Y X (X-xm) (Y-ym) x*y x^2 y1 est

año preoro ipc

1974 159.26 49.3 -78.06667 -188.2870 14698.9361 6094.40444 266.4802
1975 161.02 53.8 -73.56667 -186.5270 13722.1674 5412.05444 271.153135
1976 124.84 56.9 -70.46667 -222.7070 15693.4178 4965.55111 274.372268
1977 147.71 60.6 -66.76667 -199.8370 13342.4483 4457.78778 278.214459
1978 193.22 65.2 -62.16667 -154.3270 9593.99328 3864.69444 282.991237
1979 306.68 72.6 -54.76667 -40.8670 2238.14771 2999.38778 290.675619
1980 612.56 82.4 -44.96667 265.0130 -11916.753 2022.00111 300.852234
1981 460.03 90.9 -36.46667 112.4830 -4101.8812 1329.81778 309.678889
1982 375.67 96.5 -30.86667 28.1230 -868.0642 952.75111 315.494097
1983 424.35 99.6 -27.76667 76.8030 -2132.5641 770.98778 318.71323
1984 360.48 103.9 -23.46667 12.9330 -303.49511 550.68444 323.178479
1985 317.26 107.6 -19.76667 -30.2870 598.672434 390.72111 327.02067
1986 367.66 109.6 -17.76667 20.1130 -357.34151 315.65444 329.09753
1987 446.46 113.6 -13.76667 98.9130 -1361.7027 189.52111 333.25125
1988 436.94 118.3 -9.06667 89.3930 -810.49681 82.20444 338.131871
1989 381.44 124 -3.36667 33.8930 -114.10654 11.33444 344.050922
1990 383.51 130.7 3.33333 35.9630 119.876768 11.11111 351.008403
1991 362.11 136.2 8.83333 14.5630 128.640101 78.02778 356.719768
1992 343.82 140.3 12.93333 -3.7270 -48.202141 167.27111 360.977331
1993 359.77 144.5 17.13333 12.2230 209.421253 293.55111 365.338737
1994 384 148.2 20.83333 36.4530 759.438131 434.02778 369.180928
1995 384.17 152.4 25.03333 36.6230 916.796525 626.66778 373.542334
1996 387.77 156.9 29.53333 40.2230 1187.92016 872.21778 378.215269
1997 331.02 160.5 33.13333 -16.5270 -547.5936 1097.81778 381.953617
1998 294.24 163 35.63333 -53.3070 -1899.505 1269.73444 384.549692
1999 278.88 166.6 39.23333 -68.6670 -2694.0341 1539.25444 388.28804
2000 279.11 172.2 44.83333 -68.4370 -3068.2575 2010.02778 394.103249
2001 274.04 177.1 49.73333 -73.5070 -3655.7466 2473.40444 399.191556
2002 309.73 179.9 52.53333 -37.8170 -1986.6515 2759.75111 402.09916
2003 363.38 184 56.63333 15.8330 896.677283 3207.33444 406.356723
2004 409.72 188.9 61.53333 62.1730 3825.7138 3786.35111 411.44503
2005 444.74 195.3 67.93333 97.1930 6602.64653 4614.93778 418.090982
2006 603.46 201.6 74.23333 255.9130 18997.2773 5510.58778 424.633091
347.54697 127.366667 67665.7957 65161.63333

b2 1.03843001 var e 10623.9571390041

b1 215.285601 dev ee 103.0725818974
var b1 2966.8177390513 54.4685023
var b2 0.1630400681 0.4037822
cov b1 b2 -0.0019546267
significancia
b1 3.9524788012
b2 2.5717577492
global
f 6.6139379205
r2 0.1758374232

aleatoriedad
asimetria 0.8262863184
curtosis 3.7801415422
jb 4.5919735752
error error^2 x^2 (y1est - ymed) (y-ymed)^2

-107.22 11496.171 2430.49 6571.8211305216 35451.9829576676

-110.13 12129.307 2894.44 5836.0179541343 34792.3104243342
-149.53 22359.899 3237.61 5354.5369386229 49598.394351607
-130.50 17031.414 3672.36 4806.9970052753 39934.8144576676
-89.77 8058.875 4251.04 4167.4425851671 23816.8135758494
16.00 256.140 5270.76 3234.3504859769 1670.109212213
311.71 97161.732 6789.76 2180.3983882382 70231.9062303948
150.35 22605.457 8262.81 1433.9915657731 12652.4321061524
60.18 3621.139 9312.25 1027.3866693957 790.9048334252
105.64 11159.127 9920.16 831.3845619473 5898.7054637282
37.30 1391.403 10795.21 593.8233507867 167.2632728191
-9.76 95.271 11577.76 421.3289875242 917.3005334252
38.56 1487.064 12012.16 340.3818317037 404.5339879706
113.21 12816.221 12904.96 204.3676054049 9783.7875637282
98.81 9763.046 13994.89 88.6440849057 7991.1138667585
37.39 1397.943 15376 12.2223495637 1148.7375031221
32.50 1056.354 17082.49 11.9815209918 1293.3395485767
5.39 29.055 18550.44 84.1402311648 212.081851607
-17.16 294.374 19684.09 180.3746096188 13.8903031221
-5.57 31.011 20880.25 316.5469919947 149.4024697888
14.82 219.605 21963.24 468.0281637418 1328.8234182737
10.63 112.947 23225.76 675.7589820891 1341.2463485767
9.55 91.293 24617.61 940.5446052472 1617.8921667585
-50.93 2594.233 25760.25 1183.8174074645 273.1407273646
-90.31 8155.841 26569 1369.20149101 2841.6330182736
-109.41 11970.119 27755.56 1659.8348494037 4715.1527273646
-114.99 13223.447 29652.84 2167.4871012174 4683.6188213039
-125.15 15662.912 31364.41 2667.163254507 5403.2745940312
-92.37 8532.062 32364.01 2975.9414282906 1430.1231970615
-42.98 1846.999 33856 3458.5870476424 250.6848485767
-1.73 2.976 35683.21 4082.9620788061 3865.4856970615
26.65 710.170 38142.09 4976.4576474227 9446.4851394858
178.83 31979.063 40642.56 5942.2700822895 65491.4790788798
0.00 329342.671 600496.47 70266.1929878433 399608.86429697
error^3 error^4

-1232621.7887 132161954.849
-1335838.6582 147120099.503
-3343526.4493 499965093.762
-2222675.4591 290069058.867
-723455.1842 64945467.016
4099.3652 65607.801
30286066.3755 9440402105.901
3398755.5383 511006672.545
217905.3310 13112650.133
1178814.1608 124526120.724
51901.4667 1936003.664
-929.9056 9076.501
57344.8652 2211359.656
1450908.3728 164255523.445
964668.3461 95317074.452
52267.8057 1954245.063
34333.1855 1115883.357
156.6110 844.170
-5050.6724 86656.060
-172.6912 961.672
3254.3406 48226.306
1200.3659 12757.088
872.2789 8334.389
-132133.6906 6730046.847
-736551.4517 66517735.079
-1309627.2997 143283756.630
-1520607.1522 174859556.208
-1960237.7863 245326808.326
-788099.3650 72796076.064
-79377.9507 3411404.174
-5.1332 8.855
18925.3378 504341.670
5718717.0669 1022660497.085
28049280.1758 13226422007.864
Resumen

Estadísticas de la regresión
Coeficiente de correlación múltiple 0.4193297309
Coeficiente de determinación R^2 0.1758374232
R^2 ajustado 0.1492515336
Error típico 103.0725818974
Observaciones 33

ANÁLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad
Regresión 1
Residuos 31
Total 32

Coeficientes
Intercepción 215.2856005363
ipc 1.0384300117
Suma de cuadrados Promedio de los cuadrados F Valor crítico de F
70266.1929878434 70266.1929878434 6.6139379205 0.015135158
329342.671309126 10623.9571390041
399608.86429697

Error típico Estadístico t Probabilidad Inferior 95%

54.4685022655 3.9524788012 0.000416818 104.1963577607
0.4037822038 2.5717577492 0.015135158 0.2149107776
Superior 95% Inferior 95,0% Superior 95,0%
326.374843312 104.1963577607 326.374843312
1.8619492459 0.2149107776 1.8619492459
 Dispe rson
pre oro- ipc

250

200

150

100

50

0
100 200 300 400 500 600 700
 Y X (X-xm) (Y-ym) x*y x^2 y1 est
años bolsa IPC
1974 463.54 49.3 -78.067 -2497.65 194983.494 6094.404444 -965.340
1975 483.55 53.8 -73.567 -2477.64 182271.984 5412.054444 -739.003
1976 575.85 56.9 -70.467 -2385.34 168087.215 4965.551111 -583.082
1977 567.66 60.6 -66.767 -2393.53 159808.262 4457.787778 -396.982
1978 567.81 65.2 -62.167 -2393.38 148788.683 3864.694444 -165.615
1979 616.68 72.6 -54.767 -2344.51 128401.197 2999.387778 206.584
1980 720.15 82.4 -44.967 -2241.04 100772.262 2022.001111 699.497
1981 782.62 90.9 -36.467 -2178.57 79445.3186 1329.817778 1127.023
1982 728.84 96.5 -30.867 -2232.35 68905.3156 952.751111 1408.687
1983 979.52 99.6 -27.767 -1981.67 55024.4713 770.987778 1564.608
1984 977.33 103.9 -23.467 -1983.86 46554.6667 550.684444 1780.886
1985 1142.97 107.6 -19.767 -1818.22 35940.2205 390.721111 1966.986
1986 1438.02 109.6 -17.767 -1523.17 27061.7183 315.654444 2067.580
1987 1709.79 113.6 -13.767 -1251.40 17227.6567 189.521111 2268.769
1988 1585.14 118.3 -9.067 -1376.05 12476.2196 82.204444 2505.166
1989 1903.36 124 -3.367 -1057.83 3561.37324 11.334444 2791.860
1990 1939.47 130.7 3.333 -1021.72 -3405.7455 11.111111 3128.851
1991 2181.72 136.2 8.833 -779.47 -6885.3505 78.027778 3405.485
1992 2421.51 140.3 12.933 -539.68 -6979.9084 167.271111 3611.704
1993 2638.96 144.5 17.133 -322.23 -5520.9363 293.551111 3822.952
1994 2687.02 148.2 20.833 -274.17 -5711.9508 434.027778 4009.052
1995 3078.56 152.4 25.033 117.37 2938.0713 626.667778 4220.300
1996 3787.2 156.9 29.533 826.01 24394.7213 872.217778 4446.637
1997 4827.35 160.5 33.133 1866.16 61831.9808 1097.817778 4627.707
1998 5818.26 163 35.633 2857.07 101806.798 1269.734444 4753.450
1999 6546.81 166.6 39.233 3585.62 140675.682 1539.254444 4934.520
2000 6805.89 172.2 44.833 3844.70 172370.554 2010.027778 5216.184
2001 6397.85 177.1 49.733 3436.66 170916.376 2473.404444 5462.641
2002 5578.89 179.9 52.533 2617.70 137516.316 2759.751111 5603.473
2003 5447.46 184 56.633 2486.27 140805.552 3207.334444 5809.691
2004 6612.62 188.9 61.533 3651.43 224684.436 3786.351111 6056.147
2005 7349 195.3 67.933 4387.81 298078.312 4614.937778 6378.050
2006 8357.99 201.6 74.233 5396.80 400622.183 5510.587778 6694.922
2961.19364 127.366667 3277447.15 65161.633333

b2 50.2971915 vare 1020993.86197777

b1 -3444.992 dev ee 1010.4424090357
var b1 285120.003925585 533.966295
var b2 15.6686352037 3.95836269
cov b1 b2 -0.0019546267
significancia
b1 -6.4517031
b2 12.7065647
global
f 161.4567852574
r2 0.8389248789

aleatoriedad
asimetria 0.2832644859
curtosis 1.5229183296
jb
error error^2 x^2 (y1est - ymed) (y-ymed)^2

1428.880 2041699.3235 2430.49 15417669.885 6238273.6872405

1222.553 1494636.0395 2894.44 13691455.758 6138717.98881322
1158.932 1343122.8914 3237.61 12561888.290 5689864.2635405
964.642 930534.5364 3672.36 11277344.817 5729003.26840413
733.425 537912.3770 4251.04 9776932.872 5728285.23081322
410.096 168178.6332 5270.76 7587873.604 5496744.19109504
20.653 426.5632 6789.76 5115273.514 5022276.58008595
-344.403 118613.2342 8262.81 3364182.947 4746183.08905868
-679.847 462191.9340 9312.25 2410276.877 4983402.75778595
-585.088 342328.3032 9920.16 1950450.639 3927030.40105868
-803.556 645702.5826 10795.21 1393125.621 3935714.92768595
-824.016 679002.0690 11577.76 988449.185 3305937.1918314
-629.560 396346.0471 12012.16 798544.971 2320057.92651322
-558.979 312457.4858 12904.96 479451.922 1566011.06110413
-920.026 846447.4121 13994.89 207961.418 1893523.61014959
-888.500 789431.8207 15376 28673.962 1119012.00222231
-1189.381 1414627.0234 17082.49 28108.972 1043919.18910413
-1223.765 1497601.9851 18550.44 197395.255 607579.149785951
-1190.194 1416561.7084 19684.09 423163.706 291258.427358677
-1183.992 1401837.4905 20880.25 742627.794 103834.516404132
-1322.032 1747768.0588 21963.24 1098006.714 75171.1828768595
-1141.740 1303570.2186 23225.76 1585348.825 13774.8633132231
-659.437 434857.6287 24617.61 2206543.049 682286.512767768
199.643 39857.2289 25760.25 2777267.614 3482539.5735405
1064.810 1133819.8557 26569 3212183.682 8162828.20622232
1612.290 2599478.6737 27755.56 3894017.391 12856644.7071769
1589.706 2527163.9357 29652.84 5084983.286 14781690.1285587
935.209 874616.5746 31364.41 6257237.038 11810606.9617223
-24.583 604.3122 32364.01 6981638.974 6852334.25219504
-362.231 131211.4759 33856 8113938.634 6181520.43094959
556.473 309661.6604 35683.21 9578739.323 13332914.4890587
970.950 942744.8541 38142.09 11674904.061 19252844.6847678
1663.068 2765795.7840 40642.56 13940726.121 29125410.9905587
0.000 31650809.7213 600496.47 164846386.722 196497196.443764
error^3 error^4
2917344235.98756
1827271897.25646
1556587815.29940
897632864.25744
394518438.74694
68969365.06598
8809.98324
-40850720.58263
-314219796.60417
-200292280.38612
-518858320.01321
-559508445.53375
-249523697.19445
-174657162.67436
-778753429.58287
-701409982.01170
-1682530420.61999
-1832713633.54367
-1685983216.69758
-1659764631.31090
-2310604938.61462
-1488338256.25568
-286761365.61047
7957206.89742
1207302464.71341
4191113172.14849
4017446693.37985
817949619.84498
-14855.66155
-47528896.43979
172318203.11322
915358578.10865
4599706971.32789
9059172286.79341 49213535971109.80
4168536127444.44
2233936890521.12
1803979101421.26
865894523476.75
289349725298.65
28284052661.23
181956.17
14069099319.62
213621383898.55
117188667162.22
416931825137.55
461043809640.88
157090189039.54
97629680402.75
716473221412.28
623202599576.60
2001169615358.93
2242811705687.31
2006647073753.29
1965148349888.78
3054693187379.00
1699295314834.77
189101157216.48
1588598691.71
1285547465084.12
6757289374859.43
6386557558046.40
764954152536.12
365193.18
17216451396.67
95890343941.18
888767859986.26
7649626318886.55
 dispersion bolsa-ipc

250

200

150

100

50

0
0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 8000 9000
Resumen

Estadísticas de la regresión
Coeficiente de correlación múltiple 0.9159284245
Coeficiente de determinación R^2 0.8389248789
R^2 ajustado 0.8337289072
Error típico 1010.4424090357
Observaciones 33

ANÁLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad
Regresión 1
Residuos 31
Total 32

Coeficientes
Intercepción -3444.9919833482
IPC 50.2971914659
Suma de cuadrados Promedio de los cuadrados F
164846386.722453 164846386.722453 161.4567852574
31650809.7213109 1020993.86197777
196497196.443764

Error típico Estadístico t Probabilidad

533.9662947468 -6.4517030705 3.41675323E-07
3.9583626923 12.7065646521 7.89484688E-14
 Valor crítico de F
7.89484688009495E-14

Inferior 95% Superior 95% Inferior 95,0% Superior 95,0%

-4534.0234214067 -2355.96054529 -4534.0234214 -2355.9605452897
42.2240575293 58.3703254026 42.2240575293 58.3703254026
 TABLE 3.7 Consumer price indexes for major expenditure classes and NYSE Index, 1974–2006
[For all urban consumers; 1982-84=100, except as noted]

Year
Gold Price NYSE CPI

1974 159.26 463.54 49.3

1975 161.02 483.55 53.8
1976 124.84 575.85 56.9
1977 147.71 567.66 60.6
1978 193.22 567.81 65.2
1979 306.68 616.68 72.6
1980 612.56 720.15 82.4
1981 460.03 782.62 90.9
1982 375.67 728.84 96.5
1983 424.35 979.52 99.6
1984 360.48 977.33 103.9
1985 317.26 1142.97 107.6
1986 367.66 1438.02 109.6
1987 446.46 1709.79 113.6
1988 436.94 1585.14 118.3
1989 381.44 1903.36 124
1990 383.51 1939.47 130.7
1991 362.11 2181.72 136.2
1992 343.82 2421.51 140.3
1993 359.77 2638.96 144.5
1994 384.00 2687.02 148.2
1995 384.17 3078.56 152.4
1996 387.77 3787.2 156.9
1997 331.02 4827.35 160.5
1998 294.24 5818.26 163
1999 278.88 6546.81 166.6
2000 279.11 6805.89 172.2
2001 274.04 6397.85 177.1
2002 309.73 5578.89 179.9
2003 363.38 5447.46 184
2004 409.72 6612.62 188.9
2005 444.74 7349 195.3
2006 603.46 8357.99 201.6
1 Includes alcoholic
beverages, not shown
separately.
2 December 1997=100.
3 Household fuels—gas
(piped), electricity, fuel
oil, etc.—and motor
fuel. Motor oil, coolant,
etc. also included
through 1982.

Note.—Data beginning
1983 incorporate a
rental equivalence
measure for
homeowners' costs.
Series reflect changes
in composition and
renaming beginning in
1998, and formula and
methodology changes
beginning in 1999.

Source: Department of
Labor, Bureau of Labor
Statistics.
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