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Jennifer Ritonja, MSc, Kristan J. Aronson, PhD, Andrew G. Day, MSc, Jill Korsiak,
MSc, Joan Tranmer, PhD
PII: S0828-282X(18)30151-X
DOI: 10.1016/j.cjca.2018.02.006
Reference: CJCA 2740
Please cite this article as: Ritonja J, Aronson KJ, Day AG, Korsiak J, Tranmer J, Investigating cortisol
production and pattern as mediators in the relationship between shift work and cardiometabolic risk,
Canadian Journal of Cardiology (2018), doi: 10.1016/j.cjca.2018.02.006.
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Jennifer Ritonjaa MSc, Kristan J. Aronsona,b PhD, Andrew G. Dayc MSc, Jill Korsiaka
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MSc, Joan Tranmera,d PhD
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a. Department of Public Health Sciences, Queen’s University, Kingston, Ontario, Canada
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University, Kingston, Ontario, Canada
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d. School of Nursing, Queen’s University, Kingston, Ontario, Canada
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Short title: Cortisol as a mediator between shift work and CMR
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Corresponding author:
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92 Barrie Street
Queen’s University
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Kingston, Ontario
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K7L3N6
tranmerj@queensu.ca
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Brief Summary
We examined whether total cortisol production and cortisol pattern mediate the
relationship between current shift work and cardiometabolic risk (CMR) among female
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hospital employees. Using a cross-sectional study of 326 female employees, we found
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that current shift work was associated with a higher (worse) CMR score, lower total
cortisol production and a flatter pattern. Total cortisol production was a partial mediator
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in the relationship between shift work and CMR, while cortisol pattern was not.
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Abstract
Background: Shift work is a risk factor for many diseases, including cardiovascular
disease. While the biological pathways are still unclear, it is hypothesized that cortisol
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determine whether total cortisol production and cortisol pattern mediate the relationship
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between current shift work and cardiometabolic risk (CMR) among female hospital
employees.
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Methods: A cross-sectional study was conducted among 326 female employees (166
rotating shift workers, 160 day workers), recruited from a hospital in Southeastern
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Ontario, Canada, during 2011 to 2014. Participants completed a baseline interview,
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questionnaire, and clinical exam. Urine samples were collected over two 24-hour periods
and used to analyze creatinine-adjusted cortisol, which was then used to calculate total
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cortisol production (AUCG), and pattern (AUCI). Mediation analysis was performed to
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test the mediating effect of cortisol in the relationship between shift work and a
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Results: Current shift work is associated with a 0.52 higher CMR score (95% CI: 0.15,
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0.89), a lower cortisol output (AUCG), and a flatter pattern (AUCI) over a 2-day period.
AUCG is a partial mediator in the relationship between shift work and CMR, while AUCI,
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is not. AUCG is also associated with CMR while controlling for shift work, suggesting
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that lower total cortisol production is also linked to CMR in non-shift workers.
rotating shift work and CMR among female hospital employees, while cortisol pattern is
not a mediator.
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Introduction
Shift work generally refers to a work schedule that is outside of standard daylight
hours, and includes night work and alternating day and night shifts.1 With an increased
demand for 24/7 services, shift work is becoming more prevalent. According to the
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Canadian General Social Survey (2010), approximately 33% of the adult working
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population in Canada are shift workers2, and the majority of Canadian women working in
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There is evidence that shift work is a risk factor for cardiovascular disease (CVD).
Shift workers have an increased risk of myocardial infarction, ischaemic stroke, and
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coronary events in comparison to day workers.2,4 In this study, we focused on
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cardiometabolic risk (CMR) as our outcome since numerous studies support its strong
association with future CVD.5 There is strong evidence that shift work increases the risk
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factor for obesity, body weight gain, and impaired glucose tolerance.6,7
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While the evidence supports an association between shift work and CMR, the
exact biological pathways are still unclear. Several mechanisms are hypothesized,
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throughout the day, reaching their nadir during sleep.10 Shift work may disrupt circadian
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There is evidence that shift work is associated with disrupted cortisol, with most
studies suggesting that shift workers have flatter diurnal cortisol patterns and lower 24-
hour cortisol production during night shifts.12–15 There is also evidence that disruptions in
cortisol are associated with CVD and MetS.16–18 However, it is still unclear if cortisol
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disruption acts as one of the underlying biological mechanisms in the pathway between
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shift work and CMR.
The objective of this study is to assess whether total cortisol production and
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pattern mediate the relationship between current shift work and CMR among female
hospital employees.
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Methods
Study sample
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to 2014. Participants were recruited through posters, meetings with program managers,
emails, hospital intranet notices, communication books and staff meetings. Pregnant
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women, those who gave birth in the previous year, and women with less than one year of
employment were asked to self-exclude. Of the 331 participants originally recruited, four
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were excluded due to missing cortisol or unknown timing of urine collection, and one
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was excluded due to an extreme outlier blood glucose level. For this analysis, 326
participants were included (166 rotating shift workers, 160 day workers), recruited from
inpatient units (e.g. registered nurses), laboratory, diagnostic and support services. This
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study was approved by the Health Sciences Research Ethics Board at Queen’s University,
Data Collection
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Information on current shift work was obtained through an intake interview.
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Participants were classified as either day workers, or rotational shift workers with day
work, and night work between the hours of 24:00 and 05:00. The typical shift work
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schedule was two 12-hour day shifts, followed by two 12-hour night shifts, and four to
five days off. Day workers typically worked five consecutive 8-hour days starting at
cycles and to record timing of voids. Day workers collected samples during two day
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shifts, and rotating shift workers collected samples during one day shift and one night
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shift, always the second of two consecutive nights. Collection began after awakening, and
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an average of seven samples were collected per day. Awakening time was recorded in a
sleep diary and verified with accelerometer data. Samples were assayed using a DiaMetra
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urinary “free” cortisol ELISA kit (sensitivity of 2.0 ng/mL). Differences in urinary output
were accounted for by adjusting for creatinine which was assayed using a ParameterTM
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concentration were repeated twice, and the duplicate values were compared to ensure
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To obtain measurements used for CMR scoring, blood samples were drawn after a
nightly fast, and triglycerides, HDL cholesterol and blood glucose were analyzed. Blood
pressure was measured using the BpTRU blood pressure monitor (VSM MedTech Ltd,
Coquitlam, Canada), and a mean was derived from three consecutive readings. Waist
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circumference was measured at the midway point between the iliac crest and the lower
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rib.
Instead of using the binary MetS definition that is prone to misclassification and
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assumes all components contribute equally to risk,20,21 a CMR score for women was used.
The continuous score was based on a principal component analysis of CMR indicators
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among 2,557 women aged 30-65 in France, and uses blood pressure, fasting blood
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glucose, triglycerides and waist circumference to determine a woman’s risk of
cardiometabolic outcomes.21 The CMR score was standardized to have a mean of zero
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(standard deviation of one) in the original French development score, and each standard
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deviation increase in the score is associated with 1.7-fold (95% CI: 1.0, 2.7) increase in
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risk of developing CVD in women (see Supplementary Material 1 for more details on
calculating the score).21 Currently, there is no validated CMR score for use on an adult
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Canadian population. This score was chosen since it allowed adequate variation on our
sample, which maximized the statistical power in comparison to other CMR scores
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tested.22,23 Since our sample represents a relatively young population, CVD risk scores
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could not be used since most participants did not meet the cut-offs for increased CVD
risk.24,25
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provided information on work characteristics, such as type of employment and past shift
work.
Statistical Analysis
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Baseline demographic characteristics of shift and day workers were compared
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using unadjusted Chi-Square tests and t-tests. Since shift workers were on average
younger than day workers, and age is a strong risk factor for cardiometabolic outcomes
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and cortisol, multiple regression adjusting for age was used to facilitate baseline
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normality of residuals and are presented as percent changes. Two quantitative summary
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measures of 24-hr cortisol were calculated using the trapezoidal rule for area under the
curve (AUC). AUC with respect to the ground (AUCG) represents the 24-hr quantity of
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cortisol production (i.e. total cortisol output26,27). AUC with respect to the increase
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(AUCI) represents the diurnal cortisol pattern,26,27 and more negative values are
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interpreted as flatter curves. The arithmetic means of AUCI and AUCG from the two
cycles were used in all analyses as a more reliable estimate of average diurnal cortisol
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and AUCI were considered as mediators (Figure 1). To test the significance of the
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mediation effect (i.e. the indirect effect of shift work on CMR via cortisol), 95%
confidence intervals around the indirect effect were constructed using bootstrapping.28
Since behavioural and lifestyle factors are hypothesized as steps along the casual
pathway linking shift work and CVD risk, only variables not on the causal pathway
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between shift work and cortisol or CMR were considered as potential confounders.
Physical activity, caffeine intake, smoking status and alcohol intake may additionally
confound the relationship between cortisol and CVD, and were assessed as confounders
for this pathway (path b). All confounders were assessed empirically using a change-in-
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estimate approach. Final models adjusted for age, education, menopausal status and past
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shift work in all pathways; caffeine intake and smoking status were also adjusted in path
b. Of the 326 participants, one participant was excluded from AUCG analyses and two
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participants were excluded from AUCI analyses due to outliers. To test the robustness of
our results, we performed 2 sensitivity analyses; 1) using a validated CMR score created
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on 6870 participants in the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey
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(NHANES), and 2), using MetS as a binary outcome of CMR.22 All data analyses were
performed using SAS version 9.4 (SAS Institute Inc., Cary, NC, 2013).
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Results
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In our study population, shift workers are younger (38.8 years vs. 44.8 years) and
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are more likely to be nurses than day workers (Table 1). After adjusting for age, shift
workers have a lower mean AUCG in comparison to day workers, while mean AUCI is
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not different (Table 2). In terms of cardiometabolic components (Table 2), shift workers
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have higher mean fasting blood glucose levels and higher mean triglyceride levels after
adjusting for age. There is a trend among shift workers to have higher mean waist
circumferences and blood pressure levels in comparison to day workers. In addition, shift
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workers have a higher mean CMR score in comparison to day workers, as well as a
Mediation analysis
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Table 3 presents the results of the mediation analysis. After adjusting for age,
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education, menopausal status, and past shift work experience, shift work is associated
with a 0.52 (95% CI: 0.15, 0.89) higher CMR score in comparison to day workers (path
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c). In terms of cortisol, shift work is associated with a lower average AUCG (β: -157.19,
95% CI: -228.50, -85.88) and a lower average AUCI (β: -113.50, 95% CI: -215.26, -
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11.74) (path a). This indicates that shift workers produce lower total cortisol production
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and have a flatter cortisol pattern over a 2-day period in comparison to day workers.
Average AUCG, but not average AUCI is associated with the CMR score when
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controlling for shift work and confounding variables (path b). For every one standard
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deviation of AUCG, the CMR score decreases by 0.21 (95% CI: -0.38, -0.04). This
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suggests that lower levels of cortisol output, independent of shift work, are associated
with an increase in the CMR score. When examining the mediating effect (path ab), only
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average AUCG has an indirect effect (β: 0.11, 95% CI: 0.02, 0.23). Further, the
association between shift work and CMR (path c’) is attenuated when controlling for
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AUCG, indicating that average AUCG is a mediator. In terms of the mediating effect,
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average AUCG mediates 17% of the total effect. There is no evidence that AUCI is a
mediator, since the criteria for mediation are not met and there is no indirect effect.
To test the robustness of our results, we used a validated CMR score created on
6870 participants from the NHANES cohort. The results are similar to our original model
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(Supplementary Materials 2, Table S1), indicating that our results are robust to the use of
another CMR score. Thus, the original CMR score was appropriate to use on our sample.
We also conducted an exploratory sensitivity analysis using MetS as the outcome, instead
of the CMR score (Table S2). Although limited in statistical power, the results suggest
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that total cortisol production, but not cortisol pattern, is a mediator in the relationship,
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supporting our original results with the CMR score.
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Discussion
In this study, women in rotating shift work positions have lower total cortisol
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production and flatter cortisol patterns averaged across two 24-hour periods than day
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workers, and a higher CMR score. Investigating the mediating effect of cortisol, we
found that average total cortisol production partially mediates the relationship between
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current shift work and the CMR score. There is no evidence of mediation for cortisol
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pattern. These results provide evidence that total cortisol production is an intermediate in
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the pathway between shift work and CMR, while cortisol pattern is not.
production increases the likelihood of CMR. Cortisol exerts a multitude of effects on the
body, with roles in glucose and free fatty acid metabolism, autonomic nervous system,
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inflammatory system, and sex and growth hormones.29,30 Disruption in cortisol regulation
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contribute to CVD development.29 Cortisol plays a crucial role in the regulation of lipid
metabolism, and changes in cortisol are linked to changes in lipolysis, free fatty acid
production, and fatty accumulation in the liver.31,32 It is hypothesized that changes in lipid
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there is evidence that sleep duration mediates the association between shift work and
MetS,35 and previous studies show that sleep restriction disrupts cortisol.36,37 Acute sleep
restriction due to shift work, which has also been linked to a number of CMR indices,38
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could serve as a mechanism that disrupts cortisol.
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Among rotating shift workers, we found the CMR score is 0.52 (95% CI: 0.15,
0.89) higher than day workers after adjusting for age, education, menopausal status, and
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past shift work experience. According to this score, this corresponds to a 32% increase in
the odds of incident CVD among shift workers over a 9-year period.21 While, this score is
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not validated in a Canadian population, a similar finding was found when using MetS as
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the outcome, although limited in statistical power. In addition, the use of another
validated CMR score did not change our findings, indicating the CMR score originally
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In our study, shift work is associated with lower total cortisol production and a
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flatter cortisol pattern over a 2-day period, which is consistent with past studies.12–15 We
also found that total cortisol production is associated with CMR when controlling for
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shift work. This suggests that a lower cortisol output, independent of shift work, is
associated with a higher CMR score. This highlights that cortisol production could be
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evidence that cortisol pattern is associated with CMR, after controlling for shift work.
This is consistent with a recent cross-sectional study that found diurnal cortisol pattern
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In this study, cortisol partially mediates the relationship between shift work and a
CMR score, where 17% of the total effect is mediated by total cortisol production. A
similar finding was also found when using MetS as the outcome, supporting the role of
total cortisol production as a mediator between shift work and CMR. Overall, the small
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mediating effect suggests that total cortisol production is only a partial mediator in the
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relationship between shift work and CMR. This highlights the complexity and
multifactorial nature of this pathway, and suggests that other intermediates should be
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considered.
To our knowledge, this is the first study to investigate the mediating role of
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cortisol in the relationship between shift work and CMR. In comparison to laboratory
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studies, the observational study design allowed us to capture changes in cortisol
bootstrapping to calculate 95% confidence intervals for the indirect effect provides a
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robust estimate of the mediating effect, in comparison to methods that assume normality
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there is evidence that shift work precedes cortisol disruption, and that cortisol disruption
results may not be generalizable to men, other occupations, or other shift work schedules.
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It is also uncertain what cortisol production and pattern represent, as they could represent
both circadian rhythm and stress responses. Lastly, there is some potential for selection
bias. If more shift workers participated because of their concern for CVD, this could
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Conclusions
These results provide evidence that total cortisol production is one mechanism by
which shift workers are at an increased likelihood for CMR, while cortisol pattern is not a
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mediator. The relatively small mediating effect of cortisol production suggests that other
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factors contribute to higher CMR in shift workers. Future research should consider a
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understanding the association between shift work and CVD, including consideration of
potential mediators such as sleep, lifestyle behaviors, and other circadian disruption
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Acknowledgments
We thank study participants and the investigative team (L. McGillis-Hall, I. Janssen, C.
Collier) and staff (R. Corbin). This study was completed in partial fulfillment of degree
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requirements for JR’s Master of Science in Epidemiology at Queen’s University,
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Kingston, Ontario, Canada.
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Funding Sources: This study was funded by the Canadian Institutes of Health Research
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Disclosures: None.
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List of Tables
Table 2: Differences in cardiometabolic risk factors and cortisol by current shift work
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status, adjusted for age.
Table 3: Mediation analysis of the relationship between shift work and CMR score by
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cortisol.
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List of Figures
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Figure 1: Conceptual model of the relationship between shift work, cortisol, and
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Tables
workers (n=160)
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(n= 166)
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Age 38.8 (11.5) 44.8 (10.0) <0.01*
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Education
certificate)
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Undergraduate/graduate/other
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Employment category
Past shift work experience (years) 11.6 (9.5) 7.8 (8.4) <0.01*
Job strainb
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Missing 21 (12.6) 4 (11.2)
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Smoking status
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Past smoker 34 (20.5) 43 (26.9)
Alcohol intake
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Drinks >2 times/week 37 (22.3) 57 (35.6) 0.03*
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Caffeine intake
*p<0.05
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Data are presented as mean (SD) or n (%) for proportions, with p-values estimated by two-
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Table 2: Differences in cardiometabolic risk factors and cortisol by current shift work status,
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(n= 166) (n=160) difference (shift- p-value
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AUCG 996.6 (286.1) 1139.2 (291.2) -116.1 <0.01*
(-180.5, -51.6)*
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AUCI 3.2 (378.5) 33.8 (468.2) -40.0 0.40
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AN (-137.1, 55.3)
Waist circumference (cm) 87.9 (15.0) 85.6 (14.5) 3.1 (-0.2, 6.4) 0.07
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Serum triglycerides 1.1 (0.9) 0.9 (0.7) 14.4 (0.9, 29.9)*a 0.04*
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(mmol/L)
HDL cholesterol (mmol/L) 1.6 (0.4) 1.6 (0.4) -0.03 (-0.1, 0.1) 0.60
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Fasting blood glucose 5.1 (0.8) 5.0 (0.6) 2.7 (0.1, 5.4)*b 0.04*
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(mmol/L)
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CMR score 0.16 (1.6) -0.10 (1.5) 0.40 (0.2, 0.8)* <0.01*
AUCG, area under the curve with respect to the ground; AUCI, area under the curve with respect
to the increase; CMR, cardiometabolic risk; HDL, high density lipoproptein; MetS, metabolic
syndrome.
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*p<0.05
Data are presented as mean (SD) or n (%), age-adjusted p-values and differences derived from
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b. Percent change in fasting blood glucose
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c. Defined according to Alberti et al., 200942
d. Odds ratio
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Table 3: Mediation analysis of the relationship between shift work and CMR score by cortisol.
(β, 95% CI) (β, 95% CI) (β, 95% CI) (β, 95% CI) (β, 95% CI)
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(-228.50, - (-0.38, -0.04)*c (0.05, (0.15, (0.02, 0.23)*
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85.88)*b 0.80)* 0.89)*
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(-215.26, - (-0.28, 0.09)c (0.14, (0.15, (-0.02, 0.10)
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AUCG, area under the curve with respect to the ground; AUCI, area under the curve with respect
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to the increase; CMR, cardiometabolic risk.
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All models adjusted for age, education, menopausal status, and past shift work experience
*p<0.05
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Figures
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Figure 1: Conceptual model of the relationship between shift work, cortisol, and
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cardiometabolic risk (CMR).
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