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OMAE2013
June 9-14, 2013, Nantes, France
OMAE2013-10540
1 INTRODUCTION
ABSTRACT
This study was undertaken as part of the Worldwide
Reliable quantification of current profiles is required for Approximations of Current Profiles (WACUP) Joint Industry
safe and cost effective offshore exploration and field Project [1]. The key objective was quantitative assessment of
development. The current regime offshore West Africa is often different current profile reduction techniques for efficient and
considered benign, compared to some regions of oil and gas reliable riser design.
activity, but still presents challenges to reliable quantification.
A key challenge to all offshore developments is acquisition of The project considers current profile characterisation at
appropriate data. The primary source of data for riser design is four different offshore development sites, one of which is the
site specific full water column measurement. Such in-situ data Girassol deepwater development offshore West Africa. The
are generally expensive and time consuming to collect, so there present paper explores the various data sources considered for
is an increasing tendency for numerical model current data to be representing the current profile at the Girassol location. A
considered. Model data are often relatively quick and previous OMAE paper describes a similar comparison for
inexpensive to obtain, with the added benefit of a much longer another location offshore Brazil [2].
duration, potentially allowing inter-annual variability and
extreme events to be captured. However, the accuracy and It has become established best practice to derive current
reliability of numerical model data remains questionable, or profile data for engineering applications from site specific full
unproven, in many deepwater development regions. This paper water column measurement. This provides the most reliable
explores the suitability of such models to represent a deepwater quantification of the dominant oceanographic processes that
site offshore West Africa, in relation to the key oceanographic impact the site in question. Sufficiently high vertical and
processes revealed within the in-situ data. temporal resolutions are required to capture the dominant
oceanographic processes.
Despite the apparently clear potential advantages of model The Girassol Field is located in 1350m, approximately
data, it is very important to recognise the limitations of these 210km north-north-west of Luanda, Angola, West Africa
data sources. The underlying physics and model resolution will (Figure 1). The Girassol “gold standard” dataset was created
usually allow a subset of all potential oceanographic processes from data collected during two measurement campaigns carried
to the represented. Even when a model can be expected to out between 1997 and 1998 then between 2002 and 2004.
represent a certain process, the accuracy and reliability need to
be validated using representative in-situ data before the model
output can be safely used for a given engineering application.
Figure 1. Map of the Approximate Location of the Girassol Field (Water Depths are in meters)
The Girassol gold standard datasets were provided in Fourier filtering was used to decompose the Girassol A
MATLAB® Binary and Microsoft Excel format to the WACUP current velocities into four period bands:
partners. These data, along with corresponding data from the
other three locations, were subjected to numerous further • Less than 4 hours (Short period)
analyses. The identification and quantification of different • Between 4 and 48 hours (Tidal period)
components of the flow is considered next in this paper. • Between 48 and 132 hours (Inertial period)
• Greater than 136 hours (Long period).
A number of selection factors were considered, including For the period of comparison, the selected model tends to
global coverage, spatial and temporal resolution, model physics, underestimate speeds from 200m to 400m then improves around
data assimilation and data acquisition costs. The selection of 500m. At some depths, the observed current is nearly twice as
this model for the purposes of the project does not imply that strong as corresponding HYCOM values. Unfortunately the
this is the best available in any given region. However this data Girassol B dataset, which overlaps HYCOM in time, only
source has become very widely used, so a detailed evaluation at covers the upper half of the water column. Model performance
the Girassol site is worthwhile. therefore cannot be assessed below this.
The HYbrid Coordinate Ocean Model or HYCOM is a 3D The scatter plots generally show a poor correlation between
global model with 1/12° spatial resolution and 32 levels on the simultaneous measured and model currents. However Q-Q
vertical. The model bathymetry is derived from a digital terrain plots suggest a near linear underestimation in the statistical
dataset (AVO-NRL DBDB2). distributions. This could be corrected via depth dependent
model calibration to meet some engineering applications.
The model takes into account:
Further details of the model validation were provided in a
• Forcing from Navy Operational Global Atmospheric report provided to project participants [7]. This included an
Prediction System (NOGAPS) examination of current direction and seasonal trends, although
• Rivers runoff from climatology values the latter cannot be reliably inferred from such a short overlap
period.
It assimilates:
So far we have considered how well the model represents
• Satellite altimeter observations (Jason GFO Envisat) the temporal variability and statistics of currents at each
• Satellite and in-situ Sea Surface Temperature separate measurement level. However the vertical coherence
• In-situ temperature and salinity profiles (XBTs, and structure of individual current profiles is critical for riser
ARGO floats, moored buoys) engineering applications. The ability of the model to produce
profiles with realistic profile shapes was also examined in the
Daily values of current were available since 2003, WACUP project [8].
providing about 5 months of overlap with the Girassol B
campaign. Model data were extracted at the closest grid point Altogether, the validation studies show that model profiles
to the measurement location. HYCOM currents are available at require careful validation and calibration before being used to
21 levels from the surface to 1400m depth. derive criteria for riser design applications.
The freely available global HYCOM data source provides Despite the above limitations of model data, one clear
only daily snapshots of model current velocities. To facilitate advantage over site specific measurement was highlighted [9].
meaningful comparison, daily vector mean values were derived The large scale synoptic view provided by the model provides a
from the measured currents at each depth. very valuable tool to assess and quantify spatial variability
across a wide region. The cost of collecting in-situ data at so
Following the analysis described in Section 3, in which we many locations would be considerable.
found that the long period component of the flow dominates at
this location, it is reasonable to expect that the key processes The model is believed to capture key spatial trends in the
might be represented by the daily values available from the large scale surface circulation of the region. Spatial maps of
model. current speed statistics are presented at two near surface levels
in Figure 17 and 18. These show that currents are relatively
weak at Girassol, compared to other parts of the region shown.
Figure 10. Scatter and Q-Q plots of Model (20m depth) and Measured (20m depth) Daily Current Speed
Figure 12. Scatter and Q-Q plots of Model (200m depth) and Measured (206m depth) Daily Current Speed
Figure 13. Scatter and Q-Q plots of Model (300m depth) and Measured (302m depth) Daily Current Speed
Figure 15. Scatter and Q-Q plots of Model (500m depth) and Measured (494m depth) Daily Current Speed
Figure 16. Scatter and Q-Q plots of Model (500m depth) and Measured (506m depth) Daily Current Speed
Figure 18. Model 100m depth Current Speed Maximum (Left) and 95% Percentile (Right)
Models are superior to measurements for providing a large [4] Hyder, P., Simpson, J.H., Xing, J. and Gille, S.T. 2011.
scale regional interpretation of key oceanographic processes. Observations over an annual cycle and simulations of wind-
They can also be used to cost effectively quantify spatial forced oscillations near the critical latitude for diurnal–inertial
variability in the current regime. resonance. Continental Shelf Research, 31, 1576-1591.
Key participant contributions are also acknowledged from [7] Casitas, S., Herry, C., (2010). Comparisons Between
Einar Nygaard and Børge Kvingedal of Statoil, Colin Grant and HYCOM Model & Girassol Measurements. Actimar Report
Richard Gibson of BP, Jose Lima and Eric Oliveira of 10.33 R0. October 2010. Confidential to WACUP Participants.
Petrobras.
[8] Maisondieu, C., (2011). Are the Model Current Profiles
The WACUP project was initiated and led by Marc Representative of the Actual In-Situ Local Profiles. Ifremer
Prevosto. The rest of the project team are also acknowledged, Report R11HO008. June 2011. Confidential to WACUP
including George Forristall, Raymond Nerzic, Cyril Frelin, Participants.
Gilbert.Damy, Gavin Harte, Kieran Kavanagh and Andrew
Watson. [9] Herry, C., (2011). Spatial Variability in HYCOM
Model at Jubarte & Girassol. Actimar Report 10.52 V2.0.
March 2011. Confidential to WACUP Participants.