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Model
The hypothetico-deductive model or method is a proposed description of
scientific method. According to it, scientific inquiry proceeds by formulating
a hypothesis in a form that can be falsifiable, using a test on observable data
where the outcome is not yet known. A test outcome that could have and does
run contrary to predictions of the hypothesis is taken as a falsification of the
hypothesis. A test outcome that could have, but does not run contrary to the
hypothesis corroborates the theory. It is then proposed to compare the
explanatory value of competing hypotheses by testing how stringently they
are corroborated by their predictions.
Example
One example of an algorithmic statement of the hypothetico-deductive
method is as follows:
1. Use your experience: Consider the problem and try to make sense of it.
Gather data and look for previous explanations. If this is a new problem to
you, then move to step 2.
2. Form a conjecture (hypothesis): When nothing else is yet known, try to
state an explanation, to someone else, or to your notebook.
4. Test (or experiment): Look for evidence (observations) that conflict with
these predictions in order to disprove 2. It is a logical error to seek 3 directly
as proof of 2. This formal fallacy is called affirming the consequent.
Note that this method can never absolutely verify (prove the truth of) 2. It can
only falsify 2. (This is what Einstein meant when he said, "No amount of
experimentation can ever prove me right; a single experiment can prove me
wrong."
Discussion
Additionally, as pointed out by Carl Hempel (1905–1997), this simple view
of the scientific method is incomplete; a conjecture can also incorporate
probabilities, e.g., the drug is effective about 70% of the time.[5] Tests, in
this case, must be repeated to substantiate the conjecture (in particular, the
probabilities). In this and other cases, we can quantify a probability for our
confidence in the conjecture itself and then apply a Bayesian analysis, with
each experimental result shifting the probability either up or down. Bayes'
theorem shows that the probability will never reach exactly 0 or 100% (no
absolute certainty in either direction), but it can still get very close to either
extreme. See also confirmation holism.
Introduction
Science is based on many different pillars that combine to provide the
methods of reasoning, logic, and ethics to conduct research. Based on the
research methods the foundation of all the research is scientific reasoning. It
varies with different nature of disciplines and based on four basic foundations
pulling together the idea of scientific reasoning.
The possible reasons behind any phenomenon are based on law of nature.
There are several different scientific reasoning processes to find out a
solution for a research problem through hypothesis. The theory is broken
down into small different parts or problems to find out a valid hypothesis
The results are needed to be predicted for the research based on the outcome
of the experiment. Most of the time based on the alternative hypothesis. The
predictions of the theory are tested rather than theory to find out if the
predictions are incorrect. Depending on the results theory, is accepted or
refined. The applied part of research is data that is important to conduct
research in the real world against the observations and predictions. If the
results of both observation and prediction matches, the theory is
strengthened. A wide range of statistical methods are used to conduct the test,
but not all the disciplines use statistics (Haberman, 2011).
The process of scientific reasoning cycles until the results are accepted or
refuted according to the hypothesis.
LITERATURE REVIEW
It is the mainstreams of the scientific research and often knows as true
scientific research method. The method involves a number of steps for
observing the subject. It allows the researcher to make a testable and realistic
hypothesis. A hypothesis cannot be confirmed entirely by the scientific
methods, and refined research can disprove it on later stages [2]. The
researcher must generate initial predictions from the hypothesis that can be
proved on the later stages. The predictions can be tested to be a valid process
through the hypothetico-deductive method.
2.4 Testability
The inherent testability for obtaining proof of a hypothesis is the concept of
testability. The growing technology has attacked the theories that were
discovered in the history claiming to be non-testable and non-falsifiable. A
part of the theory must be testable and analyzable with the current technology