Documente Academic
Documente Profesional
Documente Cultură
1°
Oct-02 289.29
Nov-02 267.84
Dec-02 234.24
Jan-03 220.86
Feb-03 196.74
Mar-03 268.89
2°
Apr-03 191.22
May-03 274.62
Jun-03 319.32
Jul-03 236.73
Aug-03 218.64
Sep-03 306.75
Oct-03 245.76
Nov-03 276.39
Dec-03 290.28
3°
Jan-04 77.13
Feb-04 157.59
Mar-04 380.34
Apr-04 222.45
May-04 315.63
Jun-04 174.09
Jul-04 287.97
Aug-04 143.55
Sep-04 262.5
Oct-04 355.95
Nov-04 215.55
Dec-04 234.45
Jan-05 231.39
Feb-05 162.81
Mar-05 438.33
Apr-05 243.15
May-05 370.23
Jun-05 237.72
Jul-05 347.01
Aug-05 118.95
Sep-05 176.25
Oct-05 247.59
Nov-05 200.76
Dec-05 304.95
Jan-06 268.89
Feb-06 161.61
Mar-06 396.33
Apr-06 303.3
May-06 132.78
Jun-06 347.82
Jul-06 255.78
Aug-06 278.19
Sep-06 134.16
i
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i
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Oct-06 313.23
Nov-06 252.96
Dec-06 390.18
Jan-07 403.14
i
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ii
i
i
Feb-07 34.86
Mar-07 431.49
Apr-07 232.71
May-07 390.87
5°
Jun-07 311.58
Jul-07 179.04
Aug-07 214.38
Sep-07 218.55
Oct-07 345.9
Nov-07 199.2
Dec-07 297
Jan-08 283.11
Feb-08 286.68
Mar-08 320.79
Apr-08 267.12
May-08 315.87
Jun-08 220.23
Jul-08 287.76
Aug-08 288.42
Sep-08 304.5
Oct-08 242.01
Nov-08 289.86
Dec-08 84.96
Jan-09 714.36 Para el caso de Alpha, la x representa a la media y no a la variable de
Feb-09 232.77
Mar-09 226.74
Apr-09 413.37 Ejemplos de la ecuación de Weibul
May-09 343.95 Fallan en tantas horas casos:
Jun-09 286.74
Jul-09 181.29
Aug-09 293.67
Sep-09 93.99 orden
Oct-09 231.21 1
Nov-09 231.69 2
Dec-09 204.06 3
Jan-10 159.36 4
Feb-10 231.6 5
Mar-10 471.09 6
Apr-10 187.23 7
May-10 430.86 8
Jun-10 383.85
Jul-10 216.15
Aug-10 191.01 media
Sep-10 203.94
Oct-10 210.06 varianza
Nov-10 191.79 desviación estandar
Dec-10 373.92
Jan-11 245.64
Feb-11 377.94 Beta
Mar-11 375.9
Apr-11 372.51 Alfa
May-11 376.02 Gamma
Jun-11 225.72
Jul-11 259.44
Aug-11 108.42 Función de la Fiabilidad de la probabilidad
Sep-11 312.78 o funcion que nos dice que certera o segura o confiable es el valor de
Oct-11 246.57
Nov-11 279.3
Dec-11 270.21 F(t) = 1- R(t)
Jan-12 660.9
Feb-12 265.98 F(t):
Mar-12 418.41
Apr-12 252.78
May-12 330.9
Jun-12 191.94
Jul-12 266.73 Grafica:
Aug-12 257.85 F(t)
Sep-12 101.16
Oct-12 219.6
Nov-12 277.83
Dec-12 288.66
Jan-13 71.07
Feb-13 248.31
Mar-13 411.93
Apr-13 314.4
May-13 477.42
Jun-13 251.97
Jul-13 242.94
Aug-13 239.16
Sep-13 154.02
Oct-13 230.04
Nov-13 226.41
Dec-13 134.55
Jan-14 328.32
Feb-14 335.22
Mar-14 341.31
Apr-14 254.73
May-14 385.92
Jun-14 270.09
Jul-14 112.83
Aug-14 290.64
Sep-14 164.31
Oct-14 255.96
Nov-14 323.01
Dec-14 239.73
Jan-15 324.3
Feb-15 223.32
Mar-15 483.87
Apr-15 325.65
May-15 349.92
Jun-15 196.26
Jul-15 233.01
Aug-15 184.29
Sep-15 103.53
Oct-15 266.07
Nov-15 306
Dec-15 96
Jan-16 105.45
Feb-16 152.88
Mar-16 411.27
Apr-16 208.2
May-16 175.38
Jun-16 368.55
Jul-16 230.79
Aug-16 189.6
Sep-16 225.12
Oct-16 368.25
Nov-16 175.89
Dec-16 193.02
Jan-17 539.73
Feb-17 289.56
Mar-17 418.8
Apr-17 247.8
May-17 279.9
Jun-17 297.78
Jul-17 107.52
Aug-17 259.86
Sep-17 277.5
Oct-17 256.71
Nov-17 337.4
Dec-17 272.43
Enero Febrero Marzo Abril Mayo Junio Julio
339.33 419.91 404.4 532.11 197.13
278.19 170.94 260.73 231.27 325.77 216.03 223.17
148.2 269.13 220.53 384.66 309.78 171.3 183.75
257.91 331.23 228.63 234.06 212.07 350.97 172.35
156.54 232.59 330.99 214.26 243.78 244.02 349.35
232.14 168.9 387.54 282.57 289.5 217.41 259.08
353.25 165.3 463.17 305.49 105.57 324.36 159.93
310.86 119.28 293.73 281.94 223.23 307.35 318.3
236.16 340.68 267.51 445.32 372.42 260.07 207.93
516.75 259.62 371.61 325.59 308.61 341.82 235.41
128.67 249.75 276.81 267.99 476.04 408.24 266.73
250.35 439.23 294.66 526.92 252.6 291.99 249.99
505.83 307.92 349.23 256.77 236.97 330.69 301.74
113.97 314.55 314.73 192.45 481.29 261.6 207.9
288.81 203.1 311.43 248.13 260.7 265.53 230.31
275.01 184.5 379.86 283.62 271.38 298.68 176.16
122.79 180.15 318.63 263.1 269.97 254.64 262.83
418.98 331.89 429.93 210.48 313.47 238.35 84
270.259411765 251.1035294118 324.391667 298.585 297.641667 295.286667 227.003333
i
6°
7° 8°
4°
X= 0.5278370687
S^2 = 1.1423659787
1.068815222
1.1999733946
2.7424391721
0 Ganma es cero porque no se esta trabajando con la primera falla
probabilidad
ertera o segura o confiable es el valor de esa probabilidad
R(t)
0.1279832535
0.8720167465
Chart Title
1
0.9
0.8
0.7
0.6
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.
Agosto Setiembre Octubre Noviembre Diciembre Anual
180.18 360.39 153.57 84.96 118.62 2790.6
94.17 372.72 208.53 226.92 288.24 2896.68
115.41 254.07 190.8 228.06 238.23 2713.92
204.84 196.41 353.7 201.48 311.46 3055.11
132.72 346.98 314.55 268.11 233.94 3067.83
177.72 184.71 257.82 184.86 322.65 2964.9
108.09 282.42 234.3 292.23 348.15 3142.26
181.71 178.83 246.45 268.77 420.84 3151.29
206.28 291.93 207.3 265.56 144.27 3245.43
267 197.16 277.17 283.35 265.02 3649.11
120.45 319.5 176.88 121.83 451.38 3264.27
190.11 371.28 188.01 293.34 338.31 3686.79
200.19 224.04 238.26 260.64 218.19 3430.47
249.36 207.84 240.45 228.27 172.68 2985.09
163.74 202.08 216.51 291.3 203.37 2885.01
216.57 101.34 153.63 227.04 139.32 2707.11
146.73 233.55 226.8 200.07 183.72 2662.98
168.18 221.04 205.5 226.31 408.12 3256.25 8626.34
173.525 252.5716667 227.235 230.7277778 267.028333 3086.39444
Donde
ti es el parametro de localización en la distribución
x es la media
n el numero de datos
S la desviación estandar
S^2 la varianza
0°
0°
0.004
0.0035
0.003
0.0025
0.003
0.0025
0.002
0.0015
0.001
Media
Desviación Estandar
Beta
Alpha
Pp (mm)
3
5
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
105
110
115
120
125
130
135
140
145
150
155
160
165
170
175
180
185
190
195
200
205
210
215
220
o que esta contenido en el parentesis 225
230
eibull no acumulada 235
240
245
250
255
decir es una 260
265
a probabilidad acumulada 270
juntos con todos 275
que le son posibles tomar 280
285
290
295
300
305
310
315
320
325
330
335
340
345
350
355
360
365
370
375
380
385
390
395
400
405
410
415
420
425
430
435
440
445
450
455
460
465
470
475
480
485
490
495
500
510
520
530
540
550
560
580
600
620
640
660
680
700
720
740
760
780
800
820
840
860
880
900
920
940
960
Enero
004
035
003
025
003
025
002
015
001
005
0
0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800
orden ti
1 0.25 0.1111111111
2 0.5 0.2222222222
0.0045
3 1.5 0.3333333333
4 2 0.4444444444
5 2.45 0.5555555556
0.004
6 3 0.6666666667
7 4.5 0.7777777778
8 5.5 0.8888888889
0.0035
0.003
0.0025
0.002
0.0015
0.001
0.0005
0
0 100 200
0.0005
0
0 100 200
0.005
0.0045
0.004
0.0035
0.003
0.0025
0.002
0.0015
0.001
0.0005
0
0 100 200
Enero ln(Q) Febrero
5.498343496 5.47139474
0.2222353662 0.1194167157
S 0.4714184618 0.3455672377
2.7206185884 3.7114335225
302.0223826058 277.8035369086
Enero Febrero
R(t) Enero Pp (mm) R(t) Febrero Pp (mm)
0.9999964451 3.55487E-06 3 0.9999955374 4.4626E-06 3
0.9999857312 1.42688E-05 5 0.9999820878 1.7912E-05 5
0.9999059503 9.40497E-05 10 0.9998819368 0.00011806 10
0.999380229 0.000619771 20 0.9992220369 0.00077796 20
0.9981334598 0.00186654 30 0.9976574118 0.00234259 30
0.9959218184 0.004078182 40 0.9948831545 0.00511685 40
0.9925289537 0.007471046 50 0.9906302422 0.00936976 50
0.9877606209 0.012239379 60 0.9846594724 0.01534053 60
0.9814430596 0.01855694 70 0.9767601356 0.02323986 70
0.9734230354 0.026576965 80 0.9667507736 0.03324923 80
0.9635687381 0.036431262 90 0.9544809694 0.04551903 90
0.9517711287 0.048228871 100 0.9398336128 0.06016639 100
0.9451161128 0.054883887 105 0.9315914508 0.06840855 105
0.937945484 0.062054516 110 0.9227272815 0.07727272 110
0.9302527081 0.069747292 115 0.9132368694 0.08676313 115
0.9220329603 0.07796704 120 0.9031184694 0.09688153 120
0.9132831659 0.086716834 125 0.8923728725 0.10762713 125
0.904002035 0.095997965 130 0.8810034427 0.11899656 130
0.8941900939 0.105809906 135 0.8690161415 0.13098386 135
0.8838497083 0.116150292 140 0.8564195408 0.14358046 140
0.8729851013 0.127014899 145 0.8432248228 0.15677518 145
0.8616023636 0.138397636 150 0.8294457654 0.17055423 150
0.8497094553 0.150290545 155 0.8150987136 0.18490129 155
0.8373162007 0.162683799 160 0.8002025352 0.19979746 160
0.8244342728 0.175565727 165 0.7847785613 0.21522144 165
0.8110771701 0.18892283 170 0.7688505115 0.23114949 170
0.7972601837 0.202739816 175 0.7524444024 0.2475556 175
0.7830003544 0.216999646 180 0.7355884416 0.26441156 180
0.7683164212 0.231683579 185 0.7183129056 0.28168709 185
0.7532287599 0.24677124 190 0.7006500031 0.29935 190
0.7377593117 0.262240688 195 0.6826337242 0.31736628 195
0.7219315038 0.278068496 200 0.6642996761 0.33570032 200
0.7057701595 0.294229841 205 0.6456849063 0.35431509 205
0.6893014008 0.310698599 210 0.6268277147 0.37317229 210
0.6725525422 0.327447458 215 0.6077674558 0.39223254 215
0.6555519771 0.344448023 220 0.5885443314 0.41145567 220
0.6383290566 0.361670943 225 0.5691991777 0.43080082 225
0.6209139625 0.379086037 230 0.5497732458 0.45022675 230
0.6033375743 0.396662426 235 0.5303079789 0.46969202 235
0.5856313313 0.414368669 240 0.510844788 0.48915521 240
0.5678270906 0.432172909 245 0.4914248265 0.50857517 245
0.5499569828 0.450043017 250 0.4720887683 0.52791123 250
0.5320532646 0.467946735 255 0.4528765881 0.54712341 255
0.5141481709 0.485851829 260 0.433827348 0.56617265 260
0.496273767 0.503726233 265 0.414978992 0.58502101 265
0.4784618014 0.521538199 270 0.3963681486 0.60363185 270
0.4607435613 0.539256439 275 0.3780299456 0.62197005 275
0.4431497301 0.55685027 280 0.3599978363 0.64000216 280
0.4257102508 0.574289749 285 0.3423034403 0.65769656 285
0.4084541926 0.591545807 290 0.3249763994 0.6750236 290
0.391409625 0.608590375 295 0.3080442494 0.69195575 295
0.3746034987 0.625396501 300 0.2915323103 0.70846769 300
0.3580615337 0.641938466 305 0.2754635931 0.72453641 305
0.3418081169 0.658191883 310 0.2598587269 0.74014127 310
0.3258662086 0.674133791 315 0.2447359037 0.7552641 315
0.3102572591 0.689742741 320 0.2301108429 0.76988916 320
0.2950011357 0.704998864 325 0.2159967753 0.78400322 325
0.2801160609 0.719883939 330 0.2024044452 0.79759555 330
0.2656185618 0.734381438 335 0.1893421315 0.81065787 335
0.2515234306 0.748476569 340 0.1768156863 0.82318431 340
0.2378436972 0.762156303 345 0.1648285901 0.83517141 345
0.2245906136 0.775409386 350 0.1533820239 0.84661798 350
0.2117736486 0.788226351 355 0.1424749549 0.85752505 355
0.1994004956 0.800599504 360 0.132104236 0.86789576 360
0.1874770897 0.81252291 365 0.122264718 0.87773528 365
0.1760076368 0.823992363 370 0.1129493716 0.88705063 370
0.1649946516 0.835005348 375 0.1041494186 0.89585058 375
0.1544390063 0.845560994 380 0.0958544707 0.90414553 380
0.1443399872 0.855660013 385 0.0880526739 0.91194733 385
0.13469536 0.86530464 390 0.0807308575 0.91926914 390
0.1255014424 0.874498558 395 0.0738746845 0.92612532 395
0.1167531833 0.883246817 400 0.0674688046 0.9325312 400
0.1084442472 0.891555753 405 0.061497005 0.938503 405
0.1005671045 0.899432895 410 0.0559423606 0.94405764 410
0.0931131247 0.906886875 415 0.05078738 0.94921262 415
0.0860726729 0.913927327 420 0.0460141475 0.95398585 420
0.0794352085 0.920564791 425 0.0416044589 0.95839554 425
0.0731893853 0.926810615 430 0.0375399514 0.96246005 430
0.0673231514 0.932676849 435 0.0338022252 0.96619777 435
0.0618238489 0.938176151 440 0.0303729576 0.96962704 440
0.0566783125 0.943321687 445 0.0272340081 0.97276599 445
0.0518729661 0.948127034 450 0.0243675141 0.97563249 450
0.0473939158 0.952606084 455 0.0217559774 0.97824402 455
0.0432270409 0.956772959 460 0.0193823409 0.98061766 460
0.0393580802 0.96064192 465 0.0172300557 0.98276994 465
0.0357727139 0.964227286 470 0.0152831386 0.98471686 470
0.0324566411 0.967543359 475 0.0135262203 0.98647378 475
0.0293956516 0.970604348 480 0.0119445839 0.98805542 480
0.0265756928 0.973424307 485 0.0105241959 0.9894758 485
0.0239829308 0.976017069 490 0.0092517274 0.99074827 490
0.0216038051 0.978396195 495 0.0081145685 0.99188543 495
0.0194250788 0.980574921 500 0.0071008357 0.99289916 500
0.0156177467 0.984382253 510 0.0053997394 0.99460026 510
0.0124630102 0.98753699 520 0.004067757 0.99593224 520
0.0098703079 0.990129692 530 0.0030352786 0.99696472 530
0.0077570405 0.992242959 540 0.0022430878 0.99775691 540
0.0060488623 0.993951138 550 0.0016415013 0.9983585 550
0.0046797056 0.995320294 560 0.001189397 0.9988106 560
0.0027342015 0.997265798 580 0.000605822 0.99939418 580
0.00154588 0.99845412 600 0.0002961103 0.99970389 600
0.000845087 0.999154913 620 0.0001387425 0.99986126 620
0.0004463319 0.999553668 640 0.000062255 0.99993775 640
0.0002275615 0.999772439 660 2.672465467E-05 0.99997328 660
0.000111913 0.999888087 680 1.096460022E-05 0.99998904 680
5.3047245739E-05 0.999946953 700 4.29525118E-06 0.9999957 700
2.4216299811E-05 0.999975784 720 0.000001605 0.99999839 720
1.0638499096E-05 0.999989362 740 5.715217048E-07 0.99999943 740
4.494155579E-06 0.999995506 760 1.937506453E-07 0.99999981 760
1.8242361013E-06 0.999998176 780 6.247301729E-08 0.99999994 780
0.000000711 0.999999289 800 1.914121573E-08 0.99999998 800
2.6584879167E-07 0.999999734 820 5.567574275E-09 0.99999999 820
9.5303146802E-08 0.999999905 840 1.535948243E-09 1 840
3.2730191393E-08 0.999999967 860 4.015120214E-10 1 860
1.076068653E-08 0.999999989 880 9.936466045E-11 1 880
3.3842698697E-09 1 900 2.325837624E-11 1 900
0.000000001 0.999999999 920 5.144533446E-12 1 920
2.9218602872E-10 1 940 1.074334032E-12 1 940
8.0095031126E-11 1 960 2.11626161E-13 1 960
Enero Febrero
Pp (mm) Pp (mm) Probabilidad Pp (mm) Pp (mm) Probabilidad
3 3.223808691E-06 3 6.215183365E-08
5 7.76393143E-06 5 2.483029957E-07
10 2.558614443E-05 10 1.626308841E-06
25 0.0001236672 22 0.000013792
40 0.000276813 34 4.488446273E-05
55 0.0004761092 46 0.0001017842
70 0.0007144999 58 0.0001904989
85 0.0009849747 70 0.0003162468
100 0.0012799612 82 0.0004833506
115 0.0015911205 94 0.0006950138
130 0.0019093553 106 0.0009530097
145 0.0022249687 118 0.0012573096
160 0.002527938 130 0.0016056836
175 0.0028082783 142 0.0019933146
190 0.0030564677 154 0.0024124832
205 0.0032639016 166 0.0028523845
220 0.0034233416 178 0.0032991504
235 0.003529319 190 0.0037361433
250 0.0035784585 202 0.0041445762
265 0.0035696885 214 0.0045044849
280 0.0035043154 226 0.0047960357
295 0.0033859479 238 0.0050010966
310 0.0032202732 250 0.005104939
325 0.0030146993 262 0.0050978829
340 0.0027778912 274 0.0049766572
355 0.0025192388 286 0.004745245
370 0.0022482999 298 0.0044150158
385 0.0019742655 310 0.0040040352
400 0.0017054878 322 0.0035355579
415 0.0014491062 334 0.003035855
430 0.0012107932 346 0.0025316531
445 0.0009946298 358 0.0020475531
460 0.0008031067 370 0.0016038142
475 0.0006372348 382 0.0012148277
490 0.0004967418 394 0.0008884767
505 0.0003803247 406 0.0006264023
520 0.0002859275 418 0.0004250294
535 0.000211017 430 0.0002770787
550 0.0001528339 442 0.0001732387
565 0.0001086032 454 0.0001036962
580 7.569430399E-05 466 5.931368089E-05
595 0.000051732 478 3.235938679E-05
610 3.465814849E-05 490 1.680577916E-05
625 0.000022755 502 8.292225064E-06
640 1.46369444E-05 514 3.879362745E-06
655 9.221412435E-06 526 1.717241887E-06
670 5.688429015E-06 538 7.177473596E-07
685 3.434854624E-06 550 2.826511328E-07
700 2.02963769E-06 562 1.04645785E-07
Febrero
0.006
0.005
0.004
0.005
0.004
0.003
0.002
0.001
Pp (mm) Proba bi l i da d
Marzo
45
04
35
03
25
02
15
01
05
0
0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800
0
0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800
Abril
005
045
004
035
003
025
002
015
001
005
0
0 100 200 300 400 500 600 70
0.114498512 0.103851658
0.338376288 0.322260233
3.790306459 3.979857579
378.7360469 325.01336
Marzo Abril Mayo
R(t) Marzo Pp (mm) R(t) Abril Pp (mm) R(t) Mayo
0.999999989 1.0858E-08 3 0.99999998 1.9389E-08 3 0.999999921 7.86502E-08
0.999999925 7.52704E-08 5 0.99999987 1.3441E-07 5 0.999999547 4.52865E-07
0.999998959 1.04141E-06 10 0.99999814 1.8596E-06 10 0.999995129 4.87067E-06
0.999985592 1.44083E-05 20 0.99997427 2.5729E-05 20 0.999947616 0.000052384
0.999933005 6.69949E-05 30 0.99988037 0.00011963 30 0.999789804 0.000210196
0.999800672 0.000199328 40 0.99964409 0.00035591 40 0.999436741 0.000563259
0.999535666 0.000464334 50 0.99917099 0.00082901 50 0.998790306 0.001209694
0.999073488 0.000926512 60 0.99834612 0.00165388 60 0.997741609 0.002258391
0.998338731 0.001661269 70 0.99703539 0.00296461 70 0.99617279 0.00382721
0.997245711 0.002754289 80 0.99508697 0.00491303 80 0.99395862 0.00604138
0.995699129 0.004300871 90 0.99233288 0.00766712 90 0.990968065 0.009031935
0.993594806 0.006405194 100 0.98859098 0.01140902 100 0.987065931 0.012934069
0.992298716 0.007701284 105 0.98628938 0.01371062 105 0.984730072 0.015269928
0.990820545 0.009179455 110 0.98366732 0.01633268 110 0.982114648 0.017885352
0.989145184 0.010854816 115 0.98069918 0.01930082 115 0.979202415 0.020797585
0.987257161 0.012742839 120 0.97735902 0.02264098 120 0.975976235 0.024023765
0.985140687 0.014859313 125 0.97362066 0.02637934 125 0.972419153 0.027580847
0.982779702 0.017220298 130 0.96945785 0.03054215 130 0.96851447 0.03148553
0.980157924 0.019842076 135 0.96484442 0.03515558 135 0.964245825 0.035754175
0.977258908 0.022741092 140 0.95975442 0.04024558 140 0.959597276 0.040402724
0.974066103 0.025933897 145 0.95416232 0.04583768 145 0.954553387 0.045446613
0.97056292 0.02943708 150 0.94804314 0.05195686 150 0.949099314 0.050900686
0.966732796 0.033267204 155 0.94137271 0.05862729 155 0.943220899 0.056779101
0.962559273 0.037440727 160 0.93412783 0.06587217 160 0.936904761 0.063095239
0.958026071 0.041973929 165 0.92628649 0.07371351 165 0.93013839 0.06986161
0.953117173 0.046882827 170 0.91782811 0.08217189 170 0.922910245 0.077089755
0.947816912 0.052183088 175 0.90873374 0.09126626 175 0.915209845 0.084790155
0.942110062 0.057889938 180 0.8989863 0.1010137 180 0.907027874 0.092972126
0.935981933 0.064018067 185 0.88857085 0.11142915 185 0.898356265 0.101643735
0.929418471 0.070581529 190 0.87747477 0.12252523 190 0.889188305 0.110811695
0.922406358 0.077593642 195 0.86568805 0.13431195 195 0.879518718 0.120481282
0.914933117 0.085066883 200 0.85320348 0.14679652 200 0.869343761 0.130656239
0.906987224 0.093012776 205 0.84001693 0.15998307 205 0.858661303 0.141338697
0.898558213 0.101441787 210 0.82612749 0.17387251 210 0.847470907 0.152529093
0.889636787 0.110363213 215 0.81153776 0.18846224 215 0.835773907 0.164226093
0.880214929 0.119785071 220 0.79625397 0.20374603 220 0.823573473 0.176426527
0.870286015 0.129713985 225 0.78028618 0.21971382 225 0.810874671 0.189125329
0.859844919 0.140155081 230 0.76364841 0.23635159 230 0.797684516 0.202315484
0.848888122 0.151111878 235 0.74635876 0.25364124 235 0.784012014 0.215987986
0.837413813 0.162586187 240 0.72843951 0.27156049 240 0.769868192 0.230131808
0.825421991 0.174578009 245 0.70991715 0.29008285 245 0.75526612 0.24473388
0.812914557 0.187085443 250 0.69082237 0.30917763 250 0.740220921 0.259779079
0.799895397 0.200104603 255 0.67119008 0.32880992 255 0.724749763 0.275250237
0.786370464 0.213629536 260 0.65105932 0.34894068 260 0.708871844 0.291128156
0.772347844 0.227652156 265 0.63047313 0.36952687 265 0.692608359 0.307391641
0.757837817 0.242162183 270 0.60947837 0.39052163 270 0.675982454 0.324017546
0.742852898 0.257147102 275 0.58812554 0.41187446 275 0.659019164 0.340980836
0.727407876 0.272592124 280 0.56646849 0.43353151 280 0.641745335 0.358254665
0.711519827 0.288480173 285 0.54456414 0.45543586 285 0.624189539 0.375810461
0.695208121 0.304791879 290 0.52247207 0.47752793 290 0.606381958 0.393618042
0.678494409 0.321505591 295 0.50025415 0.49974585 295 0.588354271 0.411645729
0.661402587 0.338597413 300 0.4779741 0.5220259 300 0.570139513 0.429860487
0.643958753 0.356041247 305 0.45569697 0.54430303 305 0.551771927 0.448228073
0.626191137 0.373808863 310 0.43348867 0.56651133 310 0.533286802 0.466713198
0.608130014 0.391869986 315 0.4114154 0.5885846 315 0.5147203 0.4852797
0.589807597 0.410192403 320 0.38954307 0.61045693 320 0.496109266 0.503890734
0.571257915 0.428742085 325 0.36793676 0.63206324 325 0.47749104 0.52250896
0.55251666 0.44748334 330 0.34666012 0.65333988 330 0.458903248 0.541096752
0.533621032 0.466378968 335 0.32577478 0.67422522 335 0.440383597 0.559616403
0.514609549 0.485390451 340 0.30533982 0.69466018 340 0.42196966 0.57803034
0.495521852 0.504478148 345 0.28541118 0.71458882 345 0.403698659 0.596301341
0.47639849 0.52360151 350 0.26604119 0.73395881 350 0.385607247 0.614392753
0.457280686 0.542719314 355 0.24727804 0.75272196 355 0.367731297 0.632268703
0.438210098 0.561789902 360 0.22916542 0.77083458 360 0.350105683 0.649894317
0.419228565 0.580771435 365 0.21174209 0.78825791 365 0.332764079 0.667235921
0.400377845 0.599622155 370 0.1950416 0.8049584 370 0.315738755 0.684261245
0.381699351 0.618300649 375 0.17909203 0.82090797 375 0.299060393 0.700939607
0.363233872 0.636766128 380 0.16391583 0.83608417 380 0.282757904 0.717242096
0.345021314 0.654978686 385 0.14952968 0.85047032 385 0.26685827 0.73314173
0.327100423 0.672899577 390 0.13594455 0.86405545 390 0.251386391 0.748613609
0.309508525 0.690491475 395 0.12316565 0.87683435 395 0.236364957 0.763635043
0.292281275 0.707718725 400 0.11119267 0.88880733 400 0.221814332 0.778185668
0.275452413 0.724547587 405 0.10001987 0.89998013 405 0.207752468 0.792247532
0.259053537 0.740946463 410 0.08963643 0.91036357 410 0.194194823 0.805805177
0.243113895 0.756886105 415 0.08002674 0.91997326 415 0.18115432 0.81884568
0.227660196 0.772339804 420 0.07117082 0.92882918 420 0.168641311 0.831358689
0.212716442 0.787283558 425 0.06304468 0.93695532 425 0.156663575 0.843336425
0.198303793 0.801696207 430 0.05562088 0.94437912 430 0.145226332 0.854773668
0.184440446 0.815559554 435 0.04886894 0.95113106 435 0.134332278 0.865667722
0.171141556 0.828858444 440 0.04275591 0.95724409 440 0.123981643 0.876018357
0.158419177 0.841580823 445 0.03724686 0.96275314 445 0.114172272 0.885827728
0.146282238 0.853717762 450 0.03230541 0.96769459 450 0.104899718 0.895100282
0.134736549 0.865263451 455 0.02789424 0.97210576 455 0.096157356 0.903842644
0.123784837 0.876215163 460 0.02397553 0.97602447 460 0.087936514 0.912063486
0.113426808 0.886573192 465 0.02051151 0.97948849 465 0.080226613 0.919773387
0.103659247 0.896340753 470 0.01746476 0.98253524 470 0.073015324 0.926984676
0.094476135 0.905523865 475 0.01479871 0.98520129 475 0.066288735 0.933711265
0.085868798 0.914131202 480 0.01247787 0.98752213 480 0.060031516 0.939968484
0.077826074 0.922173926 485 0.01046821 0.98953179 485 0.054227104 0.945772896
0.070334504 0.929665496 490 0.00873733 0.99126267 490 0.048857879 0.951142121
0.063378534 0.936621466 495 0.00725467 0.99274533 495 0.043905346 0.956094654
0.056940743 0.943059257 500 0.00599167 0.99400833 500 0.039350317 0.960649683
0.04554204 0.95445796 510 0.00402083 0.99597917 510 0.031353596 0.968646404
0.035970497 0.964029503 520 0.0026384 0.9973616 520 0.024706885 0.975293115
0.02804349 0.97195651 530 0.00169153 0.99830847 530 0.019248862 0.980751138
0.021571155 0.978428845 540 0.00105872 0.99894128 540 0.014822189 0.985177811
0.016363325 0.983636675 550 0.00064639 0.99935361 550 0.011277232 0.988722768
0.012235585 0.987764415 560 0.00038464 0.99961536 560 0.008474951 0.991525049
0.00653995 0.99346005 580 0.00012568 0.99987432 580 0.004606606 0.995393394
0.003281328 0.996718672 600 3.6677E-05 0.99996332 600 0.002374189 0.997625811
0.001539329 0.998460671 620 9.4928E-06 0.99999051 620 0.001157163 0.998842837
0.000672443 0.999327557 640 2.1633E-06 0.99999784 640 0.000531933 0.999468067
0.000272402 0.999727598 660 4.3085E-07 0.99999957 660 0.000229998 0.999770002
0.000101892 0.999898108 680 7.4422E-08 0.99999993 680 9.32834E-05 0.999906717
3.50387E-05 0.999964961 700 1.1063E-08 0.99999999 700 3.53905E-05 0.99996461
1.10277E-05 0.999988972 720 1.4038E-09 1 720 1.25241E-05 0.999987476
0.000003162 0.999996838 740 1.5085E-10 1 740 4.12235E-06 0.999995878
8.22135E-07 0.999999178 760 1.361E-11 1 760 1.25842E-06 0.999998742
1.9291E-07 0.999999807 780 1.0223E-12 1 780 3.55241E-07 0.999999645
4.0651E-08 0.999999959 800 6.338E-14 1 800 9.24597E-08 0.999999908
7.65474E-09 0.999999992 820 3.2141E-15 1 820 2.21215E-08 0.999999978
1.28151E-09 1 840 1.3212E-16 1 840 4.85067E-09 1
1.89758E-10 1 860 4.3621E-18 1 860 0.000000001 0.999999999
2.47208E-11 1 880 1.1458E-19 1 880 1.77349E-10 1
2.81825E-12 1 900 2.3715E-21 1 900 2.93886E-11 1
2.79621E-13 1 920 3.8303E-23 1 920 4.40831E-12 1
2.40111E-14 1 940 4.7795E-25 1 940 5.96663E-13 1
1.77436E-15 1 960 4.5613E-27 1 960 7.26373E-14 1
Marzo Abril Mayo
Pp (mm) Pp (mm) Probabilidad Pp (mm) Pp (mm) Probabilidad Pp (mm) Pp (mm)
3 1.37184E-08 3 1.05831E-08 3
5 5.70596E-08 5 4.84942E-08 5
10 3.94725E-07 10 3.82574E-07 10
25 5.08926E-06 20 3.01812E-06 25
40 0.000018886 40 2.38048E-05 40
55 4.59033E-05 60 7.96112E-05 55
70 8.98784E-05 72 0.000136888 70
85 0.000154224 84 0.000216245 85
100 0.000241997 96 0.00032089 100
115 0.000355817 108 0.000453688 115
130 0.000497731 120 0.000617004 130
145 0.000669046 132 0.00081252 145
160 0.000870134 144 0.001041021 160
175 0.001100212 156 0.001302158 175
190 0.001357127 168 0.001594206 190
205 0.00163716 180 0.001913828 205
220 0.001934881 192 0.002255879 220
235 0.00224308 204 0.002613279 235
250 0.002552823 216 0.002976983 250
265 0.002853644 228 0.003336093 265
280 0.003133915 240 0.003678143 280
295 0.003381387 252 0.003989571 295
310 0.003583916 264 0.004256394 310
325 0.00373031 276 0.00446506 325
340 0.003811256 288 0.004603441 340
355 0.003820233 300 0.004661882 355
370 0.003754293 312 0.004634196 370
385 0.003614615 324 0.004518504 385
400 0.003406702 336 0.004317766 400
415 0.00314018 348 0.004039907 415
430 0.002828156 360 0.003697466 430
445 0.002486177 372 0.003306741 445
460 0.002130915 384 0.002886519 460
475 0.001778713 396 0.002456488 475
490 0.001444203 408 0.002035554 490
505 0.001139167 420 0.00164027 505
520 0.000871799 432 0.001283587 520
535 0.000646438 444 0.000974096 535
550 0.00046378 456 0.000715829 550
565 0.000321472 468 0.000508619 565
580 0.000214968 480 0.000348876 580
595 0.000138465 492 0.000230646 595
610 8.57751E-05 504 0.000146721 610
625 5.10194E-05 516 0.000089654 625
640 2.90901E-05 528 5.25305E-05 640
655 0.000015873 540 2.94601E-05 655
670 8.27418E-06 552 1.57845E-05 670
685 4.11317E-06 564 8.06448E-06 685
700 1.9464E-06 576 3.92126E-06 700
Febrero
0.004
0.0035
0.003
0.0025
0.003
0.0025
0.002
0.0015
0.001
0.0005
Junio
0.005
0.0045
0.004
0.0035
0.003
0.0025
0.002
0.0015
0.001
700 800
0.0005
0.0015
0.001
700 800
0.0005
0
0 100 200 300
Pp (mm) Pro
Julio
0.006
0.005
0.004
0.003
0.002
0.001
600 700
0
0 100 200 300
Pp (mm) Pro
Junio Julio Agosto
0.703869413 171.3 5.14341641 0.12597324 84 4.430816799 1.13961325 94.17
0.020001621 216.03 5.37541729 0.015110853 159.93 5.07473622 0.179443125 108.09
0.008125376 217.41 5.38178497 0.01358589 172.35 5.149527293 0.121672744 115.41
0.000924765 238.35 5.47374018 0.000605323 176.16 5.171392673 0.106896841 120.45
4.31525E-06 244.02 5.49725019 1.19532E-06 183.75 5.213576138 0.081092448 132.72
0.00111982 254.64 5.53985078 0.001722855 197.13 5.28386341 0.046001708 146.73
0.004228488 260.07 5.56095083 0.003919678 207.9 5.337057195 0.026013271 163.74
0.00999347 261.6 5.56681662 0.004688569 207.93 5.337201485 0.025966748 168.18
0.011062108 265.53 5.58172783 0.006952947 223.17 5.407933813 0.008173911 177.72
0.028836048 291.99 5.67671956 0.031818018 230.31 5.439426228 0.003471245 180.18
0.054631979 298.68 5.69937277 0.040412767 235.41 5.461328675 0.001370097 181.71
0.056415215 307.35 5.72798716 0.052736214 249.99 5.521420917 0.000532567 190.11
0.062180492 324.36 5.78185401 0.080378211 259.08 5.557136894 0.003456664 200.19
0.082856537 330.69 5.80118138 0.091710784 262.83 5.571507435 0.005352962 204.84
0.177812971 341.82 5.83428428 0.112856212 266.73 5.586236911 0.007725252 206.28
0.254077483 350.97 5.86070075 0.131302779 301.74 5.709565719 0.044614828 216.57
0.445100315 408.24 6.01185524 0.263694308 318.3 5.762994334 0.070040066 249.36
0.459855554 532.11 6.27685023 0.606072742 349.35 5.856074285 0.127971317 267
302.58 5.68519671 235.4152941 5.437704684 178.192941
5.68519671 5.437704684
Mayo
100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800
Pp (mm) Probabi l i da d
Junio
0.006
0.005
0.004
0.003
0.002
0.001
0.002
0.001
Julio
0.009
0.008
0.007
0.006
0.005
0.004
0.003
0.002
0
0 50
Setiembre Octubre
4.54510166 0.908669999 101.34 4.6184812 0.77415766 153.57 5.03415649 0.215469578
4.68296421 0.664843375 178.83 5.186435634 0.097286515 153.63 5.03454711 0.215107084
4.74849101 0.562278758 184.71 5.218787028 0.078151819 176.88 5.17547154 0.104246302
4.79123473 0.500002809 196.41 5.280204311 0.047584704 188.01 5.23649515 0.068564555
4.88824165 0.372224268 197.16 5.284015582 0.045936455 190.8 5.25122576 0.061067176
4.98859416 0.259844382 202.08 5.308663659 0.035978441 205.5 5.32544603 0.029893532
5.0982798 0.160050958 207.84 5.336768553 0.026106462 207.3 5.33416702 0.026953916
5.12503483 0.139359357 221.04 5.398343681 0.009999963 208.53 5.34008292 0.025046411
5.18020928 0.101209381 224.04 5.411824607 0.007485518 216.51 5.37763674 0.014570122
5.19395635 0.092651534 233.55 5.453396187 0.002020261 226.8 5.42406857 0.005516764
5.20241201 0.087575445 254.07 5.53760982 0.001541844 234.3 5.45660235 0.001742324
5.24760285 0.062870871 282.42 5.643395325 0.021040033 238.26 5.47336251 0.000624049
5.29926692 0.039631485 291.93 5.676514048 0.031744745 240.45 5.48251217 0.000250631
5.32222919 0.03101625 319.5 5.766757274 0.072045956 246.45 5.50715913 7.77155E-05
5.32923447 0.028597863 346.98 5.849267141 0.123147405 257.82 5.55226167 0.002907169
5.37791382 0.014503307 360.39 5.887186778 0.151199098 277.17 5.62463104 0.015948543
5.51889764 0.000422473 371.28 5.916956495 0.175236843 314.55 5.75114305 0.063907612
5.58724866 0.007904128 372.72 5.920827468 0.178492706 353.7 5.8684491 0.136978155
5.15187127 261.4676471 5.533938446 231.568235 5.42442717
Agosto
0.006
0.005
0.004
0.005
0.004
0.003
0.002
0.001
0
0 100 200 300 400 500
700 800
Pp (mm) Probabi l ida d
Setiembre
006
005
004
003
002
001
002
001
0
0 100 200 300 400 500 600
Pp (mm) Proba bi l i da d
Octubre
09
08
07
06
05
04
03
02
01
0
0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400
Pp (mm) Proba bi l i da d
Noviembre Diciembre
84.96 4.442180557 1.115480153 118.62 4.77592511 0.52188833
121.83 4.80262663 0.484021957 139.32 4.93677345 0.315360922
184.86 5.219598782 0.077698616 144.27 4.97168654 0.277367545
200.07 5.298667305 0.039870581 172.68 5.15144017 0.120341917
201.48 5.305690121 0.037115323 183.72 5.21341286 0.081185468
226.31 5.421905741 0.00584273 203.37 5.31502698 0.033604945
226.92 5.424597532 0.005438467 218.19 5.38536624 0.01276386
227.04 5.425126213 0.005360771 233.94 5.45506467 0.001873057
228.06 5.429608752 0.004724465 238.23 5.47323659 0.000630357
228.27 5.430529139 0.004598787 265.02 5.57980529 0.006636025
260.64 5.563140145 0.004198606 288.24 5.66379347 0.027373693
265.56 5.581840804 0.0069718 311.46 5.74127092 0.059013733
268.11 5.591397344 0.008659019 322.65 5.77656814 0.077408955
268.77 5.593855995 0.009122637 338.31 5.82396263 0.106027823
283.35 5.646682883 0.022004574 348.15 5.85263342 0.125521351
291.3 5.674353664 0.030979579 408.12 6.01156125 0.263392462
292.23 5.677541163 0.032111804 420.84 6.04225271 0.295837237
293.34 5.681332346 0.033484919 451.38 6.11230956 0.376954324
239.3023529 5.456970268 275.758235 5.55918617
5.456970268 5.55918617
0.113393223 0.159010706
0.336739102 0.398761465
3.808734484 3.216333429
272.7393749 310.6432591
Noviembre Diciembre
R(t) Noviembre Pp (mm) R(t) Diciembre Pp (mm)
0.999999965 3.46826E-08 3 0.99999998 2.1128E-08 3
0.999999757 2.42703E-07 5 0.99999985 1.4785E-07 5
0.999996599 3.40108E-06 10 0.99999793 2.0719E-06 10
0.99995234 4.76596E-05 20 0.99997097 2.9034E-05 20
0.999776747 0.000223253 30 0.99986399 0.00013601 30
0.999332334 0.000667666 40 0.99959321 0.00040679 40
0.99843876 0.00156124 50 0.99904862 0.00095138 50
0.996876008 0.003123992 60 0.99809573 0.00190427 60
0.99438758 0.00561242 70 0.99657721 0.00342279 70
0.99068427 0.00931573 80 0.99431457 0.00568543 80
0.985448928 0.014551072 90 0.99111026 0.00888974 90
0.978342599 0.021657401 100 0.98675012 0.01324988 100
0.973977819 0.026022181 105 0.98406595 0.01593405 105
0.96901236 0.03098764 110 0.98100666 0.01899334 110
0.963401528 0.036598472 115 0.97754236 0.02245764 115
0.957101095 0.042898905 120 0.97364287 0.02635713 120
0.950067715 0.049932285 125 0.96927787 0.03072213 125
0.942259387 0.057740613 130 0.96441711 0.03558289 130
0.933635933 0.066364067 135 0.9590306 0.0409694 135
0.924159517 0.075840483 140 0.95308882 0.04691118 140
0.913795184 0.086204816 145 0.94656298 0.05343702 145
0.902511419 0.097488581 150 0.93942525 0.06057475 150
0.890280721 0.109719279 155 0.93164902 0.06835098 155
0.87708019 0.12291981 160 0.92320917 0.07679083 160
0.862892107 0.137107893 165 0.91408237 0.08591763 165
0.847704508 0.152295492 170 0.90424738 0.09575262 170
0.831511745 0.168488255 175 0.8936853 0.1063147 175
0.814315004 0.185684996 180 0.88237996 0.11762004 180
0.796122797 0.203877203 185 0.87031814 0.12968186 185
0.776951388 0.223048612 190 0.85748991 0.14251009 190
0.756825156 0.243174844 195 0.84388894 0.15611106 195
0.735776879 0.264223121 200 0.82951275 0.17048725 200
0.713847924 0.286152076 205 0.81436302 0.18563698 205
0.691088328 0.308911672 210 0.79844579 0.20155421 210
0.667556769 0.332443231 215 0.78177172 0.21822828 215
0.643320407 0.356679593 220 0.76435626 0.23564374 220
0.618454588 0.381545412 225 0.74621984 0.25378016 225
0.59304241 0.40695759 230 0.72738793 0.27261207 230
0.567174147 0.432825853 235 0.70789116 0.29210884 235
0.540946525 0.459053475 240 0.68776531 0.31223469 240
0.514461862 0.485538138 245 0.66705128 0.33294872 245
0.48782707 0.51217293 250 0.645795 0.354205 250
0.461152538 0.538847462 255 0.62404724 0.37595276 255
0.434550909 0.565449091 260 0.60186344 0.39813656 260
0.408135764 0.591864236 265 0.57930337 0.42069663 265
0.382020244 0.617979756 270 0.55643081 0.44356919 270
0.356315625 0.643684375 275 0.53331309 0.46668691 275
0.331129891 0.668870109 280 0.51002067 0.48997933 280
0.306566311 0.693433689 285 0.48662652 0.51337348 285
0.28272208 0.71727792 290 0.46320558 0.53679442 290
0.259687026 0.740312974 295 0.4398341 0.5601659 295
0.237542443 0.762457557 300 0.41658895 0.58341105 300
0.216360054 0.783639946 305 0.39354688 0.60645312 305
0.196201147 0.803798853 310 0.37078384 0.62921616 310
0.177115901 0.822884099 315 0.34837418 0.65162582 315
0.159142917 0.840857083 320 0.32638993 0.67361007 320
0.142308972 0.857691028 325 0.30490006 0.69509994 325
0.126628997 0.873371003 330 0.28396977 0.71603023 330
0.112106279 0.887893721 335 0.26365984 0.73634016 335
0.098732885 0.901267115 340 0.24402601 0.75597399 340
0.086490283 0.913509717 345 0.22511842 0.77488158 345
0.075350158 0.924649842 350 0.20698116 0.79301884 350
0.065275378 0.934724622 355 0.18965185 0.81034815 355
0.056221094 0.943778906 360 0.17316138 0.82683862 360
0.048135935 0.951864065 365 0.15753369 0.84246631 365
0.040963267 0.959036733 370 0.14278564 0.85721436 370
0.034642477 0.965357523 375 0.12892711 0.87107289 375
0.029110242 0.970889758 380 0.115961 0.884039 380
0.02430177 0.97569823 385 0.10388351 0.89611649 385
0.020151952 0.979848048 390 0.09268444 0.90731556 390
0.016596431 0.983403569 395 0.08234754 0.91765246 395
0.01357254 0.98642746 400 0.07285103 0.92714897 400
0.011020118 0.988979882 405 0.06416811 0.93583189 405
0.008882169 0.991117831 410 0.05626757 0.94373243 410
0.00710539 0.99289461 415 0.04911438 0.95088562 415
0.005640538 0.994359462 420 0.04267041 0.95732959 420
0.004442668 0.995557332 425 0.03689504 0.96310496 425
0.003471236 0.996528764 430 0.03174588 0.96825412 430
0.00269009 0.99730991 435 0.02717937 0.97282063 435
0.002067363 0.997932637 440 0.02315147 0.97684853 440
0.001575281 0.998424719 445 0.01961816 0.98038184 445
0.00118991 0.99881009 450 0.01653607 0.98346393 450
0.000890857 0.999109143 455 0.01386287 0.98613713 455
0.000660939 0.999339061 460 0.01155776 0.98844224 460
0.000485843 0.999514157 465 0.00958177 0.99041823 465
0.000353778 0.999646222 470 0.00789808 0.99210192 470
0.000255146 0.999744854 475 0.00647219 0.99352781 475
0.000182216 0.999817784 480 0.00527213 0.99472787 480
0.000128838 0.999871162 485 0.00426852 0.99573148 485
9.01734E-05 0.999909827 490 0.00343458 0.99656542 490
6.24608E-05 0.999937539 495 0.00274616 0.99725384 495
4.28102E-05 0.99995719 500 0.00218163 0.99781837 500
0.000019468 0.999980532 510 0.0013499 0.9986501 510
8.46684E-06 0.999991533 520 0.00081286 0.99918714 520
0.000003516 0.999996484 530 0.00047589 0.99952411 530
1.39191E-06 0.999998608 540 0.00027061 0.99972939 540
5.24428E-07 0.999999476 550 0.00014931 0.99985069 550
1.87736E-07 0.999999812 560 7.9857E-05 0.99992014 560
2.04969E-08 0.99999998 580 2.0718E-05 0.99997928 580
1.78655E-09 1 600 4.6861E-06 0.99999531 600
1.2256E-10 1 620 9.1605E-07 0.99999908 620
6.52126E-12 1 640 1.5339E-07 0.99999985 640
2.65121E-13 1 660 2.1802E-08 0.99999998 660
8.10957E-15 1 680 2.6056E-09 1 680
1.83712E-16 1 700 2.5934E-10 1 700
3.03282E-18 1 720 2.1287E-11 1 720
3.58872E-20 1 740 1.4265E-12 1 740
2.99274E-22 1 760 7.7239E-14 1 760
1.72873E-24 1 780 3.3439E-15 1 780
6.79587E-27 1 800 1.1452E-16 1 800
1.78562E-29 1 820 3.0681E-18 1 820
3.07872E-32 1 840 6.3596E-20 1 840
3.4185E-35 1 860 1.0082E-21 1 860
2.39816E-38 1 880 1.2084E-23 1 880
1.04239E-41 1 900 1.0819E-25 1 900
2.75212E-45 1 920 7.1497E-28 1 920
4.32527E-49 1 940 3.4446E-30 1 940
3.96395E-53 1 960 1.1948E-32 1 960
Noviembre Diciembre
Pp (mm) Pp (mm) Probabilidad Pp (mm) Pp (mm) Probabilidad
5 1.84878E-07 5 1.09791E-06
10 1.29538E-06 10 0.000005102
22 1.18616E-05 25 3.88674E-05
34 4.02741E-05 40 0.000110032
46 9.40622E-05 55 0.000222322
58 0.000180082 70 0.000377719
70 0.000304516 85 0.000576673
82 0.000472708 100 0.000817985
94 0.00068888 115 0.001098595
106 0.000955737 130 0.001413372
118 0.001273999 145 0.001754979
130 0.001641875 160 0.002113846
142 0.002054546 175 0.002478312
154 0.002503715 190 0.00283497
166 0.002977307 205 0.003169224
178 0.003459436 220 0.003466056
190 0.003930715 235 0.003710978
202 0.004369009 250 0.003891081
214 0.004750667 265 0.003996113
226 0.005052223 280 0.004019447
238 0.005252461 295 0.003958824
250 0.005334658 310 0.003816764
262 0.005288726 325 0.003600539
274 0.005112911 340 0.003321702
286 0.004814735 355 0.002995172
298 0.004410875 370 0.002637982
310 0.003925897 385 0.002267823
322 0.003389877 400 0.001901572
334 0.002835225 415 0.001553976
346 0.002293181 430 0.00123666
358 0.001790558 445 0.000957556
370 0.001347272 460 0.000720787
382 0.000975039 475 0.000526973
394 0.000677393 490 0.000373861
406 0.000450849 505 0.000257136
418 0.00028687 520 0.00017129
430 0.000174125 535 0.000110405
442 0.000100599 550 6.87874E-05
454 5.51938E-05 565 4.13856E-05
466 2.86896E-05 580 2.40197E-05
478 1.40945E-05 595 1.34344E-05
490 6.52813E-06 610 7.23335E-06
502 2.84343E-06 625 3.74522E-06
514 1.16168E-06 640 1.8628E-06
526 0.000000444 655 8.89075E-07
538 1.58308E-07 670 4.06742E-07
550 5.25171E-08 685 1.78169E-07
562 1.61635E-08 700 7.4644E-08
574 4.60208E-09 715 2.98762E-08
No
0.006
0.005
0.004
0.005
0.004
0.003
0.002
0.001
Diciem
0.0045
0.004
0.0035
0.003
0.0025
0.002
0.0015
0.001
0.0005
0.0015
0.001
0.0005
0
00 600 700 0 100 200 300
Pp (mm)
0.9
0.8
0.7
0.6
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
0 50 100 150 200 250 300
Ene Feb
Percentil 10 135 125
Percentil 15 155 145
Percentil 20 175 160
Percentil 30 205 195
Percentil 40 240 220
Percentil 50 265 245
Noviembre
200 300 400 500 600 700
Pp (mm) Proba bi l i da d
Diciembre
300 400 500 600 700 800
600 650 700 750 800 850 900 950 1000 105
600
500
400
300
200
100
0
0 10 20 30 40
Chart Title
30 40 50 60
Año Enero Febrero Marzo Abril Mayo Junio Julio
2000 248.07 351.45 460.59 381.27 156.75
2001 373.08 168.81 289.23 195.87 208.29 224.07 284.55
2002 175.11 252.81 378.48 368.22 279.6 292.5 186.21
2003 220.86 196.74 268.89 191.22 274.62 319.32 236.73
2004 77.13 157.59 380.34 222.45 315.63 174.09 287.97
2005 231.39 162.81 438.33 243.15 370.23 237.72 347.01
2006 268.89 161.61 396.33 303.3 132.78 347.82 255.78
2007 403.14 34.86 431.49 232.71 390.87 311.58 179.04
2008 283.11 286.68 320.79 267.12 315.87 220.23 287.76
2009 714.36 232.77 226.74 413.37 343.95 286.74 181.29
2010 159.36 231.6 471.09 187.23 430.86 383.85 216.15
2011 245.64 377.94 375.9 372.51 376.02 225.72 259.44
2012 660.9 265.98 418.41 252.78 330.9 191.94 266.73
2013 71.07 248.31 411.93 314.4 477.42 251.97 242.94
2014 328.32 335.22 341.31 254.73 385.92 270.09 112.83
2015 324.3 223.32 483.87 325.65 349.92 196.26 233.01
2016 105.45 152.88 411.27 208.2 175.38 368.55 230.79
2017 539.73 289.56 418.8 247.8 279.9 297.78 107.52
Promedio 304.8141 222.3229 372.8483 275.12 327.7083 276.75 226.25
Agosto Setiembre Octubre Noviembre Diciembre Anual
152.01 276.96 238.2 68.34 156.42 2490.06
98.49 272.79 304.86 337.89 202.05 2959.98
159.09 136.29 289.29 267.84 234.24 3019.68
218.64 306.75 245.76 276.39 290.28 3046.2
143.55 262.5 355.95 215.55 234.45 2827.2
118.95 176.25 247.59 200.76 304.95 3079.14
278.19 134.16 313.23 252.96 390.18 3235.23
214.38 218.55 345.9 199.2 297 3258.72
288.42 304.5 242.01 289.86 84.96 3191.31
293.67 93.99 231.21 231.69 204.06 3453.84
191.01 203.94 210.06 191.79 373.92 3250.86
108.42 312.78 246.57 279.3 270.21 3450.45
257.85 101.16 219.6 277.83 288.66 3532.74
239.16 154.02 230.04 226.41 134.55 3002.22
290.64 164.31 255.96 323.01 239.73 3302.07
184.29 103.53 266.07 306 96 3092.22
189.6 225.12 368.25 175.89 193.02 2804.4
259.86 277.5 256.71 337.4 272.43 3584.99
204.79 206.95 270.40333 247.67278 237.06167 3143.4061
Percentil 10 Almacenado Oferta Demanda Balance
Ene 135 0 6075 5760 315