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ONTENTS
ii
ACRONYMS
iii
Quantification Guidelines for Essential Medicines
SS safety stock
STG standard treatment guideline
TB tuberculosis
Te number of treatment episodes
Up unit price
VEN vital, essential, and nonessential
iv
GLOSSARY
ABC value analysis: A method by which medicines are classified as pareto category A, B, or C
according to the monetary value of their usage (unit cost multiplied by consumption). Class
A items have the highest value use and are often medicines with high unit cost or very high
consumption, typically 10–20% of items (for the EML, this equates to around 30 items).
Class A items account for 75–80% of the funds spent on essential medicines. Class B items
represent 10–20% of items and 15–20% of expenditures and have intermediate value usage.
Class C items are 60–80% of the items, but only about 5–10% of expenditures.
Average monthly consumption (AMC): The mean quantity of individual items used in one
month. The average is usually obtained by dividing the total quantity of medicine consumed
during a specific period of time by the number of months in that time period. In
Afghanistan, where there are four seasons, a 12-month consumption data is preferred to
accommodate varying seasonal morbidity patterns.
Consumption: The quantity at which items are dispensed to patients within a specific
period. This is usually measured in terms of units from an issuing store.
Cumulative value: This is the sum of all the consecutive items occurring above the
Cumulative Value entry, if the items are listed in a sequence.1
Essential Medicines List (EML): Essential medicines are defined as effective, safe, and
quality drugs that fulfill most of the health requirements of the majority of the population.
The EML is a list of medicines approved for use in public health facilities in Afghanistan.
Expiry date: Established by the manufacturer in agreement with the medicine regulatory
authority, the date after which the manufacturer will not guarantee the potency, purity,
uniformity, or bioavailability of the product. Expiry dates appear on medicinal product
packaging. 2 1F
Inventory: The sum of all items held in stock, or the physical count of each single item in
stock.
Lead time: The time between when the need for new stock is recognized and when new
stock has arrived and is available for issue; the time interval needed to complete the
procurement cycle.
1
http://support.microsoft.com/kb/301637
2
http://apps.who.int/medicinedocs/documents/s18675en/s18675en.pdf
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Quantification Guidelines for Essential Medicines
Ordering: Requisitioning from a higher facility to a lower facility. Health facilities order from
district, provincial, or central stores.
Pipeline stock: Stock that is in transit at various stages of the procurement and distribution
cycles.
Procurement period: The time from placing one order to the date of the next order.
Quantification: A process that involves estimating how much of a specific item is needed for
the purpose of imminent procurement or ordering. Needs are estimated for a given context;
contextual factors to consider when quantifying needs include available budget, human
resources, storage space, and the capacity to deliver services. Forecasting is the term used
for longer-term estimates of requirements—typically multiyear—which will not be used for
immediate procurement.
Safety (buffer) stock: An amount of stock kept in reserve to protect against stock-outs and
cover for emergency needs and unforeseen circumstances.
Scaling up: An incremental increase or growth in the number of patients being treated over
a period of time.
Stock on hand: The items stored in the warehouse or facility that are available for use. (It
does not include expired or damaged items or quarantined items.)
Stock-out time/days out of stock (Dos): The time between stocks becoming unavailable
(none on the shelf) until it is available again; this is usually measured in the number of days
that an item is out of stock.
Unusable stock/inventory: The sum of all the items that must still be held in the store
(pending investigation, certification, or write off), but which are not fit for use. This may
include expired goods, damaged goods, goods that have failed quality testing, or goods
under quarantine.4
VEN system: A system of setting purchasing and stock-keeping priorities in which medicines
are divided according to their health impact: V is vital, E is essential, and N is nonessential.
3
http://apps.who.int/medicinedocs/documents/s17396e/s17396e.pdf
4
http://policy.yale.edu/policy/4210-valuation-inventory
vi
ACKNOWLEDGMENTS
The development of these guidelines would not have been possible without the full support of
the Ministry of Public Health (MoPH)/General Directorate of Pharmaceutical Affairs (GDPA)
Leadership and the Technical Reviewer Committee. MoPH wishes to express its heartfelt
gratitude to the committee for its commitment and dedication in the review process and also
acknowledge their respective organizations, including MoPH (GDPA, General Directorate of Policy
and Planning [GDPP], National Medicine and Food Board [NMFB], Procurement Directorate,
Monitoring and Evaluation [M&E] Directorate, Central Medical Store [CMS], and Pharmaceutical
Enterprise [PE]), Kabul University/Faculty of Pharmacy, Health Net TPO (HN-TPO), Health
Partners International of Canada (HPIC), and the Bakhter Development Network (BDN). Special
thanks go to the Strengthening Pharmaceutical Systems (SPS) Program, funded by the US Agency
for International Development (USAID), for its technical and financial support throughout the
development of these important guidelines.
Quantification guidelines Technical Reviewer Committee members:
1. Pharmacist Fahima Habibi, General Manager of Medicine Resource, GDPA
2. Pharmacist Dawood Shah Waliyar, Registration and Licensing Dept, GDPA
3. Pharmacist Maria Feruz, Manager of Donated Medicines Department, GDPA
4. Pharmacist Jawid Ehsan, Supply Chain Development Program Manager, SPS
5. Pharmacist Sara Habibyar, Supply Chain Planning Advisor, SPS
6. Pharmacist Sohail Nazari, CPDS Officer, SPS
7. Pharmacist Khalid Banazada, CPDS Officer, SPS
8. Pharmacist Abdul Khalil Mohammadi, Quantification Officer, SPS
9. Dr. Ajmal Yadgari, CPDS Technical Coordinator, MoPH
10. Pharmacist Mohammad Nasim Yaqubi, Technical Member of the General Medical
Equipment Department, MoPH
11. Pharmacist Mahmood Nawabi, CMS, MoPH
12. Dr. Zekria Barakati, M&E Consultant, M&E Directorate, MoPH
13. Pharmacist Uzair Sekendari, General Manager of the Procurement Department, PE
14. Professor Gulalai Babak, Pharmacy Faculty Lecturer, Kabul University
15. Pharmacist Razia Nazari, Member of National Medicine and Food Board, NMFB
16. Pharmacist Najia Dehzad, Head of Pharmacy, HN-TPO
17. Dr. Friba Abedi, M&E Manager, HPIC
18. Dr. Zemarai Saleh, Pharmacy Officer, BDN
International technical advisory team:
• Andy Barraclough, Pharmaceutical Management Technical Adviser, SPS
• Paul Ickx, Senior Principal Technical Adviser, SPS
• Oliver Hazemba, Senior Technical Advisor, SPS
• Shiou-Chu (Judy) Wang, Senior Technical Adviser, SPS
Special thanks go to Pharmacist Abdul Hafiz Quraishi, GDPA General Director, and Pharmacist
Mohammad Zafar Omari, Chief of Party, SPS/Afghanistan, for directly supervising the
development of these guidelines and for facilitating a collaborative work environment.
With best regards,
1
Quantification Guidelines for Essential Medicines
FOREWORD
The Ministry of Public Health (MoPH) of the Islamic Republic of Afghanistan has the
responsibility for providing public health services and ensuring access to safe, effective, and
quality essential medicines for the people of Afghanistan. One of the strategies was to
establish the basic package of health services (BPHS) and the essential package of hospital
services (EPHS) throughout the country, in close collaboration with national and
international partners.
To understand the supply chain management situation in the pharmaceutical sector and to
identify possible solutions to address the challenges, a procurement, distribution, and
quantification assessment was conducted in 2012 (Khitab 2012). The review found that the
stakeholders’ existing systems do not operate uniformly enough to serve as a basis for
future coordinated system development. In addition, the qualities of the practices varied
among entities. Based on the assessment’s findings and recommendations, GDPA/MoPH, in
collaboration with CPDS, decided to develop guidelines for the procurement, distribution,
and quantification for essential medicines. The guidelines in this document are one of the
results of this initiative.
The key objectives of the quantification guidelines are to:
• Improve the process of estimating the right medicines, in the right quantities, for a
specific procurement period, in a timely and accurate manner
• Make rational decisions in response to service delivery and budgetary limitations
• Ensure uninterrupted availability of appropriate medicines
• Reduce stock outs and over stocking, and hence minimize wastage
• Improve cost-effectiveness and increase clients’ satisfaction
For the guidelines to be technically sound and appropriate to the local context, a Technical
Reviewer Committee of twelve experts from different national and international
organizations was established, with coordination and support of CPDS. The Technical
Reviewer Committee thoroughly reviewed the guidelines. MoPH wishes to express its
heartfelt gratitude to the committee members for its commitment and dedication to the
review process and is grateful to the technical and financial support of SPS, which is funded
by USAID. Implementation of the guidelines is anticipated to lead to good quantification
practices, effective use of resources, and good governance of medicines.
MoPH is committed to overseeing the implementation of these guidelines for all public
sector health service providers.
With best regards,
2
INTRODUCTION
The Ministry of Public Health (MoPH) of the Islamic Republic of Afghanistan strives to ensure
access to safe, effective, and quality essential medicines for the people of Afghanistan. It
accepts the principle that availability of essential medicines not only improves the health of
patients, but also increases the peoples’ trust in health facilities and promotes their further
participation in health programs.
To fulfill its mandate, MoPH has received assistance from three major international
partners—the World Bank, European Union, and the US Agency for International
Development (USAID)—to provide essential medicines for the basic package of health
services (BPHS) and the essential package of hospital services (EPHS) throughout
Afghanistan over the past several years. USAID contracted SPS for procurement of
medicines from international suppliers; the World Bank and the European Union have
contracted with nongovernmental organizations (NGOs) as sub-recipients to procure
medicines primarily from the local market to supply health facilities.
The existence of the three drug financing and management systems among MoPH partners
has created several challenges in the management of pharmaceutical affairs and the current
highly fragmented and diverse medicine supply operations may not be providing the
optimal support possible. The Coordinated Procurement and Distribution System (CPDS),
which is reflective of good governance principles and oversight, facilitates the management
of partner contributions and in-country resources for essential medicines.
The mission of CPDS is to promote good governance in pharmaceutical management for the
public health sector through clearly defined roles and responsibilities of each of the
different partners involved in procurement and distribution activities. The eventual goal is a
fully coordinated and uniform methodology of operation.
In 2012, the Advisory Committee for System Strengthening and Commodity Security
Committee of CPDS conducted a review of procurement, distribution, and quantification
activities and functions to assess the status of the different procurement and supply
systems in use. The purpose for the review was to:
The review reported that most stakeholders of the CPDS use a decentralized medicine
quantification system in support of the BPHS and EPHS. That means each stakeholder’s
3
Quantification Guidelines for Essential Medicines
responsible office or facility has ownership in compiling its own requirements based on the
national Essential Medicines List (EML). However, such decentralization can also result in
inefficiencies, unless each stakeholder adheres to specified standards and approaches.
The guidelines also provide the basis for developing skills in monitoring and evaluating the
efficiency and effectiveness of the quantification processes to refine estimates for
successive periods.
4
OBJECTIVES OF GOOD MEDICINE QUANTIFICATION
• To improve the process of estimating the right pharmaceuticals, in the right quantities
for a specific procurement period, in a timely and accurate manner
• To decrease stock outs and over stocking, and hence minimize wastage
5
MINIMUM STANDARDS FOR UNDERTAKING MEDICINES QUANTIFICATION
1) Undertake medicines quantification only for those medicines approved for the health
programs—BPHS, EPHS, vertical programs, and specialist operations.
7) Reconcile the cost estimates with the available budget; use only rational methods of
quantity adjustments (VEN/ABC) if insufficient budget is available
8) Produce a quantification report with details of all key assumptions and factors used
9) Measure the quantification indicators and publish the results at least annually
10) Measure the quantification accuracy against the real situation and use the results to
adjust assumptions and factors for the next quantification
6
Systematic Approach to Quantification Planning
Planning is the process of setting goals, developing strategies, and outlining tasks and
schedules to achieve a desired goal. When planning for quantification, step-by-step
activities should be taken with timeframes and resources to achieve an intended objective.
These steps require appropriate structures, systems, or mechanisms necessary for effective
implementation of the quantification plan. The plan should involve information review,
documentation, and retrieval so that the performance of the process can be measured in
terms of achieving the objectives.
Quantification Structures
The first step is to check whether appropriate structures to effectively manage the
quantification process exist at various levels of the health care service that will be
quantifying medicines required. Quantification could take place at MoPH, provincial public
health directorates, national hospitals, or the national or provincial offices of NGOs. If the
structures are not present, then they must be established. To adequately document that all
systems are in place, prepare an organogram showing positions, roles, responsibilities, and
their relationships to other units and departments in the organization.
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Quantification Guidelines for Essential Medicines
Once the need for quantification of pharmaceuticals has been identified, appoint a
coordinator to be in charge of the quantification process. This should be a task-oriented
position with a clear job description. In most cases, this will be one person, who fulfills this
function in addition to many other responsibilities. Normally, a person from the pharmacy,
clinic, or procurement department could manage the process.
The coordinator:
• Define the scope of the quantification and specific objectives according to:
• Examine the data from stock control, invoices, ledger books, Health Management
Information System (HMIS) or Tuberculosis Information System, and demographic
surveys and the population census (Government of Islamic Republic of Afghanistan,
Central Statistical Office, and EPI), which should include current stock level, morbidity
data, epidemiological data (HMIS and disease early warning system), consumption
(issues) over the review time period, number and length of time of any stock outs, and
expiry dates of goods in stock
• Define the data sources and sets required for an effective quantification of the selected
product(s)
• Determine the quantities of pharmaceuticals consumed by each or all health facilities,
either monthly or quarterly; if this information is not available, use total quantities
supplied to the facilities in the target areas
• Examine morbidity data to determine the range and number of incidences of diseases
encountered
• Examine the epidemiological data to determine incidence, distribution, and possible
control of diseases and other factors relating to health
9
Quantification Guidelines for Essential Medicines
• Monitor medicines that are on order before delivery (and document the
consumption trend) for better management of the forecasting process and any
adjustments as required during the forecasting period
• Write reports on the quantification processes and the final results for presentation
to management
10
SELECTING A QUANTIFICATION METHODOLOGY
MoPH stakeholders use various rules and guidelines to estimate the medicines needs for
their facilities. Generally, four quantification methods are technically acceptable and may be
applied singularly or collectively by the stakeholders:
• Consumption
• Morbidity
• Proxy consumption
• Service-level budget projection method (for budget only)
Select a quantification method in a purposeful manner (table 1). The potential availability
and reliability of existing data and the type of supply system will be the primary criteria in
choosing the method. Hence, the first activity is to assess the availability and quality of the
following types of data:
• Demographic
• Morbidity
• Consumption
• Lead times
• Stock balance and pipeline
The most commonly applied quantification method used by MoPH stakeholders is the
consumption method. This method can be precise, if the data is complete, accurate, and
appropriately adjusted for stock outs and changes in demand and use. However, the
method does not respond to the appropriateness of past consumption patterns. Where
irrational use of medicines exists, consumption quantification perpetuates distorted data
that has no relevance to public health priorities and needs.
The morbidity quantification method is more complex and requires the use of well-defined
morbidity data. This method may be more appropriate when consumption data is
incomplete or unreliable, prescribing practices are not rational or do not follow standard
treatment guidelines (STGs), and new or rapidly changing health services occur. It can serve
as a first choice quantification method for well-defined vertical programs, such as universal
immunization (EPI), HIV and AIDS, TB, malaria, family planning (contraceptive supplies), and
special hospital-based interventions and new programs.
The proxy consumption method is generally used when suitable data for both consumption
and morbidity methods are not available. It extrapolates data from one set of facilities or
programs in another province or country to another set of facilities or programs that serves
a population within a similar setting, but for which no data is available.
The service-level budget projection method cannot be used to calculate medicine
quantities. It is used to estimate financial requirements for drug procurement based on
costs per patient treatment at various levels of the same health system or, with great
caution, based on data from another health system. It does not forecast needs for specific
drugs. It does serve as a very useful check or verification on the cost/financial estimates
produced by the other quantification methods. This method should ALWAYS be applied as a
quick check to every quantification.
11
Quantification Guidelines for Essential Medicines
Limitations to the
Meth Formula and
Usage Data required accuracy of the Remarks
ods Calculation steps
method
AMC: average monthly consumption
1. AMC = Ct/Rm
Ct: total quantity consumed
2. AMCa = Ct ÷ [Rm-
- Established Inventory records - Data may be Rm: number of months
(Dos ÷30.5)]
supply system of - Unit prices of the incomplete or AMCa: adjusted AMC for stock outs
3. AMCp = AMCa +
which logistic medicines* inaccurate; Dos: days of stock out
(AMCa x Au)
data is available - Lead time* - Inappropriate AMCp: projected AMC
Consumption
4. SS = AMCp X LT
- First choice if - Pipeline adjustment of Au: adjustment for use changes (if any)
5. Qp = AMCp x (LT +
reliable data is requirements* stock-outs SS: safety stock; LT: lead time
PP) + SS – (Si + So)
available * These data are also - Changes in Qp: quantity to procure for each
6. In case any loss:
- Most reliable used for procurement demand and use medicine
Qpa = Qp + (Qp X
predictor of for other including PP: procurement period
Al)
future quantification irrational use of Si: stock on hand; So: stock on order
7. Estimated cost =
consumption methods medicines Qpa: Qp adjusted for losses (if any)
∑Up X Qp or Qpa
Al: adjusted for losses
Up: unit price; ∑: sum
Qr: total quantity required
Qra: Adjusted Total Quantity Required
1. Qtc = Dcu x ND x LD
Qtc: quantity required for a treatment
- Number of 2. Qr= Qtc X Te course
patient 3. Qra = Qr + (Qr x
- New or vertical Rm: number of months of review period
attendance - Various Au)
programs AMRa = Adjusted Average Monthly
- Frequency of treatment
- New or rapidly
health problems protocols 4. AMRa = Qra/Rm Consumption
changing, scaling- 5. Qp= AMRa x Te: number of treatment episodes or
Morbidity
- Average - Inaccurate
up, health (LT+PP) +SS - cases for each identified health
treatment course patient
services (Si+So) problems of the reviewed period
- Standard attendance data
- When Qtc = quantity of each medicine needed
consumption data
treatments (idea, - Standard 6. In case any loss:
for each treatment episode
actual) treatments may Qpa = Qp + (Qp X
is incomplete or Dcu = Basic units per dose
- Projected not really use Al)
unreliable ND = Number of doses per day
pharmaceutical 7. Estimated cost = LD = length of treatments in day
prices ∑Up X Qp or Qpa Qp = quantity to procure for each
medicine
Qpa: Qp adjusted for losses (if any)
- Use known - Comparability of
consumption & facilities,
- Extrapolating
population data morbidity
facilities or 1. Calculate QpS for QpS: quantity to procure for the
from a reference patterns and
Proxy consumption
treatment
- Average cost per
- Estimating pattern Estimating budget
requirements
12
Consumption Method
These methods are NOT exclusive, and the QWG should consider applying a combination of
the four methods because of challenges in obtaining reliable data in most health facilities.
At a minimum, one quantification method and the service-level projection method should
always be used. Note that the information on the four methods that follows is based on
MDS-3, chapter 20.
13
Quantification Guidelines for Essential Medicines
CONSUMPTION METHOD
There are various lists available from which quantification data can be drawn. These
include the EML, formularies and BPHS/EPHS list (annexes 1 and 2). The level of service,
such as BPHS or EPHS, determines the range of products. In addition, the level of
competence of the facility staff, infrastructure (internal environment of the warehouse,
shelves, availability of a cold chain system), and the resources available influence what
products will be ordered.
Depending on the system used, the department ordering the medicines should prepare
a draft list based on the background information available. Refer to table 2 for other
information that is required.
2) Obtain data and evaluate data quality and calculate the various types of consumption
a) For each health facility, collect total consumption (Ct) data for each medicine, taking
note of the days when the medicines were out of stock for the review period. At the
provincial or national level, the consumption data would be quantities issued.
The data can be collected from stock records (stock control cards, ledger books),
delivery invoices, monthly reports, and dispensing reports. The quantity and quality
of data is important for informed decision making. However, the relevance of the
data should be reviewed. For most MoPH stakeholders who receive funding annually
and know that Afghanistan has 4 clear climatic seasons that affect consumption and
morbidity figures, a 12-month consumption data review period should be used.
However, facilities quantifying for their monthly orders should use quarterly (3
months) consumption data. Where quantification is undertaken for more than one
health facility, it is common to find that some may have very good data while others
may have none. It is advisable to use the best data that is available.
b) From the collected data, calculate the average monthly consumption (AMC) and
adjust for stock-out time (if any; this will adjust the consumption to include the
consumption that would have occurred if the stock had been available).
• AMC = Ct/Rm
For example, acetylsalicylic acid 300 mg tablets over 12-month review period
AMC = 24,000 ÷ 12 months
= 2,000 per month
14
Consumption Method
c) Also calculate the adjusted average monthly consumption (AMCa), which takes into
account the number of days that the individual medicine was out of stock.
For example, acetylsalicylic acid 300 mg tablets were out of stock for 15 days in
the last 12 months
AMCa = 24,000 ÷ [12 – (15 ÷ 30.5)]
= 2,087
d) Once AMCa has been determined, calculate the projected average monthly
consumption (AMCp), which is the future consumption, adjusting for any expected
changes in consumption as a result of:
For example, if the number of patients is expected to increase by 5%, adjust the
quantity by that amount.
15
Quantification Guidelines for Essential Medicines
3) Calculate safety (buffer) stock (SS) needed for each medicine to avoid stock-out. The
preferred level of SS should be based on AMCa and the time it takes to replenish the
stock or lead time (LT). For MoPH stakeholder facilities that conduct quarterly orders,
the preferred SS should be at least three months. For central procurement agents
serving as central medical stores that conduct annual procurements requiring a longer
LT (12 months), a larger quantity SS is required, without holding unnecessary stocks in
danger of expiry. Some MoPH stakeholders conduct annual procurements from
international markets while others order from the local market. Their LTs differ.
• SS = AMCp × LT
4) Calculate the quantity of medicines to procure (Qp) for the procurement period (often
the time between orders), taking into account AMCp, LT, SS, procurement period (PP;
number of months to be covered by the order), stock on hand (Sh), pipeline stock, and
unusable stock.
• Qp = projected average monthly consumption (AMCp) × by the sum of lead time (LT)
+ procurement period (PP); add to that SS, then subtract the sum of Sh and stock on
order (So).
5) Calculate the quantity to procure adjusted for losses (Qpa), if any, that may occur
due to damage, spoilage, expiration, and theft. The adjustment factor should be
evidence-based from previous records. If the losses happen only to a specific set of
medicines, make the adjustment only to those medicines at risk (e.g., medicines with
a very short shelf life may have more expiry).
16
Consumption Method
6) The next step is to estimate the budget cost using the most current medicine prices.
Those MoPH stakeholders procuring from the local market estimate by using
previous prices and conducting a limited market survey on price changes for
medicines and use those values to determine the overall cost. The International Price
Indicator Guide can provide a good estimated international price for each medicine,
but remember to adjust for shipment costs to Afghanistan.
17
acid
factor
Name of
medicine
calculation
Acetylsalicylic
Strength
mg
300
Basic unit (BU)
tablet
Pack size
1000
Total con-sumption
(Ct)
24000
Table 2. Example of Past Consumption Data
15
consump-tion (AMC)
12 month
24,000/12
Average adjusted
Dos
2087
monthly consump-
tion (AMCa)
15 days
15/30.5)
24,000/(12-
18
Projected average
5%
2191
monthly con-
Consumption Method
sumption (AMCp)
patients
2,087*1.05
increase in
2191 *3
months
12
Quantity required
(Qp)
36438
months
Adjusted quantity to
5%
procure (Qpa)
*1.05
43,011
losses
38259.9
Order quantity
Value of proposed
order
MORBIDITY METHOD
The morbidity method uses data on patient use (attendances at health facilities) and
morbidity (the frequency of common health problems) to project the need for medicines
based on assumptions about how the problems will be treated.
1) Determine which health problems are a priority in the target area of service:
The Afghanistan health system (e.g., BPHS/EPHS, vertical programs) has listed the
common health problems at each level. Therefore, adapt the list of common health
problems from the BPHS/EPHS, vertical program, etc., and prioritize those common to
the area of service. The information can be accessed from the existing HMIS reports at
the health facilities. If there are no existing patient records, use the WHO International
Classification of Diseases
(ICD).
2) Decide which diseases or conditions are to be treated at the health facilities that are
being quantified
19
Quantification Guidelines for Essential Medicines
The BPHS/EPHS and vertical programs have lists of medicines to be used for the
conditions at that level. Adapt the medicines and commodities list to treat the common
health problems for the target population. The EML, STGs, or previous procurement lists
can also be used. It may be necessary to develop an STG if one is not available.
5) Describe each product, including its generic name or international nonproprietary name
(INN), dosage form, strengths, basic unit, and packaging using the STGs, which provide
the following information:
• Generic name, dosage form, and strength of the medicine: amoxicillin capsules, 250
mg
• Average dose, average number of doses per day, average number of days the
medicine is to be taken: 1 capsule 3 times a day for 5 days
When there is a choice between medicines given in the STGs, selection should be based
on efficacy, safety, quality, price, and availability.
6) Calculate the quantity of each medicine needed for each treatment episode (Qtc)
• Qtc = basic unit per dose (Dcu) × average number of doses per day (ND) × average
number of days the dose is to be taken (LD)
• Qtc = Dcu × ND × LD
• For chronic conditions, the total quantity given per prescription is used (e.g., one
month of treatment).
7) Calculate the total quantity of each medicine required (Qr) to treat each identified
health problem
• Qr = quantity of each medicine needed for each treatment episode (Qtc) × number
of treatment episodes of the health problem (Te)
• Qr = Qtc × Te
20
Morbidity Method
= 7,875 capsules
8) Combine the estimates for each of the identified health problems for the same
medicine into a master procurement list
9) Adjust the prepared list to cover other health problems that may not have been
addressed in the quantification. Use expert opinion or extrapolate requirements based
on data obtained from another health system for 20 or 30 commonly used medicines.
10) Adjust estimates as would be done if the consumption method (step 2d) were being
used
Estimate the cost using the most current prices in Afghanistan for each medicine and
use the values to determine the overall cost. For international prices, refer to the
International Price Indicator Guide (see consumption method, step 5 )
Compare for total costs with available budget and make rational adjustments based
on the funds available by applying the VEN system and ABC analysis.
21
Quantification Guidelines for Essential Medicines
Times a day
Amount per
adjusted by
Quantity to
quantity to
Number of
Number of
Quantities
quantities
Total cost
Unit price
treatment
course of
for buffer
episodes
Medicine
Adjusted
Adjusted
required
Disease
procure
procure
amount
Type of
patient
ICD #
Dose
Total
days
10%
Unit
($)
Adult 3 90 600 54,000 59,400
280 Anemia Ferrous sulfate 60 mg 30 Tab 0.00175
Child 1 30 400 1200 1,320
Procaiin Benzylpenicillin 3 MU
Pneumonia 3 MU 1 1 350 350 Vial 0.12100 127.6
Inj IM
Adult Phenoxymethyl penicillin 250
480- 1. Severity 1 2 tabs 4 5 40 350 14,000 0.02160 15,400
mg tab
6
Paracetamol 500 mg tab 2 tabs 4 1 8 350 2,800 Tab 0.00324 3,080
Pneumonia Amoxicillin 250 mg 1 tab 3 5 15 525 7,875 0.01034 8,662.5 4,331 25491 26,765 276.75
Child
1. Severity 1 Paracetamol 500 mg ½ tab 4 2 4 525 2,100 0.00324 2,310
22
Morbidity Method
23
Quantification Guidelines for Essential Medicines
24
PROXY CONSUMPTION METHOD
This could be another region, province, district, or health facility that is similar to the
focus area. For example, health facility A is a new facility that has no consumption data.
However, health facility B is similar to facility A. Use the data from facility B data to
estimate the medicines need for facility A.
3) Establish the period (number of months) under review (which could be 12 months as
discussed under the consumption method).
4) Review the available data from the selected standard system or facility.
Population factor (population served by target facility, PT, and population served by
reference or standard facility, PS) is much easier to find. However, if HMIS data is also
available for patient contacts, the latter is much more precise.
b) Estimated cost for each medicine = unit price (Up) × quantity to procure for target
facility
25
Quantification Guidelines for Essential Medicines
26
SERVICE-LEVEL PROJECTION OF BUDGET REQUIREMENTS
This method is used to estimate financial requirements, not specific medicine quantities, for
pharmaceutical procurement on the basis of costs per patient treated at various levels of
the same health system or, with great caution, data from other health systems. It does not
forecast needs for specific medicines, but provides a clear, logical, and simple means of
estimating or verifying pharmaceutical financing requirements.
The main requirement for this method is a fairly reliable estimate of average medicine cost
per patient attendance/treatment and average numbers of patient attendances at various
levels of the standard health system.
Example 1: ARVs
Anti-retro viral (ARV) treatments for patients living with HIV and AIDS can involve many
different treatment protocols with different medicine formulations. Quantification is
complex and requires accurate data on the relative ratios of patients on each of the
different treatment protocols.
However, a simple average medicine cost can be used to forecast potential future budget
requirements based on different rates of scale-up.
For first-line ARVs, a typical average per patient medicine cost per year (ACpy) in the US is
$130.
The calculation is then a simple matter of knowing the number of patients (Np) and
adjusting for months of buffer stock (Mb).
So, if the result of the quantification is in the millions of dollars, something went very wrong
with the math!
27
Quantification Guidelines for Essential Medicines
Example 2: TB Medicines
First-line TB treatment typically requires two phases: an intensive phase using four or more
medicines for two months and then a continuation phase using three or more medicines for
four months. Dosages are adjusted for body weight, and body weight can change during the
treatment—patients often gain back previously lost body weight as they start to recover
during the course of the treatment.
Again, this makes for complex calculations of the exact number of medicines required, but
for simple budgeting purposes, it is possible to use an average treatment price.
The Global Drug Facility produces a kit (figure 6) with all the medicines required for first-line
TB treatment in one box for an adult of average body weight. 5
Using a treatment price of $22.30 (FOB; i.e., no shipping costs included), it is then possible
to estimate budget costs for medicines based on the number of patients requiring
treatment.
5
http://www.stoptb.org/gdf/drugsupply/pc3.asp?PID=1
28
Service-Level Projection of Budget Requirements
MoPH stakeholders often have limited budgets and cannot buy all the medicines they would
like. The QWG should compare the overall estimated cost of the quantification with the
available budget and make rational adjustments about what medicines to procure.
Minimum standard - A rational method of order quantity adjustment must be used when
there is insufficient budget.
The VEN and ABC analysis systems can be used to prioritize and make adjustments; when
possible, the two methods can be applied jointly.
29
Quantification Guidelines for Essential Medicines
VEN Analysis
In most cases, the funds available for health services are limited. Meanwhile, there are
thousands of medicines available on the market to choose from. MoPH has minimized the
challenge and brought rational decision making to the medicines selection process by
producing an EML, BPHS/EPHS lists, and STGs to choose from for procurement and use.
When funds are limited, it is imperative that only medicines that have the greatest impact
on public health be procured. These guidelines describe the VEN and ABC systems for
selecting individual medicines that have the largest health impact from the quantified list.
VEN analysis is useful for assuring that procurement is in line with public health priorities.
Unit price and popularity of the medicine should always be a secondary consideration.
Health impact should be the top priority.
The abbreviations used are V for vital, E for essential, and N for nonessential (or necessary).
• Vital medicines are potentially lifesaving, have proven efficacy, have significant
withdrawal side effects (making continuous, reliable supply mandatory [e.g., ARVs, anti-
TB]), or are crucial to providing basic health services.
• Essential medicines are effective against less severe, but significant forms of illness, but
are not absolutely vital to providing basic health care.
• Nonessential medicines are used for minor or self-limited illnesses, are of questionable
efficacy, or have a comparatively high cost for a marginal therapeutic advantage.
Currently, medicines in the BPHS/EPHS, EML, and STGs are not classified according to the
VEN system. The National Drug and Therapeutic Committee (NDTC) will be reviewing the
BPHS/EPHS, EML, and STGs to assign each individual medicine a class as described above.
Where the NDTC has not yet undertaken the classification, the local Drug and Therapeutics
Committee should do so on behalf of the QWG to review the quantified medicines list for
that quantification cycle. They should designate each individual medicine as V, E, or N.
(Note: The WHO EML does list all medicines by VEN classification and this can be used as a
guideline.)
30
Service-Level Projection of Budget Requirements
2) Review the assumptions and formulas to ensure that proposed purchase quantities are
correctly adjusted for stock outs, future use and losses, buffer stock, etc.
3) Review the quantification costing and available budget for procurement and estimate
the value of saving required.
4) Remove any N items from the procurement list for which there is no clear therapeutic
need.
5) If a gap still exists, reduce quantities or eliminate other N items and reassess the
estimated procurement cost for the remaining items.
6) Limit therapeutic duplications (more than one medicine with a similar therapeutic
effect). Consider limiting medicines that are available in more than one strength and
make adjustments to quantities.
7) Reduce the quantities of items by using the “preferential weighting” approach (more
funds for V items, less funds for E items, remaining funds for N items).
31
VEN and ABC Analyses
32
Quantification Guidelines for Essential Medicines
Figure 8. Part of the Uganda essential medicines and health supplies list with
VEN classification
(Essential_Medicines_and_Health_Supplies_List_for_Uganda_2012_01.pdf 6)
6
http://ebookbrowsee.net/ministry-of-health-essential-medicines-and-health-supplies-list-for-uganda-2012-
01-pdf-d412485208
33
Quantification Guidelines for Essential Medicines
ABC Analysis
34
VEN and ABC Analyses
analysis of this phenomenon is called ABC analysis (and more generally known as the Pareto
principle). The items used or required have different levels of monetary significance and
should be handled or controlled differently.
The goal of ABC analysis is to analyze the patterns and value of consumption or
procurement by classifying the medicines into three categories (A, B, and C) according to the
value of their usage or purchase (unit cost multiplied by total quantity). Class A items are
the few items that have the highest expenditure, typically 10–20% of items account for 75–
80% of the funds. They are often the medicines with the highest unit cost or consumption
rates. Class B items have intermediate usage rates (10–20% of items account for 15–20% of
the funds). Class C accounts for 60–80% of the items with low individual usage and low
monetary value (the total of which typically accounts for 5–10% of funds). Therefore, when
the budget is limited, class A items have the highest potential for savings, class B items may
have additional savings, and class C items have little or no potential for cost reduction.
1) Prepare an Excel spreadsheet listing each medicine and its Qpa, which is the last stage in
the quantification.
2) Rank the items in descending order by the total value, starting with the highest value
item at the top and the lowest value item at the bottom. Add all the total values
together to obtain a total value for all the medicines. This value will be used to calculate
the % total value for each individual medicine.
4) Calculate the %of total value represented by each item as follows: divide the value of
each item by the total value of all items at the bottom of the column and multiply by
100. The result obtained is each item’s cost as a percentage of the total cost.
6) The cumulative value for the first item is the same as the % of total value. For
example, in table 7, amoxicillin 500 mg is 11% for both % of total value and
cumulative % of value. For the next item, the cumulative % value is calculated
byadding the % total value of that itemto the % total values of the items above it. For
example, in table 7, the cumulative % value of oral rehydration salts is 23.74%, which
is the sum of the % of total value for amoxicillin 500 mg, amoxicillin 250 mg, and oral
rehydration salts (11.04% + 6.6% + 6.1%).
7) Choose cut-off points for A, B, and C categories of drugs (for example, A: 75–80% of
cumulative value, B: 95% and C: 100%)
8) Add a column labeled number of items and assign serial numbers (1, 2, 3, etc. ) for all
items. In table 7, this column is on the far right. The result indicates the number of
35
Quantification Guidelines for Essential Medicines
items that correspond to cumulative % of value (i.e., the number of items that
account for a certain percentage of total value). For the next step, use the last
number (total number of the items) as a as denominator.
10) Calculate the percent using this formula: divide the ranking (far right column in table
7) by the total number of the items (in this case, 77), then multiply by 100. Each item
represents the cumulative percentage of the total items. The result indicates the
percentage of cumulative items that accounts for a certain percentage of cumulative
value.
11) The following is optional; it is recommended for the first time an ABC analysis is
conducted and should be repeated at regular intervals, but it is not necessary for
every quantification. If using spreadsheet software, select the cumulative % of value
column and make a line graph, which should be a curve (figure 10). The x-axis shows
rank of item in percentage and the y-axis shows the percentage of cumulative value
of the items. This graph shows the number of items that account for a percentage of
cumulative value.
12) The last step is to right click the axis, then select “data.” Under “horizontal (category)
axis label,” click edit; in the "axis data range," select the “% of items” column, click
OK, and click OK again. The graph showing percentage of items at the x-axis appears
(figure 10). This graph shows the percentage of items that account for certain
percentage of cumulative value.
13) Now combine the ABC approach with VEN methodology (table 8). Review class A
items with VEN classification. Removing any nonessential (N) medicines in classes A
and B will provide major savings for a limited budget.
36
VEN and ABC Analyses
Table 7. Example Medicine Order List of BHC Level for One Year (PCH Project)
(colored rows are category cut-off points)
Quantity % of
needed Total total Cumulative % of
No Item name Cost for 1 year cost ($) value % of value items No.
8 Amoxicillin 500 mg tab/cap 0.0420 4385431 184,363 11.04 11.04% 1% 1
7 Amoxicillin 250 mg/5 mL syrup 0.6340 175417 111,217 6.6 17.60% 3% 2
61 Oral rehydration salts 27 g for 1 0.0797 1293702 103,066 6.1 23.74% 4% 3
pack
6 Amoxicillin 250 mg tab/cap 0.0220 4385431 96,396 5.7 29.48% 5% 4
28 Co-trimoxazole (sulfmthx + tmp) 0.0110 7847730 86,619 5.2 34.64% 6% 5
480 mg tab
34 Ethinylestradiol 30 mcg + 0.2640 295685 78,061 4.6 39.29% 8% 6
levonorgestrel 150 mcg cycle
77 Zinc dispersible 20 mg blister of 10 0.2300 323426 74,388 4.4 43.72% 9% 7
tab
52 Metronidazol 125 mg/5 mL susp 0.4346 147409 64,059 3.8 47.53% 10% 8
100 mL
44 Levonorgestrel 0.03 mg tab, cycle 0.3000 185429 55,629 3.3 50.85% 12% 9
64 Paracetamol 500 mg tab 0.0066 7370473 48,645 2.9 53.74% 13% 10
69 Ringer lactate IV 1000 mL 0.6318 73705 46,569 2.8 56.52% 14% 11
53 Metronidazole 200 mg tab 0.0048 8770863 42,174 2.5 59.03% 16% 12
17 Cetrimide 15% + chlorhexidine 5.4900 6566 36,049 2.1 61.17% 17% 13
gluconate 1 L
73 Sodium chloride 0.9% isotonic IV 0.6857 51741 35,477 2.1 63.29% 18% 14
1000 mL
3 Aluminum hydroxide 120 mg + 0.0031 11055709 34,597 2.1 65.35% 19% 15
magnesium trisilicate 250 mg tab
35 Ferrous sulf 200 mg + folic acid 0.0020 15524427 31,583 2.1 67.23% 21% 16
0.25 mg tab
49 Methyldopa 250 mg tab (L) coated 0.0213 1418394 30,172 1.8 69.03% 22% 17
41 Ibuprofen 200 mg tab 0.0059 4912420 28,860 1.7 70.74% 23% 18
27 Co-trimoxazole (sulf mthx + tmp) 0.0037 7370473 27,179 1.6 72.36% 25% 19
120 mg tab
21 Chloramphenicol sod succ 1 g inj 0.3261 78418 25,570 1.5 73.89% 26% 20
26 Condoms w/without spermicide 0.0280 908136 25,397 1.5 75.40% 27% 21
66 Procaine benzylpenicillin 3 g (MIU) 0.2038 110557 22,526 1.3 76.74% 29% 22
inj
9 Ampicillin sod 1000 mg inj 0.1937 112033 21,704 1.3 78.03% 30% 23
20 Chloramphenicol 250 mg cap 0.0163 1308906 21,345 1.3 79.30% 31% 24
68 Retinol 200000 IU capsule 0.0241 854667 20,565 1.2 80.53% 32% 25
54 Multivitamin coated tab 0.0038 5287611 20,093 1.2 81.72% 34% 26
75 Tetracycline HCl 1% eye oint tube 0.1399 131563 18,405 1.1 82.82% 35% 27
5g
76 Water for injections 10 mL 0.0388 470811 18,279 1.1 83.91% 36% 28
63 Paracetamol 100 mg tab 0.0021 8597657 18,254 1.1 85.00% 38% 29
16 Benzoic acid 6% + salicylic acid 3% 0.4270 41385 17,671 1.1 86.05% 39% 30
oi/cr 40 g
42 Infusion giving set with airinlet + 0.1419 123312 17,499 1.0 87.09% 40% 31
needle
15 Benzathine benzylpenicillin 2.4 0.9236 18655 17,230 1.0 88.12% 42% 32
MIU/5 mL inj
37
Quantification Guidelines for Essential Medicines
Quantity % of
needed Total total Cumulative % of
No Item name Cost for 1 year cost ($) value % of value items No.
29 Dextrose 5% IV 500 mL btl with 0.4060 36852 14,962 0.9 89.01% 43% 33
nipple (no set)
10 Ampicillin sod 500 mg inj 0.0988 142651 14,087 0.8 89.85% 44% 34
39 Gentian violet powdered 25 g tin 1.7475 7370 12,880 0.8 90.61% 45% 35
14 Benzathine benzylpenicillin 1.2 0.6249 19257 12,034 0.7 91.33% 47% 36
MIU/5 mL inj
70 Salbutamol 100 mcg/dose aerosol 1.5800 7370 11,645 0.7 92.02% 48% 37
100 mL 200 doses
1 Acetylsalicylic acid 500 mg tab 0.0038 3038353 11,424 0.7 92.70% 49% 38
38 Gentamycin sulfate 80 mg/2 mL 0.0945 105287 9,950 0.6 93.30% 51% 39
inj
47 Mebendazole 100 mg tab 0.0058 1605289 9,351 0.6 93.85% 52% 40
37 Gentamycin sulfate 20 mg/2 mL 0.0884 105287 9,302 0.6 94.41% 53% 41
inj
19 Chloramphenicol 125 mg/5 mL 0.2244 40225 9,025 0.5 94.95% 55% 42
susp 100 mL
45 Lidocaine HCl (Lignocaine) 2% inj 1.0730 7370 7,909 0.5 95.42% 56% 43
20 mL
59 Nystatin 500,000 IU tab oral 0.0499 114013 5,684 0.3 95.75% 57% 44
coated
43 Intrauterine device copper coated 0.4900 10531 5,160 0.3 96.06% 58% 45
piece
60 Nystatin pessaries 100000 U 0.0158 313245 4,961 0.3 96.36% 60% 46
40 Hydrocortisone sodium suc 100 0.1560 29520 4,605 0.3 96.63% 61% 47
mg inj
65 Povidone-iodine 10% solution 500 1.1070 4135 4,578 0.3 96.90% 62% 48
mL
12 Artesunate 100 mg (6 tabs) + 1.0347 3685 3,813 0.2 97.13% 64% 49
sulfadoxine 500
mg/pyrimethamine 25 mg (3 tabs)
5 Aminophyllin 25 mg/mL inj 10 mL 0.4041 9428 3,810 0.2 97.36% 65% 50
13 Artesunate 50 mg (6 tabs) + 0.9911 3685 3,652 0.2 97.58% 66% 51
sulfadoxine 500
mg/pyrimethamine 25 mg (2 tabs)
36 Folate 5 mg tab 0.0021 1754173 3,636 0.2 97.79% 68% 52
58 Nystatin 100,000 IU tab oral non- 0.0174 182069 3,163 0.2 97.98% 69% 53
coated
71 Salbutamol 4 mg tab 0.0024 1257351 3,022 0.2 98.16% 70% 54
25 Chlorphenamine hydrogen 0.0021 1378143 2,915 0.2 98.33% 71% 55
maleate 4 mg tab
24 Chlorphenamine hydrogen 0.0733 36852 2,701 0.2 98.49% 73% 56
maleate 10 mg/1 mL inj
57 Nitrofurantoin 100 mg tab 0.0071 290084 2,056 0.1 98.62% 74% 57
33 Ergometrine 0.2 mg tab 0.0168 121780 2,042 0.1 98.74% 75% 58
11 Artemether 80 mg/mL inj 1 mL 1.0654 1843 1,963 0.1 98.86% 77% 59
62 Oxytocin 10 IU/mL inj 1 mL 0.0915 18426 1,686 0.1 98.96% 78% 60
23 Chloroquine phosphate 50 mg/5 0.4426 3685 1,631 0.1 99.05% 79% 61
mL syrup 60 mL
56 Nifedipine 20 mg Retard tab 0.0208 73705 1,529 0.1 99.14% 81% 62
2 Adrenalin 1 mg/mL inj 1 mL 0.2597 5723 1,486 0.1 99.23% 82% 63
38
VEN and ABC Analyses
Quantity % of
needed Total total Cumulative % of
No Item name Cost for 1 year cost ($) value % of value items No.
30 Diazepam 10 mg/2 mL inj 2 mL 0.0982 14165 1,391 0.1 99.32% 83% 64
22 Chloroquine phosphate 150 mg 0.0070 184262 1,291 0.1 99.39% 84% 65
(base) tab
72 Salbutamol 500 mcg/mL inj 1 mL 0.0840 14644 1,230 0.1 99.47% 86% 66
31 Diazepam 5 mg tab 0.0058 201799 1,166 0.1 99.54% 87% 67
46 Magnesium sulfate 50% inj 20 mL 0.8835 1216 1,074 0.1 99.60% 88% 68
4 Aminophyllin 100 mg tab 0.0056 184262 1,032 0.1 99.66% 90% 69
67 Quinine (bi)sulfate 300 mg tab 0.0541 18426 996 0.1 99.72% 91% 70
film-coated
18 Charcoal, activated powder 125 0.0135 73705 993 0.1 99.78% 92% 71
mg tab
55 Nifedipine 10 mg IR tab 0.0120 73705 884 0.1 99.83% 94% 72
51 Metoclopramide HCl 10 mg/2 mL 0.0757 11056 837 0.0 99.88% 95% 73
inj
74 Sulfadoxine 500 mg + 0.0259 27639 715 0.0 99.92% 96% 74
pyrimethamine 25 mg tab
32 Ergometrine 0.2 mg inj 1 mL 0.0884 7370 652 0.0 99.96% 97% 75
48 Medroxyprogesterone 150 mg/mL 0.0058 86000 501 0.0 99.99% 99% 76
depot inj 1 mL
50 Metoclopramide HCl 10 mg tab 0.0045 25797 116 0.0 100.00% 100% 77
120%
100%
Cumulative value/cost
80%
60%
40% A B C
20%
0%
1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52 55 58 61 64 67 70 73 76
Rank of item in percentage
39
VEN and ABC Analyses
40
VEN and ABC Analyses
41
VEN and ABC Analyses
Verification
Before finalizing the quantification and preparing an order, it is essential that quantification
be verified.
The first step is a service-level projection quantification comparison. Although only a rough
indicator, it can be exceedingly useful in identifying major errors.
The service-level projection is a crude indicator of per capita medicine consumption cost
among the target population. For BPHS, this has been estimated at about $0.75 per capita in
2010 7 with an additional $0.06 for EPHS (for a total of $0.81).
Then, the catchment population is used to make a comparison between the total costs of
medicines required (not the order value) and the value needed (before any adjustments are
made for stock on hand, buffer stock, etc.), using either the consumption or morbidity
methods.
For example, for the USAID-supported provinces, the catchment population for BPHS in
2009 was 6,999,416 people.
So, the expected drug need for BPHS using the service-level projection is:
The value calculated from a combination of consumption and morbidity was $5,500,000.
In general, if there is a difference of less than 20% between the two methodologies, then
the values are considered to be reasonably matched. If the difference is more than 20%,
some investigation and confirmation of base assumptions is recommended.
If the estimated total order is higher than 0.5 million AFN (according to the procurement law
of Afghanistan if the value exceed currently AFN 0.5 million, about $8600 then procurement
should go for open competitive bidding) ,so it is recommended the quantification process
and calculation should be checked by an independent party who was not part of the original
quantification team. This independent review will often shed light on the validity of the
assumptions and the accuracy of the calculation process, and greatly helps to assure donors
of the legitimacy of the order.
The independent party could be WHO or a UN agency, the GDPA, a provincial public health
directorate, one of the universities, or any other party with medicine quantification skills
that are not linked to any commercial pharmaceutical operations.
7
Clark, M., and A. Barraclough. 2010. Afghanistan Technical Report: Interim Findings and Conclusions of Drug
Financing.
42
VEN and ABC Analyses
Outcomes
The main objective of the quantification process is to ensure that needed essential
medicines are available in sufficient quantities. To achieve this objective, regular evaluations
of the effectiveness of the quantification process and the accuracy of the calculated
requirements are necessary. The QWG should use standard metrics to assess the
effectiveness of the process. Any problems encountered at each step should be identified
and a solution proposed.
• Evaluate (by an independent party) how well the quantification process went and
identify areas to improve for the next quantification. Before embarking on the
follow-up quantification cycle, review the accuracy of the previous quantification
estimates. This encompasses structural, processes followed, and outcomes as result
of the quantification strategy (e.g., objectives, planning, availability, stock-outs of a
few specific products or a wide range/coverage, cost, and utilization).
Indicators
For some indicators, the current difficulties of measurement make it necessary to use proxy
indicators. These proxy indicators can be rates of stock outs or overstocks. Many factors can
contribute to out-of-stock situations, so it is not a perfect indicator for quantification;
however, if out-of-stock situations are occurring regularly, there is almost certainly a
quantification problem, so stock-outs should serve as a warning flag.
The quantification office should report on key quantification performance indicators at least
annually.
43
Quantification Guidelines for Essential Medicines
Indicators, such as actual consumption against forecast consumption and percentage of key
medicines out of stock, should be used to assess performance on a continuing basis.
The minimum set of indicators which should be used by stakeholders for reporting on
medicines quantification can be found in annex 3.
• Was a QWG appointed and were the relevant members selected? Y/N
• Was the primary quantification method selected appropriate for the forecast problem
and data available? Y/N
• Does the methodology reflect the appropriate level of accuracy and detail that is needed
for the forecast? Y/N
The evaluation should assess the availability of necessary input (consumption data, stock
out data, morbidity/incidences data, population data resources) to conduct any
methods (consumption, morbidity, proxy, and service-level budget projection) or a
mixture of the methods for quantification. .
The evaluation should assess for stock outs using an indicator that measures the number
of medicine from a selected priority list of medicines available out of total number of
medicines (in the same list) in a sample of remote health facilities.
If the morbidity method was used, review whether the selected treatment schedules,
dosage forms, strengths, and dosing frequencies were well understood by the
prescribers and appropriate to the patients.
44
VEN and ABC Analyses
• Were the data available, complete, reliable, and detailed enough? Y/N
If the answer to any of the above is no, then the QWG should ensure that appropriate
steps are taken to improve the quality of data through improved supervision, training,
data gathering, and availability of appropriate materials.
• Were the assumptions on which the calculations were made correct? Y/N
During the calculation phase, assumptions were made on the expected increase in
attendances and adjustments due to losses. Were the assumptions made appropriate in
terms of stock outs or increased stocks that may lead to miscalculation
Review the calculations made in the previous quantification. If errors are found, then the
QWG members must be retrained.
• What impact did the rationalization of medicine quantities (to fit the available budget)
have on priority health problems? None/moderate (a few stock outs)/high (severe stock
outs/overstocking)
45
REFERENCES
Clark, M., and A. Barraclough. 2010. Afghanistan Technical Report: Interim Findings and
Conclusions of Drug Financing. Submitted to the US Agency for International Development
by the Strengthening Pharmaceutical Systems (SPS) Program. Arlington, VA: Management
Sciences for Health; http://pdf.usaid.gov/pdf_docs/pnaea596.pdf
International Narcotics Control Board and World Health Organization. 2012. Guide on
Estimating Requirements for Substances under International Control. United Nations.
Jamaican Ministry of Health and Environment. List of Vital Essential and Necessary (VEN)
Drugs and Medical Sundries for Public Health Institutions. 5th ed. 2008. Jamaica;
http://apps.who.int/medicinedocs/en/d/Js19469en/
Khitab, T., Hazemba, O., Ickx, P., et al. April 2012. Afghanistan: CPDS, CSC, and ACSS
Stakeholder Procurement, Distribution, and Quantification Activities and Functions Review.
Submitted to the US Agency for International Development (USAID) by the Strengthening
Pharmaceutical Systems (SPS) Program. Arlington, VA: Management Sciences for Health;
http://apps.who.int/medicinedocs/en/d/Js20275en/
Management Sciences for Health. 2011. MDS-3: Managing Access to Medicines and Health
Technologies. Sterling, Va.: Kumarian Press.
Sekhri, N., Chisholm, R., Longhi, A. et al. 2006. Principles for Forecasting Demand for Global
Health Products. Center for Global Development.
WHO Action Program on Essential Drugs. 1988. Estimating Drug Requirements: A Practical
Manual; http://apps.who.int/medicinedocs/en/d/Jh2931e/
46
Annex 1. BPHS Medicines List and Level of Facility
From A Basic Package of Health Services for Afghanistan 2009/1388. Third Edition, The
Ministry of Public Health (MOPH) of the Islamic Republic of Afghanistan;
https://webgate.ec.europa.eu/europeaid/online-
services/index.cfm?ADSSChck=1336364738591&do=publi.getDoc&documentId=94459&pub
ID=128652
47
Quantification Guidelines for Essential Medicines
48
Annex 1. BPHS Medicines List and Level of Facility
49
Quantification Guidelines for Essential Medicines
50
Annex 1. BPHS Medicines List and Level of Facility
51
Quantification Guidelines for Essential Medicines
52
Annex 1. BPHS Medicines List and Level of Facility
53
Quantification Guidelines for Essential Medicines
54
ANNEX 2. EPHS MEDICINES LIST AND LEVEL OF HOSPITAL
From The Essential Package of Hospital Services for Afghanistan, The Ministry of Public
Health (MOPH) of the Islamic Republic of Afghanistan;
http://moph.gov.af/Content/Media/Documents/EPHS-2005-FINAL29122010164126629.pdf
DH PH RH
1. Anesthetics and Oxygen
1.1 General Anesthetics and Oxygen
Halothane Cylinder X No No Yes
Ketamine Injection 50mg (as hydrochloride)/ml in 10-ml vial Yes Yes Yes
Sodium thiopental Powder for Injection, 0.5 g, 1 g (Sodium Salt) in Ampoule No No Yes
Oxygen Inhalation Yes Yes Yes
1.2 Local Anaesthetics
Lidocaine Injection 1%, 2 %( hydrochloride) in vial, Yes Yes Yes
Lidocaine Topical forms 2 % 4 % (hydrochloride) Yes Yes Yes
Lidocaine + Adrenaline Injection 1%-2% (hydrochloride) + epinephrine 1:200 Yes Yes Yes
000 in vial
Lidocaine dental Cartridge, 2%(hydrochloride) + Epinephrine 1:80 000 Yes Yes Yes
Bupivacain (not in EDL but critical for hospitals) Yes Yes Yes
2: Analgesics, Antipyretics, Non-Steroidal Anti-Inflammatory Drugs (NSAID)
Medicines Used to Treat Gout
2.1 Non-Opioid Analgesics / Antipyretics / NSAID
Acetaminophen Tablet 325mg, 500mg, Syrup 120mg/5ml Yes Yes Yes
Acetaminophen (Paracetamol) Suspension, drop 100 mg/ml Yes Yes Yes
Acetyl Salicylic Acid 500 mg Yes Yes Yes
Ibuprofen Tablet 200mg, 400mg Yes Yes Yes
2.2 Opioid Analgesics
Morphine Injection, 10mg (hydrochloride or sulfate) in 1-ml Ampoule Yes Yes Yes
Pethidine Injection, 50 mg (hydrochloride) in 1-ml Ampoule, Yes Yes Yes
Pethidine Tablet 50mg, 100mg No Yes Yes
2. 3 Medicines Used to Treat Gout
Allopurinol Tablet 100mg No No Yes
Colchicine Tablet 500 microgram No No Yes
3: Anti Convulsant /Anti epileptics DH PH RH
Carbamazepin Tablet 100mg, 200mg No No Yes
Diazepam Injection 5mg/ml in 2-ml Ampoule Yes Yes Yes
55
Quantification Guidelines for Essential Medicines
DH PH RH
Ethosuxamid capsule 250mg syrup 250mg/5ml No No Yes
Magnesium Sulphate Injection 500mg/ml in 2-ml Ampoule Yes Yes Yes
Phenobarbital Tablet 15mg 100mg ,Injection 200mg/ml Ampoule capsule or Yes Yes Yes
Tablet, 25mg, 50mg, 100mg
Phenobarbital (Sodium Salt) Injection 50mg (Sodium salt)/ml in 5-ml vial Yes Yes Yes
(Complementary)
Valproic acid enteric coated Tablet, 200mg, 500mg (Sodium Salt) No No Yes
4: Antidotes and Other Substances Used in Poisonings DH PH RH
4.1 Non-Specific Antidotes
Activated Charcoal powder /Tablet 500mg, 1gr Yes Yes Yes
4. 2 Specific Antidotes
Acetyl Cystein Injection, 200mg/ml in 10-ml Ampoule No No Yes
Atropine Sulphate Injection, 1mg (Sulfate) in 1ml Ampoule Yes Yes Yes
BAL (Dimercaprol) Injection in Oil 50mg/ml in 2-ml Amp. No No Yes
Deferoxamine Powder for Injection, 500 mg (mesilate) in vial X No No Yes
Diphenhydramine Injection [dosage], cap/tab 25mg & 50mg, syrup 5mg/5ml Yes Yes Yes
Methylen Blue (Methylthioninium) Injection 10 mg/ml in 10-ml Ampoule No No Yes
Naloxone Injection 400 microgram (Hydrochloride) in 1-ml Ampoule Yes Yes Yes
Calcium gluconate Injection 1 gram, 10% in 10 ml Ampoule Yes Yes Yes
Protamine Sulphate Injection 10mg/ml in 5-ml Ampoule (Complementary) No Yes Yes
Flumazenil Injection 100 micrograms/ml Ampoule Yes Yes Yes
5: Anti Histamines DH PH RH
5.1 H1 Receptor Antagonists
Chlorpheniramine Maleate Tablet 4mg, Injection 10mg/1ml Yes Yes Yes
Promethazine Tablet 25mg, Injection 25mg/ml No No Yes
Promethazine Hydrochloride Syrup 5mg/5ml No No Yes
5.2 H2 Receptor Antagonists
Ranitidine Tablet 150 mg, 300mg, Injection 50mg/2ml Ampule Yes Yes Yes
6: Anti Infective Medicines DH PH RH
6.1 Anthelmintics
6.1.1 Intestinal Anthelminthics
Mebendazole chewable Tablet 100mg (Complementary) Yes Yes Yes
Albendazol chewable Tablet, 200mg, 400mg Yes Yes Yes
6.1. 2 Antifilarials
Diethylcarbamazine Tablet 50mg, 100mg (dihydrogen citrate) Yes Yes Yes
6.2 Antibacterials
6.2.1 Beta Lactam Medicine
Amoxycillin Tablet 500mg and 250mg (anhydrous) Yes Yes Yes
Amoxycillin Powder for Oral suspension, 125mg (anhydrous)/5-ml, & 250 Yes Yes Yes
mg/5m
Ampicillin powder for Injection 1gram and 500mg (as sodium salt) in vial Yes Yes Yes
56
Annex 2. Quantification Guidelines for Essential Medicines
DH PH RH
Benzathine Benzyl Powder for Injection, 1,2 million IU & 2.4 million IU in 5-ml Yes Yes Yes
vial
Benzyl Penicillin G (Crystal) Powder for Injection 1 million IU & 5 million IU Yes Yes Yes
(Sodium or Potassium salt) in vial
Cloxacillin vial 500mg for Injection Yes Yes Yes
Cloxacillin Capsule / Tablet 500mg, 250mg (as sodium salt) Yes Yes Yes
Phenoxy Methyl Penicillin Tablet 250mg & 500mg (as potassium salt), Yes Yes Yes
Procaine Penicillin Powder for Injection, 2 million IU & 4 00.000 IU in vial Yes Yes Yes
(Complementary)
Amoxicillin + Clavulanic Acid (restricted indication) Tablet 500mg + 125 mg No No Yes
Amoxicillin + Clavulanic Acid (restricted indication) For oral suspension 125mg No No Yes
& 31.25mg/5ml
Ceftriaxone (restricted indication) vial 1 gram, 500mg No Yes Yes
6.2.2Other Antibacterial
Chloramphenicol capsule 250mg, Yes Yes Yes
Chloramphenicol Oral Suspension 125mg (as Palmitate)/5ml Yes Yes Yes
Chloramphenicol Powder for Injection 1 gram & 500 mg (Sodium succinate) in Yes Yes Yes
vial
Doxycycline capsule / Tablet 100mg (hydrochloride) Yes Yes Yes
Erythromycin Tablet 400mg/200mg (ethyl Succinate) Yes Yes Yes
Gentamicine Injection 20mg, 40mg & 80mg (as sulfate)/ml in 2-ml vial Yes Yes Yes
(Complementary)
Ciprofloxacin (restricted indication) Tablet 500 mg 250mg (as hydrochloride) No Yes Yes
Ciprofloxacin (restricted indication) Injection 2mg/ml, 50ml bottle No Yes Yes
6.2.3 Antileprosy medicines (in speciality facilities only)
Clofazimine Capsule 50mg, 100mg
Dapsone Tablet 25mg, 50mg, 100mg -
Rifampicin Capsule or Tablet 150mg, 300mg
6.2.4 Anti Tuberculosis medicines DH PH RH
Ethambutol Tablet 400mg Yes Yes Yes
INH Tablet 100mg & 300mg Yes Yes Yes
Pyrazinamid Tablet 500mg Yes Yes Yes
Rifampicin Capsule or Tablet 150mg, 300 mg Yes Yes Yes
Rifampicin Syrup 100mg/5ml No No Yes
Streptomycin Powder for Injection 1 G (as Sulfate) in vial Yes Yes Yes
(Complementary)
Thiacetazon +Isoniazid Tablet 50mg+100mg & 150mg+300mg No No Yes
6.3 Anti Fungal medicines
Benzoic acid+ Salicylic Cream or Ointment 6%+3% Yes Yes Yes
Griseofulvin capsule or Tablet 125mg, 250mg No Yes Yes
Ketoconazol Tablet 200 mg, topical cream 2% Yes Yes Yes
57
Quantification Guidelines for Essential Medicines
DH PH RH
Nystatin Tablet 100 000,500 000 IU Yes Yes Yes
Nystatin Vaginal Tablet 100 000 IU Yes Yes Yes
6.4 Antiviral Medicine
Aciclovir Opthalmic Ointment 3% No Yes Yes
6.5 Antiprotozoal medicines
6.5.1 Anti Amoebic and Anti Giardiasis medicines
Metronidazol Tablet 250mg, 400mg Yes Yes Yes
Metronidazol Injection 500mg in 100 – ml vial, Yes Yes Yes
Metronidazol Oral suspension, 200mg (as benzoate)/5 ml No No Yes
6.5.2 Anti-Leishmaniasis
Meglumine Antimonate Injection, 30%, equivalent to approx. 8.1% antimony in Yes Yes Yes
5-ml Ampoule
Stibogluconate Sodium Injection 100mg/ml Ampoule Yes Yes Yes
6.5.3 Anti Malarial
Chloroquine Tablet, base 150mg (as phosphate or sulfate), Yes Yes Yes
Chloroquine Syrup, base 50mg (as phosphate or sulfate) /5ml, Yes Yes Yes
Pyrimethamin + Sulfadoxine (Fansidar) Tablet 25mg+ 500mg Yes Yes Yes
Quinine Tablet 300mg (as bisulfate or sulfate), Yes Yes Yes
Quinine Injection, 300mg (as dihydrochloride)/ml in 2-ml Ampule. Yes Yes Yes
(Complementary)
Artesunate Tablet 50 mg (Note: Provided ony in malarial endemic areas) Yes Yes Yes
Artemether 80mg/ml 2ml Ampule (for IM only) Yes Yes Yes
6.6 Sulfonamide/Related
Co-Trimoxazole (Sulfamethoxazole+Trimeth oprime) suspension Yes Yes Yes
200mg+40mg/5ml,
Co-Trimoxazole (Sulfamethoxazole+Trimeth oprime) Tablet 100mg +20mg & Yes Yes Yes
400mg+80mg
6.7 Urinary & intestinal antiseptics
Nalidixic Acid Tablet 250mg 500mg, 250mg/5ml Syrup No No Yes
Nitrofurantoin Tablet 100mg Yes Yes Yes
Furazolidon Tablet 100mg, Syrup 125mg/5ml No No Yes
7: Antimigraine Medicines DH PH RH
Acetyl Salicylic Acid Tablet, 300mg 500mg Yes Yes Yes
Acetaminophen Tablet 325mg Yes Yes Yes
Ergotamine Tablet 1mg (tartrate) No No Yes
Propranolol Tablet 20mg 40mg (hydrochloride) Yes Yes Yes
8: Antiparkinsonism Medicines DH PH RH
Biperidin Tablet 2mg (hydrochloride) No No Yes
Biperidin Injection, 5mg (lactate) in 1-ml Ampoule No No Yes
Levodopa+Carbidopa Tablet 100mg+ 10mg No No Yes
Levodopa+Carbidopa 250mg+ 25mg No No Yes
58
Annex 2. Quantification Guidelines for Essential Medicines
DH PH RH
Trihexylphenidyl Tablet 2 mg No No Yes
9: Medicines Affecting the Autonomic System DH PH RH
9. 1 Parasympatomimetics
Pilocarpine Solution (eye drop), 2%, 4% (Hydrochloride or Nitrate) No No Yes
9. 2 Parasympatholytics
Atropine Solution (eye drop) 0,1%, 0,5%, 1% (sulfate), No No Yes
Atropine Tablet 1mg (sulfate), Injection 1mg (sulfate) in 1-ml Ampoule Yes Yes Yes
Hyoscine -N-butyl bromide Tablet 10mg, Injection 20mg/ml Yes Yes Yes
9. 3 Sympathomimetics
Adrenaline Injection 1mg (as hydrochloride or Hydrogen tartrate) in 1-ml Yes Yes Yes
Ampoule
Salbutamol Tablet 2mg, 4mg (as sulfate) Yes Yes Yes
Salbutamol Inhalation (aerosol), 100 microgram (as sulfate) per dose No Yes Yes
Salbutamol Respirator Solution for use in nebulizers 5mg (as sulfate)/ml Yes Yes Yes
Dopamine hydrochloride Injection, 40 mg/ml, 5 ml ampoule No No Yes
9. 4 Sympatholytics
Methyldopa Tablet 250mg Yes Yes Yes
Atenolol Tablet 50mg, 100mg No No Yes
Propranolol Tablet 10mg, 40mg Yes Yes Yes
Timolol Solution (eye drop), 0.25%, 0.5% (as maleate) No No Yes
9. 5 Muscle Relaxants (Peripherally acting) and Cholinesterase inhibitors
Alcuronium Injection, 5 mg/ml in 2 ml ampoule No No Yes
Suxamethonium (Succinyl Choline) Injection, 50mg (chloride)/ml in 2-ml Yes Yes Yes
Ampoule
9. 6 Autonomic Agents, Other
Bromocriptine Tablet 2.5 mg (as mesilate) No No Yes
10: Medicines Affecting the Blood DH PH RH
10.1 Drugs Used in Anemia
Ferrous Sulphate Tablet, equivalent to 60 mg iron, Oral Solution Yes Yes Yes
Folic Acid Tablet, 1mg and 5 mg/tablet Yes Yes Yes
Ferrous Sulphat+Folic Acid (Nutritional Supplement for use during pregnancy) Yes Yes Yes
Tablet, equivalent to 60 mg iron + 400 Microgram Folic acid
Hydroxocobalamine Injection, 1mg in 1-ml Ampoule No Yes Yes
(Complementary)
Iron Dextran Injection equivalent to 50mg iron/ml in 2-ml Ampoule No No Yes
10.2 Drugs Affecting Coagulation
Vit.K (Phytomenadione) Injection 10mg/ml Ampoule, Tablet, 10mg Yes Yes Yes
Sodium Heparine Injection 1000 iu/ml, 5 ml and 5000 iu/ml, 1 ml No Yes Yes
Enoxaprin (low molecular weight Heparine) restricted indication only for DVT Yes Yes Yes
sc injection
11: Blood Products and Plasma Substitutes DH PH RH
59
Quantification Guidelines for Essential Medicines
DH PH RH
Dextran 70 Injectable Solution 6% No No Yes
12: Cardiovascular Medications DH PH RH
12. 1 Anti Anginal Medicines
Atenolol Tablet, 50mg, 100mg No No Yes
Glyceryl trinitrate Tablet, (sublingual) 0.5 mg No No Yes
Isosorbide dinitrate Tablet, (sublingual) , 5mg , 10 mg Yes Yes Yes
Verapamil Tablet, 40 mg, 80 mg (hydrochloride) No No Yes
12. 2 Anti Arrhythmic Drugs
Atenolol Tablet 50mg, 100 mg No No Yes
Digoxin Tablet 0. 25 mg, Injection 0. 5 mg / 2ml Yes Yes Yes
Lidocaine Injection, 20 mg (hydrochloride) /ml in 5-ml Ampoule No No Yes
Procainamide Injection 1000 mg /10 ml, Cap/tab 250mg No No Yes
Verapamil tab 40mg, 80 mg, Injection, No No Yes
Verapamil 2.5mg (hydrochloride)/ml in 2-ml Ampoule No No Yes
12. 3 Anti Hypertensive Agents
Atenolol tab 50mg, 100mg No No Yes
Captopril Tablet 25mg No No Yes
Hydralazine Tablet 25mg, 50 mg (hydrochloride), powder No No Yes
Hydralazine For Injection, 20mg (hydrochloride) in Ampoule Yes Yes Yes
Methyl dopa Tablet 250 mg Yes Yes Yes
Nifedipine Capsule / Tablet 10mg Yes Yes Yes
12. 4 Cardiotonics
Digoxin Tablet 0.25mg, Injection 0. 5 mg / 2ml Yes Yes Yes
12. 5 Platelet Aggregation Inhibitors
Acetyl Salicylic Acid Tablet 100mg Yes Yes Yes
13: Dermatological Medicines (topical) DH PH RH
13.1 Anti infective, Topical
Methyl Rosanilinium Chloride (Gention Violet) aqueous Solution, 0. 5%, 1% Yes Yes Yes
Neomycine+Bacitracine Ointment, 5mg Neomycin Sulfate + 500IU Bacitracin Yes Yes Yes
zinc/G
Silver Sulfadiazine Cream 1%, in 500-gram Container Yes Yes Yes
13. 2 Anti Fungal, Topical
Benzoic Acid +Salicylic Acid Ointment or cream 6% + 3% Yes Yes Yes
Nystatine Ointment 100 000 U/Gram, Vaginal Tablet Yes Yes Yes
Nystatine 100 000 U, Drop 100 000 U/ml, Coated Tablet 500 000 U Yes Yes Yes
Tolnaftate Topical Cream 1%, Topical Solution 1% No No Yes
13. 3 Anti Inflammatory & Anti Pruritics, Topical
Calamine-lotion Lotion X X X Yes Yes Yes
Hydrocortisone Ointment or Cream, 1% (acetate) No No Yes
13. 4 Anti Infective/Anti-Inflammatory Combination, Topical
60
Annex 2. Quantification Guidelines for Essential Medicines
DH PH RH
Betamethasone-N Topical Cream /Ointment Betamethason (as Valerate) 0.1%+ Yes Yes Yes
Neomycin Sulfate0, 5%
13. 5 Sun Protectants/Screen
Zinc Oxide Topical Ointment 20%, powder Yes Yes Yes
13. 6 Keratolytics/Caustics
Benzoyl Peroxide lotion or cream, 5% No No Yes
Coal Tar Solution, 5% No No Yes
Fluorouracil Ointment, 5% No No Yes
Resorcinol-S Topical cream Resorcinol 2%+Sulphur 8% No No Yes
Salicylic Acid Solution, 5% Yes Yes Yes
13. 7 Scabicides/Pediculocides
Lindane Lotion 1% Yes Yes Yes
13. 8 Local Anesthetics, Topical
Lidocaine Gel 2 %, 4% Yes Yes Yes
14: Diagnostic Agents DH PH RH
14.1 Radio contrast Media
Barium sulfate aqueous suspension No No Yes
Meglumine Compound 76% Injection 20 ml, 100ml (Meglumine diatrizoate No No Yes
66%+ Sodiumdiatrizoate10%)
Meglumine Compound 76% Oral Solution (Meglumine diatrizoate 66%+ No No Yes
Sodium diatrizoate 10%)
15: Disinfectants and Antiseptics DH PH RH
Methanol Solution, 70 % (denatured) Yes Yes Yes
Chlorhexidine Solution, 5 % (digluconate) for dilution Yes Yes Yes
Chlorine releasing comp. Powder for solution, 1 gram per liter Yes Yes Yes
Hydrogenperoxid Solution 6 %( = approx.20 volume) Yes Yes Yes
Iodine Polyvidone Solution, 10% Yes Yes Yes
Gentian Violet Aqueous Solution 0, 5%, 1% Yes Yes Yes
Potassium Permanganate Aqueous Solution, 1:10 000 Yes Yes Yes
16: Diuretics DH PH RH
Furosemide Tablet 40 mg, Yes Yes Yes
Furosemide Injection, 10 mg/ml in 2-ml Ampoule Yes Yes Yes
Hydrochlorothiazid Tablet 25 mg 50mg Yes Yes Yes
Mannitol Injectable Solution, 10%, 20% No No Yes
Spironolactone Tablet 25 mg No No Yes
17: Gastrointestinal Medicines DH PH RH
17. 1 Antacids
Aluminum hydroxide + Magnesium Hydroxide Chewable Tablet Aluminum Yes Yes Yes
hydroxide 200mg +Magnesium hydroxide 200mg
17. 2 Laxatives
Bisacodyl Tablet 5mg Yes Yes Yes
61
Quantification Guidelines for Essential Medicines
DH PH RH
17. 3 Drugs Used in Peptic Ulcer
Histamine H2 Receptor Antagonist Ranitidine Tablet 150 mg, 300mg, Injection Yes Yes Yes
50mg/2ml
(Complementary)
Omeprazol capsule 20mg No Yes Yes
17. 4 Anti Emetics
Metoclopramid Tablet 10mg (hydrochloride), Yes Yes Yes
Metoclopramid Injection 5mg (Hydrochloride)/ml in 2-ml Ampoule Yes Yes Yes
17. 5 Anti Muscarinics/Anti Spasmodic
Atropine Injection 1 mg (Sulfate) in 1-ml Ampoule Yes Yes Yes
Hyoscine –N- Butyl Bromide Tablet, 10 mg, Yes Yes Yes
Hyoscine –N- Butyl Bromide Injection 4 mg/ml in 5-ml Ampoule Yes Yes Yes
17. 6 Anti Hemorrhoid Drugs
Anti-Inflammatory/Astringent/Local Anesthetic drugs Ointment or Suppository Yes Yes Yes
17.7 Oral Rehydration Salts (ORS)
Oral Rehydration Salt Powder, 27,9 g/l (for Glucose Electrolyte Solution) Yes Yes Yes
Sodium chloride (3.5 G/L), Trisodium citrate dihydrate (2.9 G/L), Potassium
chloride (1.5 G/L), Glucose (20 G/L); Trisodium Citrate
18: Hormones, other Endocrine medicines and Contraceptives DH PH RH
18.1. Adrenal Hormones and Synthetic Substitute
Hydrocortisone powder for Injection, Yes Yes Yes
Prednisolone Tablet 5mg Yes Yes Yes
18.3. Contraceptives
Hormonal Contraceptives
Ethinylestradiol + Levonorgestrol Tablet 30 microgram+150 microgram Yes Yes Yes
Ethinylestradiol + Levonorgestrol Tablet 50 microgram+250 microgram No No Yes
Ethinylestradiol + Norethisterone Tablet 35 microgram + 1.0mg No No Yes
(Complementary)
Medroxy Progesterone depot Injection, 150mg/ml in 1-ml vial Yes Yes Yes
18.4 Intrauterine Devices
Copper-containing device Yes Yes Yes
18.5 Barrier Methods
Condoms with or without spermicide (Nonoxinol) Yes Yes Yes
18.6 Estrogens
Ethinylestradiol Tablet 10 microgram, 50 microgram No No Yes
18.7 Progestines
18.8 Ovulation inducers
Clomiphene (Clomifen) Tablet 50 mg (Citrate) No No Yes
18.9 Insulin and Other Antidiabetic Agents
Glibenclamide Tablet 5mg No Yes Yes
Insulin Injection (Soluble) Injection, 40 IU /ml in 10 – ml vial No No Yes
62
Annex 2. Quantification Guidelines for Essential Medicines
DH PH RH
Insulin Injection (Soluble) 100 IU/ml in 10 – ml vial No Yes Yes
Intermediate-acting insulin Injection, 40 IU/ml in 10-ml vial
Intermediate-acting insulin 100 IU/ml in 10-ml vial (as compound insulin zinc No Yes Yes
suspension or Isophane insulin)
Metformine Tablet, 500mg (hydrochloride) No Yes Yes
18.9.1 Thyroid Hormones and Anti Thyroid Medicines
Levothyroxine Tablet, 50 microgram, 100 microgram (Sodium Salt) No No Yes
Potassium Iodide Tablet, 60mg No No Yes
Carbimazole Tablet, 5mg No No Yes
19: Immunologicals DH PH RH
19. 1 Diagnostic agents
Tuberculin, Purified Protein Derivative (PPD) Injection Yes Yes Yes
19. 2 Sera and Immunoglobulins
Anti –D immunoglobulin (Human) Injection, 250 microgram in single-dose vial No Yes Yes
Antitetanus immunoglobulin (Human) Injection, 500 IU, 1500 U, 3000 U Yes Yes Yes
Ampoule
Pertussis Antitoxin No No Yes
Diphtheria Antitoxin Injection, 10 000 IU, 20 000 IU in vial No Yes Yes
Rabies immunoglobulin Injection, 150 IU/ml in vial No Yes Yes
19. 3 Vaccines
BCG Yes Yes Yes
DPT Yes Yes Yes
Hepatitis –B Yes Yes Yes
Measles Yes Yes Yes
Poliomyelitis Yes Yes Yes
Tetanus Yes Yes Yes
19. 4 for Specific Group of Individuals DH PH RH
Mumps vaccine Yes Yes Yes
Rabies vaccine (inactivated: prepared in cell culture) Yes Yes Yes
Rubella Vaccine No No Yes
20: Ophthalmological Preparations and Drugs used in ENT DH PH RH
20. 1 Anti Glaucoma and Miotics
Acetazolamid Tablet, 250mg No No Yes
Pilocarpine Solution (eye drop), 2%, 4% (Hydrochloride or nitrate) No No Yes
Timolol Solution (eye drop), 0.25%, 0.5% (as maleate) No No Yes
20. 2 Anti Infective, Topical:
Aciclovir (Acyclovir) ophthalmic ointment 3% Yes Yes Yes
Chloramphenicol Solution (eye drop) 0.5% Yes Yes Yes
Gentamicine Solution (eye drop) 0.3 %(as Sulfate) No No Yes
Sulfacetamide Solution (eye drop) 10%, 20% No No Yes
63
Quantification Guidelines for Essential Medicines
DH PH RH
Silver Nitrate Solution (eye drop) 1% X No No Yes
Tetracycline Eye Ointment, 1% (hydrochloride) Yes Yes Yes
20. 3 Anti Inflammatory Topical agents
Prednisolone Solution (eye drop), 0.5% No No Yes
20. 4 Local Anaesthetics
Tetracaine Solution (eye drop), 0.5 %( hydrochloride) Yes Yes Yes
20. 5. Mydriatics
Atropine Solution (eye drop), 0.1%, 0.5%, 1 %( Sulfate) No No Yes
Tropicamide Solution (eye drop) 0.5%, 1% No No Yes
20. 6 Drugs Used in E.N.T
20.6.1 Decongestant
Naphazoline Solution (Nasal Drop) 0.05% Yes Yes Yes
20.6.2 Removal of Ear Wax
Glycerin Boric Solution 5% No No Yes
21: Oxytocics and Antioxytocics DH PH RH
21. 1 Oxytocics
Ergometrine Tablet 200 microgram (hydrogen maleate), Yes Yes Yes
Ergometrine Injection 200 microgram (hydrogen maleate) Yes Yes Yes
Oxytocin Injection, 10 IU in 1-ml Ampoule Yes Yes Yes
21. 2 Antioxytocics
Salbutamol Tablet 4mg (as Sulfate) Yes Yes Yes
Salbutamol Injection, 50 microgram (as sulfate)/ml in 5-ml Ampoule Yes Yes Yes
22: Psychotherapeutic Medicines DH PH RH
22. 1 Medicines Used in Psychotic Disorders
Chlorpromazine Tablet 100mg (hydrochloride), No No Yes
Chlorpromazine Syrup 25mg (hydrochloride)/5ml, No No Yes
Chlorpromazine Injection 25 mg (hydrochloride)/ml in 2-ml Ampoule No No Yes
Haloperidol Tablet 2mg, 5mg, Injection 5mg /1-ml Ampoule Yes Yes Yes
22.2 Medicines Used in Depressive Disorders
Amitriptyline Tablet, 25 mg (hydrochloride) No No Yes
Imipramine Tablet 10mg25mg X X X Yes Yes Yes
22. 3 Medicines Used in Generalized Anxiety and Sleep disorders
Diazepam Tablet 2mg, 5mg, 10mg, Injection 5mg/ml in 2-ml Ampoule Yes Yes Yes
(Complementary)
Oxazepam Tablet 10mg, 15mg No Yes Yes
22. 4 Medicines Used in vertigo
Dimenhydrinate Tablet 50mg No No Yes
23: Medicines acting on the Respiratory Tract DH PH RH
23. 1 Anti Asthmatic Medicines
Aminophylline Injection, 25mg/ml in 10-ml Ampoule Yes Yes Yes
64
Annex 2. Quantification Guidelines for Essential Medicines
DH PH RH
Aminophylline Tablet 100mg Yes Yes Yes
Beclometasone Inhalation (aerosol), 50 microgram, 250 microgram No No Yes
(dipropionate) per dose
Epinephrine (Adrenaline) Injection 1mg (as hydrochloride or Hydrogen Yes Yes Yes
tartrate) in 1-ml Ampoule
Salbutamol Tablet 2mg, 4mg (as sulfate) X X X Yes Yes Yes
Salbutamol Inhalation (aerosol), 100 microgram (as sulfate) per dose No No Yes
Salbutamol Syrup, 2mg (as sulfate)/5ml No No Yes
Salbutamol Injection, 50 microgram (as sulfate)/ml in 5-ml Ampoule No No Yes
Salbutamol Respirator Solution for use in nebulizers, 5mg (as sulfate)/ml Yes Yes Yes
24: Solutions Correcting Water, Electrolyte and Acid-base Disturbances DH
PH RH
24. 1 Oral
Oral Rehydration Salts (for Glucose-electrolyte Solution) for composition see Yes Yes Yes
section 18. 7
Potassium Chloride Powder for Solution X No No Yes
24. 2 Parenteral
Glucose Injectable Solution, 5% isotonic, 10%, 50% hypertonic Yes Yes Yes
Glucose with NaCl Injectable Solution, 4% glucose, 0.18% NaCl (Equivalent to No Yes Yes
Na+30mmol/l Cl-30mmol/l)
Potassium Chloride 11.2 % Solution in 20-ml Ampoule, (Equivalent to No No Yes
K+1.5mmol/ml, cl-1.5mmol/ml)
Sodium Chloride Injectable Solution, 0.9% isotonic (Equivalent to Na+154 Yes Yes Yes
mmol/l, Cl- 154 mmol/l)
Sodium Hydrogen Carbonate Injectable Solution 1.4% isotonic (Equivalent to No No Yes
Na+167mmol/l, HCO3- 167 mmol/l)
Sodium Hydrogen Carbonate 8.4% Solution in 10-ml Ampoule (Equivalent to No No Yes
Na+ 1000 mmol/l, HCO3-1000 mmol/l)
Compound Solution of Sodium Lactate (Ringer lactate) Injectable Solution Yes Yes Yes
24. 3 Miscellaneous
Water for Injection 5-ml, 10-ml Ampoule Yes Yes Yes
25: Vitamins and Minerals DH PH RH
Iodine iodized Oil, 1 ml (480mg iodine), No No Yes
Iodine 0.5 ml (240 mg iodine) in Ampoule (Oral or injectable) No No Yes
Iodine 0.57 ml,(308 mg iodine) in dispenser bottle No No Yes
Iodine Capsule, 200 mg No No Yes
Multimicronutrients Capsule Yes Yes Yes
Pyridoxine Tablets 25 and 40 mg, injection [dosage] Yes Yes Yes
Cholecalciferol Ampoule 600,000 iu/ml Yes Yes Yes
Phytomenadione (Vitamin K) Injection, 10mg/ml Ampoule, Yes Yes Yes
Phytomenadione (Vitamin K) Tablet, 10mg No No Yes
Retinol Sugarcoated Tablet, 10 000 IU (as palmitate)(5.5mg) Yes Yes Yes
65
Quantification Guidelines for Essential Medicines
DH PH RH
Retinol Capsule 200 000 IU (as palmitate)(110mg) Yes Yes Yes
Retinol oral oily Solution, 100 000 IU/ml in multidose dispenser (as palmitate), No No Yes
Retinol Injection, 100 000 IU (as palmitate) (55mg) in 2-ml Ampoule No No Yes
66
ANNEX 3. INDICATORS FOR REPORTING ON QUANTIFICATION
The following table lists the minimum set of indicators that stakeholders should use for reporting on forecasting to the central level (NGOs and
government agencies). These indicators are defined by WHO in Harmonized Monitoring and Evaluation Indicators for Procurement and Supply
Management Systems, which can be found at http://whqlibdoc.who.int/publications/2011/9789241500814_eng.pdf?ua=1.
These are core indicators—the list of indicators may be expanded over time as better data flows are established. The initial measurement
methods may have to use a limited tracer list (i.e., not all EDL/LDL items), but should be expanded to include more items as better data
collection methods are established.
67
Quantification Guidelines for Essential Medicines
Quantification Target
Function Indicator Rationale Method Requires value
by cost from ABC defined period
analysis • Quantities of each product
consumed during the same
defined period, as reported
by health facilities
Note: The following operational indicators are derived from MDS-3, page 20.29. Simple yes/no answers are adequate.
Formal workplan and Quantification requires major
Evidence of workplan and
schedule for quantification effort and must be properly
schedule
available resourced and planned
Does a quantification
committee exist with
representatives from health Wide scope of involvement is
Minutes of quantification
facilities (prescribers and required to achieve reliable
committee meetings
pharmacy staff), disease quantification
programs, logistics staff, and
independent body?
Are multiple quantification No method is perfect and should
methods used and be checked against other Details of calculations used
Quantification compared? available data Y/N Y
operation
Are records of stock outs
If there have been frequent stock
incorporated into the Stock records of stock outs
outs, accuracy will be reduced
calculations?
Must use a rational basis for
Are budget adjustments
adjusting medicines quantities to Details of calculations used
made using VEN system?
fit the available budget
Easy to make mistakes and
large monetary values are
Are quantification
involved; calculation should Verification report reviewed by
calculations verified by an
always be verified by a party not third party
independent party?
involved in the detailed
preparation
68
Annex 2. Quantification Guidelines for Essential Medicines
69
This document is made possible by the generous support of the American people through the U.S.
Agency for International Development (USAID), under the terms of cooperative agreement number
306-A-00-11-00532-00. This document is developed with technical and financial support of
Managing Science for Health/ Strengthening Pharmaceutical System. The contents are the
responsibilities of General Directorate of Pharmaceutical Affaires, Ministry of Public Health and do
not necessarily reflect the views of USAID or the United States Government.