total N Ratea 95% CIa IRRb 95% CIb Total N Ratea 95% CIa IRRb 95% CIb
1980–1985 278 418 228 8.2 7.2–9.3 1 Ref 93 540 81 9.3 7.2–11.4 1 Ref
1986–1990 231 672 195 8.3 7.2–9.5 1.02 0.84–1.24 74 295 51 6.6 4.7–8.5 0.78 0.55–1.11
1991–1995 228 714 152 6.7 5.6–7.7 0.80 0.65–0.98 67 324 62 9.6 7.2–12.1 1.03 0.74–1.43
1996–2000 204 959 148 7.2 6.1–8.4 0.86 0.70–1.06 57 752 74 13.0 9.9–16.0 1.40 1.02–1.92
2001–2005 186 176 210 11.2 9.7–12.8 1.34 1.11–1.62 52 451 86 16.3 12.8–19.9 1.77 1.30–2.41
a
Incidence rate per 10 000 deliveries.
b
Incidence rate ratios (IRR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) estimated using Poisson regression adjusting for age at delivery. Test for interaction between deprivation and
year of delivery: x2 = 17.4, p = 0.002.
(2000–2005: 11.2 per 10 000 deliveries, 95% CI 9.7–12.8 per 10 000 advent of ultrasound venography [11], VTE may have been
deliveries) (Table 5). diagnosed clinically rather than by X-ray venography due to
concerns of radiation exposure to the fetus. Such clinical diagnosis
4. Comments may have overdiagnosed the problem in the earlier years of this
study in contrast to objectively confirmed diagnosis at later times.
Over the 26-year period, the rate of venous thrombosis Pregnancy-related VTE may not necessarily present to obstetric
associated with pregnancy increased from 14 in 1980–1985 to departments and 2% of cases were identified by non-obstetric ICD
18 of every 10 000 deliveries in 2001–2005. The rise in pregnancy- codes. Coding of VTE could be an issue, and since validation of
associated VTE was due to increasing numbers of antenatal DVTs. codes against medical records elsewhere suggests positive
In the most deprived areas of Scotland, the rise started before, and predictive values of more than 80% for the broad groupings of
incidence of antenatal DVTs remained above, that in less deprived VTE, DVT and PTE [12,13], it is possible that rates are over-
areas. PTE rates were constant across the first 16 years of the study estimated. Changes in diagnoses and coding quality are unlikely to
until a slight increase around 1996–1997 and have remained at explain the differing trends in antenatal and postnatal events, and
three per 10 000 deliveries since. Not all types of VTE were on the by social deprivation. One health board, comprising 5% of
increase. The incidence of postnatal DVTs declined from over four deliveries, had higher than typical numbers of PTEs in two
to under three per 10 000 deliveries. Postnatal DVTs have consecutive years, and its exclusion did not change the findings for
decreased the most amongst women delivering by emergency other types of VTE. We were unable to explain the increase in
caesarean, particularly after 1995. antenatal DVTs in terms of risk factors, such as obesity,
Our study, based on almost 1.5 million deliveries in Scotland, is immobilisation during pregnancy, smoking in pregnancy, and
one of the largest population-based studies of pregnancy-related multiple pregnancies for example, due to a lack of data. Our data
VTE, and covers the period when thromboprophylaxis guidelines could not be linked to prescribing and therefore we cannot
in pregnancy were introduced. This population-based study using establish which women received thromboprophylaxis.
routinely collected hospital data has some limitations. Changes in The incidence of pregnancy-related VTE in Scotland is amongst
diagnostic techniques and in practice during the study period may the highest reported in the last decade. Elsewhere, rates per 10 000
have impacted our findings. For instance, increased epidural rates deliveries have ranged from five in South Korea, ten in England and
and antibiotic prophylaxis for caesarean delivery may have Australia, 12 in Denmark to 17 or more in North America and Hong
reduced the VTE risk. Conversely, in the early 1980s before the Kong [14–21]. Temporal trends described in North America,
228 E.V. Kane et al. / European Journal of Obstetrics & Gynecology and Reproductive Biology 169 (2013) 223–229
Scandinavia and England mostly relate to data up to the 1990s DVTs rose in all age groups. Some DVTs in pregnancy may be
[20,22–25]. One study described pregnancy-related VTE incidence preventable if risk factors such as obesity, smoking in pregnancy,
from 1991 through 2005 using hospital inpatient records [20]. immobilisation and deprivation could be addressed. Previous
These Canadian data found a decline in DVTs during pregnancy and VTE and the other risk factors examined here explained 5% or less
postpartum. During the study, there was a change in practice from of antenatal DVTs, although a higher proportion could be
treating women with DVTs as outpatients rather than inpatients explained if there is non-differential misclassification of VTE
and this may have influenced their observation. This same study resulting in underestimation of the risk estimates. As in the
and another conducted in the US both reported increases in PTE Scottish population as a whole, obesity has become more
incidence from the early 1990s to the mid-2000s [20,26] while an common among pregnant women in recent years [32]. Using
earlier US study reported a decline from 1966 to 1995 [25]. Our PTE data from another study where a third of women were
data showed a constant rate until 1996/1997, and a higher but overweight and a BMI of 25 kg m 2 or more increased antenatal
constant rate since. DVT risk to 1.6, being overweight may account for over 15% of
In the UK, postpartum prophylaxis for women at risk has been antenatal DVTs [5]. Attributable fractions depend on the
advocated for almost 20 years [27]. In September 1995, the first prevalence of the exposure in a population but nevertheless,
Scottish Intercollegiate Guidelines Network (SIGN) document on this example gives some indication of the impact being
prophylaxis of VTE specifically published a section on pregnancy overweight may have on the occurrence of antenatal DVTs.
giving clear national guidelines applicable to the Scottish Health Whatever underlying factors are causing the rise, it is clear that
Service [4]. The guideline highlighted pregnancy as a risk factor women from the most deprived areas of Scotland have a greater
particularly for the puerperium, and where there was a history of incidence than those from less deprived areas. Nevertheless, the
previous thromboembolism or thrombophilia, age over 35, obesity, increase in antenatal DVTs has occurred among all women in our
emergency caesarean or major surgery or concurrent medical study, rising by almost 50% over the last ten years. These data
illness in pregnancy. Pharmacological prophylaxis with heparin show a decrease in postnatal DVTs following the advent of
with or without graduated elastic compression stockings was guidelines for thromboprophylaxis but on the other hand, an
recommended for patients at risk. In the same year, the Royal increase in antenatal DVTs that needs addressing.
College of Obstetricians and Gynaecologists (RCOG) published
their guidelines for thromboprophylaxis in obstetrics [3], and in
Conflict of interest
particular following caesarean delivery, with consideration of
similar risk factors to the SIGN recommendations. This was
The authors have no competing interests.
disseminated to all Fellows and Members of the College in late
1995. The reduction in postnatal VTE following the introduction of
these guidelines suggests the possibility of their impact in practice. Acknowledgements
This decrease may be greater than our data reflect since during the
study period, older maternal age, caesarean delivery and obesity The Executive Health Department, Chief Scientists Office
have become more common. It is worth noting that while specific funded data extraction and processing conducted by the Informa-
pharmacological thromboprophylaxis after caesarean delivery is tion and Statistics Division, NHS National Services. The study was
commonly practised in Europe, it is much less common in North approved by the Privacy Advisory Committee of the Information
America. Services, National Health Service, Scotland.
While cause and effect cannot be demonstrated here, the
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