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Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 70 (2017) 457–471

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Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews


journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/rser

The status of solar energy integration and policy in Nigeria



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C.G. Ozoegwu , C.A. Mgbemene, P.A. Ozor
Department of Mechanical Engineering, University of Nigeria, Nsukka, Nigeria

A R T I C L E I N F O A BS T RAC T

Keywords: The need to understand and proffer sustainable solutions to the persistent energy crises and energy starvation in
Renewable energy Nigeria even in the face of abundant endowment of both renewable and fossil energy resources motivated this
Solar energy study. This study justified why solar energy should be accorded the highest priority as energy source in not only
Solar thermal Nigeria but globally. A detailed review of the past, current and future status of solar integration in Nigeria is
Solar PV
presented; it is seen that for grid-connected solar power integration the past status is nil, the current status is nil
Energy policy
and future status may not be completely bleak as a number of Memoranda of Understanding have been signed.
The existing supportive solar energy policies are highlighted and discussed; the chasm between the
commendable Nigeria policy landscape and near-to-zero status of solar integration is blamed on poor
implementation of the existing provisions by the Government. Recommendations were made on the basis of
the existing policies and proposed policies. Additional provisions to some of existing laws of the Federation to
accommodate support for solar energy integration are suggested. It is recommended that the poor and incipient
status of solar integration in the vastly populated Nigeria should be viewed in a positive light by potential
foreign investors as such status is a guarantee that solar power and thermal industry is a firsthand investment
opportunity.

1. Introduction adoption of RE as a way out of the crises and out of the afore-
mentioned problems of fossil fuels has been emphasized in a number of
Renewable energy sources are the energy resources that are studies. A number of works such as [2–7] have focused on policy
environmentally friendly, readily available and infinite in extent or arguments to advocate increased utilization of renewable energy
replenished (or can be replenished) with usage. The renewable energy resources in Nigeria. Some other such works focused on specific
resources include solar energy, biomass, wind, geothermal, hydro. They primary renewable energy resource or group of related renewable
are used to generate various usable secondary (or final) energy forms or energy carriers; for example [8], considered the potential for renewable
energy carriers (electricity, fuel bio-ethanol, biogas, biodiesel etc). distributed power generation in Nigeria from bioenergy resources while
Debates have favored RE energy in different fronts. Select countries the works [9,10] have focused on policy promotions for adoption of
of the world are endowed with fossil energy while all countries are biofuels (biodiesel, bioethanol and biogas) in Nigeria. Ohunakin et al.
endowed with RE; for example, every country receives solar energy. [11] focused on analysis of the drivers and barriers to solar energy
Therefore RE resources are less expected to become root of national applications and developments in Nigeria. In the current study, the RE
and international conflicts as it is the case with fossil energy resources. policy items which are not found in the Nigeria RE policy but are
RE is the solution to the problem of finite and depleting nature of fossil important given the Nigerian energy consumption pattern and culture
fuels and the harmful (to both the earth and its inhabitants) emissions will be discussed and advocated for adoption with justifiable placement
and effluents associated with their (fossil fuels) utilization. It is known of emphasis on the solar energy. The current study is thus unique as it
that world demand for electricity is increasing faster than total primary tries to: justify why solar energy should be given number one spot for
energy supply [1] and this is more so on sole reliance on fossil energy development in Nigeria; Review in more detail the status (past, current
resources since this would mean progressively higher rate of utilization and future) of solar integration in Nigeria; informatively highlight the
of a finite resource and thus hastened attainment of energy drought. existing policies together with recommendations of new policies that
These in essence mean that the energy for long-term sustainable suit the Nigerian energy consumption environment and suggest addi-
development must majorly (if not entirely) come from RE resources. tional provisions to some of existing laws of the Federation to
Nigeria is a country in energy and economic crises and need for accommodate support for solar energy integration.


Corresponding author.
E-mail addresses: chigbogug@yahoo.com, chigbogu.ozoegwu@unn.edu.ng (C.G. Ozoegwu).

http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2016.11.224
Received 11 February 2016; Received in revised form 11 October 2016; Accepted 18 November 2016
1364-0321/ © 2016 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
C.G. Ozoegwu et al. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 70 (2017) 457–471

2. Motivations to rising global adoption of renewable energy disadvantage associated with solar power technology is hinged on less
economic competitiveness compared to conventional technologies and
The oil crises of 1973 [12] - though a nightmare at the time of renewable power technologies like wind and hydro. Mgbemene [19]
occurrence as a result of high fuel prizes - can today be considered considers the fear about cost and level of maturity of RE technologies
blessing in disguise because it galvanized intense research effort on as misconceptions. The viewpoint of less economic competitiveness is
renewable energy (RE) [13]. RE today is no longer seen only as buffer based on economic analysis that has been judged as unfair against solar
to potential volatility in prices of fossil primary energy resources but - by Timilsina et al. [20] - on the bases that accurate cost of negative
also as the energy for sustainable development into the future that externalities of conventional technologies and benefit of solar in terms
guarantees the following trends [14]; reducing health and environ- of unrestricted potential for distributed power generation (unlike wind,
mental impacts of fossil energy use, boosting energy access and security hydro, geothermal and ocean energy with potential restricted by
and provision of secondary benefits like improved opportunities for natural endowment) are not taken into consideration. Construction
education, job creation, rural economic development, poverty reduc- of dams for hydropower - just like wars - displaces aboriginal
tion, and gender equality. The UN Framework Convention on Climate populations of riverside communities and floods farms and forests in
Change signed in Rio de Janeiro in 1992 made sustainable develop- the process of filling requisite large reservoirs. The cost analyses which
ment the principal determinant of composition of the energy future of place hydro power above solar do not normally take into consideration
the world to be significantly renewable [1]. This formed part of the the cost of such massive human displacement, greenhouse-gas emis-
impetus for rising trends in global renewable energy integration, sions from decaying flooded organic matter, pressure on ecosystems of
investment and policy support. Renewable Energy Policy Network for the not-flooded adjoining areas and the cost to agriculture and fishing
the 21st Century (REN21) is an international organization that downstream of the dam. These problems do not respect international
facilitates knowledge exchange, policy development and joint action borders thus dams are not free from becoming source of international
towards a rapid global transition to renewable energy. REN21 arose in tensions. A typical example is the continual tension between Nigeria
the world's first government-hosted international conference on renew- and Cameroon over the latter's routine release of water from the hydro
able energy held in Bonn, Germany in June 2004 by delegates from 154 power Lagdo dam. The tension is because the arising flood sweeps
countries. The advent of REN21 has heralded a more-than-ambitious through some states in Nigeria damaging lives and properties. The
growth rate in renewable energy market when compared with what scale of the damages in 2012 is always a case to fear as calls thereafter
obtained before; for example, by the end of 2013, nearly 50% and 98% for preparedness are high whenever there is an impending release [21].
of all operational global PV capacity was installed since the beginning It is stated earlier that hydro power capacity is restricted by natural
of 2012 and 2004 respectively [14]. Renewable energy resources met endowment meaning that developing all feasible sites will not be
13% of the world's primary energy demand in 2011 [15]. By the year sufficient to meet the long-term energy needs of many nations. Wind
2012 fourteen percent of the of total world energy demand is supplied turbines perform best when located in prominent areas like hill-tops
from renewable energy resources [13] while 19% of global final energy thus angers locals by creating significant visual impairment and
consumption was supplied from RE sources [14]. The above listed potential risks to property values in nearby areas [22]. This is in
magnitudes of the renewable proportion of world energy is better addition to problems of intermittency which limits deployment of wind
appreciated quantitatively when put in perspective with the IEA turbines as large-scale electricity utilities.
estimate of the world energy consumption for the year 2012 as The supreme competiveness of solar energy is not in any way meant
13371 Mtoe or 560EJ [16]. The share of RE resources in the global to dilute the advocacy for RE supply from waste biomass especially
electricity mix is 20% in 2011 and under the new policies scenario municipal solid and liquid wastes as their utilization in this manner - in
outlook, is expected to attain 31.3% [15]. Renewables made up an addition to clean energy supply and stabilization of wastes - protects
estimated 58.5% of net additions to global power capacity in 2014 and the environment from negative externalities like green house Landfill
comprised an estimated 27.7% of the world's power generating capacity gas (in the case of municipal solid wastes) emission and pollution.
by year's end [17]. The European Union has policies and plans to Landfill gas which is a mixture of 45–60% methane, 40–55% carbon
obtain 20% of its energy needs from renewable energy resources by dioxide and trace components is a product of complex chemical and
2020 [1]. United nations targeted to increase RE usage by 50% and biological decomposition processes on the organic component of
reduce conventional energy source by 50% in year 2013 [18]. municipal solid wastes. Landfills of municipal solid wastes alone
account for about 8% of global methane emission and in addition
3. The supreme competitiveness of solar energy in the long- wastewater accounts for about 17% of the global major sources of
term methane [23]. Thus Landfill gas must be captured for RE energy
application to forestall further accelerated climate change. But the
Competiveness of solar radiation relative to other primary energy advocacy for solar energy would overshadow the advocacy for RE
resources becomes supreme when its universal availability together supply from energy crops because of the not-yet-resolved stigma of
with its almost zero environmental impact on utilization is noted. This competition for land with food and feed crops, timber and fiber
is hardly the case for other primary energy resources. The absolute producing plants, human residential expansion, and nature conserva-
enormity of solar as the mother primary energy resource has been tion and climate protection forests. More analyses on the debates for
quantified in [1] as follows: the solar energy reaching the earth from and against bio-energy crops can be found the work of Popp et al. [24].
the sun is so enormous that more than four times of the total world's According to Bradford [22] industrial geothermal energy sources are
capacity of 5000 GW in electricity generation will be harnessed even if not as environmentally friendly as they might look since they emit
only 0.1% of this energy could be converted at an efficiency of 10%; in significant amounts of unfriendly gases like hydrogen sulfide and
other words, the total yearly solar radiation falling on the earth is more carbon dioxide. Moreover the potential worldwide geothermal market
than 7500 times the world's total annual primary energy consumption is no more than 6.5% of all electricity generation thus the future is
of 450 EJ. The annual average solar resource is uniform enough clearly limited.
throughout almost all human-inhabited regions of the world that the Though available in enormous quantity on earth, solar energy has
supreme competiveness applies all round. Supply infrastructures of low-density and intermittent nature that makes research effort im-
most of other energy resources; for example, gas and oil pipelines or perative for its efficient interception, conversion to final forms (thermal
vehicular and other mechanical conveyor systems are vulnerable to and electric) and storage. Though intermittent, the average variation of
adverse weather conditions, natural disasters and human vandalism solar energy over a day somewhat follows the human electricity
but there are no such risks in solar energy supply. The basic demand trend. The research effort has over the decades led to more

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C.G. Ozoegwu et al. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 70 (2017) 457–471

efficient designs and cheaper mass manufacture of more efficient and budget that was benchmarked on 38 US dollars per barrel (though
durable solar collecting materials. A significant portion of research 19% of the proposed budget is expected to be financed by the oil
effort on solar utilization is spent on improving efficiency of solar sector which is a lower dependence in comparison with 48% in
collectors. While most panels available in today's market have efficien- 2015). The laws guiding the oil industry is not yet fully developed
cies of the order of 15%, triple-junction (GaInP/GaAs/Ge [germa- thus hampers full foreign investment in the industry. For example,
nium]) cells and concentrating PV have been reported to attain the petroleum industry bill (PIB) proposed in 2008 to restructure
efficiencies of about 44% [1]. As a result, for example, the price of the organization and fiscal terms governing oil and gas industry has
PV panels came down from around US$ 30/W about 30 years ago to continued to receive delayed passage till date. The delay has
less than US$ 1/W in 2013 [1]. This has triggered rise in demand (in created uncertainty around the contentious issues of the bill thus
the environment of supportive policies though) as, for example, can be slowing down investments - especially in deep water oil projects -
seen in the 53 fold rise (from 2.6 to 139 GW) in global solar PV by international oil companies. The atmosphere of poor regulation
capacity, 8.5 fold rise (from 0.4 to 3.4 GW) in global concentrating condoned poor maintenance of aging oil infrastructure and con-
solar thermal power and 3.3265 fold rise (from 98 to 326 GWth) in doned operational failure that have - over the decades - caused oil
global solar hot water capacity from start of 2004 to the end of 2013. At spillage. The oil spillage has polluted the host communities to the
present, the markets for solar PV technologies are increasing at a rate point of robbing them of their livelihood from their environment
of more than 35% per year and solar thermal power growth is expected thus triggering agitations and instability. This has led to rise in
to be even higher [1]. In addition to these promising statistics, a vandalism and takeover of oil facilities by militants since the mid
number of projections have been made regarding future of solar 2000s. Also, causing a significant rise in frequency of oil spillage
integration in the future of global primary and final energy use; for that it is now difficult to specify the extent of liability of the oil
example, IEA projects that solar power could provide a third of the companies (which were originally solely blamed) in resolving the
global final energy demand after 2060, while CO2 emissions would be environmental damage in the Niger-Delta. EIA [27] stated that the
reduced to very low levels [25]. stolen oil in Nigeria can reach as high as 400,000 barrels per day
The Supreme Competitiveness of Solar Energy normally reflects as and that most of the stolen oil make it to the international oil
higher penetration levels than other RE resources in the long-term RE market as a result of collaborative sabotage involving amongst
targets of developing countries. For example: India planned to install others the locals, bank managers, government officials and security
15 GW of grid-connected renewable energy mainly from wind, micro- personnel. This amount of stolen oil is comparable with the
hydro and biomass, considering solar PV as an additional option if its combined capacity of 445000 barrels per day of the four refineries
prize falls to levels of micro-hydro in the project period of 2007–2012. in Nigeria. The refineries operate so below full capacity that make-
But more recently, the National Solar Mission of India targets 1 GW up refined petroleum products have to be imported to meet the
and 20 GW of grid-connected solar power by 2013 and 2022 respec- domestic consumption which for example, could have been met in
tively [20]; and the projection by Energy Commission of Nigeria [26] 2014 by 68.54% of the refining capacity. Importation of refined
based on 13% GDP growth rate places renewable electricity supply products - which in 2013 was to the tone of 164000 barrels per day
from solar as 600 MW by 2015 (short-term), 6136 MW by 2020 [31] - is an economic arrangement that costs Nigeria more and robs
(medium-term), and 48,132 MW by 2030 (long-term) while for hydro her of needed employment opportunities. Fuel subsidy, regarded by
the figures become 4100 MW by 2015, 9760 MW by (2020), and the Nigerian masses as the basic benefit from the rich oil endow-
14,750 MW by (2030). This figures show that even though hydro ment cost $8 billion in 2011 [27] and according to [32] cost an
dominates the Nigerian RE targets in the short and medium terms, average of ₦1trillion per year in the last five years. The Nigerian
solar energy considerably dominates in the long-term. The points government was forced to retain partial subsidy after their an-
raised so far are justifications that the energy source for the long-term nouncement of total subsidy removal in January 1 of 2012 was met
sustainable development is solar. with public outcry, massive strikes and protests tagged "Occupy
Nigeria". The perceived benefits (more availability of funds for
4. The Nigerian energy crises and RE solution capital development, removal of market distortions, hastened
investment in the downstream sector, reduced economic inequality
4.1. Background to the Nigerian energy crises and reduced fraud in the oil sector) continue to push the govern-
ment towards complete removal and the battle with the masses
Total primary energy consumption in Nigeria was about rages.
4.5 × 1015 British thermal unit (Btu) or 4.7475 EJ in the year 2012;
traditional biomass and waste (animal manure and crop residues) 4.2. Crises in the Nigerian electricity supply
are the resources for 80% of this consumption. The consumption is
mostly in the form of off-grid heating and cooking at rural level The sequel to these energy crises is that supply of final energy resources
[27]. This data is typical of Sub-Saharan Africa where percentage and energy carriers is far below demand on per capita basis. It is known
energy supply from traditional biomass ranges from 75% to 96% that social, economic, technological and industrial development of a country
[28]. Nigeria is a country known for chronic energy crises that stem is directly related to the final energy consumption. It has specially been
mostly from local and international happenings that affect the concluded in the Nigerian context that electricity consumption is a
Nigerian crude oil and gas industry. According to the International fundamental driver of economic growth [33]. It is therefore not surprising
Monetary Fund (IMF) report in 2014 [29], oil and natural gas why Nigerian economic growth indicators have been as weak as the
industry in Nigeria typically accounts for 75% and 95% of total Nigerian power sector over decades. Nigeria has one of the lowest per
government revenue and total export revenue respectively, making capita net electricity generation in the world partly because of the effect of
the economy vulnerable to volatility in crude oil prices despite the afore-discussed crisis situations in the energy sector. Table 1 lists the
fiscal buffers like Excess Crude Account and Sovereign Wealth national data on electricity supply to a select sub-Saharan African countries
Fund. A typical example is the quick transition from era of to surprisingly reveal that the average electric power supply per capita of
flourishing income when crude oil sold at 112.75 US dollars per 18.265 W for Nigeria is five and thirty two times smaller than that of
barrel in December 2013 [30] to the current era (the beginning part Zambia and South Africa respectively. Other major factors militating
of 2016) of meager income that crude oil sells (with less than slight against the electric power sector border on inefficient hardware in the
hope of recovery) around 30 US dollars per barrel. This has raised electricity industry, inefficient management of the electricity industry and
questions on feasibility of successful implementation of the 2016 poor/corrupt marketing of electric power [34]. The actual electricity

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Table 1 Table 2
The electricity supply to a select sub-Saharan African countries in year 2010. The renewable energy potential of Nigeria.

Country Electric Electric energy Mean Mean Electric Resource type Reserves Units
energy supply per Electric Power supply
supply capita (kW h/ Power supply per capita (W) Small hydropower 3500 [3] MW
(GW h) [23] cap) [23] (MW) Large hydropower 11,250 [3] MW
11,235 [4]
Nigeria 25,373 160 2896.5 18.265 Wind 2–4 [3] m/s at 10 m
Botswana 3442 1715 392.92 195.78 height (main
Angola 4993 262 569.98 29.909 land)
Cameroon 5443 278 621.35 31.735 Solar radiation 3.5–7.0 [3] kW h/m2/day
Gabon 1755 1166 200.34 133.11 3.5–7.5 [4]
Ghana 9232 378 1053.9 43.151 Municipal Solid Generated 17451000 [23] tonnes per year
Kenya 6840 169 780.82 19.292 wastes Collected 7329000 [23]
Lesotho 896 413 102.28 47.146 Animal waste 211 million assorted animals
Mozambique 11,742 502 1340.4 57.306 (285.065 million tons/yr of
Namibia 3743 1640 427.28 187.21 production) [3]
Senegal 2552 205 291.32 23.402 61 [4,39] million tons/yr
South Africa 253,720 5061 28963 577.74 Energy crops and agric 28.2 (30% of total land) million hectares
Sudan 7816 179 892.24 20.434 residue of arable land
Swaziland 1455 1227 166.1 140.07 Crop residue 83 [4] million tons/yr
Zambia 10,476 800 1195.9 91.324 Fuel wood 11 [3] million hectares
Zimbabwe 13,010 1035 1485.2 118.15 of forest and
wood land
Wave and tidal energy 150,000 [4] TJ
demand is about 10000 MW [35] but the net generation in the year 2012 1759.6 [4] toe/yr

was 3080 MW [27].


It is also commented in [3] that Nigeria effectively generates only
4.3. Solar energy as solution to the power crisis
1600 MW out of 6000 MW of installed capacity; this effective genera-
tion level is seen to be below the 2000 MW stated by Ojo [36] to be the
RE resources, especially solar, are shielded from these crises and
power needed in the year 2009 by the Nigerian industrial sector alone.
the other aforementioned general problems (selective endowment,
This highlights how costly it has been to the players running the
finite availability, polluting production and utilization and price
already moribund industrial sector. As a result about 60% of the total
volatility) associated with conventional energy resources thus Nigeria
population lack access to grid-connected electricity [35,37] with 80% of
must increasingly embrace the renewables especially solar. Nigeria is
this disadvantaged proportion of the population domiciled in the rural
abundantly endowed with renewable energy resources as can be seen
areas. The 40% with access to electricity has had one of the most erratic
summarized in Table 2 below. These energy resources remain largely
power supply in the world; for example, a Distribution System
untapped except for the biomass resources that are exploited in the
Reliability index called System Average Interruption Duration is
traditional way of open-air combustion.
extremely high for Nigeria at values exceeding 60,000 min where
USA has the value of same index as 88 min [2]. The industries and
5. Solar radiation
businesses that continue to thrive make-up for this deficiency with on-
site generation using miniature plants that run mostly on petrol and
Solar radiation is in the short-wave range of the electromagnetic
diesel causing the cost of production and services to be very high and
spectrum which results from nuclear reactions in the sun. The
net profit to be very low. This led to flight of industries and businesses
wavelength is in the range of about 0.3–3 µm. The visible sub-spectrum
from Nigeria and rise of unemployment; for example, it is known that
which is popular in technological solar applications belongs to this
bulk of the Nigerian traders and entrepreneurs prefer to produce in
range. The sun is a spherical collection of dense (about 100 times as
China where cost of production was reported by Ojo [36] to be about
dense as water) gaseous matter with estimated diameter of 1.39×109m,
14.3% of what obtained in Nigeria. Despite the crises situation in
holding the earth in an orbit of approximately 1.495×1011m (one
energy supply, Nigeria still allows colossal losses in inefficient utiliza-
astronomical unit (AU) of distance) radius [40]. The nuclear reactions
tion and wastages. The fact that on average about 63% of Nigeria
in the sun are of direct fusion of protons to heavier Helium nuclei. The
electricity generating capacity is based on gas notwithstanding, Nigeria
sun emits energy at a rate of about 3.8 × 1011PW (this value is given as
has not been able to curb associated gas flaring. About 15% of gross gas
3.8 × 1023 kW per second in [1]). At the mean sun-earth distance of
production was flared in 2013 [38], representing enormous waste of
about one AU, solar radiation traverses the space and reaches the top of
energy resource and environmental pollution. This is definitely not to
the earth's atmosphere at the average rate (called solar constant) of
be allowed in the ambitious projections of Nigerian energy future as gas
about 1353 Wm−2 with error of ±1.2% as measured at high altitude
is more important than the rest of the other energy resources
with spacecraft [41]. According to [1] the most recent estimate of solar
combined; based on 13% GDP growth, targets of 56.37%, 70.23%
constant stands at 1366.1 Wm−2. About 95.7 PW of solar radiation
and 52.13% of electricity from gas by 2020, 2025 and 2030 respectively
reaches the surface of the earth [42]. This data has a slightly larger
have been set [26]. Inefficiency is also rife in consumption of the
value of 100 PW in a more recent source [43]. According to Tian and
grossly insufficient electricity supply, for example there is widespread
Zhao [44], the world energy budget by NASA sources gives that the
use of incandescent light bulbs rather the efficient LED bulbs. Oyedepo
solar radiation reaching the earth's surface represents 55% of the value
[6] has observed that the present power crisis afflicting Nigeria will no
at the top of the earth's atmosphere. Thus based on the data of Ref.
doubt persist if the Nigerian government does not diversify her energy
[42,43] the solar radiation at the top of the earth's atmosphere is 174 or
sources and adopt new available technologies to reduce energy
181 PW respectively. Four percent in the 55% at the earth's surface is
wastages and save cost. The call for improvement in efficiency of
reflected while the other 51% is absorbed. Of the 45% of the incoming
energy utilization is getting louder and effort by the government in this
solar radiation that did not get to the surface of earth, 26% was
direction is reflected in policy targets which includes; attaining
reflected (6% by atmosphere and 20% by clouds) and 19% was
replacement of 40% by 2020 and 100% by 2030 of old and inefficient
absorbed (16% by atmosphere and 3% by clouds). The matter of the
appliances in Nigeria with energy efficient appliances [18].
atmosphere and earth's surface emit long-wavelength thermal radia-

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3
Table 3
7% (reference)
The projection by Energy Commission of Nigeria (ECN) of Nigeria energy demand
(mtoe). 10% (high growth)
2.5 11.5% (optimistic)
GDP growth scenario Year 13% (optimistic)

2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2

Percentage
7% (reference) 51.40 79.36 118.14 169.18 245.19
10% (high growth) 56.18 94.18 190.73 259.19 414.52 1.5
11.5% (optimistic) 56.18 108.57 245.97 331.32 553.26
13% (optimistic) 72.81 148.97 312.61 429.11 715.70
1

tion while absorbing solar radiation. The emitted radiation is normally


not of interest in glazed technological applications because of unfavor- 0.5
able spectral interactions. The emitted long-wavelength thermal radia-
tion and the thermal component of the solar spectrum are however the
drivers of non-assisted (passive) drying of especially crops and 0
2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
agricultural produce for storage in the rural areas. Year
The annual average horizontal surface irradiance on the surface of
the earth is approximately 170 Wm−2[1] which is about one-eighth of Fig. 1. The percentage of the Nigeria surface area from which Nigeria energy demand
projections by ECN can be met at 15% efficiency.
the solar constant. The yearly insolation of this irradiance level on 1 m2
is approximately the energy that can be extracted from one barrel of oil, same as half of duration from sunrise to sunset which is approximately
200 kg of coal, or 140 m3 of natural gas [1]. The global average values fixed as it lies in a very narrow neighbourhood of 6 h for all days of the
for solar energy may be very useful in quantitative RE policy debates year. For reference, compare for example the range of the annual daily
but not in actual application as solar energy depends on astronomical, variation of duration from solar noon to sunset of [5.8197, 6.1803] for
geographical, atmospheric, and meteorological parameters which vary Awka (6.2069°N and 7.0678°E) a typical Nigerian state capital and
with location and - with the exception of geographical parameters like [4.4094, 7.5906] for Madison in Wisconsin USA (89.4°N and 43°). The
latitude, longitude and altitude - vary with time. range for the former is about a ninth of that of the latter. Further, being
In other words solar energy is variable RE resource on both located in the tropics, Nigeria lies in a high sunshine belt where solar
temporal and spatial scales. In application a solar device is preferably radiation is fairly well distributed varying from about 12.6 MJ/m2/day
designed based on the solar availability at the intended point of at the coastal latitudes to 25.2 MJ/m2/day in the far north [18]. This
deployment. Also solar availability influences location-specific policies. translates in power units to variation from about 145.8333 W/m2 in
As a result reliable solar radiation measurements and models differ for the coastal latitudes to 291.6667 W/m2 in the far north. The average
different climatic locations. Weather parameters which mainly non- receipt of solar radiation by Nigeria is at the value of 19.8 MJ/m2/day
deterministically vary with cloud cover and atmospheric aerosol levels [2] which is equivalent to 229.1667 W/m2 in power terms.
heavily influence the randomness and availability of terrestrial solar The national target to increase the generation capacity of power
radiation. The terrestrial solar radiation is thus modeled empirically as facilities to 10,000 MW by the year 2007 as defined in the National
its random nature makes pure mathematical models impossible. Economic Empowerment and Development Strategy (NEEDS) contin-
Recent comprehensive review of the forecasting methods for terrestrial ued to evade Nigeria. Assuming an efficiency of 15% which is the order
solar radiation can be found [45,46]. The empirical models reviewed in typical of most modern solar PV panels available in the market, this
[46] were classified into: models based on Sunshine which are inspired target generation capacity can be harnessed from 0.0315% of Nigeria
by the pioneering Angstrom-Prescott models- dedicated review of the surface area. The projection by the Energy Commission of Nigeria
models can be seen [47,48], models based on cloud cover, models (ECN) of Nigeria's energy demand based on four possible annual GDP
based on temperature, and models that include other meteorological growth scenarios is shown in Table 3. The percentage of the Nigeria
parameters like precipitation, relative humidity, dew point tempera- surface area from which these energy demand projections can be met at
ture, soil temperature, evaporation and pressure in addition to any 15% efficiency are summarized in graphical form shown in Fig. 1. It is
acceptable combination of the major factors (sunshine, cloudiness, and seen that even the most ambitious projection of energy demand in the
temperature). Nigeria is typically data-sparse region in measured long-term can be met from 3% of Nigeria surface area solely from solar
weather conditions and solar-energy [49,50]. The methods that can harnessed at 15% efficiency. The range of magnitude of area needed
be employed in modeling the solar radiation of the numerous Nigerian (especially for the most realistic 7% growth rate) can probably be
locations that lack data are; (i) using the globally applicable models- substantially met by rooftops and residential surroundings alone.
Some of the empirical solar radiation models acclaimed for global The Nigeria's fossil primary energy reserves is shown in Table 4
applicability are [51–54], (ii) directly measuring the solar radiation below. The solar energy equivalence in days of the fossil primary energy
(time spans of measurements are normally too short to be considered reserves of Nigerian with surface area 923,768 km2 are given in Table 4
reliable [55])- typical works in this direction are [56,57] or (iii) based on two conversion standards; Nigeria's Average Irradiance of
accessing data through internet websites of national government 223.96 Wm−2 (computed as mean of the means of Nigeria solar
agencies - typical work in this direction are [50,58]. It must be noted resource given as ranges 3.5–7.0 kW h/m2/day [3] and 3.5–
that solar radiation data accessed from the internet are not directly 7.5 kW h/m2/day [4] in Table 2) and Global Average Irradiance of
measure for such data-sparse sites but estimations based on measure- 170 Wm−2. It is seen that based on Nigerian Average solar Irradiance
ments at similar climatic locations. of 223.96 Wm−2, the insolation received by Nigeria in 36 days is bigger
than the combined fossil primary energy endowment in Natural gas,
6. Analysis of the Nigerian solar energy resource Crude oil, Tar sand and Coal and lignite. Also it is seen that 47 days is
more than enough for Nigeria to receive the combined fossil primary
Nigeria is a tropical west African country that is noted in [2] to energy endowment based on Global Average Irradiance of 170 Wm−2.
receive average sunshine hours of about 6 h; the sunshine hours lie in The figures of Solar Equivalence in Table 4 are basically meant to serve
the range of 4–8 h per day [39]. This average sunshine hours is almost as a reference in understanding the enormity of solar availability when

461
C.G. Ozoegwu et al. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 70 (2017) 457–471

Table 4 4500
Nigeria fossil fuel energy reserve. Yearly global installed CSTP capacity
4000 Cumulative global installed CSTP capacity
Resource Reserves
type 3500
In Energy Solar Equivalent based on Solar Equivalent based

Installed CSTP capacity [MW]


unit Btoe Nigerian Average on Global Average 3000
[4] Irradiance of Irradiance of
223.96 Wm−2 170 Wm−2
2500

Natural gas 4.19 9.8141 days 12.9292 days


Crude oil 5.03 11.7816 days 15.5212 days 2000
Tar sand 4.31 10.0951 days 13.2995 days
Coal and 1.52 3.5602 days 4.6903 days 1500
lignite
Total 15.05 35.2510 46.4401 days 1000

500
compared with the current mainstay (fossil reserve). Only 9.6578% and
12.7233% of the total Nigerian land area are needed in a year to 0
1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
intercept solar energy of same magnitude as the total conventional Year
energy endowment in Natural gas, Crude oil, Tar sand and Coal and
Fig. 2. The trend of global installed CSTP capacity. Data sourced from [14,69,70].
lignite based on the average Irradiance of 223.96 Wm−2 and 170 Wm−2
respectively. Nigeria's renewable energy resources are summarized in
Table 5 in energy terms based on existing data in literature. Solar which the science and technology are already well developed over
Equivalent based on both Nigerian and global Average Irradiance are several centuries of electricity generation from fossil fuel-based power
also included in Table 5. plants - thus Solar Thermal Power can run on fossil fuels as a back-up
during low or zero solar energy supply, for example, in the night; (ii) it
7. Past, current and future status of solar integration in is less vulnerable to the intermittency of solar radiation because of
Nigeria possibility for high capacity thermal storage; and (iii) it has lower net
and levelized cost compared to grid-connected solar PV generation.
The exact figures for status of solar integration in Nigeria is difficult According to World Energy Council [1], a number of solar thermal
to get since information as to capacity, technology type and whether power plants are under construction or in the planning stage in USA
projects are planned, under construction or completed are normally and around the world. The trend from 1984 to 2014 of the cumulative
lacking. Ohunakin et al. [11] have recently summed Status of solar and yearly global installed Concentrated Solar Thermal Power (CSTP)
integration in Nigeria as follows; off-grid hybrid or grid connected capacity is given in Fig. 2 below. It is seen that the cumulative global
solar projects do not exist throughout Nigeria, currently all existing installed capacity have grown from year to year since 1984 except for
projects are either off-grid light applications of few kWp or stand-alone the stagnation at 354 MW from 1988 to 2004. The trend for yearly
mini-grid, and no comprehensive database exist for renewable projects global addition of installed capacity is also included in the figure to
of various energy stakeholders in Nigeria. Also the data available from show that except for the stagnation period yearly addition has largely
different sources are difficult to harmonize. grown from year to year since 1984.
The trend of percentage year to year growth rate of cumulative
global installed CSTP capacity is shown in Fig. 3 as trend (a). A data
7.1. Status of grid-connected solar thermal power ⎡⎛ x year ⎞ ⎤
point on trend (a) is given as ry2y=100⎢⎜ x ⎟ − 1⎥
⎣⎝ year−1 ⎠ ⎦
Solar thermal power plants are now being increasingly considered
where xyear is the cumulative global installed CSTP capacity for a
and deployed for grid-connected electricity generation because of the
given Year and subscript year =1984, 1985, 1986,…..2014. It is seen
obvious benefits which include: (i) it utilizes the heat engine cycles of

Table 5
The renewable energy potential of Nigeria.

Resource type Reserves

In Energy Units Solar Equivalent days based on Nigerian Average Solar Equivalent days based on Global Average
Irradiance of 223.96 Wm−2 Irradiance of 170 Wm−2

Small hydropower 110.38PJ/year [3] 0.0062 0.0081


Large hydropower 354.78 PJ/year [3] 0.0198 0.0261
354.31PJ/year [4] 0.0198 0.0261
Solar radiation 3.5–7.0 kW h/m2/day
[3]
3.5–7.5 kW h/m2/day
[4]
Generated Municipal Solid Incineration 157056 TJ in 2012 [23] 0.0088 0.0116
wastes Landfill gas 37275 TJ in 2012 [23] 0.0021 0.0027
Collected Municipal Solid Incineration 65963 TJ in 2012 [23] 0.0037 0.0049
wastes Landfill gas 15656 TJ in 2012 [23] 8.7586 × 10−4 0.0012
Animal manure/dung 450.48PJ in 2011 [3] 0.0252 0.0332
Agric crop residue 697.15TJ in 2010[3] 3.9001× 10−5 5.1381× 10−5
Wind 150,000TJ/yr[3]
Wave and tidal energy 150,000 TJ[4]
1759.6 toe/yr[4]

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C.G. Ozoegwu et al. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 70 (2017) 457–471

CO2 emissions per year. Over 1000 jobs created at peak during construction. Currently employs 80 people
Started operation in 2015; 775 acres of Solar field; supplies 80,000 Households; Eliminates 300,000 t of

Started operation in 2011; saving 5000 t of natural gas per year (180,000 t CO2/year); Therminol VP-1 as
(a)
200 (b)
(c)

Started operation in 2011; 1.94 million sq. ft of Solar field; Thermal oil as heat transfer fluid
(d)

150
Percentage (%)

Started operation in 2014; Packed-bed of rocks as Thermal Storage material


100

50

in full-time, long-term, high-paying O & M jobs


0
1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Year

Fig. 3. The trends of growth of Global installed CSTP capacity. (a) % year to year growth
rate, (b)average % growth rate from Year to 2014 (c) % of installed capacity by end of
Year to installed capacity by end of 2014 and (d) % of installed capacity since the
beginning of Year to the end of 2014.

Started operation in 2010

heat transfer fluid


that 2010 to 2012 witnessed rising growths of 38.02%, 46.30% and
61.39% respectively while 2012–2014 witnessed declining growths of
61.39%, 34.31% and 28.47% respectively. An alternative trend for
growth rate is also given as "Average % growth rate from any past Year
Notes

to 2014" in Fig. 3 as trend (b). This trend is useful to highlight the


constant yearly growth rate from any past year of interest to attain the
cumulative global installed CSTP capacity of present (year 2014 in this
Thermal storage

case). Since constant year to year growth is assumed in trend (b) a data

with 5 h heat
molten salts

⎡ 1 ⎤
⎢⎛ x ⎞ 2014− year ⎥

storage
point is given as rpy2cy=100⎢⎜ x2014 ⎟ − 1⎥, meaning that relatively
⎝ year ⎠
⎣ ⎦
low and high yearly addition will cause a rise and fall respectively in
rpy2cy . The trend suggests that there was relatively high yearly addition
ISCC with parabolic

ISCC with parabolic

up to 1988, sustained relatively low yearly addition from 1988 to 2008


Technology Type

parabolic trough

parabolic trough

parabolic trough

(the yearly additions is zero for most of the years) and then relatively
high yearly addition to 2014. In order to indicate the extents the 2014
capacity were attained in the past thus quantifying when most
trough

trough

additions were made trend (c) is added in Fig. 3. Trend (c) is the %
of installed capacity by end of a past Year to installed capacity by end of
2014. It seen from trend (c) that about 8.05%, 35.91%, 57.95% and
Ain Beni Mathar

77.84% of all operational global PV capacity by end of 2014 was


Hassi R’Mel

installed by the end of 2004, 2011, 2012 and 2013 respectively. It seen
Kuraymat
Pofadder

Ait Baha
Location

from trend (d) in Fig. 3 that by the end of 2014, about 91.95%, 64.1%,
42.05% and 22.16% of all operational global PV capacity was installed
The currently operational STPSs in Africa. Summarized from [60].

since the beginning of 2004, 2011, 2012 and 2013 respectively.


South Africa

Nigeria till now has zero share in the global solar thermal grid-
Morocco

Morocco
Country

Algeria

connected power generation; the justification for this assertion is


Egypt

presented in what follows. Tian and Zhao included in their work [44]
a review of solar thermal power stations (STPSs) in the world as at the
Capacity (MW)

year 2012 covering the ones which were already operational and the
ones which were under construction. Nigeria and Africa generally did
not feature in their list even though Integrated solar combined-cycle
100

(ISCC) plant in Algeria [59], Integrated Solar Combined-Cycle in


20
20

20

Morocco [60] and Kuraymat Integrated Solar Combined Cycle in


Egypt [61] were operational as at the time of the work. This justifies
Airlight Energy Ait-Baha

that the Past status of Nigeria on grid-connected solar thermal


ISCC Ain Beni Mathar

integration is nil. Most of the currently operational STPSs categorized


ISCC Hassi R'mel
Kaxu Solar One

ISCC Kuraymat

as being under construction in the work are now operational except


Pilot Plant

Ashalim Power Station being constructed in the Negev desert of Israel


to have 121 MW capacity [62]. Construction of some of the currently
Table 6

Name

operational STPSs has not commenced as at the time of the review


hence not mentioned. One such currently operational STPSs which is in

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C.G. Ozoegwu et al. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 70 (2017) 457–471

Africa is Kaxu Solar One [63]. The currently operational STPSs in

Expected to be completed in 2017 (under development); Thermal oil as the Heat-tranfer


Expected to be completed in 2017; 90,000 Households to be supplied; 398,000 t of CO2

Expected to be completed in 2015; 45,000 Households to be supplied; 183,000 t of CO2

Expected to be completed in 2018 (under development); Thermal oil as the Heat-transfer


Expected to be completed in 2018 (under development); Molten salt as Heat-Transfer
Expected to be completed in 2017 (under development); Mineral oil as Heat-Transfer
Africa, summarized in Table 6, do not feature Nigeria justifying the
assertion that the current status of Nigeria on grid-connected solar
thermal power integration is nil. South Africa has more grid-connected
solar thermal power capacity than the rest of the other African players

Expected to be completed in 2017; Molten salt as Heat-Transfer Fluid


even though they (South Africa) are the youngest to achieve an
operational installation.
The STPSs that are under construction or under development in
Africa are listed in Table 7. It is seen from Table 7 that the upcoming
grid-connected solar thermal power capacity of South Africa is
504.5 MW which represents 49.68% of the upcoming capacity of
Africa. South Africa has a renewable energy target of up to
17,800 MW by 2030 [64] thus it is not surprising their significant role
in solar thermal power integration in Africa. The other 50.32% of
upcoming grid-connected solar thermal power capacity of Africa is
emissions to be eliminated per year

emissions to be eliminated per year


Expected to be completed in 2015

Expected to be completed in 2017

Expected to be completed in 2015


contributed by Morocco indicating that Morocco is making meaningful
effort to achieve its national goal of generating 2000 MW from renew-
able energy by 2020 [65]. Nigeria is missing in Table 7 suggesting that
there is no evidence that the immediate future status of Nigeria on
grid-connected solar thermal integration is not bleak.

7.2. Status of grid-connected solar PV power


Notes

Fluid

Fluid

fluid

fluid

Solar PV power generating system is made from network of solar


PV panels. Solar PV panels are rugged, durable, easily maintained and
94.5 h heat storage using molten

easily constructed to supply energy in a wide range that spans micro-


9.3 h heat storage using molten
storage
Molten

Molten

Molten

5 h heat storage using molten

2 h heat storage using molten


with 4.5 h heat storage using
with 12 h heat storage using

watts to megawatts. Also, they are free from dynamic problems


associated with heat engine cycles. These advantages which border
20 min buffer thermal
3 h heat storage using

7 h heat storage using

8 h heat storage using

on technical ease can explain why there have been more installation of
solar PV electricity generating stations in the past several decades than
Thermal storage

the solar thermal stations. In terms of worldwide installed capacity,


molten salts

molten salts

solar PV is the most important source of renewable energy after hydro


and wind power [65]. The usual PV panel types are those based on
salts

salts

salts

salts
Salt

Salt

Salt

crystalline or polycrystalline silicon solar cells and those based on thin-


film cadmium telluride or copper indium gallium diselenide [66].
Currently the former is about four times more popular in the market
Linear Fresnel reflector

than the latter [1]. The disadvantage of occupying space usually quoted
Superheated steam
Technology Type

Parabolic trough

Parabolic trough
parabolic trough

parabolic trough

parabolic trough

parabolic trough

against solar PV power generation has been demonstrated to be


completely avoidable in the sense that solar PV power installation
Power tower

power tower

power tower

can be mounted on the roofs of existing buildings or waste lands. The


The STPSs that are under construction or under development in Africa. Summarized from [60].

Cosmo-Town Kiyomino Saizu which is a smart estate built in Japan to


run on solar PV [67] is a testimony in this regard. Furthermore, BSW-
Solar estimated that about 1 . 5 × 10 6 operational systems have been
Northern Cape

Groblershoop
Postmasburg

installed on residential and commercial rooftops in Germany to


Ouarzazate

Ouarzazate

Ouarzazate

Benguerir

Upington

Upington
Location

generate electricity that cost less than conventional electricity [68].


Kathu

The World Energy Council [1] affirms that the available statistics on
solar PV installations are patchy and inconsistent. The estimated global
grid-connected PV power capacity by the end of 2010 was 34 GW while
South Africa

South Africa

South Africa

South Africa

South Africa

South Africa

the capacity of off-grid capacity was put at 6 GW [71]. The estimated


Morocco

Morocco

Morocco

Morocco
Country

global installed and actual generation capacities at the end of the year
2011 are 68.85 GW and 52 878 GW h respectively [1]. SolarPower
Europe has indicated that global cumulative capacity of PV installation
Capacity (MW)

reached 178 GW in the year 2014 [68]. The trend from 1995 to 2014 of
global installed PV capacity is given in Fig. 4 below. This shows that the
cumulative and yearly global installed capacity have continued to grow
54.5
160

200

150

100

100

100

100
50

markedly from year to year since the inception of REN21 in 2004. The
1

trend of percentage year to year growth rate of cumulative global


IRESEN 1 MWe CSP-ORC pilot

Redstone Solar Thermal Power

installed PV capacity is shown in Fig. 5 as trend (a). It is seen that a net


positive growth occurred from 2004 to 2011 but thereafter there has
been a sustained decrease of year to year growth rate from 75% in 2011
to 42.86% in 2012 to 38% in 2013 and finally to 28.26% in 2014. The
Kathu Solar Park
Xina Solar One

average % growth rate from any past Year to 2014 is shown in Fig. 5 as
Khi Solar One

trend (b). The trend suggests that there was relatively low yearly
project

Bokpoort
NOOR 2

NOOR 3

Plant

Ilanga 1
NOOR I

addition up to 2007 and sustained relative high yearly addition since


Table 7

Name

2009. It seen from trend (c) in Fig. 5 that about 2.1%, 39.55%, 56.5%
and 77.97% of all operational global PV capacity by end of 2014 was

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C.G. Ozoegwu et al. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 70 (2017) 457–471

180 Table 8
Cumulative global Installed PV capacity The name of the companies, capacity and location of the solar power projects backed by
160 NERC licenses. Sourced from [72].
Yearly global Installed PV capacity
Global Installed PV capacity [GW]

140 Licensee Capacity (MW) State Geopolitical Zone

Rook Solar Investment Limited 50 Osun South-West


120
Quaint Global Nigeria Limited 50 Kaduna North-West
Nigeria Solar Capital Partners 100 Bauchi North-East
100 Anjeed Kafanchan Solar Limited 10 Kaduna North-West
Lloyd and Baxter LP 50 Abuja North-Central
80 KVK Power Pvt Limited 50 Sokoto North-West
Pan African Solar 54 Katsina North-West
60

40 summarized in Table 8 below. The then Honourable Minister of


Environment and Kaduna State Governor officially launched in
20 September 2011 the 50 MW solar farm which the Synergent
Powershare Group of Company was investing in Kaduna state [72].
0 Shiroro Hydroelectric Power Station in Niger State of Nigeria plans to
1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014
construct a 300 MW PV solar power plant on its existing plant's
Year
premises [73]. The main driver to this plan is that generation capacity
Fig. 4. The trend of global (grid and off-grid) installed PV capacity. Data sourced from traditionally declines during dry seasons and the proposed PV solar
[14,69,70]. installation should make-up for underperformance of the hydro
installation during the off-peak seasons. Quaint Global Energy
100 Solutions and New Horizons Energy Resources plan to establish
50 MW solar power plant in Kaduna State [74]. The New Horizon
90 (a)
Energy Resources have also announced a plan of building a 100 MW
(b)
80 solar plant and 300–400 MW biomass in Nasarawa and Cross river
(c)
states [74].
(d)
70 The Anjeed Kafanchan (15 MW in [75] but 10 MW in Table 8) is a
Percentage (%)

grid-connected solar project located in Kafanchan, Kaduna State which


60
has reached advanced planning stage. Memorandum of Understanding
50 has been signed in 2014 by SkyPower FAS Energy with the Federal
Government of Nigeria and the Delta State Government to construct
40
3000 MW of utility-scale solar photovoltaic (PV) projects within
30 Nigeria and the Delta State of Nigeria. The project was to be built
over the next five years [76]. In a continued push for clean energy and
20 growth of micro, small, medium scale enterprises, the Delta state
10
Government has very recently - on 3rd of February 2016 - signed
Memorandum of Understanding with Yutal Li Nigeria Limited for
0 construction of a 100 MW solar power plant [77]. A Memorandum of
1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014
Understanding for construction of 3000 MW of solar power has been
Year
signed by Super Solar with the Nigeria [75]. These prospects in the
Fig. 5. The trends of growth of Global installed PV capacity. (a) % year to year growth Nigerian power sector could be traced to the Power Sector Roadmap
rate, (b)average % growth rate from Year to 2014 (c) % of installed capacity by end of introduced by the last administration of the federal government which
Year to installed capacity by end of 2014 and (d) % of installed capacity since the
successful privatized the sector and awarded licenses to more efficient
beginning of Year to the end of 2014.
profit driven players in the sector.

installed by the end of 2004, 2011, 2012 and 2013 respectively. It seen 7.3. Status of off-grid solar integration
from trend (d) in Fig. 5 that by the end of 2014, about 97.91%, 60.45%,
43.50% and 22.03% of all operational global PV capacity was installed Application of solar energy in Nigeria is largely primordial (not
since the beginning of 2004, 2011, 2012 and 2013 respectively. assisted with any form of solar science and technology). The primordial
Nigeria till now has near-zero share in the global grid-connected application is mainly drying for preservation purposes. The items dried
solar PV power generation. Recently, a 4 kVA solar PV system was include wet and damp properties (clothing (laundry), furniture etc.),
installed at the department of Mechanical Engineering of the agricultural food crops, agricultural crop residues, forest biomass and
University of Nigeria (Nsukka Campus) and connected as hybrid products of livestock husbandry. Non-primordial applications are in
system with the National grid. The system provides power to the the form of pilot projects of low-energy capacity scale that includes;
department of 32 academic staff, 4 administrative staff and 550 solar street lighting, solar refrigerators, and solar-powered water
students. The list of loads supplied by the system during grid power pumps. It has been very recently noted in [70] that more than 100
failure is as follows; all lighting for the department, power to laptops streets are illuminated with solarpowered lighting in the capital of
and desktop computers, projectors for class rooms, photocopiers, a Nigeria, Abuja. There are 58 solar projects (out of which 50 are tagged "
refrigerator and four desk jet printers. It must be noted that the remote Solar Based Rural Electrification") undertaken by the Energy
future of the Nigerian grid-connected solar PV power generation may Commission of Nigeria (ECN) as seen from the website [78] of the
not be bleak as a number of investors have as of year 2014 obtained Commission. The list has not indicated the status of the projects;
NERC (Nigerian Electricity Regulatory Commission) licenses for whether planned, still under construction or completed. According to
development of various solar PV power projects. The name of the Muhammad [79] there are 22 communities with combined population
companies, capacities and locations of the solar power projects are of over 70,000 people enjoying solar electrification in remote areas in

465
C.G. Ozoegwu et al. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 70 (2017) 457–471

Table 9
Table 10
Electricity generation targets in MW from Solar [18].
The Nigeria solar energy targets for thermal application sector [18].

Activity/Item Year
Application Year

2015 2020 2030


2015 2020 2030
Solar PV home systems (SHS) 5 10 15
Solar water heaters 4000 60000 150000
Solar PV water pumping 50 1000 5000
Solar cookers 2000 50000 150000
Solar PV community services 45 500 3,000
Solar dryers 150 2000 60000
Solar PV refrigerators 20 500 2000
Solar stills 100 3000 2000
Solar PV street and traffic lighting 100 1000 10000
Solar pasteurizers 300 4000 10000
Solar PV large-scale PV plants (1 MW capacity) 80 990 9990
Solar thermal electricity (1 MW capacity) 300 2136 18127

is 406 GWth[70].
Zamfara State of Nigeria.
Under the the Electric Power Sector Reform (EPSR) Act 2005, the 8. The status of supportive solar policy landscape in Nigerian
Rural Electrification Agency (REA) was established to act as an and recommendations
independent and accountable agency, responsible for the coordination
of rural electrification activities in Nigeria and collecting and main- Economic analyses of the available power generation technologies
taining information on rural renewable resources [80]. The REA say that do not attach heavy costs to negative externalities of fossil fuel-
that 600 projects have been installed without giving information driven technologies have till today presented solar as least competitive.
regarding type of technology, capacity and consumers supplied [72]. This in addition to the stigma of high-risks and initial capital costs
Thus the impact of activities of REA on Nigerian status of grid, off-grid attached to solar investments by financial institutions makes penetra-
and thermal solar integration cannot be ascertained. NAIJA LIGHT tion of solar technology in a free market driven just by demand and
Solar Electrification Programme (NLSEP)is a RE program of the supply impossible. The major way round this problem is through
Federal Ministry of Environment tasked with sourcing and deploying regulatory and fiscal policy incentives. Implementing such policies
alternative and sustainable renewable energy sources to impact posi- costs governments more but the added costs are overshadowed by such
tively on the environment while creating sustainable livelihood for the rationales for RE as encouraging low carbon technology for greenhouse
rural poor and those most affected by the shortage of electricity and gas mitigation, expanding investment in RE technologies to create
energy supply in the Country [81]. The Federal Ministry of environ- conducive environment for learning-by-doing and economies of scale
ment in partnership with the Indian Government has patented to respectively trigger improving technology and driving down of cost,
products under a part of the program called the Renewable Energy and encouraging expansion of renewable distributed power generation
Access Programme (REAP) in three ways: (i) The NAIJA LIGHT Solar to remote areas isolated by difficult terrain [82].
Kits which are handy and portable solar 50 W and 100 W kits equipped
with a light bulb, an outlet for a fan and 10-point mobile phone 8.1. The Nigerian solar energy targets and recommendations
charging unit, (ii) NAIJA LIGHT Solar Hair-care Kits which are
300 MW h kits equipped each with two lighting points and a 10-point Nigeria has RE targets only in the electricity and transport sectors
mobile phone charging unit. The kits for male saloon owners are [83] of her total primary and final energy supply and consumption.
further equipped with an energy efficient dipper while those of female Nigeria has target of 9.74%, 18% and 20% of electricity from renew-
saloon owners are further equipped with efficient handheld hair dryer ables by 2015, 2020 and 2030 respectively. The solar energy targets for
and (iii) NAIJA LIGHT Primary Health Care Solar Kits which are the electricity sector are summarized in Table 9. The targets of
equipped with a mini freezer for storage of serums and vaccines, two electricity from solar alone in the respective years (2015, 2020 and
lighting points and a 10-point mobile phone charging unit for rural 2030) are 1.26%, 6.92% and 15.27% and the targets of renewable
level healthcare delivery. No figures are available as to the extent of electricity from solar alone in the respective years are 12.96%, 38.43%
implementation of the program thus nothing can be said about the and 76.36% showing that solar progressively dominates in the long-
impact in improving the status of off-grid solar integration in Nigeria. term. The Nigeria solar energy targets for thermal application sector
By and large there is no certainty around information on status of off- are summarized in Table 10. The Nigerian targets for solar thermal as
grid solar integration in Nigeria since as mentioned earlier there is no shown in Table 10 is too dismal to be commended even in the long-
comprehensive database for renewable projects of various energy term. For example consider the targets for solar cookers. Suppose each
stakeholders in Nigeria. It is currently not uncommon to see vendors solar cooker is constructed to cook for five people in line with Saxena
in Nigeria of made-in-China solar phone chargers. Such simple but et al. [84] who have noted that a solar cooker may be used for cooking
vastly needed solar technologies should be domesticated. Nigeria's the meal of five people. Also adopt as [85] a population figure for year
effort in this direction through The national Agency for Science and 2006 as 140,431,790 and population growth rate as 3.2 per annum.
Engineering Infrastructure (NASENI) is commendable. NASENI and The population for 2015, 2020 and 2030 respectively becomes
Sokoto Energy Research Centre (SERC) have started production of 186458723.71, 218263539.47 and 299073660.69. The penetration
solar panels in Nigeria but a lot of work still needs to be done in level (percentage of the population supplied with solar cooking energy)
development of solar technology equipment, standards for material, of the solar cookers respectively becomes 0.0054%, 0.1145% and
design and equipment manufacture [18]. It is hoped that Nigeria will 0.2508%. Even though the penetration indicates a rising trend into
tackle this apparent deficiency in off-grid solar integration as one of the future, the penetration level at the long-term is insignificant and
her energy policies stipulates that [18]; The nation shall promote the not reflective of the energy crisis situation in Nigeria especially when
use of efficient solar energy conversion technologies such as use of PV judged against the backdrop that 80% of the population in 2014 are
and concentrated solar panels for power generation. This policy exposed to health issues meeting their heating and cooking needs at
statement should be extended to also overtly promote solar for cooking rural level by open-air combustion of traditional biomass and waste
and heating/cooling applications. At the global level solar energy has resources. Moreover solar box cookers are best suited to the economic
been most harnessed for heating/cooling applications. Cumulative situation of developing countries due to low cost of maintenance and
global installed capacity by the end of 2014 of solar water collectors lowest cost of manufacturing [84]. Thus upward review of the solar

466
C.G. Ozoegwu et al. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 70 (2017) 457–471

thermal targets is strongly recommended. Nigerian target for the cost-based purchase prices [88]. Even though grid access is
transport sector is embodied in the E10 policy. The mandate of E10 promised in NREEEP, [75] has noted that FITs as stipulated by
policy requires blending up to 10% fuel ethanol with gasoline [86]. NERC in MYTO II has not given priority access to electricity from
renewable energies and has not made provision for compensation
8.2. The existing policy incentives and recommendations for electricity produced but cannot be sold due to the lack of priority
access. Solar power can only penetrate grid-connected solar power
The global RE policy landscape has grown since early 2000s and has if the identified problems are solved. Power Purchasing Agreement
penetrated 138, 144 and 154 countries at the end of 2013, as of early is only reached between NBET and a renewable power producer
2014 and as of early 2015 respectively [14,70]. Nigeria has existing only after a successful six-step onerous process [75]. Since levelized
plans for national RE policies. The revised edition of the draft of the cost of solar power is currently the highest and solar energy is the
Nigerian Renewable Energy Masterplan (REMP) dated November 2012 supreme source for long-term power, it would not be out of place to
lists the economic and financial incentives proffered to specifically consider preferential lessening of the process in favour of solar
reduce the initial high cost of investment in renewables in order to power. Since very high FIT is the major encumbrance to success of
stimulate enhanced penetration in the nation's energy supply mix. The solar power in Nigeria, the Government may consider subsidizing
targets, supportive and regulatory policies for RE and mandates the FIT for solar power to the distribution grid investors. This
proffered in the REMP are not yet binding as it (REMP) still has to would help mitigate the basic disadvantage normally quoted against
be approved by the National Assembly and signed into law by the FITs that they tend to slope electricity rates upwards. The govern-
Executive. However the National Renewable Energy and Energy ment may consider re-investing part of their returns from partial
Efficiency Policy (NREEEP) which was developed by the FMP removal of fuel subsidy in this most sustainable direction. The
(Federal Ministry of Power) in 2013/14 has been approved by the Government must enforce the provisions of guaranteed grid access,
Federal Executive Council in May 2015 and thus presumably stands in long-term contracts and cost-based purchase prices particularly in
for the REMP [75] as a binding document. The targets for solar the FIT policy of solar power. Recommendations on FITs are strong
electricity under the NREEEP are 117, 1343 and 6831 MW [87] by since FITs have proven to have had the highest impact in promoting
2015, 2020 and 2030 respectively. These targets are based on the most solar technology in the European Union [20] particularly Germany
realistic 7% GDP growth scenario. In an effort to support, promote and and Italy.
incentivize the entry of renewable energy in Nigeria, the policy b) Capital subsidy, grant, or rebate: Government plans to provide the
document [87] has empowered the relevant Ministries, Departments minor portion of the funds needed to support investments in
and Agencies of Federal Government of Nigerian to adopt and develop renewable electricity while creating a conducive climate for major-
any of the following listed policy, regulations and economic instru- ity of the funds to come from foreign investment capital. A perusal
ments; of the document [87] for the keywords subsidy, grant and rebate
reveals the Government's actions to support RE investment. Nigeria
i. Mandatory or voluntary Renewable Portfolio Standards (RPS) has committed in the NREEEP document [87] to the strategy of
ii. Generation Disclosure Requirement (GDR) facilitating Renewable Energy Financing by creating a conducive
iii. Power Production Tax Credit (PTC) atmosphere for fiscal incentives, subsidies to alleviate up-front
iv. Feed-in tariffs (FIT) costs, tax and duty exemptions for prospective investors in the
v. The adoption of a Public Benefits Fund (PBF) renewable energy sub-sector. Subsidy is given as any or combina-
vi. Bidding rounds through national renewable energy independent tion of such incentives as investment grants, capacity payments (or
power producer procurement program capital subsidies), production based payments and soft loans.
vii. Provision of capital grants, tax holidays and exemptions and other Provision is made in the document for soft loans and special low
incentives for RE projects interest loans from power sector development fund for renewable
viii. Net metering framework. energy supply and energy efficiency projects. The Government, as
part of key strategies for Renewable Energy Financing, is to provide
According to the [70], RE support policies which are in place in a significant percentage of the nation's revenues from the privatiza-
Nigeria are (1) Feed-in tariff /premium payment, (2) Capital subsidy, tion of Nigeria's PHCN infrastructure to local communities as
grant, or rebate, (3) Reductions in sales, energy, CO2, VAT, or other grants for investment in renewable energy projects. Additional
taxes, (4) Public investment, loans, or grants, (5) Biofuels obligation/ key strategy is providing grants to local governments and commu-
mandate. With the exclusion of item (5), the essential elements nities to support renewable energy planning and implementation
including the barriers and recommendations of the policies are projects and adoption of community-based renewable energy
discussed in what follows; processes. Regarding participation of international Donors and
NGO's, the strategy is to liaise/work with the Federal Ministry of
a) Feed-in tariffs: They are premium payments meant to guarantee Power and fund demonstration renewable energy projects and
reasonable returns to producers from investments in new and RE renewable energy feasibility studies through provision of grants
power generation technologies. FITs are normally planned to be and donations. One of the strategies Government has specifically
higher for costlier RE power technologies; for example, the FITs designed to accelerate gains in efficiency is creating an energy
laid down in Multi Year Tariff Order (MYTO) II by the NERC efficiency fund to be managed by the Federal Ministry of Power or
assigns ₦92192 and ₦33433 per MWh to solar PV plants and land- its appointed agent to provide rebates to on-grid customers who
mounted wind power plants respectively for the year 2016. The implement substantive changes in their equipment to gain effi-
allocation of the FITs is in recognition of higher levelized cost of the ciency. The shortcoming of the above listed commitments of the
former. But this relatively very high FIT for solar PV plants has Government to support investments in RE is lack of obligatory
become a total barrier as NBET (Nigerian Bulk Electricity Trading) quantitative figures. This shortcoming should be addressed espe-
Plc has continued to decline the tariff till date and into the future cially for solar power investments. Examples of subsidy policies that
[75]. Also the rationale behind economies of scale would entail do not suffer such deficiency are that of the Spanish government
higher FITs for smaller technologies; it is not clear whether this has which on launching the program to provide grants to solar thermal
been obeyed in the formulation of the FIT for renewable power in technologies in year 2000 committed to support grants in the range
Nigeria especially solar power. Success of FITs is mainly hinged on of €240.40/m2 to €310.35/m2 and that of the Indian Government
the provisions of guaranteed grid access, long-term contracts and on capital subsidies of Rs.1500, Rs1250 and Rs2000 per square

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C.G. Ozoegwu et al. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 70 (2017) 457–471

meter for solar hot water systems, solar cooking systems and Even though the Government's plans for full privatization of power
concentrating solar cookers respectively [20]. Nigeria could borrow sector is consistently clear and somewhat justified by the benefits of
a leaf from other countries that are already successful in driving envisaged profitable management of the sector by the private
solar power integration with subsidies and grants. Solangi et al. investors, the need for Public investment to surmount the inertia
[89] have noted the success of utility-scale solar thermal power in of electricity market in accepting a seemingly less economically
Australia due to the Solar Flagships program - a subsidy program competitive option but nonetheless the most sustainable in the
which supports construction and demonstration of large-scale solar long-term like solar power sector (especially for rural electrifica-
power stations (with AU$1.6 billion) to grow over 6-years to the tion) cannot be overemphasized. Therefore it must be noted that
target of 1000 MW. India provides a very veritable platform for creating a conducive policy atmosphere devoid of direct
Nigeria to emulate support for solar power via subsidies and grants; Government involvement in form of public investments will not
India learned from experience that capacity-based capital subsidies be sufficient to trigger growth in off-grid solar power supply to the
do not guarantee targeted output and in response instituted rural areas. It must be noted that the Nigerian Government already
production-based subsidy which became successful enough that has pilot projects executed by REA as feasibility studies on using
the Government began a highly supportive subsidy program for renewable electricity power generation for remote and off-grid
remote village electrification programs via solar PV and solar areas. Nigeria should grow beyond demonstration projects to
thermal projects. Typical program under the remote village elec- ambitious public investments in solar power to bring electricity to
trification programs noted by [20] is 90% subsidy for establishing a majority of her isolated rural dwellers. A leaf can be borrowed from
single light solar PV system in all non-electrified villages in India by successes recorded by China and others in this regard. The China's
2012 and the subsidy becomes full (100%) when the families are Brightness Program was launched in 2000 to supply by 2010 two
below poverty line. As noted earlier only grid customers who thousand three hundred Mega Watts of electricity to 23 million
implement substantive changes in their equipment to gain effi- people in remote areas from wind, solar PV, wind/PV hybrid and
ciency were mentioned to be favored by rebate policy designed by wind/PV/diesel hybrid systems [20].
the Nigerian Government. It is advisable that rebate policy be d) Tax incentives: The document [87] provides a legal basis for
expanded to also cover solar power and thermal investments. Some introduction of tax holidays and exemptions for RE projects,
examples which would help Nigeria get a rebate model suited to her Power Production Tax Credit (PTC) to renewable electricity gen-
circumstances includes the models in South Africa and United eration companies, tax credits to companies who produce energy
States. South Africa had original rebate system called Eskom efficiency appliances and lighting together with the home owners
rebates for solar water heaters (SWHs) or solar geysers which who install such appliances and fixtures, tax and duty exemptions
favored both imported and locally manufactured systems. In effort for prospective investors in the renewable energy sub-sector,
towards localisation of component manufacturing and job creation making tax deductible expenditure on result oriented research
by way of installation and maintenance, the Eskom rebates have and development in the renewable energy and energy efficiency
been revised to intensify the incentive in favour of high-pressure sector, and exempting income tax or duty from the revenue
systems manufactured with up to 70%local technology (the ulti- generated through trade in carbon credit. In order to promote wide
mate aim for the future is to favour only the stipulated minimum spread use of renewable energy and energy efficient equipment and
technology) [90]. The rebate policies in the USA are mainly their accessories tax incentives provided in the document include;
adoptions by a number of states. California re-designed its rebate (i) five year tax holiday for manufacturers from date of commence-
system to encourage supply of late-day power demand from solar ment of manufacturing and (ii) five year tax holiday on dividend
PV power generation by providing rebates to installation of west- incomes from investments on domestic renewable energy sources.
facing systems (produce more energy during peak demand hours) Tax and duty incentives were also extended to importers of energy
15% higher than the typical installation of south-facing panels efficient appliances and lighting by way of exemption from excise
(produce more energy over the course of a year) [91,92]. Other USA duty and sales tax. The exemption duty is in the form of free custom
states with functional rebate programs for integration of SWHs are duty for two (2) years on the importation of equipment and
Massachusetts and Minnesota. To stimulate demand for solar PV materials used in renewable energy and energy efficiency projects.
systems, the government of Melbourne in Australia offers rebates to The quantified commitments of the Government on tax exemption
businesses for the purchase and installation of such systems [70]. are commendable but relevant quantified commitments are lacking
c) Public investment: The electricity market (generation, transmission on the tax credits.
and distribution) in Nigeria was monopolized by the Government
under the legal framework of Electricity and National Electric 8.3. Additional policy discussions and recommendations
Power Authority (NEPA) Acts. The monopoly was operated through
NEPA. The transition of the market to the current level of Renewable Portfolio Standards (RPS) and Net Metering are not in
privatization started with reform processes that ultimately culmi- place in Nigeria as regulatory RE policies [70] but they are open for
nated in enactment of the Electric Power Sector Reform Act adoption by the relevant Ministries, Departments and Agencies of
(EPSRA) in 2005 which provided the legal basis for the unbundling Federal Government by virtue of the legal policy document [87]. RPS is
of NEPA and the eventual privatization of the successor companies a mandate/obligation that requires specified parties (consumers,
to NEPA. Currently, the generation and distribution sectors of the suppliers and generators) to attain a minimum target for RE consump-
Nigerian electricity market are fully privatized and the transmission tion, supply or generation. The zero status of grid-connected solar
sector which has been under concession is being unbundled and integration in Nigeria would suggest that the Nigerian power sector is
privatized [75]. In continued drive towards full privatization of not yet mature to pursue ambitious solar integration through this
electricity industry, the Government commits in the legal document policy instrument as it will be difficult for suppliers to effect needed
[87] to ensure that the renewable electricity power supply to rural expansion/hybridization of existing utilities and there are no available
areas will be driven by Nigerian private sector (though possibility utilities that are abundantly renewable beyond target to trade renew-
for public-private partnership project models was thrown open) able energy certificates or tradable green certificates. But small scale
while the Federal Government will provide the framework and the RPS would be recommended to existing power investments to expose
financial guarantee for implementing the framework by further the players to learning-by-doing. Since massive deployment of electric
strengthening existing mechanism for accessing rural electrification power utilities is expected in Nigeria to meet the present and future
funds or such other fund as may be established for that purpose. demand, the Government should institute RPS for new projects and

468
C.G. Ozoegwu et al. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 70 (2017) 457–471

make it tenable for investors by implementing supportive fiscal not closer than 20 km to such facilities provided by the Government.
incentives like investment tax credit. Many countries can serve as a This incentive should be promoted to favour and attract large scale
model for Nigeria in this regard because as of early 2015, RPS or quota grid-connected solar power investments which need such amenities to
policies were in place at the national level in 26 countries which include function and thus carry them (the amenities) along to the rural areas
China, Israel, and United Kingdom [70]. United States has had ample where large expanses of land needed are available. It is worthy of note
experience on RPS policies at the state/provincial levels. Nigeria should the recommendation by Shaaban and Petinrin [3] that hybrid micro-
also consider mandates/obligations targeted at solar systems for new grid system is suitable for power supply to remote and impoverished
and massively renovated buildings. The solar systems are for on-site rural communities of Nigeria. They highlighted the importance of solar
supply of part or all of energy needed in a building; in the form of PV as a component but not as sole source in micro-grid systems.
passive solar or Building Integrated Photovoltaics designs. Obligations
of this nature on solar water heating are already in place in Israel since 9. Conclusion
the 1980s and in Barcelona since 1999 [20]. Nigeria has massive
potential to benefit from this kind of obligation (Even if only a small Nigeria is a country in energy crises and energy starvation thus
fraction of new buildings are supplied with solar energy) because of the must seize the opportunity offered by nature in the form of the freely
following reasons; Nigeria has an estimated housing deficit of 17 and universally available solar energy. Based on this premise, the status
million as of August 2012, estimated annual addition of 700,000 of solar integration in Nigeria is thoroughly reviewed and concluded to
houses to keep up with demand (actual addition stood below be deplorable. Worse still is the case of grid-connected solar power
100,000) [93] and massive population that grows at high rate. integration with zero status. The near zero status in general solar
Implementing this recommendation will contribute to changing the integration is a far cry from the fact that Nigeria has in place supportive
way people think about conventional sources of energy and solar RE policies and legal frameworks. This is suggestive of the opinion that
energy [1]. In the meantime that privatization in the Nigerian power the problem is a fallout of poor implementation of the existing
sector has not yielded the expected fast rise in electric power genera- provisions. This study X-rayed the NREEEP document recently ap-
tion, the system of net metering and net billing could be advocated with proved by the Government in May 2015 to highlight its provisions for
emphasis on solar PV power generation for large to small scale supportive RE policies. The policies and some potentially supportive
businesses and domestic residencies; On-site renewable power gen- pre-existing legal frameworks together with the Nigeria's RE targets
eration and net billing could even be made more attractive with were discussed paving way for the suggested recommendations on how
appropriate feed-in policies. For example Japan has recorded success to improve the current dismal status of solar integration. Thus, if the
in PV power generation as a result of successfully managed set of Government can guarantee implementation of the existing provisions
policies that include net metering [94]. As of early 2015, Net metering and security - especially to potential foreign investors - the very low
or net billing policies were in force in 48 countries [70]. Dubai is state of solar integration guarantees that solar power and thermal
worthy of emulation in this regard as it has established a solar rooftop industry is a firsthand investment opportunity. The windows of
net metering program and has adopted a comprehensive legislative opportunities include; solar power generation, manufacture of solar
framework to allow surplus solar PV power to be injected into the grid panels (NASENI already working in this direction but their capacity
by any customer [70]. The recent removal of fixed charges in Nigerian alone cannot meet with demand of Nigeria's vast population), capacity
electricity billing system, effective from February 1 of 2016, is building in the field of solar energy technologies, supply of renewable
beneficial for Net metering as it forms a basis for one to only pay for energy equipment and accessories and contracts in solar energy
the utility power consumed. The basic barrier to Net metering is poor projects.
circulation of meters and consequent widespread system of estimated
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