Documente Academic
Documente Profesional
Documente Cultură
COM 1
Economic
Survey
&
Budget
2018
INSIGHTS IAS 1
WWW.INSIGHTSONINDIA.COM 2
reversible contraception,
and son preference, India SCHEMES
has some distance to
traverse because Beti Bachao Beti Padhao
development has not proved
to be an antidote. One Stop Centre
Ujjawala
STEP
SWADHAR
IGMSY
3.3%
trade deficit increased by 46.4
Pradhan Mantri Jeevan Jyoti per cent over corresponding
Beema Yojana (PMJJBY), Life period of previous year.
insurance scheme and Pradhan
Fiscal
Mantri Suraksha Bima Yojana During April-December 2017,
(PMSBY) Accident coverage to exports grew 12.1 per cent to
cover all poor households in US$ 223.5 billion, while imports
mission mode.
Deficit
increased by 21.8 per cent to
US$ 338.4 billion.
Science & Technology
NITI Aayog to initiate a national Private transfer receipts, most of
programme on Artificial which is composed of
“Budget reflects a choice – not an Intelligence (AI) remittances from Indians
easy choice, but the right choice. working abroad, increased by 10
And when you think about it, the Centers of excellence to be set per cent to US$ 33.5 billion in
only choice. The choice to take the up on robotics, AI, Internet of first half of 2017-18.
responsible, prudent path to things etc.
fiscal stability, economic growth Performance of key sectors
& opportunity” F ISCAL D EFICIT
– George Pataki Central Government is confident Agriculture and
of achieving fiscal deficit of 3.2 food
per cent of GDP for 2017-18. management
GDP Growth The growth rate in Gross Value
FOR MORE INFORMATION
GDP growth expected to be Added (GVA) by the agriculture
https://mofapp.nic.in/budge between 6.5 and 6.75 per cent and allied sectors is estimated
tmicrosite/index.html in 2017-18. to be 4.9 per cent for 2016-17,
as per provisional estimates.
Real GDP growth expected at
6.5 per cent in 2017-18 The production of Kharif food-
grains during 2017-18 is
GVA growth at basic prices is estimated at 134.7 million
expected to be 6.1 per cent in tonnes compared to 138.5
2017-18 million tonnes in 2016-17.
Inflation and monetary policy
INSIGHTS IAS SUMMARY OF ECONOMIC SURVEY - 2018 WWW.INSIGHTSIAS.COM
WWW.INSIGHTSONINDIA.COM 5
The area sown under rabi crops compared to 3.7 per cent in Q2 Various reforms taken by the
during 2017-18 has reached 2016-17. Government of India have led to
61.78 million hectares as of increase in India’s ranking in
January 19, 2018. As of September 2017, India the World Bank’s Ease of Doing
had 115,530 km of national Business Index from 130 in
Around 840,000 hectares of highways, 176,166 km of state 2017 to 100 in 2018.
land was brought under micro- highways and 53,26,166 km of
irrigation during 2016-17. other roads. India’s ranking in the taxation
and insolvency parameters
Coverage of non-loanee farmers Under the new umbrella improved by 53 and 33 spots,
under the Pradhan Mantri Fasal program ‘Bharatmala respectively, on the back of
Bima Yojana (PMFBY) increased Pariyojana’ the government is administrative reforms
123.5 per cent in 2016-17 and aiming holistic development of undertaken by the Government
the scheme is being highways in the country. of India in the areas of taxation
implemented in 25 states/UTs and passage of Insolvency and
in 2017. The scheme covers Services sector
Bankruptcy Code (IBC), 2016.
farmers from pre-sowing to post
The services sector is projected
harvest against natural non- To improve the ease of doing
to grow at 8.3 per cent in 2017-
preventable risks. business in the country, the
18, as against 7.7 per cent in
government has taken various
Industries, 2016-17.
initiatives to improve contract
corporate and As per World Trade enforcement. Over 1,000
infrastructure Organisation (WTO) data, India’s redundant legislations have
sector share in the exports of been scrapped.
Growth rate in the Gross Value commercial services in the world
The Commercial Courts,
Added (GVA) by the industrial increased to 3.4 per cent in
Commercial Division and
sector was 5.6 per cent in 2016- 2016 from 3.3 per cent in 2015.
Commercial Appellate Division
17 and 5.8 per cent in the of High Courts Act, 2015 have
In terms of growth in tourism
second quarter of 2017-18. been passed while intra-
sector, between January-
December 2017, Foreign Tourist government litigation has been
During April-November 2017,
Arrivals (FTAs) were 10.2 million reduced.
the Index of Industrial
Production (IIP) grew 3.2 per with a growth of 15.6 per cent
The National Judicial Data Grid
cent, while registering a growth and foreign exchange earnings
(NJDG) is being expanded under
rate of 8.4 per cent in November (FEE) were at US$ 27.7 billion
which every high court in the
2017, the highest in 25 months. with a growth of 20.8 per cent.
country will be digitized very
Public Finance soon. The same was recognized
The eight core infrastructure
in the rankings by the World
supportive industries, viz.
The growth in non-debt receipts Bank.
coal, crude oil, natural gas,
at 4.58 per cent during April-
refinery products, fertilizers, GST data and
November 2017 as against the
steel, cement and electricity the Indian
growth rate of 25.8 per cent in
that have a total weight of Economy
the previous year.
nearly 40 per cent in the IIP,
registered a cumulative growth The realisation of the gross tax The number of indirect
of 3.9 per cent during April- revenue during April-November taxpayers in the country
November 2017. 2017 as ratio of the budget witnessed growth of 50 per cent
estimates for 2017-18 was 56.9 to 9.8 million unique GST
The performance of corporate registrants, as of December
per cent compared to 57.2 per
sector highlighted that the 2017.
cent in the corresponding period
growth in sales of more than
of the previous year.
1700 non-government non- India’s internal trade in goods
financial (NGNF) listed Ease of Doing and services (excluding non-
manufacturing companies was Business in GST goods and services) at 60
9.5 per cent in Q2 2017-18 India per cent is even higher than
that estimated in last year’s terms, the gross expenditure on About 200,000 patents were
economic survey. R&D has increased at a CAGR pending for examination as
of 13.03 per cent from Rs there were only 132 patent
The current GST tax base 24,117 crore (US$ 3.8 billion) in examiners as of 2016-17;
(excluding exports) is around 2004-05 to Rs 104,864 crore however the government has
6.5 to 7 million, broadly similar (US$ 16.5 billion) in 2016-17. hired 450 patent examiners and
to the estimates of Revenue created an expedited filing
Neutral Rate Committee and The number of students system for Indian residents in
GST Council. enrolled in PhD programs in 2017, which will improve the
India has increased over the existing patent system.
Based on the average collections years, with 126,451 PhD
from GST, the implied weighted enrolments in 2015-16, backed In order to encourage
average collection rate by concerted efforts by the investigator-led research, the
(incidence) is 15.6 per cent. This Government of India such as Science and Engineering
is similar to the estimate of 15- increase in the number and research Board (SERB) was
16 per cent made by the RNR quantum of fellowships like the established in 2008, which has
committee. Prime Minister Research sanctioned nearly 3,500 new
Fellowships at the IITs. R&D projects to individual
Non-agricultural workforce in
scientists so far.
the formal sector in India is The number of annual
considerably greater than publications in India grew 14 India can become a global leader
previously held beliefs about the per cent between 2009-14, outright in various areas with
size of formal sector non-farm which increased India’s share in willingness to invest and focus
payroll. Estimates, on the basis global publications from 3.1 per on key areas.
of enterprise-based definition of cent in 2009 to 4.4 per cent in
employment, imply that nearly 2014. For this purpose, the
53 per cent of non-agricultural government has chosen few
workforce is in the formal India was ranked 13 in 2017 by missions for their strategic
sector. Nature Index, which publishes importance and potential for
tables based on counts of high- societal impact such as National
Changing face of Science, quality research outputs based Mission on Dark Matter,
Research and Technology in on natural sciences in the National Mission on Genomics,
India previous year. National Mission on Energy
Storage Systems, National
Public expenditure on R&D as a As per WIPO, India’s Patent Mission on Mathematics,
percentage of GDP has Filing Office is the 7th largest in National Mission on Cyber
remained constant between 0.6- the world with 45,658 registered Physical Systems, and National
0.7 per cent over the past two patents as of 2015. Mission on Agriculture.
decades; however in value
Two Volumes
Volume I
I. State of the Economy: An Analytical Overview and Outlook for Policy
II. A New, Exciting Bird’s Eye View of the Indian Economy Through the
GST
III. Investment and Saving Slowdowns and Recoveries: Cross-Country
Insights for India
IV. Reconciling Fiscal Federalism and Accountability: Is there a Low
Equilibrium Trap?
Decoupling
► Demonetization and GST
• Impact on Competitiveness
► High Interest Rates and strong Exchange Rates
• Impact on Make In India and Export Sector
► Increase in Oil Prices
• Twin Deficit Challenge
Outlook
► Temporary factors receding, government providing demand
► Major driver will be exports
► Private investment depends on progress under IBC
► Consumption affected by oil prices
Thwarted
Globalisation
Structural
Backlash
Transformation
Climate Change
Human Capital induced
Regression Agricultural
Stress
► GST Council shows that “cooperative federalism” is a technology for reforms in several other areas
§ Given the rising water scarcity, and depleting water resources, there is a
need to increase irrigation. Technologies of drip irrigation, sprinklers, and
water management must be employed to meet this challenge.
§Infrastructure: India requires around USD 4.5 trillion worth of
investments till 2040 to develop infrastructure. As per the current trend,
India can raise around USD 3.9 trillion. The under investment in the
infrastructure sector has been due to: (i) collapse of Public Private
Partnerships, (ii) stressed balance sheets of private companies, and, (iii)
delays in acquisition of land and forest clearances.
Analysis of Schemes
■ While the first three schemes are implemented by the Ministry of Women and
Child Development (MWCD), the remaining three come under the ambit of the
Ministry of Health and Family Welfare (MoHFW).
■ In FY 2016-17, GoI renamed and restructured the ICDS into the Umbrella
ICDS with the inclusion of 3 other subschemes within its ambit.
The number of sub-schemes under Umbrella ICDS was further increased in
2017, with the re-establishment of the National Nutrition Mission- an apex body
for all nutrition related activities and the launch of the Pradhan Mantri Matru
Vandana Yojana (PMMVY) aimed at providing a cash incentive to mothers for
their first delivery to compensate wage loss so that the mother can take
adequate rest and nutrition before and after delivery.
Accordingly, Umbrella ICDS now consists of the following sub-schemes:
o Anganwadi Services (in place of ICDS)
o Scheme for Adolescent Girls (earlier known as SABLA) o Child Protection
Services (earlier known as the Integrated Child Protection Scheme)
o National Crèche Scheme (earlier called the Rajiv Gandhi National Crèche
Scheme)
o National Nutrition Mission and,
o Pradhan Mantri Matru Vandana Yojana (PMMVY)
■ Expenditure on the scheme has been higher than funds available with states.
In FY 2016-17, 17 states had spent more than the funds available to them. In
FY 2017-18 till 10 January 2018, expenditure had exceeded funds available in 5
states.
■ In FY 2017-18, till 10 January 2018, 176 crore persondays of work had been
generated under the scheme. The final figure is likely to be lower than the 236
crore persondays generated in FY 2016-17.
■ More than 50 per cent of states paid an average wage per persondays less than
the notified wage rate for FY 2016-17.
■ The percentage of delayed compensation paid for delayed wages has been
declining. In FY 2014-15, 93 per cent of the approved amount of delayed
compensation was paid. This decreased to 85 per cent in FY 2016- 17. In FY
2017-18 till 10 January 2018, 72 per cent of the approved delayed
compensation has been paid.
■ Work completion on assets created has been slow in FY 2017-18. In FY 2017-
18, till 10 January 2018, 11 per cent of total works had been completed.
■ In FY 2017-18, till 15 January 2018, 96 per cent of all expenditure had been
for the construction of Individual Household Latrines (IHHLs).
■ As on 15 January, 2018, 76 per cent of all households had access to IHHLs.
Odisha and Bihar had the lowest coverage at 45 per cent and 38 per cent,
respectively.
■ SBM-G guidelines require 8 per cent of allocations to be utilized for
Information, Education and Communication (IEC). In none of the years has this
8 per cent target been met. Expenditure on IEC, however, is picking up pace. In
FY 2017-18, till 15 January 2018 `229 crore was spent on IEC, up from `124
crore in FY 2016-17.
■ Ten states and UTs, and 3,09,709 villages have been declared ODF as of 15
January 2018. 64 per cent of villages declared ODF have been verified.
■ In October 2014, GoI announced the restructuring of the Nirmal Bharat
Abhiyan into the Swachh Bharat Mission - Gramin (SBM-G) – a community-led
rural sanitation programme aimed at providing access to sanitation facilities and
eradicating the practice of open defecation by 2019. SBM-G is administered by
the Ministry of Drinking Water and Sanitation (MDWS).
■ Implementation of SBM involves a number of activities. These include:
o Start-up activities, such as a needs assessment and subsequent preparation of
plans
o Information Education and Communication (IEC) activities to push for
behaviour change
o Construction of Individual Household Latrines (IHHLs)
o Construction of community sanitary complexes
o Construction of school toilets and hygiene education
o Construction of anganwadi toilets
o Setting up of Rural Sanitary Marts (RSMs) or production centres and retail
outlets responsible for manufacturing and marketing low-cost hardware.
■ Since the launch of PMAY-G in November 2016, 15.40 lakh houses had been
constructed till 10 January 2018. This represents a 15 per cent completion rate
against the March 2019 target of building 1 crore houses.
■ Pace of construction, however, is slow. Of all the houses sanctioned in FY
2016-17, only 32 per cent of houses were constructed by 10 January 2018 and
68 per cent remained incomplete as on 10 January 2018.
■ Not all beneficiaries have received their first instalment. In FY 2017-18, till 10
January 2018, only 89 per cent of beneficiaries who were sanctioned houses had
received their first instalment.
In April 2016, GoI announced the restructuring of the Indira Awaas Yojana
(IAY), a rural housing scheme started in 1996 and implemented by the Ministry
of Rural Development (MoRD) into the Pradhan Mantri Awaas Yojana – Gramin
(PMAY-G). The scheme aims to provide monetary assistance for the construction
of a pucca house with basic amenities for all houseless households and those
living in dilapidated and kutcha houses by 2022.
■ The restructured scheme, i.e., PMAY-G emerged against the backdrop of a
Performance Audit Report by the Comptroller and Auditor General of India (CAG)
in 2014. The CAG report pointed to gaps in the selection of beneficiaries, lack of
convergence, low quality of house construction and weak monitoring
mechanisms, limiting the impact and outcomes of the programme.
■ PMAY-G sought to address these gaps by:
o Enhancing the monetary assistance given to beneficiaries from of `70,000 in
plains and `75,000 in hilly areas and difficult terrains under IAY to `1,20,000
and `1,30,000, respectively.
o Focusing on convergence for piped drinking water, electricity connection,
Liquid Petroleum Gas (LPG) connection, toilet construction and person-days of
unskilled labour under the Mahatma Gandhi National Rural Employment
Guarantee Scheme (MGNREGS).
o Revising the method of selection of beneficiaries by using the Socio Economic
and Caste Census (SECC 2011), rather than data based on Below Poverty Line
(BPL) households.
■ The scheme is divided into two distinct phases.
The first phase, from November 2016 to March 2019, aims to construct houses
for 1 crore households. An additional 2 crore houses are to be constructed in the
second phase from April 2019 to March 2022.
INSIGHTS IAS SUMMARY OF ECONOMIC SURVEY - 2018 WWW.INSIGHTSIAS.COM
WWW.INSIGHTSONINDIA.COM 33
comprehension and 37 per cent scored more than 50 per cent in Mathematics in
2014.