X-Personas sin Empleo (Variable

Personas Sin Empleo (X) Tasa de desempleo (%) (Y) Independiente)

6,727,631 17.00 6,727,631
7,336,493 15.69 7,336,493
5,500,298 13.62 5,500,298
5,569,780 14.68 5,569,780
6,157,512 13.75 6,157,512
5,193,946 14.00 5,193,946
4,939,903 12.94 4,939,903
4,552,820 13.09 4,552,820
5,203,891 12.51 5,203,891
4,681,692 12.59 4,681,692
6,198,745 11.78 6,198,745
5,935,339 12.07 5,935,339
6,196,098 13.22 6,196,098
5,198,271 14.23 5,198,271
4,804,369 12.95 4,804,369
5,947,688 12.06 5,947,688
5,604,763 12.31 5,604,763
4,761,695 11.52 4,761,695
5,620,985 12.00 5,620,985
3,916,398 11.75 3,916,398
4,916,117 11.17 4,916,117
3,060,315 9.96 3,060,315
5,350,755 10.21 5,350,755
4,759,247 10.33 4,759,247
5,366,476 13.41 5,366,476
4,619,936 13.00 4,619,936
5,465,657 11.34 5,465,657
5,931,377 12.01 5,931,377
6,305,315 11.88 6,305,315
5,780,587 10.61 5,780,587
4,700,349 12.39 4,700,349
4,411,976 12.79 4,411,976
6,795,095 12.89 6,795,095
4,334,481 11.35 4,334,481
4,756,758 10.94 4,756,758
4,663,245 11.78 4,663,245
4,927,828 13.90 4,927,828
4,469,699 12.83 4,469,699
5,452,180 11.93 5,452,180
4,968,004 10.90 4,968,004
5,759,845 11.53 5,759,845
5,057,689 11.16 5,057,689
5,580,763 11.16 5,580,763
5,552,705 10.73 5,552,705
5,231,049 10.84 5,231,049
4,331,108 10.05 4,331,108
5,136,047 9.42 5,136,047
5,613,941 9.89 5,613,941
5,428,691 13.08 5,428,691
6,365,464 11.99 6,365,464
4,491,120 11.22 4,491,120
4,866,723 11.13 4,866,723
5,253,740 10.84 5,253,740
5,633,919 11.17 5,633,919
5,139,325 12.06 5,139,325
4,099,769 11.22 4,099,769
4,007,249 10.95 4,007,249
3,609,578 10.12 3,609,578
4,130,435 10.80 4,130,435
5,749,360 10.61 5,749,360
5,886,891 14.25 5,886,891
6,751,400 12.49 6,751,400
5,037,541 11.99 5,037,541
4,826,141 12.14 4,826,141
4,221,136 11.66 4,221,136
6,155,752 11.34 6,155,752
5,902,438 12.63 5,902,438
6,535,054 11.74 6,535,054
5,002,361 12.16 5,002,361
6,276,877 11.55 6,276,877
6,277,058 11.08 6,277,058
3,934,610 11.31 3,934,610
7,874,204 14.62 7,874,204
4,618,044 12.59 4,618,044
5,717,262 11.81 5,717,262
5,919,247 12.24 5,919,247
5,708,950 12.04 5,708,950
4,463,298 11.64 4,463,298
6,758,298 12.68 6,758,298
6,339,259 11.16 6,339,259
3,803,831 10.57 3,803,831
4,647,373 10.15 4,647,373
4,076,348 10.79 4,076,348
5,975,912 11.12 5,975,912
7,446,918 13.56 7,446,918
7,245,560 12.86 7,245,560
5,983,218 10.87 5,983,218
4,508,963 11.19 4,508,963
5,267,506 11.24 5,267,506
5,365,369 10.91 5,365,369
6,171,706 11.54 6,171,706
4,549,020 10.08 4,549,020
5,560,415 9.74 5,560,415
3,652,400 9.00 3,652,400
4,303,562 9.22 4,303,562
3,305,118 9.82 3,305,118
5,887,557 12.48 5,887,557
4,374,156 11.87 4,374,156
3,617,061 10.36 3,617,061
6,305,005 10.86 6,305,005
4,601,425 10.71 4,601,425
5,723,536 10.03 5,723,536
4,475,823 10.86 4,475,823
3,176,740 9.75 3,176,740
4,399,785 9.94 4,399,785
4,079,014 8.85 4,079,014
4,921,421 9.25 4,921,421
3,123,976 9.55 3,123,976
4,933,864 12.07 4,933,864
5,975,060 11.79 5,975,060
3,914,586 10.21 3,914,586
3,709,230 10.17 3,709,230
4,100,315 9.42 4,100,315
3,538,968 9.24 3,538,968
5,076,047 9.88 5,076,047
4,495,219 9.27 4,495,219
2,855,277 8.98 2,855,277
2,282,953 7.79 2,282,953
5,348,569 8.48 5,348,569
3,511,241 8.44 3,511,241
6,651,753 11.10 6,651,753
6,201,076 10.68 6,201,076
4,946,357 9.73 4,946,357
3,199,336 8.97 3,199,336
2,847,991 8.80 2,847,991
4,696,322 9.19 4,696,322
4,300,725 9.29 4,300,725
5,534,039 8.90 5,534,039
4,147,805 8.35 4,147,805
2,858,374 7.86 2,858,374
3,807,732 7.71 3,807,732
5,011,160 8.72 5,011,160
5,811,739 10.79 5,811,739
4,747,346 9.86 4,747,346
4,084,249 8.86 4,084,249
5,119,932 9.50 5,119,932
3,039,340 8.93 3,039,340
2,872,669 8.25 2,872,669
3,814,954 8.84 3,814,954
4,341,964 9.09 4,341,964
4,137,140 8.98 4,137,140
4,336,807 8.19 4,336,807
2,632,000 7.27 2,632,000
4,145,010 8.59 4,145,010
5,418,400 11.91 5,418,400
6,221,525 10.00 6,221,525
5,495,706 10.14 5,495,706
 3,639,461 9.02 3,639,461
3,663,091 8.85 3,663,091
4,577,320 8.88 4,577,320
3,737,786 9.85 3,737,786
5,368,860 8.99 5,368,860
5,385,002 8.51 5,385,002
4,675,019 8.29 4,675,019
3,658,588 7.51 3,658,588
3,028,410 8.74 3,028,410
5,240,252 11.73 5,240,252
5,320,782 10.50 5,320,782
4,966,378 9.70 4,966,378
Sumatorias 786,300,502
X

Desempleo en Colombia
18.00

16.00

14.00
f(x) = 1.01169494995699E-06x + 5.9053977036
R² = 0.3878127372
12.00
 16.00

14.00
f(x) = 1.01169494995699E-06x + 5.9053977036
R² = 0.3878127372
12.00
Tasa de empleo %

10.00

8.00

6.00

4.00

2.00

0.00
2,000,000 3,000,000 4,000,000 5,000,000 6,000,000 7,000,000 8,000,000 9,000,000

Personas con empleo

R= 0,62 A partir del analisis de Correlacion, puedo concluir que hay una correlacion regular
entre la tasa de empleo y las personas sin empleo.
Y Tasa de desempleo (%) (Variable
Dependiente) X*Y X2
17.00 114390397.693064 45261018872161
15.69 115091951.528257 53824129539049
13.62 74935167.6624525 30253278088804
14.68 81748199.0578735 31022449248400
13.75 84680179.5128785 37914954030144
14.00 72692855.7089764 26977075050916
12.94 63922563.964008 24402641649409
13.09 59574156.1386078 20728169952400
12.51 65124961.1024552 27080481539881
12.59 58962095.8483561 21918239982864
11.78 73002460.1479498 38424439575025
12.07 71643954.3608493 35228249044921
13.22 81901964.4365205 38391630425604
14.23 73967311.9591253 27022021389441
12.95 62208717.4876299 23081961488161
12.06 71735960.8707516 35374992545344
12.31 68968840.3313432 31413368286169
11.52 54870411.0829393 22673739273025
12.00 67429819.9578452 31595472370225
11.75 46034829.9752187 15338173294404
11.17 54921654.1959133 24168206357689
9.96 30465471.9609155 9365527899225
10.21 54617275.0986141 28630579070025
10.33 49183891.6943686 22650432007009
13.41 71956179.7667288 28799064658576
13.00 60057328.0697392 21343808644096
11.34 62002953.7201656 29873406441649
12.01 71235181.8840284 35181233116129
11.88 74930373.6969259 39756997249225
10.61 61315245.3034611 33415186064569
12.39 58233258.3441488 22093280721801
12.79 56438964.0524075 19465532224576
12.89 87589909.8436432 46173316059025
11.35 49216845.9105555 18787725539361
10.94 52030046.3461296 22626746670564
11.78 54945871.0340824 21745853930025
13.90 68473632.4472583 24283488797584
12.83 57329132.8933955 19978209150601
11.93 65030551.7921722 29726266752400
10.90 54169977.3586644 24681063744016
11.53 66404480.0203431 33175814424025
11.16 56468243.6058555 25580218020721
11.16 62278597.9098801 31144915662169
10.73 59588230.3472798 30832532817025
10.84 56685089.6037126 27363873640401
10.05 43518340.7142707 18758496507664
9.42 48359719.5038294 26378978786209
 9.89 55543588.9311686 31516333551481
13.08 71002023.7504737 29470685973481
11.99 76293256.5511895 40519131935296
11.22 50410590.9907671 20170158854400
11.13 54163007.2053602 23684992758729
10.84 56941176.6022932 27601783987600
11.17 62944897.8616749 31741043298561
12.06 61999948.4712675 26412661455625
11.22 45982790.9081511 16808105853361
10.95 43873055.1791407 16058044548001
10.12 36540578.4890434 13029053338084
10.80 44614667.9140883 17060493289225
10.61 60982358.5663761 33055140409600
14.25 83879832.030445 34655485645881
12.49 84315549.3106041 45581401960000
11.99 60409496.9006014 25376819326681
12.14 58593316.9250309 23291636951881
11.66 49234942.5774446 17817989130496
11.34 69795381.7031893 37893282685504
12.63 74559957.5352928 34838774343844
11.74 76744124.9001493 42706930782916
12.16 60808513.5988108 25023615574321
11.55 72469724.3359081 39399184873129
11.08 69539647.2586547 39401457135364
11.31 44506288.6259991 15481155852100
14.62 115145098.55955 62003088633616
12.59 58162417.6738198 21326330385936
11.81 67503979.6040214 32687084776644
12.24 72434586.9140922 35037485047009
12.04 68738233.3498944 32592110102500
11.64 51933232.0516657 19921029036804
12.68 85725103.7250488 45674591856804
11.16 70757981.8975639 40186204669081
10.57 40220874.8666832 14469130276561
10.15 47183658.5506776 21598075801129
10.79 43993560.3984581 16616613017104
11.12 66452354.3773913 35711524231744
13.56 100951602.760342 55456587698724
12.86 93196187.3108936 52498139713600
10.87 65026143.2795479 35798897635524
11.19 50453124.3114613 20330747335369
11.24 59229366.5637972 27746619460036
10.91 58514321.9207251 28787184506161
11.54 71223423.104873 38089954950436
10.08 45851391.4123002 20693582960400
9.74 54132769.7751522 30918214972225
9.00 32863735.8445531 13340025760000
9.22 39679633.9356008 18520645887844
9.82 32448230.8349664 10923804993924
12.48 73457262.5828818 34663327428249
11.87 51921201.2580058 19133240712336
10.36 37486174.3419679 13083130277721
10.86 68498818.8056125 39753088050025
10.71 49278817.4085124 21173112030625
10.03 57384990.9606589 32758864343296
10.86 48621223.9614111 20032991527329
9.75 30967730.9525741 10091677027600
9.94 43743420.3115444 19358108046225
8.85 36113360.2019095 16638355212196
9.25 45512281.2983295 24220384659241
9.55 29836546.9257334 9759226048576
12.07 59550701.517352 24343013970496
11.79 70441838.0918957 35701342003600
10.21 39953028.3010072 15323983551396
10.17 37736487.1992745 13758387192900
9.42 38629648.3648655 16812583099225
9.24 32688308.3211823 12524294505024
9.88 50160052.6926491 25766253146209
9.27 41665404.7127719 20206993857961
8.98 25635903.2765399 8152606746729
7.79 17790543.4062974 5211874400209
8.48 45352855.0152538 28607190347761
8.44 29642453.5980313 12328813360081
11.10 73842661.7956931 44245817973009
10.68 66221976.0300983 38453343557776
9.73 48149576.5571493 24466447571449
8.97 28682056.9665036 10235750840896
8.80 25057299.4813162 8111052736081
9.19 43180866.0441312 22055440327684
9.29 39952673.5815179 18496235525625
8.90 49258633.23506 30625587653521
8.35 34635626.6357903 17204286318025
7.86 22467573.7870727 8170301923876
7.71 29357667.802912 14498822983824
8.72 43711918.2515926 25111724545600
10.79 62680480.2729498 33776310204121
9.86 46791343.9521344 22537294043716
8.86 36188939.3611171 16681089894001
9.50 48660198.1858804 26213703684624
8.93 27152643.568767 9237587635600
8.25 23687419.3867806 8252227183561
8.84 33721910.7308525 14553874022116
9.09 39485633.2711462 18852651377296
8.98 37154693.1735864 17115927379600
8.19 35496872.0446495 18807894955249
7.27 19137195.0871342 6927424000000
8.59 35601147.2271065 17181107900100
11.91 64507840.7037291 29359058560000
10.00 62231050.355921 38707373325625
10.14 55712125.671752 30202784438436
 9.02 32812681.0148732 13245676370521
8.85 32409005.087273 13418235674281
8.88 40661058.4753596 20951858382400
9.85 36799654.8246715 13971044181796
8.99 48257566.6621453 28824657699600
8.51 45814974.5817304 28998246540004
8.29 38776107.0915914 21855802650361
7.51 27473885.0205415 13385266153744
8.74 26476649.9070303 9171267128100
11.73 61485274.5225388 27460241023504
10.50 55891047.7645843 28310721091524
9.70 48196763.389773 24664910438884
1734.45 8758154721.10251 4.0671721673E+15
Y X*Y X2

Calculo de r y R2
Numerador 28744170842.2173
1 Parte del Denominador 2.84118951502525E+016
2 Parte del Denominador 74985.5012242775
Resultado Total del Denominador 2.13048019857331E+021
Raiz Cuadrada del Denominador 4.62E+10
Coeficiente de Correlacion r 0.6227461258
Coeficiente de Determinacion R2 0.3878127372

Calculo de a
Numerador 28744170842.2173
Denominador 2.84118951502525E+016
Resultado de a 1.0E-06

Calculo de b
Numerador 938.9582348767
Denominador (valor de n) 159
Resultado b 5.9053977036

Ecuacion de Regresion o Modelo

Matematico Y = ax + b y = 1E-06x + 5,9054

R= 0,62 apartir del analisis de correlación realizado podemos decir que hay una
correlación regular entre la tasa de desempleo con la de personas sin empleo.

Modelo Matematico y = 1E-06x +

5,9054
 El coeficiente de
determinación es
R² = 0,3878 de un 38,78%

El coeficiente de
correlación nos
arroja una
correlación de 0,62
esto nos indica que
es regularmente
r=0,6227 confiable

9,000,000

ay una correlacion regular

El grado de correlación lineal entre las dos variables cuantitativas tasa de desemple
y personas sin empleo es de 0,62 esto nos da una interpretación de correlación regu
Y2
289.104475
246.100725
185.608956
215.417164
189.12677
195.879326
167.444748
171.220136
156.616881
158.6135
138.697122
145.702847
174.723806
202.470539
167.660124
145.471355
151.422824
132.786303
143.906081
138.165447
124.808108
99.1022601
104.190933
106.799517
179.786804
168.989645
128.688581
144.237444
141.221956
112.5105
153.490666
163.640872
166.156407
128.929812
119.642729
138.833304
193.079272
164.510715
142.263834
118.892219
132.914747
124.653454
124.534733
115.162683
117.424873
100.959369
88.6562929
 97.888616
171.06108
143.652164
125.989473
123.860344
117.466958
124.82451
145.536019
125.797462
119.867956
102.479731
116.671222
112.504379
203.022006
155.965186
143.804756
147.399549
136.046753
128.555643
159.568968
137.90878
147.767429
133.298721
122.730551
127.949731
213.834408
158.623953
139.406352
149.747317
144.972041
135.387614
160.894561
124.587331
111.804839
103.078517
116.475804
123.655192
183.769441
165.444516
118.11535
125.205321
126.434064
118.939241
133.17884
101.594301
94.7776825
80.961248
85.0117949
96.3847016
155.667959
140.896735
107.406503
118.030785
114.692722
100.523545
118.00651
95.0288399
98.846789
78.3836364
85.5216702
91.2182511
145.679826
138.987844
104.166418
103.50359
88.7579097
85.3162228
97.6483027
85.9111435
80.6121965
60.7273718
71.9008555
71.2700428
123.23738
114.043402
94.7575947
80.3712795
77.4089724
84.5409189
86.2995134
79.2282903
69.7283578
61.7837476
59.444319
76.0892305
116.319473
97.1469718
78.5104175
90.3273691
79.8115354
67.9930187
78.1350218
82.7000512
80.654188
66.9946279
52.8670161
73.7694968
141.736885
100.050799
102.766715
 81.284791
78.2773262
78.9105026
96.9300918
80.7916876
72.3840972
68.7957567
56.3914344
76.4357837
137.669548
110.34015
94.1794622
19391.9362
Y2

do podemos decir que hay una

on la de personas sin empleo.
 Entre mas
se acerque
el Valor de
R2 a 1 (valor
a la unidad),
mayor sera
el poder
explicativo
del modelo
matematico
de
regresion.

bles cuantitativas tasa de desempleo

interpretación de correlación regular.
X
(% Y
de Hidro (Pureza) A) Realice el diagrama de dispersión y determine el tipo de asociación ent
carburos)
0.99 90.01
1.02 89.05
Rendimiento en un proceso quimico
1.15 91.43
1.29 93.74 105

1.46 96.73
100
1.36 94.45
0.87 87.59 95
f(x) = 14.9474797321x + 74.2833142404
R² = 0.8774357052
1.23 91.77

Pureza
1.55 99.42 90
1.4 93.65
1.19 93.54 85

1.15 92.52
80
0.98 90.56 >a 0.8 0.9 1 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 1
1.01 89.54 % Hidrocarburo
1.11 89.85
1.2 90.39
1.26 93.25
1.32 93.41 DIRECTA SI AUMENTA UNA MAGNITUD LA OTRA AUMENTA- SI DISMI
1.43 94.98 INVERSA SI AUMENTA UNA MAGINTUD LA OTRA DISMINUYE Y VICEV
0.95 87.33

b. Encuentre el modelo matemático que permite predeci

y = 14,947x + 74,283
R² = coeficiente de determinac
R= 0.93 COEFICIENTE DE CORRELACIÓN

c . Determine el porcentaje de explicación del modelo y e

R= Coeficiente de correlación
d. ¿Cuál es el porcentaje de hidrocarburo cuando la purez

y = 14,947x + 74,283

Y = 51,4

REEMPLAZAR EN LA ECUACIÓN

51,4= 14,94(x)+74,283

51,4-74,283=14,94 x

( - 22,883)/14,94= X

X= - 1,53
rmine el tipo de asociación entre las variables.

un proceso quimico

74.2833142404

1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.6

Hidrocarburo

LA OTRA AUMENTA- SI DISMINUYE UNA MAGNITUD LA OTRA TAMBIEN DISMINUYE

LA OTRA DISMINUYE Y VICEVERSA

tico que permite predecir el efecto de una variable sobre la otra. Es confiable?

te de determinacion 87% 87.70% confiabilidad

DE CORRELACIÓN

plicación del modelo y el grado de relación de las dos variables.

correlación
 y PUREZA
x % HIDEROCARBUROS

carburo cuando la pureza del oxígeno es igual a 51,4?

X: % Hidrocarburo ????????
Y :Pureza 51.4